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Goldprediction

XAU/USD: Ready for another Decline? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.132. If it manages to hold below 1.14, I expect further downside. The bearish targets are 1.12790, 1.11800, 1.10700, and 1.096 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
Key data will be released, gold will usher in a turning point🗞News side: 1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump 2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel 📈Technical aspects: Gold prices continued to fall this week as Trump extended the impact of increasing tariffs on the European Union. After stabilizing at 3285 and rebounding yesterday, the gains and losses at 3315 during the day are the key to the subsequent layout. The current Asian session did not stand above 3315 in the morning, which means that the short-term retracement and decline have not ended, and only by breaking through 3315 can there be a chance to continue upward. The 4H level of gold is not so strong at present. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands have not opened and are still flat, indicating that the market is in a volatile trend in the short term. The support below 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side pays attention to the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, it is expected to go to 3260-3250. The European session will temporarily maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. Pay attention to 3315-3325 on the upper side and 3285-3280 on the lower side. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold is waiting for a breakthrough? A new trend?In the Asian market, gold has repeatedly tested the downward trend near $3,300. As of now, it has stabilized above $3,300 again. The current highest rebound is around $3,323. The price is under pressure at this position and keeps testing to break through this position. From the hourly chart, the previous trend of falling from $3,365 was a decline and then rebound. The current trend from $3,350 is the same. The current market is around $3,325, which is the position we need to pay attention to. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at $3,325 next, it will test the intraday high of $3,335. Therefore, I suggest that you can maintain the 3,325-3,335 US dollars to enter the market for short selling. You can use yesterday's high of $3,350 as a defense. The target is the support of $3,300 below today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level. Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Gold trading direction remains bullish Gold prices fell under pressure, breaking through 3,300 points during the session and eventually closing at a low level. The lack of fundamental support and the rise in US assets eventually caused gold prices to fall back, and are still in a falling stage. At the beginning of this week, we made it clear that we would not enter the market at a high level to chase the rise. Gold prices are facing important technical suppression. Falling back may be inevitable, but it is also normal. Only by falling back can we expand the space for rising prices. The upward trend will not be changed during the adjustment. Under this development background, the next trading path is clear. At the beginning of the week, although the US dollar rebounded, it is still unknown whether it can continue! After the 20-year US Treasury auction last week was cold, this week will usher in the 5-year and 7-year Treasury auctions. If it is cold again, the market will only increase its distrust of the entire US assets. If so, it will theoretically be good for gold prices. On Thursday, the market will welcome the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May monetary policy meeting, followed by speeches by several Federal Reserve officials. What will be the final tone? It is difficult to make predictions and affirmations now, and the market needs to observe inflation from this meeting and speech most, so as to clarify expectations on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates or not, which requires special attention. 5.29 Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes Whether the gold price retreats or fluctuates, it will not change the upward trend. This is a point we have made clear many times, but it should be noted that it is different from last year. This year's rise is unlikely to rise from the beginning of the year to the end of the year like last year. This year's rise must go through multiple cycles and large space back and forth, especially leveraged transactions. Positions must be controlled and risks must be strictly controlled. Those who are not leveraged only need to wait patiently and use time to exchange space. Yesterday, the price of gold retreated as expected, falling below 3,300 points during the session. After reaching the effective support level, it rebounded, but the strength was not strong and the space was not large. The final price was not high. From today to now, there has not been a strong rebound, and even if there is, it is difficult to sustain. As of today, Wednesday, the decline in gold prices has not yet ended completely. The support tested yesterday is expected to be tested again, or even broken. From a technical point of view, there is still a lot of room for expansion below, but the trend of gold prices is not completely determined by a single technical aspect. It must be combined with fundamental information to make a comprehensive judgment. In short, the upward trend of gold prices has not changed. In the stage of retracement and adjustment, it is necessary to control the rhythm of long and short changes. If it can retrace and lower the price, there will be more room for the next rise.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Gold Futures (GC) – May 28, 2025 Gold is currently trading within a clean range, and I’m keeping it simple: 🔴 I will only sell in the red supply zone, but only after seeing confirmed seller reaction and order flow backing the move. 🟢 I will only buy in the green demand zone, once buyers clearly show strength and the flow supports it. 📉 My target for any trade is always the opposite zone — if I sell in the red, I’ll target the green. If I buy in the green, I’m aiming for the red. All of this holds until aggressive order flow tells me new participants are stepping in and shifting the narrative. No trades in the middle. Discipline and confirmation first. #GoldFutures #GCAnalysis #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #SupplyAndDemand #FuturesTrading #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #TechnicalAnalysis
COMEX:GC1!
by prolivetrader
Gold fluctuates upward. Waiting for a breakthrough?Since the trend of today's Asian session is a drop before an increase, and we are currently holding long orders near 3292, the trend is still looking upward. It is about to reach the resistance position near 3325 that I predicted. This is a strong and weak dividing point in the short term. Whether it can continue to break through and move upward depends on the situation in the European session. If you hold a long position, you can continue to hold it and wait for the price to break through. For those who have not entered the market yet, you can continue to wait and see if the upper resistance level can break through strongly. The market changes drastically. I hope everyone will make a profit today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285 📌 Driving events On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal. Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed. From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280. 💰Strategy Package Operation strategy; Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285 Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
3
Mr. President repeatedly wavered, new trend?Last Friday, Trump threatened to escalate the trade war again, suggesting that a 50% tariff be imposed on the EU from June 1. The US dollar index continued to decline during the day, falling to a low of around 99. Due to increased risk aversion demand, spot gold once rose by more than 2%, reaching a daily high of $3,365. At the opening of this Monday, Trump issued a statement to postpone the imposition of tariffs on the EU, extending the deadline for the EU to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Gold was also affected, and it has continued to rectify its downward trend this week. Yesterday, the lowest point was near 3285. From the current daily chart, the trend support line here on the daily chart has been broken. So it is very likely that there will be a short-term correction trend on the daily line next. Once the lower 3250-3260 is broken, it will directly test the lower trend line of the daily line at 3160-3170. From the 4-hour chart: We can reverse the market. If we take the previous daily low of 3160 as the target, we can see that 3285 is exactly where it stopped and stabilized yesterday. So, it is normal for 3285 to rebound and consolidate. We can also see that the range of the 4-hour chart has been broken, so 3285 may fall directly and break through next. Then the next position to pay attention to is 3260-50. If it falls below this range, we can directly see the trend line support position of 3160-70 in this round of daily lines. Trading is risky, and I hope my analysis can help traders reduce the risk of trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
Gold 3315 gains and losses are the key 📌 Driving events From the news perspective, data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed that U.S. durable goods orders in April plunged 6.3% month-on-month, with an expected value of -7.8% and a previous value revised from 9.20% to 7.50%. Volatile commercial aircraft orders plunged 51.5% in April after rising in March. Boeing said it received only eight aircraft orders in April, the lowest since May 2024, far lower than the 192 orders in March, the highest since 2023. Affected by the sharp drop in commercial aircraft orders, U.S. durable goods orders fell more than expected in April, with core capital goods orders (excluding aircraft and military hardware) falling 1.3%, the biggest drop since October last year. Under the influence of uncertainty in tariffs and tax policies, corporate investment willingness is weakening. Through the data, it is not difficult to find that American companies have shown obvious caution in assessing the demand outlook and have shifted their focus to cost reduction, which directly reflects the impact of uncertainty brought about by Trump's trade policy. At the same time, the tax legislation being debated in Congress has also put companies on the sidelines, further suppressing the impulse to invest. 📊Comment Analysis After the pullback on Monday this week, the decline accelerated on Tuesday, and the continuous decline came back, changing the strong upward trend of last week 💰Strategy Package In terms of operation, in the short term, long and short operations can be carried out in the range of 3315-3297 US dollars, and the support position of 3285/80 should be paid attention to below; medium and long-term investors can buy on dips and take advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of weak US dollars to gradually establish long positions. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
XAUUSD Bearish setup trade for coming weekThis chart outlines a bearish trading setup for gold (XAU/USD) after a strong rally toward resistance. Here's a breakdown of the setup and what to watch: 📉 Bearish Setup Explained : Price recently tested the resistance at $3,370 and showed signs of rejection. : A correction move is projected with targets set at: : TP1: $3,300–$3,310 (first support/test zone) : TP2: $3,250 (deeper support zone) ⚠️Breakout Condition: The note says: > The market will range in this area; if it breaks $3,300, we can consider more bearish move. > This implies that $3,300 is a critical level — a close below this confirms further downside momentum. 🔍 Key Zones : Resistance Zone: $3,370 : Sell TP1 Zone: $3,300–$3,310 : Key Breakdown Area: $3,300 : Sell TP2: $3,250 : Major Support Below: Around $3,200–$3,210 🔄 Range Possibility > If the price doesn't break $3,300 decisively, expect sideways movement between $3,310–$3,330. > Only a clear break and retest below $3,300 should trigger continuation toward $3,250 and potentially to $3,210–$3,200 support.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
Will the gold market usher in a new trend?The Trump administration postponed the imposition of a 50% tariff on the European Union and extended the implementation date to July 9. This unexpected decision became the fuse for the violent market fluctuations. The European Union responded positively, and the US-EU trade negotiations ushered in a buffer period, but the global market has been affected, and the gold market has fallen into a dilemma of long and short interweaving. On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed a downward trend. The price rose to $3,349.85 on the day, and the lowest price reached $3,285.21, closing at $3,300.4. After the opening of the US market, the price fluctuated upward in the short term, and the price ended in a big negative on the day. It is not suitable to be bearish at present before the price falls below the daily support. From the daily level, the current daily level support is around $3,275, and the price may fluctuate upward above this position. At the same time, from the four-hour level, yesterday's price fell below the four-hour support of $3,320, and then continued to fall below the important support position of $3,300 on the daily line; and the short-term pressure is relatively large, so it is necessary to pay attention to the 3275-3320 range for the time being; this fluctuation range is also the middle area between the 5-day MA moving average and the 10MA moving average, and the price will continue after breaking through the range. Operation strategy: Scalping transactions are carried out in the fluctuation range of $3,290-3,315. Quaid reminds all traders: You need to always pay attention to the direction of price trends, take profits in time, and avoid losses caused by unexpected events affecting price trends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
EUR/CAD Bearish Flag Breakdown Toward Fibonacci SuppAnalysis 1. **Trend Breakdown:** * The chart shows a clear **bearish structure** developing after a strong rally to the 1.58800 area (Fibonacci 1.618 extension level). * Two upward trendlines were broken successively, confirming bearish momentum. 2. **Fibonacci Levels:** * The retracement from 1.58800 down to the 0.382 level (1.54586) has held significant importance. * Price action is respecting the **Fibonacci retracement zones**, with rejection near the 0.786 and 1.0 levels (1.56915 - 1.57109). 3. **Bearish Flag Pattern:** * A small **bearish flag/pennant** formed after a strong drop, which has now broken downward. * This confirms the **continuation of the bearish move**. 4. **Volume Confirmation:** * Volume spikes during the initial sell-off and again on recent bearish candles suggest **strong selling interest**. 5. **Trade Setup (Marked on Chart):** * **Entry:** Near 1.56443 * **Stop-Loss:** Around 1.57109 (just above recent highs) * **Target:** Around 1.54848–1.54500 zone, aligning with prior demand and 0.382 Fib level --- **Conclusion:** The chart signals a high-probability **short setup**, backed by a break of structure, Fibonacci confluence, bearish flag breakdown, and volume. A continued decline toward the 1.54500–1.54800 region is likely, provided the price stays below 1.57100.
Short
by KingProTrader
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trendline Breakout – Short Set.Trend Channel: Price had been moving within a clear ascending channel. Recently, price action tested the lower trendline and appears to have broken below it, indicating potential bearish momentum. Ichimoku Cloud: The price has moved below the Ichimoku cloud, which adds further bearish confirmation. This breakdown of both the trendline and the cloud indicates a possible shift in trend direction. Volume Spike: A slight increase in volume during the breakout suggests growing interest from sellers. Entry Signal: The chart marks a zone (circle) where traders should watch for a red candle confirmation. A bearish close below the trendline supports initiating a short position. Targets: TP1 (Take Profit 1): Around the 3,240 zone — this is a moderate support area and a conservative profit target. TP2 (Take Profit 2): Around the 3,160 zone — this aligns with a previous demand zone and represents a deeper corrective move. Trade Strategy: Entry: After confirmation with a red candle below the trendline and Ichimoku cloud. SL (Stop Loss): Ideally placed above the trendline or recent high to protect against a false breakout. Conclusion: If the price holds below the ascending channel and the Ichimoku cloud, the setup favors short sellers. Watch closely for bearish candlestick confirmation before entering. TP1 and TP2 offer clear targets based on past support zones. Would you like a follow-up with live price tracking or updated levels?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold retracement adjustment. Pay attention to the timing.Gold prices continued to fall today, hitting a low of $3,285, and are currently recovering briefly. I think there is room for profit in the long strategy, but the hourly line is only a single positive rise. Overall, the probability of volatility correction is still high. Compared with the short-term resistance position of 3,320, the correction is still within the normal range. From the 4-hour chart, the 60-day MA of $3,320 has a certain suppression position on the upward trend, followed by the 90-day MA of $3,285, which provides strong short-term support. Today's price drop also failed to break through this support position; so this week will continue to fluctuate sharply, and the large fluctuations up and down are to accumulate momentum for the next wave of rise. The basic operation strategy of the bulls has not changed, but just a halftime break. Operation strategy: Buy near $3,295, stop loss at $3,285, and the profit range is $3,320-3,330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark 📌 Driving events The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events: First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices. Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330. 📊Commentary Analysis This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk. 💰Strategy Package In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side: 1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic 2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked 📈Technical aspects: Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Economic data released. Start of a new trend?The international gold market suffered a sharp sell-off, and the spot gold price once fell below the key psychological mark of $3,300/ounce, reaching a low of $3,392.59, as the US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than a month and concerns about the international trade situation cooled down. The gold price is currently in a short-term recovery phase, and the downside risk is temporarily lifted. In the long run, the expansion of the US fiscal deficit may support the gold price; but in the short term, according to the latest data released by the United States, it is conducive to the long operation of gold, and the gold price will rise briefly. Gold is strong in the short term, but traders need to take profits in time to avoid unexpected events that cause trend changes. Overall, the short-term trend of gold prices is still subject to the US dollar, interest rate expectations and economic data, and the competition for the $3,300 mark will become the key. The US economic data is within the expected range, and gold has a short upward trend. Operation strategy: Buy near $3290, stop loss at $3280, profit range at $3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
3300 becomes the dividing line between long and short positions🗞News side: 1. The situation in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again 2. Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today 📈Technical aspects: Good morning, bros. Gold is currently testing the important support of 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. Today's opening of the U.S. stock market is critical. If the U.S. stock market opens higher, it is very likely to pull down gold prices. The stable operation suggestion for the day is to go long when it retreats to 3295-3290, and then rely on the upper side of the previous low point for protection, that is, look at the vicinity of 3325-3330. If it encounters resistance and pressure near 3330-3340, you can consider entering a short position and continue to be bearish. At present, the first focus below is the support of 3290-3280. If it continues to fall, it may touch the 3266 line. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Indicating a potential reversal in trend.On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold is currently experiencing a downward movement. However, the market has recently entered into a bullish PD (Price Delivery) Array on the daily timeframe. This suggests that although short-term bearish pressure is evident, the broader daily structure remains bullish. It is expected that the price may continue to move slightly lower in the short term in order to capture the liquidity resting below the previous swing low. After sweeping this liquidity, we anticipate that price will find support at the CE (Consequent Encroachment) level of the daily bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Following this interaction, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) may occur, indicating a potential reversal in trend. If this plays out as expected, we could then observe a bullish move with price beginning to climb upward once again. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade