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Goldprediction

Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction! In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk! Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold 3220 becomes the key support, long and short only in a mome Last Friday, the US dollar index continued to weaken during the day and fell below the $100 mark, as the Trump administration's repeated changes on the issue of import tariffs shook the market's confidence in the US dollar as a safe haven. Spot gold hit a new high, setting a new record high of $3,245. After soaring by more than $200 last week and breaking through the 3,200 mark in one fell swoop, the gold price opened lower on Monday (April 14) and once hit a low of 3,210. Then gold climbed to a new high again, reaching $3,245, and this wave of gains seemed to have further upward momentum. There are few safe-haven assets left in the market, and gold has become the first choice. You can look at the daily chart. The daily chart has closed with a positive line for four consecutive trading days, and the daily chart has not shown a peak signal at present. More importantly, the daily line currently has a five-wave upward trend, and this trend may eventually be around 3280. The lowest position of the retracement last week was around 2950, ​​which is at the high point of the a wave of the entire wave pattern. Under the condition that the four-wave retracement does not break the top of the first wave, the current rise is the continuation of the fifth wave. Secondly, you can also look at the 4-hour chart: The most critical position of the 4-hour chart is around 3220, which is the support position of the ma10 moving average of the current 4-hour chart. That is to say, as long as the 4-hour chart closes above 3220, then gold will definitely maintain an upward trend. On the contrary, if the 4-hour closing line is below 3220, then there is no guarantee that there will be a possibility of a deep retracement today. The bottom K-line of the previous 4-hour chart will close at 18:00, which means that as long as the closing line at 18:00 is above 3220, then everyone can go long. The first target is to look at the high point of 3245, and the second is around 3280. If the 4-hour closing line at 18:00 is below 3220, then everyone should be cautious about going long and be careful that there will be further corrections. If you like my analysis, please follow me
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Continue to go long during the US trading session 📌 Driving events The recent global economic situation is complex and changeable, and major events have far-reaching impacts. In terms of trade, although the United States has exempted some products from tariffs, repeated policies have led to increased trade tensions. Asian powers have imposed a 125% tariff on US imports, impacting the global industrial chain and supply chain. Looking ahead to this week, investors need to pay attention to the trade situation and risk aversion. The US "terrorist data" and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision will also affect the global financial market. Policymakers and investors need to respond with caution. 📊Commentary Analysis In terms of gold, the overall gold price showed a sharp rise last Friday. As for the four-hour level, the current focus needs to be on the support level of the 3200 area. This position is the key dividing line that determines the short-term trend of gold. If the price is above this position, it will continue to be long in the short term. Let us wait and see, waiting for good news from everyone. 💰Strategy package Upper pressure——3260-3280 Lower support——3210-3200 Target 3220-30 to continue to do more Take profit 3250 Stop loss 3210 ⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital - Choose the number of lots that matches your capital - Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260Gold market analysis: Now everyone is waiting for a sharp drop in gold, because the previous strong bottom pull did not leave too many people with the opportunity to step back. There are many sell orders in the market. I still think that individual investors should not hold on to it. I have not seen an individual investor who holds on to it and makes a profit. Gold has risen to the highest record in history, and it is also the time point with the largest fluctuation in the past year. Many newcomers basically find it difficult to escape such a big market. Newcomers hold on to it and increase their positions when they are wrong. Veterans run faster than rabbits when they are wrong, and they hold on to it when they are right. Last week's gold weekly line was again a big positive, and the K-line moving average broke up again. There is no top to the weekly line. The indicator shows that the next target of the weekly line is 3400. In the short term, we need to find a good rhythm and opportunity to follow the buying. The gold chart shows that the short-term moving average has begun to rise, and the buying pattern support has reached around 3209. Today's Asian market prices are strong above this position. The short-term moving average support is around 3218. In addition, the suppression of 3245 is also obvious. If it breaks, it will pull up a lot of space again. Those who like to see 3245 in the Asian market are an opportunity. If you want to follow the trend, you have to give up. The short-term retracement is our opportunity to get on the train again. Pressure 3245, big suppression is invisible, small support 3218 and 3209, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3209. Fundamental analysis: Previous CPI data also showed that gold suppressed the US dollar. This week, the market will rest on Good Friday, and Powell will speak. Operation suggestions: Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold price hits new high, 3216 as the dividing lineGold prices rose strongly by nearly $276 in three trading days, and broke through historical highs one after another. There is no highest, only higher. There are many similar points in the rise, which can be summarized into five points. The first is the continued rise in the early trading and breaking through the new high. The second is the 0.382 position of the space adjustment and the same amplitude switching of the space. The third is the wandering back and forth sweep of the European session. The fourth is the flash of good points. The fifth is to learn to stop when you are ahead. Combining these five points to look at the market situation, the gold price continues to rise. Last Friday, it closed directly at the high of 3237-3238 area. Today The price opened lower in the morning and touched 3210, and hit a new high of 3245.6. But this time it was different. After the high, it fell back. The rise was 30 US dollars, and the high fell back 25 US dollars. Basically, the rise was as much as the fall. In the afternoon, the resistance of 3238 was confirmed for the second time, and it fell 22 US dollars again to find 3216, which was basically recovered. The overall trend will be more adjusted. The cooperation between the high fall and the bottom recovery will provide momentum for the start of a new round of market. Specifically, the key points to note are: 1. The correction range of the market space is at least 30 US dollars, and the start is at least 60 US dollars. Instead of focusing on the high and low issues, we should grasp the present. 2. The daily and weekly lines are rising strongly, and the indicators and patterns are overloaded. At present, only the direction is referenced; the four-hour pattern opening situation, the lifeline position is slightly far away, 3154 is close to the support point 3151 area that was stepped back late at night, and together they become the spatial dividing line. The resistance above is 3270-3275 and 3299. 3. The hourly chart pattern closed and flattened. Today's white market has been running back and forth around the upper and lower rails. The current pattern further closed the range of 3242-3216. Break through this space and then look at the space switch, and then cooperate with the small cycle double-line upper rail position 3194 area. If the price breaks the early low of 3210, it will switch space downward. 4. As shown in the figure, the price last week accelerated the rise and broke through 3190, and last Friday, it repeatedly broke through the new high around 3210, first the new high of 3238 (looking for 3210), then the new high of 3245 (looking for 3210), and then the new high of 3245.6 Now the price is down to 3216, which is also the starting point of the Asian session Using 3216 as the switching point, the current sweeping space is about 30 US dollars, and the subsequent price breakthrough will switch the space of 30 US dollars Focus on 3276-3278 upwards and 3186-3188 downwards And it is very interesting that the 0.382 position of the latest wave of rise is also at 3187-3188 So, here we need to focus on the key points , with 3246-3216 as the range sweep, breaking through and switching to 30 US dollars, focusing on the support of the 3186-3188 area, and then looking at the upward switching space In addition, it is necessary to remember that the online position is the 3131-3129 area, the top and bottom conversion position, and it is also a strong resistance level that turns into a strong support level after breaking through. After breaking through, it directly rises unilaterally In summary, for gold at the beginning of the week, we treat it with a biased adjustment and sweeping idea. Referring to this idea, we have deployed high altitude twice in the 3236-3238 area. As of press time, the price fell to 3216, and all short orders were closed at 3217, waiting for the next plan. Now the price has risen again to 3230, and it continues to sweep, rushing high and falling, bottoming out and rising, which is in line with the above-mentioned biased sweeping and adjustment method.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by k61nuw
2
Gold Forms Triple Top and Breaks Channel Bearish Cont' PlayThis chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows a clear bearish setup forming after a strong upward channel. Here’s a quick breakdown: - Trend Structure: Price was moving within a rising channel, but has now broken below the lower boundary of that channel, signaling a possible shift in trend. - Triple Top Pattern: Three peaks marked as "TOP 1", "TOP 2", and "TOP 3" suggest a strong resistance zone and bearish reversal potential. - Break of Structure (BoS): Several BoS labels indicate bearish breaks in market structure, supporting the downside bias. - Projected Move: The chart suggests a pullback to retest the broken channel and then a continuation downward. - Bearish Targets: The key downside levels are marked at 3187, 3177, and 3151 , which align with previous support zones. Overall, this chart signals a likely bearish continuation if price respects the retest zone and fails to reclaim the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
$XAUUSD Gold | Are We Looking at a Local Top Here?Looking at Gold again, I’m going a bit out on a limb and saying: There’s a good chance we’ve just seen a local top — at least for the coming weeks. Last time I was pretty spot on with my target after being wrong about the top. I wanted to see $2,955, and Gold ended up reaching $2,956.5 — missing my level by just $1.50. Totally fine, especially considering the huge rally that followed. But now it looks like that rally might be losing steam. We’re currently trading between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci extension levels, specifically between $3,225 and $3,250. That’s a zone I see as highly likely for a short-term correction. Possible downside targets? First $3,146, then lower at $3,034, and ideally even a move back toward $2,900. Of course, a lot will depend on macro news, especially from the US — tariffs, geopolitical risks, and overall market sentiment. If Gold pushes above $3,300, then this whole scenario gets invalidated and I’d switch to an alternative setup that I haven’t detailed here yet. The RSI is also sitting deep in overbought territory, with multiple bearish divergences building — which supports the idea of a pullback. But as always: Just because the RSI is overbought doesn’t guarantee an immediate drop. We still need price confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by stromm
1
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market. In this quick analysis, we cover: 🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold. 🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment. 🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors. 🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data. Disclaimer: Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. #GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
13
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news: After the Asian trading market opened on Monday, the spot gold price opened sharply lower. After opening slightly lower, the spot gold fluctuated narrowly. Then the London gold price fell further, reaching a low of $3,208/ounce, a plunge of nearly $30 from the closing price last Friday, but it was still supported by bargain hunting. Bloomberg reported that the international gold price fell from its historical high due to the latest US trade news released by US President Trump.     As Trump's tariff actions triggered investors' pursuit of safe-haven assets such as gold, the gold price soared by more than 6% last week, breaking through $3,245/ounce for the first time. It was the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of gains was jointly driven by the deepening of the trade war, the plunge of the US dollar, the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, highlighting the attractiveness of gold as the ultimate safe-haven asset. At the same time, weak US economic data, soaring inflation expectations and huge shocks in the bond market further amplified market panic and accelerated the influx of funds into the gold market. Investors need to continue to pay attention to changes in the International Trade Bureau and market risk aversion this week. Economic data mainly focus on the US March retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as the "terror data") and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision. Elsewhere this week, traders will focus on how some of the world's largest central banks respond to the rapidly changing global economic outlook. The Monetary Authority of Singapore and the European Central Bank are expected to ease monetary policy. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial to interest-free gold. Technical Review: Gold has completed a gain of more than $275 in three trading days. The daily structure continues to maintain continuous positive and strong positive closings, the moving average opens upward, and the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The short-term four-hour chart price continues to rise along the MA10-day moving average, the moving average opens upward, the Bollinger Band opens upward, and the RSI indicator runs close to the 80-value high. The technical side of gold continues to maintain bullish dominance, and the price continues to run in an upward trend. The trading at the beginning of the week continues to be mainly based on the callback and low-multiple participation layout, with high-altitude assistance. Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be ignited again, thereby driving the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there are signs of easing of tariff policies, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, falling rapidly or even falling into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance of gold trends this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in tariff news. In this market, the influence of a tariff news is so great that all previous technical-based analysis and forecasts are instantly invalid. Looking back at the recent market, we can clearly see that in just three days, the price of gold first fell sharply by $211, and then rebounded rapidly, soaring by $275 in three days. Such drastic and frequent price fluctuations are almost entirely driven by various news, which once again highlights the decisive role of news in the current gold market. Today's analysis: From a purely technical analysis perspective, the strong performance of the weekly big positive line clearly shows that the current buying power controls the overall market structure. It is worth noting that in the past month or so, the Asian market has formed a unique opening must rise rule. In-depth details of the market, we can find that the low point of gold in the US market, 3220-3215 area, has become a key watershed between buying and selling strength. When the price runs above this area, the market shows obvious strong characteristics; once the price falls below this area, the market is very likely to turn to a weak pattern.Similarly, the Asian session retracement low point of 3185-3190 area also constitutes an important dividing line between buying and selling. If the price remains above this area, buying will dominate; if it unfortunately falls below, the market is likely to quickly switch to selling mode, and even trigger a rapid plunge. Looking at the upper space, there is still great uncertainty. Investors can focus on the new high breakthrough in the 3245-3250 area, followed by the 3265-3260 area and the psychologically important $3,300 mark.As the tariff war continues to deepen, the market generally expects that in the next 1-2 weeks, the gold market will usher in more crazy fluctuations, and its rise and fall is expected to break historical records. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and respond to market changes with caution. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3206-3209, stop loss at 3198, target at 3240-3250; Sell short-term gold at 3260-3263, stop loss at 3272, target at 3220-3210; Key points: First support level: 3210, second support level: 3202, third support level: 3192 First resistance level: 3236, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3263
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in Focus​Gold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.​ Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.​ The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.​ It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wickywicks
XAUUSD Technicals & FundamentalsA classic range-bound consolidation with a potential breakout setup forming. 🔧 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: Around $3,280 — if price breaks this cleanly, bulls could push for a strong continuation. Immediate Resistance Zone: $3,240–3,245 Support: Around $3,220 (key short-term structure) Pivot Zone: Near $3,200–3,190 — a break below here could signal deeper downside toward $3,160 Volume: Noticeably dropping (marked by the red arrow), which often precedes a strong move. Low volume = indecision = potential volatility spike incoming. 🧠 Chart Pattern Insight: A bullish flag/pennant type setup is visible — consolidation after an impulsive uptrend. Arrows indicate the two primary scenarios: 📈 Upside: Break above $3,245 with volume could trigger a run toward $3,280+ 📉 Downside: Break below $3,220 could drag price down to retest pivot zones or even $3,160 📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch Today: 📅 Key Events/Data Releases: U.S. Economic Data: Retail Sales (March) — A surprise in consumer spending could sway USD and gold. Empire State Manufacturing Index — May affect interest rate expectations indirectly. Fed Speak: Any comments by FOMC members on inflation, rate hikes, or balance sheet could jolt markets. ⚖️ Sentiment Snapshot: Short-term: Neutral to bullish (sideways consolidation near highs) Medium-term: Bullish bias remains intact above $3,200 Volatility Risk: High — expect fakeouts before a confirmed breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold Market Insight: Impact of U.S.-China Trade DevelopmentsGold has been consolidating within a rising wedge pattern since September 2023, facing resistance along a key trendline. Recent geopolitical developments, particularly the intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions, have acted as a catalyst for a significant breakout. The imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports by the U.S., followed by China's retaliatory 125% tariff on U.S. goods, has heightened market uncertainties. These actions have led to a surge in safe-haven demand, propelling gold prices to record highs above $3,200 per ounce In the past three trading sessions, gold has advanced over 2,500 pips, reflecting strong bullish momentum. However, to sustain this upward trajectory towards the $3,400 level, a period of consolidation or a corrective pullback may be necessary. Such a phase would allow for the absorption of selling pressure and the liquidation of short positions, providing a foundation for further gains.​ The current market dynamics suggest that while buyers are in control, the presence of residual selling interest necessitates caution. A decisive breach above recent highs, accompanied by increased volume and momentum, would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.\ Should the U.S. implement further tariff relaxations, particularly in sectors like technology, we may witness a retracement in gold prices towards the $3,000 level. This zone aligns with multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified between $2,990 and $3,000, suggesting a potential area for price stabilization. Such policy shifts could alleviate some market uncertainties, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. ​ Conversely, if trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain stalled or further deteriorate, gold could resume its upward momentum, potentially targeting the $3,400 mark. This scenario would be driven by continued safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical uncertainties. ​ In summary, gold's near-term movements are contingent upon the progression of U.S.-China trade discussions. Traders should monitor these developments closely, as they will likely dictate gold's direction in the coming sessions.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by wickywicks
Gold Ideas for 14th of April📊 Market Structure Overview Trend Analysis: Price has reached premium levels, suggesting a potential for short-term pullbacks within the broader bullish trend. Key Levels: Monitoring for breaks below 3025 to signal a shift in macro bias. 🔑 Key Technical Zones & Confluences Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268, characterized by unmitigated order blocks and potential liquidity traps. Internal Demand Zone: Around 3180, aligning with trendline support and Fibonacci retracement levels. Strong FVG & Order Block: 3137–3145, indicating a significant area of interest for potential reversals. 📝 Plan of Action 🔻 Sell Scenario 1 Entry: 3242 – 3248 Stop Loss: 3255 Take Profits: TP1: 3215 | TP2: 3188 | TP3: 3160 Rationale: Anticipating rejection from fresh M15 order block with liquidity sweep above 3242. RSI divergence noted as additional confluence; confirmation required on M5. 🔻 Sell Scenario 2 Entry: 3260 – 3268 Stop Loss: 3275 Take Profits: TP1: 3235 | TP2: 3200 | TP3: 3165 Rationale: Targeting final premium order block with unmitigated H1 zone and imbalance. Ideal for NY session traps; look for bearish engulfing patterns. 🟢 Buy Scenario 1 Entry: 3180 – 3172 Stop Loss: 3165 Take Profits: TP1: 3205 | TP2: 3230 | TP3: 3250 Rationale: Confluence of trendline and M30 order block with internal structure support. Requires bullish price action and CHoCH on M5 for confirmation. 🟢 Buy Scenario 2 Entry: 3137 – 3142 Stop Loss: 3129 Take Profits: TP1: 3180 | TP2: 3205 | TP3: 3240 Rationale: Major imbalance and H1 order block with RSI confluence. Look for bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH on lower time frames. 📌 Key Zones Recap Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268 Internal Demand Zone: 3180 Strong FVG & OB: 3137–3145 Critical Support: 3025 (break indicates macro bias shift) 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow our community for more in-depth ideas. 💛
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
4