gold (update)Hello friends
Due to the price growth, we have given you the analysis that the price will fall and the same thing happened. Now, due to the sharp decline, the price has entered the channel and the 3 specified areas are important support areas for us, where we can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Goldprediction
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3241
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3270 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3329
BEARISH TARGETS
3205
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3205 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3178
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3178 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3108
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3108 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3077 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
IT IS NOT TRADING CALLS!! IT IS TRADING ANALYSIS ONLYThis Trading Analysis is based on Elliot Wave Analysis combined with Fibonacci Ratios. The EW is to project the price direction/movement in the future while the Fibonacci Ratios is used for measuring the target price whether as Support or Resistance. Hope everyone can enjoy my analysis. THANK YOU.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing this chart idea last week, we stated that we wanted to continue to share an update on this, as its still playing out by falling back into the range.
We also stated that whenever we see a breakout outside of our unique Goldturn channels; I always state that, when price does a correction, we look for support outside of the channel top.
- This played out perfectly, and although we saw price break back into the channel, you can see ema5 failed to break into the channel and created a Goldturn just above the channel top, highlighted by the circle, confirming the rejection and bounce into the bullish targets completing the levels above.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. This enabled us to identify the fakeout into the channel using ema5 and gave the confirmation for the bounce.
This chart idea is now complete!. We will now update a new daily mid/long term chart idea next week.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up.
Prior to last week, we stated that we had no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, which confirmed the rejection. This weeks candle gave the move into the channel half line, just like we stated and provided the support and bounce into 3094 and 3189. We now have a body clos above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
The international gold investment market performed well this week, with spot gold starting its upward journey from about $3,050/ounce on Monday. At the beginning of the week, market concerns about global trade uncertainty provided mild support for international gold prices, and spot gold rose to the $3,100/ounce mark on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the US dollar index fell below 102.00, and Trump's tariff remarks exacerbated market anxiety, and the London gold price accelerated upward, breaking through $3,150/ounce. On Thursday, the risk aversion caused by the situation in Russia and Ukraine further pushed up gold prices, and spot gold hit the psychological mark of $3,200/ounce. Gold prices reached a climax this week on Friday, with spot gold hitting a high of $3,245/ounce during the session, as factors such as increased Sino-US trade tensions and a weak dollar disrupted global markets, sparked concerns about a recession, and prompted investors to turn their attention to gold, which is seen as a refuge from uncertainty. Since January, gold prices have risen by about 23% due to geopolitical uncertainties, central banks' demand for increased holdings, and increased inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds. In a world upended by Trump's trade war, gold is clearly seen as the most popular safe-haven asset. As confidence in the United States as a reliable trading partner has waned, the dollar has depreciated and U.S. Treasuries are being sold off sharply. Looking ahead to next week, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,200 and $3,300 per ounce. It is necessary to pay close attention to the trend of the U.S. dollar, U.S. economic data and the latest developments in the global situation to determine the next direction of gold prices. The attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset is difficult to shake in the short term, and market volatility may continue.
Technical Review:
The three consecutive positive daily lines of gold directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the upper Bollinger track and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. Although bulls dominate in the short term, gold prices are already at historical highs, and the potential risk of a correction cannot be ignored. Both the RSI and CCI indicators are at high levels, close to the overbought area, suggesting that there may be a technical correction in the short term. If there are signs of easing trade tensions or hawkish remarks by Fed officials, gold prices may fall. 4-hour level, this wave of rise is extremely strong, climbing all the way without callback. Now it has crossed last week's high and stood firmly above 3200. The technical indicators are golden cross rising, and there is no sign of stopping. After accelerating, we need to pay attention to the width of the sideways consolidation. On Friday, it directly rose to a historical high of 3245, but there was a slight decline at the close. Next week, we will focus on whether gold will open high and cover. If there is a decline, it is also an opportunity for us to buy in.
Next week's analysis: Given that the current news is good for gold prices, our prudent idea next week is to wait for a callback before going long and bullish, and not guess the top above. Specifically, we can wait until the gold price callbacks to 3200 to go long and look at the two target positions of 3250 and 3298 above. If you want to sell, you can make plans after the high rush is weak. 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, and the strength of gold bulls is still relatively strong, but now the gold price is too far away from the moving average, and the deviation rate is too large, so pay attention to the next adjustment. Then the adjustment is either space for time or time for space. Either way, you need to wait! If gold uses space to complete the rapid adjustment, then gold should pay attention to the support of 3185 below, and then gold will fluctuate widely to complete the adjustment. If time is exchanged for space, then gold may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations above 3200, and then seek a breakthrough. In this case, gold is still in a strong form, and there will be a rapid rise after the adjustment.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3240-3250;
Sell short-term gold at 3277-3280, stop loss at 3288, target at 3240-3220;
Key points:
First support level: 3220, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3188
First resistance level: 3248, second resistance level: 3262, third resistance level: 3280
GoldXau usd daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio =3
Target 3.190$
Price fell down to uptrend cross as you can see on the chart and now after we heard good news about Europe and USA economic relations and Middle East war( Iran and USA are on the sides of deal table) gold will reach to my target
XAU/USD) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe, with a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown
1. Trend & Structure:
Uptrend Channel: Price is moving within a clear upward channel, respecting the trendline.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Indicates strong bullish momentum.
2. Key Zones:
Key Support Level (Yellow Box): Around $3,158.49 – this is the "safe entry point" if price pulls back.
First Entry Point: Around $3,222.76 – likely a breakout entry above a local resistance.
Target Point: $3,378.01 – a projected bullish target based on continuation.
3. Indicators:
RSI (14): Currently above 70 (overbought zone), but still climbing. There's bullish strength, but a pullback may occur soon.
200 EMA: Positioned below current price, confirming the bullish bias.
Mr SMC Trading point
4. Expected Scenarios (2 Paths):
Bullish Continuation: Price keeps rising, respecting the uptrend and hitting the target.
Pullback and Bounce: Price may retrace to the support zone or trendline, then bounce back up to target.
Summary of Idea:
This is a buy setup:
Buy at breakout above $3,222.76 (First Entry)
Safer buy at $3,158.49 (Support Re-test)
Target: $3,378.01
Watch RSI for pullback clues.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Analysis of gold market price structure and trends.Layout ideas。On Thursday, the US dollar index broke down sharply, successfully stimulating the market's risk-averse funds to return to the gold market again, and the gold price rose again. Let's briefly sort it out!
First: The tariff issue of the trade war caused the global market to plummet, and gold fell accordingly. The main reason was that it was necessary to sell gold, recover funds, and fill the capital margin in the stock market, foreign exchange market, and bond market; therefore, gold also plummeted downward in the past few days;
Second: The U.S. dollar index plummeted and broke through, driving market funds back into the gold market, and the gold price hit a record high again;
In yesterday's analysis of spot, you can look back at yesterday's analysis of the daily K indicator. There are two situations, restart Golden cross means breaking the top and reaching a new high. You can look back at yesterday's analysis. This is also a common indicator trend.
Spot gold opened yesterday from 3081 and quickly fell to 3071 before rebounding to around 3100. After that, the price fell back to 3078-80 and rose to around 3132. The price fell back to 3103 from around 3132 and then rebounded to around 3136 and bottomed out around 3113-16 and rose to 3175. The price fell from 3175 to around 3152-54 and then rose again to around 3176 and closed. The opening price fluctuated and rose above 3200. From yesterday's trend: 3180 and 3100 are the bottom supports, but the area around 3100 has fallen back and repaired yesterday, so 3132-36 and 3116 are the current support points. Yesterday, it also directly rose and broke through 3134-36 and then rose without stepping back. At the same time, the price rose to 3174-76 and then retreated to 3152-54, so the current support point is around 3176. The opening price directly rose from this position. Currently, 3190 is the nearest support. Comprehensive important support: ①3176 ②3134 ?③3100 ? The small support distribution in the middle is 3190-3167-3154-3115
Spot gold market analysis:
Ⅰ: Spot gold daily MACD golden cross is initially established, and the dynamic indicator STO quickly repairs upward, which represents the bullish trend of prices. At present, there is no resistance point to judge because it is a historical high, so we can only try it based on small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, 3096-3088, and it is not necessary to consider it far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: Spot gold 4-hour current MACD high golden cross oscillates with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which represents high-level price fluctuations. Because the indicators are at relatively high levels, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we focus on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: Spot gold hourly MACD golden cross is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is running overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating and strong. The current focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through 3245 this hour, it will continue to look for highs. Otherwise, a small cycle peaking signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support 3185 line. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Currently, the 3440-50 area is temporarily set to see pressure adjustment
Go long if the key support is stabilized below, and pay attention to 3187-3170 -3153-you can go long
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📈 XAUUSD Daily Analysis – 12/04/2025
🔥 Strong bullish move after a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and liquidity grab below the Previous Daily Low.
📉 A significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains between 3,100,000 and 3,175,000 – a potential pullback zone.
📍 Price could revisit this FVG before continuing the bullish momentum towards 3,300,000+.
🔹 PDL = Previous Daily Low
🔴 BAG = Breakaway Gap
🧠 Patience is key – wait for price reaction in the zone of interest.
📌 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Like if you found this helpful!
Gold & Silver Soar: Trade War RallyAnatomy of a Rally: How US-China Trade Tensions Propelled Gold to Record Highs and Lifted Silver
Introduction
The global financial landscape is frequently reshaped by geopolitical events, and few have cast as long a shadow in recent memory as the trade tensions between the United States and China. During periods of heightened friction, characterized by escalating tariffs, retaliatory measures, and pervasive economic uncertainty, markets often witness significant shifts in asset allocation. One of the most prominent beneficiaries during such times is gold. This document explores the dynamics behind gold prices reaching record highs amidst a US-China trade war, examining the multifaceted reasons for its ascent and noting the concurrent, significant rise in silver prices, which often move in tandem with the yellow metal due to overlapping market drivers.
The US-China Trade War: A Catalyst for Uncertainty
The trade conflict between the world's two largest economies represents more than just a dispute over tariffs and trade balances. It embodies a fundamental clash over technology, intellectual property, global influence, and differing economic models. The imposition of tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods creates direct economic consequences:
1. Increased Costs: Businesses face higher import costs, which can be absorbed (reducing profits), passed onto consumers (potentially fueling inflation), or lead to shifts in supply chains (causing disruption and inefficiency).
2. Reduced Trade Flows: Tariffs act as barriers, potentially dampening global trade volumes and impacting export-oriented economies.
3. Economic Growth Concerns: The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies makes businesses hesitant to invest and expand, potentially leading to slower global economic growth or even recessionary fears.
4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies reliant on cross-border supply chains face significant operational challenges, needing to find alternative suppliers or routes, often at higher costs and lower efficiency.
5. Currency Volatility: Trade disputes can lead to fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly involving the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, adding another layer of risk for international businesses and investors.
This pervasive uncertainty becomes a powerful driver pushing investors towards assets perceived as safe.
Gold: The Quintessential Safe Haven
Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset is deeply ingrained in financial history. During times of economic stress, political instability, or market turmoil, investors flock to gold for several key reasons, all amplified by a US-China trade war:
1. Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold is seen as retaining its intrinsic value over the long term. Fears that trade wars could lead to competitive currency devaluations or necessitate inflationary monetary policies (like extensive quantitative easing) make gold particularly attractive.
2. Hedging Against Uncertainty: When the outlook for traditional assets like stocks and bonds becomes cloudy due to geopolitical risks like a trade war, gold offers a perceived refuge. Its price often exhibits a low or negative correlation to equity markets during downturns, making it valuable for portfolio diversification.
3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Major international conflicts or tensions invariably add a risk premium to gold prices. A trade war between global superpowers significantly elevates perceived geopolitical risk, prompting safe-haven buying.
4. Weakening US Dollar Potential: While the US dollar itself can act as a safe haven, a protracted trade war could raise questions about the US economic outlook or lead to policies aimed at weakening the dollar to boost exports. Since gold is typically priced in US dollars globally, a weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand and pushing the dollar price higher.
5. Central Bank Demand: In an environment of heightened geopolitical tension and questions surrounding the dominance of the US dollar, central banks (particularly those in emerging markets or nations seeking to reduce reliance on the USD) often increase their gold reserves. This diversification strategy provides a steady source of demand, underpinning prices. A US-China trade conflict could accelerate this trend among various nations.
6.
The Mechanics of the Price Surge
The record high in gold prices isn't just a passive reaction; it's driven by active market dynamics:
• Increased Investor Demand: Retail and institutional investors increase allocations to gold through physical bullion, gold futures contracts, and gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Large inflows into major gold ETFs are often a visible indicator of this heightened demand.
• Speculative Activity: Traders in the futures market anticipate further price increases driven by the ongoing trade tensions and safe-haven flows, adding upward momentum.
• Sentiment: Market psychology plays a crucial role. As prices rise and news headlines focus on the trade war and gold's rally, a positive feedback loop can emerge, drawing in more buyers afraid of missing out (FOMO).
Silver's Ascent: Riding Gold's Coattails and Its Own Merits
Silver prices registering a steep rise alongside gold during such a period is a common phenomenon, though its drivers are slightly more complex:
1. Monetary Asset Correlation: Silver, like gold, has a long history as a monetary metal and store of value. It often trades as "poor man's gold," attracting investors seeking safe-haven exposure at a lower price point per ounce. During strong gold rallies driven by macroeconomic fear, silver typically follows suit.
2. Industrial Demand Component: Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications (electronics, solar panels, medical devices). This is a double-edged sword during a trade war. While safe-haven demand pulls prices up, fears of a trade-war-induced global economic slowdown could theoretically dampen industrial demand, potentially capping silver's gains relative to gold. However, in scenarios where safe-haven buying dominates market sentiment, this factor often takes a backseat initially.
3. Higher Volatility: Silver markets are smaller and typically more volatile than gold markets. This means that significant inflows driven by safe-haven sentiment can lead to sharper percentage gains (and potentially sharper losses during corrections) compared to gold. The "steep rise" noted is characteristic of silver's higher beta.
4. Gold-Silver Ratio: Traders often watch the gold-silver ratio (the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold). When this ratio reaches historical extremes, some investors may buy silver, betting that it is undervalued relative to gold and that the ratio will revert closer to its historical mean. A major gold rally can stretch this ratio, triggering such trades and boosting silver demand.
Global Trends and Context
While the US-China trade war serves as a potent catalyst, it often occurs within a broader context of global trends that can support precious metal prices. These might include accommodative monetary policies from major central banks (low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold), existing geopolitical hotspots beyond the US-China relationship, concerns about sovereign debt levels, or nascent inflationary pressures. The trade war acts as an accelerant, amplifying the impact of these underlying factors on gold and silver.
Conclusion
The surge of gold prices to record highs during a period marked by an intense US-China trade war is a textbook example of the metal fulfilling its traditional role as a premier safe-haven asset. The conflict breeds deep economic uncertainty, stokes fears of currency devaluation, heightens geopolitical risk perception, and potentially influences central bank reserve policies – all factors that historically drive capital towards gold. The simultaneous sharp rise in silver prices underscores its strong correlation with gold as a monetary asset, benefiting from the same wave of risk aversion, albeit with the added complexity of its industrial demand profile. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors navigating volatile periods, highlighting gold's enduring appeal as a portfolio diversifier and a refuge when storm clouds gather over the global economy, particularly when sparked by friction between major world powers.
Gold Xau (tf1M) Last Phase AccumulationGold Xau Last Phase Accumulation incoming 👇
"Way from 1500 to 4100" (+175%)
OANDA:XAUUSD
⏰ TimeFrame 1 Month
👉 Go to last phase accumulation
👉 White Trace
👉 Green Trace
👉 EMA 200 1M (White)
👉 Fib Measure as pattern "ExPanding Triangle" ( blue stick )
👉 Potential +175%
✔️Logarithmic (Log) Chart & Fib
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1h Chart route map, please see update on our 4h chart idea, also completed perfectly!
We started the week with the drop into the weighted retracement level. No ema5 lock below confirmed the rejection, inline with our plans to buy dips and then we saw price climb up nicely clearing all our bullish targets.
BULLISH TARGET
3045 - DONE
3078 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3109 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3109 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3137 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3170 DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3016 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3016 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2987 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260Gold market analysis:
Gold has been rising strongly in the past two days. The daily line closed with a big positive line again. The bulls stood above 3200. The current highest is around 3219. The form and indicators are basically useless in such a market. What we need is a firm bullishness. In the past two days, there is a characteristic that it has risen and never looked back. It is basically a 40-point rise. In such a market, we either wait or buy directly without thinking. Today's Asian session gold hovered above 3200, and it can also be bought directly above 3200. Gold has created the largest increase and highest position in history. This wave of gold fluctuations is no longer a simple fundamental, but caused by the current international situation. The big rise is not the top. We continue to follow gold to buy. If there is no big accident today, the weekly gold line will close with a super big positive line again.
The daily support has reached around 3167. This position is the previous top and the current support. Today's gold continues to buy based on this position. Given the current strength, it is basically impossible not to fall back. Pay attention to the opportunity of a small fall back and buy directly. Today, I estimate that the Asian and European sessions will rise, and the US tail market will fall back.
Support 3200, 3180, suppression is really invisible, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3190.
Fundamental analysis:
The CPI announced yesterday did not have a big impact on the market, but the data difference was still relatively large, the result was -0.1%, and the bulls only rose slightly. The bottoming out and rebound of the US stock market was mainly due to Trump's withdrawal of some tariff policies.
Operational suggestions
Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260
4.11 Interpretation of gold technical ideas4.11 Interpretation of gold operation ideas: Gold prices rose sharply to a new high. How to trade next?
The daily line closed with a big positive line, and the closing price was far away from the previous high. This is a truly effective breakthrough!
There are two types of breakthroughs: 1. The amplitude and strength of the breakthrough! 2. The closing price after the breakthrough!
At present, the intraday pattern of gold prices is unbalanced. The rise and fall depends entirely on the international situation. The US dollar has fallen below 100 points, which has led to panic selling by investors and a sharp rise in gold prices. Therefore, if the situation eases, we must be wary of a rapid decline in gold prices. After a wave of accelerated rises in the morning, today's main focus is on the trend of the afternoon and US markets.
At present, the price of gold is hovering in the 3210 range. If it falls back, it is expected to rebound in the 3200-3190 range. If the European market breaks through the high for the second time and continues to strengthen during the day, then the US stock market will usher in a bullish opportunity again.
The market is always full of opportunities! The above strategies are for reference only, and personal opinions are for reference only. The specific operation is subject to real-time operation. If you want to obtain core member signals and increase account profits, please contact Ailen❤️❤️❤️
Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈
🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud
From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal .
📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025
Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context:
2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50
Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥
2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50
Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch
2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25
Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️
2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50
Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path
🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game
#1 producer AND importer
Keeps all domestic production
Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons
Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm)
Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon?
China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution.
💱 CPI From Fire to Frost
2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥
2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target
Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty.
🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart
Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600
Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000
China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+
Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone
These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives.
🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself?
In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge.
Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin .
China stockpiles gold
U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin
Trade wars have become currency wars
This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift .
🔮 Final Thoughts
We stand at the crossroads of history .
Gold has already chosen its path.
Bitcoin is waiting in the wings.
And fiat? Under pressure.
Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙