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Goldprediction

How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side: 1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts 2. Be wary of DXY trends 3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict 4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films 📈Technical aspects: In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Gold Bear Flag in Play – More Downside Ahead?Last week was a strong one for Gold bears, with price dropping sharply and reaching a low near the 3200 mark. A normal recovery followed, but the bounce is now facing pressure below the 3270 level – a former support that has now turned into resistance. Current price action is forming a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern. If we get a break back below 3250, this could trigger a new leg down, targeting the 3170 support zone. My outlook remains bearish, and I’m continuing to sell rallies into resistance, expecting this bear flag to resolve to the downside. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
15
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen. 🕯Technical Analysis After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500 BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
by TVS-Trader
Gold fluctuates widely; short-term trading analysis.In the morning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading around $3,270/ounce, an increase of about 0.9%. As Mr. Trump's latest statement hit the market's risk appetite, the price of gold rose rapidly in the short term. The current London gold price has reached $3,270/ounce, climbing nearly $30. In addition, the market focus has turned to the Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting on May 7. Although the market has priced in a standstill, Powell's latest remarks and press questions after his radical statement in April will attract high attention. Asian market morning analysis: Gold prices rebounded again in the morning of the Asian market. Quaid believes that if gold does not break through strongly, it will still fluctuate within the range, and the current bullish situation has not reversed. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it can resume the bullish trend. But it has not broken through for the time being, so the possibility of shorting is still very large. Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be in a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorting; gold was under pressure at 3270 in the early stage and fell back, and the early rebound was under pressure at 3270 and continued to fall. Gold is still fluctuating within the range in 1 hour, and Quide believes that the short-selling trading strategy is still the main one. Operation strategy: Short-term operation: short at 3265, stop loss at 3280, and profit at 3250-3240. I hope Quide's analysis can help all traders make profits in the gold market in time and harvest the first gold of the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
XAUUSD is ready to FALL monthly target 3000!Through my weekly Episode multi time frame analysis , you will get deep insights . Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it. is it the time to retracement? our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles. bearish scenario: if any h4,D1 close below 3160 stay bearish side and our setup. bullish scenario if market again surpass 3280 then buying up to 3330 then 3360 where we have again selling sequence to 3000 milestone. I'm expecting the bullish scenario I have mention will not activated.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Gold Market Outlook – Upcoming FED Decision & Trading StrategyAs we head into the upcoming week, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is a major catalyst for gold. This event could significantly influence gold’s direction — either fueling the ongoing bullish trend or triggering a pullback. 🔎 Current Technical Outlook: Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum across higher timeframes. Liquidity targets remain above, with key zones likely to be breached via wicks or trendline taps. Given the uncertainty around the news and macro factors, we’ll execute trades only on confirmed setups from lower timeframe's confirmation. 📌 Trade Plan: Open 50% of the position at $3160, an inevitable level which is a critical level backed by technical confluence. Enter remaining positions based on lower timeframe confirmation. 📝 Supporting Fundamentals: COT (Commitment of Traders) Report indicates an increase in net long positions on gold. $3160 is highly probable — we anticipate price to tap this zone. The U.S. has significantly increased gold imports, reflecting strategic accumulation. Smart money has taken partial profits, but large bullish positions are still being held. Expectation: A sweep of major liquidity levels, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. Stay sharp and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before adding full exposure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Earn_withHassaan
Is the gold market ushering in betting? 📌 Gold driving factors There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market. One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect. The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, it needs good economic data to boost it. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession is increasing. Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa. The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time. 📊Comment Analysis "After experiencing short-term fluctuations, the price of gold appears to be relatively stable around $3,250. If it is to rise further, it must break through the $3,300 mark. But whether the market is ready to break through this point remains to be seen." At present, gold is still in a continuous adjustment trend. Although it retreated to the 3,200 line on Friday and then rose again, it is still under pressure below the opening of the 3,265 decline. This is also the pressure level we need to pay close attention to next Monday! The sideways trading period on Friday is long enough, and it is time for a breakthrough. So how should we arrange the market next week? It should not rise, but it will fall instead. It is not difficult to understand the trend on Friday. If it rises in the morning next week, it should be noted that the upper 3,265 is the watershed. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, but if it is still under pressure, it is our opportunity to enter the short position! 💰Strategy Package Operation ideas for next week: Short at 3265 gold, stop loss at 3275, target 3230-3220;. The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry and exit are mainly based on real-time guidance! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3260 and a gap below at 3217. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3260 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3308 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3382 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3217 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS 3174 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3126 3078 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3034 - 2979 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3282 and a gap below at 3224. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3343 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3404 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3503 BEARISH TARGETS 3224 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE 3190 3138 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3088 - 3046 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3015 - 2988 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly! The daily chart is unfolding as projected, with price action respecting the structure of the Goldturn ascending channel. A breakout above the channel was confirmed by the EMA5 crossing and closing above the upper boundary. This move extended to test the 3433 Goldturn axis level, where price met resistance. Notably, EMA5 failed to sustain a close above 3433 Goldturn level, confirming a lack of bullish momentum and validating a rejection. Price has since reversed, re-entering the channel. Below, broader support is identified around 3104, which aligns with the channel’s half line. While this level may not be reached immediately, the current price range between 3297 and 3104 is significant. We may observe continued consolidation within this zone, with the half line gradually ascending. This dynamic could result in price interacting with the half line earlier than a direct move to 3104, providing potential bounce opportunities best monitored through lower timeframes for refined entries and validations. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Quick update on our weekly chart idea, it's been playing out beautifully, helping us track the move down and catch the move back up. The weekly chart structure is unfolding in line with prior analysis. Price action reached the upper boundary of the ascending Goldturn channel and temporarily broke above it; however, the EMA5 remained confined within the channel, validating the upper trendline as dynamic resistance. A sustained EMA5 breakout above the channel would have confirmed a potential continuation of the breakout. Currently, price is consolidating within the Goldturn channel, with the 3189 level acting as immediate support. The channel half line of the channel may serve as a stronger swing support area, though price may not retest this level immediately. As the channel continues its upward trajectory, the midline will also rise, potentially aligning with price in future upward movements. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Gold fell as expected. What will happen next week?Gold fell within the range expected by Quid. Although it rebounded slightly, the final result did not change. Will the direction of gold change next week? Quid's analysis: Gold's 1-hour moving average is downward, and there is a trend of continuous downward development; gold is currently under pressure from the 3270 line, so 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bears next week. Although gold has rebounded slightly, the magnitude of the decline is not large; if the upward resistance level of 3270 fails to break through next week, it may be in a sideways fluctuation. The downward trend will not reverse for the time being, unless major news is released on the weekend, which directly affects the gold market. Quid believes that the ups and downs of the market are normal. Gold has fallen by about $300 from its high point, and the overall trend in the near future is still downward; it continues to fall after a small rebound, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there. Quide believes that it is always easy to follow its trend; violating its rules always makes oneself exhausted; the market is always right, and standing on the opposite side of the market will always be taught a lesson by the market. In the face of the overall trend, traders should not be lucky, and the market will not forgive your mistakes again and again. Operation strategy: Short around 3270, stop loss at 3280, take profit around 3220;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals: This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price. 📊Technical side: Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197. 🎯Practical strategies: Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210. Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
As expected, gold prices continue to fall 📌 Gold driving factors There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market. One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect. The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase. Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa. The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time. 📊Comment Analysis Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs. The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now. 💰Strategy Package Operation ideas for next week: Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle?🔎 GOLD WEEKLY SETUP – Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle? As we head into a pivotal week, gold finds itself boxed between macro pressures and structural indecision. After bouncing between 3,204 and 3,277 last week, all eyes are now on what could be the two biggest catalysts in months: the FOMC decision and renewed trade signals from Washington and Beijing. 🧭 The Bigger Picture 🇨🇳 China’s surprise SGX:40B tariff waiver suggests de-escalation and improving sentiment. 🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected — adding to hawkish Fed pressure. 💵 DXY & Bond Yields remain strong. As long as the USD holds above 105, upside for gold may remain limited. 🔔 This Week’s Macro Triggers 📆 FOMC Meeting & Powell’s Press Conference ➤ A dovish shift = bullish for gold ➤ Status quo or hawkish tone = room for further downside 📉 US–China Trade Headlines ➤ Continued easing = bearish pressure on gold ➤ New tensions = potential safe-haven bid 📊 Technical Landscape (H4/D1 Chart Focus) Price action is forming a clear descending wedge, with major support still intact around the 3,204 – 3,224 zone. Previous highs at 3,277 capped last week’s rally and now act as the first barrier to reclaim. We’re likely to see breakout potential increase mid-week as volatility kicks in post-FOMC. 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th 🔵 BUY ZONE A: Entry: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TPs: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TPs: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Risk Watchlist 🏛 Fed’s tone on rates 📉 DXY approaching 106.5 🌍 Surprise geopolitical or tariff-related news 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is not a week to predict. It’s a week to respond. Gold is coiling. Structure is clear. Discipline over bias — wait for confirmation, execute with precision. 📌 Follow for midweek intraday updates and real-time FOMC response plans.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3