Gold: Key Support Zone Holds Bullish PotentialFenzoFx—Gold turned bullish after testing the order block at $3,267.0. Stochastic is overbought, suggesting possible consolidation. The bullish candle on August 1st created a fair value gap and broke structure, but no discount entry has formed yet.
Immediate support lies at $3,324, backed by weekly VWAP, FVG, and volume point of interest. Traders should wait for price to revisit this zone for a bullish setup. If support holds, momentum could push gold to $3,395.0. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1 to 6.
Goldprediction
Gold prices fluctuate. Bullish theme?From a technical perspective, gold prices have retraced above key moving averages, and the RSI has turned bullish. Short-term resistance for gold is near 3370. Can gold continue its sharp rise this week? Will there be a new rise? This depends on the performance of risk aversion in the market this week.
Quaid believes that 3330 is the watershed between bulls and bears at the beginning of the week. As long as the market is bullish, this level must not be broken. If it is broken, the gold trend will directly turn weak. Whether this week's daily moving average can continue to rise is key to triggering a bullish trend in gold.
From the 4-hour chart, pay attention to the range pressure position of 3370-3375 on the upper side, and the support on the lower side is around 3330-3335. If the price falls back at the beginning of the week, it can be bullish based on this position. The short-term bullish strong dividing line should pay attention to this range.
Bullish Momentum Confirmed with Strong Breakout ZoneGold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute chart has shown a powerful bullish breakout from the accumulation zone near 3,305 USD, followed by a strong rally and subsequent consolidation above the new demand zone at 3,340–3,346 USD.
Key Observations:
- Support Levels:
3,305 USD: Origin of the impulsive breakout move – key bullish order block and high-volume demand zone.
3,340–3,346 USD: Newly established support from post-breakout consolidation.
3,331 USD: Minor intraday support, previously tested resistance level.
- Resistance Levels:
3,367–3,370 USD: Current short-term resistance zone where price is facing rejection.
Break above 3,370 USD would open potential toward 3,385 USD based on Fibonacci extensions.
- Trend & Indicators:
Price is forming a bullish flag pattern after a vertical impulsive move.
EMA 21/50 likely aligning beneath price on this timeframe, supporting trend continuation.
Volume surged heavily during breakout from 3,305 USD, confirming institutional involvement.
RSI (not shown) is expected to be cooling off from overbought, setting up for another leg higher.
Fibonacci Analysis:
Applying Fib from 3,305 low to 3,359 high, the 0.382 level sits near 3,339, aligning with the current demand zone.
Any pullback into this region may be treated as a buy-the-dip opportunity.
- Suggested Intraday Trading Strategy:
- Buy on Retest
Entry: 3,342–3,346 USD (demand zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,331 USD
Target 1: 3,367 USD
Target 2: 3,378–3,385 USD (Fibonacci extension and structure projection)
- Avoid short-selling unless price closes below 3,331 USD with volume confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold is maintaining bullish structure on lower timeframe, and current price action suggests potential continuation after consolidation. Patience for retest entries at key zones can yield high R:R setups.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | $3,285 Key Level and Structure SetupHere’s my outlook on gold (XAUUSD) for the week of August 4–9, 2025.
Last week’s move was shaped by strong early dollar momentum, a 3% U.S. GDP report midweek, and Friday’s sentiment shift after the surprise tariff announcement.
Price is now sitting near the $3,380 supply zone, a structure that’s been in play since April. I highlight:
✅The key demand zone ($3,245–$3,285)
✅The broken descending trendline is now acting as support
✅Potential reaction around $3,360 early in the week
✅$3,285 remains my key level going forward. If ever price comes close, I’m watching for signs of strength or breakdown there to guide my setups.
I’ll update my thoughts in the comments as price action unfolds.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
Gold prices soar to new highs!Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels in early Asian trading on Monday (August 4), currently trading around $3,349 per ounce. Gold prices surged by over 2% last Friday (August 1), reaching a weekly high. This is due to the fact that US July non-farm payroll data fell far short of expectations, increasing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Furthermore, Trump's new round of tariff announcements has fueled safe-haven demand. Global economic uncertainty, a weakening US dollar, and rising expectations of a Fed rate cut have all provided strong momentum for the rise in international gold prices.
Against the backdrop of continued global economic uncertainty, gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset is expected to further increase. Investors should closely monitor market trends to seize potential opportunities. This trading day, attention should be paid to the US June factory orders monthly rate and continued monitoring of news related to the international trade and geopolitical situation.
Technical Analysis:
From a macro perspective, the monthly chart shows four consecutive long upper shadows and three dojis. This high-level doji formation in an uptrend is overwhelming, prompting caution in buying and caution in the market. Be wary of potential sell-offs in the future. We have repeatedly emphasized the importance of the monthly gold chart in recent months!
On a weekly basis, gold bottomed out and rebounded last week, hitting the middle support band and rebounding. Prices remain within the range, currently shrinking to 3268-3438. The Bollinger Bands continue to close, while the MA5 and MA10 levels remain in a volatile pattern. A unilateral trend still needs time to develop. On a daily basis, there was an extreme rally on Friday night, with the daily chart closing with a large real bullish candlestick. The price directly broke through the short-term moving average and the middle support band, forming a strong Yang-enclosing-Yin pattern. This is a positive bullish signal. So, is it a good time to buy on Monday?
I personally don't recommend buying directly from high levels. Gold rebounded from 3268, surging nearly $100 over two trading days without a significant pullback. Even if there was a pullback on Thursday, it was a single-digit pattern, which doesn't provide solid support for a bullish rally. Therefore, I don't recommend chasing long positions. Instead, watch for a potential sell-off after a rally. Focus on resistance at 618 and resistance near 3376, a previous top-bottom reversal.
Looking at gold on both the 4-hour and hourly charts, the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of opening after last Friday's surge. However, it's important to note that such surge-like openings are generally not sustainable, and will close again upon retracing technical indicators. The 4-hour candlestick chart is currently trading above the upper band, no longer favoring a buy-now-up move. The 1-hour moving average is blunting, and the upper band of the Bollinger Band is about to close. Overall, while gold is strong, it's best not to chase the bulls. Focus on selling opportunities on rallies today, and then consider a bullish move after a pullback.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3322, target at 3360-3380;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3375-3378, stop loss at 3387, target at 3340-3320;
Key points:
First support level: 3342, second support level: 3330, third support level: 3316
First resistance level: 3376, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
Gold price analysis week 32The recently released Nonfarm data has become an important catalyst, officially breaking the previous bearish wave structure and shaping a completely new uptrend for gold prices. Breaking above the wave 1 peak at the 3315 area is a clear confirmation signal that the downtrend has ended.
In that context, the trading strategy for next week should prioritize buying orders. This rally has the potential to push gold prices to historical peaks if the bullish momentum is maintained with stable trading volume.
Specific trading strategy:
Important support zone: 3333 – 3315
Short-term resistance zone: 3373 – 3416
Will the bull market continue? A sense of crisis.Can gold continue last week's rally? Will it be another flash in the pan? In early Asian trading on Monday, gold rose to 3370 before falling slightly to around 3345 and currently fluctuating around 3360.
On Monday, focus on the 3340-3335 area. This was support before last Friday's rebound, and it also served as a key resistance level that has now become a support point. After last week's strong performance, don't rush into buying. Wait for a pullback to confirm the trend, or for an upward breakout in the European session before considering entering the market before the US market opens. In volatile markets, try to control the pace and avoid frequent in-and-out moves.
The 4-hour chart shows that gold is currently facing resistance near 3370, but this strong upward move is likely to correct in the European session, preparing for a subsequent secondary rally. This period has been range-bound, not a strong, one-way trend. Even if bullish, don't chase the market; wait for confirmation after a pullback before taking action.
Quaid believes that support today lies in the 3340-3335 range. A pullback near this area is a good opportunity to go long. The early Asian session's surge is a continuation of last Friday's bullish trend. The 3340-3335 area served as support before Friday's final rally and a key level for top-to-bottom reversals. If the price breaks through 3370 and stabilizes above it, it could potentially reach 3375-3385. However, after reaching the high, Quaid believes a pullback is highly likely, with a focus on the 3330-3310 area.
Trading Strategy:
Go long near 3330, stop-loss at 3320, and profit range at 3360-3370.
Short near 3375, stop-loss at 3385, and profit range at 3330-3320-3310.
Weak non-farm payroll data injects newconfidence into gold bullsGold rebounded strongly late last week, shaking off early-week losses and surging toward key resistance at $3,400 per ounce as weak US jobs data rekindled hopes for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold closed at $3,363.16 on Friday (August 1st), up 2.23% on the day, or $73.24, after hitting a high of $3,363.37.
Lukman Otunuga, senior market strategist at FXTM, said Friday's rally in gold prices was impressive, driven by a plunging US dollar.
"From the chart, bulls were on a rampage that day, with $3,400 within 2% of the price at that point," he said. "With prices breaking through $3,330 resistance, the weekly chart is significantly bullish. A weekly close above this level could signal a move toward $3,400."
Last week, gold faced significant selling pressure after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and Chairman Powell raised uncertainty about a possible September rate cut.
"We haven't made a decision about September yet," Powell said at a press conference following the Fed's decision.
After disappointing U.S. job market data, lingering doubts about a September rate cut dissipated. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. economy created only 73,000 jobs last month. Furthermore, total job growth in May and June was revised downward by 258,000. According to the revised data, only 14,000 jobs were created in June and 19,000 in May.
"This weaker-than-expected jobs report has dented confidence in the U.S. economy and put pressure on the dollar as markets anticipate a more dovish Fed, potentially leaning toward rate cuts to stimulate growth," said Aaron Hill, senior market analyst at FP Markets. "For gold, the disappointing jobs data reinforces its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty, supporting prices as investors seek stability."
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market currently sees a 92% probability of the Fed easing monetary policy in September. Last Thursday, the market saw only a 38% chance of a rate cut.
Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said the Federal Reserve may ultimately regret its decision to hold interest rates steady earlier this week.
"A rate cut in September is a definite possibility, perhaps even a 50 basis point cut, to make up for lost time," he said.
Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, said he sees the potential for gold prices to steadily rise to $3,400 an ounce given the sharp shift in interest rate expectations.
"If the Fed signals a dovish stance, speculative inflows could push gold prices above the psychological $3,400 level, especially as investors seek safe havens during economic uncertainty," he said. "Technical indicators, such as a bullish trend in gold ETFs and rising open interest, support this potential breakout. We believe traders are already positioning for a dip bounce, with some analysts pointing to seasonal patterns in gold that typically gain traction after August. While volatility may still limit near-term gains, the overall trend looks positive, and the typical summer lull may be over."
This week will be light on economic data, with investors continuing to digest Friday's jobs report. Meanwhile, some analysts expect the economic uncertainty stemming from President Trump's ongoing trade war and global tariffs to further boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Trade tensions are providing another layer of support for gold. President Trump set an August 1st deadline for countries to finalize a trade deal. While the United States reached agreements with Japan and the European Union, resulting in a 15% increase in import tariffs, many major trading partners still face the risk of tariff increases.
As a result, exports from many countries now face significant cost increases. Specifically, Canada, the United States' second-largest trading partner, faces a 35% tariff increase. Meanwhile, India faces a 25% increase, Taiwanese exports will be subject to a 20% tariff, South African products face a 30% tariff, and Swiss goods face a 39% tariff.
Pepperstone market strategist Michael Brown said he remains bullish on gold, citing global trade uncertainty as a key factor driving its value as a monetary asset.
He said: "The diversification of reserves away from the US dollar and into gold, particularly in emerging markets, will continue for the foreseeable future. Of course, potential safe-haven demand stemming from concerns about the state of the US economy will further support the bullish view. The upside levels to watch remain the $3,400 mark, followed by a high of around $3,445, and then a potential run towards the all-time high of $3,500. I certainly wouldn't rule out the possibility of new highs in gold prices before the end of the year."
Chris Vecchio, Head of Futures Strategy and FX at Tastylive, said he sees gold as a very beneficial global currency.
"Tariffs mean that countries will trade less in US dollars, so I expect gold to continue to perform well as the world searches for an alternative monetary asset."
Gold prices are fluctuating. Is a correction coming?Gold surged last Friday, directly breaking through multiple moving average resistance levels. This trend is quite strong. Currently, the 5-day moving average has turned upward, indicating short-term upward momentum; however, the 10-day moving average remains slightly downward, indicating some divergence in the short- and medium-term trends. The 20- and 30-day moving averages have flattened. Overall, the short-term moving averages are less reliable, making it difficult to clearly predict the precise short-term trend based on them.
Since mid-May, gold has been fluctuating widely at high levels. Within this trend pattern, continued monitoring of fluctuations within this broad range is warranted. Until a major trend breakout occurs, the overall approach should be to maintain a volatile outlook and avoid prematurely declaring a unilateral trend.
The upper resistance level is around 3375, which has been repeatedly suppressed during previous price fluctuations. Focus on support in the 3340-3335 area below. This marks the low point after last Friday's sharp rise. The market has stabilized in this area and continued its upward trend. If the decline is significant, the 3300 round-number resistance level will need to be monitored.
Trading strategy:
For aggressive trading, short around 3375 with a stop-loss at 3385 and a profit range of 3345-3335.
Currently trading in a Rectangular ChannelGOLD Analysis
CMP 2953.190 (03-08-2025 02:35AM PST)
Still Bullish on Bigger time frames.
Currently trading in a Rectangular Channel
with Immediate Support around 3260- 3270 &
Immediate Resistance around 3455 - 3460.
Weekly candle closing above 3340 - 3345 would
be a positive sign.
If this level is sustained, we may witness 3600 &
then 3800+
In Case of Extreme Selling Pressure, 3260 may break
& then the price may touch 3050 - 3100
Analysis For The Next WeekHello Traders,
I hope you had joyful weekend, the market is going to open tonight so we are back with new idea for next week.
As you know gold was dropping for last two weeks and suddenly pumped almost 650 pips after the impact of NFP News. We saw the high pressure in the market on Friday due to news impact.
Gold has broken the buy trend line D1,H4. According to D1,H4 gold still wants to drop till 3251.
If price respects area 3372-3393, then gold will drop. If price breaks the area 3400 then it will pump and it can make another All Time High. As you know 3501 is the All Time High (ATH). Price can break if there will be a breakout for bullish moment.
Keep in touch and drop positive comments here, Thanks.
XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing both a potential retracement and a bullish continuation.
---
Technical Breakdown:
1. Current Market Structure:
Price recently made a strong bullish push from the key support level (~3,329–3,335), breaking structure to the upside.
It is now approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and resistance zone between 3,380.47 and 3,396.19.
2. Key Zones Identified:
FVG / Resistance Zone: 3,380.47–3,396.19 — where price might initially reject (red arrow) due to unfilled imbalance and previous supply.
Key Support Zone: 3,329.27–3,335.31 — potential area of re-entry or demand if price pulls back.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at 3,335.58, aligning with key support.
3. Price Path Scenarios:
Primary Expectation: Price may tap into the FVG, face rejection, then pull back into the key support level for a higher low.
From there, it is projected to bounce back strongly toward the ultimate target at 3,438.73, marking a 3.19% upside move.
4. RSI (14):
RSI at 64.77, indicating strong bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. Favorable for continuation, but a short-term correction is possible.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (after a short-term rejection)
Entry Zones:
Watch for rejection at 3,380–3,396
Look to enter on a retest of 3,335–3,329 support
Target Zone: 3,438.73
Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 3,329 or bearish engulfing with high volume
EMA & RSI Support: EMA 200 backs bullish bias; RSI confirms momentum
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Interest rate cuts intensify. Will gold break out?No noteworthy news events occurred this weekend. So, we'll have to wait and see how the market interprets gold's trajectory at the start of next week.
From the 4-hour chart, the first thing we can confirm is that the 3363 level is unlikely to be the high point of this pullback. Because Friday's non-farm payroll report re-priced expectations for a rate cut, Friday's figures were merely a reaction from the US market. Furthermore, after hitting 3355, the price retreated slightly to 3340 before embarking on a second wave of gains.
The Asian and European markets were closed at the time, so when Monday opens, the Asian and European markets will likely also interpret expectations for a rate cut and the impact of the non-farm payroll data on the market.
Therefore, gold is likely to continue its upward trend next Monday. Currently, the first resistance level is around 3375-3380. It's uncertain whether this resistance can be overcome, but if it breaks through and stabilizes above 3380, it's likely to continue to move towards 3400.
On the other hand, if 3375-3380 holds strong resistance, a retest of Friday's retracement lows of 3330-3340 is possible.
Thus, avoid blindly shorting at the opening of next week. If the market retraces back to around 3330, then a long position is possible. If the market opens directly testing the upward pressure level, then do not chase the long position, as there is a possibility of a pullback at the pressure level.
Is Gold 3400 Still Far Away?
💡Message Strategy
The spot gold market experienced a V-shaped reversal trend.Driven by unexpectedly weak U.S. non-farm payrolls data and risk aversion triggered by Trump's new tariff policy, gold prices rose nearly 2% on Friday to a one-week high of $3,347.66 per ounce, up 0.4% for the week. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but weak employment data rekindled expectations of a September rate cut, increasing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset.
At the same time, Trump's decision to impose tariffs of 10%-41% on many countries has exacerbated market concerns about global trade tensions and boosted the safe-haven demand for gold.
📊Technical aspects
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward, and the 1-hour moving average of gold has a double bottom structure. However, gold should not have such a large pullback for the time being. After the non-farm payrolls on Friday, gold fell back to the 3335 line and then began to fluctuate upward at a high level. The 3335-3345 area was also an important platform support in the early stage. Therefore, gold will mainly be bought on dips above 3335 next week.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3345-3355,SL:3325,Target: 3380-3400
Monday's market forecast and related layout#XAUUSD
Judging from the monthly chart, although July closed with a large positive line, there is still great resistance above 3439-3501. Possible gold price trends for next week are as follows:
1. If gold prices open higher, focus on the previous highs of 3375-3385. If resistance and pressure are encountered, consider shorting, aiming for a volatile decline, retracing Friday's gains.
2. The market is volatile and sideways, so wait and see.
3. Gold fell back. Referring to Friday’s trading strategy, you can consider going long around 3335 to bet on a short-term rebound. Leave yourself some room for participation (the possibility of touching 3338 again and rebounding is not ruled out)
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3370 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3371 and a gap below at 3293. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3371
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3371 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection: Structure Still Dominates
Following up on the recent price action last week after hitting the 3433 resistance level, we got exactly what the chart warned us about.
There was no confirmed break above 3433, which led to a clean rejection right back into 3272. Interestingly, the move aligned perfectly with the channel half-line, giving us another bounce right off that zone.
We remain in the same structured range, with price still rotating between 3262 and 3433, a 170+ pip zone that continues to deliver high probability trade setups.
Here’s where we are now:
🔹 Range Still Active
Price is respecting the 3272–3433 boundaries with precision. Until we get a decisive break and hold outside this range, range bound strategies remain in play.
🔹 No Breakout = Clean Rejection
The failure to sustain above 3433 confirms resistance is still valid. We're watching EMA5 for potential breakout confirmation, until then, the bias stays neutral within the range.
🔹 Channel Half-line Bounce
That rejection into 3272 also matched the channel half-line and the bounce there further cements this area as critical support.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272
Still the major pivot. Buy zones remain valid here unless we see a confirmed breakdown.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Now clearly tested and rejected again. Any clean break and hold above could change the dynamic, but until then, it's solid resistance.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Weekly Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection + Bounce: Range Still in Play
Just a quick follow up on the ongoing weekly structure. We continue to see incredible respect for levels, with price action playing out exactly as mapped.
After the initial rejection at 3387, we got another test of support at 3281, and once again, the level held perfectly, delivering a clean rejection and bounce. Price is now rotating back upward, currently heading toward 3387, which remains the upside magnet and still open for a retest.
We remain firmly inside the 3281–3387 range, and as long as neither boundary breaks with confirmation, the structure remains our dominant guide.
Updated Structural Notes:
🔹 3281 Rejected Again
Support doing its job to the pip. This latest bounce further reinforces the strength of this level within the weekly channel.
🔹 Back Toward 3387
With 3281 holding once more, price is now tracking toward the 3387 resistance zone, which remains the key level to break for further upside continuation.
🔹 Channel Structure Unchanged
No breakdown below support, no confirmed breakout above resistance. The rising channel remains fully respected, and EMA5 still leans constructive.
Updated Levels to Watch:
📉 Support – 3281
Key weekly pivot tested and held again. Continues to offer solid dip buy opportunities unless decisively broken.
📈 Resistance – 3387
Still our major resistance. It’s been tested and rejected, but remains open for another challenge.
📈 Resistance 2 – 3482
Unfilled gap and broader weekly target. Only comes into focus if we get a proper breakout and hold above 3387.
Plan:
We stay range focused between 3281 and 3387 until proven otherwise. No breakout = no change. Watch for signs of momentum as we approach the top again a confirmed close above could shift the game toward 3482. Until then, structure is king.
Appreciate all the continued support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
**"Gold Price Rebounding from Support:Potential Move Toward 3436This chart shows the **price movement of Gold (XAU/USD)** on a **daily timeframe**.
### Key Points:
* **Support Zone** : Around **\$3,266**, this is the area where price has bounced up multiple times, meaning buyers step in here.
* **Resistance Line**: Around **\$3,436**, this is the level where price has been rejected before, meaning sellers are strong here.
* **Current Price**: Around **\$3,293**.
### What the Chart Suggests:
* Price is near the **support** zone again.
* If the support holds, the green arrow shows a possible move **upward**.
* Price may first move up slightly, pull back, and then try to **break above resistance** at \$3,436.
Gold is in a sideways range. It's near a strong support level and might go up from here toward the resistance level, as shown by the green line.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – August 4–8, 2025New Month. New Week. New Questions.
Will the market reward hesitation — or bold reaction?
Will POTUS pump price with policy noise, or will smart money fade the manipulation?
August is historically a quieter month for hedge funds — but don’t mistake silence for safety. It's also the time when the Fed retreats to Jackson Hole, reflecting and recalibrating. Will September bring another rate cut… or another twist?
Stay sharp. This isn’t a month to sleep on.
"Last week's game plan played out nearly to perfection — well, almost! Let’s dive in and break down where gold could be headed next week."
Gold kicks off August with a strong breakout above $3360, powered by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising global risk appetite, and persistent institutional demand. With Jackson Hole on the horizon and shifting Fed expectations, volatility is set to spike. The big question: will gold extend above premium, or retrace to rebalance?
After the last rejection near 3440, price broke cleanly below its ascending channel. Now, gold appears to be forming a potential lower high around the broken trendline — a rejection here could trigger a drop toward the key $3250 support zone.
🟡 XAUUSD – August Macro Outlook
💰 Price: $3362
📅 Date: August 3, 2025
📈 Bias: Bullish but extended — high in premium
🔸 Monthly Overview
📊 Trend: Bullish continuation (CHoCH April 2023)
🧱 Supply Zone: 3350–3439 → monthly wick trap
⚠️ RSI 80+, price nearing 100% Fib extension
🔮 Breakout above 3439 → 3505 / 3610 next
🔻 Rejection → pullback to 3270 / 3180
🔸 Weekly Outlook
💥 Structure: Strong bullish, EMA stack intact
🟥 Final HTF Supply: 3350–3439 (currently testing)
🟦 Demand Below: 3270 → 3215 → 3070
🎯 Targets if breakout: 3505 → 3560 → 3610
🔸 Daily Structure
⚔️ Now testing: 3355–3375 → last valid supply
🎭 Above that → internal trap at 3398–3412
🧨 Final ceiling at 3430–3439 — breakout or reversal?
🔸 H4 / H1 Key Zones
🟥 Supply: 3360–3375 / 3385–3398 / 3430–3439
🟫 Flip Long Zone: 3322–3310
🟦 Bullish Demand: 3285–3260 → 3222–3205
⚠️ RSI elevated, watch for reaction not breakout
🔹 Execution Plan
✅ Above 3439 → Expansion to 3505 / 3610
🔁 Pullback to 3325 / 3285 → Sniper long zones
🔻 Rejection from 3375 → Short scalp → Target 3320
📌 3439 = Key Monthly Pivot
🟢 Hold above → New expansion wave
🔴 Fail below → Retrace toward value
Extended:
🔸 Scenario 1: Breakout and Expansion
If bulls push through 3375 with conviction and break above 3439, gold enters a fresh leg of macro price discovery. This would activate a clean expansion path toward:
3405 (short-term extension)
3505 → 3560 → 3610 (Fibonacci projections)
3740 (full trend extension if momentum persists)
This scenario requires solid bullish confirmation, especially on H4 or D1 structure. Traders should look for LTF OB re-entries or bullish flags above 3350 to join the trend safely.
🔸 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retrace
If gold rejects from the 3360–3375 zone and fails to hold above it, a controlled retracement is likely. Key downside targets include:
3325 → first flip zone for re-entry
3285 → origin of the latest rally (strong buy zone)
3215–3180 → high-timeframe demand and imbalance fill
Only a breakdown below 3260 would threaten the bullish structure and shift bias toward neutral or bearish.
🔸 Conclusion
Gold is approaching its inflection point. The macro trend is intact, but momentum is stretched, and the market now demands clear validation.
📌 3439 remains the weekly pivot:
Above → Expansion toward 3500+
Below → Retracement to reclaim value
For next week, the most probable path is early consolidation inside 3360–3375, followed by a decisive reaction — either continuation toward 3405+, or a corrective drop toward 3325/3285 to reset structure.
Disclaimer: For educational context only.
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