XAUUSD BUY AND SELLGold price is unable to hold on to the modest gains booked on Wednesday as buyers and sellers enter a tug-of-war situation early Thursday, courtesy of the uncertainty around US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and lingering US economic concerns.
Gold price outlook appears more or less the same from a short-term technical perspective.
So long as the Gold price defends the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,890 and the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits above 50, the bullish potential will likely remain intact.
Gold buyers could retest the all-time highs at $2,956 on acceptance above the previous day’s high of $2,930. The next topside barriers are seen at the $2,970 resistance and the $3,000 threshold.
However, if sellers crack the 21-day SMA at $2,890 on a daily candlestick closing basis; the downside could open toward the February 14 low of $2,877.
The last line of defense for Gold buyers is at the $2,850 psychological barrier.
🔥Buy Gold
$2880 -> $2876
SL $2870
TP 1->$2885 >2->$2890 >3->$2900
🔥Sell Gold
$2941 -> $2938
SL $2950
TP 1->$2935 >2->$2925 >3->$2910
Goldprediction
Gold Reversal Confirmed: Bearish Targeting 2,878 SupportThis chart shows a clear double-top pattern at the resistance zone around 2,960, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below a trendline, confirming weakness. A retest around 2,934 has occurred, and the price is now declining. The next key support level is around 2,878, which could act as a potential target for sellers. If bearish momentum continues, a deeper drop may follow.
- First target: 2,900 (psychological level and minor support)
- Second target: 2,878 (major support zone)
If bearish momentum continues and 2,878 breaks, the next possible target could be around 2,860 for an extended move.
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1h chart route map still playing out, as analysed
After competing our Bullish target earlier this week followed with the Bearish target, we stated yesterday that no ema5 cross and lock above 2950 confirmed the rejection above and into our bearish target 2927, and if we see a ema5 cross and lock below 2927 then the swing range will open, failure to lock below 2927 will confirm the bounce.
- No lock below 2927 confirmed the rejection at support for the weighted level bounce, as analysed and therefore no swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum.
However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market.
⭐️Technical analysis
Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
XAUUSD MARKET IS BULLISH BEWARE READY FOR IN NEW ZONE Xauusd market is currently on 2914 according h1 and my experience if market break resistance level is 2934 then market move in new zone 2970 or break a support level 2897 then pullback to 2800
RESISTANCE LEVEL . 2934
SUPPORT LEVEL . 2897
MY TARGET.. 2970
TARGET 2 3000.00
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming – Gold Breakdown Soon?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently near the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . Gold attacked the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) several times but failed to break it and even created a Bull Trap .
Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be completing the Head and Shoulders Pattern . If Gold reaches the Neckline of this pattern , it seems to succeed in breaking it. One of the signs of the validity of the Head and Shoulders Pattern is to see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two shoulders, which we see here.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves. The structure of correction waves is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to reach the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will drop to at least $2,901 .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold touches $2,934, we can hope for a drop.
Do you think that Gold succeeds in forming a new All-Time High(ATH) or does it need to be corrected?
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bullish momentum intact: Gold price Analysis and Forecast !Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Consolidation Phase
Gold's price action over the past week can still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase, following the recent strong move up to record highs. Although the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is close to the 70 mark, indicating a potential need for consolidation or a modest pullback, the bias remains firmly in favor of the bulls.
Key Support Levels
- $2,920-2,915: A crucial support zone that may attract dip-buyers
- $2,900: Additional support level that could provide a temporary floor for Gold prices
- $2,880: A key support region that, if broken decisively, could lead to further losses
Potential Downside Targets
- $2,860-2,855: A potential downside target if Gold prices break below $2,880
- $2,834: Another key level that could provide support, but may also be vulnerable to a breakdown
- $2,800: A round-figure mark that could attract sellers, leading to a potential extension of the downfall
Outlook
The path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the upside, with the bulls firmly in control. However, caution is advised as the market may experience some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for further gains.
Share Your Insights!
What's your take on the Gold market? Do you think the bulls will maintain control, or will the bears stage a comeback? Share your comments below!
Help Us Grow!
If you found this analysis helpful, please like and share it with your fellow traders and investors! Your support helps us provide more insightful market analysis and forecasts!
Best wishes Tom 😎
Gold Analysis May 25⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Market sentiment remained cautious on Tuesday due to concerns over Trump tariffs and Nvidia's upcoming earnings report. The US dollar continued to hold its strength on risk-off sentiment, limiting gold's gains. However, gold prices remained supported by falling US Treasury yields and rising trade war risks.
Bond yields fell on a strong auction and weak PMI data, raising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year. Meanwhile, trade tensions escalated as the Trump administration considered tightening controls on chip exports to China.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices are still operating in a wedge of 2928 and 2952. The 2958 zone is also quite easy to create a false ATH. 2968-2970 acts as the most important resistance for Gold at the moment, which is considered the weekly resistance level. Watch out for gold falling, there could be a deep drop to 2906-2900.
Any rebound is an opportunity to short goldAs I mentioned in my previous article, after a period of sideways consolidation, gold chose to break downward—signaling greater downside potential. We perfectly captured the shorting opportunity around the 2935-2945 resistance zone. Gold not only successfully hit the 2910-2900 target area but even exceeded my expectations, with the price bottoming out around the 2888 region. This was an excellent short trade, and I personally gained over $10K in profits from this position.
Currently, gold is hovering around the 2890-2888 region, and while the downtrend has momentarily slowed, the bulls have yet to mount any effective counterattack. This indicates weakening bullish sentiment, and with earlier profits being cashed out alongside follow-up and panic-driven selling, the bearish trend is likely far from over. Breaking below the 2890 support further opens the door for continued downward movement, increasing gold’s potential for deeper declines.
For short-term trades, any rebound in gold’s price could present fresh opportunities for short positions. We should closely monitor the 2910-2920 area for potential entries to short gold once again.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
GOLD - Long activated earlier !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect to see bullish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block around level 2900.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our route map is providing perfect level to level guidance for us on this chart idea.
Yesterday we stated that we got our first bullish target at 2950 and that we will need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2950 to open the range above or failure to lock above will see price reject for a test on the lower Goldturn at 2927 to complete the bearish gap.
- This played out perfectly with no ema5 cross and lock above 2950 confirming the rejection and into our bearish target 2927 just like we said. We were able to capitalise on the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips on all the weighted levels. We are now seeing price in the retracement range will need to see a lock below this level for a continuation into the swing range or failure to lock will see another push up.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 25.02.2025Analysis:
Support & Resistance Zones:
The price is moving within a range with strong resistance around 2,950 and a support zone around 2,922.
A major support level is visible at 2,898, which could act as the next target if the price breaks below 2,922.
Trendline & Breakout:
An ascending trendline was supporting the price, but it appears to have been broken at the Vital Point (highlighted in green).
This could indicate a bearish shift if the price fails to reclaim the trendline.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price bounces back above the trendline and holds above 2,940, it could retest 2,950 and break higher.
Bearish Case: If the price continues below 2,930 and breaks 2,922, a drop to 2,906 or even 2,898 could follow.
Signal:
📉 SELL BELOW 2,930
Entry: Below 2,930
Target 1: 2,922
Target 2: 2,906
Target 3: 2,898
Stop Loss: 2,945
📈 BUY ABOVE 2,940
Entry: Above 2,940
Target 1: 2,950
Target 2: 2,960
Stop Loss: 2,930
💡 Key Note: The price is currently at a critical level (Vital Point). Wait for a clear breakout before entering a trade.
Please follow, comment, like and share as well.
What happened? The gold price fell to 2935 againAfter waking up, I found that the gold price stopped at 2635. It was strange that the price was still at 2953 when I was about to rest, and no reporter told me that there was an emergency in the middle. Why did the gold price fall so fast?
I looked at the market. After the Asian market opened, the gold price was technically corrected and the pressure from the upper high was strong, so it was adjusted back to repair the rebound affected by the news in the New York market.
The news hardly mentioned how badly things were going. On the contrary. Maybe this time the negotiations were effective. The negotiations are being revised one after another. If the peace talks come to an end, the gold price may see a large adjustment. It is expected that a few hundred points will be very easy.
At present, there is still a need for further technical corrections, leaving aside the impact of news. In the short term, the gold price still wants to break the upward channel. The bears are still very strong, and the current gold price is at 2936. The hourly candlestick chart shows that if the point near 2925 falls below, there is a high probability that it will fall below 2900 in the short term. If there is no entity breaking this position in the short term, it will still be mainly consolidating at a high of 2930-2950.
Therefore, buying low and selling high is the main option. Before the general direction is decided, it is difficult to see a unilateral sharp rise or fall in the market, so keep this trading strategy and idea.
GOLD - one n single support, holds or not??#GOLD - perfect move as per our analysis and perfect holding of 2931
guys that is your area for now 2931
that is one n single support for now and if marekt hold it in that case we will see further bounce to upside.
and keep in mind below 2931 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD - BULL SIGNAL FOR 25.2.2025Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signals. A test of the trendline on the RSI and a rebound from the lower boundary of the ascending channel support further growth. If prices stay above $2,925, an upward move toward $3,010 is likely.
A breakout above $2,965 would confirm bullish momentum, accelerating gains. However, if Gold falls below $2,900, it could signal a deeper decline toward $2,855. A break below $2,925 would invalidate the bullish outlook, indicating continued downside pressure.
Key levels to watch:
📈 Resistance: $2,965, $3,010
📉 Support: $2,900, $2,855