Gold's 4-hour range has been broken, waiting for further declineTechnical analysis of gold: Gold continued to fall in the US market, and the price continued to return to the low point of the Asian market. The rise was not continuous, and the impact of tariffs remained. The market reported that the tariffs would be suspended for 90 days. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to be sold. However, the current fluctuations are too fast and the amplitude is too large. Short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position. In other words, gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold continued to rebound at the opening today. The rebound amplitude actually exceeded our expectations, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuations are relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still bearish. The US market rebound is still bearish.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short divergence, and the short force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall situation is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. The US rebound is under pressure at 3012 resistance, so it can continue to be short. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it will eventually rush up and fall back. Gold is still the home of the shorts. However, it is now volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the thinking is still to maintain a high-altitude thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: short gold rebound near 3012-3015, stop loss 10 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956
Long order strategy: long gold callback near 2953-2956, stop loss 10 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000
Goldprediction
xauusd analysisGold prices experienced a sharp decline today, dropping to a three-and-a-half-week low. The move was driven by a combination of global macroeconomic concerns, investor behavior, and technical market dynamics.
🔍 Key Reasons Behind the Drop:
Global Trade Tensions Intensify
A major escalation in the U.S.-China trade war rattled markets. The U.S. announced new tariffs, and China retaliated with export restrictions on rare earth elements. This sparked broad risk-off sentiment across global markets.
Panic-Led Liquidation
Despite being a traditional safe haven, gold was sold off as investors rushed to cover losses in other risk assets. This often happens during periods of extreme volatility when liquidity becomes a priority.
Hawkish Fed Comments
Fed Chair Jerome Powell made comments suggesting the central bank might delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainties. This caused the U.S. dollar to strengthen, which typically puts pressure on gold prices.
📈 Technical Analysis:
Current Price: Around $2,962
Support Levels:
First support around $2,950
Stronger support near $2,930
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at $2,970 (Target 1 in your chart)
Further resistance near $3,000 (Target 2)
Trend & Indicators:
RSI is approaching oversold, indicating a potential bounce.
The short-term trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Volume spiked during the sell-off, showing strong momentum behind the move.
🧠 What to Watch Going Forward:
Any new trade developments between major economies.
Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates.
Gold’s behavior around key support zones – bounce or breakdown?
XAUUSD Weekly Swing Trade Setup (Targeting New Highs)
Entry 2990
Last week's price action in XAUUSD was dramatic. Initial surges, driven by tariff announcements, propelled the pair to record highs. However, this was followed by a significant correction, leaving the market in a state of uncertainty as we enter the new week.
Considering the current market context (tariff implications, upcoming US economic data, central bank commentary) and the potential for continued volatility, this swing trade idea is indeed ambitious.
The Core Strategy:
We are anticipating a further decline in XAUUSD to a major support level. The key to this trade will be observing a strong rejection at this support, indicating renewed buying pressure. The ultimate goal is to capitalize on this potential rebound and ride the momentum towards making new all-time highs.
Key Considerations for the Coming Week:
Identify the Major Support Level: Pinpointing this level is crucial. It could be a significant previous swing low, a key Fibonacci retracement level, or a strong psychological barrier. Careful technical analysis is required to determine the most probable zone.
Confirmation of Rejection: We will be looking for clear bullish price action at the identified support. This could include bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing bar, pin bar), positive divergence on momentum indicators, or a break of a short-term downtrend line.
Risk Management: Given the ambition of targeting new all-time highs after a significant correction, robust risk management is paramount. This includes setting a well-defined stop-loss order below the identified support level to protect capital in case the rejection doesn't materialize. Position sizing should also be carefully considered.
Potential Catalysts: Be aware of the upcoming economic data and central bank commentary, as these events could significantly impact price action and either support or invalidate this trade idea.
Patience is Key: This is a swing trade, and the anticipated move may take time to develop. Avoid premature entry and wait for clear confirmation of the rejection at the support level.
In essence, this is a contrarian swing trade based on the expectation that the underlying bullish drivers for gold will reassert themselves after the recent correction. We are aiming to buy low at a significant support level with the high-conviction target of reaching new all-time highs.
Disclaimer: This is a potential trade setup idea and not financial advice. Trading Forex involves significant risk, and you could lose your capital. Conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:
🔸 Bearish Scenario:
If the price of gold breaks and closes below the key support level of 3016, it will indicate a strong bearish signal. This breakdown would suggest that selling pressure is increasing, and we could see a continued downward move toward the next support zone. The immediate target in this case would be around 3002, where buyers may attempt to step in. A sustained move below 3002 could open the door for further downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3016 (break level)
Target: 3002/2978
Additional downside possible if 3002 fails to hold
🔸 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance level of 3030, it will signal bullish momentum and a possible continuation of the uptrend. This breakout could trigger buying interest, pushing the price higher toward the next resistance levels at 3052 and 3065. These levels will act as short-term targets for bulls.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3030 (break level)
Bullish targets: 3052 and 3065
Further upside possible if momentum continues above 3065
GOLD (XAUUSD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – Key Reversal & Breakout Zo200 EMA (blue): 3085.72 (bearish as price is below it)
30 EMA (red): 3033.52
Current Price: 3034.10
🟪 Key Zones (Highlighted in Purple)
Resistance Zone: Around 3045.54–3065.70
Support Zone: Around 2968.27
Previous High Zone / Target Area: 3158.42
📉 Short Trade Setup (Blue Arrow Going Down)
Entry Area: If price rejects the resistance zone around 3045–3065
Stop Loss: Above the zone, around 3065.70
Take Profit: At the support zone, 2968.27
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 2.4x (shown as -2.43%)
📈 Long Trade Setup (Blue Arrow Going Up)
Entry Area: If price breaks and holds above the 3065.70 zone
Stop Loss: Below 3045.54 zone
Take Profit: 3158.42 (previous resistance)
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 3.0x (shown as 3.00%)
💡 Analysis Summary
Price is currently ranging just below the resistance zone.
Two possible scenarios:
Rejection from the zone → short entry.
Breakout above zone → long opportunity.
Use EMA alignment for confirmation:
Bearish if price stays below both EMAs.
Bullish if price breaks above 200 EMA (3085.72).
4.8 Gold Bollinger Bands bearish signal appearsRecently, the spot gold price once fell below the psychological barrier of $3,000, triggering technical concerns in the market about whether the gold bull market has reached its peak. On Monday (April 7) in the North American session, spot gold is currently trying to recover to around $3,030, but the technical indicators have shown obvious divergence.
Fundamental analysis
The market's concerns about US inflation continue to ferment, and the intensification of global trade frictions is driving the market's concerns about economic stagflation. The Fed's policy stance has also undergone subtle changes. The market has begun to price in five possible interest rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in May has soared from 33.3% last Friday to 49.3%.
At present, traders are turning their attention to the US inflation data to be released this week, which will provide important clues for assessing the US economic situation.
Technical analysts' interpretation:
Bollinger band breakthrough signal indicates a short-term correction
On the daily chart, gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since mid-March, but recently touched the upper track of the Bollinger band and began to fall. It is worth noting that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3006.13 has become a key support level. After breaking through the historical high of 3167.60, the price has shown a typical upward exhaustion pattern. The MACD indicator shows DIFF: 43.46, DEA: 48.65, MACD: -10.39, and the green kinetic energy column has begun to expand, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is accumulating.
RSI indicator shows overbought correction
The 120-minute chart shows that the RSI indicator has fallen from the overbought area to a neutral level of 40.37. At the same time, the CCI indicator has dropped to -45.05, further confirming the trend of short-term overbought correction.
Key support and resistance level analysis
The current gold price faces multiple technical resistances, among which 3055.00 and 3085.00 constitute the main resistance range for short-term rebound. The lower support levels are mainly concentrated at $3005.00 and $2971.31, and these two levels will determine whether the gold price can remain above the psychological level of $3,000. In particular, the $2971.31 level, as a recent low, may trigger a deeper adjustment if it is lost.
From the long-term daily chart, gold prices formed an accelerated upward channel after breaking through $2950.00. The recent high of $3167.60 is just at the upper track of the channel. This trend of peaking and falling is in line with the classic channel trading theory.
Outlook
Bull Outlook: If the US inflation data exceeds expectations, the market's expectations for a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be further strengthened, and gold prices are expected to re-challenge the high of $3167.60 after a correction. Technically, gold prices need to return to above $3055.00 to reactivate upward momentum. The widening of the Bollinger Band width indicates that volatility is increasing, which provides potential trading opportunities for bulls.
Bear Outlook: In the short term, the downward divergence of the upper track of the Bollinger Band indicates that gold prices may face further corrections. The MACD histogram turned green and continued to expand, suggesting that downward momentum is accumulating. If the gold price falls below the key support of $2,971.31, it may trigger a deeper adjustment, and the next target will be $2,950.00 or even $2,920.00.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart route map playing out, as analysed.
We started the session with our Bearish targets 3034 and 3034 and then the retracement range targets at 2999 and 2975, followed with our Bullish target at 3055, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
The range is currently big and we will continue to see play and test between the weighted levels. A re-test and break below the retracement range will open the swing rang. However, continuous support above the retracement range will see a further test at 3055 weighted Goldturn level and lock above 3055 will see the range above open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold rebounded sharply. Will gold climb again?Gold trend analysis: There are many points worth interpreting in the intraday market. Let's review and replay:
Today, the market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning. Did you chase the short position after the opening fell sharply? The 2980 first-line support was tested many times without breaking, which is a move to lure shorts, waiting for you to get trapped.
What was the result? Did it rebound at the 2980 first-line support? From the low point of 2972 to the high point of 3054, the hourly single-yang rebound amplitude reached 82 US dollars, which did not give you a chance to escape at all.
The position of 3054 is in line with the 3050-3060 regional pressure we mentioned at the weekend. It is a top-bottom conversion position. The low point of last Thursday broke the support and turned into pressure on Friday. Today, it must be shorted anyway.
Of course, there is also a false move here at 3054. The first time it touched the pressure and fell to 3036, and then it attacked again to test 3054 again. Did you chase the long position? Once you chase it, you're done. Then it fell to 3017, and the drop of 37 US dollars directly wiped out your extra money.
So, if you say whether technical analysis is useful or not, it is definitely useful. Of course, there are times when it fails, such as the straight-line decline of the whole process like last Thursday and Friday. Any analysis is meaningless, but this is a minority after all. The technical reliability of returning to normal trend is still trustworthy.
Gold technical analysis: Today is the third consecutive day of decline. From a technical point of view, such a continuous sharp decline generally lasts for about 3 days, and no more than 4 days at most, and it will turn positive. Therefore, the decline of gold today has slowed down significantly.
The intraday rebound is under pressure at 3054 and it is sideways. The European session is volatile and ready to guard against a high and fall at night. Focus on the break of the 3054 line of pressure. If it breaks through the intraday low of 3013 at night, then look at the second drop to the low of 2980-2972, and pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
XAUUSD Daily Plan – April 7 | Sniper EntriesNo guessing. No chasing. Just structure, logic, and precision entries. Based on current structure from H4 down to M15, price is hovering above a major reaction zone, and both bulls and bears have valid reasons to get involved — only if the zone speaks. Let’s map the battlefield 👇
🔹 Market Snapshot:
After the perfect sniper short from 3135, price printed a series of LHs and lower closes.
Now reacting from the 3015–3020 demand/FVG zone, respecting both internal structure and a long-term trendline.
RSI recovering from oversold on M15/H1. Volatility likely as we approach NFP aftermath flow.
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 1 – “The Bounce from the Base”
📍 Entry: 3020–3015
🧠 Why: Bullish M15 FVG, trendline support, RSI reversal
🎯 TP1: 3086
🎯 TP2: 3130
🛑 SL: 3008 (below swing low + OB invalidation)
💬 Classic sniper entry on bullish reaction + CHoCH on M5
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 2 – “Deeper Tap, Higher Reward”
📍 Entry: 2975–2965
🧠 Why: Untouched M30 OB + imbalance zone + D1 demand
🎯 TP1: 3050
🎯 TP2: 3086
🛑 SL: 2958 (below OB + psychological 2960)
⚠️ Only take if 3010 breaks clean and flushes into this area
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1 – “Short the Retest”
📍 Entry: 3107–3115
🧠 Why: M15 OB + unmitigated FVG + CHoCH after LH
🎯 TP1: 3030
🎯 TP2: 3010
🛑 SL: 3119 (above OB + intraday wick space)
💬 Look for M1–M5 confirmation & bearish PA
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2 – “The Premium Re-Entry”
📍 Entry: 3135–3142
🧠 Why: Strong OB zone, premium liquidity grab, equal highs
🎯 TP1: 3086
🎯 TP2: 3020
🛑 SL: 3148 (above liquidity + invalidation of OB)
🧠 Still valid if price rallies fast — best with RSI divergence
🧭 Key Levels Recap
3142 – Upper premium OB
3115 – Intraday LH rejection
3020 – Bullish FVG + trendline
2965 – Deeper demand zone
2958 / 3148 – Final SL protection areas
💬 Let’s Grow together
If this sniper plan helps refine your view: ✅ Like if it aligns with your bias
🔔 Follow for clean, daily smart money plans
💬 Drop a comment with your scenario or questions
We're here to build consistency — one precise setup at a time. 🎯
Stay sharp, stay kind! 💛
gold The plunge exceeded 100 points,The bearish trend is crazy!This week brings new trading opportunities, as well as new market opportunities. Nowadays, the market fluctuates greatly every day. Being a short-term trade means high frequency, fast in and fast out. As long as you do these well, you can make money in short-term trading. Don't be greedy for more. The most important thing in trading is stability. Going fast is not as good as going steadily. Do a good job in daily trading. If you can get two or three waves of profits, it will be enough for you. If you do not have the ability to flexibly respond to the market during trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading thinking and rhythm to the market rhythm in a timely manner, you can contact me and let us pursue more profits flexibly and stably in the volatile market!
The K-line of the Golden Week closed at a medium-sized Yin high with a long upper shadow. forming a top heavy-volume adjustment in the short term. The daily negative adjustment engulfed the previous rising space. In terms of form, there is still room for adjustment this week, which can be continued to 2972 and 2956, while the top touches 3168 to explore the high and fall back pattern. , there is a high probability of forming a short-term high, but whether the trend will change needs to be further observed. Beware of weekly negative singles without consecutive negatives. The short-term pressure remains at 3058 and 3076. It will bottom out at the opening and rebound. First look at the strength of the rebound. At the top, focus on the pressure of 3055 first, and then look at 3076 if it breaks. Do not blindly chase shorts. Don't blindly chase the short position.
Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3070-75, stop loss at 3080, and look at 3055 and 3020; if it is weak, pay attention to the 3055 pressure to short!
Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00Crude oil market analysis:
Trump's tariff policy has greatly stimulated crude oil, causing it to plunge all the way. At present, it has fallen to the bottom of the previous plunge again. We estimate that there will be a small counterattack at this position. The rebound is our opportunity to sell again. The idea of crude oil follows the general direction. Pay attention to the suppression near 62.20. The daily line shape shows that it will go down.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00
Gold------Buy near 3012, target 3055-3084Gold market analysis:
The weekly gold line hit a high and then fell back. The bulls reached a high of 3167. There was a big dive on Thursday and Friday, and the weekly line finally closed with a big tombstone. This morning, the lowest price of gold fell to 2971, and the range of ups and downs was very large. The daily line did not reflect it and directly broke all the support of the moving average, which means that the short-term top has appeared. In the later period, gold will begin to fluctuate at a high level and make a large structural adjustment. At present, the possibility of a large shock is relatively large, because this wave of sharp decline is caused by data and fundamentals. If the weekly line closes with a big negative again this week, it will bring a deep adjustment of the weekly line. I estimate that there will be a large shock and repair at the beginning of the week, and it will continue to fall in the second half of the week.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded in the early trading, closing with a big positive line in 4 hours. The short-term decline met support and rebounded. We estimate that the range of the big repair in the white market is 3084-3000. You can make profits in this range. At present, catching its rhythm is the most important thing. Gold is swinging quite a lot, try to do it in a big position.
Support 3000 and 3012, suppress 3055 and 3084, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3000.
Fundamental analysis
Last week's fundamentals were very stimulating. Trump's tariffs caused gold to plunge, and the positive non-agricultural data did not bring gold back to the buying momentum.
Operational suggestions
Gold------Buy near 3012, target 3055-3084
Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
4.7 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideas! US market4.7 Interpretation of gold late trading operation ideas:
Falling more than 70 points in the morning, it quickly rebounded and reversed! How will gold evolve tonight?
This V-reversal market frequently appears in these three trading days. It is difficult for us to encounter it once or twice a month. This increases the risk of trading. Once you make a mistake, it will be a reversal of dozens of points! When trading, you must strictly use the "stop loss".
We note that the three V-reversals in this stage have common characteristics. The stop in the last trading intensive period means that "3130" can be used as a reference for stage support and pressure. Then these three are: 3130, 3050, 2970---2980
The decline caused by the backlog of sell orders and insufficient liquidity! For gold, it will cause multiple stimulations, panic selling, and funds leaving the market for a short time to avoid risks. Selling gold to fill the gap in other markets and many other factors, and the central banks around the world that intend to reserve gold will not wait! They will still buy strategically, so the trend determines that the decline is limited.
2880 and 2630 are the two main observation positions.
After the small-cycle funds rebounded in the morning, the market entered a triangular consolidation state, the highs were gradually decreasing, and the lows were flattening. This is an obvious sign of market wait-and-see sentiment. The probability of a V-reversal phase or a continuous unilateral trend in the evening increased! If you follow this logic, gold should be under pressure around 3035-3038 during the rebound phase of 16-18 points!
And then continue to fall. Of course, if the EU further expresses its tariffs! It may cause the short-term volatility of the market to intensify!
Any unilateral trend needs to be confirmed in the US market. In the evening, whether it is a V-reversal from north to south or a continuation of the Asian and European market, it is normal. The overall framework will not deviate from the framework of 3130, 3050, 2980!
We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe price of gold (XAUUSD) surged to a new all-time high last week following former President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs, only to face a strong retracement that plunged it to a 7-day low of around $3,015. The market then saw a recovery after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted that inflation could reaccelerate due to the economic impact of tariffs.
In this video, I break down:
✨ Gold price action and how markets are reacting to significant headlines
📉 A complete technical analysis of XAUUSD
📍 Key price levels, the current trend, and market structure
💡 Potential trade setups for the week ahead
We’re standing at a critical juncture in the gold market—and how traders respond could shape the next major move.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldPrice #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #FOMC #JeromePowell #TrumpTariffs #InflationData #MarketUpdate
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
XAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish MomentumXAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish Momentum in Play
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, currently trading at $3037 after a powerful rejection from the supply zone at $3017. It has successfully broken the previously long-standing resistance at $3033, confirming a potential shift in market sentiment.
With this breakout, I expect gold to continue its upward movement toward the following targets:
TP1: $3065 – where a major trendline resistance is in play.
TP2: $3100 – upon a successful break and close above $3065.
Note: A short-term retracement toward $3026 is possible before the bullish rally resumes.
Stay alert and manage risk accordingly. Price action and structure are favoring the bulls for now.
Explosive gold prices!【Market News】
On Monday (April 7), spot gold continued to fall in the Asian market, once losing the 3,000 integer mark, and refreshed the low since March 13 to $2,976/ounce. As concerns about international trade intensified, US stock index futures continued to plummet, and Japanese, Australian and New Zealand stock markets also followed the decline. Investors continued to sell gold to make up for their losses in the broader market collapse. Last Friday, European and American stock markets plummeted, and investors had already sold gold at that time, causing spot gold to plummet by 2.47% last Friday! After the plunge on Thursday and Friday, global markets fell further on Monday, and may have the worst three-day plunge in history. Investors who had been expecting some kind of reversal in tariff policy throughout the weekend realized that this was impossible, so they sold all kinds of assets after the opening of Monday. It should be reminded that investors still need to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting and safe-haven buying in London gold prices. Driven by strong central bank purchases and its overall appeal as a safe hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainties, international gold has still risen by more than 13% this year. After the dramatic events surrounding US tariffs, the US schedule this week is relatively dull. The most important events are the release of the Fed's March meeting minutes on Wednesday, the release of US CPI and weekly unemployment benefits on Thursday, and the subsequent US PPI, University of Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations.
Technical Review:
The tariff policy has been implemented. Buy the expectation and sell the fact. Gold was sold off on Friday. Gold is under pressure from the upper track of the rising trend line channel at 3160/65. The current correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel line at 2980/70. The daily line closed with a big negative structure. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator continued to be overbought at a high level of 80 values in the early stage, and then turned down and fell back to the 50-value central axis!The weekly RSI indicator turned downward and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the early trading. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3125 dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/75, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. In the early trading, gold continued to fluctuate downward in a weak bearish trend. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continued to be mainly high-altitude, with low-long auxiliary cooperation.
Today's analysis:
Gold once again opened a dramatic crazy mode last Friday, with buying and selling back and forth, large fluctuations, and finally selling was slightly better. The daily line closed in the long Yinxian form of upper and lower leads, which can be said to be an eye-opener for the market. With the increase in the base of gold prices, large fluctuations are also commonplace. The large fluctuations in the last second and the next second make the market uneasy. In the face of the sharp decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below will be maintained at the 3000 integer level! This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high possibility of a pullback, while the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion of 3054-57, which is also the top position of the last big Yinxian last Friday. This position will be an ideal short-selling point on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a dead cross downward, so there is still motivation for selling gold. The short-term trend of gold can only be a rebound. After the rebound, gold will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The resistance of gold rebound is 3054. If it is under pressure, then gold will continue to sell at highs after the rebound.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 2983-2985 buy, stop loss 2974, target 3010-3030;
Short-term gold 3051-3054 sell, stop loss 3063, target 3000-3010;
Key points:
First support level: 3000, second support level: 2990, third support level: 2976
First resistance level: 3040, second resistance level: 3054, third resistance level: 3068
Gold chart - Daily ideas for April 7th🔸 Market Snapshot
📉 Gold pulled back sharply on Friday after a surprisingly strong U.S. NFP report, which added 303,000 jobs — well above forecasts. This cooled immediate expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts and pushed Treasury yields and the dollar higher, triggering a short-term correction in gold prices.
📊 After printing a fresh all-time high at $3168 last week, this drop is seen as a technical retracement, not a trend reversal. Powell’s speech echoed a cautious stance, reiterating a data-dependent path, which leaves room for renewed upside if inflation softens or geopolitical tensions escalate.
🌍 With Middle East tensions still brewing and demand for safe havens intact, many traders now eye 3015–2975 as a key demand zone for potential reaccumulation — setting the stage for the next leg toward 3200 and beyond.
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 1
📍 Entry: 3020–3015
🧠 Confluences: Bullish M15 FVG + Trendline Support + RSI Reversal
TP1: 3086
TP2: 3130
SL: 3008 (below swing low + OB invalidation)
📌 Look for bullish M5 CHoCH or strong reaction wick for sniper entry
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 2
📍 Entry: 2975–2965
🧠 Confluences: Untapped M30 OB + Imbalance Zone + D1 Demand
TP1: 3050
TP2: 3086
SL: 2958 (below OB + psychological 2960 level)
⚠️ Only valid if 3010 breaks and flushes into this zone. Let the price come to you.
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1
📍 Entry: 3107–3115
🧠 Confluences: M15 OB + Unmitigated FVG + CHoCH after LH
TP1: 3030
TP2: 3010
SL: 3119 (above OB + intraday wick room)
📌 Look for M1–M5 bearish confirmation or rejection wick at OB
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2
📍 Entry: 3135–3142
🧠 Confluences: Strong OB Zone + Premium Liquidity Grab + Equal Highs
TP1: 3086
TP2: 3020
SL: 3148 (above liquidity + OB invalidation)
⚠️ Still valid if price rallies fast – bonus confluence if RSI shows divergence
📌 Key Levels Recap:
🔹 3142 – Premium OB Zone
🔹 3115 – Intraday LH Rejection
🔹 3020 – Bullish FVG + Trendline Support
🔹 2965 – Deeper Demand Zone
🔹 2958 & 3148 – Final SL Protection Areas
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
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4.7 Gold short-term operation technical strategyLast week, gold and Dow Jones started to plummet across the board, and the short-selling of the band was a carnival. First of all, our initial short-selling target of 38,500 under the Dow Jones 45,000 has been completed. The only key support is the 36,300 line, and gold has also fallen to the 2970 line. There is no bottom at present, but there is a rebound in the key support level, so don't chase the low in the morning! From the closing point of view, the weekly line finally closed with a long upper shadow line and a quasi-inverted hammer pattern. After the end of this pattern, the market has been in the short stage this week. The intraday rebound is still mainly high-altitude. The market has a large amplitude, and the small stop loss has lost its meaning. At this time, the entry position is very important. In terms of points, the intraday rebound 3045-55 area continues to be high-altitude.
Short-term support: 3038, 3018, 2980, 2960
Do a good job of pushing the position protection! ! !
XAU/USD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3063
Support and resistance levels:
3183
3138
3109
3017
2988
2943
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3017, consider buying, the first target price is 3063
If the price breaks through 2988, consider selling, the first target price is 2943
4.7 Gold opened lower and continued to fall!!!Gold fell sharply again at the opening of the morning session. The root cause is that the United States imposed tariffs on many countries and the countermeasures of various countries have triggered panic in the global financial market. The U.S. stock market fell sharply and the U.S. dollar index fluctuated. This macroeconomic uncertainty has increased the safe-haven demand for gold, but the liquidity problems caused by market panic may cause investors to sell gold in exchange for cash, so it will suppress the price of gold. The overall market sentiment is relatively complex, and the long-short game is fierce. From the disk, gold has gradually turned short!
In the current situation, don’t expect gold to rise sharply in a short period of time to form a rebound. The gold content of following the trend is still rising. We will go short in the morning when we wait for a rebound! The upper pressure level focuses on the closing price of 3036 last week, and the further pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level of 3054! You can ambush and short near 3050 in the morning! The falling market is all the way down, don’t blindly guess the bottom!
Specific strategy
Gold 3050 short, stop loss 3056, target 3000
XAUUSD breakdown?XAUUSD possibly break below as market opened with gap and the price started to drop from the most important level. Past week with NFP price has rejected with a head & shoulder formation and signaling possible change of trend. In a way price is moving it may respect 3051.00 level and may continue to drop for possible long term change of trend.
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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