Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3310-3290
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Goldprediction
Trade conflicts are re-emerging, will gold rise?Information summary:
Gold prices rose slightly in early Asian trading on Monday, affected by the long-term uncertainty of tariffs and international geopolitical conflicts, which increased the demand for safe-haven assets.
Trump made a statement earlier that China had violated the Sino-US trade negotiation regulations in a big way; then the US Treasury Secretary assured that the United States would never default. This has once again led to tensions in Sino-US trade relations, and investors are also cautious about this news.
This news has undoubtedly disrupted the international market and supported the rise in gold prices.
Traders need to pay attention to the May ISM manufacturing report to be released by the United States today, which may affect the new trend of gold.
Trading analysis:
I think the repeated emotions of the United States on tariffs will cause gold prices to rebound after a downward adjustment, and then fall slightly.
If gold cannot break through the upward 3350 cycle pressure level strongly and stabilize above this position. Then the price will fall back below this position.
Operation strategy:
Long at 3340, stop loss at 3330, take profit at 3350.
Short at 3350, stop loss at 3365, profit range is around the early support level of 3300-3390.
If you want to trade steadily, you can continue to wait and see for some time, because there are too many black swan events in the Asian market today, and the market is full of uncertainty.
Gold Price Forecast – Bullish Reversal from Support Zone.This 2-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) displays a technical analysis setup with key support and resistance zones. The price recently bounced from a significant green support zone near $3,260, suggesting bullish momentum. The projected blue zigzag arrow illustrates a potential upward price movement towards the $3,340 resistance area, indicating a bullish reversal scenario. Volume bars at the bottom highlight recent buying interest. If the price sustains above the immediate resistance (~$3,280), it may continue to rise, targeting successive resistance levels around $3,320 and $3,340.
Gold Finds Support in PRZ – $3,337 in Sight? As I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved towards the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 can be complex . Confirmation of the end of the main wave 4 requires a break of the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) .
I expect Gold to move up after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the first target could be $3,314 and the second target could be $3,337 . If the momentum is high for Gold, you can consider higher targets for Gold to increase .
Note: If Gold touches $3,245 , we should expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD H1 Chart Update For 2 June 25As you can see that there are some important zones mentioned on the chart
First read all details carefully market is in sideways for now once market will break 3330 level then it will move further higher towards 3360 even 3370
3300 Psychological Remains in focus once market breaks 3300 then it will try to fill the OPENING GAP which is due on 3289
for today if market sustains below 3280 level then it will move towards 3240-50 zone
Scalping or shorter term range in 3295-3320
Remember always use SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
The international situation is turbulent, how is the trend of goInformation summary:
On June 1, Russia and Ukraine continued to clash. Ukrainian drones attacked several Russian military airports, including military bases in eastern Siberia, more than 40 aircraft were damaged, and the loss was about 2 billion US dollars. This was the first time that a military base in Siberia was attacked by a drone. Murmansk Oblast was also attacked by a drone on the same day.
However, on the same day, Russia and Ukraine planned to hold a second round of ceasefire negotiations in Istanbul on June 2. The United States said that it was not informed of the Ukrainian attack in advance. Russia and the US Foreign Minister discussed the negotiation plan by phone. The Hungarian Prime Minister revealed that the mediation in 2024 was unsuccessful, and the two sides had obvious differences on the timing of the ceasefire.
The current situation is complicated, the prospects for peace talks are unclear, and market risk aversion and economic data (this week's employment report, central bank interest rate decision, etc.) have become new focuses.
Gold trend analysis:
From the daily chart, the current daily support position is around 3280. This position is the key to the gold band trend. Since the price has broken upward recently, it has stepped back many times and finally closed above the daily support, so the position of the daily support is still the key. Before falling below this support level, the price will most likely maintain a range of 3320-3280 US dollars.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3280, stop loss 3270, profit position 3320.
"Demand Activated – Eyes on the Next Move"After a solid bullish move, the price has now retraced into a fresh demand zone between 3305 and 3298. This area is where the last significant impulsive move originated, breaking structure and sweeping up liquidity.
Here’s what we’re keeping an eye on:
✅ Look for bullish rejection candles or engulfing patterns forming within the demand zone.
✅ We need confirmation on lower timeframes (M1–M5) that shows a break of structure (BOS) or strong wick rejections.
✅ It’s crucial that the price doesn’t drop below 3298, as that would invalidate our bullish outlook.
If the demand holds up:
🎯 TP1: 3315
🎯 TP2: 3321 (This is close to the supply and imbalance fill zone)
This setup is a classic Smart Money strategy — it includes:
A liquidity sweep below the lows
A break of structure (BOS)
Filling the imbalance
Tapping into fresh demand
Execution needs to be precise — avoid chasing. Be patient and wait for the price to come to you, then react wisely.
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea and trading scenario:
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Overall Idea: Bearish Continuation
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Market Context
Current Price: $3,291.99
EMA 200: $3,297.69 (acting as dynamic resistance)
Trend: Price is within a descending channel, respecting both downtrend and uptrend lines
Directional Bias: Bearish unless a breakout occurs
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Key Zones
1. Resistance Level (Sell Zone)
Around $3,320–$3,340
Price rejected this level multiple times → strong supply zone
2. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap)
Around $3,305–$3,315
Price tapped this area and showed rejection
Identified as a "seller zone" – price likely filled imbalance and now resuming trend
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Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Reject EMA and FVG zone
2. Continue downward movement
3. Target support around $3,244.95
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Indicators
EMA 200: Above price → bearish pressure
RSI (14): ~46.78 → no extreme reading, but leans bearish; room for further downside
---
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry: ~$3,300–$3,310 (already triggered)
Stop Loss: Above $3,320
Target: $3,244.95 (demand zone / previous low)
Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Warnings
Multiple economic event icons are marked (bottom of chart) → potential high volatility, especially around NFP/FOMC-related news
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pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Unmasking the "Intrinsic Value" Debate Between Gold vs BTCFool's Gold? Unmasking the "Intrinsic Value" Debate Between Gold and Bitcoin
The assertion is a familiar one, a well-worn cudgel in the ongoing debate between traditional assets and their digital counterparts: "Gold has intrinsic value that Bitcoin doesn't." This statement often serves as the bedrock for arguments championing the yellow metal's timeless appeal while dismissing cryptocurrency as mere speculative froth. But what if this foundational claim, this appeal to gold's inherent, undeniable worth, is built on shakier ground than its proponents believe? What if the very notion of "intrinsic value" as applied to these assets is a misunderstanding, a convenient narrative rather than an objective truth?
This exploration will journey into the heart of this debate, dissecting the concept of intrinsic value and examining how it truly applies – or doesn't – to both gold and Bitcoin. We will scrutinize gold's much-vaunted industrial utility against the backdrop of its vast above-ground stocks and its overwhelming monetary premium. We will consider whether value is indeed an inherent property of an object or a subjective judgment made by individuals. Ultimately, by challenging long-held assumptions, we aim to illuminate the real sources of value for both the ancient metal and the modern digital asset, moving beyond simplistic labels to a more nuanced understanding.
1. The Elusive Nature of "Intrinsic Value"
Before we can meaningfully discuss whether gold or Bitcoin possesses intrinsic value, we must grapple with the term itself. In the realm of corporate finance, "intrinsic value" refers to the fundamental worth of a company, derived from an analysis of its assets, earnings potential, cash flows, and overall financial health. It's an attempt to ascertain what a stock should be worth, independent of its fluctuating market price. This is the world of discounted cash flow models and balance sheet scrutiny.
However, this definition struggles when applied to commodities or currencies. Gold, like Bitcoin, does not generate cash flows. It doesn't pay dividends or have earnings reports. As one observer noted, gold and Bitcoin are commodities that have a spot price; their "value" is essentially what someone is willing to pay for them at a given moment. Companies, by contrast, can have an intrinsic value tied to the future economic benefits they are expected to produce for their owners.
So, when advocates claim gold has intrinsic value, they are often pointing to something else entirely. Usually, this encompasses its tangible, physical nature – you can hold it, feel its weight. It also refers to its historical use as money and a store of value over millennia. And crucially, it implies a baseline worth derived from its utility in practical applications, particularly in industry. One might even argue, as some have, that there is simply "no such thing as intrinsic value" in an absolute sense; value is not a property embedded within an object but is assigned to it by human beings.
2. Gold's Industrial Utility: A Gilded Facade?
The argument that gold's industrial use underpins its intrinsic value is perhaps the most frequently cited. "But it's used in microchips!" is a common, almost reflexive, defense. And it's true: gold's excellent conductivity, resistance to corrosion, and malleability make it a valuable component in high-end electronics, dentistry, aerospace, and certain medical applications. But the critical question is not whether gold has industrial uses, but how much these uses contribute to its overall market price.
Consider the data for a recent year, say 2024. Global industrial gold consumption was approximately 330 tonnes. However, a staggering 90% of this demand, around 297 tonnes, was met by recycling existing gold scrap, a process that can cost as little as tens of dollars per ounce. This leaves a mere 33 tonnes of new gold required from mining to satisfy the entirety of industrial needs not covered by recycling.
Now, compare this to the annual mine production. In that same year, about 3,700 tonnes of gold were newly extracted from the earth. This means that less than 1% (33 tonnes out of 3,700 tonnes) of all newly mined gold was actually needed for industrial purposes. The vast majority, over 99%, went elsewhere – primarily into jewelry, bars, and coins, all forms of value storage.
The disparity becomes even more dramatic when we consider the total above-ground stock of gold held for these value-storage purposes. This figure stands at roughly 184,000 tonnes. If, hypothetically, gold were to suddenly lose its allure as jewelry and its status as a monetary asset, and this colossal hoard were redirected to meet industrial needs (the 33 tonnes per year not covered by recycling), we would have enough gold to last for approximately 5,600 years at current industrial consumption rates. And this is without digging a single new ounce out of the ground. Much of this 184,000-tonne supply could potentially be acquired at prices far closer to the low cost of recycling than the current market price of newly mined gold.
As one commenter aptly put it, if gold's value was solely based on industrial demand, it "would be nearly worthless" compared to its current valuation. While gold does possess certain unique properties that make it useful, these applications are a drop in the ocean when explaining its price. The idea that its utility in microchips or dental fillings provides a significant "floor" for its value is, upon closer inspection, largely a myth.
3. The Towering Monetary Premium: Where Gold's Value Truly Lies
If industrial use accounts for such a tiny fraction of gold's demand and price, what explains the rest? The answer is its "monetary premium." This is the portion of an asset's price that exceeds its direct use-value as a commodity. For gold, this premium is immense, built over centuries of human history and cultural adoption.
Gold's journey as money began thousands of years ago. Its inherent characteristics – it doesn't rust or tarnish (durability), it's relatively rare (scarcity), it's easily recognizable and has a pleasing aesthetic (acceptability), it can be melted and reformed (divisibility and fungibility), and it's dense (portability of value) – made it a superior choice for a medium of exchange and store of value in pre-industrial societies. This long history has ingrained gold into the collective human consciousness as something inherently valuable. There's a certain "magical power," as one person described it, to the shiny yellow metal, a testament to its enduring legacy.
This historical precedent and the deep-seated belief in its enduring worth are what sustain gold's monetary premium. Central banks hold it in their reserves. Individuals purchase it in the form of jewelry (which, in many cultures, serves as a primary store of family wealth) and invest in bars and coins, not primarily for its practical applications, but because they trust it will preserve purchasing power or be desired by others in the future. This shared belief, this social consensus, is the bedrock of gold's value far more than its limited industrial applications. Some estimate this monetary premium to be as high as 90% of its total price, with the remaining 10% attributable to its use in jewelry and industry.
4. The Shifting Sands of Perceived Value
The notion that value is intrinsic and immutable is challenged by history itself. Value, as many economists and observers contend, is not an inherent property of an object but is determined by human perception and utility, which can and do change over time.
Consider aluminum. There was a time when aluminum was exceedingly rare and difficult to extract, making it more precious than gold. The capstone of the Washington Monument, completed in the late 19th century, was made of aluminum to signify its value and the technological prowess of the era. Today, thanks to advancements in refining processes, aluminum is abundant and inexpensive. We use it to wrap sandwiches, a far cry from its days as a "precious" metal adorning national monuments.
Similarly, Tyrian purple dye, derived from sea snails, was once so costly and labor-intensive to produce that its use was reserved for royalty and the highest echelons of society. It symbolized power and status. The invention of synthetic dyes in the 19th century made purple accessible to everyone, and the immense value once attached to the natural version evaporated.
These examples powerfully illustrate that what society deems valuable is not fixed. It is contingent on factors like scarcity (natural or artificial), the current state of technology, cultural significance, and collective human agreement. If gold's value is predominantly a monetary premium built on historical consensus and aesthetic appeal, then it too is subject to these shifting sands of human perception. The humorous desire to one day wrap sandwiches in gold foil, should it lose its monetary status, underscores this potential for radical revaluation.
5. Bitcoin's Utility: Solving Problems of the Digital Age
If gold's claim to "intrinsic value" through industrial use is tenuous, and its primary value stems from a historically constructed monetary premium, how does Bitcoin compare? Critics often dismiss Bitcoin as having no utility beyond speculation, a digital tulip mania. However, this perspective often overlooks the specific problems Bitcoin was designed to address and the unique properties it offers in the 21st century.
Bitcoin emerged in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis as a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system," aiming to provide an alternative to the traditional financial system. Its utility lies in its ability to offer:
• Decentralization: No single entity, corporation, or government controls the Bitcoin network. It operates on a distributed ledger (the blockchain) maintained by thousands of computers worldwide. This makes it resistant to control or shutdown by any central authority.
• Permissionless Access: Anyone with an internet connection can participate in the Bitcoin network – send, receive, and store value – without needing permission from a bank or government.
• Censorship Resistance: Once transactions are confirmed and added to the blockchain, they are extremely difficult to alter or reverse. This makes it a powerful tool for individuals in environments where financial censorship is a concern.
• Provable Scarcity: The Bitcoin protocol dictates that there will only ever be a maximum of 21 million bitcoins. This hard cap on supply is a fundamental aspect of its design, making it a verifiably scarce digital asset. This contrasts with gold, where new supply is continuously mined each year, estimated by some to be around 1.5-2% of the existing above-ground stock, arguably diluting its value over time.
• Portability and Divisibility: Bitcoin is incredibly portable. Vast sums can be "carried" on a tiny device or even memorized as a seed phrase, and transferred across the globe in minutes for relatively low fees. It is also highly divisible, down to one hundred millionth of a bitcoin (a "satoshi"), facilitating transactions of various sizes.
• Verifiability: The authenticity and transaction history of every bitcoin can be publicly verified on the blockchain, eliminating the need for trust in intermediaries for this purpose.
• Durability: As a digital asset secured by a vast, decentralized network, Bitcoin is highly durable as long as the network itself remains operational and secure.
A crucial real-world utility, highlighted by observers, is Bitcoin's ability to bypass capital controls. For individuals in countries with restrictive financial regimes, Bitcoin offers a means to transact and move value across borders with a degree of freedom not possible through traditional channels. This is not a speculative feature; it is a tangible benefit solving a real problem for many.
While the number of people using Bitcoin worldwide is still relatively small compared to users of traditional financial systems, its adoption is growing. Like any transformative technology, its utility is being discovered and leveraged by an expanding user base. Its "intrinsic value," if we are to use that term, lies in its capacity to fulfill these unique functions.
6. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Clash of Properties
When we compare gold and Bitcoin based on properties often associated with a store of value or monetary good, distinct profiles emerge:
• Tangibility: Gold is physical; you can touch it. This offers a psychological comfort that some find reassuring. Bitcoin is digital; its existence is as code and ledger entries. Its "possession" is through control of cryptographic private keys.
• Industrial Utility: Gold has limited industrial uses that account for a tiny fraction of its price. Bitcoin's "industrial utility" is the operation of its network as a global system for value transfer and verification.
• Scarcity: Gold is naturally scarce, but its total earthly and cosmic abundance is unknown, and new supply is constantly mined. Bitcoin has absolute, programmable scarcity with a fixed supply cap.
• Portability: Moving large amounts of gold is cumbersome, expensive, and risky. Bitcoin is exceptionally portable.
• Divisibility: Gold can be physically divided, but it's not a seamless process. Bitcoin is easily and precisely divisible.
• Verifiability: Authenticating gold requires specialized knowledge and tools; it can be faked. Bitcoin transactions and holdings are verifiable with mathematical certainty on its public ledger.
• Durability: Gold is physically very durable. Bitcoin, as a digital protocol, is durable as long as its decentralized network is maintained and secured.
• Historical Precedent: Gold boasts millennia of use. Bitcoin is a little over a decade old, a mere infant by comparison.
• Censorship/Seizure Resistance: Physical gold can be, and has been, confiscated. Self-custodied Bitcoin, with properly secured private keys, is highly resistant to censorship and seizure.
This comparison reveals that while gold's strengths lie in its long history and physical presence, Bitcoin excels in areas like absolute scarcity, portability, divisibility, verifiability, and censorship resistance – attributes that are arguably increasingly valuable in an increasingly digital and interconnected global landscape.
7. The "Next Person" Fallacy and the Foundation of Value
A common critique leveled at both gold (for its monetary premium) and Bitcoin is that their value depends solely on "the next person being willing to buy it." In a sense, this is true for any asset that isn't consumed directly or doesn't produce cash flows. The value of a collectible, a piece of art, or indeed a monetary good, is ultimately what someone else is prepared to exchange for it.
However, this doesn't mean their value is arbitrary or baseless. The willingness of the "next person" to buy is predicated on a shared understanding or belief in the asset's desirable properties and its potential to retain or increase its value. For gold, this belief is built on thousands of years of tradition and its perceived enduring qualities. For Bitcoin, this belief is growing based on its unique technological attributes, its potential to solve modern financial problems, and its emerging network effects. The more people who recognize and utilize these properties, the stronger the shared belief, and thus the more robust its value becomes.
8. The Cost of Production and the Illusion of a Price Floor
Some argue that gold's price cannot fall below its cost of extraction, suggesting this provides a natural price floor. While it's true that miners would cease operations if the price fell below their production costs for a sustained period, this argument largely ignores the colossal 184,000 tonnes of gold already above ground and held primarily for monetary or aesthetic purposes. If this massive hoard were to lose its monetary premium and be dumped onto the market, the price could plummet dramatically, far below current mining costs, until it reached a level where industrial demand (or perhaps a new, much lower equilibrium for aesthetic use) could absorb it. Much of this existing stock could be made available at recycling costs, which are significantly lower than mining costs. The "cost of production" floor applies primarily to newly added supply, not to the revaluation of existing, hoarded stock.
Conclusion: Beyond Intrinsic – Value in Utility and Belief
The debate over whether gold has "intrinsic value" that Bitcoin lacks often misses the mark by clinging to a nebulous and misapplied concept. If "intrinsic value" refers to a baseline worth derived from non-monetary, practical utility, then gold's claim is surprisingly weak. Its industrial applications are minimal compared to its price, which is overwhelmingly a monetary premium built on centuries of human belief, cultural acceptance, and its historical role as money.
Value, ultimately, is not an inherent property magically residing within an object. It is a subjective judgment made by individuals, a reflection of an asset's perceived utility and the collective belief in its future desirability. Gold has served humanity well as a store of value due to a set of physical properties that were optimal for pre-digital eras. Bitcoin, a product of the digital age, offers a different set of properties – provable scarcity, decentralization, censorship resistance, and unparalleled portability – that address the challenges and opportunities of our modern world.
Neither gold's sheen nor Bitcoin's bits possess a mystical "intrinsic value" independent of human perception and use. Gold's value is rooted in its long history and the enduring human affinity for its beauty and permanence. Bitcoin's burgeoning value is rooted in its innovative technology and its potential to offer a new paradigm for money and value transfer. Both are valuable because, and only because, people believe them to be. The critical difference lies in the reasons for that belief and the problems each asset is perceived to solve. As the world continues to evolve, so too will our understanding and assignment of value.
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction Hello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
We could see an upward move up to $3350!There is a lot of buy-side liquidity resting in the gold market. There are 2 to 3 daily highs currently unchallenged, and even a weekly high is in place. The market has already moved downward and created inducement (a trap or manipulation to draw sellers in), which now makes the market appear bullish from this point.
We could see an upward move up to $3350 or even higher—especially if a 4-hour candle closes above $3360. At this point, it’s better to wait for clear displacement (strong movement indicating a direction). After that, we’ll see how the market develops.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
The volatility is an illusion, and gold is brewing major changesGold fluctuated downward in the Asian session on Friday, while it remained in the range of 3287-3303 in the European session. Although it tried to break through the short-term pressure level of 3300-3306 many times, it has never been able to stand firmly. I arranged to go long at 3288-3289 in advance, notified to enter the market at the point, and finally reached the target of 3303 perfectly, earning 15 points of profit! Quick, accurate and ruthless, with the right idea, profit-taking is as easy as drinking water! Therefore, it is recommended that we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3290-3285 below. If the price fails to break through the support range like in the early trading, you can consider trying to enter the long position.
Given that today is Friday, the market volatility may be "demon-like", so you need to be extra cautious in operation and pay close attention to the changes in the market. At the same time, you must keep in mind the principle of "taking profits for safety"-lock in profits in time when you can see them, and don't easily bet on trends that you don't understand. If your current gold operation effect is not ideal, I hope my analysis can help you avoid some detours. Welcome to communicate at any time!
Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify.
From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
The dollar is strong, will gold break through the consolidation?At the beginning of this week, the US dollar index fell to a one-month low due to Trump's sudden change in the direction of the EU policy. Subsequently, due to the contest between Trump and the US Trade Court ruling, the prices of gold and the US dollar fluctuated greatly.
I think the US dollar will start to rise next week with the help of non-farm payrolls data. I am afraid that a new round of price fluctuations is coming.
If the US dollar is to have a new upward trend in June, gold will also be affected. Judging from the current daily line of gold, the overall trend is also to be adjusted downward.
The high point of gold in May was 3438, and the low point was 3120. I also drew the Fibonacci dividing line in the figure. The most critical position is 3317 at the 0.382 position and 3280 at the 0.5 position.
Gold is still maintaining a consolidation of 3317-3280. Although there have been breakthroughs above and below, they are all within the daily range. Next week, as long as gold can close below 3280 on the daily line, it will start a correction trend step by step. The first target below is around 3250, and the second is 3180-3200.
As long as the daily line of gold can close below 3180, then we will usher in a big bearish trend at the daily level. On the contrary, the daily line of gold cannot close above 3317 again. In a better situation, it may touch around 3340 again and then retreat again.
The bad result is that it directly breaks through the pressure level and stands above the 3340 trend line. If this happens, the price of gold may move towards a new high.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3305 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3314 and a gap below at 3248. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3314
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3314 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3363
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3363 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3412
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3412 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3468
BEARISH TARGETS
3248
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3248 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3194 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3130
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3012
2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here's an update on the daily chart setup we've been tracking and trading successfully over the past few weeks.
As anticipated, price action rejected off the midline of the channel and produced a strong bounce, exactly as we had analysed. This move reached the 3272 Goldturn level and closed above it, opening the path for a potential test of the channel top near 3433. We captured a solid move of over 600 pips, aligning perfectly with our strategy of buying the dips for the ideal swing setup.
The channel half line continued to provide support and bounces, with a gap left above at 3433. Our channel top also falls in line with this level.
Please note that the gap remains open, but we are not looking to chase from the top. We'll continue to focus on buying pullbacks for better entries.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalise on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our latest weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn Channel continues to prove its reliability, with price action unfolding just as anticipated.
Last update on this chart, we noted multiple failed attempts to break above the channel top, each confirmed by the EMA5 being unable to close through resistance. This led to a pullback as low as 3189, nearly touching the 3094 level right near the channel's half line, a key support zone we've been closely monitoring.
This week, we saw the rejection from the channel top. The channel top gave the rejection into the lower 3281 axis level. Despite the drop, there was no close below 3281, which has provided continuous bounces on the smaller timeframes. Price action is now playing between the 3281 level and the channel top.
We’ll be watching closely for a decisive break on either side to determine the next directional move. The 3387 gap also remains open and in play.
As long as price remains above the channel half line and especially now above 3281, we will continue looking for dip buying opportunities on retracements, using our intraday levels for targeted 20 to 40 pip moves. If the price pulls back below these key levels, we’ll reassess for potential downside toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is exactly why we stick with our Goldturn Channel methodology, our proprietary system based on weighted averages. It cuts through the market noise, distinguishes real breakouts from fake outs, and empowers us to trade with confidence and clarity.
Thanks again for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends
On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
So keep an eye on those areas!
#GOLD #forextrading
GOLD AND WAR NEXT TO 4K$Hello traders
as i can see gold is trading in a Decending Triangle zone and it had tested Fibo 0.61 ratio in month of may dip as we can see gold close monthly candle above 3280 zone which is a clear sign that big players and banks are still prefer Safe haven we can see US econmey in a bad recession zone unemployment and higher inflation is a big problrm for $ and on all these things Mr. Trump Tariffs is a game changer in commodities markets if we see Geopolitical issues around the world it esculating more war in diffrent regions of the world.. Now Israiel & US have a new biggest problem Iran which is showing us a attack on Iran can be happen incoming days as we can see 6 meetings was unsucessful in Oman for a Deal to Stop Iran's Nucler Enrichment Program which is not good... other then fundamental Charts are crystal clear and showing us a clear view for a New ATH on Gold our Risk reward ratio is prefect for us have a proper research before taking any trade its just an trade idea share your thoughts with us it will help many other traders Comments are open we love your comments and support the channel so it can diliver to many other new traders Stay Tuned for new updates ..
Gold Channel Rejection ZoneGold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend, respecting a well-defined ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting potential exhaustion near the resistance zone.
A bearish rejection from this area could trigger a corrective move toward the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a healthy pullback in an overall bullish structure. The chart also highlights a clear risk-to-reward setup, with a stop loss positioned above the recent highs and a target toward channel support.
As long as price remains below the channel top, downside pressure is likely in the incoming weeks. A confirmed breakout above the channel, however, would invalidate the bearish move and signal continuation of the bullish momentum.
Stop loss: 3443
Take profit: Around 2895 ( EMA 200 Daily )
XAU/USD Gold short to long ideaIn this week’s analysis, price is currently positioned between a few key zones where we could expect reactions. Given the overall bullish trend, we’ll be using the broader bias to guide our setups, but there’s also opportunity for tactical short-term plays.
Recently, price has shown strong bearish structure, forming new supply zones such as the 6H supply, which is now close by. If price reacts from this level, there’s potential for short-term sells targeting the clean 9H demand zone below — a solid area where I’ll be looking for a possible Wyckoff accumulation and bullish continuation with the trend.
Confluences for GOLD Shorts:
- Recent strong bearish structure and downside moves
- Significant liquidity and imbalance to the downside
- Well-defined 6H supply zone has formed nearby
- Market appears overbought, and bearish pressure is becoming more visible
- For long-term bullish continuation, price may need to revisit the demand zone below
P.S. If gold pushes higher first and sweeps the liquidity above, I’ll be watching closely for signs of Wyckoff distribution before considering any short-term sell setups. Patience is key — let the market show its hand before reacting.