9.4 Gold short-term operation strategyGold 2480 broke as expected.
The US dollar rose 0.26% during the week, hitting a two-week high of 101.9. Affected by the surge in the US dollar index, the price of gold hit a new low of more than a week to around 2473 yesterday. However, the poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data dragged down the US bond yields, providing support for the gold price. It rebounded slightly in the late trading, and the daily line closed with a small negative column with a long upper and lower lead.
The market is waiting for the US non-farm employment data, which may determine the scale of the possible interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting.
After the US holiday on Monday, gold finally broke out on Tuesday, breaking through 2480 all the way during the session and reaching the 2473 line. As we said, the market reached 2480. The 2502 short order given yesterday was basically the highest short order of the day, and once won 22 points of profit.
The recent market is actually a market for making money. As long as gold rebounds, you can short it. The current price is more stimulated by the news, and it will not be supported for long. At present, 2480 has been broken. The area of 2473-74 is a strong support. If it breaks down, it will go to the 2460 line. Based on the current trend, there is still a high probability. The 4-hour trend shows that the downward channel has been opened. If it rebounds around 2500 today, you can participate in short orders.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2505, defend at 2513, target 2490-2480
Buy at 2480, defend at 2473, target 2500-2505
Goldpreis
9.4 Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe U.S. market broke the bottom and reversed, with three negative daily lines, and the price completely broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
2490 did not hold, but this decline was not restless either.
1. They all fell first in the Asian market.
2. The European market is still rebounding and rising, forming an illusion of support.
3. The U.S. market fell 6-8 points before the intraday low, and the drop at this point basically determined the U.S. market to retreat.
4. The U.S. market continued to counterattack the 2502 line, which was considered a shock. It broke the intraday decline and rebounded 618, and also broke the top-bottom conversion level.
5. After the US market broke through the bottom, the difference was slightly 2470-1, the previous low.
6. It pulled back upward in the early morning, touching the intraday drop of 618 at the 2494 line.
From this we can see several points:
(1), it fell in a cycle in the morning.
(2) Oscillating retracement, the strength of the rebound is also OK. Although the decline is large, it can be closed up, and it is not an extremely weak decline.
(3) The daily rhythm is three Yin, reaching the edge of the maximum correction. Today's market should turn positive. This pattern, if there is a swallowing decline, the overall weakness will be weak, but this constitutes that it should still be a bull wash.
Therefore, in terms of operation:
You can get rid of the cycle and bet on the retracement first. The resistance level is 2492, which is the 618 position of yesterday's decline and rebound. If it breaks 2502, it will lose money and look at the 2483-4 line.
Pay attention to two points: if it falls in the morning, you should sell in the afternoon.
In addition, if the morning does not fall to the target level, it will break the high in the afternoon and the short will be evacuated.
There will be a cycle in the afternoon, and the European session will rise.
If the cycle in the afternoon is stuck, if it touches the 2483-4 line, it will be long, and the loss will be 73. Look for the intraday European session to pull up. The extreme retracement long position is 2481.5, which is the 618 position of the rebound and rise. But if the market resists the decline in the morning, it will be more aggressive in the afternoon, and the market will be above 2500.
9.3 Gold short-term operation strategyAt the beginning of the Asian session on Tuesday (September 3), spot gold 4 hovered below the 2500 mark and is currently trading around 2495 US dollars per ounce. Due to the strengthening of the US dollar, the price of gold fell to the lowest point in more than a week near 2489 on Monday, but then rebounded to around 2507 yuan and closed at 2499, with a small negative column with upper and lower leads on the daily line.
During the US holiday, the overall volatility of gold was small yesterday, and the intraday short-term was still dominated by fluctuations. Although the gold price fell below the 2493 support during the day, it quickly recovered, but the rebound strength was still weak, especially the hourly line. After a small rebound in the white plate, it fell all the way, with basically no rebound strength. In the morning, it came to 2495 again. This trend, from the perspective of the day, will definitely continue to decline, and 2480 is expected to be reached.
Gold is now in a multiple top structure above, and the trend of the hourly line is obviously falling. The gold short has not ended yet. The rebound of gold is an opportunity for the short. Gold is now building a top structure. Once formed, the decline of gold has just begun. Today, we are still shorting near the rebound of 2505, which is the starting point of the hourly line decline.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at 2505, defense 2512, target 2490-2480
9.3 Gold short-term operation strategyGold fluctuates to welcome non-farm payrolls
Gold fell in the Asian session on Monday, rebounded in the European session in the afternoon, rebounded slightly in the US session in the evening, closed early in the morning, and finally made profits twice. The daily line closed with a small cross Yin pattern. The daily line has been mainly oscillating in recent times
Gold bottomed out and rebounded in the Asian session on Tuesday. The 4H closed with a small Yin at 10 o'clock. From the current pattern, gold still has the momentum to fall. In terms of operation, pay attention to the 2480-2482 range. Go long for the first time it touches and look for a rebound. Other positions are arranged on the spot.
Today's PMI data will also be focused on
On September 3, the upward point is 2480-2482, long, protect 2474, and target 2490, 2498
Downward point is 2510-2512, short, protect 2515, target 2500 2495
9.2 Gold short-term operation strategyGold fluctuates, short-term bullish ideas remain unchanged
Today is currently successful. Due to the Labor Day in the United States, the market fluctuates in the range of 2490-2508. Go long in the morning and leave with a profit of 4 points. In terms of trend, the overall trend is still short-term bullish. After falling back, it stands on 2500 again. Bulls are dominant. Short-term bullish operations are still in place. Go long around 2496, stop loss at 2488, and stop profit at 2508-2516. Pay attention to risks.
Trading ideas: Go long around 2496, stop loss at 2488, and profit at 2508/2516
The above suggestions are for reference only and are not used as a basis for trading
Gold short-term operation analysis suggestionsGold fluctuated and rose under the speech of Fed Chairman Powell, rising from 2504 all the way to 2516, an increase of 12 points, and then consolidated and tested back and forth, but failed to reach the resistance point of 2520.
Powell made it very clear in his statement that inflation is falling. In addition, the Fed believes that inflation will continue to fall and employment has not been adversely affected. Powell wanted the market to know that the Fed was not behind the curve. By clarifying the possibility of a rate cut in September, Powell is actually cutting interest rates a month in advance. The timing of the first cut is clear, and the magnitude is still in suspense. I don't think the Fed will suddenly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Slow and steady is the way the Fed hopes to implement easing policies in the early stages.
Resistance level 2520 2530 2550
Support level 2505 2500 2490
8.22 Gold Operation AnalysisGold fluctuated and fell during the European session after the release of the US weekly jobless claims data on August 17. It has now fallen below the support line of the lower Bollinger band of 2485. The data is lower than expected. Gold should have been bullish, but it fell instead of rising.
For this situation, my personal analysis is that the bulls may be accumulating momentum to fall back and rush higher.
The long-term trend of gold is definitely rising, but it will inevitably fluctuate and consolidate in the medium term.
Key resistance levels are 2498, 2512, 2522, and 2530.
Key support levels are 2483, 2473, 2463, and 2450.
8.22 Gold Operation AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the 4-hour candle trend of the gold K-line chart is stable and currently fluctuates sideways at 2508.
Operation suggestions for the short term
2505 long position, take profit at 2520, stop loss at 2497
2515 short position, take profit at 2505, stop loss at 2523
8.2 Analysis of gold trend operationAfter hitting the peak of 2530 on the 20th, gold fluctuated at a high level and finally quickly pulled back. Currently, it is 2505 points.
Yesterday, gold failed to hit 2530 several times. The last time it hit 30, it quickly fell back. This also shows that the bulls may continue to hit the high point after the pullback.
The key downward support point is 2500. If it falls below 2500, look at 2490 / 2480 below.
Resistance points are 2520, 2530, and 2550.
What do you think about gold? Welcome to like and comment.
8.20 Gold Operation AnalysisFrom the 4-hour chart, gold closed at the top of the candle at 2525 and hit the top. We just tested 2530 but pulled back to 2526 resistance and only made a profit of 3 points. It is currently hovering around 2525.
Buy point 2520, take profit 2520, stop loss 2515
Buy point 2528, take profit 2518, stop loss 2533
8.20 Gold Trend Analysis2500 Golden Era has officially stabilized and will move towards 2600 in the future
Gold fluctuated and jumped from a low of 2486 to 2510 during the European session on Monday
The bulls are still continuing today. Currently, the gold price is trading at a high of 2523. On the Bollinger Bands, gold is below the middle track. The hammer line is long. If it touches the bottom, it can be bullish
In addition to the geopolitical situation, everyone is currently pinning their hopes on the trend of gold on Friday when Fed Chairman Powell will give a speech on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting
Support level 2515 2510 2500
Resistance level 2525 2535 2550
Will gold prices continue to be short?There is definitely an opportunity to short the gold price. But you need to wait.
My current view is to continue buying. Then wait for the right opportunity to sell. Then make a good short trade.
I have made good profits continuously. I share it in real time every day. If you don’t know how to trade yet. Want to recover losses or expand profits. Remember to leave me a message.
Analysis of gold trend on August 16If you only make orders based on data and don’t understand the market logic behind it, your transactions will always be slower than before.
From the 4-hour chart, gold has also reached the middle Bollinger Band and the downward trend is more obvious. Referring to international information, the support power of gold in the later period is obviously insufficient. The US dollar seems to be rising strongly. Gold is currently in high volatility.
Personal Operation Analysis
2440 Buy 2455 Take Profit Stop Loss 2435
2463 Short selling 2450 Take profit Stop loss 2470
8.15 Gold Trend AnalysisThe newly released industrial unemployment claims and retail sales did not meet expectations, which led to a significant negative impact on gold. Gold fell from 2469 to 2450 in an instant. This also happened to apply the short-selling stop-profit signal I sent in the group to be set at 2450.
In the data released in the past two days, gold has been mainly shorted, which also happened to be in line with the predictions of me and my team
In the future, I will also release the latest news every day. I hope everyone will pay more attention to the comments
I wish everyone can make their own profits in the market
If you have order losses and are not familiar with the market, please pay attention to me
8.15 Can the gold trend reach a new high?My personal outlook for gold in the future is that the price is expected to rise to a new high. The US dollar and earnings will continue to fall
But there may be deviations in the short term! You can also consider shorting at high levels!
With the positive CPI data released yesterday, gold should have created a new high, but it quickly fell back, causing gold to fall by 1.5%. This also allowed us to quickly seize the opportunity for short-term trading and quickly exit with profits!
I personally suspect that the situation last night was that big investors were using data to ship goods. They sold heavily when traders entered the market yesterday, causing gold to fall rapidly!
As for the data released tonight, retail sales, industrial production, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in August are important data for whether gold can stand on a new high, which will be a new trading opportunity!
If it is weaker than expected, the US dollar will continue to fall, while gold will rise all the way
At the same time, we will also make preparations for both situations
Analysis of gold market trend on August 15 (Thursday)From a long-term perspective, there is a lot of room for gold to rise!
Yesterday's CPI data was lower than expected. Gold was slightly bullish but plummeted 1% from a peak of 2476 to 2437 and closed at 2447.
In early trading today, gold fluctuated within a narrow range, with slight signs of recovery compared to yesterday. It is currently fluctuating at 2453.
In addition, there are several factors that you must consider!
1 Political situation in the Middle East: Tensions between Iran and Israel may have eased recently, and conflicts between Ukraine and Russia may further intensify.
2 The U.S. interest rate cut in September is a certainty, whether it will be 25% or 50%
The motivation for gold’s rise today on the daily chart is a bit lacking
Support level 2448 2438 2420
Resistance level 2460 2467 2480
7 Dimension 1:8 RR Sell Idea for GOLD Core Analysis Method
Smart Money Concepts
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: 15 min
1: Swing Structure: Bearish with CHOCH after taking inducement. The impulsive swing move is finished and now moving towards the decisional OB as a pullback, about to mitigate the decisional POI OB at the initial point of the premier zone. We will take a sell entry using the classic SMC entry model. After the breakout, this is also a CIP area.
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal: V-shape pattern indicating possible reversal from here and a rectangle pattern is also observed.
Shakeout.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Not any significant candle pattern observed except for a tower top.
3: Volume
🟢 A big difference is seen during the impulsive move and the correction move in terms of volume. No buy-side volume indicates another sharp sell move is expected.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Fully intact in the bearish zone, taking resistance at the 60 level, indicating another range shift. This impulsive move ended as loud moves, which is a very strong signal for a sell. Also, a Grandfather-Father-Son entry with H4 as GF.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Very tight contraction just started, indicating a strong squeeze breakout and walking on the band. A headfake also took place right at the upper band, and a BB W pattern is observed.
6: Strength ADX
Right now, totally sideways.
7: Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ 50% Probity (because of the decisional OB entry)
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish CHOCH
☑️ POI: Decisional OB
💡 Decision: Sell limit
🚀 Entry: 2419
✋ Stop loss: 2429.5
🎯 Take profit: 23.4
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:8
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 day
SUMMARY: The analysis indicates a sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, with structure, patterns, volume, momentum, volatility, strength, and sentiment all pointing towards a bearish move.
8.13 Gold Analysis,Get ready for gold to reach an all-time high and break through 2500
On Monday, gold rose by $40 to a historic high of 2477 points due to tensions in the Middle East, and then fluctuated sideways to 2460
If Iran launches a large-scale military attack on Israel, the price of gold will also rise
This week, the release of US CPI data will be a key event in the market. If CPI is lower than expected, the historical high of gold at 2500 will be just around the corner
Before the arrival of CPI on Wednesday, gold may fluctuate sideways and will be adjusted downward
So everyone should be cautious when entering the market
Resistance level 2468 2477 2490 2500
Support level 2455 2445 2410 2400
What do you think of the trend of gold? Welcome everyone to like and comment
#XAUUSD/H4 GOLD had good trading on the second dayAsia-Europe session analysis on 12/08/2024:
Gold forms a double bottom at 238x and experienced a rebound last week. Currently, gold is rising in the short term; however, technically, gold is expected to correct deeply in the near future.
The main trading trend for today is BUY. Key price levels to watch: 2400-2405; 2407-2411 and 2455-2460. Resistance zone at 2433-2437 is unlikely to be today’s peak. Attention should be given to the 2455-2460 zone for a potential long-term sell order.
Recommended Orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2407-2411
SL 2405
TP 2414 - 2430 - 2455.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2403-2405
SL 2399
TP 2410 - 2430 - 2437 - 2455.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2457-2460
SL 2463
TP 2450 - 2437 - 2400 - open.