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The unilateral offensive is fierce: the bulls have clear goalsGold is performing strongly sideways. We are in the same rhythm as yesterday and continue to maintain bullishness. Gold broke through the key resistance of 3280 on Tuesday and then rose strongly. It is currently above the area near 3330. The technical side shows that the bullish trend continues. The next target may point to the high of 3400. After rising continuously on Monday and Tuesday, it slightly adjusted back to around 3285 on Wednesday and stabilized before rising again. The daily line closed positive and stood firmly on the middle track. The Bollinger band opened upward, and the upper track pressure was at 3400, suggesting that the medium-term upward space is open. The Bollinger band opened significantly, the moving average was arranged in a bullish pattern, and the upward momentum was strong. Short-term support focuses on the moving average at 3315. If the correction does not break this position, the trend long order can follow up. If the key resistance of 3350 is effectively broken, it will further open up the upward space. Gold operation suggestions: continue to go long after stepping back to 3320-3315, with a target of 3350. If it rises to around 3350 without breaking, you can arrange short-term short orders, with a target of 3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Flexible response is the best strategyGold rose sharply in the morning and continued to rise slowly during the day. Because of the divergence of indicators in the short cycle, it is difficult to exert further force. Today's market has been fluctuating between 3285 and 3320. In the evening, we will first look at the space for decline and repair, and then fall back to accumulate strength to stabilize and attack. The lower support will remain at 3285-3280, and then look at the low point of 3274. The upper resistance level will look at the existing high point of 3320. If it breaks through 3320, then pay attention to around 3345. Short positions will be entered when the pressure situation is met. Continue to remain bullish in the evening. In terms of operation, wait for a decline and gradually look up to 3320 and 3345. Gold operation suggestions: go long on gold around 3290-3285, and look at 3315 and 3325.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
3
Is the gold price far from 3,400?Information summary: The trade war is a continuous war, and it has just begun. During Trump's four years in office, trade conflicts will continue to occur. Trade conflicts are means, not ends. The goal of the United States is to transfuse blood to its own economy through trade negotiations. In addition, US inflation fell to a historic low of 2.3% in April. The Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates on the grounds that inflation will rebound. The Federal Reserve can't hold on for long. Cutting interest rates is the only antidote to boost the economy, and it is also a special medicine. Next, once the Federal Reserve releases the wind of interest rate cuts, the market's risk aversion will be ignited again. In June, 6 trillion US bonds will mature. Regardless of the result this time, market sentiment will be worried, which is the key to driving price fluctuations. Market analysis: The 1-hour gold price broke through yesterday's high of $3,320. The previous pressure formed a new top-bottom conversion position, and the strong market was only a small correction in the middle. There is no need to worry about whether it will peak, but there must be a standard for judging the peak; this standard is: breaking the support position before the last decline, and the second rebound does not set a new high. Operation strategy: Go long when the price falls back to around $3,330, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range at $3,365-3,380.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting $3,4201. Entry Point Zone (~3,302.88 - 3,317.09): This is the area where a long position (buy) is suggested. The price has already moved slightly above this zone, indicating the trade may have already been triggered. 2. Stop Loss (~3,260.41 - 3,299.02): Positioned below the entry zone to limit downside risk. Suggests that if the price drops below this support zone, the trade idea is invalidated. 3. Target Point (3,420.41): A bullish target suggesting a potential upside move of ~117.62 points (or ~3.56%). This zone acts as a take-profit level. 4. Technical Indicators: Moving averages (possibly 50 EMA in red and 200 EMA in blue) show a bullish crossover recently, supporting the upward momentum. 5. Pattern Outlook: The chart implies a possible cup-and-handle or bullish consolidation breakout pattern, anticipating continuation upward. Summary: The strategy depicted is a bullish breakout setup: Buy near 3,302.88–3,317.09 Stop Loss near 3,260–3,299 Take Profit near 3,420 This setup favors buyers as long as the price remains above the stop-loss zone. If the market holds this structure, there's a good risk-reward ratio for a move to 3,420.41.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
27
Will gold continue to rise as risk aversion heats up? 📌 Gold driving factors At present, the current market sentiment has turned cautious, driving safe-haven funds into gold. Previously, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, and President Trump's promotion of a large-scale tax cut bill is expected to be passed by Congress, further strengthening the theme of "selling the United States" and exerting continuous pressure on the US dollar. In addition, the resurgence of disputes between the United States and China on the chip issue, and the news that the Group of Seven is considering imposing tariffs on cheap Chinese products, have exacerbated the uncertainty of the global economic outlook, further suppressing the US dollar, while supporting gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to an eight-day high. Gold prices also benefited from the heating up of geopolitical tensions. CNN reported that several US officials revealed that Israel is preparing to launch a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. 📊Commentary Analysis The current market is still running in a range of shocks. Therefore, the US market is still trading repeatedly around the range for the time being. For the time being, the small range will temporarily look at the 3320-3285 line! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Short when it retreats to around 3325-3320, stop loss at 3330, target around 3290! For long orders, look at the support situation and then enter the market at the right time! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Grasp the core strategy of trend tradingGold continues to be bullish and will go to the area near the gap of 3325. At that time, the short-term may be blocked and fall back. If it breaks, look at the area near 3340-3345. In the 4H cycle, relying on the moving average to support the rising stage, and the Bollinger is in an open state, there is still room to see above. The support for the fall back is to pay attention to the top and bottom of the small cycle of 3285, followed by the low point of 3274, but there will not be too much retracement in the strong position. In terms of operation, the main fall back is long, and gradually look at 3325 and 3345. Shorting can only be entered at key points, and fast in and out without fighting. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold near 3285-74, look at 3315 and 3325! If it is extremely strong, go long on the support of 3298-3295!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold fluctuates, short-term pullback continues to go long Gold fluctuated and retreated on Tuesday, testing the lowest line of 3205 downward. It can be seen that the market still does not have continuity, and the fluctuation space is also narrowing. The 1H cycle began to close, and the market was brewing a unilateral trend. After the daily line rebounded, it fluctuated around the short-term moving average. The direction was not clear. Short-term trading should not be pursued and sold at a loss. Operations should be carried out at a certain point. From the perspective of the hourly line cycle, it is testing the low point of Monday's retracement, forming a short-term double bottom structure. Pay attention to short-term retracement and long positions, pay attention to 3218/3226 support for long positions, and pay attention to 3252/3265 positions above.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
1
Gold fluctuates, and the profit range is in this area 📌 Driving events After a phone call with Trump yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that efforts to end the war in Ukraine are on track and Moscow is ready to work with Ukraine on a memorandum of understanding for a future peace agreement. The United States has begun serious trade negotiations with the European Union, which has slightly improved investor sentiment. These negotiations broke the long-standing deadlock and brought some hope for more deals after Washington signed a framework agreement with the United Kingdom earlier this month. Trump had previously said that he could also reach an agreement with India, Japan and South Korea, but the negotiations with Japan seemed to be deadlocked over the issue of automobile tariffs. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the day, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand after Moody's downgraded the US government's credit rating. 💰Strategy Package For intraday short-term operations, pay attention to the 3200 area for long opportunities and defend 3193. Pay attention to the 3235 area for short opportunities and defend 3242. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy. Gold operation suggestions: 1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220. 2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Perfect grasp of key points Insight into market trendsWith the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and the recent weak U.S. economic data, market expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut have increased. The U.S. dollar index has plummeted and is once again facing the 100 mark. Risk aversion sentiment has rebounded again, and gold has once again been sought after. It opened higher in the Asian session. However, we have mentioned the repetitiveness of sentiment many times recently, so we remind you not to chase the rise too much. We remind you to short near 3245, long at 3209, and short again near 3245. Both long and short positions are very accurate, giving perfect entry opportunities and successfully taking profits. Judging from the current trend, gold is under pressure again in the European session near 3248, and the US session has fallen back. The short-term strength has turned into a wide sweep again. Focus on the gains and losses of 3230. If it falls below or looks at the gap area of ​​3206-3203, go long if it falls back and does not break. The upper pressure is still focused on the area near 3253-60. Short-term fluctuations are increasing. If there is any adjustment, we will notify you in time. Operation suggestion: Go long in gold near 3206-03, look at 3230 and 3252!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade. This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets. The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value. In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution. The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance. The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment. The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news. Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold. Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices. The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold. Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive. It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold. Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold. Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies. Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier. The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook. Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value. Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
(XAU/USD) Buy Trade Setup – Entry, Target & Risk Management PlaEntry Point: 3,140.34 USD This is the suggested level to enter a long (buy) trade. Stop Loss (SL): 3,121.66 USD A protective level to limit losses if the trade goes against the setup. Target Point (Take Profit - TP): 3,251.33 USD This is the EA target point — where profits are expected to be taken. --- 3. Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk: From 3,140.34 to 3,121.66 = 18.68 points Reward: From 3,140.34 to 3,251.33 = 110.99 points Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:6, which is very favorable. 4. Resistance Point: Around 3,222.45 - 3,227.27 This area might act as a challenge for price movement, potentially leading to temporary retracements. 5. Indicators: Moving Averages: Red (shorter period) and Blue (longer period) lines help indicate trends. The price is moving above the short-term MA but currently under the long-term MA, which might suggest a short-term bullish move within a broader downtrend or sideways range. Conclusion: This is a bullish setup, anticipating a reversal or continuation to the upside after a pullback: Buy Zone: 3,140.34 Stop Loss: 3,121.66 Take Profit: 3,251.33 If the price drops to the entry point zone
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
29
3235 line becomes short-term resistance? Golden layout at night!🗞News side: 1. Trump's dialogue with Russia and Ukraine on ceasefire 2. The seriousness of the situation in Israel 📈Technical aspects: In the short term, the three key factors affecting the gold market are the certainty of tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a tail risk that deserves attention. Its impact on the global order far exceeds other geopolitical conflicts. It is expected that the conflict may see a key turning point in May and June, and the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to be implemented in the third quarter. At that time, the gold and silver markets may face greater negative pressure, and prices may fall back to 3000-2800 or even lower. Technically, the double top pattern at the daily level has been established. Although there is a certain resistance at the 3235 line of gold in the short term, considering the tail risk, the possibility of evolving into a triple top cannot be ruled out, and we need to be vigilant against the inducement of multi-money rises and washes. 🎁BUY 3220-3215 🎁TP 3230-3240 🎁SELL 3250-3255 🎁TP 3235-3225 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward. The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis. From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290. Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Bet on a short position near 3265! On Monday, the international gold price rose again by more than 1%. Benefiting from the weaker US dollar and the boost of safe-haven demand, gold first fell to 3206 and then rebounded to 3250, reversing the decline in the early trading. Gold has been under pressure in recent weeks because the market has gradually digested the expectation of stagflation and repriced the expectation of interest rate cuts. The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by about 58 basis points by the end of the year, while the expectation at the peak of panic in April was as high as 120 basis points. Views on the trend of gold in the evening! The market trend in the past few days is a little speechless for friends who like unilateralism. The market is nothing more than falling or rising first, but basically it rises as much as it falls, and it always fluctuates back and forth in a range. This is actually quite similar to the trend last week. It is nothing more than not as drastic as last week. Tonight, I still prefer to see shocks rather than breakthroughs! The upper resistance is at the previous high of 3265±3, and the lower support is to continue to look at the 3200 integer mark! From the hourly chart, the step-by-step rise is quite obvious, but the first resistance is at 3251. Only after the rise can we continue to see the suppression of 3265. So for today, the position near 3251 is the first attempt at short positions, and the second is 3265. If the rebound is in place, we will continue to play a short position. It is not a big problem to see a profit of 20 to 30 points. If it falls directly below 3200, there will be more room for surprises! Gold: Short when it rebounds near 3251, defend above 8 US dollars, and if you are prudent, just wait for 3265, and target the 3230-20 line!
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Gold is rising strongly? Beware of a sharp rise to the high poinThe US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from AAA to Aa1; affected by this, gold opened sharply higher in the Asian market on Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250. However, 3250 is not the high point at present, and it is only warming up in the Asian market. The important thing should be in the European and American markets. Such a major breaking news must be seen in the US stock market. If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. It is not ruled out that the Asian market will continue to fluctuate sideways in the short term, but I think it will still rise. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time. From the 4-hour chart: This K line is very strong. Once this K line closes above 3230, the highest high point can be seen from the 4-hour chart here. Judging from the current trend, I think the gold price is bullish as long as it is above 3200 in the Asian market. The lowest price in the Asian market in the morning retreated to around 3210, so it is not known whether it will retreat to around 3200. Then, for the short-term strategy, you can go long around 3210, with 3200 as the stop loss position. As long as the upper target stands at 3250, you can continue to see the profit range of 3280-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Observations: 1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140): The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows). The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move. 2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250): This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls. The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation. 3. Target Point (~3,375): The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line. This is likely the main target for a swing trade. 4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221): Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance. A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation. 5. RSI Indicator (~41): RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: This is a bullish reversal setup with: Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140 Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250 Final target: ~3,375 Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
23
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented: --- 1. Downtrend & Trendline Break The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs. A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure. CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure. --- 2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap) A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction. --- 3. Resistance & Target Zones A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break. Two target points are identified: First target: ~3344 Final target: ~3433 --- 4. EMA 200 The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias. --- 5. Expected Move The analysis anticipates: 1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock. 2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones. 3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
XAUUSD Bearish Setup with Key Entry, Stop Loss & Target LevelsEA GOLD MAN XAUUSD Entry Point: $3,235.94 Stop Loss: $3,235.94 (above current price, suggesting a SELL trade) Target Points: EA Target Point (Downside): $2,974.71 (Short target) EA Target Point (Upside): $3,505.03 (Long target — likely alternate scenario) Resistance Level: $3,121.49 Nearby Support Zone: Around $3,000–$2,975 📉 Trade Strategy Implied This appears to be a short position setup: Sell at: ~$3,220–$3,235 Stop Loss: $3,235.94 Take Profit: $2,974.71 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (very favorable setup if thesis holds) The upside target ($3,505.03) might be for a different scenario — if price reverses and breaks above resistance. 🧠 Market Structure Observations Trend: A bearish break from a previous ascending channel. Momentum: Price has bounced slightly after hitting support, but the moving averages suggest bearish momentum may persist. Key Risk: If price breaks above $3,236 convincingly, it could invalidate the short setup and trigger a bullish run. 📌 Summary Bias: Bearish (based on current setup) Setup: Short with tight stop above resistance Confirmation Needed: Watch for rejection at the $3,220–$3,236 zone and a breakdown below $3,200 for follow-through.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
34
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary: At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies. Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up. The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend. Technical analysis: Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis: I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold ended this week successfully!In terms of news, first, the easing of the trade situation weakened the safe-haven property of gold. Secondly, a series of data released this week and the Fed's emphasis on not rushing to cut interest rates also suppressed the gold price. In addition, the parties involved in geopolitical conflicts also began talks. Although there are differences in negotiating positions, they still have to solve the problem when they can sit down and talk. Because of the repeated news, the closing price at the end of the week was also above 3200, so some people still believe that the gold price will go to 3500, and even think that it will exceed this position. I have mentioned this in my previous analysis. The gold price was first stimulated by multiple news and buying rushed up. Now that the risk aversion has receded, I think it is reasonable to see the gold price fall. Let's analyze it from the technical side: the rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning around, so whether it can form a golden cross upwards is the key next time, or it will oscillate a few times and continue to diverge downward. The strength of gold on Monday is very critical. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, which was a very fast trend. However, it fell directly on Tuesday and broke through more than half, so it cannot be said that the bulls are strong. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a big negative line. There will be two key positions on Monday next week. Pay attention to 3180 on the bottom of gold. If it falls below 3180 soon after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak as a whole. Pay attention to 3215 on the top. If gold breaks through 3215, then gold will be strong as a whole. If gold opens flat on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, and it is under pressure at 3215, then you can continue to go short in the short term. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again? The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key. The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line. Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall. If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold still has room to fall and rebounds to continue to shortGold fell as expected in the Asian session, which was in line with our thinking and expectations. Our short position was shorted near 3237-38 and exited with profit, and then shorted near 3194 and exited with profit again, and we made good profits both times. There are many people who followed the trend and went long in today's market, or even chased the long position, and without exception, they were trapped and wailing. We have repeatedly emphasized that we should treat it with a sweeping approach, and different market rhythms should be responded to with different methods. Judging from the current market trend, the European session continues to weaken. The focus should be on the gains and losses of 3180 support. If it breaks through, it will continue to look at 3150 and 3120. In this case, the short-term will return to weakness. If it does not break, we will look at a wide sweeping range. The upper pressure will focus on 3200, 3215, and 3230. The rebound will be mainly high. The weekly line will be closed tonight, and volatility will intensify.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5