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Will gold fall after a strong rise Goldmarket analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend: Today's gold is still fluctuating greatly under the influence of tariffs. Today, we have analyzed that gold has the risk of callback, and long positions are also falling back to lows! Trend realization analysis and ideas! From the surge on Wednesday, it can be seen that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up again. The current highest is 3132, which is the first target point for the rise. If it continues to rise, it can see 3150 above, so there is still a lot of room above. Everyone should pay attention to trading with the trend as much as possible. In addition, there is another uncertain factor today. The US market will release CPI data, which will also bring abnormal fluctuations in gold. Therefore, the market will also fluctuate greatly today. Everyone should pay attention to controlling risks and managing positions well. From a technical point of view, a positive line on the daily line directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the middle track of Bollinger and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. In this state, it will continue to rise to the previous high of 3150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is normal for the small cycle to adjust under the pressure of 3100. Now the Bollinger of the 4-hour cycle has just opened, and the unilateral trend has just taken the first wave of strength. There is no problem in the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. Therefore, as long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the support of the unilateral moving average, it is an opportunity to do more. The support below is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060. Therefore, today's gold bullishness is expected to consider 3080 or 3070. The rise in the Asian and European sessions is still at 3130. If the US session breaks through 3136, consider seeing the high point of 3150. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3136-3155 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3080-3078 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. You must control your positions and stop losses, set stop losses strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3133-3136, with a target of 3100-3090, and a break to look at the 3080 line. Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long near the 3078-3080 pullback of gold, with a target of 3105-3125, and a break to look at the 3135 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 3,130Chart Analysis Trend & Structure CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked on the chart, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The price has broken above a descending trendline and is forming higher highs and higher lows, supporting a bullish bias. EMAs EMA 30 (red) and EMA 200 (blue): EMA 30 has crossed above EMA 200, which is often considered a bullish signal. The price is currently trading above both EMAs, reinforcing the upward momentum. --- Trade Setup Entry Zone The purple highlighted area between ~3,026 and 3,035, acting as a potential demand zone (previous
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
3
XAU/USD(20250409) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 2993 Support and resistance levels: 3040 3022 3011 2974 2963 2945 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 2993, consider buying, the first target price is 3011 If the price breaks through 2974, consider selling, the first target price is 2963
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold fell100 points for 3 consecutive days Market trend analysisStop loss is always right, even if it is wrong; holding on is always wrong, even if it is right. Stop loss is unconditional! Without trading principles and trading discipline, all technology is equal to zero! Spot gold fell by $212 in three days, and the bears shined. A while ago, we warned of the risks, but many people scoffed at it, thinking it was alarmist and that gold would not fall. The money earned by the bull market will definitely be lost with the principal and interest under the belief of the bull market. The three-day plunge in gold is enough to make many people return to the time before opening an account in three days! The market staged a "holiday conspiracy theory" market, because the heat has reached, and it is facing the implementation of equal tariffs. The previous surge in gold is to buy expectations and sell facts. The bullish atmosphere is unprecedentedly high, and the main force can harvest it. How arrogant the bulls of gold were at the beginning, how embarrassed they are now; the bears are far stronger than the bulls, the bulls cut meat with a blunt knife, and the bears cut the Gordian knot with a quick knife! Gold plunged $112 from 3167 to 3055 last Thursday, $120 from 3136 to 3016 on Thursday, and $100 from 3056 to 2056 yesterday, Monday. Last year, there were five days with a plunge of nearly or more than $100, and three consecutive days recently. Because the price is high, there will be more single-day plunges of 100 or more this year. Yesterday, all three major U.S. stock indexes stopped falling at the lifeline of bulls and ushered in an oversold rebound. The panic decline of crude oil and silver was also alleviated. Silver stopped falling at the key support of bulls at 28-28.5. It shows that risk sentiment has been alleviated to a certain extent. Market risk sentiment has been released, and gold shorts also need to rest. The main force of gold has cultivated too many bulls from January to April 2025, and cultivated the bull market thinking of retail investors. It will definitely kill the bulls with the help of this round of sharp decline, and gold can start to rise again! In the medium term, the rebound correction is for a better decline. 2956-50 will be broken, and then 2930-2880 will be broken, and the ultimate 2830 will be broken. Today is the fourth day of the decline. The decline stopped at 2956 in the early morning, which is the previous high point. At present, the first round of gold decline in the short term has been in place. Many people panicked after three days of sharp decline. Those who bought the bottom dared not buy the bottom, and those who did not short should chase the short. The main force will continue to wash the market! Today, the correction rebound is mainly seen. The upper resistance focuses on 3000, then 3030-25 and yesterday's high 3045-55 area. The focus of the day is 2956-60, and the short-term support is 2970-75. In theory, if you want to wash the market, wash it harder. 3000 can't stop it. Pay attention to the 3020-35 range, and even rush to yesterday's high area and then fall. Gold fluctuates by more than ten or dozens of dollars in 5 minutes. The article can only give ideas and areas. More specific strategies need to be given offline in combination with real trading. Orders must be strictly carried out with losses to prevent being stuck in the wrong direction. In an emotional market, watch more and do less! In today's market: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a small golden cross, but the strength and continuity of the golden cross are not shown; MACD double lines are downward, which is a bearish signal; the indicator is not a resonant bearish signal, so the 4-hour bias is corrected; in terms of form, it breaks the bottom and sets a new low, constantly pierces, and constantly rebounds. The support near the low of 2950 is effective here, and the back and forth piercing near 2970 is of little reference significance; the second decline is around 3050 and around 3020; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross, so the main high-altitude treatment is used; MACD double lines diverge, which is a bearish signal; the daily K is a resonant bearish signal, so the main idea of ​​shorting at highs is used; the current central axis position is around 3010; To sum up: the intraday short-term trend is around 2950 in 4 hours, and the decline rebounds; after the correction rebound, we continue to treat it as a high-altitude; several pressure positions 3 010-3020, The second is around 3050, followed by around 3090; on the long side, the layout is in the range of 2955-2965; the large range is positioned in the range of 3050-2950 Strategy: Short around 3015-17, defend 3024, target 3000-2990, the operation has been made and is not considered Long around 2995-97, defend 299 0, the target 3000-3010-3030 has been entered and is no longer considered Intraday short around 3030-40, defense 3045, target 3000--2980-2960-2930 Intraday secondary long around 2962-64, defense 2956, target 2975-2990 After falling below 2955, it will reach 2930 and 2880.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
Gold's slow rise approaches key resistance! Follow 3020Early layout plan for gold: On Tuesday, the public strategy suggested shorting gold at 3015, which was perfectly hit again, and successfully obtained high-altitude profits. In the real market, short orders near 3014 were also arranged, and the market closed at 3000-2998, and then 14-16 points of profit were collected! Gold technical analysis: On Monday, gold went long and short, and then rushed up and fell back! Yesterday, it was also mentioned that it was still a high-opening strategy, and then gold rebounded and plummeted in the evening; from a technical point of view, the previous gold daily chart encountered resistance near the historical important resistance level of 3135 and then went down, pulling out a big negative line, which is a strong message for the shorts! Although the current gold price is close to the lower track of the Bollinger band below, the shorts are still very strong. But at present, our general direction is still bearish. In addition, according to the current 4-hour chart, gold formed a double top pattern correction in the early stage. Although the short-selling force is strong at present, the long-selling force is not weak. The slow rise and pullback in the early trading has some strength. The upper resistance is still around 3020, and the key pressure is above 3035! Gold operation strategy: short around 3015-3020, defend the key resistance of 30-35, and target 2990-80! Investing shouldn't be so difficult. I will provide one-on-one real-time guidance and tracking services for each customer, and will also share professional opinions in time to closely grasp the market dynamics. Here, you don't need to face the complex market alone. I will help you capture opportunities accurately and keep a close eye on the market. You just need to go to work as usual and accompany your family with peace of mind. When the trading opportunity comes, I will notify you as soon as possible. You just need to do a good job of entry and exit operations and reasonable position control. Don't ignore risks due to greed or negligence to avoid major losses due to sudden changes in the market. At the same time, the market is like sailing against the current. If you don't advance, you will retreat. Investors need to continue to pay attention to market dynamics, continue to learn and improve their investment capabilities, and adjust investment strategies in time to cope with the ever-changing market. This is the relaxed state that investment should have. Only 1-5 orders a day, follow a stable strategy, and continue to reap profits. Whether it is to recover the cost or to achieve several times the growth of funds, you can do it. When the market trends come, I'll be there! Please follow and contact me in time!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAU/USD) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown Key Elements: 1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH: The price was in a rising channel. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level. The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target Zone: A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG. 4. EMA & RSI: 200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now. RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop. --- Summary of the Idea: Bias: Bearish Trade Plan: Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075). Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections). Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG. Let me know if you’d like help formulating a trade setup or risk management plan based on this. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold's 4-hour range has been broken, waiting for further declineTechnical analysis of gold: Gold continued to fall in the US market, and the price continued to return to the low point of the Asian market. The rise was not continuous, and the impact of tariffs remained. The market reported that the tariffs would be suspended for 90 days. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to be sold. However, the current fluctuations are too fast and the amplitude is too large. Short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position. In other words, gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold continued to rebound at the opening today. The rebound amplitude actually exceeded our expectations, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuations are relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still bearish. The US market rebound is still bearish. Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short divergence, and the short force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall situation is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. The US rebound is under pressure at 3012 resistance, so it can continue to be short. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it will eventually rush up and fall back. Gold is still the home of the shorts. However, it is now volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the thinking is still to maintain a high-altitude thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: short gold rebound near 3012-3015, stop loss 10 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956 Long order strategy: long gold callback near 2953-2956, stop loss 10 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold rebounded sharply. Will gold climb again?Gold trend analysis: There are many points worth interpreting in the intraday market. Let's review and replay: Today, the market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning. Did you chase the short position after the opening fell sharply? The 2980 first-line support was tested many times without breaking, which is a move to lure shorts, waiting for you to get trapped. What was the result? Did it rebound at the 2980 first-line support? From the low point of 2972 ​​to the high point of 3054, the hourly single-yang rebound amplitude reached 82 US dollars, which did not give you a chance to escape at all. The position of 3054 is in line with the 3050-3060 regional pressure we mentioned at the weekend. It is a top-bottom conversion position. The low point of last Thursday broke the support and turned into pressure on Friday. Today, it must be shorted anyway. Of course, there is also a false move here at 3054. The first time it touched the pressure and fell to 3036, and then it attacked again to test 3054 again. Did you chase the long position? Once you chase it, you're done. Then it fell to 3017, and the drop of 37 US dollars directly wiped out your extra money. So, if you say whether technical analysis is useful or not, it is definitely useful. Of course, there are times when it fails, such as the straight-line decline of the whole process like last Thursday and Friday. Any analysis is meaningless, but this is a minority after all. The technical reliability of returning to normal trend is still trustworthy. Gold technical analysis: Today is the third consecutive day of decline. From a technical point of view, such a continuous sharp decline generally lasts for about 3 days, and no more than 4 days at most, and it will turn positive. Therefore, the decline of gold today has slowed down significantly. The intraday rebound is under pressure at 3054 and it is sideways. The European session is volatile and ready to guard against a high and fall at night. Focus on the break of the 3054 line of pressure. If it breaks through the intraday low of 3013 at night, then look at the second drop to the low of 2980-2972, and pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
gold The plunge exceeded 100 points，The bearish trend is crazy!This week brings new trading opportunities, as well as new market opportunities. Nowadays, the market fluctuates greatly every day. Being a short-term trade means high frequency, fast in and fast out. As long as you do these well, you can make money in short-term trading. Don't be greedy for more. The most important thing in trading is stability. Going fast is not as good as going steadily. Do a good job in daily trading. If you can get two or three waves of profits, it will be enough for you. If you do not have the ability to flexibly respond to the market during trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading thinking and rhythm to the market rhythm in a timely manner, you can contact me and let us pursue more profits flexibly and stably in the volatile market! The K-line of the Golden Week closed at a medium-sized Yin high with a long upper shadow. forming a top heavy-volume adjustment in the short term. The daily negative adjustment engulfed the previous rising space. In terms of form, there is still room for adjustment this week, which can be continued to 2972 and 2956, while the top touches 3168 to explore the high and fall back pattern. , there is a high probability of forming a short-term high, but whether the trend will change needs to be further observed. Beware of weekly negative singles without consecutive negatives. The short-term pressure remains at 3058 and 3076. It will bottom out at the opening and rebound. First look at the strength of the rebound. At the top, focus on the pressure of 3055 first, and then look at 3076 if it breaks. Do not blindly chase shorts. Don't blindly chase the short position. Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3070-75, stop loss at 3080, and look at 3055 and 3020; if it is weak, pay attention to the 3055 pressure to short!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020.      This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals. Technical Review: After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week? Next week's analysis: From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060; Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030; Key points: First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988 First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Reversal Setup – FVG Entry to EMA 200 ResiThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe, with some key technical elements and a projected trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 1. Current Market Overview Price: Trading around $3,038.51. Trend: Recent downtrend followed by a minor recovery. Indicators: EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at $3,090.41, acting as a dynamic resistance. EMA 30 (Red): Positioned below the EMA 200, indicating a still bearish trend but with potential for a pullback. 2. Key Zones & Labels Limit Entry Zone: Highlighted around $3,025.72 (bottom purple zone) Labeled as “LIMIT ENTRY”, indicating a potential buy entry. This area corresponds with a fair value gap (fvg) — often used in smart money concepts as a sign of institutional interest. Target Zone: Around $3,082.22 (top purple zone) Labeled as “target point EA”. Lies just below the EMA 200 resistance level, which is a likely take-profit area for a bullish move. 3. Projected Price Action A possible bullish retracement is anticipated: Dip into the limit entry/fvg zone at ~$3,025. Then, a rally targeting the $3,082 zone, possibly extending toward the EMA 200 at ~$3,090. 4. Trade Setup (Based on the Chart) Entry: Around $3,025.72 (limit buy) Target: Between $3,082.22 - $3,090.41 Risk: Likely below the FVG zone (~$3,015–$3,020), depending on risk appetite. Conclusion This is a smart money concept-based setup anticipating a liquidity grab or fair value gap fill before a bullish move. The trade aims for a reversal at a key demand zone, with confirmation from EMA confluence above as a profit target. Would you like help plotting stop-loss levels or analyzing the risk/reward ratio?
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
2
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086. Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
4.4 Gold is low and long, wait for non-agricultureYesterday, the gold market opened at 3134.1 in the morning. The market first fell back to 3122.6 and then rose strongly. After breaking the previous high, it reached a high of 2167.9. After that, the market began to fall under the cooperation of fundamentals and technical profit-taking. The intraday low was 3053.6. After that, the market rose strongly and reached 3135.8 before consolidating. The daily line finally closed at 3114.1. The daily line closed in a spindle shape with a very long lower shadow. After this shape ended, after the break of 2940 and 2958, the long positions were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3050. If it falls back to 3082 first today, the long stop loss is 3075. The target is 3115 and 3132. If it breaks, the target is 3140 and 3150.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction. Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders. Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown 1. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend. Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher. Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection. Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced. 3. Current Price Action: Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050). A bullish reaction is expected from this level. If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186. 4. Projected Move: The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support. If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel. Mr SMC Trading point Conclusion: If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity. A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement. Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Is the golden large-scale "roller coaster" near miss?Gold took a large "V"-shaped reversal pattern on Thursday, with the highest hitting 3167 in the Asian session, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European session. It successfully fell to the lowest 3054 before the US session and then rebounded. As of now, gold has deeply bottomed out and rebounded to 3135. It has now started the oscillation mode. Gold continues to fluctuate in the range of 3100-3135, waiting for the release of the initial jobless claims data in the US session. The data is bearish, and the shorts broke through the 3080 line. After all, the technical adjustment is almost done, and everyone can find opportunities to go long. Later, gold hit the 3054 line and rebounded quickly, and the long orders also recovered the losses. This process is full of thrills and excitement. After all, such a large bottoming rebound is relatively rare. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3130-35 on the upper side, and pay attention to the short-term support around 3100-3106 on the lower side. Pay attention to the support of 3083-3087. After stabilizing above this position, continue to follow the low-long rhythm, and stick to the idea of ​​​​going long after stepping back. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long at 3105-3095
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
The battle for the 3200 mark is imminentThe United States has officially launched a tax increase policy on major global trading partners. The wide range of goods involved and the high tax increase are rare in history. The essence of the tax increase is to require countries to have the same tax rate on US goods as the US export tax rate to them. For example, if Indian motorcycles face a 2.4% tax in the United States, and American motorcycles are taxed 100% in India, the United States will reversely tax Indian motorcycles at 100%. This "tit-for-tat" mechanism directly leads to a surge in the price of imported goods, and companies are forced to restructure their supply chains. Next, once the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates, gold is bound to reach a new level. Cutting interest rates is the general trend. When the economy is down, only by cutting interest rates can economic development be stimulated, and raising interest rates will only push the economy to the brink of collapse. The US economy is already in collapse, not on the edge! After the tariff news, gold quickly retreated to 3105 and then soared, reaching a high of 3168. Gold, hold the position of 3100 US dollars, which is the key to determine the long and short positions. The rising market is not about staring at the high point speculation, but the gains and losses of the key support area. As long as the key support is not broken, the rising trend will not see the top. Gold operation suggestion: long around 3120-3110
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
The tariff hammer helps bulls rise stronglyTechnical analysis of gold: Affected by fundamentals, gold rose sharply again. The daily line finally closed in the positive zone and maintained a strong high at the opening. Pay attention to the upper and lower support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, it will have the momentum to continue to rise. The 4H cycle will strongly break through the upper Bollinger Band. , moving higher around the moving average support, there is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle rail has recovered, and the middle rail is still a key watershed. The lower support is around 3148 and 3138. We will go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look at 3170 and 3200! Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138-40, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170! Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. The market is changing rapidly. There is no general who always wins in this market. Therefore, it is important for us to make corresponding adjustments according to market changes. We must do a good job of protection. There will always be some ups and downs in the market, but there will be a rainbow after the rain. We must not forget our original intention and forge ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
The long-short sweep may still explodeThe tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious. Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics. So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this. As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. This performance can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I certainly cannot notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss. ​ ​
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyGold prices hit a new all-time high as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing uncertainty in the global economy. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In short, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply. The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions. Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130. Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1