Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Goldpreis
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy.
Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
Bulls and bears are anxious? Rebound continues to empty📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is in a sideways consolidation near 3320 in the short term. The market has no clear direction for the time being, and the long and short positions are in a tug-of-war. The hourly line rebounded to 3328 and then fell back again, suggesting that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: if it rebounds to the 3320-3330 resistance area, you can consider entering short positions again. If the market continues to decline, focus on the 3300-3290 support range. If it stabilizes, long orders can be arranged. The overall idea is to maintain a volatile market. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or falling below 3290, high-altitude and low-multiple is still the main strategy.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3310-3300-3290
BUY 3310-3300
TP 3320-3330-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
XAU/USD) Bullish trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakout from consolidation supported by key levels and trend structure. Here’s the detailed analysis:
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Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support Zone
Price has formed a strong base around 3,315–3,325, with multiple bullish rejections (green arrows).
This zone has acted as a demand level, reinforcing bullish structure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
An uptrend line supports higher lows, showing momentum building to the upside.
3. EMA 200
Price is now challenging the 200 EMA (3,353.41) — a key dynamic resistance.
A successful breakout and retest above this EMA will likely fuel continued bullish movement.
4. Breakout & Measured Move Projections
The chart indicates a bullish breakout from a consolidation box (yellow zone).
Measured move targets based on the previous rally:
First target: 3,368.86 (1.17%)
Second target: 3,381.55 (1.75%)
5. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is around 57, showing bullish momentum but still below overbought—supporting further upside potential.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On pullback into 3,330–3,340 range or breakout retest above EMA 200
Targets:
3,368.86
3,381.55
Invalidation: Sustained close below 3,320 and break of the uptrend line
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Gold rebound is blocked and high-altitude strategy continuesGold continued its bullish correction yesterday, reaching 3336 in the European session, and continued to retreat in the US session, reaching a low of around 3312 before temporarily stopping, and started a second pullback correction, and finally closed around 3332. Today, it opened at 3333, rebounded to 3340, and then entered a shock consolidation. Currently, the upper side focuses on the suppression of the 3342-3350 area. If the price cannot effectively break through and stand firm in this area, gold still has room for further retracement. In terms of operation, it will continue to rely on this suppression range to maintain a high-altitude thinking during the day, and follow the trend to see a decline. The recent market trends are basically the same, bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of strategy, keep a sense of rhythm and mainly short at highs.For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the notification at the bottom🌐.
Gold is obviously suppressed, so we must go short!Yesterday, gold continued to fluctuate and fall under pressure at the 3360 mark. The US market further accelerated downward to break through the 3300 integer mark and reached a weak closing near 3295. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed fall and broke the bottom of the middle shadow. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate and fall in a weak rhythm. After reaching the lowest level of 3295, it rebounded and closed at 3323. Today, it opened at 3324. As of now, it has reached the highest level of 3337. At present, we are focusing on the suppression of 3340-3348. If the rebound is under pressure, we can still intervene in short orders. The recent market trends are basically the same - bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of operation, continue to keep shorting under pressure and long positions after bottoming out and rebounding.
From the current market trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3338-3342 area. If it rebounds to this range and is under pressure, you can consider choosing an opportunity to arrange short orders. The lower support focuses on the 3315-3305 line. If it falls back and stabilizes, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. The overall situation is still in a range-bound structure. It is recommended to focus on key points, buy high and sell low, follow the trend, and strictly control risks. For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the 🌐 notification at the bottom.
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold.
From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, based on technical signals and price action behavior. Here's the breakdown
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Gold Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 3,384
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. Support Zone & Price Reaction:
Price has tested a strong horizontal support level (highlighted in yellow).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks indicate buying pressure at this zone.
The green arrows show successful support bounces, hinting at bullish intent.
2. Trendline Analysis:
Price bounced near the lower boundary of the falling wedge/downtrend channel.
An uptrend line convergence supports potential reversal.
A breakout above the short-term descending trendline is indicated.
3. EMA & Target Projection:
EMA 200 at 3,364.33 may act as dynamic resistance, the next short-term hurdle.
Target zone projected at 3,384.04, offering a potential move of +65.67 pts (~1.98%).
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI(14) is oversold (~29.93), signaling a potential reversal.
A bullish crossover may be forming, supporting upward momentum.
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Trading Plan:
Entry Zone: Near current support area around 3,325
Target: 3,384
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below 3,300, under support structure
Risk/Reward: Favorable based on support hold and breakout projection
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This setup suggests a short-term bullish reversal from a key support area, with confirmation likely if price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the 200 EMA.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
War breaks out again? The latest analysis and layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
At the 4H level: the Bollinger Band opening is enlarged, the MACD indicator double-line death cross is downward, the short-selling force is strengthened, but the RSI indicator rebounds after being oversold. Overall, there are obvious signs of a rebound in gold prices. At the hourly level: the gold price is in a downward channel, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD indicator is dead cross and the red bars are converging, and the short momentum has weakened. The RSI indicator rebounds from oversold, and the demand for spot gold rebounds is obvious. Therefore, we still hold long orders near 3320 in the short term. Short-term operation suggestion: go long when it stabilizes at 3325-3315, pay attention to the resistance range of 3370-3380 on the upside, and consider shorting when encountering resistance and pressure.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3345-3365
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD 📉
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Resistance Zone:
Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance.
🔻 Bearish Momentum:
After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure.
📉 Support Level:
Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.”
This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again.
🔄 Minor Retracement Zone:
Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward.
This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip).
🎯 Target Projection:
Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone.
📌 Conclusion:
The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
📉
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Resistance Zone:
Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance.
🔻 Bearish Momentum:
After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure.
📉 Support Level:
Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.”
This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again.
🔄 Minor Retracement Zone:
Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward.
This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip).
🎯 Target Projection:
Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone.
📌 Conclusion:
The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
Are you ready for the next wave of gold market?Gold fell back as expected after opening high. Today's strategy arranged long orders at 3350-3352, and successfully closed the market at around 3362 with profit. The subsequent three short orders also closed the market at a profit as expected. The points were perfectly predicted, and the long and short positions were perfectly grasped during the day. The strategic ideas were disclosed in advance and all were fulfilled.
At present, the overall trend of gold is still bullish, and it is in the adjustment stage in the short term. The large range this week is 3340-3405. Although there is a rebound, the upward pressure is still not small, and the gold price may continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 3355-3340 area below. In terms of operation, long orders are arranged according to the strength of the retreat; pay attention to 3385 in the short term above. If it can effectively break through, look at 3395-3405. The strong pressure is still at the 3405 line. If it does not break, it will still fall under pressure. On the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to hit last week's high.
Operation suggestion: When gold falls back to around 3355-3340, long orders can be arranged in batches, with the target at 3370-3380. Short orders will be adjusted according to the real-time market, please pay attention to the bottom 🌐 notification for specific points.
Gold XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting $3,454.65Price: $3,384.41
Strategy: Buy/Long
🟦 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around $3,345.76
This level aligns with a previously tested support zone marked in purple.
Stop Loss: $3,331.56
Below the support zone, providing downside protection if the setup fails.
Target (TP): $3,454.65
Marked as EA TARGET POINT, suggesting a potential upside of 3.16% (~$105.83 gain).
📊 Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
200 EMA (blue): Near the entry level, adds strength to the support zone.
50 EMA (red): Recently crossed below price, indicating early bullish momentum.
Price Action:
Sharp bounce from support suggests buying interest.
Potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
🧠 Trade Idea:
Buy near $3,345.76,
Stop Loss at $3,331.56,
Take Profit at $3,454.65
Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3.3 — favorable setup for long positions.
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend.
From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Follow the trend and go short, and buy when the price falls backAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened higher and lower again on Monday, and the trend was exactly the same as last Monday. After the opening, gold fell back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. We planned to arrange long orders near 3350, but gold went up directly and did not give an entry opportunity. During the rebound, gold was blocked and under pressure at the 3366 line, and at the same time, there were signs of stagflation at high levels. Combined with the short-term adjustment needs, the strategy was to arrange short orders near 3364 and successfully stop profit at the target of 3350. Then we went long at the 3348-3350 line, which is also the preset long entry area. The current target continues to focus on the 3370-3380 area. So far, although gold opened high and went low, the overall bullish trend channel has not been broken, and the retracement to long is still the current mainstream direction.The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
From the current trend, the support below focuses on the 3340-3345 area. Combined with the stimulus of the Middle East situation over the weekend, the short-term upper resistance focuses on the 3380-3385 area. The expectation of breakthrough is still there, and the focus is on the suppression performance of the 3400-3415 line. The overall strategy continues to rely on the idea of buying on pullbacks. Watch more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for clear signals at key points before intervening.
Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement near the 3340-3350 line to do more, the target is 3370-3380.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis-23 June 2025Gold (spot XAU/USD) is currently trading around $3,358. On the 4-hour chart, price has been range-bound between $3,356 and $3,400. Recently, gold attempted to break higher (up to around $3,394) but quickly reversed — a sign that the breakout may have been a smart money trap. Technically, the structure saw a break below $3,380 in mid-June, leading to a push toward the $3,323 region. This reflects a short-term bearish wave followed by stabilization near the lows.
Bias: The market is currently neutral-to-bullish, depending on key supports. As long as price holds above the $3,322–$3,330 swing-lows, dips are considered buying opportunities. Notably, an order block/demand zone around $3,357–$3,360 appears to be holding well and attracting buyers. On the upside, $3,400 acts as a strong resistance level. A break above $3,400 would shift the bias firmly bullish, while a break below $3,338 would suggest bearish momentum returning.
🔑 Key 4H Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance:
• $3,400 – Major round number and recent high
• $3,434–$3,435 – Next resistance above $3,400
• $3,451–$3,452 – Recent swing top
• $3,500 – All-time-high level
Supply Zone:
• $3,388–$3,394 – Minor resistance and previous support turned supply
Demand Zone (Order Block):
• $3,357–$3,360 – Major 4H demand area showing strong buyer interest
Support:
• $3,338 – Critical support level below the order block
• $3,322–$3,323 – Multi-source key swing support
• $3,280–$3,300 – Lower targets if support fails
• $3,260 or below – Worst-case downside projection if breakdown accelerates
📈 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups
Buy the Dip
• Entry: $3,357–$3,360
• Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle on 1H
• Stop Loss: Below $3,336
• Targets: $3,380 → $3,400
Sell a Rejected Rally
• Entry: Near $3,400 (only if clear rejection is seen)
• Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or price stalling
• Stop Loss: Above $3,400
• Targets: $3,360 → $3,330
Breakdown Short
• Entry: If price breaks below $3,338 with strong 1H close
• Stop Loss: Above $3,345
• Targets: $3,323 → $3,300
Bullish Breakout Trade
• Entry: Break and retest above $3,400
• Confirmation: Clean 1H close above $3,400
• Stop Loss: Just below $3,400
• Targets: $3,434 → $3,452
✅ Final Takeaway
Gold is currently trading inside a $3,330–$3,400 range. The best intraday opportunity is to buy dips into the $3,357–$3,360 demand zone with a stop below $3,330, targeting $3,400+. If support breaks, flip to short toward $3,320–$3,300.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market.
News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening.
The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120, After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
The rebound is weak, is it expected to continue to decline? 📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Pay attention to the impact of short-term trends of the US dollar and silver on gold
📈 Market analysis:
The weekly level large range sweep is still going on, with a focus on the space defense dividing line area of the 10-day moving average and the 3315-3310 area. After falling back to the lifeline in four hours, it continued to bend downward under pressure. During the sweeping decline, the suppression became more obvious. Whether there will be a wave of large-volume market, the pattern is expected to further open and guide the direction. In this process, note that the lifeline 3375 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound last night. Use this as suppression to sweep the range below. On the whole, for the future gold, if it can maintain the rhythm of defending highs and breaking lows, and successfully closes at a low level today, then next week it is expected to further switch downwards to sweep space. Therefore, we will continue to focus on two support areas, one is 3345-3335, and the other is 3315-3310 after breaking
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3355-3365
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3345-3335-3315
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
The bear market is over? Short at high and long at low📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
Due to the early closing yesterday, the volatility of the US market was limited and the market seemed relatively flat. From a technical perspective and the current trend, 3340 is a key defensive support level. If it retreats to this level, you can consider going long. If the gold price continues to rise and reaches 3375, from the perspective of trading strategy, you can choose to place a short order here. Focus on the resistance line of 3370-3375 during the day, and pay attention to the support of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3375
TP 3360-3355-3345
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3360-3370
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD