Comprehensive analysis of the heavyweight GOLD (exclusive)Dear traders
As of now, the gold price is 2909.97/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 0.37%, a high of 2915.26, and a low of 2891.4.
technical analysis
There was a big drop last Friday, and the decline continued on Monday to close positive. Today's opening price is between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10.
First, pay attention to the support level of last Friday near 2877, and then the low point of 2864 near the rebound last Wednesday.
Pay attention to yesterday’s rebound high resistance level of 2906-2908, and above it is the 2916 pressure level.
Factor analysis:
1. There is still uncertainty in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Although there is news of negotiations, the situation is not completely clear. As long as the conflict is not completely resolved, it may trigger risk aversion in the market at any time, leading to an increase in gold prices.
2. The United States faces the dual pressure of high debt and high interest rates, which affects the credit of the US dollar, leading to the continuous purchase of gold by central banks around the world, which will provide strong support for gold prices in the long run.
3. The Fed is expected to enter a rate cut cycle, which resonates with the purchase of funds and pushes up the price of gold.
4. From the perspective of demand, the trend of global central banks buying gold has been extended. In 2024, the demand for gold from central banks of various countries reached 1,044.6 tons. It is expected that global gold reserves will continue to increase in the next 12 months. The growth in demand has room for gold prices to rise.
If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later. (David) OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
Goldpreis
Analysis of the latest international gold trend (exclusive)
hello everybody
The current price of gold is US$2,901.33 per ounce, up US$21.96, or 0.76%, from the previous trading day. New York gold is trading at US$2,913.2 per ounce, up US$12.5, or 0.43% from the previous trading day.
Influential factors
1. The hawkish stance of Federal Reserve officials has increased market expectations for interest rate hikes, leading to the withdrawal of funds from the gold market and suppressing gold prices.
2. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is still ongoing. These geopolitical risks still exist, which may trigger the market's risk aversion demand at any time, thereby driving up gold prices.
3. Global central banks have increased their net gold holdings for 18 consecutive months, and the amount of gold purchased in 2024 has exceeded 1,000 tons for three consecutive years, with strong support on the demand side.
Through the above analysis, the current gold market pressure has been released, and the gold price is still mainly bought at a low price.
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later - (David OANDA:XAUUSD ) TFEX:GO1!
Big news: "Comprehensive analysis of international gold trends"
Since 2025, the price of gold has risen several times. In the first week of 2025, it rose to around US$2,800, and broke through US$2,900 on February 10. However, it fluctuated sharply on February 15, with XAUUSD falling 1.76% in a single day. As of February 16, the price of gold remained at US$2,882.085 per ounce.
Analysis of the reasons for the impact:
Economy and policy: The Fed's interest rate cut is uncertain. Although the interest rate remains unchanged in March, it is relatively high, but the market expects a possible interest rate cut, and the lower actual interest rate supports the attractiveness of gold. Including the expansion of U.S. government debt and measures to freeze the assets of other countries, resulting in damage to the credibility of the U.S. dollar.
Geopolitics: The situation in the Middle East is tense, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, and the trade confrontation that may be triggered by the US tariff policy has further amplified the market's demand for safe havens. Gold, as a relatively traditional safe haven asset, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
Other banking policies; currently the world's major banks, such as the European Bank and the Bank of England, have started an interest rate cut cycle, and the relatively loose market flow environment has provided underlying support for gold prices.
If you agree with my analysis, please stay tuned and I will share my views for free in the future - (David).👈👈👈👈👈👈 OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Next GOLD situation analysisDear traders;
The market is changing rapidly, and following the trend is the way to go.
When trading, remember not to act on impulse. I believe many traders have deeply experienced that the more you want to make money, the more rational you need to be. When the floating loss continues to increase, you can't eat or sleep well, and you miss a lot of opportunities in vain. When you have these troubles, you might as well follow my pace to change a trading method, which will definitely make you suddenly enlightened.
If you need help, I will always be here
GOLD closed with a long upper shadow this week. Technically, there is a need to fall back, so it fell back many times this week. The weekly support is near 2856. If it breaks down effectively, there is a probability of going to 2830. If it does not break, it will temporarily fluctuate at a high level, and then choose the direction with the help of major data.
The daily line quickly fell after failing to break the new high twice yesterday, and then fell sharply to the 2876 line, and finally closed down.
GOLD fell below 2900 and fluctuated, which is also in line with the technical correction, so there is no need to panic. The bullish trend has not changed. Although GOLD has experienced a correction this time, David believes that GOLD will inevitably rise after the next cycle. After all, the strong support of the current market is a major factor in driving GOLD upward.
Keep paying attention to the subsequent sharing of views
News affecting gold pricesNews:
Russia's nighttime attack damaged port infrastructure in the Odessa region of Ukraine.
Russian troops occupied Zelenpo and Dachne in eastern Ukraine.
In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,200 soldiers, as well as 17 tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 81 artillery systems and other equipment.
Geopolitics is continuing to heat up, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint
The market is in a volatile range.
It is expected to show an upward trend in the next trading cycle.
Keep an eye on the subsequent sharing of views
Signal gold📉 Signal 1: Entering a Short Trade
🔹 Entry Conditions:
If the price fails to break 2,806 - 2,813 and shows bullish weakness, a short trade can be considered.
Entry around 2,789 is suitable.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above 2,800
🔹 Take Profit:
First target: 2,777
Second target: 2,764
Third target: 2,764 (if the downtrend continues)
🔹 Risk Management:
If the price stabilizes above 2,813, reassess the trade.
If 2,777 support is broken, the downtrend will strengthen.
📈 Signal 2: Entering a Long Trade
🔹 Entry Conditions:
If the price holds the 2,777 - 2,789 support and reversal candles appear, a long trade can be considered.
Entry around 2,818 is suitable.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below 2,806
🔹 Take Profit:
First target: 2,850
🔹 Risk Management:
If 2,764 is broken, reassess the long trade.
If the 2,813 resistance is broken, the uptrend will strengthen.
✅ Overall Conclusion:
If the price reaches 2,806 - 2,813 and shows weakness, a short (sell) trade is preferable.
If the price reaches 2,777 - 2,789 and shows bullish reversal signs, a long (buy) trade is logical.
Entry confirmation should be based on price action and candlestick patt
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE .READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold list week take a New All Time high ATH 2817 ) Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point still ses a bullish trend 📈 🚀 this week take a New 🆕 ATH 2837 fisrt take support breakdown moving 😃 up trand that expect it. Next week Two strong 🪨💪 support level 2785 2772 that entry buying said if close below 👇 that level that expect Short Trade. 2724 2703 )
Key Resistance level 2817+ 2837
Key Support level 2785 - 2772 - 2724 - 2703
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD - Long from bullish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to make a retracement price to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy's dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold and of list ATH 2798😁 ready for Short 😀 list night 🌉 FOMC meeting 🤝 ) low carncy rates) technical fundamental analysis looking And of gold ATH (2798) now gold still moving to recover Short 😀
Key Resistance level 2798
Key Support level 2786 - 2772 - 2766 - 2766
Mr SMC Trading point
Plaes support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
GOLD 4H CHART ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHello Traders,
Here’s our updated analysis for the 4H GOLD chart. Last week’s projections played out perfectly, with EMA5 crossing and holding above key levels, successfully reaching our targets TP1, TP2, and TP3 (marked with orange circles on the chart).
Target Levels for the Coming Week:
This week, GOLD reversed from the resistance level at 2785.94. Currently, EMA5 and price are fluctuating between two weighted levels, with a gap above at 2785 and a gap below at 2733. We’ll need EMA5 to cross and hold above or below the ENTRY LEVEL at 2733 to determine the next range.
Key Updates:
Resistance Level: 2785.94
Bullish Targets:
TP1: 2785
TP2: 2810
TP3: 2833
If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2758, the next bullish target is TP1 (2785).
If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP1 (2785), the path to TP2 (2810) will open.
If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP2 (2810), the path to TP3 (2833) will open.
Bearish Targets:
Key Level: 2733
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2733, it will open the path to 2706.
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2706, the path to 2680 will open.
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2680, the path to 2653 will open.
Additional Ranges:
Retracement Range: 2706 - 2680
Swing Range: 2664 - 2634
We will continue to monitor these levels and provide updates based on how EMA5 interacts with the weighted zones.
The QUANTUM Trading Mastery
1.17 Gold fluctuates steadily upwardGold opened yesterday and fluctuated upward from 2694 to 2702. After that, the price fluctuated and fell to the intraday low of 2690 and then began to rebound and rise to 2711. Our 2694-95 long order was also a perfect profit stop. The US market price fell from 2711 to 2700 and then rose again to the intraday high of 2724.6 and fell back to 2714.
From yesterday's trend: 2698-2700 is the current support point, followed by 2711-12. The upper resistance is 2720-26.
Market analysis:
① The daily line closed with a positive column yesterday, combined with the indicator macd golden cross and the upward repair of sto, which means that the daily line will continue to rise. Then the long position is the current moving average MA5 near 2693. The current daily line supports the moving average MA10 and MA60 and the middle track 2677-2661-2651.
②4-hour current MACD golden cross high shrinkage, dynamic indicator STO double line adhesion downward, indicating high price fluctuations. The 4-hour is currently supported by the MA10 and parabolic turning point adhesion 2703-07 line, followed by the middle track 2690. The 4-hour is currently maintaining a range of 2726-2706.
③Hourly current Bollinger band three tracks shrinkage represents range compression. And range compression means that there will not be a big rise or fall at present. The hourly indicator MACD high dead cross volume, dynamic indicator STO hook down hovering near overbought.
In summary:
The daily line is still mainly buying on dips, and the long position is near 2693 and 2698; but the 4-hour is currently maintaining a high range of fluctuations, and the hourly line is currently shrinking, indicating fluctuations. Therefore, the price during the white session is maintained in the range of 2726-2697.
Strategy:
Short around 2720-22, defend 2726.5, target 2712-2708-2700 (aggressive short around 2718)
Long around 2698-2700, defend 2690, buy more at 2694-95, target 2718-2726, break through 2732-2742-48
GOLD - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish price action after price rejected from trendline + LZ. As well we have a hidden divergence for a buy.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+2) we will see results of yearly and monthly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
1.15 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold's 1-hour moving average has also begun to turn downward. If the gold's 1-hour moving average eventually forms a dead cross downward, then the space for gold's short position to fall will be further opened. Gold's US PPI data is bullish, but it is still under pressure and will fall directly to 2675. Gold's US rebound to 2675 will continue to be short.
Gold is now under pressure at a high level, and the bulls still have no further momentum to rise. So the rebound will continue to be short, and gold shorts may exert force at any time.
Short-term operation ideas:
Gold 2672 short, stop loss 2682, target 2655-2650;
1.14 Gold price oversold correctionIn today's technical trend chart:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish signal; the MACD indicator double lines stick together and are temporarily in a passive state; in terms of form, it is temporarily running in the 4-hour range; the 4-hour range is temporarily 2465-2695; in the range, the method of buying low and selling high can be adopted as the main method;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator changes from golden cross to stick together, temporarily inactive, and temporarily remains in the BOLL range in terms of form. Yesterday's big negative line may continue to adjust; the position of the middle axis is also the position of the strong and weak dividing point, which is near 2645;
To sum up: today's short-term can be stuck in the resonance support near 2645, and the short-term is long; the upper pressure position is near 2680, and the short-term is stuck empty, and a small range of shocks is made to correct the trend;
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support.
Technical analysis:
1. Key resistance and support levels
Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend.
Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term.
2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators
In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead.
However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support.
3. Possible technical trends in the future
If the gold price can hold the support area of $2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700.
However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure.
Summary
The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
1.9 Risk aversion rises, gold is short-term bullishIn the early Asian session on Thursday (January 9), spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level and is currently trading at $2,662.59 per ounce. Gold prices hit a nearly four-week high of $2,669.83 per ounce on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected December private employment report relieved some market participants, who believed that the Federal Reserve might not be so cautious about easing policy this year. Reports on Trump's tariffs also provided safe-haven support for gold prices, but U.S. Treasury yields also rose as a result, and the dollar continued to rise, which made gold bulls cautious. After hitting 2,669, gold prices fell back to around the 2,650 mark and closed at $2,661.46 per ounce.
The gold market opened at 2648.4 yesterday morning and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2644.9 and then fluctuated and rose. The daily line reached a high of 2670 during the US trading session and then the market was consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2661.8. The daily line closed with a medium-sized positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. If the market falls back to 2652 today, stop loss at 2647, and the target is 2665 and 2670. If it breaks, it will be 2674 and 2680.
1.8 Gold welcomes ADP long-term bullish trendGold market analysis
Gold has been volatile these days, washing back and forth without any rules. Judging from yesterday's performance, it is still impossible to determine whether the bulls are coming if the 2665 position is not broken. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, and the center of the oscillation moved up. Today's idea is to treat it as more oscillation. The weekly line fluctuated for a week last week. This week's estimate will still fluctuate under the influence of data. Today, the ADP estimate is difficult to change the oscillation. We expect the subsequent non-agricultural employment data to lead it to run out of oscillation. Today, we will focus on the oscillation range of 2632-2665. In this range, we will run high and buy low. The current K line is already above the moving average, and gold is more oscillating.
The analysis chart above for gold is the rhythm we estimated. The first support of the white plate is near 2640. Last night, we also accurately captured profits at 2642. This position is the support of 4H. There is still more room for the white plate to step back to this position. The stronger one is near 2632. If this position is broken, it may move down again.
Support 2632 and 2640, pressure 2665, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 2640
1.8 Gold Operation Technical Analysis StrategyGold rebounded after hitting the bottom yesterday, and began to rebound after reaching the lowest level of 14, which continued until the evening of the day. The current highest level reached around 64, which has reached the previous high point. This position is also the effective point of the continuous suppression of the shorts in the recent period. With the strong rebound during the day, it also reached this position, but it is very likely to form a three-top pattern, so this position is also the point where we continue to try to short. Once it breaks up, the retracement of this wave of shorts will also be declared over, and the support below is maintained at the top and bottom conversion 50 line position. If it continues to break down this position at night, the bulls may also be in place, which is likely to be the last wave of short-selling. Although the bulls have rebounded, they have not yet reached the realm of a strong breakthrough. There are still many uncertainties in the market. In addition, this week is the release of non-agricultural data, and the previous shocks are also likely to lay the groundwork for the release of non-agricultural data. In the evening, we will still maintain gold at around 63-64 for short selling, with a target of around 50-40 and a loss of 70.5.
Short-term operation:
SELL: 63-64 Target is around 50-40, stop loss is 70.5.
1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant.
Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday
When news of Trump's tariffs broke earlier, the US dollar fell nearly 1% and gold took the opportunity to turn higher and approach the 2650 level. However, given that the 2639 level was broken in the morning, it is difficult for gold to return to strength immediately. Therefore, it is necessary to close positions at this time and move to sell. The rise and fall of the market price has also been confirmed. my judgment.
Next, focus on the support line formed by the lows of 2610-2615. It is important to note that even if there is a price buffer in late trading, you can still consider selling around 2640. Pay attention to. the 2610-2615 support situation below. If there are signs of stability, you can strike back in time.
Gold trading tip: sell around 2640-2645 after a bounce SL 2652 TP 2620.
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