GOLD - Long activated earlier !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect to see bullish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block around level 2900.
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Goldprice
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum.
However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market.
⭐️Technical analysis
Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
XAUUSD: Short-term test of 2939-2942 demandThe explosion at the Russian Consulate General in Marseille has all the characteristics of a terrorist attack. With the announcement of the news, the price of gold rose by about $10 in the short term. So far, the news about Russia and Ukraine is basically calm.
So far, the transaction is in a narrow range. After the Asian session started, the lowest point fell to 2921, and then rebounded. The lowest point in the London market only touched 2935. There was no physical breakthrough, and there was a certain small support. The entire market is still in a high consolidation stage.
Combined with SMA, there is still a need to test 2939-2942 in the short term. If this position cannot be broken, we will choose the opportunity to trade long orders. The target is above 2950.
You need to maintain a cautious trading attitude before reaching the position. Try not to waste your balance.1
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold still holding rejected Resistance level 2956 2943 Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point ☝️ want to Short trend 📉. Close below 👇 ⬇️ up trand that weekend expect it Short Trade 2834
Key Resistance level 2943 + 2955
Key Support level 2876 - 2864 - 2833
Mr SMC Trading point
Plaes support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold Prices Stay Fundamentally Strong Despite Profit-TakingMacro:
- Gold prices corrected as investors took profits following a brief consolidation near recent highs but maintained an upward bias amid uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and policy plans.
- Meanwhile, strong ETF inflows and weak US economic data, reinforcing rate cut expectations for Jul, supported gold prices.
- All focus is on this week's core PCE release to gauge gold's short-term direction.
Technical:
- XAUUSD topped out around 2952, confluence with the 200% Fibo Extension. The price is still above both EMAs and the ascending trendline, indicating the upward structure is still intact.
- If XAUUSD breaks below the ascending trendline and the support at 2880, the price may prompt a further correction to retest the following support at 2790.
- On the contrary, if XAUUSD stays above 2880, the price may retest the previous swing high of around 2952.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
What happened? The gold price fell to 2935 againAfter waking up, I found that the gold price stopped at 2635. It was strange that the price was still at 2953 when I was about to rest, and no reporter told me that there was an emergency in the middle. Why did the gold price fall so fast?
I looked at the market. After the Asian market opened, the gold price was technically corrected and the pressure from the upper high was strong, so it was adjusted back to repair the rebound affected by the news in the New York market.
The news hardly mentioned how badly things were going. On the contrary. Maybe this time the negotiations were effective. The negotiations are being revised one after another. If the peace talks come to an end, the gold price may see a large adjustment. It is expected that a few hundred points will be very easy.
At present, there is still a need for further technical corrections, leaving aside the impact of news. In the short term, the gold price still wants to break the upward channel. The bears are still very strong, and the current gold price is at 2936. The hourly candlestick chart shows that if the point near 2925 falls below, there is a high probability that it will fall below 2900 in the short term. If there is no entity breaking this position in the short term, it will still be mainly consolidating at a high of 2930-2950.
Therefore, buying low and selling high is the main option. Before the general direction is decided, it is difficult to see a unilateral sharp rise or fall in the market, so keep this trading strategy and idea.
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2960.00
Sell Entry below 2925.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2955.00 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3030.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2880.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
The current price of XAU/USD is 2940.00, indicating a strong bullish trend. The gold market is driven by various fundamental factors, including:
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar may boost gold prices.
Interest rate policies: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions may impact gold prices.
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐Macro Economics
The global economic outlook is uncertain, with:
Recession concerns: Weak economic data and trade tensions have raised concerns about a potential global recession.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates, impacting currency markets.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations may boost gold prices.
⭐COT Data
Commercial Traders: Net short 143,000 contracts (a decrease of 11,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 104,000 contracts (an increase of 8,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Reportable Positions: Net long 39,000 contracts (an increase of 3,000 contracts from the previous week)
Open Interest: 544,000 contracts (a decrease of 10,000 contracts from the previous week)
⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for XAU/USD is:
Bullish: 62% of investors expect gold prices to rise, driven by inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Bearish: 21% of investors expect gold prices to fall, driven by potential US dollar strength and interest rate hikes.
Neutral: 17% of investors remain neutral, awaiting further market developments.
⭐Intermarket Analysis
The XAU/USD pair is highly correlated with:
USD Index: A weaker US dollar may boost gold prices.
10-Year Treasury Yield: Lower yields may increase demand for gold.
S&P 500: A decline in the S&P 500 may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐News and Events
Upcoming events that may impact the XAU/USD pair include:
US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: March 15, 2025
US GDP Growth Rate: March 25, 2025
US Inflation Rate: March 29, 2025
⭐Seasonality
Gold prices tend to be:
Stronger during the winter months: Due to increased demand for jewelry and coins.
Weaker during the summer months: Due to decreased demand for jewelry and coins.
⭐Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider long-term investments: As gold prices are expected to rise due to inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Monitor market volatility: As interest rate hikes and US dollar strength may impact gold prices.
Diversify portfolios: By investing in other assets, such as currencies, stocks, or bonds.
⭐Next Trend Move
The XAU/USD pair may experience a:
Bullish move: Driven by inflation concerns and the US Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hikes.
Bearish move: If the US dollar strengthens or global economic uncertainty increases.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The XAU/USD pair is expected to experience volatility due to:
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Gold might experience a price correction in the upcoming week!!!Hi Everyone, Gold may experience a price correction in the upcoming week. Although there are no concerning signals in the trend for the long term, the daily chart suggests that the RSI cannot fail the divergence. It appears that a retest of the 50 areas (in RSI) is likely, so we might see a correction of at least $100. First target $2838
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD SHORT | SELL THEORY [24/02-01/03]From what I’m seeing price is seemingly fatigued. There was a credible break on the 4H chart though - which is low-key worrying, HOWEVER on the daily chart? Sweeps on sweeps - which to me certify that price will be seeking a reversal of some sort at some point.
Once one of the printed lows gets violated by price (as drawn on the chart - with a candlestick) the sell will be confirmed.
I had a potential trade with actually played out nicely but I didn’t enter it, which I’m cool about as I wasn’t sure.
I won’t be trading Gold until I actually get confirmation.
Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Key Resistance – Breakout or PullbackGold sets a new high of $2,936! Discover a purchase opportunity at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and breaker block for potential momentum.
This chart represents a technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on a daily timeframe using Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. Here's a breakdown of the possible market trend:
Key Observations:
Current Price: ~2,936.26 USD
Fibonacci Levels:
1.618 Extension: ~2,950.07 (Potential Resistance)
1.414 Extension: ~2,898.07
0.618 Retracement: ~2,695.15 (Potential Support)
0.5 Retracement: ~2,665.07
0.382 Retracement: ~2,634.99
Trend Structure:
The price has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024.
The next key resistance appears near 2,950 (1.618 Fibonacci extension).
A possible correction may occur around 2,950, leading to a retracement before further upside.
Possible Trading Ideas:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 2,950, the next leg higher could extend towards 3,000+ USD.
Buyers may enter on a pullback around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (~2,695) before another bullish move.
Bearish Scenario (Correction Phase):
A rejection from 2,950 could lead to a retracement to the 2,700–2,665 zone.
A deeper correction may test the 2,537 support area.
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 21.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart - Intraday Trading Analysis & Signal
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels:
Uptrend in Play: Gold has been respecting an ascending trendline since $2,880, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
Current Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, aligning with multiple trendlines and horizontal support.
Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,950 - $2,955 (first resistance zone)
$2,970 - $2,975 (major resistance and target)
Breakdown Scenario: If gold fails to hold $2,923, we could see a drop toward $2,905 - $2,898.
📈 Intraday Trading Signal for XAU/USD:
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (If price holds this support zone and shows bullish reaction)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,950
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,970
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below $2,915
📌 Alternative Scenario (Sell Setup)
❌ Sell Entry: Below $2,922 (If price breaks below support and trendline)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,905
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,898
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Above $2,935
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entering Trade:
✅ Bullish Rejection from $2,923 - $2,925 for Buy
✅ Bearish Breakdown Below $2,922 for Sell
✅ Volume Surge in Direction of Trade
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Bullish Gold
⚠ Risk Management & Trade Tips:
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit.
If price closes below $2,922, invalidate buy trade and switch to short setup.
Monitor news events impacting USD for volatility.
🚀 Trade with discipline, and let the market confirm the move! 🔥
FOLLOW, COMMENT AND LIKE.
Could One Event Propel Gold to $6,000?Gold has long been a refuge in times of crisis, but could it be on the brink of an unprecedented surge? Analysts now predict the precious metal could reach $6,000 per ounce, driven by a potent mix of geopolitical instability, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic accumulation by central banks. The prospect of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, a major global flashpoint, could be the catalyst that reshapes the financial landscape, sending investors scrambling for safe-haven assets.
The looming threat of conflict in Taiwan presents an unparalleled risk to global supply chains, particularly in semiconductor production. A disruption in this critical sector could spark widespread economic turmoil, fueling inflationary pressures and eroding confidence in fiat currencies. As nations brace for potential upheaval, central banks and investors are increasingly turning to gold, reinforcing its role as a geopolitical hedge. Meanwhile, de-dollarization efforts by BRICS nations further elevate gold’s strategic importance, intensifying its upward trajectory.
Beyond geopolitical risks, macroeconomic forces add momentum to gold’s ascent. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts, persistent inflation, and record national debt levels all contribute to a weakening dollar. This, in turn, makes gold more attractive to global buyers, accelerating demand. At the same time, the psychological factor—fear-driven safe-haven buying and speculative enthusiasm—creates a self-reinforcing cycle, pushing prices ever higher.
Despite counterforces such as potential Fed policy shifts or a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions, the weight of uncertainty appears overwhelming. The convergence of economic instability, shifting power dynamics, and investor sentiment suggest that gold’s march toward $6,000 is less a speculative fantasy and more an inevitable financial reality. As the world teeters on the edge of historic change, gold may well be the ultimate safeguard in an era of global upheaval.
Gold price analysis February 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell as investors booked profits ahead of the release of key US economic data, including PMI and PCE inflation.
The Fed minutes did not change expectations for two rate cuts this year, but maintained a cautious stance. If the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Fed may not be in a hurry to ease policy.
Gold prices may fluctuate in the short term following economic data, but are still supported by concerns about Trump's tax policies and Russia-Ukraine tensions.
Despite the correction, gold remains a safe haven, and dips can be good buying opportunities.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is heading towards 2920 and this area is the most important area for gold today. When breaking 2920, pay attention to the 2906 area for BUY signals and just wait for the test beats to sell around 2920 when this area is broken. When gold bounces from 2920, the market continues to want to increase. As long as there is any close above 2928, gold will soon regain the resistance level of 2944. Wish everyone the best trading strategy.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis update on gold 🪙 Gold still going to bullish trend 📈 Gold Traders Gold Ready for a new ATH 3010$. This weekend. I'm going to bullish trade on Gold. Today 💪 Take a Strong breakout Resistance level 2947 2954 back 🔙 Tast diamond zone support level. 2923 Now Gold. Don't wait more Sell Good luck 🤞🤞
Key Resistance level 2954 + 2961 + 2987 3010
Key Support level 2940 - 2930 - 2924
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 19.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation: Gold has been respecting the ascending channel since $2,880, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Key Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, which aligns with the trendline support and has held twice.
Rejection from Resistance: $2,939, suggesting a temporary pullback before another bullish leg.
Potential Buy Zone: If price revisits $2,923 - $2,925 and holds, it presents a good long opportunity.
📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Signal (BUY Setup)
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (Wait for confirmation with bullish price action)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,939 (Short-term target)
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,946 - $2,950 (Channel resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $2,915 (Trendline breakdown invalidates setup)
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entry:
✅ Bullish Candlestick Formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar at support)
✅ Trendline & Support Hold at $2,923 - $2,925
✅ Volume Increase on Buy Pressure
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Additional Confirmation
⚠ Risk Management:
Exit immediately if price closes below $2,915, as it would indicate a trendline breakdown.
Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit.
Avoid Chasing Entry if price already starts moving higher without touching the buy zone.
📌 Trading Tip: Monitor gold's reaction at $2,923 - $2,925; a strong bounce confirms bullish strength. 🚀
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