Gold Sideways: A Short-Term Opportunity for Smart Traders⚙️ 1. Short-Term Trend
On the 1-hour timeframe, gold price is consolidating in a narrow range between $3,220 – $3,243 following a pullback from the recent peak at $3,265. Recent candlesticks suggest that selling pressure is weakening, but no clear reversal signal has appeared yet. The main trend remains slightly bearish within a tight channel, awaiting a breakout.
📍 2. Key Technical Levels
• Nearby Resistance:
o $3,230: A mid-session resistance level that has been tested multiple times but not yet convincingly broken.
o $3,243: Intraday high. A break above this level could trigger a move toward $3,265, with potential extension to $3,280.
• Key Support:
o $3,220: Minor intraday support, currently under repeated testing.
o $3,200: Strong support and a critical technical level. A breakdown below this level may lead to further decline toward $3,185 – $3,170.
📈 3. Technical Indicators
• EMA 50 & 200 (H1): Price is trading between the 50 and 200 EMAs, indicating consolidation and indecision before a breakout.
• RSI (14): Hovering around 45–50, suggesting slowing bearish momentum, but no clear sign of a bullish reversal.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3240 – 3243
💰 TP : 3235 – 3238
🚨 SL $3245
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3219 – 3222
💰 TP : 3224 – 3227
🚨 SL $3214
⚠️ Trading Note
Volatility may spike if there is news from the Fed or new geopolitical developments.
Goldprice
Gold Eases as Risk Sentiment Improves, but Long-Term Demand IntaMacro theme:
- Gold prices retreated from recent highs as improved risk sentiment following the US-China trade deal and a stronger US dollar weighed on safe-haven demand.
- Gold ETFs recorded modest outflows in Apr, but the withdrawal slowdown suggests easing profit-taking pressure.
- In the near term, trade optimism may keep gold under pressure, though central bank demand and portfolio diversification continue to support the long-term outlook.
Technical theme:
- XAUUSD pulled back from the swing high near 3430, forming a lower high and moving into a sideways structure between EMAs.
- A close below 3230 could trigger further downside toward 3135,
- On the contrary, holding above 3230 may prompt a retest of the 3430 level.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and is expected to fall below 3,200
📌 Driving factors
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in April, lower than the 0.3% expected by economists. However, analysts warned that inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up commodity prices.
The United States and China announced on Monday that they would suspend tariffs for 90 days. According to the statement made by both sides after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%.
Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound.
📊Commentary and analysis
Gold fell and then rose yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3,266. The trend is in line with our bearish expectations. As for the repeated fluctuations in the market, it is just a futile effort! Yesterday, due to the influence of the US CPI data, although gold rose in the short term, it was still under pressure and weakened. Today, the Asian session continued to fall in the early trading. As the support position near 3210 points is approaching, aggressive shorting is no longer appropriate!
In terms of trend, the 4-hour level trend of gold is still under pressure. Yesterday, it was under pressure at the 3260 line, and then the market fell back. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving down lows, and the rebound highs are gradually decreasing. It can be seen that the bulls are less willing to attack, which is different from the previous surge. Gold adjustment has become inevitable.
💰Strategy Package
Rebound short: short near 3265, stop loss 3269, target near 3220!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions.
I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments.
Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan.
Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days.
Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session.
I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360.
Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
Gold Price Analysis May 13Candle D shows a strong selling force approaching the key support zone of 3200, if it breaks this zone, it will confirm the continuation of the strong downtrend
Gold is facing some selling force around 3265. There will be a lot of selling force waiting around 3270 and 3280. Today, you can watch for SELL around these two zones. If the breakout is confirmed towards 3317, you can implement SELL strategies.
On the contrary, the nearest support zone for the breakout that gold is aiming for is around 3243. 3222 and 3200 act as two stops for a prolonged slide in gold prices today. Remember that in the large frame, a downtrend wave is starting to form, so the downtrend of gold can fall very strongly.
Gold prices are expected to rise in the future!Market news:
On Wednesday (May 14) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,240/ounce. After the plunge on Monday, the London gold price rebounded slightly. The influx of bargain hunting provided support for the international gold price. In addition, the US CPI in April was weaker than market expectations, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts cooled, the US dollar index fell from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns provided momentum for the gold price to rise.International gold faces three key variables: first, the follow-up progress of the Sino-US trade negotiations. Although the two sides reached a 90-day truce agreement, the comprehensive tariff policy still exists; second, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The mild performance of inflation data may create conditions for rate cuts; finally, global geopolitical risks, especially the evolution of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the India-Pakistan conflict. There are relatively few economic data on this trading day. US Secretary of State Rubio will attend the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO's security priorities, including increasing defense investment and ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will give speeches, and investors need to pay attention!
Technical Review:
The gold daily chart closed sharply below 3207, and the price broke away from the MA10/7-day gold bottomed out and rebounded in the late trading. The daily line closed with a small positive K and closed above the 3250 mark. After the extremely weak decline in the US market, the trend turned strong in the early morning, forming a wide range of fluctuations around the 3220/3270 range. The daily MA10/7-day moving average of the daily chart opened and suppressed 3296/3310 downward. The short-term four-hour chart and the hourly chart moving average were glued together, and the hourly chart Bollinger band closed. It closed strongly above the 3250 mark in the early morning, and the Asian market needs to pay attention to the strength of the counterattack of buying. Today's trading ideas are still expected to fluctuate, sell at high prices and buy at low prices to participate in short-term layout.At present, gold selling is temporarily resting. The intraday gold surge and the sharp drop before the data also show the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some factors that are conducive to selling are gradually implemented. The Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so in terms of operation, you can wait for the retracement to continue buying and continue to be bullish on gold.
Today's analysis:
The monthly chart of gold is running in an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral and upward; the weekly chart is a high-level shooting star, and the medium-term trend is expected to fall; the daily chart fails to hit the previous high and runs downward, and the short-term trend is expected to fall; the intraday short-term breaks through the 3248 suppression and continues upward, and the short-term stop-loss pattern appears. So far, the market has been repeatedly sorted above the 3215 area, and the short-term selling slows down and shows signs of stopping the decline!Note that if the one-hour closing today breaks above the 3348 area, then be careful when selling, and there is a high probability that the market will bottom out and reverse, which means that a new round of swing buying will start! At that time, you can directly choose the opportunity to buy the bottom! For the current short-term gold, focus on the stabilization of the two supports of 3215-3225. Take 3200 as the turning point of the Fengshui Ridge, and keep it to continue to maintain the bottom shock or gradually rebound; once it breaks through 3270, the rebound will be strengthened to test the 3300 mark; if it breaks through 3300 and stabilizes, the downward adjustment will end and the trend will return to rise;
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3227-3230, stop loss at 3228, target 3270-3290;
Short-term gold sell at 3265-3268, stop loss at 3277, target 3230-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3225, second support level: 3215, third support level: 3200
First resistance level: 3260, second resistance level: 3278, third resistance level: 3300
XAU/USD(20250514) Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3243
Support and resistance levels:
3292
3274
3262
3224
3212
3194
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3262, consider buying, the first target price is 3274
If the price breaks through 3243, consider selling, the first target price is 3224
XAUUSD – Market Update & Daily Plan May 14, 2025🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Support & Resistance Zones:
Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA.
Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout.
Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets.
2. Price Action Projections:
The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83.
Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction.
No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now.
4. EMA (200):
The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of the Trading Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222).
Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83.
Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD Forming Higher Lows – Eyes on Breakout Zone
Gold is showing signs of bullish momentum after rebounding from key support near 3,207. If price sustains above this level and breaks 3,265 resistance, a potential upside continuation could be expected. Monitoring for confirmation of trend reversal.
Gold's callback remains bearish
As expected, the market weakened and fell again. Today, the lowest price fell to 3215. There are countless opportunities to stop profit and leave the market. Even if you don't operate, you can see the strategy time I publish every day. This can be regarded as the first round of gains since the opening. Although there is no long position, the short position is still good!
Approaching the European session, I also mentioned at noon that the rebound upward can continue to bet on the second short position. Both the time and the point are given. The highest rebound in the European session is 3266. The point I gave is 3260-63. There should be countless opportunities to enter the market. The current gold price fell to 3237! Still the same point of view, it is easy to make a profit of at least 20-30 points each time! If you have been facing losses, it means that you have not focused on the free strategies I publish every day.
Traders who did not enter the market today are advised to continue to pay attention to the 3266 resistance and enter the market again. The support below is 3215. Before the data market is released, it will be treated as a volatile trend. I will make real-time suggestions when the breakout occurs.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, please leave a message below, I will be very happy
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly.
CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend.
Two support positions need to be paid attention to today:
Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200.
Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300.
Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
CPI data released, golden day analysis and operation layout🗞News side:
1. CPI data is in line with expectations, short-term positive
📈Technical aspects:
As we wrote in the last post, from the 4H point of view, the oversold is serious, and there is a need for rebound correction in the short term. At present, the fluctuation of gold prices is mainly affected by news. Technical analysis and indicators can only be used as a side analysis guide and reference. Gold bottomed out in the morning and rebounded, and the European market continued to rise above 3250. This means that today is not a very weak bear. At the same time, the daily line touches the 30-day moving average support. There is a high probability of turning positive today. The overall idea is to treat the market as a shock.
Intraday gold operation suggestions:
🎁BUY 3240-3250
🎁TP 3260-3270
Looking further towards the 3277 line
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSDHey traders!
The second trade of the day comes from XAUUSD (Gold).
Yesterday, due to Trump’s recent remarks about agreements with China, gold saw a significant pullback. However, I believe this drop—whether short-term or long-term—is temporary. In fact, from a macro perspective, I still see gold potentially reaching levels like $3600 in the long run.
But as a day trader, I always aim for setups with 1:1.50 or 1:2 risk-to-reward ratios. That’s my focus. Long-term expectations don’t impact my short-term executions.
🔍 One important note: My signals are often sniper entries, and that’s no coincidence. I closely monitor order flow and volume-based price movements. That’s why, if the price starts moving sideways (ranging) after my entry, I tend to manually close the position to protect capital.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3255.39
✔️ Take Profit: 3265.55
✔️ Stop Loss: 3250.16
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
GOLD Sell Setup Alert – High-Probability Trade Sell GOLD @ 3256
🎯 Targets:
TP 1 → 3248
TP 2 → 3240
TP 3 → 3220
🛑 Stop Loss: 3267
⚠️ Enter slowly in layers with proper risk and money management.
This setup is based on technical levels – stay disciplined and trade smart.
📊 Follow for more premium setups on Crypto & Forex.
#GoldSignal #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #SellSetup #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #SmartTrading
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal:
📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations
• The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions.
• If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs.
📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar
• The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer.
• Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise.
📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold
• Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided.
• Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before.
📉 Key Support Levels Ahead
If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include:
• $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable)
• $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone
• $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies
⚠️ Recommendation
• If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate.
• Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary:
After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up.
Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation.
Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data.
I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by:
• Increasing risk-on sentiment
• Continued USD strength
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280
• Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210
• Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility.
💡 Short-Term Trade Setup
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280
• 🎯 TP1: $3,265
• 🎯 TP2: $3,255
• 🚨 SL: $3,300
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210
• 🎯 TP1: $3,215
• 🎯 TP2: $3,225
• 🚨 SL: $3,195
XAU/USD 13 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025
🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish
Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297.
Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive.
📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones
These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside.
🔴 Potential Sell Zones
• 3272–3287
Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI.
Watch for early rejection if price spikes here.
• 3292–3308
HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade.
• 3315–3330
Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY.
🟢 Potential Buy Zones
• 3220–3240
Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity.
• 3170–3190
Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement.
⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert
CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3.
This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold rebound is a good time to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat the rebound as shorting. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish.
In the 4-hour chart, the weak stage is oscillating downwards, and the resistance of the middle rail has moved down to the 3300 mark. At the same time, there is still a gap to be filled, and it is currently in shock above the neckline. There are two differentiated moves here. One is to go sideways and weakly consolidate and then directly break the neckline of 3200 and go for in-depth adjustments. The other is to rebound above 3200 to correct and build momentum, forming a wave of poised to break low. One is weak consolidation to break low, and the other is poised to break low. Overall, it is optimistic that the market will break through the low of 3200, but it reflects the various changes in the short-term form. The upper 3250-3260 range has gathered intensive trading resistance, forming short-term strong pressure. In short-term operation, first go short on rallies below 3260, and first look at the profit from this wave of correction! Next, we will look at the previous low support of 3200. If the position is broken, we will continue to see the downward continuation. If the position is not broken, we will place long orders on the backhand. At that time, we will choose the opportunity to lay out the long-term plan based on the support of 3200. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3248-3252 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3200-3160 support line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold near 3245-3255, target around 3220-3210. Gold will go long when it pulls back around 3210-3200, with the target around 3230-3250.
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
Tariff easing has just begun
📌 Driving factors
The historic easing of tariffs between China and the United States, the imminent peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, and the market's pricing of geopolitical risks have obviously cooled down, which has further shrunk the demand for gold as a regional safe-haven tool. The situation in the Middle East is complicated, and it is necessary to monitor the latest developments in real time, focus on the latest developments in the follow-up news, and adjust strategies in real time.
📊Comment analysis
In the Asian session, gold is concerned about the upper resistance at $3,250 today. The rebound relies on the resistance below to continue shorting. The lower point is $3,207. If it falls below, it will be $3,150. For specific operations, please pay attention to the free channel.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3200 points, with a profit target of around 3230 points
Short position:
Actively participate at around 3245 points, with a profit target of around 3220 points
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.