Goldprice
Is now the best time to short gold prices?I don't think so. I believe you have read the article I posted yesterday. If not, read it again.
Is the accuracy of the fast trading strategy amazing? Indeed. This is the strength of the fast trading strategy analysis team.
At present, the values mentioned yesterday have been fully achieved today. Today, I led all members to go long on gold prices again to expand profits. There are about 9 profitable orders. You can refer to the fast trading strategy grouping
Tomorrow's trading direction: Check above to see if the position of 2786 can be successfully broken through. If not, you can refer to the opportunity to sell above 2786 and buy near 2770 tomorrow. If it breaks through, then 2800 points is not far away. At present, there is no major news to promote it. Focus on the initial jobless claims data on Thursday night and the release of non-farm data on Friday. This week's time is also very tight. After all, good trading opportunities want to expand profits. Members of the fast trading team are no exception. So I am also busy.
Market analysis for three days this week. The accuracy of the signals is obvious to all. Trading is actually very simple. As long as there is trading funds in the account, everyone can leave me a message. Everyone has equal opportunities. No one wants to be a person who keeps losing money! Everyone agrees, right?
There are only two trading opportunities left this week, and the trading space is still very large. The proportion of making money. The probability of making 70% profit on 100k is more than 95%. The probability of making 100% profit is more than 85%. The above are all cumulative data. People who continue to pay attention know this.
Regarding trading, this is all I will notify you today. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time. I will reply and solve them in time when I see them.
10.31 gold box vibration???Gold is mainly affected by the following three aspects:
1: The October US non-farm payrolls data will be announced at 20:30 on Friday. The US September ADP employment data released on Wednesday increased significantly beyond expectations. Next tonight, the US September PCE price index and the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be released.
2: The US presidential election next Tuesday (November 5th), there are less than 4 trading days left. Who will eventually enter the White House in the battle between the Donkey and the Elephant parties? Especially on November 5th, the day of the election, the gold market will definitely fluctuate violently!
3: Geopolitical risk events, North Korea tested an intercontinental ballistic missile around 7:10 this morning, and Iran will say that it will retaliate against Israel before November 5th. With the reshaping of the world pattern, the geopolitical risks in the Middle East are spreading to the world.
As the price of gold approaches $2,800, bulls and bears diverge again. The last time gold approached $2,700, it adjusted around $2,685, which ultimately did not affect the upward trend. It just threw the bulls off the train during the adjustment, which also hit the bulls' morale for short-term operations.
This time, when it approached $2,800, the bulls paused. On Wednesday, the market repeatedly washed between 2,790 and 2,770. In addition, the heavy pound data will be released today, tomorrow and next week. The suspense will naturally be left to the non-agricultural data today and tomorrow night.
1 hour, it quickly fell back to the 2,770 point where it started to rise in the morning, forming a high-level box shock. At present, the gold price has not stabilized at 2,790. Don't rush to chase more, but pay attention to the direction of the 2,790-70 box range breakthrough, and try to avoid chasing the edge position within the box.
ADP data is coming soon! Gold shortThe market performance on Wednesday (October 30) continued the recent strong upward momentum. The price of gold hit $2,789.83/ounce in early trading, setting a new record high and rising sharply by more than $15. With the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the intensification of geopolitical risks, gold has once again become a safe haven choice for investors.
Technical analysis
After breaking through the resistance area of 2,780-2,785 US dollars/ounce, the price of gold became an offensive signal for bulls. The price of gold may further push towards the $2,800/ounce mark. At present, any meaningful correction is expected to find good support around $2,750/ounce. If there is a subsequent sell-off in the price of gold, it may push the price of gold to the support level of $2,732-2,730/ounce, or even further down to the $2,715/ounce area.
Today's focus data:
US unemployment rate in October
US non-farm payrolls in October (10,000 people)
Today's expected trend of gold prices can focus on the fluctuations between the support level of $2,765.00/ounce and the resistance level of $2,800.00/ounce. Under the current market sentiment and technical conditions, gold is still a worthy investment option.
Gold: Are You Stuck?After experiencing a setback, we are now steadily making profits again. Today, gold has finally lived up to our expectations. By employing high-frequency trading, we executed several orders and achieved substantial gains.
The MA60 has successfully completed a test, but several other MAs are acting as resistance. Therefore, in the upcoming trades, I plan to continue selling until MA5 becomes support again, at which point I will switch to buying.
10.30Gold accelerates to the top, 2780 watershedThe gold market rose strongly yesterday. It opened at 2742.3 in the morning and then fell back to 2739.5. After that, it rose strongly. After reaching the previous historical high of 2758, the market was under pressure and consolidated to 2745.8. After that, the market rose strongly in the US market due to fundamental stimulus. After breaking the previous historical high, it reached the highest point of 2774.9 and then consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2774.5. After that, the market ended with a saturated large The market closed with a positive line, and after this pattern ends, today's market has the technical need to impact the 2805 pressure. In terms of points, the longs at 1996 and 2028 below have stop losses followed up at 2600. After the long positions at 2722 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss followed up at 2735. Today's market is 2762 longs and 2759 longs are conservative with stop losses at 2755. The target is 2775. If it breaks through, the target of this round of impact will be at the 2800-2805 pressure.
XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised.
Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible.
As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance.
M15 Chart:
Those who are shorting or want to short remember to readToday, the market has reached my target position of 2757, 2765.2770 for the third time. The long order has completely won. After the fast strategy of high-level selling and low-buying was announced today, members all made good profits. In such an extreme market, I think such a profit is acceptable. Maybe for many people, not losing money is a good result. But not for me. There must be a profit every day. And it must be a good profit.
Next is the short selling plan. Today, the New York market is expected to retreat to 2765 or below. If it reaches, continue to go long. The target is 2775. The Asian market can continue to wait for the position of 2780. The announcement of GDP the next day needs to be paid special attention. If the data is negative, the probability of reaching 2800 this week is not high. If the data is positive, then 2800 is very close. Because there will be a non-agricultural data release on Friday this week. This value can determine whether the market can reach 2800 points. In layman's terms, the gold price will continue to rise from today to tomorrow.
It has been expanding profits for a month. Others verify based on the winning rate. My verification method is based on the failure rate. If you want to save your account, follow me. And leave a message.
BTC is still maintaining a very STRONG BULLISH momentumHello traders,
As i analysed before, the BTC price went to our favor and went bullish hitting targets on the 1H and 30mn charts anfter making some corrections and pullbacks. the BTC is approaching a previous Monthly level of 73907 where price may get rejected and go back to a LH monthly level of 71591 giving short trades opportunities. But if price breakes the 73907 we definitely gonna reach the $90000 level next month as the overall direction and trend is bullish and price was just making corrections the previous weeks accumulating momentum to a strong bullish move.
Keep watching and seize the opportunity.
Good luck
XAUUSD: Based on Previous Analysis! **XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis**
Hello Traders,
Based on our previous analysis, we had expected prices to reversed from our designated buying zone. And price did that exactly, reversing from 2625 which took the price towards 2771. Where we have seen some resistance. We still are very much bullish on Gold. Next targets are 2800$ and then 2900$ as followed.
Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character.
The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signalling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them.
The market opened with a sell side gap on Monday, which does not invalidate our entry at all. Currently, the price is 400+ pips in the green. I recommend closing half of the positions.
How Much Gold Should You Hold in Your Portfolio?
Gold, often referred to as a safe-haven asset, has historically been a reliable hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. As the global economic landscape becomes increasingly volatile, many investors are turning to gold to diversify their portfolios and protect their wealth.
The Case for Gold
• Inflation Hedge: Gold has traditionally been a reliable hedge against inflation. As the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes, the value of gold tends to rise.
• Diversification: Gold has a low correlation with other asset classes like stocks and bonds. This means that adding gold to your portfolio can help reduce overall risk.
• Safe-Haven Asset: In times of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset.
•
How Much Gold Should You Own?
The optimal allocation to gold in a portfolio depends on various factors, including your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and overall financial goals. However, in the current economic climate, many experts recommend allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold.
A 15-20% Allocation: A Prudent Choice
Given the current economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and inflationary pressures, many financial advisors suggest allocating 15-20% of your portfolio to gold. This allocation can provide a solid hedge against potential downside risks and help preserve your wealth over the long term.
Factors to Consider:
• Risk Tolerance: If you have a higher risk tolerance, you may consider a higher allocation to gold. However, it's important to balance risk and reward.
• Investment Horizon: A longer investment horizon allows for a more aggressive allocation to riskier assets like stocks. However, gold can still be a valuable component of a long-term portfolio.
• Market Conditions: Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and central bank policies can significantly impact the price of gold. Stay informed about these factors to adjust your allocation as needed.
• Diversification: Ensure that your gold investment is part of a diversified portfolio. This means spreading your investments across various asset classes to reduce risk.
•
How to Invest in Gold
There are several ways to invest in gold:
• Physical Gold: Buying physical gold in the form of coins or bars is a traditional method. However, it requires secure storage.
• Gold ETFs: Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a convenient way to invest in gold without the hassle of physical storage.
• Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in gold mining companies can offer exposure to the gold market, but it comes with additional risks associated with the mining industry.
•
Conclusion
In conclusion, while gold may not offer the same potential for high returns as other asset classes, it can be a valuable tool for risk management and wealth preservation. By allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold, you can protect your wealth against a range of risks and secure your financial future.
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels.
Fundamental Context:
Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment.
However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price.
Trade Plan:
1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level.
2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout.
3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Why did the price of gold fall after Iran was attacked?
Today is October 28, 2024, Monday. Let me first talk about the facts of the market. The two major players in the Middle East on Saturday and Sunday in the international market, Israel, attacked Iran's military facilities. The weekend was also full of risk aversion. My members were very worried about whether the opening on Monday would reach a new high, with the gold price at 2,700 points. Many shorts were on pins and needles. They would ask me what I think. My answer is very simple. You should have fun on the weekend and don't worry about Monday. It will be a waste of the weekend if you worry in advance.
When the market opened on Monday, there was a gap, which has not been filled yet. So in fact, there is no value in worrying in advance, and it is all negative emotional value. This means that there is no need to worry about tomorrow's things, especially when trading.
Let's get back to the point. Israel's retaliation against Iran at the weekend is more like giving the public another explanation. It should be fought and warned. The United States also spoke out, saying that Iran should not escalate the situation further. Iranian officials said they would certainly respond, but since the attack did not threaten oil and nuclear facilities, sources said Iran informed Israel through a third party that it would not respond. And we retail investors are like flies swept by the market, flying around.
This magical third party, this farce, in my opinion, is more like January 3, 2020, after the Soleimani incident, Iran will launch a jihad, at least to attack the US military bases in the Middle East, and the gold price will rise sharply in the future. It was indeed bombed, but in the end Trump said that before the attack began, Iranian senior officials had notified the US military that the personnel had already evacuated. Therefore, the attack did not cause any casualties. It's like you punched cotton.
Obviously, the mysterious third party has become the stepping stone for the two major protagonists in the Middle East. For this farce, the dominant issue is still the economic level. During the pandemic, the world has an overcapacity that cannot be consumed, and the recovery cycle is too slow. Economic contradictions cannot be resolved, so we have to seek stronger, faster and more direct ways to consume production capacity. So after the intensification of contradictions, instability in some local areas has emerged. After all, in troubled times, everyone wants to have a piece of the pie. But who will win? In the end, it was found that the price was still the same, but it was us retail investors who paid the bill.
In terms of strength, the current market has not set new highs for several trading days. Compared with the previous market that set new highs every day, this phenomenon can be regarded as a manifestation of the rising momentum is not so crazy. Coupled with the adjustment signals of large and small cycles, this shock is about to begin. As for the next important events, this week the market will have job vacancy data, small non-agricultural data on Wednesday, inflation PCE price index annual rate on Thursday, and large non-agricultural data on Friday.
There are still many highlights this week. If possible, I suggest you control your position and make the stop loss as large as possible. After all, every important event and data is an opportunity for market reversal. At the same time, coupled with the bets of market investors, the probability of sweeping the market is very serious. So either you participate with a light enough position and set a large enough stop loss. Or participate in the transaction at the key price. Specifically, you can take a look at my thoughts today:
International gold this morning was affected by the weekend news and opened lower and moved lower. From a technical point of view, there was a gap in the market. So today's trading should be based on the gap theory. The most important thing about the gap theory is to pay attention to the gap filling at the one-hour level. As shown in the figure, the black line represents the market filling the gap with shadows. At this time, our trading opportunity is 2747 bearish. As long as the shadow line covers the gap, it will be downward in conjunction with the jumping direction.
It means that the market will start a downward trend. 2747 is an important opportunity to participate. The second is based on actual performance. As shown in the solid line trend in the figure, the price fills the gap with entities at the one-hour level, which means that the gap theory is bullish for the future market, and the bullish trading opportunity will be bullish at 2737 as support. So these two prices are the key trading opportunities to focus on today.
Note that the market will experience the performance of the US non-agricultural employment data this week, and the interest rate decision and the US election next week. The risk will increase relatively, and the market fluctuations will also be greater. Therefore, when making intraday trading plans, you need to expand the price range as much as possible, control risks, and control your positions to participate in transactions.
Perfectly achieved goal 2757The market is crazy.
After buying gold at 2741 price. Had a good nap. Hit the target directly.
I think there is nothing more pleasant than this. Is it because yesterday's market fluctuations were too stable, so today I was given a small surprise in advance?
I believe many people have seen the quick trading strategy I posted and bought it. That is worth toasting.
This is the fast trading strategy.It is a beacon on the road.It guides you in the direction and allows you to see the road clearly in the dark night.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Gold short-term day trading plan.From the trend point of view. Compared with long and short positions, the bulls are still slightly stronger. So the operation is still mainly based on low buying.
The intraday trend maintains high fluctuations. The amplitude is about 15 US dollars. But it finally returned to the high level in the New York market, which is enough to prove the strength of the bulls.
At present, the gold price is maintained at the 2741 line. The analyst of the fast trading team said that in the short term, it can be maintained at a low buy below the price of 2735. Whether the pressure of the upper 2760 line can be broken. If it breaks through, continue to go long. If the pressure is very high. Then short selling at high levels can be maintained in the short term. Short selling at a high level. (This view is for reference only) Specific transactions are mainly based on real-time notifications.
There was no loss in trading failures on Monday. Others look at the record by the winning rate. I only measure the record by the losing record.
The fast trading strategy is tailored for: novices. Trading losses, those who want to expand profits but do not expand profits, and those who are unclear about the direction and do not know how to analyze the market. If you are also. Then you can try to change your trading style with fast trading strategies and get rid of those hateful labels. OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NYMEX:MCL1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
10.29 Gold Short-term Professional Operation AnalysisLast Friday, the gold price generally showed an upward trend. The highest price rose to 2747.56 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 2716.9, closing at 2746.25. Looking back at the details of the gold market performance last Friday, the price was suppressed by the four-hour resistance position during the early trading, and then it was under pressure to go down as expected, and then it stopped going up again after falling in the European session, and the US session rose strongly again, and finally ended with a big positive state on the daily line. At present, gold is still above the daily support of 2692, so it is still more band-oriented for the time being. At the same time, the price in the four-hour period continued to fluctuate in the range of 2710-2758.5, with the middle position in the 2730 area, so the price in the range focuses on selling high and buying low. Considering the overall bullish trend, the focus is on the subsequent upward trend in the range, and the price will continue after breaking the range.
Intraday operation:
Gold 2719-20 range is more, defending 10 US dollars, target 2730-2750
XAU ! 10/28 ! sideway move in trendlineXAU / USD trend forecast October 28, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) starts the new week with a slight bearish gap, unable to sustain Friday’s gains near $2,750. Persistent USD strength, supported by rising US Treasury yields and expectations of smaller Fed rate cuts, puts pressure on the metal. A positive risk sentiment also adds to the downward pull.
However, safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and US election uncertainty limits further downside for gold. Traders may remain cautious and hold off on strong bearish positions ahead of key US data this week, including Q3 GDP, the PCE Price Index, and the Nonfarm Payrolls report.
On Monday, gold price moved sideways within 2 trendlines, waiting for NF news fluctuations this week.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2743-2746
SL: 2751
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2716)
Safe and profitable trading
10.28 Gold fluctuates and moves upwardAs the safe-haven demand caused by the ongoing tensions in the Middle East pushed up the price of gold, coupled with the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut, the price of non-yielding gold has risen by more than 32% so far this year. The uncertainty of the US election has also stimulated the safe-haven demand for gold, as opinion polls show that the presidential election competition is still fierce. Despite the rise in the US dollar, the price of gold still rose. At the same time, the price of gold rebounded from the profit-taking trend last Friday and then rose slightly.
The high sideways trading of the daily line, the two consecutive positive rises of the weekly line and the upward support of the trend indicator MA moving average, so the overall trend is still bullish. In the European session last Friday, the bottom rebounded and the highest test was 2747.70. This morning, the price of gold continued to pull back and opened, increasing the intraday volatility. Combined with the strength of the recent retracement, it is difficult to have the momentum of a continuous and sharp decline. The intraday will continue to fluctuate.
1. There is only one negative line correction in the high consolidation process. This is also the reason why the gold price will not retrace for too long in the recent rising market, and the retracement strength is not strong and it is also consolidating near the high point, so it is expected to continue to rise and test the previous high point of 2758.40.
2. In the bull trend, the low point of the retracement last Friday was 2717, and the position of the previous retracement was supported many times at 2714, forming a double bottom pullback, so the lower low is moving up, and the upper high point of last Thursday was 2743. It closed at 2747 in the early morning of Saturday, breaking through the high point of the pullback after the decline last week. Although there was a negative line retracement this morning, it was more in the form of correction.
3. From the perspective of the overall correction strength, the space for gold price to retrace from 2605 to now is only between the golden section line of 382 and 236, and the correction space is very limited; in addition, although there are repetitiveness recently, it is still rising during the high-level consolidation process, the correction time is shortening, and the momentum to continue to test the new high is increasing.
Intraday thinking plan:
BUY:2715 SELL:2740