Gold Potential Bullish Continuation (Potential HH formation)With with continued global tariff war between USA and China, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3178
Stop Loss : 2946
TP 0.9 - 1 : 3399 - 3408
Goldprice
Will gold fall after a strong rise Goldmarket analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend: Today's gold is still fluctuating greatly under the influence of tariffs. Today, we have analyzed that gold has the risk of callback, and long positions are also falling back to lows! Trend realization analysis and ideas! From the surge on Wednesday, it can be seen that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up again. The current highest is 3132, which is the first target point for the rise. If it continues to rise, it can see 3150 above, so there is still a lot of room above. Everyone should pay attention to trading with the trend as much as possible. In addition, there is another uncertain factor today. The US market will release CPI data, which will also bring abnormal fluctuations in gold. Therefore, the market will also fluctuate greatly today. Everyone should pay attention to controlling risks and managing positions well.
From a technical point of view, a positive line on the daily line directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the middle track of Bollinger and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. In this state, it will continue to rise to the previous high of 3150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is normal for the small cycle to adjust under the pressure of 3100. Now the Bollinger of the 4-hour cycle has just opened, and the unilateral trend has just taken the first wave of strength. There is no problem in the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. Therefore, as long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the support of the unilateral moving average, it is an opportunity to do more. The support below is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060. Therefore, today's gold bullishness is expected to consider 3080 or 3070. The rise in the Asian and European sessions is still at 3130. If the US session breaks through 3136, consider seeing the high point of 3150. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3136-3155 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3080-3078 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. You must control your positions and stop losses, set stop losses strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3133-3136, with a target of 3100-3090, and a break to look at the 3080 line.
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long near the 3078-3080 pullback of gold, with a target of 3105-3125, and a break to look at the 3135 line.
Gold----Buy around 3100, target 3135, 3160Gold market analysis:
The fundamentals are more inclined to buy in the past two days. The market is very crazy. When you operate, you must take a loss on each order. Don't bet on it in such a rare market in a decade, otherwise it will make you doubt your life. It is still a volatile market at the beginning of this week. We are still intercepting in the range. Yesterday, gold suddenly turned around in the morning session, and a new buying momentum began to rise. We decisively took profits from 3113 to 3130 in the Asian session. We should chase the unilateral market and wait for the volatile market. The unilateral performance of the US market from yesterday to this morning has been very obvious, and a new buying structure has started. Today, we need to follow it to buy after the retracement. There are too many days of uncertainty in the trade war, and following is the king. In addition, there are heavyweight CPI data in the evening.
Gold surged to around 3132 in the Asian session. The previous high point of the small top was around 3135. This is expected to fall back. Today's idea is to buy at a low price. Even if there is a fall in the Asian session, we will not consider selling. The small support is around 3100, and the strong support is around 3077. Consider continuing to buy in the Asian session. Above 3135 is a buying danger zone. Buying at this position must be a support position.
Support 3100 and 3077, pressure 3135, the strength and weakness watershed of the Asian session is 3100.
Fundamental analysis:
Tariffs are the biggest fundamental in the near future, and the market impact is relatively large. Today we focus on CPI data.
Operation suggestions:
Gold----Buy around 3100, target 3135, 3160
Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Short Setup: Bearish Reversal from ResistaEntry Point: $3,127.10
Stop Loss: $3,141.53
Target Point (Take Profit): $3,080.62
Technical Indicators:
EMA 30 (red line): $3,111.98 – showing short-term trend
EMA 200 (blue line): $3,056.92 – showing long-term trend
Setup Explanation:
This is a short/sell setup based on the following:
The price action has hit a resistance zone near $3,127 and shows signs of rejection.
The setup assumes that the price will reverse from this zone and head lower.
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio appears decent, aiming for a move of about -1.45% (-$45.34).
Current Status:
Price is currently around $3,119.69, below the entry point.
A slight bounce
Gold price rally resumes?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Thursday (April 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,085/ounce. International gold staged a "violent rise" on Wednesday, soaring more than 3% in a single day, the largest increase since March 2020, and approaching the $3,100 mark during the session. Behind this epic market is the Trump administration's decision to raise tariffs on Asian giants to 125% - the market panic index instantly exploded, and investors once frantically sold stocks and industrial commodities, pushing gold to the safe haven throne.The capriciousness of the US government's tariff plan has shaken the world, and investors are looking for direction and certainty. This generally supports gold. Although the 90-day tariff suspension order has caused the London gold price to fall slightly to $3,082, traders' fingers are still hanging on the buy button: the current gold price has soared by $400 from the beginning of the year, and is only one step away from the historical peak of $3,167 on April 3! All eyes are on Thursday's US CPI data - if inflation exceeds expectations again, the market's fear of the Fed's "longer and higher" interest rate will send gold prices to $3,200; if the data is weak, the expectation of an early rate cut will trigger more crazy safe-haven buying. In addition, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States. Several Fed officials will speak on this trading day, and investors also need to pay attention.
Technical Review:
Market news influences everything, tariffs are escalated again, and gold rose sharply to 3099.4 in the late trading, close to the 3100 mark, and retreated sharply by more than $50 to 3048 before closing. The daily line turned from negative to strong positive and closed. The New York closing price on the daily chart once again stood on the MA10-day moving average, and the one-day trend was broken and the volatility was quite large. Be alert to the market's extreme volatility again, closing strong at a high level in the early morning. From the short-term trend, the bulls have the upper hand, showing an extremely obvious strong pattern. Therefore, the focus of the day needs to be on whether this rising trend can continue. After the correction during the day, participate in the low-price buying layout. If there is no correction during the day and the 3100 mark is broken first, pay attention to the opportunity to buy at a low price after the 3100 mark is broken.
Today's analysis:
At present, gold continues to rebound, and the previous view remains unchanged. The general trend is buying, but it is currently in the mid-term adjustment period. As emphasized earlier, after the previous sharp drop in gold, it is still necessary to continue to be bullish without directly changing the current strength. This is why I have been suggesting buying in the past two days. From a technical point of view, the rebound to 2956 at the beginning of the week ushered in a rebound, and the lows gradually moved up. On Wednesday, the daily line closed with a big positive line, so the previous 2956 position formed a bottoming performance, and the Bollinger closing became more and more obvious. The technical conditions for this wave of bottoming have been met, so there was a bullish outbreak in the US market on Wednesday. As long as the current gold market stands firmly at 3100, it can continue to look up to 3136 or even 3167 or higher. In the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see that the market has been advancing all the way, forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern at 2955 and 2970. In the short term, we will first see whether it can stand above 3100, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge and reach a new high. Therefore, trading should still be mainly based on buying, waiting for the trend to rise. The support below can refer to the 3062 and 3035 positions of the US market retracement on Wednesday to continue to be bullish, and make effective buy orders above these positions respectively. If it breaks, wait for the next support position to continue buying. As long as these two positions are maintained, the short-term bullish trend will remain unchanged.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3062-3065, stop loss at 3053, target at 3090-3100;
Sell short-term gold at 3133-3136, stop loss at 3145, target at 3100-3080;
Key points:
First support level: 3073, second support level: 3062, third support level: 3050
First resistance level: 3100, second resistance level: 3116, third resistance level: 3136
Gold continues to rise and break through!Gold was driven by risk aversion news, and soared more than $100 in a single day yesterday, with a huge positive line on the daily line! At present, it has broken through the 3100 mark. It is difficult for gold to continue to be long and short. The next step is more of a big sweep!
At present, the 3100 mark will be the key to the next long and short positions. It is under pressure to continue to be bearish. The key 3055-50 area below is the long breakthrough point, which is also the support area for the two declines in the US market. Once it breaks down, it indicates that the rise started at 2970 yesterday has ended and returned to the short position.
If gold breaks upward and stands above the 3100 mark with the help of news, the long position will gradually rise to 3115-20 and 3135-40 (last Friday's high point) and even test the historical high of 3167 to build a daily double top!
Intraday operation:
The 3100 mark is used as a long-short boundary. If it breaks through, you can consider short-term long positions. After pulling up, refer to the above target position, which is also a resistance position, and arrange short positions again.
XAU/USD(20250410) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Only 13 hours after it came into effect, Trump announced the suspension of the reciprocal tariff policy for most economies for 90 days for negotiations. Trump also said that he had been considering the suspension in the past few days. He now suspends the reciprocal measures because he feels that everyone has overreacted, and seems a bit panicked and a bit scared. He will consider exempting some American companies; the White House said that a 10% global tariff will still be imposed during the negotiations, and previously announced industry tariffs such as automobiles, steel and aluminum are not included in the suspension.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3050.81
Support and resistance levels:
3179
3131
3100
3001
2970
2922
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3100, consider buying, the first target price is 3131
If the price breaks through 3050, consider selling, the first target price is 3001
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Entry Plan – April 10, 2025 Multi-Timeframe Analysis (D1, H4, H1, M15)
D1: Bullish overall with higher highs and higher lows, price testing resistance near the 3100 area.
H4: Bullish continuation with clear market structure, price still finding support at lower levels.
H1: Structure showing a potential breakout to the upside but also needs confirmation from rejection at supply zones.
M15: Currently in a retracement, testing critical order block zones that could dictate the next big move.
Macroeconomic Context
Fed Rate & NFP: The Fed's dovish stance and recent NFP data support the continuation of bullish sentiment in gold.
CPI & ISM: Inflationary pressures remain, supporting demand for gold, and driving market uncertainty that adds to gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Trend Bias
Bullish Bias: The market is overall bullish, but be cautious around key resistance zones. Look for confirmation of breakouts or pullbacks before entering.
Bearish Bias: If price fails to break above key resistance, a correction could occur, targeting the identified sell zones.
Liquidity Zones & Imbalances
The zones at 3,035-3,040 and 3,066-3,068.50 represent significant demand and order block areas where price has previously reacted. These are prime for buy entries.
Keep an eye on 3,125-3,139 as the potential sell zone, where price has shown previous rejection.
💰 Key Zones
🟩 Buy Zones (Potential Bounce Zones):
🛒 3,066–3,068.50: Sweet spot for a bullish bounce! 📉
🛒 3,035–3,040: Deep value zone! If we get a bounce here, it’s gold! ✨
🟥 Sell Zones (Potential Reversal Zones):
🚫 3,125–3,139: Major resistance, could trap bulls! ⛔
🚫 3,095–3,108: Intraday fade; short potential here! 💥
🎯 Sniper Entries
🟩 Buy Scenario 1 – “Reclaim the Bounce”
📍 Entry: 3,066–3,068.50
💡 SL: Below 3,055
🎯 TP: 3,089 | 3,113.50 | 3,127
🧠 Trigger: Look for CHoCH or Bullish Engulfing on M1/M5 for confirmation.
🟩 Buy Scenario 2 – “Deep Value Pullback”
📍 Entry: 3,035–3,040
💡 SL: Below 3,025
🎯 TP: 3,080 | 3,095 | 3,110
⚡ Tip: Wait for a strong bullish reaction on M5/M15.
🟥 Sell Scenario 1 – “Double Top Trap”
📍 Entry: 3,125–3,139
💡 SL: Above 3,145
🎯 TP: 3,105 | 3,080 | 3,055
⚠️ Tip: Look for a rejection on M5 or M15, with a bearish engulfing.
🟥 Sell Scenario 2 – “Intraday Fade”
📍 Entry: 3,095–3,108
💡 SL: Above 3,110
🎯 TP: 3,080 | 3,060 | 3,040
⚡ Tip: Move SL to breakeven once TP1 hits quickly! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ Trend Bias
📉 Bearish Short-Term: Watch for rejections at resistance. If the price pushes above 3,139, we may reconsider the bias. 💡
💥 Key Tips & Reminders:
🎯 Patience is Key: Wait for confirmation before entering any trades — no confirmation, no entry! 🕰️
🚀 Risk Management: Keep your SL tight, and only enter when you feel the setup is perfect! 🔥
💡 Be Smart, Trade Smart: Always manage your risk and stick to your plan. 🌟
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👍 Like this post if you found it useful!
💬 Comment with your thoughts or ask questions below!
🔔 Follow for more precise daily setups!
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Stay sharp, stay kind, and let’s trade with precision! 💛
Tariff Pause. Who wins ? BITCOIN leads the surge higherI don't meed to say to much ehre, the charts tell the stiry.
All are 4 hour
BITCOIN - GOLD
DXY $ - S&P500
And BITCOIN has the highest Rise in this time.
Gold was rising as safety seemed sensible but now, Risjier asset are safe for 3 months. ( for now)
The DXY dained against other currencies, taking back gains maybe
And the S&P riases though the NASDAQ has marginally higher gains.
Europeon markets will open tomorrow with a burst I expect.
This is not accident and it is the USa showing the worlf how much control it has over world finance.
As I have said many time in thepast 3 years. The New world war is not foght with Blood, it is fought with MONEY and the USa is , once again, Showing its force.
And the fact that BITCOIN has the highest gains, is DECENTRALISED, shows you why the USa wamts as mauvh of ot as possible
BITCOIN cannot be "Owned" and used as a Tool of War.
Buy BITCOIN, Spread the Power
Short XAU (Gold) Gold Futures are showing a very clean impulsive move through Elliot Wave TA. You can see the running flat on the 2nd wave leading to a very strong move on the Wave 3 major move. The Wave 5 is shorter than the Wave 3 to confirm the possible completion of this 5 Wave move up.
A weaker DXY (USD) is throwing an obstacle to this beautiful setup. Let's see some stability to the bonds market which should lead to stability in the equities market. This should help propel traders taking profits on this Gold rush.
Technical analysis of short-term operations in the US market on 4,9 US trading operation interpretation ideas:
Today, there was a bottoming out and rebound. In the morning, it first went south and then north. It fell sharply to 2970 and then quickly counterattacked 3000 after entering the Asian session! I emphasized in the morning that the gold short may be coming to an end! It will enter a short-term sharp decline and then rebound! But the current trend is obvious that today's increase has exceeded expectations!
We must beware of the possibility of a V-reversal in the US market! Although the large-scale purchase of gold caused by the selling of US bonds is still difficult to confirm the long position in the US market!
The intraday increase is close to 90 points! There may be two emotions.
1: The market impact after the tariffs are implemented has not been eliminated
2: If the bullish trend continues in the US market, it may retreat to around 3045 in the future, and continue to be bullish later!
Short-term support: 3045---3030----3000
Pressure level: 3075---3080---3100---3135
Gold-----Sell near 3020-3060, target 3000-2969Gold market analysis:
We clearly said in our analysis yesterday that gold would rise and fall. The daily line shows that it can't go up much. We sold at 3008, 3015, 3014, and 3022 yesterday, and we made profits. Today's gold idea is to pay attention to whether it continues to swing. The daily line fell and then pulled up. The daily line hovered at the bottom. The oscillating market must find the oscillation range. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line was a cross star again. Today's Asian session is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before, and the sharp drop was also due to Trump's tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It supports the US dollar in the long term and suppresses gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be the long-term top.
Today's idea is to focus on the 2969-3022 range. We will look for meat in this range in the Asian session. In addition, the daily fluctuations make the indicators sluggish. If the Asian session rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands above 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the fluctuation will rise to the range of 3000-3055. The fluctuation requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction.
Support 2990, 2969, pressure 3022, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3000.
Fundamental analysis:
The tariff war continues to affect the market, and the long and short positions have begun to compete. We will pay attention to CPI later.
Operational suggestions:
Gold-----Sell near 3020-3060, target 3000-2969
GOLD Down Strong Impulse IncomingPredicting Gold Down move from this area and will short it heavy id this start to happen.
Looks for positions above 3080.
Init Target 2880 and 2800.
setup invalidation at clean breaking above 3100.
Expecting this down move to be impulsive and strong.
Note: Not a Financial Advice.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 3,130Chart Analysis
Trend & Structure
CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked on the chart, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
The price has broken above a descending trendline and is forming higher highs and higher lows, supporting a bullish bias.
EMAs
EMA 30 (red) and EMA 200 (blue):
EMA 30 has crossed above EMA 200, which is often considered a bullish signal.
The price is currently trading above both EMAs, reinforcing the upward momentum.
---
Trade Setup
Entry Zone
The purple highlighted area between ~3,026 and 3,035, acting as a potential demand zone (previous
4.9 Gold price trend after the Fed meetingIn the early European session, spot gold maintained its amazing intraday gains, and the current price is around $3046/oz, up $64 on the day.
Gold's latest technical trading analysis:
Gold's recent sharp decline from its all-time high has stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April rally. The support level is around the $2957-2956/oz area, or the multi-week low hit on Monday, followed by the 50-day moving average (currently around $2952/oz). If gold falls below the latter, it will be seen as a new trigger by bearish traders and drag gold to the next important support level around $2920/oz, and then all the way down to $2900/oz.
On the other hand, the momentum of gold breaking through the overnight high (around the $3023/oz area) could push gold prices to the $3055-3056/oz barrier. Some follow-up buying should pave the way for gold to return to the $3,100/oz mark, with some intermediate barriers around $3,075-3,080/oz.
Support: 3,030 3,018 3,000
Resistance: 3,045 3,068 3,080
We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active thinking and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
Is the decade-long bull run in gold prices coming to an end?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 9), spot gold maintained a narrow range of fluctuations and traded around $2,983. In the previous trading day, the rebound of London gold prices was blocked, and it once surged to $3,022 during the session, but it eventually gave up its gains and fell to around $2,969 in the early trading due to the rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the decline in U.S. stocks. Although the weakening of the U.S. dollar and trade tensions provide safe-haven support for international gold, market concerns about weak demand for U.S. Treasury auctions, the outlook for the Fed's policy and increased stock market volatility still dominate short-term sentiment.The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly. As tensions between historical allies over U.S. tariffs, global trade, and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East intensify, this time it seems unlikely that the major powers will quickly unite to resolve the issues that drive investors' interest in gold as a safe-haven tool. Investors need to focus on the results of the US 10-year Treasury auction today, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's March meeting, and the quarterly earnings period opened by JPMorgan Chase and other financial reports. If the demand for US Treasury auctions is weak or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, gold prices may be further under pressure; on the contrary, the worsening of the trade war situation or the continued decline of US stocks may stimulate safe-haven buying.
Technical Review:
Technical gold daily chart, four-hour chart, hourly chart maintains a volatile downward short structure. The daily chart closed with a cross star yesterday. This pattern appears in the volatile downward structure and is regarded as a relay pattern rather than a reversal signal. At present, the daily chart MA10/7-day moving average opens downward at a high dead cross of 3060, and the MA5-day moving average opens downward and moves down to 3017, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis 50 value. The price of the short-term four-hour chart is below the MA10-day moving average, and the price remains in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger Band channel. Gold remains volatile downward, and the trading idea remains unchanged, with rebound high and low as the main support, and low and long as the auxiliary. Resistance 2996/3008 far end 3020/3036, support 2968/2956 far end 2942/2930.
Today's analysis:
The long bull market of gold started in 2015 has been going on for nearly ten years. If the gold price falls by more than 20% from the high point, it may indicate a turning point in the cycle. We need to pay attention to the signal of the Fed's policy shift and the easing of the geopolitical situation. Even if we are optimistic about the bull market in the long term, it does not mean blindly chasing highs! Gold has been crazy for 3 trading days, and it began to stabilize slowly yesterday. After falling more than 200 US dollars in the daily cycle for 3 trading days, it needs a process of shock correction. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the development of tariffs. Yesterday, I emphasized the focus on the long-short dividing point of 3030 US dollars for gold. As the key position for the top and bottom conversion, before this position is broken, continue to sell gold at a high price. Yesterday, the circle of friends in the European session also suggested selling gold in the rebound area of 3020, because the loss of 3100 US dollars in the early stage has laid the groundwork for short-term adjustments. In addition, due to the impact of trade frictions, market sentiment is overly tense, and a large amount of funds have begun to withdraw from finance, including gold, which has been sold indiscriminately. After the gold price fell below the $3,000 mark, the market selling sentiment was high, and it was believed that gold would enter a large-scale adjustment! The recent market fluctuations have been very large, which is also in line with the properties of the gold product mentioned. When all assets are sold, the currency's safe-haven properties are highlighted. The sharp drop is accompanied by a fierce rebound, and the amplitude is not small. This was the case last Thursday, Friday and today. The current market starts with a fluctuation of tens of dollars. There are opportunities but also great risks. This will be the norm if panic does not subside. What retail investors can do is to decide what they can decide and do a good job of risk control. The current market is defined as a volatile market, which is a position operation. Today, the resistance of gold focuses on selling in the pressure area of 3020-3040.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 2953-2956 sell, stop loss 2945, target 2990-3000;
Short-term gold 3020-3030 short, stop loss 3050, target 2980-3000;
Key points:
First support level: 2968, second support level: 2956, third support level: 2942
First resistance level: 2996, second resistance level: 3005, third resistance level: 3020
XAU/USD(20250409) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
2993
Support and resistance levels:
3040
3022
3011
2974
2963
2945
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 2993, consider buying, the first target price is 3011
If the price breaks through 2974, consider selling, the first target price is 2963
Gold Price Analysis: Key InsightsCurrent Market Situation:
Gold prices have retreated from all-time highs but are now consolidating near the 50-day moving average (MA), a key technical level. This pause in momentum signals a test: will buyers defend this support, or will sellers drive prices lower?
Drivers of Gold’s Performance:
Weaker U.S. Dollar: A softer dollar boosts gold’s appeal for foreign buyers, lifting demand.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets expect over 100 basis points (1%) of cuts by the end of 2025. Lower rates cut the cost of holding gold and push real yields down, making it more attractive.
Trade Tensions: Rising U.S.-China-EU friction fuels uncertainty, driving investors to gold as a safe haven. Geopolitical and economic risks continue to support prices.
Year-to-Date Gain: Gold’s up nearly 15% in 2025, fueled by these factors.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Upside Scenario: A break above $3,062.20 could spark bullish momentum, targeting the record high of $3,167.84.
Downside Risk: A drop below $3,000 may lead to a deeper pullback, possibly testing the 200-day MA or $2,900, shifting sentiment bearish.
The 50-day MA remains a pivotal level.
Upcoming Catalyst:
Traders are eyeing the Fed’s latest meeting minutes for hints on rate cuts and economic outlook—key drivers for gold’s next move.
Broader Context:
Rate Cuts & Real Yields: Lower Fed rates shrink Treasury yields. Persistent inflation cuts real yields further, favoring gold over bonds or cash.
Trade Tensions: U.S. tariffs or sanctions on China and the EU threaten global trade stability, boosting gold as a hedge.
Market Sentiment: Gold’s fate hinges on technicals and macro triggers like Fed signals or geopolitical events.
What to Watch:
Fed Minutes: Dovish tones or growth concerns could lift gold.
Dollar Strength: A falling DXY supports gold’s rally.
Price Action: Watch $3,062.20 for a breakout or $3,000 for a breakdown. Volume and RSI can confirm trends.
Summary:
Gold’s path is shaped by a weak dollar, rate cut bets, and trade unrest. It’s teetering between a breakout and a breakdown, with the Fed holding the key.
GOLD's under Geopolitical Tension (US-CHINA TRADE WAR, TARIFFS)Hey fellas,
Long time no see...
Technical side stays bullish.
Price has failed to break 2960 zone aimed Tariffs.
It has pushed more than 500 pips during Asian session
and clearly broke above 2920 zone.
As soon as price stays under 2920 till NY session, we
might see another push back.
However, if prices continues to breakup and hold 2920 as
support then we'll surely have new ATH soon enough.
DON'T FORGET UPCOMING'S CPI TOO.
Gold started current week within a range of 2965 to 3020. However,
geopolitical tension between US-CHINA trade war and TARIFFS ofcourse
caused huge uncertainty in the market.
GOLD has always been in favour of geopolitical situations.
Market is clearly reacting based on fundamental.
Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup: Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone t# GOLD (XAUUSD)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red): 3,000.22
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,042.92
🔍 Price Action & Zones
Current Price: 2,982.27
Support Zone (Demand Zone): ~2,940.27 (highlighted in purple, labeled as STOP LOSS)
Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): ~3,040.17–3,042.92 (labeled as EA TARGET POINT)
📈 Trade Idea (Based on Drawing)
Strategy: Buy from demand zone, targeting supply zone
Entry: Near 2,940.27
Stop Loss: Slightly below 2,940.27
Target: ~3,040.17
Risk to Reward: ~1:2.6 (visually)
📊 EMA Dynamics
Bearish Bias in the Medium Term: Price is trading below the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bearish trend.
Short-Term Weakness: The price has also dropped below the 30 EMA, confirming bearish momentum in the short run.
🔄 Possible Scenario
Price is currently heading back down toward the demand zone, where a bounce is anticipated.
If it respects that zone, we may see a reversal toward the target zone at ~3,040.
If it breaks below 2,940, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit).
⚠️ Things to Watch
Rejection or support confirmation at 2,940 zone is key before entry.
Be cautious of continued bearish momentum if economic news or global risk sentiment shifts.
Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g. hammer, bullish engulfing) at the demand zone for confirmation.
4.9 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Gold market analysis
Gold idea: We need to pay attention to whether the daily line will rise after reaching a low. The daily line is hovering at the bottom. In a volatile market, we must find a range of volatility. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line formed a cross star again. Today, the white market is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before. The sharp drop was also due to Trump’s tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It will support the US dollar in the long term and suppress gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be a long-term top.
Today’s idea: Let’s focus on the 2969-3022 volatility range. If the white market rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands on 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the volatility will rise to the 3000-3055 range. The volatility requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction.
Support level: 2990-2969,
Pressure: 3022 3035
After a brief rebound, gold continues to be short-sellingThe gold 1-hour moving average is still in a downward dead cross short arrangement, and the gold short strength is still there. The gold moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3002. After gold fell below 3000, gold accelerated its decline again, indicating that gold is still at an important level around 3000. The volatility of gold has only increased recently, so don't think that the market has reversed because it seems to have rebounded a lot. The recent fluctuations of tens of dollars in the gold market are normal.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3000, stop loss 3010, target 2970
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
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Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)