XAUUSD - Overtrading and Revenge Trading - Trading PsychologyFrom Chaos to Control: Mastering the Art of Balanced Trading on Gold
Trading gold is exhilarating. It’s fast, volatile, emotional — and addictive.
But what most traders don’t realize is this: it’s not the market killing your account.
It’s you, pressing buy and sell like it’s a video game.
Over-trading is the silent account killer. It doesn’t scream. It whispers:
“Just one more entry.”
“Maybe this one will finally run.”
“Let me scalp this quick pullback…”
Before you know it, you’ve taken 12 trades by noon and your brain’s fried.
🧠1. Why Over-Trading Happens: The Dopamine Delusion
Over-trading isn’t just a strategy flaw. It’s chemical. Your brain rewards anticipation of profit — not just actual wins.
So every setup, every near-miss, every “maybe I missed the move” spikes your dopamine.
That’s why you keep clicking. Not because you saw a valid setup.
Because your brain craves the rush of imagining one.
This is why traders enter in zones they never marked, skip confirmation, and rush into impulsive entries.
The market didn’t give a signal. Your nervous system did.
📉2. The Real Damage: Not Just Losing Trades — Losing Discipline
Over-trading ruins more than your account. It ruins your edge.
• You stop following your plan
• You chase liquidity like a gambler
• You get shaken out of clean zones
• You increase risk, just to “make it back faster”
And worst of all? It feels productive.
But profits don’t come from activity. They come from precision.
If you don’t reflect about your actions, you repeat the bad ones.
💸3. The Financial Fallout: Over-Trading Blows Up Accounts
Over-trading nukes your capital.
• One extra trade becomes five
• SL gets wider or invisible because your entry was rushed
• Lot size gets heavier to “speed up” recovery
• Now you’re emotional, and revenge mode kicks in...
You’re not compounding anymore.
You’re compounding mistakes.
This is how smart traders blow up challenge accounts.
This is how funded accounts get revoked.
This is how small accounts die before they grow.
Over-trading is a trap with a $0 exit.
✅4. Tactical Fixes: Trade Smart, Live Smarter
✔️ Set a daily trade cap.
Limit yourself to 2–3 trades. If you keep entering, it’s not analysis — it’s compulsion.
✔️ Split your daily risk.
Risking 0.3% total? That doesn’t mean 0.3% per trade. Break it down, or you’ll break your account.
✔️ Set alerts — not alarms in your brain.
Stop watching every candle like it’s a soap opera.
Set TradingView alerts at your key zones and walk away.
The market doesn’t move faster just because you're glued to the screen.
✔️ Take real breaks — not just chart scrolling.
Go outside. Call someone or send time with family and friends. Eat good food.
Most traders come home from work and go right back into charts like it’s their second shift.
That’s not discipline. That’s burnout.
✔️ Build a life that doesn't revolve around entries.
The more you lose, the more you trade. The more you trade, the more you spiral.
It’s just like alcohol, drugs, gambling. Dopamine up. Reality down.
And the worst part? It looks like hard work from the outside — but it feels like slow death inside.
🧨5. From Over-Trading to Revenge Mode
If over-trading is the first crack in your foundation, revenge trading is the wrecking ball.
And it never starts from logic. It starts from pain.
You had a clean setup.
You got stopped out — maybe twice.
Now you're frustrated, humiliated… embarrassed.
You’re no longer reacting to price.
You’re reacting to loss.
Revenge trading doesn’t feel chaotic in the moment.
It feels righteous.
You convince yourself, “I just need one win to get it all back.”
😵💫6. The Emotional Spiral Traders Don’t Talk About
Over-trading and revenge trading are addictive.
You’re showing up to work. You’re posting charts. You’re pretending it’s fine.
But deep down?
You're wrecked. Emotionally, financially, and mentally.
This is the side of trading no one glamorizes.
The isolation. The loneliness. The pressure. The self-blame.
This is how people burn out — not from one bad week.
But from trying to trade their way out of pain.
⚠️ Final Word
Over-trading is not a badge of hustle.
It’s the first step toward emotional dependence on the market.
And that’s the most expensive habit you’ll ever form.
If you don’t catch it early, you’ll keep blaming the market, the spread, the broker…
when the real damage was done by your own reaction.
The market doesn’t owe you anything.
So be kind to yourself and build discipline, you will win in the long run.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Goldprice
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance ZoneGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone 📉🟥
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart for GOLD/USD shows a clear price action behavior between a well-defined resistance zone (~3,480–3,510) and a support zone (~3,260–3,280).
🔻 Bearish Signals:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times (highlighted with red arrows and orange circles) but failed to break above it, indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price action suggests another lower high formation, which is a bearish signal 📉.
Recent candles are rejecting the upward move, pointing to potential downside movement.
🟩 Support Confirmation:
Previous reactions from the support zone (green arrows) show that buyers have consistently stepped in near the 3,260–3,280 range.
This level remains a key demand zone where a bounce might be expected.
🔁 Outlook:
If the price continues to reject the resistance and follows the pattern, we might see another drop towards the support area.
A break below the support zone would confirm a bearish breakout and could open the door to deeper downside targets.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is trading within a range, but the repeated failures at resistance suggest bearish momentum might take control in the short term. A move back toward the support zone is likely unless a breakout above resistance occurs.
📉 Resistance: 3,480–3,510
🟩 Support: 3,260–3,280
🔍 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless resistance breaks
Is gold a short-term correction or a bull market turning point?Market news:
The London gold price has experienced a significant correction after hitting an eight-week high. Spot gold fell more than 1% on Monday, wiping out all the gains of last Friday. However, the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the continued conflict between Israel and Iran, still provides support for international gold prices. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting has become the focus of market attention.The continued tension in the Middle East is an important driving factor for the recent fluctuations in spot gold. The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated significantly since June 12. Israel's air strikes on the Iranian National Radio and Television Building and the Natanz uranium enrichment plant have caused serious damage to Iran's nuclear facilities. In addition to geopolitical factors, the policy trends of the Federal Reserve also have an important impact on international gold.For gold, the Federal Reserve's maintenance of high interest rates usually puts pressure on its price, because gold, as an interest-free asset, is less attractive in a high-interest rate environment. However, geopolitical risks and rising inflation expectations may offset some of the negative impacts, causing gold prices to remain volatile in the short term. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the situation between Israel and Iran, the results of the G7 summit, and the Federal Reserve's economic forecasts, while being wary of the short-term impact of market sentiment and technical factors on gold prices. The monthly rate of US retail sales (commonly known as "horror data") will also be released on this trading day, and investors also need to pay close attention!
Technical review:
Technically, the daily price of gold is still running above the MA10/7-day moving average at 3364, the RSI indicator is above the value of the middle axis 50, and the price is running in the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3420 dead cross opens downward, the price pulls back to the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator retreats to the middle axis. The short-term formation is a bearish shock and fall, but the gold price is still in the buying structure channel on the daily and weekly charts. The main idea of today's trading is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price! Gold began to pull back when the situation eased. The fermentation of this round of news was relatively restrained by large funds, and did not test the high point of 3500 upwards. Overall, the increase in gold prices was not large, and there was still a process of pulling. The fundamentals have not changed, and gold is still in a bull market. As we said before, if we keep above the key point of 3400, gold will continue to be bought. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices should focus on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly level MA5 support to buy!
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to weaken in the short term. After the rapid decline last night, the rebound strength is not strong at all. It is obvious that there is a large selling pressure above. For the market that broke the original upward trend, we also said last night that the decline is not very large. It just changed from buying to shock. Our intraday operations can be sold in the short term first!Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still buying. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we go to buy the bottom. I will say later that in the current market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market goes!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3383-3385, stop loss at 3372, target at 3420-3440;
Sell short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3432, target at 3390-3370;
Key points:
First support level: 3383, second support level: 3372, third support level: 3353
First resistance level: 3418, second resistance level: 3430, third resistance level: 3450
Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary:
Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut.
My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable.
Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373.
The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks.
The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
Geopolitics and Fed policies dominate the trend of gold prices
📌 Gold news
On Monday, boosted by the risk aversion of the Iran-Israel war, the gold price hit a high of 3452, but the continuity was not strong, and a series of other adjustments appeared; let's briefly sort it out:
1: Adjustment: Adjustment is normal. If the market rises, if the risk aversion does not continue to exert force, then the gold price can only return to technical adjustments. Therefore, Monday's adjustment trend and the decline trend are normal!
2: Risk aversion trend: The risk aversion trend will not be reversed for the time being! Once the war starts, it will not end easily; unless the interests of both sides are not damaged, the two sides agree to a ceasefire, but at present, the hope and probability are relatively small, so the risk aversion trend is the mainstream of the current global market;
3: The direction of the Iran-Israel war is nothing more than a few possibilities:
A: The war expands, the surrounding countries stand in line, and the US and Western imperialism join the battlefield; the war expands rapidly! At the same time, Iran is forced to block the Strait of Hormuz! This is a manifestation of escalating war;
B: Both sides, as well as the forces behind them, have calculated their interests, reached an agreement, and agreed to end the war conflict; this mainly depends on Iran's attitude; is it "powerful and unyielding", continuing to oppose the United States and imperialism; or is it pro-American, completely changing its identity, or changing its identity to submit to Israel and the United States;
To sum up: risk aversion eased slightly on Monday, but the overall global market is still risk-averse; technical adjustments are normal trends; but don't completely ignore the importance of risk aversion and risk aversion control because of technical adjustments; in addition, the subsequent results of the Middle East war are nothing more than the above two; what determines all this is the attitude of both sides;
📊Comment Analysis
Although the gold price fell below 3400 and the short-term trend changed, the general direction still remains bullish. In the future, it is still expected to hit the high point of 3500, but it is necessary to wait patiently for the bottom to stabilize before choosing the opportunity to buy the bottom. The current market is changing rapidly, and investors should adhere to the principle of following the trend and flexibly adjust their trading strategies.
💰Strategy Package
Short-term gold 3383-3393 long, stop loss 3372, target 3420-3440;
Short-term gold 3420-3430 short, stop loss 3435, target 3390-3370;
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
Gold Price Analysis June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning
there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH.
Gold has a slight correction in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The correction may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction period before Gold returns to the all-time high. Maybe before 3490 there will be another price reaction before reaching the top.
The Fed’s decision may guide the direction of gold
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell more than 1% as traders locked in profits after hitting an 8-week high, with attention turning to the Fed's policy decision and diplomatic signals from Iran. The move puts gold on track to form a bearish closing price reversal pattern, suggesting further consolidation if no new safe-haven demand emerges.
Safe-haven demand stagnates as Israel-Iran tensions ease
Geopolitical risks from the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict have been one of the key drivers of gold's recent gains. However, as reports emerged that Iran was willing to restart nuclear talks through an Arab intermediary, market reaction became muted.
These developments led to a more than 3% drop in crude oil prices and eased inflation concerns. Despite the continued tensions in the Middle East, the change still limited further gains for gold. U.S. Treasury yields were almost flat on the day, reflecting a decline in the market's urgent demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
A weaker dollar failed to support gold's gains
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell to 97.685, just above last week's multi-year low. Bearish sentiment persists, and new short positions may curb any rebound.
Gold's failure to rise despite a weaker dollar indicates overall hesitation in the market. Analysts pointed out that the lack of safe-haven inflows into the dollar and U.S. Treasuries highlights that traders are more focused on upcoming central bank guidance than geopolitical factors.
Fed outlook will dominate short-term price action
Traders are now awaiting the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged, but forward guidance will be key.
Gold could face new pressure if Fed Chairman Powell turns hawkish or suggests that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Any signs of policy normalization could boost the dollar and weaken gold’s appeal. However, a dovish tone or concerns about the persistence of inflation could strengthen support for gold near technical key levels.
Gold price forecast: If the $3310 range support is effective, the bullish trend remains
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, gold is testing a key support area. A drop to around $3,380 could trigger new buying; if this level is lost, it will further test the $3,350 support level.
On the upside, resistance is close to $3,450, and if bullish momentum resumes, the all-time high of $3,500.20 is still possible.
For now, the forecast maintains a cautiously bullish tone, provided that the $3,310 support level remains solid and the Fed avoids turning hawkish.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3375-3380
Short Position:3410-3420
After breaking KEY DAY yesterday, it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Middle East tensions ease? Prices fall?Information summary:
Iran sent a peace signal to the United States and Israel through Arab intermediaries - requiring the United States not to carry out air strikes as a prerequisite for restarting nuclear negotiations, and emphasizing to Israel that controlling violence is in the common interest.
Under the influence of this news, gold turned downward several times, reaching a low of $3,383, and then rebounded slightly. The current price fluctuates slightly above $3,400.
Market analysis:
Technical analysis shows that the current price has broken through the key resistance area of the previous high and the middle track resonance. The 4-hour chart continues to be bullish under the support of the middle track, and the short-term sideways adjustment is a normal accumulation of upward momentum.
If the integer mark of $3,400 can be maintained, the hourly chart is expected to continue the upward trend after a narrow range of fluctuations, and accelerate to a new high after breaking through; on the contrary, if this position is lost, it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of trend reversal.
The geopolitical crisis continues to ferment, injecting medium- and long-term safe-haven demand into gold. Combined with the strong closing pattern at the weekly level, the core operation strategy should be to buy on the pullback, focusing on the 3400-line long-short dividing line. At present, the price can be arranged for long orders, and the target will be the previous high point after breaking through 3415, but the risk of falling back from the high point must be strictly prevented.
Good luck to everyone in the new week.
The situation has eased, and gold has pulled back!
Although Iran has released a signal of easing, Israel's action plan remains unchanged and the situation remains tense. Just recently, Israeli missiles attacked Iran's national news TV station.
Gold has only fallen back, and it is definitely not turning around. Gold continues to be bullish, and there are still long positions near 3400. Overall, it continues to look above 3460.
With the situation easing, it began to pull back. The fermentation of this round of news has restrained the big funds and did not test the high point of 3500 upwards. Overall, the increase in gold prices is not large, and there is still a process of pulling. The fundamentals have not changed, and gold is still in a bull market.
Today's trend is obviously still mainly washing the market. The big negative line came down and then pulled up strongly.
The bottom line is 3380.
It is obviously the support of the market and the bottom signal. This 3380 is the previous high point and the future support. At present, it is to keep an eye on this position and continue to increase positions near 3400. It's that simple.
Iran releases easing signals, gold is still bullish
📣Golden News
1. Iran sends a signal of easing. U.S. media reported that under the pressure of Israeli air strikes, Iran has used Arab intermediaries to send a peace signal to the United States and Israel - asking the United States not to carry out air strikes as a prerequisite for restarting nuclear negotiations, and emphasizing to Israel that controlling violence is in the common interest.
2. Israel's firm stance. Israeli warplanes fly freely over the Iranian capital, and Iran's counterattack is ineffective. Israel is still focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, and there is no motivation to cease fire in the short term.
3. Gold's reaction and strategy. Iran's peace proposal caused the price of gold to plummet to as low as $3,382. However, since the situation in the Middle East has not eased significantly, it is recommended to buy on dips and pay attention to the support level of $3,400. ⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485
TP1: 3450 USD
TP2: 3440 USD
TP3: 3430 USD
🔥Buy gold area: 3390-3388 USD SL 3383 USD
TP1: 3400 USD
TP2: 3410 USD
TP3: 3422 USD
Gold continues to rise! When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In early Asian trading on Monday (June 16), London gold prices continued to rise last week, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3,451/ounce, as Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that escalating wars may trigger wider regional conflicts, and international gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying.The continued rise of gold during the conflict depends on whether it is in a bull market and whether the conflict is likely to escalate. The inflow of funds into gold stock ETFs shows an increase in retail interest, especially silver outperforming spot gold, suggesting that market sentiment is turning. In addition to the geopolitical situation, this week will also usher in the test of the US retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as "terror data") and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.This trading day also needs to pay attention to the US New York Fed Manufacturing Index in June and the G7 Leaders' Summit, and pay attention to China's May total retail sales of consumer goods and China's May industrial added value annual rate.
Technical Review:
The technical price of gold is in good condition with the buying structure of the trend. The MA10/7/5-day moving averages on the daily chart remain open upward, the RSI indicator is hooked upward, and the price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system of the short-term four-hour chart maintains a golden cross opening upward, the price gradually moves up from the high point of the MA10-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands remain open upward in the same hourly chart. Affected by the market fundamentals, gold has triggered risk aversion.The price of gold continues to rise, and the graphics of various time periods have formed obvious and strong support. In the daily chart, gold fell back to the trend line support after the triangle convergence breakthrough, and ushered in a rising trend again. In the short term, the upward momentum of gold is still strong. Based on the last round of retracement low of $3120 as the starting point of the wave structure, the push of the third wave may cause the price of gold to rise to $3600-3640. Combined with the current fundamentals, news and geopolitical situation, the medium- and long-term upward trend of gold is far from over.
Today’s analysis:
At present, the entire market is still affected by the geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold has been at a high level for a long time. If there is no turning point, the gold price will continue to remain above 3400 today. We will have the opportunity to see the gold price refresh the historical high of 3500 again today or tomorrow, and the probability is also very high. Then our operation idea is to buy to the end before the trend changes!
The trend of the gold one-hour market is still strong. From the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a high-level shock pattern, and the low point continues to rise. The high point has been continuously broken. Although the high opening and high movement of the Asian market failed to be directly continued, the high and fall back just gave us the opportunity to buy in!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3411, target at 3450-3470;
Sell short-term gold at 3468-3471, stop loss at 3480, target at 3420-3400;
Key points:
First support level: 3423, second support level: 3410, third support level: 3392
First resistance level: 3458, second resistance level: 3467, third resistance level: 3483
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis:
The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way.
In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop.
Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417.
Fundamental analysis:
There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
Gold May Pull Back Short-Term📊 Market Overview:
After several strong bullish sessions, gold prices are under short-term pressure as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East temporarily ease and the US Dollar shows slight recovery.
While expectations for a steady Fed policy remain, traders are locking in profits after gold tested the $3,445 resistance zone.
📉 Technical Analysis:
Key Resistance: $3,445 – $3,460
Nearest Support: $3,394 – $3,380
EMA 09: Price has dropped below the 09 EMA, signaling a potential short-term bearish shift.
RSI/Candles/Momentum: RSI is pulling back from overbought levels. A red candlestick pattern has emerged after a strong rally, suggesting a technical pullback may be forming. Trading volume is starting to decrease.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may correct lower in the short term toward the $3,390–$3,380 support zone if it fails to reclaim the 09 EMA. However, the medium-to-long-term trend remains supported by safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,440 – $3,445
🎯 TP: $3,420
❌ SL: $3,455
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,390 – $3,395
🎯 TP: $3,410
❌ SL: $3,380
Gold, continued to rise after a pullback
📌 Driving events
Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that the escalation of the war could trigger a wider regional conflict, and gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying. (The author believes that according to media reports, Iranian leaders have shown a tougher attitude, and Iran cannot be ruled out to give Israel a strong counterattack, so the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may escalate in the next few days, and gold as a safe-haven asset will shine even brighter.
Kremlin: (On Putin's possible mediation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict) Russia is ready to intervene at any time if necessary. (The author hopes that the two countries will be reconciled as soon as possible)
📊Comment Analysis
1-hour chart: The rising channel breaks down, and short-term shorting is at 3442.
💰Strategy Package
Today's US market plans to sell high and buy low in the 3408-3452 range. If the range breaks, follow the trend, strictly lighten the position and set a good stop loss.
⭐️ Note: I hope traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
I hope everyone will set rules, control emotions, and take a long-term view, and slowly get rid of the control of desire, be at ease in the trading market, find their own way to make money, and truly enjoy the fun and rewards brought by trading.
GOLD TRADE IDEA BULLISH MOMENTPrice is approaching a high-interest demand zone, marked by previous accumulation and clean inefficiency. My plan?
I’m not rushing in — I’m waiting for a 15-minute structure shift. Once that happens, I’ll look for a minor FVG to enter with precision.
📌 Key Criteria:
Price must react in the zone
Clear shift in structure (bullish intent)
Minor FVG forms = potential sniper entry
Targeting a high RR setup (6.5+)
The international situation is bad. Gold fell back.Information summary:
Latest news: Israeli fighter jets "flew freely" over Tehran, and Iran lost air supremacy over the entire west. Israel's goal turned to a wider range of Iranian military and infrastructure.
Iran's counterattack, Tel Aviv, Haifa and other Israeli cities are being attacked by Iranian missiles. Both sides are currently suffering heavy losses.
But the price of gold fell back at this time; I think the biggest reason is that this week, the global "super central bank week" is about to hit, the market will usher in a very critical Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and central banks such as Japan, Switzerland and the United Kingdom will also hold monetary policy meetings one after another, and investors are on high alert. Under the influence of multiple conditions, the price of gold has a technical correction.
Technical analysis:
From a technical point of view, the impact of the conflict in the Middle East did not directly push up prices, but instead rushed up and fell back, which shows that the market has great pressure on the upward trend. Therefore, for the upward trend, it is necessary to be relatively conservative.
From the position point of view, the support below is around 3410.
From a trading perspective, most traders are waiting for the release of some data, which will change the overall trend of gold. However, according to the latest analysis of 14 Wall Street analysts, 10 analysts expect prices to continue to rise.
So I guess that this time the gold price pullback is accumulating energy for upward movement. At present, the price has started to rise after falling back to around 3410. The point of this pullback rebound is expected to stop around 3440, and then start to fluctuate at a high level.
If the price breaks through 3440 strongly and stabilizes above this position, the price may hit the upward pressure level of 3455 again.
Analysis of gold trend on June 16!
📣Gold information:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climbed to $3,445 in early Asian trading on Monday, the highest level in more than a month, as rising tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve boosted demand for safe-haven assets.
Investors remain focused on geopolitical risks despite stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data on Friday. The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index jumped to 60.5 in June, well above market expectations of 53.5 and 52.2 in May. However, the market largely shrugged off the data. Instead, attention turned to the escalating conflict in the Middle East, with Israel's recent attack on Iran fueling concerns about instability in the wider region. In response, Iranian authorities warned that they would "respond firmly to any adventurism," which boosted gold's appeal amid global uncertainty.
⭐️Technical review and analysis: For the current short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to rebound high and go long, with the upward resistance level of 3450-3500 and the downward support level of 3385-3335.
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485
TP1: $3450
TP2: $3430
🔥Buy gold area: $3390-$3388 SL $3383
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3422
Gold Regains Bullish MomentumGold Regains Bullish Momentum
Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,375 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,420 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,415 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,300 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,350 and $3,375 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,400. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,420 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,450 and the price is now consolidating gains.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,415 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high.
Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,415. The next major support sits at $3,375 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high.
A downside break below the $3,375 support might send the price toward the $3,335 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,300 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,450 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,460 level. An upside break above the $3,460 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,480. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,500 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Breaks Out as Iran Tensions Flare🚨 Israel’s Iran strike fears are sending gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) soaring to $3448!
reports Israel may target Iran’s nuclear sites (June 16, 2025), fueling safe-haven demand as oil prices climb.
4H Chart Analysis:
Price Action: XAUUSD cleared $3440 resistance (a June 2025 high) after a 2-week consolidation, confirming an uptrend.
Volume: 4H volume surged 20% vs. the prior week, reflecting strong buying pressure.
Key Levels:
Current Support: $3440 (former resistance, now support, tested today).
Next Support: $3410-$3420 (consolidation low, held three times since June 1, 2025).
Context: Gold is up 6.49% this month, with $3448 the highest 4H close since May 2025, driven by Middle East risks.
The $3440 breakout with high volume shows buyers dominating. $3410-$3420 is a key support zone for pullbacks, backed by recent price action. Track Iran news and volume for breakout strength or reversal signals.
How’s your 4H gold setup looking? Drop your charts! 👇 #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #IsraelIran #SafeHaven #TradingView
XAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran StrikesXAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran Strikes
In 2025, the price of gold continues to form a long-term upward trend, highlighted by the black line. The red line previously acted as resistance, resulting in the formation of a contracting triangle on the XAU/USD chart – a typical sign of market equilibrium.
However, this red line was breached (as indicated by the arrow) amid news of the exchange of strikes between Israel and Iran. In response, gold price movements have more clearly outlined the rising blue channel, which began to take shape in the second half of May.
Over the weekend, the strikes continued, and on Monday morning, trading opened with a modest bullish gap. This indicates that geopolitical risk concerns are helping to keep gold prices anchored above the red line.
What could happen to the price of gold next?
Much will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops. Should the exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel subside and official statements offer hope for de-escalation, a pullback from the upper boundary of the blue channel is likely.
If such a scenario plays out, technical analysts may focus on the support zone around $3,390–3,400 on the XAU/USD chart, formed by:
→ the psychological level of $3,400;
→ the red line, which previously acted as resistance;
→ the median of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.