GOLD SWING XAUUSD took support form bottom - up Line.
All long targets are achieved
This month taking rejection from major resistence,
Let's track the moves from Top down line.
Follow for more swing analysis for INDICES - CURRENCY - COMMODITIES
Goldprice
XAUUSD ANALYSIS XAUUSD took support from support line,
All long targets are achieved.
this month taking rejection from major resistence,
Let's track the moves to down.
follow for more swing analysis on INDICES - CURRENCY - COMMODITIES
XAUUSD swing Analysis XAUUSD took support from support line,
All long targets are achieved.
this month taking rejection from major resistence,
Let's track the moves to down.
follow for more swing analysis on INDICES - CURRENCY - COMMODITIES
Gold fell as expected. What will happen next week?Gold fell within the range expected by Quid. Although it rebounded slightly, the final result did not change. Will the direction of gold change next week?
Quid's analysis:
Gold's 1-hour moving average is downward, and there is a trend of continuous downward development; gold is currently under pressure from the 3270 line, so 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bears next week. Although gold has rebounded slightly, the magnitude of the decline is not large; if the upward resistance level of 3270 fails to break through next week, it may be in a sideways fluctuation.
The downward trend will not reverse for the time being, unless major news is released on the weekend, which directly affects the gold market.
Quid believes that the ups and downs of the market are normal. Gold has fallen by about $300 from its high point, and the overall trend in the near future is still downward; it continues to fall after a small rebound, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there.
Quide believes that it is always easy to follow its trend; violating its rules always makes oneself exhausted; the market is always right, and standing on the opposite side of the market will always be taught a lesson by the market. In the face of the overall trend, traders should not be lucky, and the market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3270, stop loss at 3280, take profit around 3220;
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
As expected, gold prices continue to fall
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs.
The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now.
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD BuyHello traders!
There’s an ideal buying opportunity on XAUUSD right now. I’ve activated a Buy position to take advantage of this setup.
The TP target is **3262.58** and the SL level is **3242.65**.
Make sure to adjust your lot size and risk according to your trading plan, and enter the trade with discipline.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING)
remember this idea before, way early to short right?
Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or
lower.
See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart.
This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot.
Guys this idea is on my self only.
This is not a financial advice.
See you again next week.
The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works?
This is only my view.
sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades.
Follow for more.
Gold trend layout in the evening after the release of NFP data🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
The short orders in hand have already been profitable, and gold is now back near 3250, while the US dollar index has once again fallen by 100, reaching around 99.6, and the 1H moving average is currently showing signs of turning upward. The upper and lower shadow lines of the 1H K-line closing look like cross stars of equal length, which means that things may go wrong, and gold may rebound upwards in the short term. We can still focus on the resistance of 3260-3270 above, and further focus on the first-line resistance of 3280-3286, while the bottom has never been able to effectively break through the first-line support of 3240. If this week closes at 3240, then the market outlook next week will be conducive to long trading.
Intraday operation suggestions
🎁SELL 3260-3270
🎁TP 3245-3240
🎁BUY 3230-3240
🎁TP 3260-3270
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
Non-farm data is released, and gold is still going to fall.
📌 Gold information
Today, the market will usher in the heavy non-farm data for April. From the expected value, there are only 130,000 people, far lower than the expected 228,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%.
If we refer to the unsatisfactory ADP data in April, then the number of non-farm people in April should have declined, or it is lower than expected, but the ADP data cannot fully correspond to the final non-farm data. This is the answer given to us by too many experiences in the past, so it cannot be concluded that the non-farm data this time will be lower than expected.
📊Comment analysis
Combined with the technical aspect, the strong technical pressure above the international gold price is around 3280, and then the 3300 mark. Even if it rebounds next, the pressure of the above two prices cannot be broken, and there is still a probability of a pullback adjustment. The initial support below is 3230, and after breaking through the position, it will follow the trend to explore 3205.
💰Strategy Package
If today's non-agricultural data cannot provide strong support for gold prices, the rise in gold prices in the short term will be difficult to sustain. The specific decision can only be made after the final release of the afternoon data and the guidance on prices. The trend fluctuations tonight will be very intense. Remember to strictly control your positions to prevent risks.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
XAUUSD - GOLD UPDATES - May 2nd - before NFP🪙 GOLDMINDSFX | MAY 2 XAUUSD IDEAS
“Gold plays games. We play levels.”
🏛️ MACRO & POLITICAL CONTEXT
Gold is stabilizing inside a retracement phase following April's all-time high (ATH 3500). After sweeping major liquidity below 3205, we’ve seen structure shift back to bullish on the lower timeframes.
Today’s NFP may trigger sharp volatility, but we trade structure, not headlines.
China remains closed for Labor Day until May 5—reduced Asia volume. Meanwhile, Q1 data shows central bank gold accumulation slowing, adding caution to global demand outlook.
With recent lows defended and current price inside a decision zone, we wait for liquidity to declare direction—no predictions, only reactions.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
Confirmed CHoCH from 3205
BOS above 3233
Bullish FVGs developing
HTF still bearish under 3333
📍Live Price: 3265
📌 TECHNICAL ZONES & CONFLUENCES
🔼 BUY ZONES
🟢 Buy Zone #1: 3233–3220
15M FVG + recent impulse rejection
Entry on rejection or liquidity wick
🟢 Buy Zone #2: 3205–3190
CHoCH origin + 1H OB
Golden pocket: 0.618–0.705
Ideal continuation setup
🟢 Buy Zone #3: 3172–3160
H4 OB + EQ + deep liquidity
Final support before full structural flip
🔽 SELL ZONES
🔴 Sell Zone #1: 3284–3295
1H supply + FVG + BOS confluence
Buy-side liquidity resting above 3280
🔴 Sell Zone #2: 3325–3333
Prior rejection base + liquidity shelf
Best R:R trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone #3: 3366–3378
Final stop-hunt trap zone before reversal
Use only with rejection / PA confirmation
🧠 STRATEGY NOTES
SL adjusted to 100–150 pips according to entry zone
Price is coiling under 3265 = decision time
Liquidity is stacked above and below—wait for sweep and structure shift
We’re not here to predict. We hunt zones and execute like killers.
Confirmation before entry: BOS, CHoCH, wick traps, engulfing, rejection wicks.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
"Gold Ain’t Done Yet – Snipers Don’t Sleep, They Wait After a clean CHoCH from 3205 and bullish NY session push, Gold is currently hovering around 3239 ahead of major macro catalysts tomorrow (May 2):
💼 News to Watch:
NFP (133K vs. 228K prev)
Unemployment Rate
Average Hourly Earnings All releasing between 15:30–17:00 UTC+2, potentially fueling a volatility storm.
We remain in a broader retracement phase after April highs (ATH 3500), with price still sitting in higher timeframe discount zones and internal bullish signs building. However, supply above is unmitigated and could cap rallies.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE
Price is currently at 3239, just above a valid H1–H4 support zone.
Clean CHoCH confirmed from 3205
Liquidity still resting both above 3284 and below 3172
🔽 BUY SCENARIOS (From Discount + Liquidity Areas)
🟢 Buy #1 – 3205–3212
🔹 H1 CHoCH zone + internal FVG
🔹 Sell-side liquidity just swept
🔹 Entry if price retests post-NFP drop
⚠️ Ideal for short-term bounce or reaccumulation into 3260
🟢 Buy #2 – 3172–3185
🔹 H4 OB + sweep zone + EQ
🔹 Heavy stop cluster under 3200
🔹 If broken, becomes invalid → eyes move to 3120
🔸 High-risk/reward reversal zone if NFP panic spikes below
🔼 SELL SCENARIOS (From Premium + Imbalance Zones)
🔴 Sell #1 – 3284–3295
🔹 H1–H4 supply + FVG + internal BOS
🔹 Buy-side liquidity just above 3280
🔹 Classic pre-news pump & dump zone
⚠️ Watch for wicks above 3288 → sniper sell trigger
🔴 Sell #2 – 3325–3333
🔹 HTF OB shelf + imbalance + previous NY rejection
🔹 Final retail breakout trap before larger drop
🔹 Cleanest R:R setup if NFP drives price explosively upward
👀 Eyes On:
Zone Reaction Type What to Watch
3220–3235 Bounce or trap Current zone = fragile intraday demand
3284–3295 Rejection or flip Cleanest NY pump trap zone
3172–3185 Final support Below = invalidates bullish scenario short-term
3325–3333 Bull trap zone If reached = extreme precision sell only
🎯 Bias:
LTF: Bullish retrace valid above 3212
HTF: Still bearish under 3330
Macro: Wait-and-react on NFP → NO prediction
📣 Final Note for GoldMinds:
This is not a prediction plan.
It’s a reaction plan.
We mapped the real zones.
Now let the volatility reveal which liquidity gets hit first.
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’ve evolved past “buy now / sell now” noise.
Let’s hunt like pros — not guess like rookies.
Gold Technical Update (4H Time Frame) / Gold BullishAs we mentioned last week, gold was consolidating on the 4H time frame. After the breakout, all our projected targets were successfully achieved as of yesterday.
Currently, gold is forming a bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart — a continuation pattern that often signals the potential for further upside.
If gold sustains above the 3275–3280 zone, we may see renewed bullish momentum with the following potential targets:
Target 1: 3300
Target 2: 3340
Target 3: 3360
Target 4: 3400
⚠️ This is a technical analysis-based outlook. Traders are advised to manage their positions with proper risk-reward strategies and stay updated with market developments.
NF shows a volatile downward trend
📌 Gold Information
China's Ministry of Commerce announced on Friday that the United States has recently initiated communication through official channels, expressing interest in restarting tariff negotiations. Beijing is currently evaluating the proposal, which has sparked optimism that a solution to the long-standing tariff deadlock between the world's two largest economies is imminent.
New hopes for a breakthrough in trade negotiations helped the dollar rise to a three-week high on Thursday, pushing gold prices down towards the $3,200 mark. However, the dollar's bullish momentum remains weakened as the market increasingly digests expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further, especially with the closely watched US non-farm payrolls data about to be released.
📊Comment Analysis
NF news volatility is certain, having accumulated significantly since last week. Gold price confirmed the trend after breaking through 3267, and fluctuated downward below 3200
💰Strategy Package
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270🔥
Buy gold area: $3175 - $3177 SL $3170
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210⭐️
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH.
Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red.
Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
Gold may rise further to $2955 - $3000CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Long above $2785 with targets at $2955.00 & $3000
But, below $2785 look for downside $2720 & $2650 targets.
Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.
GOLD - Bearish Continuation PatternsCAPITALCOM:GOLD has been trending downwards after weeks of bullish price action. Price has formed bearish AB=CD and bearish rectangle patterns. These are both bearish continuation patterns, which indicate potential downward pressure on price.
Bullish divergence has formed on 1 hr chart and if price breaks the lower high, we can expect bullish momentum in the short term!
