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Gold is bullish but not high, but be careful to adjust the risk! 📌 Driving Event Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a clear statement at the Chicago Economic Club on Wednesday (April 16) that he would wait for more economic data to be released before deciding the direction of interest rate adjustment. He particularly emphasized that the recent market volatility is a reasonable response to the Trump administration's tariff policy, and bluntly denied the possibility of "Federal Reserve support". This hawkish speech directly led to the expansion of the decline in US stocks and the continued surge in gold. The US dollar index has risen in the past two days, and with the increase in tariff policies, there will be no unfavorable factors if the game between major powers does not stop. 📊 Commentary Analysis Gold continued to rise unilaterally in the past two days, especially the full-day increase of more than 100 US dollars on Wednesday, which almost beat the shorts without any ability to fight back. At present, gold continues to rise and fall, setting new highs, and there is no way to see where the high point is in this rally. For the current market, the only effective trading strategy is to go long on the decline and continue to be bullish. If there is no adjustment and decline space, it is better not to trade. Even if you are bullish today, you should be aware that there will be room for adjustment at any time. If it falls below 3320, it will not be very strong. If it falls below 3280, gold may fall in retaliation. Therefore, don't be too bullish today and pay attention to the risk of high gold prices. Moreover, Friday is Good Friday, and the US market will be closed for one day. Beware of the risk of closing positions after long positions are profited. 🔶Personal 💰Strategy Long position: Gold is long near 3330-35, defend near 3320 area, and target 3360 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold hits record as Polymarket flips Fed callFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned that President Donald Trump’s tariff policy is likely to fuel higher inflation and slow economic growth. Speaking at the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday, Powell said, “Markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty, and that means volatility.” His comments were quickly reflected in the markets, with the Dow shedding 1.7%, the S&P 500 falling 2.3%, and the Nasdaq tumbling 3.4%. Meanwhile, gold extended its rally to a new record high of $3,337. What may not be uncertain is the Fed’s next rate decision. According to Polymarket data, there's now an 89% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its May meeting—up from 69% just a month ago. Polymarket is also pricing the odds of Powell being replaced by Trump with a more servile director this year at 17% (which could likely send the odds of a rate cut in May shooting up).
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
The risk-averse frenzy has triggered a massive explosion of gold 📌 Driving Event The US government's tariffs and rare earths have doubled, highlighting the safe-haven properties of gold. The Trump administration has recently launched national security investigations into semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and other fields, indicating that the second wave of tariff wars is imminent. Former US Treasury Secretary Yellen bluntly stated that this "self-harming" tariff policy not only fails to achieve the return of manufacturing, but may lead to a break in the global supply chain and push up inflationary pressure. The market's expectations for "stagflation" in the US economy have increased, and gold, as a dual tool for anti-inflation and risk aversion, has significantly increased its appeal. 📊Comment Analysis At present, gold has basically rushed to the sky. In April, you can basically see the fluctuation range of gold within 70-100 points every day. In this market, you say that fixed points are sometimes really fleeting, and the optimistic resistance is like paper that can be broken at the touch of a button. So is gold really going to the sky? Labaron can only say that under such favorable conditions, it is really hard to see gold fall! 💰Strategy Package Long position: Gold is long near 3310, defend near 3290 area, and the target is 3330-37 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025⚠️ XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025 🔥 Post-speech positioning starts now – but smart money prepares before the speech. 🔍 Macro & Context 🗣️ Powell speaks tonight – market expects hawkish reassurance amid ongoing inflation fears. 🥇 Gold just made new All-Time High (ATH) = 3319, liquidity swept, now consolidating. 🏦 US Dollar still uncertain, Nasdaq under pressure → Gold remains king for now. 🕯️ Key Levels – Updated with ATH Context 🟡 Daily Chart ATH (Liquidity Grab): 3319 Next potential targets above: 🧲 3340.00 = extension level + premium FVG target 🧲 3365.00–3370.00 = extreme FIB 1.618 + psychological round number Key Demand Below (Daily): 🔵 3246–3248 (Daily FVG) 🔵 3211–3214 (Valid Daily OB + FVG) 🔵 3204.97 (Daily FVG Base) 🟡 H4 Key Levels Current Structure: HH-HL bullish, last BOS clean Premium FVG rejection zone (current): 3306–3319 (Price reacting here) Support zone: 🔵 3247–3251 (unmitigated H4 OB + FVG) 🔵 3211–3214 (FVG + prior CHoCH retest) 🟡 H1 Key Levels 🧠 Weak High: 3319 🔄 Possible Pullback Area: 🔵 3285.00–3290.00 (minor H1 imbalance) 🔵 3264–3268 (last H1 HL zone) Strong demand below = 🔵 3247–3251 🔵 3211–3214 🧭 Scenarios To Watch Before Powell Quick retrace into 3285–3290, then another sweep attempt toward 3319 or new ATH (3340+). Deeper retrace into 3247–3251, then long (if speech fuels bullish sentiment). If Powell hawkish → gold may drop to 3211–3214 (valid buys here) before resuming uptrend. 📢 Final Reminder 📌 Don’t chase price right now. Wait for clean mitigation before reentry. 📌 Powell’s tone will define short-term bias, so protect capital! 📌 Always zoom out — the structure was right, but we need to act faster next time! 💬 Let’s Talk ✅ Drop your thoughts in the comments ✅ Like & follow if you caught today’s rally or plan to ride Powell volatility! 🎯 Stay sharp, stay patient — and remember: gold doesn’t forgive chasers.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold-----Buy near 3260-3280, target 3290-3350Gold market analysis: Gold hit a new high again in the Asian session. Where is the top? There is no top to speak of. The daily pattern of gold shows that it still has the momentum to continue to rise. The daily line is not weak. Yesterday's repair was just a repair, just a rest. Fundamentals and data are immune to gold. Gold fell slightly when the data was bad, and rose sharply when it was good. In fact, gold itself wants to rise. Today's thinking is undoubtedly to continue to be bullish. Selling is dead in the short term. Bulls will continue to be bullish in the Asian session today based on the position of 3256. We have analyzed before that the next big target of the weekly pattern and segmentation cycle is to look at 3400. It is estimated that it will reach it after a few waves of pull-ups. The weekly line was a big positive last week and there is also a need for inertia to rise this week. The previous high point of 3245 is the new support. If this position is not broken today, it is basically difficult to change the buying trend of gold. The moving average begins to hover. The small moving average support behind is our opportunity to buy again. The new big support of the day has reached around 3225, which is also the suppression position of yesterday's shock. It is estimated that we have to consider directly chasing again if the Asian session is strong. Support 3245 and 3256, super support 3225, pressure is invisible, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3256. Fundamental analysis: There is not much data this week, but the fundamentals are still many. Note that the market will rest on Friday this week, which is Good Friday. Operation suggestions: Gold-----Buy near 3260-3280, target 3290-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout Toward $3,637 TargeCurrent Price: $3,309.18 EMA 30 (Red Line): $3,265.00 EMA 200 (Blue Line): $3,163.35 Trend Direction: Strong uptrend (price above both EMAs) Timeframe: 1-hour (short-term analysis) 📍 Key Levels Entry Point: Around $3,266.63 (just above EMA 30) Stop Loss: Around $3,265.00 Target (EA Target Point): $3,637.23 Potential Profit: +$365.01 or +11.16% 🔍 Technical Patterns & Zones Rising Channel: Price is moving within a rising wedge or channel, indicating bullish momentum but with narrowing range — a potential reversal signal if broken. Support Zone: Highlighted purple box around the entry point; likely a demand zone. Resistance Zone: $3,637.23 area marked as the EA Target Point — previous resistance or Fibonacci extension level. ✅ Bullish Signals Price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows. EMAs are aligned in a bullish formation (short EMA above long EMA). Clear breakout above consolidation range recently. Trade setup shows favorable risk-to-reward ratio. ⚠️ Risks / Caution Rising wedge can sometimes break down — watch for volume drop or divergence. Potential pullback to the entry zone is expected (indicated by the arrow). News Events: Symbols below the chart indicate upcoming USD economic data, which could bring volatility. 📈 Strategy Summary Buy on pullback to $3,266.63 with tight stop at $3,265.00. Target: $3,637.23 — potential 11% gain. Risk: Minimal if stop is respected, tight stop-loss.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
9
XAUUSD - 15m Sell SetupXAUUSD - Daily Sell Setup 🔻 After a strong and extended rally, Gold (XAUUSD) has reached an overheated level and is now showing signs of short-term exhaustion. We’re eyeing a $30 correction, which translates to nearly 300 pips of opportunity for short sellers. 📉 Current Price: ~$3,307 🎯 Target: ~$3,277 With momentum slowing and candles printing hesitation, this could be a great time to catch a quick pullback. Ideal for short-term traders who thrive in volatility. 💡 Manage your risk, don’t chase — wait for confirmation before entry. 💸 Ready for 300 pips? Follow us and ride the wave with precision! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sober_Trading
1
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price. Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold continues to surge to new highs! Market analysis referenceToday's Asian session has directly pulled up from yesterday's multiple rebound highs near 3230. The current relative low has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. We have analyzed before that the next big target of the weekly pattern and segmentation cycle is to look at 3400. It is estimated that it will reach it after a few waves of pull-ups. The weekly line last week's big positive also needs to rise inertia this week. The current focus of the day is still on falling back to do more. After the Asian session gold price rose sharply, the European session trend is crucial. If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session is likely to launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on now is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, the decline of tens of dollars may just be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. The current support below can refer to the afternoon low of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European session operations. The key watershed below may be at the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3245, while the upper key pressure is focused on the 3330-3350 line. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to be long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3330-3350 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3275-3280 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3330-3340, target near 3305-3290, and look at the 3280 line if it breaks. Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3275-3285, target near 3310-3330, and look at the 3350 line if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Buy Setup: Bullish Breakout with High Risk-Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators: EMA 200 (Blue): 3,170.78 (long-term trend indicator) EMA 30 (Red): 3,231.53 (short-term trend indicator) --- Key Levels: Entry Point: 3,226.55 (highlighted with a blue arrow and line) Stop Loss: 3,213.38 (purple zone bottom) Target (Take Profit): 3,272.25 --- Trade Setup: Type: Long (Buy) Position Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk: ~13.17 points (from 3,226.55 to 3,213.38) Reward: ~45.7 points (from 3,226.55 to 3,272.25) R/R Ratio: Approximately 3.5:1, which is favorable --- Market Context: Price is curren
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
12
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56 EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85 Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term. 📈 Trade Setup: Entry Point: Around 3,162.15 Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA) Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT" 📊 Strategy Outlook: Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss. The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation. ⚠️ Things to Watch: Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level. If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup. Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
8
Gold hits record high again! Intraday gold trading analysisFundamentally, although risk sentiment improved at the beginning of this week, Trump's policy changes caused gold prices to fluctuate and adjust, but due to the lack of obvious and sustained negative prospects and the uncertainty in the market, gold prices continued to be stabilized by safe-haven demand and strengthened upward. In addition, last week's inflation data was lower than market expectations, which strengthened the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. In addition, the monthly chart of the US dollar index has gone out of the 2-year top divergence, suggesting that there is a large and sustained decline in the future market, as well as increased policy uncertainty, which will also provide long-term support for gold prices. Moreover, although the market also expects that tariff policies may push up inflation in the future, US consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in April, and 12-month inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981, but this will also enhance gold's anti-inflation appeal and push up safe-haven demand. It is also good for gold prices. Analysts specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Traders are waiting for the next major fundamental development to drive the gold market, but the technical chart is still bullish. There is still safe-haven demand in the market. Gold is a safe-haven asset in times of political and financial uncertainty. The dollar index was at a nearly three-year low on Tuesday, making gold relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors are waiting for a speech by Fed Chairman Powell scheduled for Wednesday to look for clues related to interest rates. During the day, attention will be paid to data such as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March, the U.S. industrial output monthly rate in March, the U.S. NAHB housing market index in April, and the U.S. commercial inventory monthly rate in February. Although the retail data is expected to be bearish for gold prices, the subsequent overall data is bullish for gold prices. Therefore, the steady trend is still either volatile or continues to rebound and strengthen, and the operation is still biased towards low-multiple bullish. Analysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, the price of gold always fluctuated in the range of 3210 to 3233. At the opening of today, the price of gold broke through the fluctuation range in one fell swoop and showed an accelerated upward trend. So far, it has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3285 line. Gold opened for risk aversion and directly broke through the new high. The short-term adjustment ended and finally completed the adjustment in a fluctuating manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, the decline of gold now is an opportunity to go long. The first thing to pay attention to now is the top and bottom conversion position of the support line 3245 below! For intraday short-term trading, the first thing to pay attention to is the support strength near 3245. This position was the previous high point, and pay attention to its top and bottom conversion effect. Secondly, the support level near 3232 should not be ignored. This is the high point of yesterday's fluctuation range. Today's opening price broke through this position and accelerated upward. The top and bottom conversion support role of this position during the decline is worth paying attention to. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, the bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed a short-term support. Go long on dips when it falls back to 3245. The strength of a wave of gold is still there at that time. So after the surge, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Go long when it falls back to around 3248. It is particularly important to point out that the low point of 3211 during the US trading session yesterday is the key support level for the short-term market trend. Once the price effectively falls below this position, it is necessary to be alert that the market may launch a substantial adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3285-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3245-3240 line of support. Friends must keep up with the pace. ​ Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold when it rebounds around 3280-3290, target around 3255-3250, and look at 3245 if it breaks. Strategy 2: Long gold when it pulls back around 3245-3250, target around 3260-3275, and look at 3290 if it breaks. ​
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
The opportunity to short gold in the European session has arrive 📌 Driving Event On Tuesday, US President Trump launched an investigation into the necessity of tariffs on key minerals, the latest move in the expanding trade war. This trade war has affected key areas of the global economy. 📊Comment Analysis In the morning, gold fell briefly at 3275, and then broke through again. The current market rises or dives all depend on Trump's words, and today is the 34th trading day since gold rose from 2832 on February 28, and the 8th trading day since it rose from 2956 on April 7. It is likely to be a new round of change time window. Therefore, I think the current rise is just the main force pulling up and shipping. The European session is alert to the possibility of a sharp decline again! ! ! In terms of the hourly chart, the current 3293 line will be an obvious pressure. The European session recommends actively shorting here! ! ! 💰Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate at 3290-3300 points, profit target below 3280 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD(GOLD) NEXT MOVE ?**Detailed analysis** of the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart, combining technical insights **with the current geopolitical market backdrop**, particularly the **Trump tariffs escalation**: --- ### 🟡 **XAU/USD (Gold) – Technical & Fundamental Outlook** **Timeframe:** 1-Hour **Current Price:** $3,296 **Target Price:** $3,500 --- ### 📌 **Technical Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout in Play** From a trader’s lens, this chart illustrates a **classic bullish continuation setup**: #### 🔺 **Triangle Breakouts** - The chart highlights two previous **symmetrical triangle patterns**, both of which resolved **to the upside**. - These triangles signal healthy consolidation before **impulsive bullish rallies**, indicating strong **market structure**. #### 📈 **Price Action Strength** - Price recently **broke out** from another mini triangle (~$3,230 zone), confirming bullish momentum. - The breakout is **sharp and directional**, showing strong buyer interest. #### 🧱 **Support & Structure** - Price is respecting an **ascending trendline**, confirming **higher lows** and a consistent **bullish trend**. - Each consolidation phase was tighter, indicating **volatility compression before explosive moves**. #### 🎯 **Target Projection: $3,500** - Based on **measured moves** from previous breakouts and current momentum, $3,500 is a **realistic short-term target**. - Price remains inside a **bullish channel**, and breakout continuation aligns with the upper resistance projection. --- ### 🌍 **Current Market Context: Trump’s Tariff Shock & Safe Haven Demand** Amid strong technicals, the **macroeconomic backdrop adds fuel to gold’s rally**: #### 🔥 **Trump's Tariff Escalation** - Former President **Donald Trump has reactivated aggressive tariff rhetoric**, with reports of a **104% tariff on Chinese imports**, prompting **retaliatory action from China** (an 84% counter-tariff). - This **reignites U.S.-China trade tensions**, increasing **global market uncertainty**. #### 🛡️ **Flight to Safety** - Investors are rapidly **rotating into safe-haven assets**, especially gold, due to: - Trade war concerns - Recession expectations - Dollar instability fears #### 💬 **Market Sentiment** > “In times of uncertainty, gold shines brightest. Trump's economic aggression has global investors hedging risks, and XAU/USD is the first in line to benefit.” --- ### 💼 **Trading Strategy Summary** | Component | Details | |------------------|-------------------------------| | 📈 Bias | Bullish | | 💰 Entry Zone | Breakout above $3,230 | | 🎯 Target | $3,500 | | 🛑 Stop-Loss | Below $3,180 (tight structure)| --- ### ✅ **Conclusion** With **Trump’s trade war** rhetoric back in motion and **technical confirmation of a breakout**, gold is positioned for another **major rally**. A push toward **$3,500** is not just possible — it’s probable, as long as the structure holds. This is a time to **ride the momentum**, not fight it. --
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
Gold has risen strongly again. Can it break through the 3300 resEvent summary: The current gold market presents a triple driving logic: the global central bank's continuous gold purchases constitute long-term support, and the US debt crisis and the risk of US dollar trust form the core upward momentum. Technical aspects show that the gold price rose strongly after breaking through the key resistance of 3275, and the continuity of the bullish trend is clear, approaching the high of 3300 US dollars. Level analysis: Gold continued to break through strongly, with the highest price reaching 3293. After the key resistance of 3275 was effectively broken, there was no retracement, confirming the continuity of the bullish trend. The current gold price has refreshed the historical high, and is only one step away from the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. The technical form shows that the bullish momentum is sufficient, but we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level stagflation. The current upper resistance is 3295-3310, and it can continue to hold after breaking through the resistance line. Operation strategy: Go long at 3285-3290, stop loss at 3280, and look up to 3300-3310. I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter you have made profits or losses in the past, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Gold prices soared again!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly surged in the short term, breaking through the $3,275/ounce mark, with an intraday increase of more than $45. The latest report from Bloomberg News in the United States said that as the Trump administration pushed forward investigations that could expand the trade war, it stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, and the London gold price hit a record high again. As the escalating trade war has raised concerns about the prospect of a global recession, as a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has accumulated a gain of more than 23% in 2025, continuing to set a record. As investors increase their holdings of international gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and central banks continue to increase their holdings of gold, major banks remain optimistic about the outlook for gold in the coming quarters. Investors are waiting for a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, scheduled for Wednesday, to look for clues related to interest rates. It is also necessary to pay attention to the US retail sales data at 20:30 on Wednesday and the specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy. The analyst specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Technical Review: Gold opened sharply higher in the early trading and hit a new record high. It broke through the 3230 mark in the late trading and stabilized. The price continued to break the adjustment range of yesterday and rose in large volume. There was no technical movement during the day. The super-gain appeared in the early trading, and the price continued to hit a new record high. As investors turned to safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty brought by the continued tariff plan of US President Trump, additional tariffs could exacerbate the ongoing trade war and slow global economic growth. As global stock markets bottomed, the pressure on gold finally eased, and the precious metal rose sharply to a record high. The rise was very fierce because everyone rushed into the gold market, hoping to use it as a safe haven against the stagflation caused by the trade war. From a more macro perspective, gold is still in an upward trend because real yields may continue to fall because the threshold for rate hikes remains very high. Potential risks include another sharp sell-off in the stock market or a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the short term, given that gold's buying positions are too concentrated, if the trade war eases, gold prices are likely to experience a deeper correction, so it is necessary to pay close attention to developments in this regard. The current environment still supports the rise of gold, but the road to gold price rise will not be smooth, and there may be a temporary correction in the middle. Today's analysis: Gold directly broke through the new high in the early trading to avoid risks. The short-term adjustment of gold ended and finally completed the adjustment in a volatile manner. This kind of strong buying market of the breakthrough will basically not fall back too much. Since gold has chosen to break upward, since it has broken through, then it is to buy in the trend. The decline of gold is an opportunity to buy.The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then the buying of gold will continue to exert its strength. After gold breaks through 3245, then gold 3245 has formed support in the short term. Buy on dips when gold falls back to 3245. The strength of the wave of gold in the morning was still there at that time, so after the high, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Gold can continue to buy when it falls back to around 3245. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3236, target at 3280-3290; Sell short-term gold at 3293-3295, stop loss at 3304, target at 3250-3240; Key points: First support level: 3253, second support level: 3240, third support level: 3225 First resistance level: 3280, second resistance level: 3300, third resistance level: 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation) Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup Market Context: Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298 A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled 🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry) Entry: 3288 – 3292 SL: 3300 TP1: 3270 TP2: 3250 TP3: 3240–3235 Reasoning: Price swept 3280s liquidity Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m 🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup) Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction) SL: Below 3230 TP1: 3280 TP2: 3292 TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns) Reasoning: Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m Clear signs of previous breakout zone Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
1
Gold reached 3275 and will continue to move towards new highs 📌 Driving Events Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff pointed out: "The gold market is waiting for new catalysts, but the technical side remains strong and the safe-haven demand remains solid." It is worth noting that the US government has recently launched an investigation into the import of drugs and semiconductors in preparation for the imposition of tariffs. Trump has also made it clear that the details of the semiconductor import tariff will be announced this week. 💢 Investors please pay close attention to the following key events: Fed Chairman Powell's speech on Wednesday (interest rate policy orientation) US retail sales data on Wednesday ECB interest rate decision on Thursday (expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points) Specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy 📊Comment analysis In my previous post interpretation, I suggested that the gold price should be sideways, waiting for the price to continue to rise to a new high. Today, Wednesday (April 16), the Asian market broke a new high as expected in the early trading. As of now, the gold price is $3275 Now after two days of adjustment, the gold price has broken through again, and the resistance level of 3255 has also turned into support. The next step is 3280 and 3300. Follow the trend, participate in one direction, and continue to be long today. 💰Strategy Package Long position: Actively participate at 3270-3275 points, profit target above 3295 points Steady participation at 3250-3260 points, profit target above 3280 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary: Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market! Level analysis: The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend? The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term! Trading signal: 3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285. I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary: Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted. These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing: 1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap? 2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply. Level analysis: After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment. Operation strategy: 3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275. I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1