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XAU | USD! sideway downtrend 10/1/24XAU / USD trend forecast October 1, 2024 Gold price (XAU/USD) holds modest gains in early European trading on Tuesday but remains below last week's record high. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on Monday led investors to reduce expectations of aggressive rate cuts. This supported the US Dollar, which continues to recover from its lowest level since July 2023, creating a headwind for gold. Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down /// BUY XAU : zone 2624-2626 SL: 2618 TP: 50 - 100 - 150 pips (2639) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Moon-ForexAcademy
Gold 4H Trend Continuation Setup Gold is currently trading under the FibCloud and touching the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour chart. While this setup favors a continuation of the downtrend, there’s also a possibility of a breakout at this stage. I expect a potential test of the 2,658 Sunday open area before the market shows its true direction. So far, Gold has been printing a well-controlled downtrend, but it’s important to stay alert for any changes in momentum. Technical Analysis: • Gold is trading below the FibCloud, signaling bearish momentum. • The price is testing the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement, a key level that could either result in a trend continuation or a breakout. • A retest of the 2,658 Sunday open area may occur before the market confirms its next move. • I’m expecting a move towards the 2,600-2,620 price range if the downtrend continues. At this point, the trade could go either way—continuing the downtrend or breaking out. The 2,658 area will be key in determining the next move. For now, Gold has maintained a structured downtrend, and I’m favoring a short position targeting the 2,600-2,620 range. As always, proper risk management is essential in these conditions. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAU bearish sideway - waiting for NF this week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION : Gold prices (XAU/USD) ticked up slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a two-day decline and pausing the recent pullback from last week’s all-time high. However, the increase lacks strong momentum due to modest US Dollar strength, supported by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on Monday and optimism around China's stimulus efforts, both limiting gains for the safe-haven asset. That said, significant declines in gold remain unlikely, given ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, expectations of further US rate cuts amid slowing inflation and hopes for China's stimulus to boost physical demand should continue to support XAU/USD. Traders are now awaiting US macroeconomic data and Fed commentary for further direction. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price clearly shows a downward adjustment trend in the H1 frame - sideway price range 2625 - 2648 waiting for NF this week ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2626 SL $2620 TP1: $2633 TP2: $2640 TP3: $2648 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2655 TP1: $2640 TP2: $2633 TP3: $2625 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
5
10.1 Analysis of gold short-term technical operations1. The daily line has adjusted for two days and just stepped back on the 10-day moving average. According to the bulls, this is a typical correction. The biggest step back in the strong trend is 10 days. Whether it can go up today is very critical. 2. The usual high-rise and fall in the morning, the European market is weak. For the continuous market, the European market is weak and the US market is difficult to increase. 3. Yesterday, the US market retreated twice, and the European market broke the bottom, and the US market was weak after the bottom. It cannot continue the retracement. 2623 is the retracement of the rise to 382, ​​which is very critical. It breaks the bottom and affects the bulls. In addition, the daily line is weak, so the rise is affected. And today, it is above the turning point of long and short. The watershed in the morning is 2640. It is not considered whether the European market will go through a cyclic retracement for the time being.
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
Gold's short-term downturn has passed, go long at 30Gold is long near 2630. Gold has gone out of the turning point, the decline is over, and it is about to start rising. Go long in the short term today, seize this opportunity to get a big wave. Gold fell back to the moving average and closed with a hammer line, and the turning point signal is obvious. Go long near 2630. If we look at the moving average, it also meets the bullish trend, because every time the gold price falls back to the moving average, there will be a rebound. Can it rebound and break the historical high? Let's not consider it for now, grab the long orders near 2630, and let the market give us the rise we want. Trading strategy: Gold is long at 2630, stop loss at 2620, target 2650-------2655
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
4
GOLD ! 9/30 ! down adjustmentXAU / USD trend forecast September 30, 2024 Israel escalated its conflict with Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon, launching airstrikes on Sunday and raising fears of a wider Middle East war. The Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting several locations, including power plants and a seaport in Yemen. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes killed Nabil Kaouk, the deputy head of Hezbollah's Central Council, marking the seventh Hezbollah leader killed in just over a week. Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down /// SELL XAU : zone 2664-2667 SL: 2672 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2637) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
XAU cumulative adjustment process !! wait NF ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) started the week slightly lower but remain within a recent trading range, close to last Thursday's record high. Tensions rose as Israel escalated conflict at its Lebanon border, increasing geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Additionally, news of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba planning a general election on October 27, alongside US political uncertainties, provides support for the safe-haven asset. Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve keep the US Dollar near its lowest point since July 2023, which may further support gold. However, a risk-on mood driven by new stimulus measures from China puts some pressure on XAU/USD. Despite this, the broader outlook favors potential dip-buying opportunities. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: According to the H1 frame, the gold price is in two adjustment and downtrend lines, waiting for NF news this week ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2643 - $2641 SL $2636 TP1: $2650 TP2: $2655 TP3: $2662 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677 TP1: $2663 TP2: $2657 TP3: $2650 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
9.30 If the short-term gold high is not broken, it will be a corTechnically, the 2670 level has become an important resistance level, which has not been broken through many times. The Bollinger Bands have begun to close. From all angles, gold will not rise in the short term. With such a big thing happening in the Middle East, gold should have started a wave of $50 rise, but it didn't. That must be because gold digested the news in advance. If there is no positive news, gold will turn to a sharp drop. Intraday operation: SEII: 2665 Stop loss: 2672 BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
GBPUSD analysis week 40Fundamental Analysis According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the market is currently pricing in a more than 75% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by another 50 basis points in November. In addition, weaker US macroeconomic data on Tuesday, coupled with the prevailing risk-on environment, further undermined the safe-haven dollar and confirmed the positive near-term outlook for GBP/USD. Going forward, there is no market-relevant economic data due out of the UK on Wednesday. However, a scheduled speech by BoE MPC Member Megan Greene could influence GBP and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair. Later in the early North American session, US New Home Sales data could contribute to short-term trading opportunities. Technical Analysis GBPUSD’s trading range has remained largely unchanged over the past week. With little technical movement we still see the pair in a solid range of 1.323 and 2.349. In the short term we can see that the immediate support zone has been raised after the price reacted strongly at 1.331 and the resistance level forming a triple top around 1.342 has been established. The GBPUSD direction could continue the correction early next week and reach the yearly record around 1.350 in the near term. Trading signals SELL GBPUSD zone 1.349-1.351 Stoploss 1.353 BUY GBPUSD zone 1.323-1.321 Stoploss 1.319
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold closes higher and may fall back to peakThe gold hourly line has obviously reached the top. The K line rushed to around 2685, and then the big Yin line directly covered it and crushed it directly. It once fell by 30 US dollars. The top was obviously bearish engulfing. The moving average was directly bent and turned downward. Of course, the gold price deviated far from the moving average, and it was bound to return to the 50-day moving average. Detailed operations during the day: SELL: 2650------2645
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
Gold bulls are strong and aiming at 2700!At present, the support for the continuous rise of gold prices is still the strong demand of the Federal Reserve and other European countries for gradually loose monetary policies; coupled with the tension in Middle East relations, economic downturn and geopolitical relations, gold prices continue to rise. In terms of technical forms, the room for gold prices to retrace is limited, and the time for correction is also very short. The momentum of continuous rise is very strong, and the upward space is expected to continue to open up. The Asian session is corrected by the conversion of the hourly Yin and Yang lines. The European session began to rise. Even if economic data is released, it does not affect the bullish trend. There is not much room for recent corrections, especially in the European session. There is basically no retracement, and it continues to rise after the middle cross K pattern. Based on the above situation, even if the retracement relies on the top of the previous hourly line Yang line 2675, it will continue to be bullish. Resistance level: 2683 2690. Break to see 2700
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
9.26 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe gold four-hour line is a positive line throughout the whole process. Even if it closes with a negative line, it can still break through the positive line directly and close with a long lower shadow. The K line always stands above the moving average and always crushes the moving average. The bullish trend has not changed at all, and the support level has been constantly moving up. This is a super buying trend that continues to set new highs. Short-term operation in the Asian session: BUY: 2658 Target: 2670
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsGold rose again in 1 hour and is currently trading at 2660 without breaking a new high. At present, gold has begun to form a small double top. After continuous rise, the bullish momentum of gold has gradually begun to be consumed. A major adjustment is imminent. If the rebound of gold in the US market does not break a new high, it can still be shorted. On the 1-hour K-line chart, gold has risen. At this time, the Bollinger Bands began to close, and the gold price fluctuated and adjusted. As for the target position, we look at the 1-hour moving average Today's focus The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 21 (10,000 people) Detailed operations during the day: Sell: 2665 Target 2650-2645
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, gold continued to break highs in the US market, performing extremely strongly. The early trading price was 2661. Yesterday, it rose by 30 US dollars and continued to rise to the 2670 line. There is no doubt that with the frequent breakthrough of high points, the rising gold bulls are coming, and the upward trend will accelerate. Bulls will be the main theme in the future; the correction action is presented in the form of shocks. "Although it has set new highs many times this year and outperformed major stock indexes, in the long run, gold still has room for further growth. Pay attention to the correction in the short term." In a low interest rate environment and geopolitical turmoil, interest-free gold is often the preferred investment. Today's operation: BUY: 2650 stop loss 2640 target: 2665-2675 SELL: 2680 stop loss 2685 target: 2660-2655
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
9.25 Professional Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyToday, the recommended upper pressure position is 2665, and the lower support is 2645. The overall market still shows a trend of raising the low point to a new high, and the structural low point of this round is around 2624. The support effect of this position was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis. So if the market has a strong correction today and directly breaks through 2645 without stopping, the alternative plan is to look at the support of 2638. This position is the support of the Fibonacci 0.618 correction level of yesterday's overall pull-up.
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Gold's Rally Nears an Interesting Zone: Time to Lock in Profits?In six of the last seven months, Gold has hit new all-time highs. It's been an impressive rally, especially after breaking the significant psychological level of $2000. It took almost four years and seven failed attempts before the 8th finally succeeded, followed by a textbook retest—and here we are today. From my perspective, XAUUSD has now reached a highly interesting zone. Two of my key criteria— channel projection and equal waves —are in play, which are useful when there's no previous price action traffic from the left. Is this a short/sell zone? No, I don’t think so. Instead, it’s a prime spot to consider taking profits . If you've been wondering when and why to lock in some gains, the price action suggests this could be an ideal opportunity. While shorting opportunities may present themselves, it will take time for the price action to develop and show signs of a potential downturn. The last time we saw a Lower Low on the Weekly chart was back in September 2022. So, jumping into a short position right now could be extremely risky. Even on the Daily chart, higher lows have been forming consistently. To sum it up: this is not an area to short but rather an interesting zone to watch for future developments. If you’re uncertain, this could be a perfect point to take partial or full profits. A Quick Overview of the Criteria: Channel Projection – You may have heard that prices move within channels. Right now, we’re trying to predict the upper trendline of the channel as the price takes shape. Start by drawing the lower trendline, from wick to wick (or body to body). I’ve drawn mine using the wicks, marked with a red circle. Then, copy and paste it to the highest peak between the lower points. This gives us the channel projection. Feel free to try this on other charts and share your results in the comments! Equal Waves – I call this method "equal waves," though others may have a different term for it. The idea is to measure major price swings. In this case, the first major swing was from near all-time lows to the 2011 high. After the correction, the second swing started in December 2015. Copy and paste the length of the first swing, and you’ll see it matches closely with the parallel channel’s projection. Together, these two criteria have worked well for me to identify both buying and profit-taking zones. For example, I’ve applied them successfully to stocks like MMM , AMD , and NVIDIA . Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) has hit new all-time highs in six of the last seven months, breaking the $2000 level after years of attempts. Now, the price has reached an interesting zone for profit-taking rather than shorting. Two key technical analysis criteria—channel projection and equal waves—suggest it’s a strong area to consider locking in gains. However, it’s too early to consider shorting, as no clear signs of a downturn have appeared yet.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by VaidoVeek