Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart
The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding.
In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart.
Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
Goldprice
GOLD drops sharply to 3300 and found important support areaThe recent bearish momentum on GOLD has met a good support zone and at present we started to see early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a beautiful rejection from the zone.
Currently I’m expecting for the price to bounce to the target near 3,390 . If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. I could get involved right here for a more aggressive entry. It’s a bit riskier, but if the structure confirms, I’m more than happy to take the shot, as sometimes the best trades come when you trust your setup.
This is not financial advice.
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618).
Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before)
- Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone)
If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222.
Technical Overview:
- The ascending trendline is now broken.
- Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift.
- Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399.
Trade Setups to Consider:
Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270.
Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365.
Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
XAUUSD: Bearish Trend, Key Support at $3,295Market Overview
In today’s trading session (26/06/2025), XAUUSD shows continued downward momentum. Gold prices are currently hovering around $3,302.05, with a slight drop of 0.01%. The intraday price range has been tight, between $3,330.00 and $3,350.00, indicating a battle between the buyers and sellers around the short-term equilibrium zone.
Recent price action suggests that after a brief recovery, gold is once again encountering resistance at the $3,350.00 level. In the coming hours, a decisive breakout either above this resistance or below current support will dictate the market’s next move.
Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: The first significant support is at the $3,295.37 level (50% Fibonacci retracement), with the next support at $3,296.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), followed by a crucial level at $3,300.56.
Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area lies around $3,350.00, with the second resistance at $3,327.72, which coincides with the 3.618 extension of the previous price swing.
Price Action Analysis
As seen in the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (yellow) moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price action is forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
Bearish Trend Continuation: A break below the support at $3,295.37 could signal further downside towards $3,290.00 or even $3,275.00. The yellow trendline indicates the overall bearish direction, and any failure to hold above $3,300.00 could trigger additional selling pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price is testing the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. A rejection at these levels could cause a pullback towards lower support zones, confirming the bearish outlook for the short term.
Volume Analysis
The volume chart shows relatively low volatility, with decreasing volume during the price pullbacks. This suggests that there is not enough buying interest to push the price higher, and the market may be more inclined towards bearish continuation in the near term.
Market Sentiment
Currently, the market is undecided. The recent price action suggests that traders are waiting for a confirmation of direction. The next few hours are critical in determining if the downtrend will continue or if we will see a short-term bounce at one of the key support levels.
Trading Strategy
Short Position: A break below $3,295.37 would be an excellent opportunity to short XAUUSD with a target at $3,290.00, and further down to $3,275.00.
Long Position: Only consider long positions if XAUUSD manages to break above $3,350.00 decisively, with the next target near $3,375.00.
Conclusion
XAUUSD remains under pressure, and unless there’s a strong reversal at support levels, the bearish momentum could continue in the short term. Traders should monitor the key levels mentioned above closely to adjust positions accordingly.
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low !
Fundamentals:
1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible;
This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future;
At present, in the overall market:
1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward;
2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations;
Today's technical trend chart:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347;
Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
Gold Falls After Rejection at 3350 – Eyes on Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Drivers:
• Gold spiked to $3,350/oz early in the day but later dropped to $3,310/oz as profit-taking kicked in and U.S. yields recovered slightly.
• Market is in a wait-and-see mode ahead of PCE inflation data on Friday, limiting upside momentum late in the session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3,345–3,350 (daily high)
• Nearest support: $3,310 – session low; then $3,290
• EMA09: Price trading above EMA09, but below EMA21, signaling a neutral bias
• Candle/momentum: Formed shooting star reversal near $3,348 on H1 with declining volume → short-term weakness ahead
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back toward $3,300–3,290 short-term if USD rebounds and selling persists. But medium-term bullish bias remains if inflation data disappoints and USD continues weakening.
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,335–3,345
🎯 TP: 3,315
❌ SL: 3,352
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,295–3,305
🎯 TP: 3,315
❌ SL: 3,285
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary:
On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs.
Operation strategy:
Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, intraday trading points📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has begun to show signs of bottoming out in the short term in the past two days. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the 1H low was rising. If it doesn't fall further in the short term, it will most likely bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track of 3355, which is also the high point of Tuesday's decline. If gold breaks and stabilizes at this price, it will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385. In the 4H chart, MACD temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; but the BOLL track pressure is still there, and gold bears still have momentum in the short term. Therefore, on the whole, in the short term, gold should pay attention to the 3350-3360 resistance above. If it encounters resistance under pressure here, it can consider shorting. Pay attention to the 3330-3320 support area below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3350-3360
TP 3340-3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
6.26 Gold intraday analysis and forecast—During the European session on Thursday (June 26), spot gold prices fluctuated significantly during the day, first falling and then rebounding, and are currently around 3337.60, fluctuating in a wide range.
The rebound from Tuesday's low of $3295 has risen above the previous support of $3340 (June 20 low), confirming a deeper bullish correction. The currency pair may be in the C-D leg of a small Gartley pattern, moving towards the downward trend line resistance since the mid-June high (previously $3450, currently $3365).
A break above this level will mark a trend reversal and shift the focus to the $3400 line, which suppressed bulls on June 17, 18 and 22.
On the downside, if the above trend line is blocked, it may first seek support at the intraday low of $3330 before looking at the previously mentioned $3295 (June 9 and 24 lows).
Can we still go long if the decline of gold intensifies?
📊Comment Analysis
Looking back at today's trend, it rose to a high of 3350, and then continued to retreat. The current low is 3310. At present, due to the upward trend line broken by the hourly line, many orders can only be short. The trend is still biased to the short side, and the current market risk aversion does not facilitate the longs. But first of all, one thing can be confirmed that this round of gold decline lasted for a long time, which also enhanced the execution of gold to go long near 3310-3320 in the future.
Since gold has fluctuated greatly in the past two days, it means that the end point of emotions will not disappear so easily for the time being. In the short-term K-line pattern, continuous short-side artillery should not be constantly changed and increased. It is necessary to stop and see appropriately. The early trading is relatively difficult to grasp, but at least the current market has given some signals, so I hope that when the market is in place, your execution will be strong enough, and then you can look at gold according to the trading signals I gave. The rehearsal is definitely exciting enough, but the actual operation is not that simple!
💰Strategy Package
Gold: Pay attention to the low-long opportunities of 3310-3220 in the US market, and defend at the 3300 line. If the retracement continues, go long directly. Otherwise, the upper resistance will be around 3345!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Gold volatility intensifies. Waiting for direction?The price of gold fluctuated greatly this week, which means that the end point of sentiment will not disappear so easily for the time being; in the short-term K-line pattern, there are continuous ups and downs. If you want to trade steadily, you can wait and see for a while.
From the hourly chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages cross downward, and the RS indicator hovers around 40.7. This shows that the market trend is weak. The current price has bottomed out near 3310 and rebounded to fluctuate around 3320. The price may continue to decline after a slight rebound.
Today, focus on the long opportunities near 3305 and the pressure position above 3345.
Quaid has always believed that only by insisting on detailed analysis of the market and reducing losses, can we slowly accumulate the principal of the account.
Good luck to everyone.
XAUUSD:Short sell at 3340-45
Today's trading needs to narrow down the range. There are signs that the center of gravity below is gradually moving upward. During the Asian session, the highest point reached around 3343. Friends who have already bought short positions here can wait for 3320-25 to take profits and exit. Those who haven't bought can wait for 3340-45 to short, with the target also being 3320-25
Trading strategy:
SELL@3340-45
TP:3320-25
It can be considered to go long when it reaches around 3320-25
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
6.26 Gold intraday operation strategy, rebound 42-48 line shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3342-48. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3314-3316 integers. The upper pressure is around 3342-48. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. The short-term long-short watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short the gold rebound at 3345-48, stop loss at 3356, target 3317-3325, and continue to hold if it breaks;
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th.
Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now.
This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib.
Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not
supported by fundamentals, though.
As the market environment is more risk on than
off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement
of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new
bearish leg to begin.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD: Breakout or Bull Trap?Gold (XAUUSD) on the daily timeframe is showing signs of a temporary rebound after a sharp drop from the resistance zone at 3,452 USD. Specifically, the price has bounced back from the support area around 3,291 – 3,298 USD – a region aligned with dynamic EMA support and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish leg.
1. Key Technical Structure:
A clear reversal candlestick pattern has formed at a strong support zone, paving the way for a short-term technical rebound.
The 0.5 Fibonacci level at 3,346.5 is currently acting as the nearest resistance – aligning closely with today’s closing price.
EMA 20 and EMA 50 are beginning to converge, indicating market indecision on the next directional move.
2. Short-Term Price Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 3,291 – 3,298 support zone and breaks above 3,348, it could retest the 3,400 – 3,452 highs in the coming days. In this case, strengthening EMAs and bullish candle momentum would support this setup.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price fails to break through the 3,348 – 3,352 resistance zone and falls below 3,291 again, the market may head toward deeper support levels at 3,240 – or even as low as 3,167 USD.
3. Trading Recommendations:
Short-term Buy if there is a confirmed bullish candle closing above 3,348 with strong volume; stop loss below 3,291.
Sell on rally around 3,348 – 3,352 resistance if no clear breakout is confirmed.
Apply strict risk management, especially in a choppy market environment ahead of key macroeconomic data at the end of the month.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is currently in a “trend re-evaluation zone.” Closely monitoring the 3,291 – 3,348 range will be the key to timing efficient entries in the short term.
Gold May Slightly Pull Back Around 3,350 USD📊 Market Overview
• Gold is currently trading around 3,340–3,345 USD/oz, supported by a weaker USD and lower U.S. yields, with 60 bps Fed rate cut expected by year-end, starting in September
• The Israel–Iran ceasefire has eased safe-haven demand, triggering a mild pullback, while support remains near 3,300 USD
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance:
3,370 USD (short-term peak)
3,380–3,400 USD (prior highs)
• Nearest support:
3,300 (technical bounce zone)
Next at 3,275 (momentum weak)
• EMA:
Price trading below the 9-period EMA on H4, indicating a mild bearish/choppy short-term trend
• Candles/volume/momentum:
RSI & Stochastics near neutral suggest consolidation or minor retracement .
📌 Outlook
Gold may pull back to 3,300–3,320 if the USD rebounds or geopolitical tensions ease further. However, a Fed rate cut in September or renewed Middle East instability could drive prices back up to 3,370–3,400.
💡 Suggested Trade Plan
• SELL XAU/USD: at 3,365–3,370
o 🎯 TP: 3,345–3,340
o ❌ SL: 3,380
• BUY XAU/USD: at 3,300–3,310
o 🎯 TP: 3,320–3,330
o ❌ SL: 3,290
XAU/USD) Bullish trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakout from consolidation supported by key levels and trend structure. Here’s the detailed analysis:
---
Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support Zone
Price has formed a strong base around 3,315–3,325, with multiple bullish rejections (green arrows).
This zone has acted as a demand level, reinforcing bullish structure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
An uptrend line supports higher lows, showing momentum building to the upside.
3. EMA 200
Price is now challenging the 200 EMA (3,353.41) — a key dynamic resistance.
A successful breakout and retest above this EMA will likely fuel continued bullish movement.
4. Breakout & Measured Move Projections
The chart indicates a bullish breakout from a consolidation box (yellow zone).
Measured move targets based on the previous rally:
First target: 3,368.86 (1.17%)
Second target: 3,381.55 (1.75%)
5. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is around 57, showing bullish momentum but still below overbought—supporting further upside potential.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On pullback into 3,330–3,340 range or breakout retest above EMA 200
Targets:
3,368.86
3,381.55
Invalidation: Sustained close below 3,320 and break of the uptrend line
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations
📌 Gold news
During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star.
Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it.
Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it.
If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish
💰Gold operation strategy
If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345.
Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330.
I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds