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9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601. Today's market operation: 2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635 2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices. Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement. It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600 Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
ATH XAU ! 2638 and adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) hit a record high on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar and expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Traders are watching the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, due later Monday. A stronger-than-expected result could strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring Gold prices. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Buying pressure is still strong - wait for new ATH areas: 2638 then steadily reduce liquidity below ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2596 TP1: $2610 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2630 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2638 - $2640 SL $2645 TP1: $2630 TP2: $2615 TP3: $2602 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
8
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
How to Adapt Your Trading Plan to Any Market ConditionDaily Trendline Break and Market Structure The break of the daily trendline suggests potential bearish momentum. However, as the break appears corrective, we must be cautious about interpreting it as a reversal too early. As described in the Trinity Rule, it’s crucial to evaluate whether price is moving impulsively or correctively before deciding​​. The market could be forming an arcing structure, which traps traders on the wrong side before reversing, as mentioned in Pattern Separation​. This aligns with the idea that the market may retest the trendline or break structure in the opposite direction after a fake-out. Lower Timeframe Ascending Channel There is an ascending channel on the lower timeframes, which typically signals continuation of the bullish trend unless there’s a strong breakout to the downside​. This is where the Multi-Touch Confirmation comes in; if we get a third touch on this channel without a break, it could present a strong reversal signal​. However, if the price decisively breaks the ascending channel with strong momentum, the next step would be to look for a flag or corrective structure for an entry into the bearish continuation, as highlighted in Running Channels​. High-Probability Trade Setup Impulse and Correction: As per Entry Types​, a high-probability trade should be executed after the first impulse following a correction. If the price breaks out of the ascending channel, wait for a correction (such as a flag) before entering a short position. You may look for a third touch confirmation to enhance the probability of success​. Risk Management: Don’t rush the entry based solely on the trendline break. Ensure the structure evolves, showing a confirmed breakout, especially on higher timeframes​​. Manage your stop loss based on market structure rather than arbitrary levels. For instance, if the market presents an impulsive move after breaking the channel, your stop could be above the last lower high​. Market Structure and Valid Trades Evolve Structure: Continuously update your structure by considering the most recent touches. This avoids getting caught in outdated setups​. Where Are We in Structure?: Evaluate whether the price is impulsively breaking key levels or showing corrective behavior. If momentum is lacking after the trendline break, the bearish setup may not play out​​. Trade Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Price Breaks the Ascending Channel: If the price breaks with momentum, look for a retest or flag formation to enter short​. Manage Your Position: As the Rule of Three suggests, avoid perfectionism. If the market forms a strong flag or corrective structure, trust the process and adjust your stop as the trade moves in your favor​. Bullish Scenario (Long Setup) : Price Fails to Break the Channel: If the market respects the ascending channel, this could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. You could enter long after the third touch confirmation or a clear rejection of lower levels​​. Multi-Touch Confirmation: This will be a key factor if the market holds within the channel​. Key Considerations Impulse and Confirmation: Be patient for the first impulse and correction before committing to a trade​​. Stay Neutral: Use running channels and the overall structure to keep a neutral mindset until the market gives a clear signal​. Avoid Perfectionism: Don’t hesitate or wait for the “perfect” setup if multiple confluences align. Stick to your pre-trade checklist to avoid overanalyzing​​.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024 🔥 World situation: Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%. Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data. 🔥 Identify: FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665 Support : $2584, $2558, 2529 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be. As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back. Intraday operation strategy: Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600 Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
3
OfficialKieranTrewick | XAUUSD 2HR Analysis | 3000? All time high crazy! Charting new territory the precious metal is at it again, starting the week with a suitable correction down to the previous 25% quarter level and dynamic support whilst creating a fresh higher low before the latter week ascent that broke through the 3 day resistance pivot level and into the 2600s where it just continued pushing until market close on friday evening. Whilst it just undercut the new 75% quarter level because of the close I can see that price slowed down upon reaching the dynamic resistance level and quarter level of 2525 indicating that we could see another correction down to 25% and the key pivot zone identified which aligns with both dynamic support lines before continuing its ascent into the upper 2600s. Due to the recent bullish momentum it is important that we follow price and trade with the confirmations that are created not chase what we want to happen, basically meaning price can still go up before any correction happens and analysis is a footprint to possibility not something to be traded based on but something to be used as a toolbelt essentially giving us a list of confirmations that can increase the probability of a trade that of which can always change. If you like this idea please drop a like and share it with your friends so they too can be in the loop with golds potential movements in the coming week. Analysis Conducted by OfficialKieranTrewick
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick
Golden Outlook: Key Trends to Watch in the Week AheadFrom a technical standpoint, things are straightforward: both the broader market and shorter timeframes reflect a bullish trend. This alone provides a foundation for crafting a solid strategy. Key approaches could involve either capitalizing on false breakouts or bounces from key support levels, or alternatively, riding the momentum when resistance gives way, signaling continuation. However, it's not all smooth sailing. There are fundamental hurdles on the horizon, notably the upcoming GDP report and a crucial speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. These events have the potential to stir up market volatility as traders anticipate potential shifts in economic policy and performance. Given this backdrop, it's likely that gold will persist in its upward trajectory. Yet, we can't discount the possibility of pullbacks or market shakeouts, especially if traders decide to lock in profits after the recent rally, or as a defensive move ahead of next week's U.S. macroeconomic data and Powell’s remarks. Recommendation: A. Avoid attempting to predict trend reversals. First, you'll never be able to pinpoint these zones with certainty. Second, by the time you do, your performance may suffer, leading to unnecessary stop-loss hits. Instead, focus on identifying robust levels and trading within the prevailing trend. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00 However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target. In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 🕯Technical Analysis The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130 BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
by TVS-Trader
2
XAUUSD Quarterly Shift Analysis - ICTAccording to my quarterly shift analysis (Per ICT's teachings), I expect the current up trend of Gold to continue until early November, which aligns with the date of the USA Presidential elections. By November 5th of 6th or near these days, I expect XAUUSD to start a new move. It could be a 3-4 month range or a 3-4 month bear move. I vote for the bear move. Disclaimer: This is a long term analysis, do not use this as a signal. Combine it with your own analysis.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by DastanKarim
3
9.20 gold short-term operation technical analysis Gold reversed in a deep V yesterday. Gold fell back to support and then rose again. It seems that gold bulls still have the momentum to continue to rise for the time being. Go long first when gold falls back in the early trading. Gold's 30-minute moving average entered the golden cross pattern. Gold rose after falling yesterday. Gold bulls once again accumulated momentum to rise. It is still expected to continue to challenge new highs. Gold fell to 2569 last night and then rose directly. Gold is currently high. After the Fed's interest rate decision, it adjusted deeply. Gold rose again. After the adjustment, gold fell back to support and continued to rise. There was no further decline, indicating that it is still in the stage of bull accumulation. Gold is expected to continue to rise; after breaking through the new high, it will accelerate. Today's operation strategy 2595 short stop loss 2600. Target 2580-2570 2572 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Unlock the Market's Hidden Rollercoaster: How to Ride the WavesXau/Usd Review with my trading personality As a Whimsical Rollercoaster Enthusiast, your trading style is likely driven by the excitement of quick market movements and the thrill of capturing early trades. You're probably someone who thrives on dynamic entries, enjoys the fast-paced action, and may have a more intuitive approach to the market. Let’s blend that with risk management to balance your adventurous spirit while still keeping a solid trading plan. Technical Review for a Whimsical Rollercoaster Trader: 1. Key Levels to Watch: 2,595 (Resistance) and 2,580 (Support) are your playgrounds right now. You’re drawn to the thrill of what might happen at these zones. If price pushes toward 2,595, you might feel an urge to jump in, expecting an immediate reaction. However, I encourage you to: Embrace your adventurous nature but temper it with tactical precision. Let the level hit and then wait for a quick confirmation (like a wick rejection or a mini pullback). This gives you both the excitement of early entry and higher probability without losing your edge. Scenario: Price pushes toward 2,595. Here, your Risk Entry could be triggered: Risk-Entry Plan: Enter short at the first rejection of 2,595. Set a tight stop-loss just above the liquidity zone (2,600), respecting your love for quick moves but protecting from being shaken out too soon. Target the 2,580 area first, knowing the ride might be wild but worth it. Why it suits you: It’s a quick decision, satisfying your need for speed, while the tight stop-loss aligns with managing risk. You get that thrill, but within guardrails. 2. Confirmation Entry – Building Momentum: Confirmation Entries might feel a bit “slow” to you, but they can help ensure you stay in the game longer. Consider them when you want to ride bigger moves, not just quick scalp trades. Scenario: If price breaks through 2,595, wait for a retest to confirm this zone is now support. Here’s where you bring in your whimsical nature: instead of waiting too long, spot a smaller timeframe pattern, like a bullish engulfing candle or a rejection wick, and go long. Confirmation-Entry Plan: Enter long at the retest of 2,595 after a clear rejection pattern. Think of it as waiting for the next loop on the rollercoaster — the bigger move is coming, and you want to be on board for it. Set a slightly wider stop-loss, maybe under 2,580, to allow the trade to develop without getting knocked out early. Aim for the next higher liquidity zones, like 2,600 or 2,615. Why it suits you: This method still lets you catch the excitement of a momentum breakout, but the confirmation gives you more confidence. You still get the rush but with less risk of getting thrown out before the big move. 3. Patterns Within Patterns – Your Playground: As a Whimsical Rollercoaster Enthusiast, you probably love when the market shows intricate patterns — they're like hidden rollercoaster tracks, revealing sudden twists and turns. Scenario: If price breaks above 2,595, zoom into lower time frames and look for miniature patterns within the broader trend. You might find a bull flag within a larger ascending channel. Entering on these small corrective patterns can satisfy your need for fast-paced decision-making while riding the overall trend​. Plan: Use these smaller patterns for quick entries. Set your stops just outside the pattern, and take profits quickly as the price breaks out. Think of it as riding the small waves, but always looking for the bigger momentum move to follow. Why it suits you: You’re jumping in on short-term opportunities while always keeping an eye on the next big move. This keeps you engaged and allows you to take action when you feel that burst of adrenaline without losing sight of the bigger picture. 4. Managing Whimsical Risk: Stop-loss flexibility: As someone who enjoys spontaneity, a tight stop might feel restrictive but necessary. Here’s the compromise: Set initial stops tight (like just above 2,595 if shorting), but allow yourself room to evolve the trade based on market action. If the trade moves in your favor, quickly move the stop to breakeven. Mental Resilience: Losses will happen, but you need that mental discipline to jump back in without chasing every tick. Treat each trade like a separate rollercoaster ride — whether it’s a good or bad one, there’s always another one coming. Use your intuition and excitement to recognize evolving setups. But keep a few rules in place to avoid the pitfalls of impulsivity (e.g., no more than 3 trades per day on a single idea to avoid over-trading). 5. Incorporating the Rule of Three: For the rollercoaster trader, the Rule of Three is your ultimate guide. This rule asks you to identify at least three confirming factors before entering a trade​: Scenario: Price reaches 2,595: You see a rejection (touch #1). The lower time frame shows consolidation or a mini bear flag (touch #2). Momentum begins to fade (touch #3). Action: This triple confirmation allows you to short confidently, knowing you have the right mix of signals to back your bold entry. Why it suits you: The Rule of Three still gives you the excitement of quickly entering trades but ensures they are high-probability setups. It prevents you from overtrading out of sheer excitement while still letting you capture those thrilling moves. Summary Action Plan for a Whimsical Rollercoaster Trader: Risk Entry: When you feel the market is ready to react at key levels (like 2,595), dive in! But do it smartly — use tight stop-losses and a quick decision-making process. Think of it as jumping onto the coaster right before it starts moving. Confirmation Entry: Use this when you're looking for a bigger, smoother ride. Wait for the breakout-retest combo, then get in for the larger trend move. Stay patient here; it’s worth the wait. Patterns within Patterns: Zoom into the mini rollercoasters inside the bigger structure. Catch the small waves but keep your eyes on the longer ride. Trinity Rule : Ensure three factors align before entering. This rule keeps you disciplined while still embracing your whimsical nature.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Gold’s Bullish Breakout: Long-Term Perspective and Key Buy Zone Since July 2020, through February 2022 and April 2023, Gold held a solid three-year resistance, unable to break the 2075 level. It wasn't until a previous swing low at 1984+ broke that we saw a key high/resistance break above 2144+. Since then, Gold has been performing exceptionally well and has remained my go-to commodity for trading. From my perspective, it’s all buys until the next major resistance level kicks in. Anything from 2496+ to the current price of 2586 is a pullback, and this area should be the primary focus for buys. I remain a firm believer that Gold is heading towards $10,000 per troy ounce – a view I've held since 2017. OANDA:XAUUSD
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MoNi_MoN
“Gold Prices Target 2600 Level”After the Fed cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, the dollar index saw further declines. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dropped to 3.63% following the decision. This market reaction accelerated the push for gold prices towards the 2600 level. Additionally, the Fed indicated the possibility of another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that upward risks to inflation have decreased, while downward risks to employment have increased. From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2580 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by primequotes
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release. Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
FOMC! The most important news in September 2024⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) found support from buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, halting the previous day's pullback near record highs. Expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have kept the US Dollar from fully recovering, helping to support gold prices. Additionally, concerns over potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and political uncertainty in the US ahead of the November elections continue to boost the safe-haven appeal of gold. However, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week. The Fed will announce its decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday, which could drive market volatility and impact gold prices. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price decreased slightly - sideway around 2560-2590 before FOMC, Lower interest rates brought positivity to XAU. Waiting for the new ATH to reach 2603 and then drop sharply to gain liquidity below ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2564 - $2562 SL $2557 TP1: $2570 TP2: $2580 TP3: $2590 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2545 - $2547 SL $2540 TP1: $2550 TP2: $2560 TP3: $2570 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2603 - $2605 SL $2610 TP1: $2595 TP2: $2580 TP3: $2570 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
5