10.22 Gold hits new highs, near 2710, longOn Monday (October 21), gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive trading day to a record high, while silver prices hit their highest level in nearly 12 years, affected by factors such as uncertainty in the US election, continued tensions in the Middle East, and expectations of interest rate cuts by central banks.
Fundamental analysis: safe-haven demand supports gold prices
The current global instability, especially tensions in the Middle East, provides strong support for gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold usually attracts a lot of buying when uncertainty increases, especially when geopolitical conflicts continue to ferment.
On the other hand, the market lacks the release of heavyweight economic data, and investors will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed policymakers this week. These speeches may have a significant impact on market expectations, especially in terms of monetary policy. If the Fed expresses its inclination to continue to maintain a tight policy, it may put pressure on gold prices. Conversely, any signs of easing will further push gold prices up.
The situation in the Middle East continues to ferment
Tensions between Israel and Iran are one of the main drivers of this round of gold price increases. The latest military action has further escalated the market's risk aversion. The US investigation into leaked documents has also added uncertainty. Gold naturally becomes a safe haven for investors in such an environment. In the short term, as long as geopolitical risks are not resolved, gold prices may remain high and volatile.
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
With Fed policymakers about to speak, the market is closely watching their latest views on economic growth, inflation and monetary policy. Any hint of rate hikes or balance sheet reduction may change the market's expectations for future gold trends. Currently, gold prices remain high due to the interweaving of safe-haven demand and policy expectations.
Technical analysis: The risk of a correction is increasing
Gold bulls can break through the resistance level of $2,730, and gold prices are expected to test the psychological level of $2,750. $2,730 is currently a key watershed, and breaking through this level will greatly enhance gold's bullish sentiment and open up further room for growth.
BUY: 2,715 Target 2,730----40
Goldprice
Gold Prices Surge to New Heights
The weekend news cycle has once again ignited tension in the market, leading to gold prices hitting a historic high of $2732 at Monday's open, followed by a sustained increase of approximately 10 basis points. This trend aligns with my forecasts, and I anticipate that both the London and New York markets will continue to rise in the coming days.
Looking ahead, gold prices are expected to reach new dimensions this week. In terms of trading strategy, I recommend employing a buy-low, sell-high approach, with particular attention to the critical levels of 2725 and 2712. Members utilizing rapid trading strategies should remain vigilant, as new strategies will soon be announced.
XAUUSD: +1100 pips move in making! Let's catch the big move? Dear Traders,
We have possibly a great chance to buy Gold as it is currently in a correction mode. After evaluating how price behaved in last two days we think there is a gap that price needs to filled before it continue the bullish momentum. Also there are big talk of ceasefire in ongoing conflict, if that happens the gold will likely to drop further than what we have identified. Please if there is sudden drop and price does come to our area, do not just enter wait for 4 hours or 2 hours candle to close before taking any entries. Also this is not a guaranteed chart analysis and this is just our view, you can use this as educational purposes. Good luck and trade safe.
10.21 Gold Asian session longs,Gold did not fall back too much after the Asian session opened, and continued to rise steadily. Then the downward correction of gold would not be too large. If the correction was too large, it would mean that the rise of gold had ended. If gold fell slightly in the early trading, you could continue to go long.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continued to diverge upward. Gold fell back to 2713 several times on Friday night and began to stop falling and rise. If gold fell back in the early trading, you could continue to go long first.
Gold bulls continue to be strong, so gold bulls have not ended yet. Without a rapid upward surge, gold bulls will not end. Gold falling means continuing to go long.
Gold | H4 | Body Structure- Gold | H4 | Body Structure
- Green Area Shows the Body Break Structures
- Expected move 2727 - 2734.00 because without completing the trend its chances to go back down seems crucial
- if gold break/supports next move would be 2710 then 2702.00
if 2710 touched and not able to break the support level we will take a small risk from this point with buy position
- Probably a upper hike would be possible without a good pump in gold chances are comparatively low ..
candles need volume remembered
GOLD - Long Term ChartGold: here is a chart with long-term targets. This year has been very positive for gold.
My opinion is that gold and silver have lagged behind, and what is driving the increase is the massive monetary injection since 2021.
My opinion is that gold and silver have lagged behind, and what is driving the increase is the massive monetary injection since 2021.
More money in the market for roughly the same amount of goods -> rising prices.
Inflation has been reflected in everyday life and in some financial markets, but not really in gold, and even less in silver.
Certain sectors, like U.S. small caps AMEX:IWM TVC:RUT , have not yet made the adjustment.
Some smart investors are positioning in the U.S. small caps sector with a long-term objective, and they are absolutely right.
Gold prices are about to usher in huge trading opportunities
Today our fast trading strategy sold from high and bought from low. All of them generated different profits. I believe that the members who followed the fast trading strategy have gained something. Just like I told them. Although the chance of making money from trading is high. But you need to take action. If you don't take action. Then the chance for you is 0. The trading opportunity of the New York market is about to come out. If you don't want to miss the trading opportunity of the fast trading strategy group. Stay tuned.
XAU ! 10/18 ! Weekend price increaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 18, 2024
On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time this year, the first consecutive cuts in 13 years, and signaled more reductions due to the worsening economic outlook. The Federal Reserve is also expected to lower rates again after a significant cut in September, while weak UK inflation data has strengthened expectations for more aggressive easing by the Bank of England.
price increase to create new ATH - continue to wait for new ATH at the end of the week. FOMO is huge
/// SELL XAU : zone 2723-2726
SL: 2731
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2696)
Safe and profitable trading
The 10.18 rally is not over yet and the highs will continue to bThe highest intraday rise was around 2714, and the new high was constantly being refreshed. Since the rise on Tuesday this week, the hourly line has basically rarely shown a negative line, and more of it has continued to close positively, and the overall rhythm is strong. After the morning rise, it turned negative and retreated after the afternoon trading. It was only two consecutive negative lines without much room to go down, so the US market continued to be bullish and continued to break highs!
Below we will analyze the real data behind the recent economic data released by the United States, the European interest rate cut, and the impact of various factors such as the "Trump deal" on gold:
First, the data released overnight showed that US retail sales increased by 0.4% month-on-month in September, higher than the expected value of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.1%; the year-on-year growth rate dropped to 1.7%, the lowest level since January. The US Census Bureau made the largest seasonal adjustment to this month's retail data in history. If the seasonal adjustment factor is excluded, retail sales in September actually fell by 7.5% month-on-month.
Therefore, the data does not necessarily indicate an economic recovery. Even if the US dollar and gold have strengthened recently, it is based on risk aversion factors. In addition, some data values released by the United States recently are greater than market expectations, which means that the US economy is not as bad as everyone thinks. However, after excluding some beautiful data, such as: child care is becoming increasingly unaffordable, the system is difficult to operate, high medical costs and energy prices, etc., the market environment still has downside risks.
Secondly, the European economy is under pressure. The central bank has recently cut interest rates, and the euro has continued to fall, boosting the trend of the US dollar; at the same time, the widespread economic weakness also has a risk-averse effect on gold.
Third, as we mentioned earlier, as the US election approaches, traders are gradually pricing in election risks, and there are signs that Harris, who had previously been strong, has been overtaken by Trump. The "Trump deal" has regained its previous popularity, and risky assets have been boosted.
Finally, from the perspective of gold technical patterns:
First, the stronger the market, the shorter the time for retracement correction, the smaller the retracement space, and the fewer times the negative lines appear. Since the price of gold started to rise from 2641 on Tuesday this week, especially from the 4-hour line, there have been callback K-line patterns in the process of continuous pull-up, but they are all single negative, and the entity is very small, and then continue to turn positive and rise; this is the recent trend of the strong pattern of gold prices.
Secondly, from the rhythm of intraday operation, there was a horizontal correction in the morning, and then it rose directly. There were two consecutive negative corrections in the European session. The support near 2702 is the support position of the lower trend line, and it has not even reached the high point of 2696.50 in the US session last night, so don't wait for too low positions in operation.
Thinking planning for the US session:
Due to the strong market trend, there are no excessive corrections and adjustments, and the strong rhythm of the day, the upper space is expected to continue to be released in the evening, so sideways or retracement is an opportunity to go long. The lower support is 2702. Even if it retraces again in the evening, it will continue to rely on this bullish trend. The upper resistance is around 2722 and 2730.
BUY: 2710 Target 2730
XAUUSD 30m Short: Setup with Strong Seller PresenceI’ve initiated a short trade on XAUUSD at this level, observing that price is dropping swiftly. There is significant selling pressure in this price zone, especially on the futures market, which didn’t take out the high. Given the sensitivity of the price action, quick reactions are necessary, as we see how this trade develops from here.
Technical Analysis:
• The price has retraced and rejected from a key resistance zone, where sellers are currently dominant.
• Futures data reveals a strong selling interest at these levels, adding confidence to the short position.
• The trade setup aligns with momentum indicators, suggesting bearish continuation in the short term.
• Price did not clear the recent high in futures, creating a double top structure, which adds confluence for the downside move.
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss (SL): Positioned above the recent highs to minimize risk exposure in case of an unexpected reversal.
• Take Profit (TP): Targeting a reward zone based on the Fib retracement levels, where support could potentially hold. A 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio is maintained, ensuring a balanced approach to this trade.
Conclusion:
This setup requires swift action due to the sensitivity of the price action. We’ll monitor closely for further confirmation from the market. If the downward momentum holds, we expect this to be a profitable trade. Stay mindful of the risk, and adjust if necessary as price action unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
The fast trading strategy makes a big profit againDear friends, under the guidance of our rapid trading strategy, are you aligning with my recommendations? Many have successfully generated profits, and the bullish momentum remains robust. Following the buy-in range of 2702-2698 has proven fruitful, as the upward trend continues to perform well.
This highlights the advantages of a swift trading strategy. I will continue to share upcoming trading plans, so stay tuned for more updates!
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold hits new high, but has not yet reached its peakIn the unilateral rise of the 4-hour chart of gold with the middle track of the Bollinger Band as the critical point of the bulls, this forced short-selling slow rise will continue before the high-rise falls back and loses the middle track. The correction indicator sets a new high. The short-term Asian and European sessions are still dominated by low-long intraday, and the US session combines the pattern to reverse after the high. The rise is a setback. The key to high-altitude low-long is the entry point. At present, the rising trend line and the support of the middle track overlap at 2670-2675. It is also the low point of the retracement last night. This position is today's defense point. The Asian session retreats to 2683-2680 and first defends 2672. The target is 2700-2705. After the high, combine the hourly chart pattern to close the bag in time.
From a technical perspective, the overall technical advantage of gold bulls in December is strong in the near future. The next upward price target for bulls is to make its closing price above the important resistance level of $2,750. The next near-term downside price objective for the bears is pushing futures prices below important technical support at the October low of $2,648.90. First resistance is seen at today's all-time high of $2,712.70 and then at $2,725.00. First support is seen at today's low of $2,688.20 and then at Wednesday's low of $2,674.90.
Gold Prices Surge: A Golden Opportunity for Investors
After a week of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, bullish forces have clearly outmatched bearish ones. Currently, after reaching a new high, gold prices have stabilized at the level of 2692.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions show a certain degree of persistence. As a highly sought-after safe-haven asset, the rise in gold prices is merely a matter of time.
After several hours of sideways consolidation, the gold market presents a new trading opportunity. Buying now is akin to picking up money; you just need to bend down.
Recommended buying levels for gold are between 2690 and 2685, with a take profit target above 2703 and a stop loss at 2675.
Investors interested in trading gold may find this information helpful.
XAU ! 10/17 waiting for new ATH 2712XAU / USD trend forecast October 17, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend and retested its all-time high on Wednesday, driven by expectations of rate cuts from major central banks. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis points cut by the US Federal Reserve in November. Additionally, weak inflation data from Europe and the UK has strengthened expectations for more aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and BoE. This resulted in lower yields, supporting the non-yielding gold.
Strong uptrend - H2 frame forms DOW theory for next new ATH opportunity: 2712
/// SELL XAU : zone 2712-2715
SL: 2720
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2685)
Safe and profitable trading
GOLD DAILY UPDATESfast track wednesday, last night made 70-80pips almost? then this idea is a sell again. maybe
the manipulation happens tomorrow or friday. to clear only the previous high?
confirm only once 30minutes wicked candle body is below the previous high
, this is just my observation base on distribution, so this thursday we have a new
s. probably the GOLD react for manipulation.
This is not a financial advice. this idea is for distribution.
Follow for more. Daily charts might happen if awake. lol
Thanks for always following me.. trade wisely. trade at your own risk. trade at your own understanding dont just follow, understand it.if this idea suits you then observe the market, ask yourself is this a good trade to take a risk?
Gold is non-predictable price. we anticipate only fast once we know it. take it or leave it.
Gold on the Verge – Breakout to 2,705 or Drop Back to 2,673?Alright, folks, Gold (XAU/USD) is flirting with a breakout. If the bulls push it past 2,705, we could see some real upside momentum. But if it runs out of steam, we might dip back toward the 2,673-2,667 support zone for a reset.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2,705 – A breakout here could spark a rally higher.
Support: 2,673 – Bulls need to hold this line to avoid more downside.
Fallback Zone: 2,667 – If this level cracks, we’re likely heading lower.
Right now, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers keep the momentum alive, or are we headed for a quick pullback? Keep a close eye on the next move—there’s opportunity on both sides.
What do you think—are we breaking higher or taking a breather? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this helped you get prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
Trade what you see
Clear gold buying price
As mentioned yesterday, the upward trajectory of gold necessitates certain catalysts. Today, the influence of geopolitical factors has intensified, propelling gold to a peak of 2688. Concurrently, the latest U.S. initial jobless claims data was released, yielding a bearish impact that temporarily reduced gold prices to 2673, before a swift rebound brought them back to 2680.
With the two primary news items now available, it's evident that bullish sentiment significantly outweighs bearish pressure, with substantial upside potential awaiting a breakout. The sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar amidst geopolitical tensions further underscores the dual role of both gold and the dollar as safe-haven assets. Thus, until the geopolitical landscape stabilizes, a low-position buying strategy for gold remains prudent.
Buy: 2670-2675
Sell: 2700
Profit margins should be managed according to individual risk tolerance.
Gold approaches historical highs, U.S. economic data becomes keyThe previous entity of the 4-hour cycle has been broken, and the gold price has been rising step by step, with new highs constantly, and it is necessary to take the previous high point in one round. The 4-hour operation is maintained above the moving average, and the trend is very healthy. In addition, from a structural point of view, the gold price first fell to the 2610 line, so the later stage is to break through the previous high, which is structurally a case of breaking without building.
The daily line is still under double top suppression. If it falls under pressure, the double top pattern will gradually show its power, and gold will slowly weaken. Of course, there are data today. If gold directly breaks through the historical high, then gold will continue to rise. If it breaks through the historical high, then the decline will follow the trend and go long. If it does not break the historical high, then gold will continue to be short at highs below 2685 in the short term
1. The morning rise continues to test the 2685 high point without breaking, forming a morning force.
2. The current retracement, the watershed yesterday morning low of 2667, is also the stop loss position for long orders
3. The trend of the morning power is very important in the European session. It has been emphasized before that the earlier the European session breaks through, the greater the upward momentum. In addition, the more times the top is tested, the greater the probability of breaking, so if it goes up, it will break the high.
At the same time, if this pattern continues to be long, we must pay attention to the European session. The price cannot go down the watershed. If it breaks, it will be volatile.
Therefore, with the help of retracement, continue to be long, break the watershed loss, the upper target is 2688-90, break the European session, and the US session will look at the 2700 mark
Navigating Market Volatility: Strategies for Gold Trading
In the New York market, profits from short positions near the recent high of $2,680 have been realized on two occasions. Similarly, profits from low buy orders have been observed. Currently, we find ourselves near the $2,675 level, where I have paused trading. Upon market opening, I anticipate a certain degree of downward movement, providing opportunities for gold price recovery. As mentioned previously, breaking through the recent highs requires greater momentum. Until this momentum materializes, I suggest maintaining a predominantly short position. Key factors to monitor include geopolitical developments and the release of initial jobless claims data in the U.S. this week, as well as any potential black swan events.
Sell: $2,680 - $2,685
Buy: $2,660 - $2,665
Profit margins should be managed at your discretion.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD