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Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction Amid Technical Resistance📊 Market Overview: Gold is currently trading around $3,314/oz, slightly down after testing resistance near $3,350. The market faces pressure from a strengthening USD and inflation concerns. Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350 • Nearest Support: $3,200 • EMA: Current price is near the 50-day EMA, indicating a potential trend reversal if resistance holds. 📌 Outlook: Gold may decline in the short term if it fails to break above the $3,350 resistance and the USD continues to strengthen. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3330 o 🎯 TP: $3,310 o ❌ SL: $3,340 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230 o 🎯 TP: $3,250 o ❌ SL: $3,220
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold is still washing out, beware of a fall below 3326! 📊Comment Analysis After gold fell in the Asian session, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it is still a wide range of shocks and washes out. No matter whether it rises or falls, it is not continuous, and the fluctuation range is large, which is difficult to grasp in short-term operations. The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opens at 3326 as a watershed. Beware of a fall below this position in the US session. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The rise in a short period of time is too large, and once it falls back, the strength will be the same. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Gold is still washing out, ready to go short After gold fell today, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it was still a wide range of shocks and wash-outs. No matter whether it rose or fell, it was not continuous, and the fluctuation range was large, which was difficult to grasp in short-term operations. The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opened at 3326 as a watershed. Be careful of falling back below this position. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The short-term rise is too large. Once the fall is strong, it will also be the same. If you step back, you can pay attention to the rising 0.5 and 0.618 supports.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Don't define the price of gold 💡Message Strategy The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that Trump's tariffs exceeded his authority. Once the ruling was made, market risk appetite quickly rebounded, driving global risk assets up and safe-haven assets such as gold came under selling pressure. The price of gold fell to $3,245 during the Asian trading session, hitting a 10-day low. In addition to the weakening of risk aversion, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May meeting reinforced the market's expectation that it would "maintain interest rates unchanged for a long time". In addition, the generally strong US economic data released this week caused the US dollar index (DXY) to return to the 100 mark, which put continued pressure on gold, a non-interest-bearing asset. 📊Technical aspects Technically, gold price fell below the short-term rising trend line and the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, and the short-term trend turned bearish. If it falls below the key support of $3,245 (50% Fibonacci retracement level), it may further point to $3,215 (61% retracement) or even $3,200 and $3,180. The upper rebound resistance is located at $3,300, $3,325 and $3,350 respectively. From the daily chart, gold (XAU/USD) closed negative for the fourth consecutive day. The price has effectively fallen below the lower track of the short-term rising channel and continued to run below the 10-day and 15-day moving averages, indicating that the short-term momentum has weakened. The MACD fast and slow lines have a dead cross, and the green column is enlarged, further confirming the short signal. Currently, the vicinity of $3245 is the support of the previous shock range. Once it is lost, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $3215 will be tested below, and even approach the psychological integer level of $3200. If the gold price is supported in this area, it is expected to build a staged bottom; on the contrary, if it falls below $3200, it will look down to the $3150-3110 area. The short-term rebound needs to pay attention to the pressure level near $3300, which is also the dense intersection area of ​​the previous moving averages. The overall structure suggests that the shorts are dominant. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3310-3320,3340-3350
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD): Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle). Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest. Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD): Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum. A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation. Next Target Resistance Zones: First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone. Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high. Trade Plan: Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion). Target 1: 3,320 Target 2: 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone) Bullish Structure: Higher low has been established. Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound. In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
COMEX:GC1!
by MarketIntel
3
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading” Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨 Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯 Current Price: ~3290 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure. 🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST 🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥) • M15 OB + clean FVG alignment • EMA50/100 confluence • Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone 🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322. 🔻 3328–3335 • Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection • Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone 🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations. 🔻 3348–3360 • D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance • Strong selling reaction previously seen here 🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction. 🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST 🟩 3285–3295 • Active H1 demand zone • EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed • RSI support holding around 38–40 🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger. 🟩 3260–3270 • Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday • Mid-range retest level 🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift. 🟩 3235–3250 • HTF demand + deep discount zone • Untapped FVG + BOS origin 🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits. ⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL ⚡ 3300–3308 • NY equilibrium • Likely to chop — not for entries 🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open. 📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30 CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360 🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT 🗓 Tomorrow: • 🧾 Unemployment Claims • 📉 Prelim GDP Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger. 🎯 BATTLE PLAN Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation. Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH. Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks. Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range. 🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯 💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk. ❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries. Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move. — GoldFxMinds 💛
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side: 1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump 2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel 📈Technical aspects: The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300. sell 3325-3330 TP 3310-3300 buy 3290-3280 TP 3310-3320 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding. 4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post ---> 📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout. 📌 Market Structure & Key Levels A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend. The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold. 🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence): Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment. Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone. Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk. Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation. Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target). 🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation. Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside. Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit. 🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact. Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift. 📌 System-Based Order Limits Daily Order Limits Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82 Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52 Weekly Order Limits Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89 Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93 Monthly Order Limits Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65 Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36 📌 Final Insight Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references. 📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively. Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way. Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSD
by jerryfc000
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300 The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline. Gold/USD Sales @3270-3280 TP: 3250-3240 sl: 3290 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250. From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325. The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300. However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations. On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview: Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout. We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move. This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds. ❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress. 🔍 Market Intention Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers. Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction. 🎯 Action Zone Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone. If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone. If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation. Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting. 📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence) Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP) Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15 Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04 📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence) Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation. 🔹 Daily Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82 Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52 🔸 Weekly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89 Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93 🔻 Monthly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65 Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36 🔁 How to Use This Information Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act. Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds. Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding. 🧠 Final Insight Including these order levels allows traders to: Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries 🧠 Decision Framework Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic. Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete. The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it. > Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries. 💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline. The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides: Daily TF Weekly TF Monthly TF As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch: 2H TF M45 TF M15 TF
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDLong
by jerryfc000
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance. Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility. If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline. Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302 Support : $3,240, $3,207
TVC:GOLD
by ATFX_Global
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall 📌 Driving events The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall. 📊Comment analysis The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices. 💰Strategy Package After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold price shorts stabilize, continuing to fall 💡Message Strategy Gold prices fell into a weak consolidation pattern as the U.S. dollar continued to rebound and market risk appetite increased, suppressing safe-haven demand. Although it rebounded slightly, it failed to stand firm at $3,300, indicating that the upper resistance is still strong. From a fundamental perspective, the recently released US durable goods orders and consumer confidence index performed better than expected, providing support for the US dollar. Specific data showed that US durable goods orders fell 6.3% in April, better than the expected -7.9%, although far lower than the revised value of 7.6% last month; core orders (excluding transportation) recorded an increase of 0.2%. In addition, the US consumer confidence index rebounded sharply to 98 in May, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, reflecting the improvement of economic and employment prospects. Trump's postponement of the 50% tariff on the European Union until July 9 has strengthened risk appetite in the short term and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. However, there are still major uncertainties in trade policy, coupled with the continued deterioration of the US fiscal situation and continued geopolitical risks, which provide some support for gold prices. In addition, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, and this prospect is gradually being factored into gold prices. In particular, if the "Beauty Act" is passed, it will aggravate the fiscal deficit, which may put medium-term pressure on the US dollar and provide long-term support for non-yielding gold. 📊Technical aspects On the technical level, gold prices fell below the short-term rising trend line on Tuesday and then fell further. It is currently testing the $3,300 level where the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart is located. Once the moving average is clearly broken and a valid close is formed, the short-term downward trend may be confirmed. The initial support level below is in the $3,250-3,245 area. This range has formed a consolidation platform in the past few trading days. Once it falls below or triggers more stop-loss selling, the target will point to the $3,200 integer mark. Therefore, for the next gold, the best way is to suppress the decline at 3320, break through 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), and successfully break through the downward switching space range of about 30-40 US dollars. If the price breaks through 3320, it will be treated as a sweep, waiting for the upper side to determine the higher resistance of 3330-3325, and then look down to 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), breaking through the switching space 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3320-3330,3340-3350
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1
With Bullish bias into new Week - 2025/05/26Last week, I published my idea for a whole week with daily updates for the first time. You can read about it here: 🎯 The target of $3348 was reached on Friday due to the announcement of new tariffs against the European Union. 💡 Here is my idea for the week from May 26-30, 2025. First things first, the Friday session last week ended with bullish momentum. Even though the gold price consolidated more at the $3366 mark, it was obviously to allow time to pass and calm down stressed values like EMA or MACD. This is a very good sign for the start of the week because if the Asia timezone takes the invite, the gold price has a good chance to rise. My expectation is a bullish GAP right at the beginning; if so, it's a clear sign for the rest of the day, in my opinion. These thoughts would support my goal from above $3500 during the week. 📰 Geopolitical News Landscape India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 remains tense but intact. Both sides claim victory, while Pakistan strengthens ties with China. Cross-border attacks have ceased, but mutual distrust persists. ➡️ Situation remains fragile; renewed escalation is possible. Gaza Conflict Israel intensifies "Gideon’s Chariot" with ground forces in Khan Younis. Mass evacuations and high civilian casualties worsen the humanitarian crisis. Peace talks have stalled as the offensive continues. ➡️ No relief in sight; humanitarian conditions are deteriorating further. Russia / Ukraine On May 24, Russia launched its largest air assault yet with 367 missiles and drones—13 civilians were killed. Just before, both sides exchanged 1,000 prisoners. Peace talks remain suspended. ➡️ Violence is escalating; a ceasefire remains out of reach. U.S.–China Trade War The 90-day tariff pause triggered a rush to import from China. Shipping bottlenecks and high freight rates are straining businesses. Structural issues remain unresolved. ➡️ Short-term easing; long-term tensions persist. Trade War on global view The global trade war has escalated in May 2025, with the U.S. imposing a 50% tariff on EU imports and a 25% levy on foreign-made smartphones, citing trade imbalances. The EU has condemned these moves, warning of potential retaliation. In response to U.S. tariffs, China has restricted rare earth exports, impacting global supply chains. ASEAN nations, heavily affected by U.S. tariffs ranging from 10% to 49%, are urging deeper regional integration to mitigate economic disruptions. The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% for 2025, citing trade tensions and policy uncertainty. Supply chains are being restructured, with companies shifting production to countries like Vietnam and Mexico. Financial markets are volatile, with increased inflationary pressures and investor anxiety. ➡️ Emerging markets face currency volatility and economic instability due to the ongoing trade conflicts. ⚖️Trump vs. Powell President Trump increases pressure on Fed Chair Powell to cut rates. The Fed holds interest rates at 4.25–4.5% and warns of inflation. A 10% staff reduction is planned to boost efficiency. ➡️Political interference is increasingly destabilizing markets. U.S. Inflation – April 2025 Inflation dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations remain high at 7.3%. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low. ➡️A clear gap is emerging between official data and public perception. 🔋 Technical Analysis – Short-Term 📊 Analysis: May 19–24, 2025 Weekly Low: $3,204 (May 20) Weekly High: $3,366 (May 23) Weekly Close (May 23): approx. $3,358 Total Gain: +5% 🟢 Trend: A clear uptrend is evident. After hitting a low of $3,204 on May 20, gold experienced a strong rally, forming consistently higher highs and higher lows. A brief pullback on May 22 was quickly bought up. 📈 Structure: A series of bullish flag patterns developed, each resolving to the upside. The high at $3,366 currently marks the most significant resistance level. 🔮 Outlook from May 26, 2025 Resistance: $3,366 (recent high) Support: $3,310 (last local low), below that $3,280 (breakout zone) Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above $3,310 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout: A sustained breakout above $3,366 could unlock further upside potential toward the $3,390–$3,410 area. When Asia session starting with bull GAP the Scenario is the one i preffer. 📌 Scenario 2 – Pullback: A retracement to the $3,310–$3,280 zone would be a healthy correction within the trend, provided this zone holds. 🧭 Conclusion: Gold remains in a steady uptrend. As long as support levels hold, a continuation toward $3,500 is likely. RSI may be overbought on higher timeframes, so short-term consolidations are possible, but structurally the setup remains bullish. Anything to ad? Feel free to tell your thoughts. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
4
XAU/USD) 3 top technical analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key elements and potential price scenarios illustrated. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- 1. Key Levels and Zones Resistance Zone (~3,320–3,330): Marked with red arrows indicating multiple rejections. A crucial supply zone that the price failed to break several times. Support Zone (~3,280–3,290): Labeled as “nak support level” (likely means "neckline" support in a possible head-and-shoulders structure or just a key level). Important for bullish structure continuation. Lower Target Zone (~3,205): A demand zone if the support fails. Labeled as another “target point” indicating a bearish projection. --- 2. Trend Context The price was in an upward channel (highlighted as "up trend"), which has now been broken. EMA 200 (~3,251) is acting as a dynamic support. --- 3. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Red/Blue Arrows Up): If the price holds the “nak support level” and breaks back above resistance (~3,320): A bullish move toward 3,367 and even 3,435 is expected. The blue arrow shows a projected upside target of ~105 points. Bearish Scenario (Black Arrow Down): If the price breaks below the neckline/support and EMA 200: A drop toward the 3,205 area is anticipated. Target aligns with previous structure lows and a clean demand zone. --- 4. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel) RSI is hovering around neutral (~45–50), offering no strong momentum bias. Could support either a bounce or a breakdown, depending on upcoming moves. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary This chart presents a conditional trade setup: Above 3,320: Long toward 3,367–3,435. Below 3,280–3,250 (and EMA 200): Short toward 3,205. The market is currently at a decision point, and traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before entering a trade. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
15
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and strategy behind it: --- Key Elements of the Chart: 1. Descending Channel Pattern: Price is moving within a descending channel (downward sloping resistance and support lines). The red arrows mark previous rejections from the upper boundary of the channel. 2. Supply Zone / Resistance Area: Highlighted in yellow, the price has entered a supply zone (between 3,412.00 and 3,440.42), historically where selling pressure has emerged. The analysis suggests sellers may dominate again in this zone. 3. Price Action Projection: Expected to reject from the supply zone, possibly forming a lower high. Price is projected to break the short-term upward trendline, then fall sharply. 4. Target Points: First target: 3,206.96 – likely aligned with a minor support level or Fibonacci retracement. Second target: 3,085.56 – near the lower boundary of the descending channel. 5. EMA 200 (3,238.55): Price is currently above the 200 EMA, but the projection anticipates a breakdown below it, confirming further bearish sentiment. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is at 67.56, near overbought territory, suggesting limited upside and a possible correction. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Between 3,412 – 3,440 (supply zone) Confirmation: Rejection at the trendline + RSI divergence Targets: TP1: 3,206.96 TP2: 3,085.56 Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,440.42 (channel breakout) Mr SMC Trading point --- Risk Management Note: Ensure stop-loss is placed above the resistance zone (e.g., around 3,450) to mitigate false breakouts. Monitor fundamentals like upcoming US economic data, as they can heavily impact gold. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
22
Is Gold’s Momentum Strong Enough to Break $3,400?📊 Market Overview: Gold prices retreated slightly as stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. This lent strength to the U.S. dollar, weighing on gold. Meanwhile, a more stable geopolitical tone—particularly in U.S.-EU trade discussions—has reduced safe-haven flows into gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,345 – $3,355 • Nearest Support: $3,270 – $3,280 📌 Outlook: Gold may remain under pressure in the short term if the U.S. dollar stays firm and the Fed’s hawkish stance persists. However, the $3,270 support zone remains a key pivot for any potential rebound. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 - $3,350 🎯 TP: $3,325 ❌ SL: $3,355 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270 – $3,280 🎯 TP: $3,290 ❌ SL: $3,260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals