Goldprice
Gold is under pressure at 3296 and may weaken and fall today
I am analyst Yulia, and I always believe that profit is the only criterion for measuring strength. My analysis is never perfunctory, and my trading style is unique. Follow my rhythm, and you will never fail in the annual cycle. Others have already rushed on the road to wealth, but you are still hesitating whether to cross the traffic light at the intersection? Remember, hesitation will lead to failure! Follow my pace, and wealth will be very close to you.
Gold rebounded as I expected during the weekend, but the rebound to 3296 was under pressure. The short-term 60-day moving average and the suppression near the five-day moving average failed to break, so the rebound within the day was limited. It may weaken and fall today, but it belongs to a shock and bearish trend, so consider shorting near 3282-85, stop loss 3291, pay attention to risks.
June 30 gold short-term trading: short near 3283, stop loss 3291, take profit 3263
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly LowXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly Low
In mid-June 2025, demand for gold surged following reports of exchanged strikes between Israel and Iran, along with US bombings of Iran's nuclear facilities. As a so-called safe-haven asset, gold prices climbed towards $3,430.
However, by the final day of June, the XAU/USD chart shows that gold had retreated to around $3,250, marking the lowest level in a month.
Why Is the Gold Price Falling?
On one hand, this reflects easing tensions in the Middle East, as a ceasefire—albeit fragile—between Israel and Iran remains in place.
On the other hand, the risk of trade wars is also diminishing. According to media reports:
→ President Donald Trump announced last week that the United States had signed a trade agreement with China and hinted that a “very major” deal with India would follow soon.
→ The US is also close to concluding agreements with Mexico and Vietnam, while negotiations with Japan and many other countries are ongoing.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Looking at the broader picture, it is worth noting that gold prices in 2025 continue to move within a long-term upward channel (shown in blue), with the following key observations:
→ The channel’s median line acted as resistance (indicated by arrow 1);
→ The line dividing the lower half of the channel in half also showed signs of resistance (indicated by arrow 2).
Now, gold is trading near the lower boundary of the channel – a key support level within the multi-month uptrend. Demand may begin to strengthen here, with long lower wicks on candles on the lower timeframes supporting this view.
A rebound from the lower boundary is possible in early July, but how strong might it be? Note that bears have taken control of the $3,345 level (which has now flipped from support to resistance), and there are signs of a triple top pattern (A-B-C) forming near the $3,430 resistance. This raises the risk of a bearish breakout from the ascending channel.
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Analysis and layout of gold trend at the end of the month📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
From the beginning of the decline of gold near 3338 on Friday to today's lowest point near 3244, gold has fallen by nearly $94. At present, gold has rebounded as expected. In the short term, I think we have two key areas to pay attention to. The first is the position of 3290-3295, which is a 50% rebound, and the second is the upper top range limit range of 3300-3320. Of course, if it breaks through 3280 and then retreats, it can also be long twice, but the current price rebounds, considering the position of the temporary low long position, there is not much trading opportunity. First look at the key areas given to find opportunities for shorting, and pay attention to the opportunity of retreating to 3280-3270 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3290-3295
TP 3380-3370
SELL 3300-3310-3320
TP 3290-3280-3270
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term.
1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend.
However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal.
The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone.
Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support.
Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest.
3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks.
Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts.
Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375.
Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation.
Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.
XAUUSD Consolidates Near Resistance After Strong RallyGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe has staged a solid bullish reversal from the 3,263 USD support zone, reaching a recent high of 3,357 USD. Now, the market is entering a consolidation phase just below this resistance. This price action may be setting the stage for the next directional move.
After breaking a clear descending trendline, XAUUSD formed a two-leg bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows – a classic signal of trend reversal. The rally paused around 3,357 USD, a previous swing high acting as short-term resistance. The price is currently ranging between 3,330–3,340 USD with decreasing volume, indicating a potential accumulation zone rather than distribution.
Resistance: 3,357 USD – breakout target
Support zone: 3,330–3,335 USD – short-term demand zone
Invalidation level: 3,306 USD – below this, bullish structure breaks
As long as price holds above 3,330 USD, a bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. Traders can look for pullbacks or bullish patterns within this zone for potential long entries. A break and close above 3,357 USD would confirm strength, opening the path toward 3,370 or even 3,390 USD.
Stop-loss should be placed below 3,306 USD to manage risk if the breakout fails. If price loses the 3,306 support decisively, the setup turns neutral to bearish short-term.
The breakout leg was supported by rising volume, validating real demand. Current low-volume sideways movement suggests the market is “cooling off” after the rally, often a precursor to the next breakout move. Watching for bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes near support can offer trade confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish technical structure on the 1H chart. The current range between 3,330–3,357 USD is key. If price breaks above resistance, we could see strong continuation toward higher levels. Traders should stay patient, manage risk carefully, and let price action confirm the next move.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3333-3323-3315
TP 3341-3355-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold Might Break Higher As It Hits $3,330 Resistance📊 Market Drivers
Gold has just climbed to $3,330/oz, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Investor expectations of a rate cut in September are keeping bullish momentum alive.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Resistance:
→ $3,330–3,335 (50-day SMA & Fibonacci level)
A breakout above $3,335 could open the door to $3,350+.
• Support:
→ $3,300–3,310 (psychological level & EMA9)
→ Next support lies at $3,275–3,280 if the first zone breaks.
• EMA09:
Price is currently above the 9-EMA, confirming a short-term bullish trend.
• Momentum Indicators:
o MACD is bullish; Stochastics is high — all signaling upside, though a short-term pullback may occur if the resistance holds.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing in the short term if it breaks above the $3,330–$3,335 resistance zone, fueled by bullish sentiment and dovish Fed expectations.
If it fails to break higher, a minor correction toward $3,300–$3,310 could follow.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy
BUY XAU/USD : $3,320–3,325
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,310
SELL XAU/USD : $3,340–3,345
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,350
Gold surged and then fell. Has it reached its peak?Information summary:
Today, the United States and Japan negotiated on tariffs. Trump said that the US-Japan deal was unfair and might send a letter to Japan; the US-Japan trade negotiations seemed to be at a standstill. Trump also threatened that he would not extend the expiring tariff period and would send letters to most countries and regions in the next few days.
Secondly, the United States accused the EU of unfair digital legislation and asked the EU to relax its supervision of US technology giants. In addition, Trump accused "Mr. Too Late" Powell and the entire committee on social media that they should be ashamed of not cutting interest rates.
Affected by the above news, gold's risk aversion sentiment heated up and prices started to rise for the second time.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the market is currently in a slow upward trend in a downward channel, and the price is also repeatedly testing the upward pressure position of 3355. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages turned upward and crossed with the 20-day and 30-day moving averages. At present, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient. In the short term, we should focus on the suppression position of 3355. If we fail to break through this position for a long time, the trend will most likely turn into a downward trend. If no black swan event occurs, today's price will most likely fluctuate around the 3320-3350 range. If there is no black swan event, the price today will most likely fluctuate around the range of 3320-3350.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3355, stop loss 3365, profit range 3340-3330.
Long near 3315 when the price falls back, stop loss 3305, profit range 3340-3345.
Today, we will focus on the resistance around 3350
Gold continued to rise without any retracement. At present, the reason for the rise in gold is the market's optimistic expectation that the Federal Reserve will resume interest rate cuts later this year. The US employment report to be released on Thursday may also become a catalyst for the decline in US bond yields, which is usually favorable for gold. Although gold has recently adjusted back, if the US dollar continues to depreciate, gold still has the greatest potential for growth in the short term.
From the trend point of view, gold has risen slowly and continuously, and the new round of resistance needs to be placed around 3350. If this position breaks again, it actually looks at 3400 above, or pierces 3350 but weakens, then it will not fall sharply. At present, this slow rise market has no other good intervention opportunities except for direct long
And the European session will first look at the second highest pressure of 3336. If it breaks easily, there is no need to intervene in the short position. At present, the good intervention opportunity is around 3350, with a small stop loss of 3357, and look at the 3330-25 line.
This is the reason why gold suddenly "changed its face"!
📣 Gold News
Spot gold closed up $28.59, or 0.87%, at $3,302.71 per ounce on Monday. Gold prices fell to around $3,246 per ounce in early Asian trading, the lowest level since May 29.
At 21:30 Beijing time on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong will hold a group meeting.
Last Tuesday and Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attended a congressional hearing and said that the Fed needs more time to observe whether tariffs make inflation rise higher before considering cutting interest rates.
Powell said in his congressional testimony that he and most Fed officials expect inflation to start to pick up soon, and the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates before that.
Powell said: "At present, we have good conditions to wait and further understand the possible development path of the economy before considering whether to adjust the policy stance." Yesterday, gold opened at $3381.6 and quickly fell back, reaching a low of $3248.8, then rebounded, rebounded in the early trading and touched $3270 and fell again, gold fell back, reaching a low of $3259.4, then gold did not continue to fall, and rebounded. Gold continued to rebound in the European and American markets, with the highest rebound in the US market reaching $3309.4, and finally closed at $3002.9 in the late trading. The monthly line closed with a long upper shadow line and a shooting star pattern. After such a pattern ended, today's gold rebounded high, and the upper resistance focused on the $3326 line. The rebound relied on the resistance below here to short, and the lower side looked at the $3295 line.
Gold long-short strategy US trading range operation
Gold prices (XAU/USD) recovered some of their losses during Monday's Asian trading session, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further this year (and perhaps earlier than previously expected). This prospect weighed on the dollar, making dollar-denominated gold more attractive to overseas buyers.
However, the recent improvement in global risk sentiment (driven by the US-China trade agreement and the Israeli-Iranian ceasefire agreement) may reduce the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors will now turn their attention to upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, with Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expected to speak later in the day.
Gold prices recovered, accumulating around the 3,300 price range at the beginning of the new week. Still in a major downtrend.
⭐️Set Gold Price:
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3316-3318 SL 3323
TP1: $3305
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3277
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3248-$3246 SL $3241
TP1: $3258
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3286
⭐️Technical Analysis:
Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
Gold bulls are suppressed, rebound short-selling range grasp
💡Message Strategy
The cooling of geopolitical tensions and the easing of Sino-US trade tensions have boosted market risk appetite, and rising stock markets have weakened the attractiveness of holding gold, suppressing gold prices.
However, geopolitical tensions have not completely calmed down, and expectations of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve have increased, limiting the decline in gold and providing support. In terms of operations, it is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset.
📊Technical aspects
On the daily chart, after gold hit a two-month high in mid-June, it encountered resistance and fell back, hitting a new low in nearly a month, and the short-term trend is biased downward.
For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the intraday high of $3,300. The gold price bottomed out and rebounded during the day. For gold's lower support, pay attention to the intraday gold price rebounding above the rising position of $3,270, followed by the intraday low of $3,247, which is also near the low point of the gold price after the rise in May. The 5-day moving average and the MACD indicator cross downward, showing that the short-term technical side is dominant.
From the 1-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3277-3281, the 3295-3301 line is suppressed, and the 3316 line is suppressed.
In terms of operation, the main short-term support is around 3250-3255. The overall main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged in this range, so pay attention in time.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3290-3300,SL:3316,Target: 3240-3250
Gold is trading sideways. Has it reached a high point?On the first trading day of this week, after hitting 3247 in the early Asian session, it quickly rebounded to around 3295, and then fell back slightly. It is currently maintained at around 3285.
From the hourly chart, the Fibonacci 0.618 position of this trend from 3247 to 3297 is at 3278. The price has always been above 3278, but it has only fallen below this position in a very short time. If the retracement does not break through the 0.618 position, there is a high probability that there will be a high point in the subsequent trend.
Next, we should focus on the area around 3280. If the price always closes above 3280, then today's high point of 3297 will most likely be refreshed. If the upward trend is opened again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is also the current 0.618 position. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range.
Therefore, we should be cautious when shorting gold above 3280, as there is a high probability that it will reach above 3300.
Aggressive trading can rely on entering the market and going long near 3280, and the profit range is between 3300-3310.
For short strategy trading, Quaid recommends that it is safer to short when the price rebounds near 3310.
Gold Faces Resistance Near $3,300 Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data📊 Market Highlights:
Gold holds firm above $3,280 supported by expectations of future Fed rate cuts, but upside momentum has stalled as traders await this Friday’s U.S. jobs report. A slight rebound in the U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields are pressuring gold in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistances:
– $3,300 (strong psychological and profit-taking level)
– $3,320 (last week’s high – potential heavy selling zone)
• Key Supports:
– $3,255 (short-term dynamic support – EMA 09)
– $3,230 (major support from previous breakout structure)
• EMA 09: Price remains above the 09 EMA → trend still bullish
• Momentum: The bullish momentum is weakening. A shooting star candle near $3,300 and RSI approaching overbought territory (>70) suggest a possible short-term correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may retreat to $3,255 or lower if it fails to break above the $3,300–$3,320 resistance zone. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact as long as price holds above $3,230.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,295 – $3,300
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,255 – $3,260
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,245
6.30 Four-hour resistance determines the strength of the reboundAt the weekly level, the short-term focus is on the adjustment and continued breaking of the weekly support. As time goes by, the weekly support is at the 3285 watershed. At the daily level, after the price broke the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3355 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be shorted. At the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. At present, the four-hour watershed is in the 3300 area, so the focus is on the gains and losses of this position. Before it breaks up, the short-term focus will be on the pressure first, but once it breaks up, it will need to focus on the rebound to the daily resistance. From the one-hour perspective, the bottom rebounded during the early morning session and broke through the high point of the previous trading day’s early morning retracement, so the short-term is still in adjustment. Temporarily pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3300 position, and treat it as the right-side trading method in terms of operation.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations
📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
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Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
---
Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
---
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1!
The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V.
Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment.
Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%).
If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity.
RSI Indicator:
From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades.
Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points.
Future Projections:
Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection.
Market Sentiment:
Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
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Entry (Sell Zone) 📉: 2841.00 – Wait for Neutral Level breakout, then strike!
Pro Tip: Place sell-stop below support or sell-limit on pullback (15-30min TF).
Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout moment.
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Technical Setup: Oversold bounce? Trap. Strong bearish reversal brewing.
Fundamentals: Macro risks, COT data, geopolitics – Gold’s under pressure!
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Non-agricultural data is coming. Will it affect the market trendBecause there will be non-agricultural data next week, Quaid thinks that the market will not be in a hurry to perform at the beginning of the week. And Friday is the US Independence Day, and the market will be closed in advance; maybe only Wednesday and Thursday are really needed.
This week, gold closed below 3300, and the daily line was also broken, and gold officially entered a bearish trend.
First look at the monthly line chart
Because next Monday is the last day of June, the monthly line will start to close, so you can still pay attention to the support of the monthly line. The MA5 moving average below the monthly line is currently around 3170. Moreover, with the support of non-agricultural data next week, the possibility of touching around 3170 is not ruled out.
Secondly, from the weekly line chart
The weekly line is basically the same as the monthly line. The MA20 moving average below is also around 3170. So next week, I think we should focus on around 3170. The monthly line and the weekly line resonate, so the probability of touching this position is very high.
Finally, let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a downward trend and the short-term support has been broken. The current support is around 3250. I think there is a high probability of a small sideways consolidation at the beginning of the week. If the market conditions are eager to change, it may rebound slightly and then continue to decline. If it falls below 3250, it will continue to fall towards 3200. If this level is broken, it may hit the low point of 3170-3175.