XAU/USD(20250529) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting: The risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased, and the benefits of flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment have weakened; "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": Stagflation forecasts may become the tone of the Federal Reserve's June economic forecast summary.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3296
Support and resistance levels:
3345
3327
3315
3278
3266
3248
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3266, consider buying, the first target price is 3278
If the price breaks through 3248, consider selling, the first target price is 3225
Goldprice
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview:
Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout.
We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move.
This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds.
❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress.
🔍 Market Intention
Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers.
Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction.
🎯 Action Zone
Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone.
If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone.
If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation.
Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting.
📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence)
Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP)
Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15
Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04
📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence)
Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation.
🔹 Daily Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82
Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52
🔸 Weekly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89
Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93
🔻 Monthly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65
Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36
🔁 How to Use This Information
Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act.
Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds.
Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding.
🧠 Final Insight
Including these order levels allows traders to:
Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes
See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels
Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries
🧠 Decision Framework
Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic.
Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete.
The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it.
> Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries.
💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline.
The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides:
Daily TF
Weekly TF
Monthly TF
As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch:
2H TF
M45 TF
M15 TF
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance.
Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility.
If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline.
Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302
Support : $3,240, $3,207
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall
📌 Driving events
The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall.
📊Comment analysis
The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold price shorts stabilize, continuing to fall
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell into a weak consolidation pattern as the U.S. dollar continued to rebound and market risk appetite increased, suppressing safe-haven demand. Although it rebounded slightly, it failed to stand firm at $3,300, indicating that the upper resistance is still strong.
From a fundamental perspective, the recently released US durable goods orders and consumer confidence index performed better than expected, providing support for the US dollar.
Specific data showed that US durable goods orders fell 6.3% in April, better than the expected -7.9%, although far lower than the revised value of 7.6% last month; core orders (excluding transportation) recorded an increase of 0.2%. In addition, the US consumer confidence index rebounded sharply to 98 in May, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, reflecting the improvement of economic and employment prospects.
Trump's postponement of the 50% tariff on the European Union until July 9 has strengthened risk appetite in the short term and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. However, there are still major uncertainties in trade policy, coupled with the continued deterioration of the US fiscal situation and continued geopolitical risks, which provide some support for gold prices.
In addition, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, and this prospect is gradually being factored into gold prices. In particular, if the "Beauty Act" is passed, it will aggravate the fiscal deficit, which may put medium-term pressure on the US dollar and provide long-term support for non-yielding gold.
📊Technical aspects
On the technical level, gold prices fell below the short-term rising trend line on Tuesday and then fell further. It is currently testing the $3,300 level where the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart is located. Once the moving average is clearly broken and a valid close is formed, the short-term downward trend may be confirmed.
The initial support level below is in the $3,250-3,245 area. This range has formed a consolidation platform in the past few trading days. Once it falls below or triggers more stop-loss selling, the target will point to the $3,200 integer mark.
Therefore, for the next gold, the best way is to suppress the decline at 3320, break through 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), and successfully break through the downward switching space range of about 30-40 US dollars. If the price breaks through 3320, it will be treated as a sweep, waiting for the upper side to determine the higher resistance of 3330-3325, and then look down to 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), breaking through the switching space
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3320-3330,3340-3350
XAUUSD BULLISH SETUP. GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SUMMER'Gold spot prices have experienced significant volatility and notable technical developments over the past several months. Since the start of 2025, gold surged by over 25%, reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per troy ounce in April before retracing to hover near $3,300 by late May.
This rally was fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and a weaker US dollar, which made gold more attractive to international buyers.
Technically, gold entered a parabolic upswing earlier in the year, becoming extremely overbought before breaking below its parabolic trend, signaling a potential top and the start of a corrective phase.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently dropped below 52, its lowest since February, reflecting weakening bullish momentum. The Average Directional Index (ADX) near 15 also indicates a lack of strong trend direction.
Key support levels are identified at $3,196 (55-day SMA), $3,120 (May low), and $3,031 (100-day SMA), while resistance sits at $3,350.
We are looking forward to further Gold accumulation, ahead of scorching hot summer months.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold-----sell near 3310, target 3300-3280Gold market analysis:
The gold market has changed very quickly recently, and buying and selling have also changed very quickly. Yesterday's Asian session gold still had a buying momentum, and the European and American sessions had already plunged and were directly selling momentum. The 3323 position was broken, which means that the daily line broke the last line of defense for buying, and the short-term line switched to selling. In the end, the daily line closed negative, and the short-term line entered selling. There is still no long-term trend, and the weekly line is still buying. Today, the 3280 position will be tested. This position will break the weekly line before it can enter the selling. I estimate that it will fluctuate and repair in the 3330-3285 range. We can operate back and forth in this range. Yesterday's drop was too much and it also needs to be repaired. If it directly breaks 3280, it can be sold again after stepping back.
The lowest point reached yesterday was also 3286, which is also near the major support. Today's key is the gains and losses of this position. The high point of the Asian session rebound, 3315, is a small suppression in the 1H. The stronger ones are around 3323 and 3330. If this position is broken, it means that new buying has begun. In addition, the daily moving average is also suppressing it. It is unlikely to rise directly, and there will be repeated tug-of-war.
Fundamental analysis:
The US dollar rebounded sharply yesterday, and it is estimated that there will be a rebound today, which will suppress the development of gold.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3310, target 3300-3280
Is Gold’s Momentum Strong Enough to Break $3,400?📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices retreated slightly as stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. This lent strength to the U.S. dollar, weighing on gold. Meanwhile, a more stable geopolitical tone—particularly in U.S.-EU trade discussions—has reduced safe-haven flows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,345 – $3,355
• Nearest Support: $3,270 – $3,280
📌 Outlook:
Gold may remain under pressure in the short term if the U.S. dollar stays firm and the Fed’s hawkish stance persists. However, the $3,270 support zone remains a key pivot for any potential rebound.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 - $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,325
❌ SL: $3,355
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270 – $3,280
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,260
XAU/USD(20250528) Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3311
Support and resistance levels:
3375
3351
3336
3287
3271
3247
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3311, consider buying, the first target price is 3336
If the price breaks through 3287, consider selling, the first target price is 3271
Gold is waiting for a breakthrough? A new trend?In the Asian market, gold has repeatedly tested the downward trend near $3,300. As of now, it has stabilized above $3,300 again. The current highest rebound is around $3,323. The price is under pressure at this position and keeps testing to break through this position.
From the hourly chart, the previous trend of falling from $3,365 was a decline and then rebound. The current trend from $3,350 is the same. The current market is around $3,325, which is the position we need to pay attention to.
If gold breaks through and stabilizes at $3,325 next, it will test the intraday high of $3,335.
Therefore, I suggest that you can maintain the 3,325-3,335 US dollars to enter the market for short selling. You can use yesterday's high of $3,350 as a defense. The target is the support of $3,300 below today.
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,320/oz on May 28, 2025, after failing to break above a key resistance zone. The US dollar’s recovery and rising Treasury yields are putting short-term pressure on gold, despite lingering geopolitical tensions.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,330 – $3,360
• Nearest Support: $3,280 – $3,235
• EMA 09: Price is currently above the EMA 09, indicating that the upward trend remains intact.
• RSI Indicator: RSI stays above the 50 level, suggesting momentum is still bullish.
• Candlestick Pattern: A doji near the $3,330 zone signals market indecision.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a mild correction if the USD continues to strengthen. However, holding above $3,280 would keep the bullish momentum alive.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,330
🎯 TP: $3,310 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,340
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,285
🎯 TP: $3,305 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,275
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone
The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level.
Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
Gold fluctuates upward. Waiting for a breakthrough?Since the trend of today's Asian session is a drop before an increase, and we are currently holding long orders near 3292, the trend is still looking upward. It is about to reach the resistance position near 3325 that I predicted. This is a strong and weak dividing point in the short term. Whether it can continue to break through and move upward depends on the situation in the European session. If you hold a long position, you can continue to hold it and wait for the price to break through.
For those who have not entered the market yet, you can continue to wait and see if the upper resistance level can break through strongly. The market changes drastically. I hope everyone will make a profit today.
Gold 3315 gains and losses are the key
📌 Driving events
From the news perspective, data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed that U.S. durable goods orders in April plunged 6.3% month-on-month, with an expected value of -7.8% and a previous value revised from 9.20% to 7.50%. Volatile commercial aircraft orders plunged 51.5% in April after rising in March. Boeing said it received only eight aircraft orders in April, the lowest since May 2024, far lower than the 192 orders in March, the highest since 2023. Affected by the sharp drop in commercial aircraft orders, U.S. durable goods orders fell more than expected in April, with core capital goods orders (excluding aircraft and military hardware) falling 1.3%, the biggest drop since October last year. Under the influence of uncertainty in tariffs and tax policies, corporate investment willingness is weakening.
Through the data, it is not difficult to find that American companies have shown obvious caution in assessing the demand outlook and have shifted their focus to cost reduction, which directly reflects the impact of uncertainty brought about by Trump's trade policy. At the same time, the tax legislation being debated in Congress has also put companies on the sidelines, further suppressing the impulse to invest.
📊Comment Analysis
After the pullback on Monday this week, the decline accelerated on Tuesday, and the continuous decline came back, changing the strong upward trend of last week
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operation, in the short term, long and short operations can be carried out in the range of 3315-3297 US dollars, and the support position of 3285/80 should be paid attention to below; medium and long-term investors can buy on dips and take advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of weak US dollars to gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Will the gold market usher in a new trend?The Trump administration postponed the imposition of a 50% tariff on the European Union and extended the implementation date to July 9. This unexpected decision became the fuse for the violent market fluctuations. The European Union responded positively, and the US-EU trade negotiations ushered in a buffer period, but the global market has been affected, and the gold market has fallen into a dilemma of long and short interweaving.
On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed a downward trend. The price rose to $3,349.85 on the day, and the lowest price reached $3,285.21, closing at $3,300.4. After the opening of the US market, the price fluctuated upward in the short term, and the price ended in a big negative on the day. It is not suitable to be bearish at present before the price falls below the daily support.
From the daily level, the current daily level support is around $3,275, and the price may fluctuate upward above this position. At the same time, from the four-hour level, yesterday's price fell below the four-hour support of $3,320, and then continued to fall below the important support position of $3,300 on the daily line; and the short-term pressure is relatively large, so it is necessary to pay attention to the 3275-3320 range for the time being; this fluctuation range is also the middle area between the 5-day MA moving average and the 10MA moving average, and the price will continue after breaking through the range.
Operation strategy:
Scalping transactions are carried out in the fluctuation range of $3,290-3,315.
Quaid reminds all traders: You need to always pay attention to the direction of price trends, take profits in time, and avoid losses caused by unexpected events affecting price trends.
Gold-----Buy directly near 3300, target 3320-3350Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's gold was basically a technical adjustment. Without the US market, the bulls could not rise. Today, the Asian market bottomed out and rebounded to form a small V. When we reach the position we announced, we will do it directly. The position is certain. There is no ambiguity in the range to buy. When we reach it, we will do it decisively. The order must be ruthless and fast. If you are indecisive, it means you are afraid that it will be difficult to hold it even if you enter. What we are afraid of is whether the order we enter has a loss. The order without loss is the most terrible. In this year's market, it is basically difficult to survive without loss. A technical adjustment is 60 points. If you don't carry 1 lot, it is basically 6,000 US dollars. Moreover, 60 points are basically a matter of a few hours in the recent market. Regression analysis shows that yesterday's daily line closed with a small negative line. The daily line still supports buying at the moving average. The general trend is still bullish. There are no holidays today, so buying should start.
The intraday support platform is 3330, which is also the previous support platform. Although it fell to 3323 yesterday, it quickly rebounded. The daily line is still a repair, so we continue to buy today's repair and continue to look at the continuation of the moving average. We consider looking for a small opportunity to go long at 3300. 3340 is a small support.
Support 3340, 3330, slightly stronger is 3323, the market strength is 3338
Fundamental direction:
Yesterday's two holidays made the market fluctuate less in the European and American markets. There is no major fundamentals this week. Pay attention to the news.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----Buy directly near 3300, target 3320-3350
Gold retracement adjustment. Pay attention to the timing.Gold prices continued to fall today, hitting a low of $3,285, and are currently recovering briefly.
I think there is room for profit in the long strategy, but the hourly line is only a single positive rise. Overall, the probability of volatility correction is still high. Compared with the short-term resistance position of 3,320, the correction is still within the normal range.
From the 4-hour chart, the 60-day MA of $3,320 has a certain suppression position on the upward trend, followed by the 90-day MA of $3,285, which provides strong short-term support. Today's price drop also failed to break through this support position; so this week will continue to fluctuate sharply, and the large fluctuations up and down are to accumulate momentum for the next wave of rise. The basic operation strategy of the bulls has not changed, but just a halftime break.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3,295, stop loss at $3,285, and the profit range is $3,320-3,330.
GOLD HUNTER MODE: XAUUSD H1 OUTLOOK + DAILY PLAN (May 26, 2025)Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🌟 Hope you’re ready for a fresh week with the kind of sniper focus that turns confusion into clarity. Let’s break down Monday’s key levels and structure, so you trade with confidence, not hope.
Current price: ~3358
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, but caution is king as price sits at the top of a major H1 range.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3358–3368
H1 premium supply zone (last week’s local high + FVG unfilled)
Price hit premium, strong reactions likely
🦅 Eyes on — watch this area for potential sharp rejections or fakeout spikes!
🔻 3380–3395
M15/M30 extension, just above the current HH, in unmitigated OB + FVG
High risk for wicks and “bull trap” inducement
🦅 Aggressive sellers: this is your upper defense — don’t get faked!
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3325–3335
H1 demand/FVG + retest zone, previous breakout base
CHoCH confirmed, so first bounce possible here
🦅 Eyes on — look for bullish PA or quick rebounds, but wait for confirmation!
🟩 3295–3312
M15/M30 deep demand, oversold last week, zone of confluence with 50 EMA
If price nukes through first demand, this is the next major long trigger
🦅 This is where real buyers step in — be patient, don’t rush!
🟠 INTRADAY MID-ZONE
⚡ 3340–3348
Intraday equilibrium, lots of chop expected
Not ideal for entries; instead, use this zone to judge direction after NY open
🦅 Eyes on — let price tell the story, don’t force trades in the middle!
📊 STRUCTURE RECAP (H1 + M15/M30 Confluence)
Bullish structure intact above 3325–3330, but buyers need to defend each demand zone or we retrace lower.
Premium zones above 3358 are loaded with liquidity and can reverse fast. If price fakes out above 3368–3395 and rejects hard, expect a selloff to next demand.
If buyers defend 3325–3335 with a strong CHoCH/BOS, we can see a new impulse leg higher.
👋 Final Note: Watch, Don’t Chase!
This is a week for patient, sniper-style entries. Watch the 3358–3368 zone like a hawk — every wick, every fakeout counts!
Don’t get trapped in the chop; let price come to your key POIs and wait for confirmation.
If you found this plan helpful, smash that like, follow, and drop your questions or thoughts below! Your feedback fuels the next level of analysis.
Let’s crush the week, team! 🚀
— GoldFxMinds
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark
📌 Driving events
The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events:
First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned
Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices.
Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330.
📊Commentary Analysis
This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk.
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Economic data released. Start of a new trend?The international gold market suffered a sharp sell-off, and the spot gold price once fell below the key psychological mark of $3,300/ounce, reaching a low of $3,392.59, as the US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than a month and concerns about the international trade situation cooled down.
The gold price is currently in a short-term recovery phase, and the downside risk is temporarily lifted. In the long run, the expansion of the US fiscal deficit may support the gold price; but in the short term, according to the latest data released by the United States, it is conducive to the long operation of gold, and the gold price will rise briefly.
Gold is strong in the short term, but traders need to take profits in time to avoid unexpected events that cause trend changes.
Overall, the short-term trend of gold prices is still subject to the US dollar, interest rate expectations and economic data, and the competition for the $3,300 mark will become the key.
The US economic data is within the expected range, and gold has a short upward trend.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3290, stop loss at $3280, profit range at $3320-3330.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (May 27), spot gold fluctuated slightly higher around $3,345/ounce. Behind this seemingly bland figure, there is a fierce game between long and short forces. Yesterday, the London gold price fell to around $3,324, but rebounded quickly under the support of the escalation of the situation between Russia and Ukraine and bargain hunting. This relatively strong trend exposed the special resilience of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices weakened in light trading as the US market was closed for Memorial Day and Trump postponed his threat of "directly imposing 50% tariffs" on the European Union. The delay reduced safe-haven demand, but broader market drivers still favored gold's bullish outlook. International gold prices have retreated as Trump postponed his tariff threat to the European Union, but fiscal pressures have kept the bullish gold price forecast unchanged. Gold prices are firmly above $3,310. In the short term, the situation between Russia and Ukraine and the progress of US-EU trade negotiations will dominate the fluctuations; in the medium term, the currency game between the US dollar and the euro and the evolution of the Middle East nuclear crisis will determine the direction; in the long term, the global de-dollarization process and the reconstruction of the geopolitical structure may bring greater revaluation of gold. The initial value of the US durable goods orders in April will also be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to it.
Technical Review:
Gold stood above the 3340 mark again in the late trading, and the callback low-price buying layout was the main focus, and the overall participation was wide-range short-term fluctuations. The price of the hourly and four-hour charts is above the moving average and opens upward, and the price is running on the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band. The current price is supported near the middle track, 3322-25, which is also the last rising position last Friday. MA5 crosses the MA10 moving average, indicating that the current market tends to adjust, especially the long-term moving average runs above the medium-term moving average, but the overall trend of the moving average is smooth, and the expected shock correction. Gold has hit 3365 twice, both times it fell under pressure. Yesterday, it opened low and fell back to around 3320, indicating that the correction phase is expected to continue. Its trend is completely consistent with expectations. According to my expectations, once it falls below the 3320 mark, it will test the 3300 mark. Today, the first thing to pay attention to is the 3356 mark, followed by the 3368 resistance, and the support below is around 3300.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate, but the rebound of gold in the Asian session still did not break through the high point of yesterday. Gold hit 3350 in the Asian session and then fell directly under pressure, so gold continues to sell at a high level. Since the gold bulls are unable to rise and break through the high point, it will continue to fluctuate as the main force, and gold will continue to be short on the rebound. The market is all current, of course, it is not to buy when it rises and sell when it falls. Gold has begun to fluctuate now, so the high position of the box is still sold at a high price, and then follow up if it breaks through! Gold hit a high of 3350 in the Asian session and then fell back under pressure. Gold did not break through yesterday's high point, so the high point of gold's rebound is still decreasing in sequence, indicating that the buying power of gold is not strong, so gold will continue to be sold at high prices, and gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. It is still mainly sold at high levels. Now the market still changes greatly according to the impact of news. If there is a risk aversion on the gold news, then it is possible to go ahead with the risk aversion.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3310-3320 buy, stop loss 3305, target 3330-3350;
Short-term gold 3290-3300 short, stop loss 3310, target 3260-3280;
Am I the only one who still insists that gold will fall back?
💡Message Strategy
The dollar rebounded strongly, and gold fell under pressure
The primary driver of the gold price decline this time was the sudden strength of the dollar. After a brief correction, the US dollar index rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 99.40, with a daily increase of 0.4%, which is expected to be the best performance in the past two weeks. Since gold is denominated in US dollars, the appreciation of the US dollar directly weakened the attractiveness of gold to holders of other currencies, leading to an intensification of market selling.
US fiscal crisis + interest rate expectations, gold bulls suffered a double blow
In addition to the strengthening of the US dollar, the uncertainty of the US fiscal outlook also makes investors cautious. Although the market is worried that the US government debt may further expand (or increase by another $3.8 trillion in the next decade), it has not stimulated safe-haven buying of gold in the short term. On the contrary, the market is more concerned about the Fed's interest rate policy. The recent speeches of Fed officials tend to be hawkish. At present, traders generally bet that the Fed may restart interest rate cuts after September, but before that, gold may continue to be under pressure due to the high interest rate environment.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line lost the lifeline, and the lifeline was used as a downward pressure to find the lower track of the pattern
2. The four-hour pattern opened downward, indicating a wave of large-volume decline
3. The double lines of the hourly chart turned from support to resistance, suppressing further decline
4. In the large channel range, determine the upper track position of the channel, re-suppress the decline to find the lower track position of the channel, with a space range of about 200-300 US dollars
As shown in the figure: the middle track of the small blue channel line and the yellow large channel overlap the 3350 mark
The price fell below the middle track of the small blue channel. As time goes by, the price position reaches 3320-3330, which happens to be the pressure of the 3350 mark area and the position along the large channel line.
We are still looking at the action of holding high and breaking low, and the price will suppress the 3350 mark and fall below the lower track position of the channel at 3320 area.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3320-3330,3340-3350