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9.10 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategiesIsrael airstrikes Syria, gold price regains 2500 mark: gold price may consolidate in the short term On Monday (September 9), spot gold rebounded sharply after falling to $2485/oz, and finally closed above 2500, closing at $2506.04/oz. ,, Gold prices soared above $2500/oz on Monday as traders prepared for the release of the US August inflation report and looked for hints that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points. Gold traders ignored the overall strength of the US dollar. The US dollar index, which measures the performance of the US dollar against six currencies, rose by more than 0.30%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 73%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. At the end of the Asian market on Monday, spot gold fell to $2485.48/oz, hitting an intraday low. Gold prices then continued to rebound. As of the close of Monday, spot gold climbed $8.84, or 0.35%, to $2,506.09 per ounce. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, which provides momentum for gold prices to rebound. Israel's air strikes on central Syria on September 8 local time killed at least 14 people. The Iranian Foreign Ministry spoke out on September 9 local time, condemning the Israeli army for launching a "criminal attack" and calling on Israel's supporters to stop arming it. According to the Israeli Times, citing Syrian media reports, Israel launched a series of attacks on several areas in central Syria on the night of August 8 local time, killing at least 14 people and injuring 43 people This may become a trigger for the gold trend! How to trade gold? Gold prices resumed their upward trend and broke through $2,500 per ounce, but gold prices are still below $2,510 per ounce, and buyers seem to have failed to accumulate momentum. Momentum remains bullish, but gold may consolidate in the short term before resuming its upward trend or turning downward. The relative strength index (RSI) is almost flat, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers are in control of the situation. If gold climbs above its year-to-date high of $2,531/oz, it could push it to challenge $2,550/oz. If it breaks through the latter, the next target will be the psychological level of $2,600/oz. If gold falls below $2,500/oz, the next support level will be the August 22 low of $2,470/oz. If gold falls below $2,470/oz, the next support area will be the confluence of the May 20 high (which has turned into support) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), between $2,450-2,440/oz
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold price analysis September 10Fundamental Analysis Gold prices struggled to capitalize on yesterday’s rebound from the $2,485 support zone and attracted some selling on Tuesday. However, the commodity held above the psychological $2,500 mark during the early part of the European session as traders appeared reluctant to place directional bets ahead of this week’s US inflation figures. The key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is scheduled for release on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. The data will influence market expectations on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut later this month and provide fresh directional impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal. Heading into the key data risk, the US Dollar (USD) edged closer to the monthly high reached last week amid bearish bets for a larger Fed rate cut in September. This, coupled with a solid performance in global equity markets, is seen undermining safe-haven Gold. Despite the decline, XAU/USD remains confined within a familiar range that has been maintained for about the past three weeks, indicating hesitation among traders about the short-term trajectory. This makes it more prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to follow before positioning for the recent pullback from the vicinity of the all-time high tested after the release of the mixed US jobs report last Friday. Technical Analysis Gold is still approaching the key 2507 price zone. The European session is trying to push above this level to resume the uptrend. SELL signal in this area can be when the price pushes up in the middle of the European session and cannot break it, we SELL and hold until the US session. If the 2495 area is broken, we hold until the US session at the 2483 area. In case gold increases to 2507, we do not BUY and wait to SELL in the 2515-2517 area. The destination is the 2507-2505 area. SELL 2516 - 2518. Stoploss 2522 BUY 2485 - 2483. Stoploss 2479 BUY 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
9.10 Gold short-term operation strategyWhen will the range oscillation stop? Gold is still expected to fall back At the beginning of the Asian session on Tuesday (September 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2506.22 per ounce. Gold prices rebounded slightly on Monday, rising above the 2500 mark and closing at 2506, with a small positive on the daily line. The rebound of US Treasury yields was blocked and hovered around the 15 lows, providing gold prices with a rebound opportunity, but the rebound of the US dollar index limited the rise in gold prices. Investors are waiting for the US inflation report to provide further clues to the possible scale of the Fed's interest rate cut. The recent trend of gold is quite subtle. From mid-August to now, for almost a month, the price has been maintained in the large range of 2470-2530. It fell when it touched the top and rebounded when it touched the bottom. The range has never been broken. Last Friday's non-agricultural data only rebounded slightly and fell around 2530. The focus of this week is the CPI data on Wednesday, which is an important factor that may break the deadlock in the range. Therefore, the CPI data at the beginning of this week currently maintains the idea of ​​range oscillation. In the current volatile market, although there was a slight rebound yesterday, the rebound strength is limited. The focus of the day is the double top pressure level 2515 formed in the short term of the daily line. Today's short orders will be participated in this position, and the second is around 2530. When it reaches this position, it will be bold to participate. Focus on the support of 2480 below. If the pressure level of 2530 above has not been broken this week, the market may turn downward. Tuesday Risk Warning ☆ Today, OPEC will release the monthly crude oil market report; ☆ At 14:00, Germany will release the final value of the August CPI monthly rate; ☆ At 14:00, the UK will release the three-month ILO unemployment rate in July, the unemployment rate in August and the number of unemployment benefit applicants in August; ☆ At 18:00, the United States will release the August NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; ☆ At 0:00 the next day, EIA will release the monthly short-term energy outlook report; ☆ At 4:30 the next day, the United States will release the API crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Gold 2515SL, defense 2523, target 2500-2490 Gold 2480BY, defense 2472, target 2490-2500
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.10 Gold Short-term Technical AnalysisGold closed two cross-yin lines in a row on the weekly line. On Friday, it rose and fell, which highlighted the signal of strong short-term strength. Although the current gold price is still above the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average also forms a short-term support in the 2490 area, the upward momentum is obviously beginning to show weakness. On the whole, the weekly line, the short-term still has an advantage in the short-term, and it is likely to continue to extend the low, and it is expected to reach the 2470 area again this week. This week, we need to focus on the previous two double-needle bottoming positions around 2470. In terms of the closing of the weekly and daily lines, the downward trend is obvious, and it is expected to continue to bottom out. If the position cannot be supported, then the profit of gold shorts will definitely fall sharply. In terms of intraday operations, long orders are not considered for the time being. Short orders can be participated in the rebound near 2508 Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2508, defend 2515, target 2495-2480
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Gold price continues to go sideways - adjusting downward⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) reversed course from near-record highs and dropped below the $2,500 level after Friday's US jobs report. The mixed data lowered expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, leading to some US Dollar recovery and putting pressure on gold. However, fears of a US economic downturn and ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas kept demand for safe-haven assets like gold steady. These factors, along with the potential start of the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle, caution against a bearish outlook for XAU/USD. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price adjusts to a short-term decrease - creating more liquidity for the expectation of price increase to create a new ATH ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2465 TP1: $2480 TP2: $2490 TP3: $2500 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2512 TP1: $2498 TP2: $2490 TP3: $2480 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
7
9.9 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold fell last week, then rebounded and fell again. It was in a range of fluctuations. The lowest point of the week was 2471, the highest point was 2529, and the weekly line closed at 2497. The weekly line showed a cross star. The gold price was still in a bullish channel. The daily line showed a large range of fluctuations. The non-agricultural data on Friday was bullish, but 2530 was still blocked and fell under pressure. It once fell to 2485. In summary, this week's focus is on the gains and losses of 2530. Although the general trend is bullish, if it does not break the high, it will continue to run in a large range. In the day, the four-hour line showed a large range of fluctuations. The hourly line rebounded in the short term. The upper side first looked at 2500, and if it broke, it looked at 2510. The intraday operation idea is to rebound and fluctuate. This week's key data Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Thursday: ECB monetary policy decision, US PPI, US weekly unemployment claims Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Preliminary Value
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.9 Gold short-term operation strategyIn the early Asian session on Monday (September 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around 2496. Gold prices rose and fell last Friday, as the number of new non-agricultural jobs fell short of expectations. Gold prices once hit a three-week high of around $2529.06 per ounce, approaching the historical high, but soon gave up the gains because the unemployment rate fell and the Fed's "number three" did not send a signal of a 50 basis point rate cut to the market, causing the market to doubt the extent of the Fed's rate cut later this month. Gold's performance last Friday sounded the alarm for the market, showing that the trend in the next few weeks will be full of variables. In this context, how to deal with potential volatility will become a key issue for gold traders. Gold closed two consecutive cross-yin lines on the weekly line. On Friday, there was a wave of highs and falls, which highlighted the signal of strong short positions. Although the current gold price is still running above the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average also forms a short-term support in the 2490 area, the upward momentum is obviously beginning to show weakness. On the whole, the weekly line, the short position still has the advantage in the short term, and it is likely to continue to extend the lows. This week, it is expected to reach the 2470 area again. This week, we need to focus on the previous two double-needle bottoming positions around 2470. In terms of the weekly and daily closings, the downward trend is obvious, and it is expected to continue to bottom out. If the position cannot be supported, then the gold short position profit will definitely fall sharply. In terms of intraday operations, long orders are not considered for the time being. Short orders can be participated in the rebound near 2505 Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2505, defend 2515, target 2495-2480
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.6 Gold short-term operation strategyGold is currently priced at 2497 in the morning, so go short directly! Gold fell sharply at a high level last Friday, and the rebound of gold was not strong. Gold continued to build a high top, and the rebound was an opportunity to go short; Gold is currently priced at 2497 in the morning, so go short directly! Gold has a multiple top structure at a high level in 4 hours, and the 4-hour moving average of gold began to turn downward. Once a downward dead cross is formed, the space for gold to fall will be opened, and the decline of gold will increase. Gold rebounded weakly in the morning, and even 2500 could not be broken. The rebound was weak, so go short at 2497 first. The market changes rapidly, plan your trade, trade your plan, gold is weak and has no rebound, which is a signal of weakening, and gold continues to go short to the end. Gold is short at 2497, stop loss at 2507, target 2480-2475
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Sellers are determined not to let Gold reach a new ATH✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/9 - 9/13/2024 🔥 World situation: Gold pulled back after failing to reach the all-time high of $2,531, dropping over 0.80% late in the North American session. Uncertainty over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points in September weighed on the metal, with XAU/USD now trading at $2,493 after peaking at $2,529. The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for August missed expectations but showed improvement from July’s revised figures. The unemployment rate fell, and Average Hourly Earnings increased, adding complexity to the economic outlook. 🔥 Identify: 1 thing worth noting: 6 times the price of Gold touched the old peak area ATH 2527-2531, the price reacted very strongly. This shows that the momentum for price increase is still very strong, however, large funds and investors do not want the price of Gold to increase during this time, maybe after the interest rate cut Long-term time frames, technical aspects still show that Gold is developing stably, the main trend is Up We will soon see a new peak, a new ATH in late 2024 soon 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H2 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2505, $2530, 2559 Support : $2471, $2453 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
11
GBPUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis GBPUSD fell sharply after hitting a fresh weekly high above the 1.3200 round-figure resistance against the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's North American session. The GBP/USD pair fell as the US Dollar rebounded strongly following the US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for August. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, recovered strongly to near 101.40 after falling to near 100.60. The short-term outlook for the British currency remains upbeat recently as investors expect the BoE's policy easing cycle to be shallower than that of other central banks. The main reason behind the strong speculation of a gradual BoE easing cycle is that the economy is performing better than previously expected and the fact that inflation in the services sector remains high. In the UK economic calendar next week, investors will focus on the Employment data for the quarter ending in July and the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for July. Both of these figures could be key to determining what the BoE will decide to do with interest rates when it meets later this month. 📊Technical Analysis The NFP pullback is approaching the 1.308 support zone. The uptrend is still strong with a possible retracement to the 1.0 Fibonacci around the 1.301 zone to bounce back to wave 5 and complete the bullish wave pattern. 1.334 would be a nice Fibonacci resistance zone where we can look at the reaction to execute the SELL signals. In the opposite direction, the Dow breakout of wave 1 formed a strong support level around 1.288. The EMA 34 is gradually decreasing in slope compared to the EMA 89, showing that the market structure is leaning towards the upside but not as strong as last week. Support: 1.301-1.299 Resistance: 1.322- 1.334 🕯Trading Signals BUY GBPUSD: 1.301-1.299 Stoploss 1.297 BUY GBPUSD: 1.288-1.286 Stoploss 1.284 SELL GBPUSD 1.334-1.336 Stoploss 1.338
by TVS-Trader
9.6 Gold summaryWe have always emphasized that if gold does not break the new high, it is short. Gold maintains the idea of ​​shorting today. Gold finally fell as expected. Gold has a bumper harvest overall. Gold fell sharply from a high position. The profit was 56K and the position was closed. Gold has multiple top structures in 4 hours. The 4-hour moving average of gold is still showing signs of turning downward. The positive news of non-agricultural gold has not been able to make gold break the historical high. It seems that it is still difficult for gold to directly break the historical high in the short term. A Friday full of surprises and a perfect weekend!
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Gold: Daytrading Levels to Watch on the 15-Minute ChartKey daytrading levels are in focus on this 15-minute Gold chart. The red and green lines mark crucial areas where price may react, offering potential short-term opportunities for traders. Whether you're looking for a quick scalp or a more extended move, keep an eye on how price interacts with these lines. Curious about how these levels are identified? Feel free to ask in the comments, and follow for more chart breakdowns! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Remora_traders
Gold: Buy Opportunity on the 15-Minute ChartGold is showing a potential buy setup on the 15-minute chart, with price reacting from a red line that became support (green line—an area often associated with bullish reactions). This could be a chance to catch a move up, but as always, timing is key. Keep an eye on how the price behaves around this level for a clearer entry signal. Questions about these levels? Drop a comment and stay tuned for more updates! *Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Remora_traders
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks. Technical Analysis Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold. Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x. Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555 Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
With the Non-Farm Payrolls coming, can gold reach a new high?Gold is approaching a record high again. Will it break through tonight with the help of non-farm payrolls? The August US non-farm payrolls report will be released at 20:30 tonight. This report will directly determine whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in the September interest rate decision, and will also directly reveal whether the US economy has entered a recession as the market worries. Last month, US employment data was weak, especially the unemployment rate hit a new high since October 2021, which aroused market concerns about the US economy. This concern spread to the entire financial market, forming a chain reaction and triggering the Black Monday plunge. Fed Chairman Powell said at the August Global Central Bank Annual Meeting that he did not expect the August employment report to continue to be weak, and the September interest rate cut would not change due to the rebound in the employment market. The overly weak employment performance is not what the Fed wants to see. In addition, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States on August 21 was revised down by 810,000, which means that the employment report in the past 12 months has been beautified, and the average number of jobs has decreased by 68,000 per month. It shows that the US economic performance is not as optimistic as the market expected. Due to the downward revision of past data, non-agricultural data will not have too much water, unlike the huge monthly difference in employment data in the previous few months, which made the investment bank's forecast of employment become a decoration. This time, the market expected 160,000 employment and 4.2% unemployment rate. Last month, 114,000 employment and 4.3% unemployment rate. Tonight's non-agricultural data mainly has two aspects: 1: The data performed better than market expectations, and the number of employed people rebounded further. It must be a low probability event if it is lower than 100,000. If it is between 110,000 and 160,000, it will cause the gold price to rise first and then fall. It is not as good as expected, but it is stronger than last month. 2: The employment data continued to be weak, even lower than 114,000 last month, and the unemployment rate rose by more than 4.3%, which is bullish for gold. From another perspective, from the perspective of the US economic recession, gold may not rise. Arbitrage transactions will be sold in large quantities, dragging down panic selling of other assets, and gold is no exception. That is to say, whether the employment data performs well or poorly tonight, it should be difficult for gold to rise. Good employment performance is bearish for gold, and poor employment performance indicates a hard landing of the US economy. Wasn’t last month’s non-farm data bullish, but gold fell sharply? Therefore, today, gold should pay attention to the risk of falling back after rising. Yesterday, gold broke through 2506 and turned bullish. I also reminded that 2506 is the dividing point between long and short positions this week. If it breaks through, you can no longer have illusions. Then 2518 was reversed to 2505, and a high-altitude profit was made. Pay attention to the dividing point between long and short positions at 2530 today. After a surge upward, be careful of the short-selling counterattack with the help of non-farm data tonight! Focus on 2505 below, and the breakout will continue, but pay attention to risk control.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.6 Gold Short-Term Trading StrategySpot gold fluctuated in a narrow range in Asian trading on Friday (September 6), currently trading around 2520, holding on to most of its overnight gains. Gold prices rose to a near one-week high on Thursday as the dollar weakened and yields fell. Earlier signs of a loss of momentum in the labor market led investors to expect the Federal Reserve to make a super-large interest rate cut this month. According to a Reuters survey, job growth is expected to pick up in August, with non-farm payrolls expected to increase by 160,000 jobs that month, exceeding the 114,000 increase in July. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 4.2% in August. Gold broke the deadlock of the first three days of this week during the day. As the US dollar index fell, gold chose to break upward. After a narrow range of fluctuations around 2495 in the early trading, it began to attack around the European trading session, breaking through the key suppression level of 2500, and breaking through the 2507 high that was broken in the previous few days. The US market accelerated to 2523 with the stimulation of ADP data, and finally fell back in the short term, with the daily line closing with a large positive column. So far this week, gold has tested the bottom support of 2470 twice. It can be seen that although it reached around 2470 twice, the real K-line basically closed above 2480, which is enough to prove that the bullish buying on dips in gold is still very strong. It is expected that before the arrival of non-agricultural and interest rate cuts, gold will continue to fluctuate at a high level. In terms of intraday operations, it is still sufficient to maintain range operations. Intraday short-term operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2525, defend 2532, target 2510-2500
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.5 Gold short-term operation strategyGold lacks direction in high-range wash Yesterday's gold trend once again proved that it is in a high-range oscillation pattern. As we imagined, gold first fell to test around 2472 and then received buying support, starting a rebound rhythm. The overnight US July job vacancy report dropped sharply, stimulating gold to continue to rise to test around 2500, and it is still running at a high level. Next, the market will focus on non-agricultural employment data, and the market hopes to get information from the Federal Reserve on the extent of the interest rate cut. At present, the high-range adjustment is obvious, with support around 2475 and resistance around 2527. The pressure point to watch during the day is the 2500 mark. If we stand above this level, we will continue to look at the opportunity of 2510-20. Otherwise, there is a possibility of a pullback under pressure. There is really no good idea. It is recommended to wait and see. From the analysis chart, 2507 is a big pressure. Now it is a bottoming out. Bulls pay attention to the small support of 2488. Today we will consider long opportunities at this position. If the bulls reach 2507, consider shorting. Note that it is only considered in the Asian session. If the European and American sessions go anywhere, the position may be broken. Today's idea is that both long and short positions can be taken. It is very important to find the rhythm and position. Support is around 2471-2473, small support is 2488, pressure is 2500 and 2507, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 2493
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.5 Gold short-term operation strategy1: US debt. Since 2022, out of concern about US debt, central banks around the world have chosen to increase their gold holdings to balance the structure of foreign exchange reserves. In the past two years, the amount of gold purchased has doubled, and the scale is still expanding. 2: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates. After the interest rate cut, more US dollar liquidity will be provided to the market, and more funds will return to the gold market, which has never happened in the rise of gold in the past two years. 3: Risk hedging. As the best risk hedging tool, gold will increase significantly in asset allocation during the economic downturn. China is the largest consumer of gold. For every 10% drop in gold prices, China's gold demand will increase by 16%. Once gold falls sharply in September, the central bank may return to the market with a large number of orders. Regarding the theory of US economic recession, there have been whistleblowers one after another since August. The plunge in global stock markets on August 2 was Sam's Law, and the plunge in the Nikkei 225 index on Tuesday this week, and the decline in gold/crude oil all triggered the recession indicator of US economist Rosenberg. At this stage, the recession of the US economy is still in the imagination stage. The US August employment report will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on September 6. The market is overreacting to the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in July. Once the unemployment rate rises in August, it may trigger the reduction of arbitrage trading funds and cause market stampede. Before that, the US will release the August ADP employment data today. The previous value was 125,000, and the market estimated 145,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending August 31 will be announced at 20:30. The previous value was 231,000, which was not much different from the estimated 230,000. This is just the appetizer. The hard dish is the US non-farm employment data on Friday. Last month, the global market avalanche was triggered by the non-farm data. The sharp decline in non-farm data last month should be bullish for gold, but the market trend suddenly turned from the expected Fed rate cut to the US economic recession, causing indiscriminate panic selling. This time everyone's eyes are on the non-farm data. Today, we will pay more attention to the changes in the technical structure. The data only serves as a guide. Emotions will be reflected in the price in advance. On Wednesday, the gold price accelerated its decline in the European session, falling from a low of $2495 to $2471, a drop of nearly $25, but the continuity was extremely poor. The US session recovered and returned to the $2500 line. In recent times, the gold price has been on a roller coaster ride, and basically there is little continuity. After a sharp drop, there is a sharp rise, and after a sharp rise, there is a sharp drop. This morning, the price was at $2498. After the rebound in the US session last night, it closed above the support point of 2491. The upper pressure is still collectively at $2507. The break of this position will temporarily end this round of small-scale adjustment. From the 1-hour structure, the price rebounded after two dips to the 2470 USD line, forming a staged double bottom. There are two positions above that are of particular interest. One is the 2500 USD line with the pressure of 2507 USD as the boundary, that is, to hold 2506-07 and continue the weak shock. The support below is 2491. Only when it is lost here can it be opened for the second time. In addition, if the rebound is strong and breaks through 2507 USD, the rebound will further continue to the range of 2512-14. The rebound here should pay attention to the decline after the rapid pullback. Don't chase the market in the past few days. If you see a rise, you will have more callbacks. If you see a fall, you will often be shorted. If you see a rise, you will look for pressure positions to go short. If you see a fall, you will look for support positions to go long. Don't treat the box shock as a unilateral one. Therefore, my idea for gold today is to continue to look for a decline with 2507 Qingyuan as the pressure. First, pay attention to 2492 below, followed by 2485 USD and 2485 USD. The formation of this unilateral market will be postponed to the non-agricultural data tomorrow night or the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on September 17. Before that, it will mainly be a roller coaster wash.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1