9.5 Gold short-term operation strategy9.4 Two consecutive profitable orders
Gold 1-hour oscillating downward trend, gold rebound high points successively lower, gold 1-hour moving average dead cross short diverge downward, moving average resistance now moves down to around 2495. Gold rebounded around 2493 in the afternoon, you can continue to short
Goldprice
78 Close the position with a profit of 13 points. Look for the s1: Fundamentals, the market is waiting for data, and the trend of waiting for data is very obvious. The Asian market is basically dominated by fluctuations; waiting for European market data, because the data will wash the market, and pierce, the trend of hitting stop loss makes the account and trading very difficult;
We can only wait for the data for 1-2 hours to see whether the market is stable,
2: Technical aspects:
A: In the small cycle, 1 hour, 30 minutes, it tends to the range of 2480-2500. In the range, you can take 2500-2495 short, and the following 2480-2485 range is long, and do small ranges;
B: 4 hours, the pattern oscillates downward, and the indicator oscillates upward. This is a contradiction. To solve this contradictory signal, there is only a wash up and down, and finally a certain degree of direction; 2470 is currently a double support, buying support, and will not break for the time being; unless capital selling knocks out the long buying at 2470;
C: In the daily K, the indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish signal, so short selling can be adopted, but 2470 has not been broken, and it needs external stimulation to break 2470; the high point pressure in the short term is around 2530, which is also the watershed position of the trend;
To sum up: short-term intraday short-term small range 2500-2495 short, 2480-2485 range long; US market 8:30 data, it is recommended to avoid; avoid risks, let the trend go by itself, there will be data on Thursday and Friday; after this week, the trend will be clear; in the vague trend, it is not recommended to force and force long and short exchanges
9.4 Gold short-term operation strategyGold 2480 broke as expected.
The US dollar rose 0.26% during the week, hitting a two-week high of 101.9. Affected by the surge in the US dollar index, the price of gold hit a new low of more than a week to around 2473 yesterday. However, the poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data dragged down the US bond yields, providing support for the gold price. It rebounded slightly in the late trading, and the daily line closed with a small negative column with a long upper and lower lead.
The market is waiting for the US non-farm employment data, which may determine the scale of the possible interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting.
After the US holiday on Monday, gold finally broke out on Tuesday, breaking through 2480 all the way during the session and reaching the 2473 line. As we said, the market reached 2480. The 2502 short order given yesterday was basically the highest short order of the day, and once won 22 points of profit.
The recent market is actually a market for making money. As long as gold rebounds, you can short it. The current price is more stimulated by the news, and it will not be supported for long. At present, 2480 has been broken. The area of 2473-74 is a strong support. If it breaks down, it will go to the 2460 line. Based on the current trend, there is still a high probability. The 4-hour trend shows that the downward channel has been opened. If it rebounds around 2500 today, you can participate in short orders.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2505, defend at 2513, target 2490-2480
Buy at 2480, defend at 2473, target 2500-2505
9.4 Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe U.S. market broke the bottom and reversed, with three negative daily lines, and the price completely broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
2490 did not hold, but this decline was not restless either.
1. They all fell first in the Asian market.
2. The European market is still rebounding and rising, forming an illusion of support.
3. The U.S. market fell 6-8 points before the intraday low, and the drop at this point basically determined the U.S. market to retreat.
4. The U.S. market continued to counterattack the 2502 line, which was considered a shock. It broke the intraday decline and rebounded 618, and also broke the top-bottom conversion level.
5. After the US market broke through the bottom, the difference was slightly 2470-1, the previous low.
6. It pulled back upward in the early morning, touching the intraday drop of 618 at the 2494 line.
From this we can see several points:
(1), it fell in a cycle in the morning.
(2) Oscillating retracement, the strength of the rebound is also OK. Although the decline is large, it can be closed up, and it is not an extremely weak decline.
(3) The daily rhythm is three Yin, reaching the edge of the maximum correction. Today's market should turn positive. This pattern, if there is a swallowing decline, the overall weakness will be weak, but this constitutes that it should still be a bull wash.
Therefore, in terms of operation:
You can get rid of the cycle and bet on the retracement first. The resistance level is 2492, which is the 618 position of yesterday's decline and rebound. If it breaks 2502, it will lose money and look at the 2483-4 line.
Pay attention to two points: if it falls in the morning, you should sell in the afternoon.
In addition, if the morning does not fall to the target level, it will break the high in the afternoon and the short will be evacuated.
There will be a cycle in the afternoon, and the European session will rise.
If the cycle in the afternoon is stuck, if it touches the 2483-4 line, it will be long, and the loss will be 73. Look for the intraday European session to pull up. The extreme retracement long position is 2481.5, which is the 618 position of the rebound and rise. But if the market resists the decline in the morning, it will be more aggressive in the afternoon, and the market will be above 2500.
$2500 large accumulation price zone! XAU decrease⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped on Tuesday due to a stronger US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields. However, expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in September could support gold, as lower rates reduce the cost of holding non-yielding assets. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may boost demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Looking ahead, the ISM Manufacturing PMI is set to be released on Tuesday, and the key focus will be on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for August, which could influence the Fed's rate decision and impact gold prices in the near term.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices enter September with high expectations for volatility and new price increases. Correction to reach new ATH continues this year
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2465
TP1: $2480
TP2: $2495
TP3: $2510
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2509 - $2511 SL $2514 scalping
TP1: $2504
TP2: $2498
TP3: $2490
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2527 - $2529 SL $2534
TP1: $2520
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD SELL Idea | $2480-2435 expected- Gold prices remained close to their recent all-time highs last week, driven by strong market sentiment and expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. This optimism follows comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who suggested a potential policy shift, fueling speculation that the Fed may reduce rates by 25 basis points, with some possibility of a 50-basis-point cut. This expectation has been a key factor in sustaining gold’s rally.
- On Friday, gold prices experienced a slight decline due to profit-taking after the release of U.S. inflation data. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which rose by 0.2% in July, met expectations and confirmed that inflation is no longer the Fed's main concern. Instead, the Fed is focusing on unemployment and economic growth, with revised Q2 GDP growth of 3% and declining jobless claims reducing fears of a recession.
- Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East with the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, have also increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Central banks have continued to purchase gold, further supporting prices, with some analysts predicting that gold could approach $3,000 by the end of the year.
- Looking ahead, the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report will be crucial in determining the Fed's next move. A weaker-than-expected jobs report could increase the likelihood of a larger rate cut, potentially driving gold prices higher. However, traders should be cautious of potential risks, such as weak physical demand in major Asian markets like China and the fact that many investors are already heavily positioned in gold, which could limit further gains.
Gold falls below 2500 !! XAU ! 9/2/24XAU / USD trend forecast September 2, 2024
Protests erupted across Israel after the military recovered the bodies of six hostages allegedly killed by Hamas in Gaza. Israel's largest labor union has called for a nationwide strike, threatening to shut down the entire economy on Monday. Meanwhile, China's NBS Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.1 in August from 49.54 in July, missing expectations of 49.5, while Non-Manufacturing PMI improved slightly to 50.3 from 50.2, surpassing forecasts of 50.0. In the US, the PCE Price Index increased by 2.5% year-over-year in July, slightly below market expectations of 2.6%.
Sideway below 2500 is a good signal for Gold in the near future, waiting for interest rate cut in September 2024
Based on M30, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2508-2510
SL: 2516
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2480)
Safe and profitable trading
9.3 Gold short-term operation strategyAt the beginning of the Asian session on Tuesday (September 3), spot gold 4 hovered below the 2500 mark and is currently trading around 2495 US dollars per ounce. Due to the strengthening of the US dollar, the price of gold fell to the lowest point in more than a week near 2489 on Monday, but then rebounded to around 2507 yuan and closed at 2499, with a small negative column with upper and lower leads on the daily line.
During the US holiday, the overall volatility of gold was small yesterday, and the intraday short-term was still dominated by fluctuations. Although the gold price fell below the 2493 support during the day, it quickly recovered, but the rebound strength was still weak, especially the hourly line. After a small rebound in the white plate, it fell all the way, with basically no rebound strength. In the morning, it came to 2495 again. This trend, from the perspective of the day, will definitely continue to decline, and 2480 is expected to be reached.
Gold is now in a multiple top structure above, and the trend of the hourly line is obviously falling. The gold short has not ended yet. The rebound of gold is an opportunity for the short. Gold is now building a top structure. Once formed, the decline of gold has just begun. Today, we are still shorting near the rebound of 2505, which is the starting point of the hourly line decline.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at 2505, defense 2512, target 2490-2480
9.3 Gold short-term operation strategyGold fluctuates to welcome non-farm payrolls
Gold fell in the Asian session on Monday, rebounded in the European session in the afternoon, rebounded slightly in the US session in the evening, closed early in the morning, and finally made profits twice. The daily line closed with a small cross Yin pattern. The daily line has been mainly oscillating in recent times
Gold bottomed out and rebounded in the Asian session on Tuesday. The 4H closed with a small Yin at 10 o'clock. From the current pattern, gold still has the momentum to fall. In terms of operation, pay attention to the 2480-2482 range. Go long for the first time it touches and look for a rebound. Other positions are arranged on the spot.
Today's PMI data will also be focused on
On September 3, the upward point is 2480-2482, long, protect 2474, and target 2490, 2498
Downward point is 2510-2512, short, protect 2515, target 2500 2495
9.2 Gold short-term operation strategyGold fluctuates, short-term bullish ideas remain unchanged
Today is currently successful. Due to the Labor Day in the United States, the market fluctuates in the range of 2490-2508. Go long in the morning and leave with a profit of 4 points. In terms of trend, the overall trend is still short-term bullish. After falling back, it stands on 2500 again. Bulls are dominant. Short-term bullish operations are still in place. Go long around 2496, stop loss at 2488, and stop profit at 2508-2516. Pay attention to risks.
Trading ideas: Go long around 2496, stop loss at 2488, and profit at 2508/2516
The above suggestions are for reference only and are not used as a basis for trading
EURUSD Analysis week 36🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD continued to fall sharply on Friday, extending its decline into a third straight day and dragging Fiber down to 1.1050 to close the trading week. EU inflation figures released on Friday morning failed to impress anyone in particular, and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index did not deviate too far from forecasts, leading the broader market to bet on a rate cut heading into the Federal Reserve’s next rate call on September 18.
With the PCE inflation data out and offering no warning signs, the way has been opened for next week’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) print, one of the last major economic data points that stand in the way of the Fed and markets clamoring for a rate cut. Next week will also open on a low note, with US exchanges expected to remain closed for the Labor Day holiday. Several Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) releases are also scattered throughout the trading week.
📊Technical Analysis
EURUSD remains in an uptrend, with a pullback over the weekend that could be a stepping stone for further gains in the coming days. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 is sloping sharply higher than the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is tilted to the upside with the most recent trading range around the support of 1.100 and the resistance of 1.127. With the pullback after meeting strong resistance as analyzed last week, the pair is still entering a strong growth phase. The upside slide could revisit the two-year high around 1.146 and the deepest, most reliable support level next week is placed by investors around 1.090 to prevent the pair from sliding too sharply.
Resistance: 1.128-1.146
Support: 1.100-1.090
🕯Trading Signal
SELL EURUSD zone: 1.127-1.129 Stoploss 1.131
BUY EURUSD zone 1.100-1.098 Stoploss 1.096
GBPUSD analysis week 36 🌐Fundamental Analysis
The British Pound (GBP) extended its two-day losing streak and hit a fresh intraday low below 1.3150 against the US Dollar (USD) in the North American session on Friday. The GBP/USD pair failed to gain as the US Dollar strengthened following the release of weaker-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, surged above 101.50.
The impact of PCE inflation data is traditionally high as it is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure for making interest rate decisions. This time, the impact of core inflation data is expected to remain limited to market speculation on the Fed’s rate cut path this year.
Currently, financial market participants expect that the Fed will almost certainly start cutting interest rates in September. However, signs of rigidity in price pressures from PCE inflation data have reduced bets supporting the Fed to start a strong policy easing cycle.
📊Technical analysis
As analyzed last week, GBPUSD has retreated when it reached a strong resistance zone. The retreat may continue next week to attract buyers to push the price up further. In fact, GBPUSD is in a strong uptrend. On the D1 time frame, the EMA 34 is sloping up sharply compared to the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is leaning towards the upside, the retreat is only pushing the price up in the near future. The nearest trading range is around 1,300-1,327. These are two strong resistance and support zones and also the price range where investors can enter orders. With a perfect retracement it is possible to push the price to the old peak around 1.342 and the strongest retracement is supported at 1.284.
Resistance: 1.327-1.342
Support: 1.300-1.284
🕯Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.327-1.329 Stoploss 1.331
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.300-1.298 Stoploss 1.296
GOLD H1 Analysis: Two Different Perspectives GOLD: Two Different Perspectives
Yesterday, I provided a broader time frame perspective on GOLD and detailed why it might move down again.
Given the market’s lack of clear direction, we should remain cautious as the price evolves.
This time, I am sharing my opinion on two possible scenarios, acknowledging that traders have different perspectives and the price is at a critical juncture.
Bearish Scenario:
The price is testing a strong zone near 2530 for the fourth time, as seen in the chart. If this zone holds, we could see GOLD moving down to 2504. A move below 2504 could push the price further down to 2483.
Bullish Scenario:
A move above 2530 today could push the price up to 2550, which might become the next resistance zone where we could see potential bearish momentum again.
However, I am more focused on the bearish move, as I have explained my opinion several times.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Final fall? Bitcion Review #BTCAfter the last fall, you entered the zone of interest. Now, we are likely to go to the white box, from which we will see the final movement down and the subsequent impulse with the renewal of new tops or without dipping into the zone of 54-56k.
I look at the market extremely positively.
-Because everything is down right now -
Altcoins
-We've held the Bitcoin level.
-In a few days, it's September.
-Markets rise on fear.
Best regards @Forexcryptowithjohn
XAU cannot break ATH - correction down to 2500 areaXAU / USD trend forecast August 30, 2024
Russia launched multiple air strikes on Ukraine this week, costing Moscow around £1.1 billion. At the same time, Ukraine has cautioned that it is closely monitoring its border with Belarus following a recent buildup of troops there, according to Sky News.
The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 3.0% in the second quarter (Q2), as reported by the Department of Commerce in its second estimate released on Thursday. This figure exceeded both the forecasts and the initial estimate of 2.8%.
Additionally, US weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending August 24 fell to 231,000 from 233,000 in the prior week, coming in below the market expectation of 232,000.
September is an opportunity for the financial market: BTC, XAU increases strongly, Gold price needs to accumulate more, the target is to adjust down to the 2500 area.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2527-2530
SL: 2535
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2500)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold next move (weekly forecast)(02-06 Sep-2024)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Immediate resistance- 2520-2525
Immediate support- 2499-2504
last cluster of support area- 2490-94
Potential resistance- 2545-2550
Swing range -2460-2465
if price breaks the last cluster of support i.e. 2490-2494, then price may approach to the swing area 2460-2465.
if price breaks the immediate resistance than, then price may break the All Time High and approach to potential resistance i.e. 2545-2550
Anup 'BIAS for the week (02-06 Sep-2024)
Current price- 2503
"if Price stays above 2490-2493, then next target is 2522, 2532 and 2545 and below that 2465-2470."
Advise-
if price reject from the 2520-2525 area and approach to 2500-2505 area, that will be the good zone for buying.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Asian session volatility August 30Gold prices lost momentum amid a stronger US dollar on Friday. Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims pushed back expectations of a deeper interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September, weighing on non-yielding bullion. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal.
Gold could be pushed higher as the European session begins. Look for buy zones around 09-07 or 03-01. Further trading strategies will be updated soon.
Attempt to break ATH XAU at the end of August 2024 ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
However, the rising demand for the US Dollar (USD) could pressure Gold prices, as a stronger USD makes Gold more expensive for buyers. Investors will be watching Thursday's second estimate of US GDP for Q2 to gauge the potential size and timing of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut. On Friday, attention will shift to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still continuing sideways in the price range of 2480 - 2530, stabilizing liquidity in this area. NOVA thinks it will take time until early September for gold to continue to create a new ATH this year.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2485 - $2483 SL $2478
TP1: $2490
TP2: $2500
TP3: $2510
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2548 - $2550 SL $2555
TP1: $2530
TP2: $2515
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD:29/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2525/2550, support below 2494
Gold operation suggestions: Gold's downward momentum last night was very strong, but the energy of the early morning rebound was also relatively strong. At present, the low point of the medium-term trend of the gold hourly line has been in a continuous downward stage. The disk shows a trajectory of weak and oscillating decline, but it began to stabilize and rebound near 2493 yesterday. At present, the Asian session broke through the moving average pressure level and attacked 2521, and it is very close to the upper pressure level of 2526-2528! Need to wait patiently!
Judging from the current trend of gold, the upper pressure remains around 2525-50, and the lower support remains around 2490-2494. Before the lower level fails to break, there may still be a period of range oscillation in the short term, and gold rebounds. If there is no breakthrough near 2525-30, you can go short.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY:2500near SL:2494
SELL:2528near SL:2533
⚠️The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold Analysis August 29Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices recovered some of their losses on Thursday after bouncing off a weekly low below $2,500. Expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut could boost demand for gold as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. In addition, the current political uncertainty in the U.S., geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and global economic concerns have contributed to the rise in the precious metal.
On the other hand, renewed demand for U.S. dollars could weigh on gold, which is priced in dollars, as it makes gold more expensive for most buyers. Investors will be closely watching Thursday’s second estimate of U.S. second-quarter (Q2) gross domestic product for more information on the size and pace of the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts. On Friday, the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July will be in focus.
Technical Analysis
In the Swiss session, gold pushed to the 2416 zone when it failed to break the resistance level of 2521. Considering that the European session can push back above 2551, we can consider retest buy orders and keep the buy order if the 2421 zone is broken. If the European session cannot push above 2421, we can SELL to the 2511 zone and catch BUY again around 11-09 when the session fails to break this zone and keep the order until the end of the US session. In case of a break on 11-09, we wait for support zones to buy scalp such as 2503-2495 and buy strongly when the price reaches 2585.
SELL zone 2527 - 2525 stoploss 2531
SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554
BUY zone 2510 - 2508 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480