Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward.
The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis.
From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150.
In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290.
Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
Goldprice
GOLD(1H)📌 Gold Analysis (XAU/USD) - Key 1H Levels
🔍 Critical Zones:
▫️ Resistance: $3265
▫️ Support: $3120
▫️ Trend: Short-term bullish above $3120
⚡️ Trading Plan:
• Entry Zone: $3120-$3155
• Target: $3325 | SL: $3120
• Risk: Max 1% capital
💬 Engagement:
"Which scenario do you think is more likely?
1) Break above $3348
2) Rejection from $3320
Comment your answer! ↓"
GOLD → Correction & The decline will continueGold is trading below major resistance zones: Bearish Bias Below Key Levels
Price recently rejected this zone multiple times, forming lower highs and showing bearish momentum.
📉 Idea: Sell
📍 Sell Zone: $3,245–$3,250
📍 Sell Zone: $3,265–$3,270
Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above $3,270.
Comment below your thoughts. Thank you.
It’s the right time to shortUS President Trump recently criticized Fed Chairman Powell again, calling him "slow to act" and emphasizing that the Fed should cut interest rates as soon as possible to support the economy. Trump believes that delaying interest rate cuts may lead to the risk of recession in the US economy, but the Fed still takes inflation and employment data as the core of decision-making, and the two sides have obvious differences in policy positions.
At present, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed and the magnitude has been reduced. Coupled with the expectation of rising US bond yields, the gold market sentiment has weakened. The world's largest gold ETF recently reduced its holdings by 8.98 tons to 918.73 tons, reflecting the cooling of institutions' short-term bullish enthusiasm for gold. Technically, gold prices continued to weaken after breaking through key support last week, and the weekly closing was negative, suggesting that shorts were dominant; the daily level was constrained by the 20-day moving average, and the volatile downward trend may continue in the short term. Focus on the 3250-3265 line resistance during the day. If it cannot break through, the $3,200 mark below may face a test.
Gold recommendation: short sell when it rebounds to 3245-3252 range. Target 3230-3220.
XAUUSD:Short mainly
Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline.
Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150.
This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band.
↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
Gold Price Targets Fresh GainsGold Price Targets Fresh Gains
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,210 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,120 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,120 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $3,150 level.
The bulls cleared the $3,200 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains.
Immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low at $3,260.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 level. An upside break above the $3,295 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,350. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,385 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,210 zone. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210. If there is a downside break below the $3,210 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,155 support. The next major support sits at $3,120. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,060 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Alert: Short-Term Drop Ahead?🔴Trump’s Tariffs Eased, but U.S. Recession Risk Doubles!
Although President Trump has temporarily de-escalated trade tensions—helping U.S. stocks rebound—the risk of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months has doubled, according to a survey by the Philadelphia Fed, rising from 15.4% to 37%.
Experts warn that prolonged uncertainty from the trade war is making businesses and consumers more cautious, increasing the risks of slower growth and rising unemployment.
The U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down to just 1.4%, the lowest in 16 years (excluding the pandemic). Meanwhile, public sentiment has slightly improved, thanks to signs of a temporary easing from the Trump administration.
⚠️ Gold price has recovered in the European session, returning to the old peak area, trading sideways around 3250. Bearish pressure continues to build. This is a signal traders need to watch closely.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU: zone 3248-3251 scalping
💰 TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pis
🚨 SL: 3254
Gold price outlook: short term increase📝 NEWS
Gold Prices Rise as Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
- Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over high public debt and unsustainable fiscal spending.
- The move boosted demand for safe-haven assets, leading to a weaker U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields.
- Spot gold prices rose 0.5% to $3,217.49/oz, while June gold futures gained 1% to $3,220.17/oz.
- Other precious metals also saw modest gains:
- Silver +0.5% to $32.530/oz
- Platinum +0.1% to $991.50/oz
Market Outlook
- In the coming week, the market will closely watch a busy U.S. economic calendar, including:
- Speeches from Federal Reserve officials
- Preliminary PMI data
- Key housing indicators
- These events are expected to influence short-term monetary policy expectations.
Technical View: Gold Poised to Continue Rising
⚠️ Gold is expected to continue its upward trend amid rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with little progress in ongoing tariff negotiations.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
🚨 SELL XAU : zone 3247-3250
SL: 3255
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips
🚨 BUY XAU : zone 3188-3191
SL: 3183
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips
XAUUSDHello traders!
I’m sharing what may be your first trade of the week. This setup comes from the XAUUSD pair. I currently see a Buy opportunity in Gold, and the trade is already active on my side.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3223.82
✔️ Take Profit: 3237.39
✔️ Stop Loss: 3214.78
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking, based on my own methodology. It is intended purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading:
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
Gold Analysis.... This 1-hour chart of XAU/USD illustrates a key decision point, showing a possible breakout above resistance or rejection and continuation to the downside. Notable features include:
CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) points signaling previous shifts in market direction.
Sellside liquidity area marked where orders may have been swept.
Price currently trading near $3,180.91, just below a resistance zone.
Blue arrows indicate possible bullish move toward $3,240+ or bearish continuation to $3,125, marked as a Weak Low.
Gold Price Trading Around 3,200 Points
📌 Gold Information
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Asian trading hours on Monday as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing concerns about the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound follows Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing debt and the burden of interest payments. This follows previous downgrades by Fitch and Standard & Poor's in 2023 and 2011, respectively. Moody's now forecasts that the US federal debt will surge to around 134% of GDP by 2035 from 98% in 2023, due to ballooning debt servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and shrinking tax revenues - all of which have heightened investor concerns and provided new support for gold prices.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price fluctuated around 3200 at the beginning of the week. There was not much news and it continued to go sideways.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3259-3261 SL 3266
TP1: $3250
TP2: $3240
TP3: $3230
🔥Buy gold area: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185
TP1: $3200
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3220
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How to layout in the battle between long and short positionsGold surged directly at the opening, which is in line with our analysis expectations. We gave a short position near 3240-45. As expected, gold fell to the 3230 line for profit. There is great pressure from above and limited space above. Up to now, it has been fluctuating near 3220. For gold, we are now focusing on the short-term support of 3200-06. If it breaks through this position, it is very likely to go to the 3175-90 line.
From the current trend analysis, today's support continues to focus on 3170-80, strong support 3150, and upper pressure 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, you must watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will notify you of the specific operation strategy in time and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3240-50, target 3230-3220. Pay attention to the support of 3202 and 3175 below, and go long according to the strength of the decline!
Gold is rising strongly? Beware of a sharp rise to the high poinThe US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from AAA to Aa1; affected by this, gold opened sharply higher in the Asian market on Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
However, 3250 is not the high point at present, and it is only warming up in the Asian market. The important thing should be in the European and American markets. Such a major breaking news must be seen in the US stock market.
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. It is not ruled out that the Asian market will continue to fluctuate sideways in the short term, but I think it will still rise. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
From the 4-hour chart:
This K line is very strong. Once this K line closes above 3230, the highest high point can be seen from the 4-hour chart here.
Judging from the current trend, I think the gold price is bullish as long as it is above 3200 in the Asian market. The lowest price in the Asian market in the morning retreated to around 3210, so it is not known whether it will retreat to around 3200.
Then, for the short-term strategy, you can go long around 3210, with 3200 as the stop loss position. As long as the upper target stands at 3250, you can continue to see the profit range of 3280-3300.
XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140):
The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows).
The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move.
2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250):
This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls.
The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation.
3. Target Point (~3,375):
The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line.
This is likely the main target for a swing trade.
4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221):
Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance.
A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation.
5. RSI Indicator (~41):
RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion:
This is a bullish reversal setup with:
Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140
Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250
Final target: ~3,375
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
---
1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
---
2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
---
3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
---
4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
---
5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD forecast for this week (19th May 2025)Recent candlestick patterns, coupled with supportive evidence from technical indicators (RSI, ADX, parabolic SAR), underscore that XAUUSD has transitioned into a corrective phase after peaking near $3,500. Major catalysts over the past week—including the U.S.–China 90-day tariff pause, softer U.S. inflation data (CPI, PPI), and strong dollar moves—have eroded safe-haven flows, pushing gold into a short-term descending channel. While Asian physical demand around $3,120–$3,200 provides intermittent support, the likelihood of dipping back into the $3,100–$3,150 zone remains high.
Support & Resistance levels for tomorrow (19th May 2025):
$3,265–3,275 Resistance 2
$3,250 Resistance 1
$3,150–3,160 support 1
$3,120 support 2
I am expecting a continuation of the modest bearish bias into the upcoming Asian session, there is a 60% probability to a bearish continuation and 40% to a bullish rebound. Traders should monitor the $3,150-3160 support area closely—any decisive break below there could open the path toward $3,120 and ultimately $3,000
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary:
At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up.
The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend.
Technical analysis:
Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis:
I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
GOLD📊 XAU/USD Weekly Analysis
📅 May 18, 2025
🔍 Key Levels:
▫️ Sell Zone: $3330-3367
▫️ Major Resistance: $3415
▫️ Current Price: $3203
▫️ Target: $2956
⚡️ Scenario:
• Wait for pullback to sell zone
• Sell ONLY with confirmation
⚠️ Warning:
• US rating cut (Moody's) → Potential bullish gap Monday
📌 Risk Management:
• Stop Loss: $3380
• Max Risk: 1% capital
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context:
Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical.
🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW:
Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF
Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces
Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed
📍 SNIPER ZONES
Type Price Range Description
🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone
🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply
🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone
🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency
🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base
🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection
🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity
🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket
🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion
⚠️ Notes:
Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term.
Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980.
Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow.
🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps
🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯”
🧠 Market Overview:
Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers.
Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend.
→ We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins.
🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW
🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH
🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB
🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly
📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED)
🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence)
🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace
🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill
🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone
RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only)
Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations
🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK)
Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data
Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
→ Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive.
🧭 DAILY PLAN
🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172
🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270
❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap
🧠 Final Thoughts:
You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops.
You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode.
🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans
💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
Gold forecast for next week
Before the fishermen went out to sea, they didn't know where the fish were? But they still chose to go because they believed they would return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you insist on believing. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold next week!
Gold continued its downward trend on Friday. In the morning, there was another long-short wash and returned to the 3200 mark. The daily line closed with a small negative line. Then we have to consider a problem now, that is, whether the daily line will form a continuous decline. In the daily rhythm, we can see that the position of the high point has been declining, which means that after the top resistance level of the three-point line is blocked, it is easy to form a secondary turning point of the trend downward, which means that next week we still have to look at the retracement.
As for the future market direction, the short-term bearish trend will continue to be the theme! On the whole, the gold price rebounded in 4 hours and made a backtest. If the rebound does not break the resistance, it will continue to fall, and the direction of the decline will continue! After the short turning point turned downward from the high point, the current short trend is still extending downward, that is to say, before the short reaches the key node and the long builds a bottom, the rebound is still the main rhythm!
Gold: Enter short orders near 3212 next week, defend 22, and target 3180-60!
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook | May 19–23, 2025“Sniper Zones Reloaded – Gold Pullback Season or Just a Tease?”
🔍 Macro View:
Gold just closed a massive -3.6% weekly candle off the top at 3435 — a clear sign of rejection from a premium exhaustion zone. After weeks of uninterrupted bullish madness, we finally have signs of cooling. But is it the start of a deeper correction or just Friday’s fade?
➤ Dollar Strength picked up again after UoM Sentiment miss + sticky inflation expectations.
➤ FOMC minutes (Wed) + Unemployment Claims (Thu) = the potential catalysts for the next impulsive leg.
🔄 Weekly Market Structure:
✅ BOS to the upside still valid – no CHoCH printed yet on W1
📍Current candle printed a clear top wick rejection after liquidity sweep
🕳️ Internal structure on LTFs is bearish – signaling potential deeper pullback
🧭 Key Weekly Zones (Sniper-Ready):
Zone Type Price Range Description
🔻 Supply #1 3435–3465 Premium FVG top + rejection wick
🔻 Supply #2 3285–3320 Imbalance left behind on the last push up
🔻 Sell Zone 3210–3240 Mitigated OB, possible retest
🟩 Buy Zone #1 3095–3120 Weekly FVG + Fibo 38.2 retrace
🟩 Buy Zone #2 2980–3030 Unmitigated demand block, old resistance turned demand
🟩 Buy Zone #3 2850–2890 Weekly CHoCH zone & deep Fibo retrace
📈 Fibonacci Extensions (from last major HL–HH):
FE 100% = 3435 ✅ hit
FE 127% = 3580 (remains next upside target IF retracement holds at key support)
FE 161.8% = 3720 (only if we reclaim 3435 cleanly)
🔺 Weekly Bias:
Short-Term: Bearish pullback (especially early week if no bullish LTF CHoCH)
Mid-Term: Bullish continuation still valid if 3090–3120 holds
🧠 Key Notes:
Expect trap zones and tricky NY opens if no clean confirmation
3210 = likely re-entry point for bears if price retraces
3090–3120 = key defensive line for bulls; invalidation of this = possible slide to 2980
If 3435 gets swept again with strength and closes above → bullish continuation unlocked
🧨 High-Impact Risk Events – This Week
📅 Thu, May 22
📉 Unemployment Claims – 2:30pm
📊 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI – 3:45pm
🏠 Existing Home Sales – 4:00pm
📅 Fri, May 23
📊 New Home Sales – 4:00pm
📑 FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
📌 Gold Weekly Outlook – “Sniper Zones Reloaded 🔫”
After weeks of pure bullish momentum, gold finally showed signs of exhaustion with a clean weekly rejection from the premium zone.
Is this the start of a real pullback? Or just another fakeout to shake out retail before continuation?
We’ve mapped the structure:
🟥 3435 is the stronghold
🟩 3090 is the battlefield
With Unemployment Claims, PMIs, and housing data lined up this week, expect volatility — but don’t force entries.
Trade light. Stay patient. Let the sniper setup come to you. 🎯
🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper-level breakdowns
💬 Drop your bias below — correction or continuation? 👇