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Analysis of gold market trend on August 15 (Thursday)From a long-term perspective, there is a lot of room for gold to rise! Yesterday's CPI data was lower than expected. Gold was slightly bullish but plummeted 1% from a peak of 2476 to 2437 and closed at 2447. In early trading today, gold fluctuated within a narrow range, with slight signs of recovery compared to yesterday. It is currently fluctuating at 2453. In addition, there are several factors that you must consider! 1 Political situation in the Middle East: Tensions between Iran and Israel may have eased recently, and conflicts between Ukraine and Russia may further intensify. 2 The U.S. interest rate cut in September is a certainty, whether it will be 25% or 50% The motivation for gold’s rise today on the daily chart is a bit lacking Support level 2448 2438 2420 Resistance level 2460 2467 2480
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
8.14 Gold Market AnalysisThe market trend is well controlled and the market ends perfectly. The CPI annual interest rate report just released is lower than expected, which is a positive for gold. However, gold has fallen sharply, which is beyond the expectations of most people! This also confirms my previous guess that if the resistance point of 2480 is not broken, gold will fall all the way. I will short sell decisively in the later stage and leave the market perfectly. Today's profit is 7000+
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
Gold Price Analysis. August 2024. Today, gold is trading near the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Traditionally, this level acts as a critical resistance point, and most oscillators would suggest the market is overbought, signaling a potential selling opportunity. However, the situation may be more complex than it appears. Above the current price, two significant levels loom: the historical high and the psychologically important $2,500 per ounce mark. From a market behavior perspective, which often seems designed to lead retail traders astray, it would not be surprising to see a false bullish breakout above these levels. Such a move could trigger FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) buying among investors and force sellers to close their positions via stop-loss orders. This scenario could be exacerbated by a spike in volatility, driven by geopolitical tensions or today’s critical U.S. inflation data (with further significant reports expected tomorrow). Cycle Analysis by Fintechzoom An overlay of active gold price cycles presents a projection line (shown in red), indicating a potential peak on Friday, followed by a downturn. Given this outlook, it would not be surprising if we witness an attempt to breach the historical high within the next 10 days. Gold Price Forecasts Analysts, including those from Commerzbank, suggest that a new record high for gold is likely, as inflation data could provide additional momentum. Strategists at JPMorgan have set a year-end target of $2,500 for gold in 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fintechzoom
Gold price analysis August 14Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some follow-through selling for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and moved further away from the monthly peaks retested earlier this week. A generally positive tone around equity markets dampened demand for the safe-haven precious metal, although geopolitical tensions stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East helped limit losses. In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, bolstered by signs of continued subdued inflation, acted as a catalyst for non-yielding gold prices. Traders also appeared reluctant to place positive bets, preferring to wait for further cues on the Fed’s policy path. As a result, the market’s focus remained on US consumer inflation data. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the recent bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support and the positive oscillators on the daily chart favor the bullish traders. Therefore, any meaningful decline can still be viewed as a buying opportunity and remains limited. Gold prices appear to be preparing to retest the record high, around the $2,483-2,484 region and target the psychological $2,500 mark. Sustained strength above the latter would mark a fresh breakout through the wider trading range maintained over the past month or so and set the stage for a further near-term upside move. On the downside, the $2,450-2,448 resistance level now looks to protect the immediate downside, below which gold could slide back to the weekly lows around the $2,424-2,423 region touched on Monday. The next relevant support level is anchored near the $2,412-2,410 region ahead of the $2,400 round-figure mark. Canh Sell scalp 2485 - 2487, stoploss 2491 Canh Sell 2500 - 2502, stoploss 2506 Canh Buy scalp 2435 - 2433, stoploss 2429 Canh Buy 2426 - 2424, stoploss 2420
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Analysis of gold market trend on August 14The release of CPI will determine whether gold can reach a new historical high, whether it can hit 2500 points or even higher In the early Asian session, gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently hovering around 2460 points. According to the 4-hour chart, it is currently going downhill, but the decisive factor will still be the US CPI July quarterly annual rate released at 20:30 Beijing time today If the data is lower than expected, then gold, as the traditional safest safe-haven asset, will have the hope of hitting the historical high. On the contrary, it may fall below 2400 points Before the release of this data, what do you think of gold? Everyone is welcome to actively express your views
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
7 Dimension 1:8 RR Sell Idea for GOLD Core Analysis Method Smart Money Concepts 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: 15 min 1: Swing Structure: Bearish with CHOCH after taking inducement. The impulsive swing move is finished and now moving towards the decisional OB as a pullback, about to mitigate the decisional POI OB at the initial point of the premier zone. We will take a sell entry using the classic SMC entry model. After the breakout, this is also a CIP area. 2: Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Reversal: V-shape pattern indicating possible reversal from here and a rectangle pattern is also observed. Shakeout. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS Not any significant candle pattern observed except for a tower top. 3: Volume 🟢 A big difference is seen during the impulsive move and the correction move in terms of volume. No buy-side volume indicates another sharp sell move is expected. 4: Momentum RSI 🟢 Fully intact in the bearish zone, taking resistance at the 60 level, indicating another range shift. This impulsive move ended as loud moves, which is a very strong signal for a sell. Also, a Grandfather-Father-Son entry with H4 as GF. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Very tight contraction just started, indicating a strong squeeze breakout and walking on the band. A headfake also took place right at the upper band, and a BB W pattern is observed. 6: Strength ADX Right now, totally sideways. 7: Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ 50% Probity (because of the decisional OB entry) ✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish CHOCH ☑️ POI: Decisional OB 💡 Decision: Sell limit 🚀 Entry: 2419 ✋ Stop loss: 2429.5 🎯 Take profit: 23.4 😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:8 🕛 Expected Duration: 1 day SUMMARY: The analysis indicates a sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, with structure, patterns, volume, momentum, volatility, strength, and sentiment all pointing towards a bearish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Optimum369
PPI - Waiting for Gold's new ATH⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged over 1% on Monday, driven by safe-haven demand due to concerns about escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine's unexpected offensive against Russia. Additionally, dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) weakened the US Dollar (USD), helping gold move closer to its monthly high during Tuesday's Asian session. However, the positive market sentiment led to some selling pressure on gold in the same session. Bulls appear cautious, waiting for the upcoming US inflation data before making further moves. Despite this, gold remains near the all-time high reached in July and is likely to break out of the short-term range it has held for the past month. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price increased back to the highest resistance zone 2475-2480. There was an adjustment in the Asian and European sessions to expect to create a new ATH this week: over 2500 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2440 - $2442 SL $2435 TP1: $2455 TP2: $2470 TP3: $2500 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2518 - $2520 SL $2525 TP1: $2510 TP2: $2500 TP3: $2490 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. Price moves steadily on all 3 EMA lines, Uptrend expected to break ATH ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
8.13 Gold Analysis,Get ready for gold to reach an all-time high and break through 2500 On Monday, gold rose by $40 to a historic high of 2477 points due to tensions in the Middle East, and then fluctuated sideways to 2460 If Iran launches a large-scale military attack on Israel, the price of gold will also rise This week, the release of US CPI data will be a key event in the market. If CPI is lower than expected, the historical high of gold at 2500 will be just around the corner Before the arrival of CPI on Wednesday, gold may fluctuate sideways and will be adjusted downward So everyone should be cautious when entering the market Resistance level 2468 2477 2490 2500 Support level 2455 2445 2410 2400 What do you think of the trend of gold? Welcome everyone to like and comment
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
Emerging Pattern: Is Gold a Short or Long Opportunity?Good day Traders, Trust your day is off to a great start. Here is my analysis of the gold market. 1. Pattern : emerging bullish butterfly with 1% tolerance. 2. Completion : The pattern is projected to attain completion at point D, which is approximately at 2334.638 on the chart, which is why we are considering short position. 3. PRZ Zone : The potential reversal zone in anticipation of a bullish reversal ranges from 2334.638 to 2261.280. This where we intend to close our short trades 4. Target Levels : The targeted levels are T1 at 2401.823, T2 at 2370.158, and T3 at 2335.314. 5. Entry : I am looking to confirm a break and close below 2452.511 price region downwards, with solid market resistance before entering the sell trade. Why wait for a break and close below 2452.511? The broken H1 supply zone could act as a demand zone thus pushing price upwards. 6. Invalidation : Should there be a break and a close above the H4 supply zone at 2483.74, this would invalidate the setup and the associated trade idea. Please note : Rising tensions in the Middle East can increase demand for gold (thus increasing its price further) as investors seek to protect their capital from potential market volatility. Cheers and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Samuel124
Gold Price Advances to Amid Rising Middle East Tension Gold prices have surged to a one-week high, buoyed by a confluence of factors that have ignited investor interest in the safe-haven asset. For the third consecutive day, the precious metal has experienced upward momentum, driven primarily by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and mounting expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The escalating conflicts in the Middle East have cast a shadow over global markets, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold tends to appreciate during periods of heightened uncertainty and geopolitical instability. The ongoing tensions in the region have heightened concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies and the broader economic implications, thereby bolstering gold's appeal. Simultaneously, growing speculation about a potential pivot by the Federal Reserve towards a more dovish monetary policy stance has also supported gold prices. As economic growth concerns persist, market participants are increasingly betting on interest rate cuts later this year. Lower interest rates typically benefit gold, as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. However, the upside potential for gold prices may be tempered by the overall positive risk sentiment in the market. While geopolitical tensions and rate cut expectations have provided a solid foundation for gold's rally, a generally upbeat market mood could limit gains. Investors are also likely to adopt a cautious stance ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data this week. The inflation figures will provide valuable insights into the trajectory of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. As the market digests the evolving geopolitical landscape and awaits key economic indicators, gold prices are expected to remain volatile in the near term. While the underlying fundamentals remain supportive, the potential for profit-taking and shifts in investor sentiment could introduce some headwinds. Going forward, the interplay between geopolitical tensions, interest rate expectations, and overall market sentiment will be crucial in determining the direction of gold prices. Traders and investors will be closely monitoring developments in the Middle East, as well as economic data releases, for clues about the metal's future trajectory.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
2460 WILL PROBABALY HIT IN NEXT WEEK 2460 WILL PROBABALY HIT IN NEXT WEEK As The View Of The Simple Price Action I Can See That Gold Need To Touch 2460 First Before Decide The Further Direction Move. As The Pattern That Has Formed Is A Bullish Trend Pattern (Bullish Pennant) This Pennant Must Breck To the Up side. And After Conformed Pullback maybe A Good Buy Opportunity. But If Price Couldn't Breck The Upper Trendline Gold Will Fall Again Back To 2410 Zone At Least. Will See On Next Week What Will Happen And Fore More LTF Analyze Wait Till Market Move First Next Monday. Also Wait For More Updates On Elliot Wave And Simple And Quick Price Action Analyze
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Mr_Scalper_117
Gold Buys!!! ### **Analysis:** - The chart shows a bullish scenario where the price has broken out above a descending trendline, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. - The price has retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 2,440, a strong area of support that aligns with the 200 EMA (black line). - The 50 EMA (red line) is turning upwards, suggesting bullish momentum is building. - There is a clear bullish flag or pennant pattern forming, which typically precedes a continuation of the uptrend. ### **Trade Idea:** **Direction:** Buy (Long) #### **Entry:** - **Buy Entry:** Consider entering a long position around the current price level of 2,440, as it is bouncing off the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is a strong support zone. #### **Stop Loss:** - **Stop Loss:** Set the stop loss just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the recent swing low around 2,429.60. This area should provide enough room for the trade to develop while protecting against a potential reversal. - **Stop Loss Price:** 2,429.60 #### **Take Profit:** - **Primary Target (TP1):** The first take profit target can be set at the 0.786 Fibonacci level around 2,457.13. This aligns with the next resistance level. - **Secondary Target (TP2):** The ultimate target is set at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension around 2,537.83, which represents a significant bullish continuation. #### **Price Levels:** - **Entry:** 2,440.00 - **Stop Loss:** 2,429.60 - **Take Profit 1:** 2,457.13 - **Take Profit 2:** 2,537.83 ### **Conclusion:** - **Buy:** Enter long around 2,440 with targets at 2,457.13 and 2,537.83. - **Risk Management:** Ensure that your position size is appropriate for your risk tolerance, aiming for a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. This setup is based on the technical indicators and patterns observed in the chart. It's essential to monitor the trade closely, especially around key support and resistance levels, and adjust your strategy as the market evolves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
Gold Rally – With Rate Cuts Near ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 8/12 - 8/16/2024 🔥 World situation: Gold prices continued to rise for the second consecutive day as traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might start easing policy at the upcoming September meeting. Rising tensions between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran also support gold ahead of the weekend. XAU/USD is trading at $2,432, up by 0.22%. Recent US economic data indicates a slowing economy, though not enough to spark recession fears. Concerns following weak ISM Manufacturing PMI and July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) reports eased, as shown by the gains in US equities late in the New York session. 🔥 Identify: Gold price recovers - important motivation for FED interest rate cut is getting closer - waiting for attention resistance zones next week: 2448, 2480, 2500 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2448, $2480, $2500 Support : $2405, $2387, $2352 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold price analysis September 8Fundamental Analysis Gold prices eased from a three-day high near $2,430 but held above the key support level of $2,400. The near-term outlook for the precious metal remains solid amid speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in September. However, investors remain divided on whether the Fed will demonstrate its aggressiveness in its policy normalization by announcing a 50 basis point (bp) rate cut or a 25 bps cut. Technical Analysis Gold prices are in a strong bullish range with a narrow range around 2,418 and 2,434. Prices are trading strongly above the EMA and are poised to make further gains. The resistance levels of 2,454 and 2,404 act as key support and resistance, keeping gold prices steady over the weekend. Resistance: 2432 - 2448 - 2454 Support: 2412 - 2407 - 2396 - 2388 Price ranges to note: SELL scalp price range 2441 - 2443 stoploss 2447 SELL price range 2453 - 2455 stoploss 2459 BUY price range 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2400 BUY price range 2397 - 2395 stoploss 2391
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader