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1.8 Gold welcomes ADP long-term bullish trendGold market analysis Gold has been volatile these days, washing back and forth without any rules. Judging from yesterday's performance, it is still impossible to determine whether the bulls are coming if the 2665 position is not broken. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, and the center of the oscillation moved up. Today's idea is to treat it as more oscillation. The weekly line fluctuated for a week last week. This week's estimate will still fluctuate under the influence of data. Today, the ADP estimate is difficult to change the oscillation. We expect the subsequent non-agricultural employment data to lead it to run out of oscillation. Today, we will focus on the oscillation range of 2632-2665. In this range, we will run high and buy low. The current K line is already above the moving average, and gold is more oscillating. The analysis chart above for gold is the rhythm we estimated. The first support of the white plate is near 2640. Last night, we also accurately captured profits at 2642. This position is the support of 4H. There is still more room for the white plate to step back to this position. The stronger one is near 2632. If this position is broken, it may move down again. Support 2632 and 2640, pressure 2665, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 2640
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis: Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis: Observations: 1. **Current Price Level**: The price is at approximately **2,652.53**, moving upward within a curved trendline pattern, suggesting bullish momentum. 2. **Support Zone (Red Area)**: - A demand/support zone lies below **2,640**, where the price previously reacted with strong buying momentum. 3. **Intermediate Resistance (Light Gray Zone)**: - A resistance area is visible near **2,665**, where price may face initial selling pressure. It has been tested and rejected recently, but buyers are pushing back toward this zone. 4. **Upper Resistance Zone (Dark Gray Zone)**: - The primary resistance zone lies around **2,680 to 2,700**, marking a potential target for the upward move. This area has acted as a strong reversal point in the past. 5. **Bullish Cup-and-Handle/Curved Trendline**: - The blue curved line indicates a potential **cup-like bullish formation**, which often leads to a breakout if sustained momentum persists. Potential Scenarios: 1. **Bullish Continuation**: - If the price breaks above the **2,665** resistance zone, it could quickly move toward the next resistance zone at **2,680–2,700**. - Buyers will likely target **2,700** as the final upside level for this move. 2. **Resistance Rejection**: - A rejection at **2,665** could lead to a pullback toward the support at **2,640** or even the demand zone near **2,620**. Strategy: - **For Buyers**: - Wait for a confirmed breakout above **2,660** and target the **2,680–2,700** zone. - Alternatively, consider entering on pullbacks around **2,640**, with stops below **2,620**. - **For Sellers**: - Look for rejection signals at **2,665** or the upper resistance zone (**2,680–2,700**) to short toward **2,640** or **2,620**.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Neutral Rectangle preservedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Neutral Rectangle and keep #2,652.80 as your reversal zone and ideal re-Sell entry point. If #2,627.80 Support gets invalidated, I will pursue #2,600.80 benchmark in extension. I will Trade the break-out." I have engaged re-Sell order as discussed above on #2,649.80 which hit my #2,653.80 Stop within minutes. I have waited another chance to re-Sell Gold however Gold extended recovery above #2,657.80 first Resistance which left me without an order waiting for ISM numbers. On pre-ISM candles, I have engaged Selling order and closed it with #9-point Profit near #2,652.80 benchmark. When #2,652.80 got invalidated, I have engaged new re-Sell order on #2,650.80 and moved the Stop on breakeven expecting #2,636.80 Support in extension to be met, however Price-action touched #2,642.80 and reversed towards my breakeven Stop and left me without any orders for yesterday's session. My position: Even though DX reversed and found Support zone, Gold is Trading under Intra-day Buying pressure as sentiment is changing on Intra-day basis. I give more probabilities to the upside since #2,652.80 benchmark got invalidated to the upside many times with relative ease which was my pivot point for the fractal. If #2,662.80 gets invalidated #2,667.80 is next extension so place your Buying orders accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
1.8 Gold Operation Technical Analysis StrategyGold rebounded after hitting the bottom yesterday, and began to rebound after reaching the lowest level of 14, which continued until the evening of the day. The current highest level reached around 64, which has reached the previous high point. This position is also the effective point of the continuous suppression of the shorts in the recent period. With the strong rebound during the day, it also reached this position, but it is very likely to form a three-top pattern, so this position is also the point where we continue to try to short. Once it breaks up, the retracement of this wave of shorts will also be declared over, and the support below is maintained at the top and bottom conversion 50 line position. If it continues to break down this position at night, the bulls may also be in place, which is likely to be the last wave of short-selling. Although the bulls have rebounded, they have not yet reached the realm of a strong breakthrough. There are still many uncertainties in the market. In addition, this week is the release of non-agricultural data, and the previous shocks are also likely to lay the groundwork for the release of non-agricultural data. In the evening, we will still maintain gold at around 63-64 for short selling, with a target of around 50-40 and a loss of 70.5. Short-term operation: SELL: 63-64 Target is around 50-40, stop loss is 70.5.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant. Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Am I the only one who is waiting for a bearish trend for #gold?hello guys! let's analyze gold together! Double Top Formation: A double top has been identified near the $2,675-$2,680 level, signaling a potential reversal from the bullish trend. Broken Channel: The previous upward channel has been broken, indicating a shift in market structure and possible bearish momentum. Two Scenarios Outlined: First Scenario (Blue Path): The price may consolidate or retest the $2,630-$2,640 range before resuming its downward trend toward $2,578. Second Scenario (Red Path): A bullish retracement toward the $2,675-$2,680 resistance zone is possible, followed by a reversal and significant decline. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: $2,675-$2,680 (critical zone for the second scenario). Support: $2,629 (short-term) and $2,578 (major support). Outlook: The bias appears bearish due to the broken channel and the double-top pattern. Confirmation of either scenario depends on price action near the outlined key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
22
XAU/USD Longs from 2,630 or 2,610 back upThis week, my GOLD analysis focuses on the continuation of the bullish trend. Last week, GOLD showed significant bullish momentum, and we can expect the price to retrace into an unmitigated demand zone before resuming its upward direction. I’ll be watching for the price to tap into either the 7-hour or 4-hour demand zone below. Once it does, I’ll closely monitor lower time frames for confirmation. If the setup aligns, I’ll look to take buy trades with the trend, aiming to clear liquidity resting above. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Recent and overall bullish momentum. - Unmitigated demand zones near the current price. - A confirmed break of structure to the upside. - Significant liquidity above, including Asia highs and imbalances. Note: As the price approaches a key supply zone, we might see some bearish pressure. This could present an opportunity for a potential counter-trend trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
Levont - XAU/USD: Testing Key ResistanceXAU/USD Analysis (Gold Spot/USD) 📊 Timeframes Analyzed: - 1H Chart: The price is currently trading at $2,657 , consolidating near the key resistance zone between $2,659 and $2,660 . This area aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level , which has historically acted as a strong supply zone. Price action shows multiple attempts to break above this level, but bearish pressure has kept it contained so far. A potential rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the $2,654-$2,650 support range , while a breakout above $2,660 could trigger a bullish continuation toward $2,666 . - 5m Chart: Zooming in, the price is moving within a rising channel , showing short-term bullish momentum. However, the channel's upper boundary aligns with the higher timeframe resistance zone ( $2,659-$2,660 ), suggesting that the bullish move may face exhaustion soon. A rejection from this level could result in a breakdown of the channel and a retest of lower supports around $2,652-$2,650 . 🔑 Key Levels: - Resistance Zone: $2,659 - $2,660 - Support Levels: $2,654 and $2,650 📈 Outlook: The current price action suggests that gold is at a critical juncture: - Bullish Scenario: - A breakout above the resistance zone at $2,660 (confirmed by strong candle closures and volume spikes) could lead to a continuation toward higher targets like $2,666 or $2,670 . - This scenario would align with the broader bullish sentiment seen in recent sessions. - Bearish Scenario: - If the price fails to break above $2,660 and shows signs of rejection (e.g., long upper wicks or bearish engulfing patterns), we could see a pullback toward immediate support levels at $2,654 or $2,650 . - A breakdown below $2,650 could open the door for further downside toward $2,644 . 💡 Note: Watch for confirmation signals such as volume spikes or clear candlestick patterns before entering trades. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Positive Factors Supporting Gold: - Global Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about slowing global growth and geopolitical tensions (e.g., ongoing instability in Eastern Europe) are driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold. - Weaker U.S. Dollar: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has shown signs of weakness recently due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may pause rate hikes in early 2025. A weaker dollar typically supports gold prices as it becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies. - Seasonal Demand: January often sees increased demand for gold due to seasonal factors such as jewelry purchases in Asian markets and portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors. Risks/Negative Factors for Gold: - Hawkish Federal Reserve Policy: Despite speculation about a pause in rate hikes, any unexpected hawkish commentary from the Fed in its upcoming January meeting could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold prices downward. - Profit-Taking Near Resistance: With gold nearing key resistance levels ( $2,660 ), short-term traders may take profits, leading to temporary pullbacks. - Equity Market Recovery: If global equity markets continue their recovery into early 2025, it could reduce demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn96005149
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Potential Decline to KeyThis analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the daily timeframe highlights the price structure, Fibonacci retracement levels, and Andrews' Pitchfork, suggesting the possibility of further downside movement to key support areas. Key Highlights: Corrective Wave Structure and Key Resistance: The recent upward correction appears to have completed near the resistance zone of $2638–$2655, aligning with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels. The condition for further decline is the inability to close a daily candle above this resistance zone. Failure to break this level increases the probability of continued bearish movement. Andrews' Pitchfork: The price is clearly moving within the Andrews' Pitchfork, which illustrates the overall bearish direction of the market. Price action at the median and outer lines of the pitchfork will determine the next move. Key Support Levels: The first major support level is at $2545, which could act as a short-term target. If selling pressure persists, the price may drop further to the next significant support at $2495, completing the anticipated C-wave. DT Oscillator: The downward turn in the DT Oscillator provides confirmation of continued bearish momentum. This bearish signal, combined with failure to break the key resistance zone, increases the likelihood of a move toward the identified support levels. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Scenario: If the daily candle fails to close above the $2638–$2655 resistance zone and the DT Oscillator maintains its bearish signal, the price is likely to decline toward $2545 and potentially $2495. Bullish Scenario: A close above the $2638–$2655 resistance zone, coupled with a bullish turn in the DT Oscillator, could indicate a potential trend reversal and a move toward higher levels, possibly $2700+. Conclusion: Based on Andrews' Pitchfork, the key resistance zone, and the signals from the DT Oscillator, Gold Spot is at a critical juncture. If the resistance holds, the price is likely to decline toward the $2545 and $2495 support levels. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction to these levels and momentum signals for potential setups. Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments, and don’t forget to follow me for more detailed analyses like this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
16
1.3 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early European session on Friday (January 3), the US dollar index maintained a mild decline during the day and is currently around 109.10; spot gold is around $2,655/oz. After confirming a breakthrough of $2,640.00/oz, the gold price continued to rise. As shown in the figure, the gold price completed the construction of a double bottom pattern, which provided upward momentum for the gold price. The gold price is expected to test $2,700.00/oz, which is also our next target for the gold price. Therefore, we expect the gold price to rise further in the next few trading days. It should be pointed out that if the gold price falls below $2,640.00/oz, this will stop the bullish trend and push the gold price to bearish. It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2,650.00/oz and the resistance level of $2,685.00/oz today. The expected trend for the gold price today is bullish
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheGrove
3