Gold Potential Bullish Continuation (Potential HH formation)With with continued global tariff war between USA and China, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3178
Stop Loss : 2946
TP 0.9 - 1 : 3399 - 3408
Goldprice
The rebound in gold prices is for better short selling
After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2900. There may be a rebound during the period, but it is only a rebound. After the news faded, I emphasized that the gold price of 3500 was a top to look at the retracement in my analysis after the 9th of this month. I also gave a short-selling strategy and the staged support position below. Now the support level has been broken one after another, so we can continue to look at the target according to the trend.
The last wave of decline at the short-term level has gone through several shock adjustments along the way. Now the gold price has rebounded again near 3120, and the highest rebound reached 3153. I also gave some people a reminder to continue shorting along the way. Now I will mainly make a brief analysis of the hourly line. After the sharp drop, the gold price must be repaired. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme decline trend, gold does not have the conditions for a rebound, so I think the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall in the future.
Now there are two main positions to focus on above. The first is the previous low point near 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the last wave near 3156. If the rebound does not cross these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking through the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the step support below near 3088.
Gold Breaks $3170 on Dovish Fed – Targeting $3220Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken above the short-term resistance at $3,170, surging toward the $3,200 level after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks. The market reacted positively as Powell avoided any hawkish signals, lifting investor sentiment and pushing safe-haven demand higher.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Fundamental Support
- Powell maintained a neutral tone, offering no hints of further rate hikes. This calmed investor nerves and weakened the U.S. dollar slightly.
- The latest PPI data came in lower than expected, signaling cooling inflation pressure and reducing expectations for tighter Fed policy.
- Traders are shifting away from the fear of additional rate hikes, with some even anticipating policy easing later this year.
🔮 Short-Term Outlook
Given current sentiment and the momentum from Powell’s comments, gold is likely to retest the $3,200 – $3,205 zone in the short term. If bullish pressure continues and no major surprises come from incoming economic data, the $3,220 level could be reached before we see a potential pullback.
📌 Important Note:
- Keep an eye on upcoming U.S. economic releases like unemployment claims and regional manufacturing data to gauge dollar strength.
- If gold fails to break above $3,220 and shows signs of bearish divergence, it may present a short-term profit-taking opportunity or a correction setup.
📌 Like & follow for more real-time XAU/USD ideas and updates!
📌Drop your thoughts below – bullish or bearish from here?
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short!
📌 Driving Event
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again!
💰 Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold changes trend? Latest analysis.Information summary:
Due to the easing of trade tensions between the world's two largest economies; suppressing safe-haven demand, and investors waiting for US economic data for more clues on future interest rate trends. On Thursday, Asian time, gold prices fell to their lowest point in more than a month. At one point in the session, it hit the lowest level since April 10 at $3,120. The price has now rebounded to around $3,190.
Technical analysis:
Gold once again showed a trend of falling first and then rising, basically swallowing up all the declines in the Asian market. Is gold about to start a new round of rise? I don't think it is possible to judge that the upward trend is established now. Because from the weekly line, the price rushed up and fell back, and the more obvious signal is that it will fall again.
From the daily rhythm, today fell first and then rose, and the short-term rise was strong, swallowing up all the declines in the Asian session and there are signs of continued rise. But in terms of rhythm, the watershed of the Asian session's decline is the integer mark of 3,200. If it continues to be suppressed below the watershed, the market will still fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3205, stop loss at $3215, profit range at $3180-3175.
If the gold price breaks through the $3,200 resistance with strength and stays above this level, we need to change our strategy.
XAU/USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bearish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
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Key Levels:
1. Resistance Zone (Upper Yellow Block):
Around 3,450–3,500.
Price was previously rejected from this level, forming a double-top like structure.
2. Rejection Point (Mid-Level Zone):
Near 3,300–3,310.
Price repeatedly failed to break and hold above this zone, indicating strong selling pressure.
3. Support Zone / Demand Block (Lower Yellow Block):
Around 3,100–3,125.
This is the target area, labeled clearly as TARGET POINT: 3,116.501.
---
Indicators:
200 EMA:
Currently above the price, suggesting downward momentum.
Acting as a dynamic resistance.
RSI (14):
Around 39, slightly above oversold territory (30).
Indicates bearish pressure but not yet oversold — room for further downside.
The chart suggests that if price breaks below the mid-level support, we could expect a move towards the support block around 3,116.
The bearish wave projection drawn in the chart confirms the trader’s expectation of a drop.
The setup appears to be a break-and-retest of the mid-zone, followed by continuation downward.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trading Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break below ~3,225–3,230 with confirmation
Target: ~3,116
Invalidation/Stop: Close above 3,300–3,310 (rejection zone)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold on Edge – Will Powell Trigger the Drop?📈 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD
On the H1 timeframe, gold price formed a short-term top at $3,170, then sharply declined to the $3,150 area.
The current price action shows a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a clear bearish trend.
Price has broken below the EMA20 and is trading below the EMA50 on the H1 chart – signaling a loss of bullish momentum in the short term.
This reflects market hesitation ahead of key U.S. economic data and the upcoming Fed speech.
📊 Short-Term Technical Scenario
Main Scenario: SELL ON BREAK OF SUPPORT AT $3,150
Sell Entry: Below $3,148 (confirmation of support break)
Stop Loss (SL): $3,158 (above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3,139 (Fibonacci 61.8%)
TP2: $3,131 (Fibonacci 78.6%)
TP3: $3,120 (strong support zone, previous swing low)
🔔 Important Notes
Closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today. If he hints at maintaining higher interest rates, gold may continue its downward momentum.
A break below $3,120 would shift the trend from short-term bearish to medium-term bearish, with extended targets around $3,100 – $3,080.
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD Analysis today: Unemployment spike? Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 15 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone, thanks for stopping by.
I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst.
I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models.
My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London.
Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor.
If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections.
Let’s keep growing and learning!
Amin.
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3
Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed.
This is a textbook trap environment. Expect:
– Fakeouts before confirmation
– Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium
– Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles
No guessing. No chasing. Structure only.
📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK
Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs.
4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs.
1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet.
Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise.
📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only):
– 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed
– 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area
– 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown
🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections):
– 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap
– 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone
– 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike
🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish
If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery
During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion.
🔒 FINAL NOTE
Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias.
Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯
Patience is your profit today.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day.
Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices.
There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market.
1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data.
2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.)
Trading analysis:
Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060.
On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200.
Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark.
Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127
Gold heads towards 3100 price zone, long or short?
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second straight session on Thursday, the third decline in the past four days, and fell to a more than one-month low below $3,150 during the Asian trading session. The continued downward pressure is largely due to renewed optimism after signs of a substantial de-escalation in the Sino-US trade dispute, a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets such as gold.
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession fears in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift supported the continued rise in US Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for the non-interest-bearing gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Downtrend, bears continue to exert downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price area
⭐️Set Gold Price:
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3178-3188 SL 3191
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3170
TP3: $3160
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094
TP1: $3110
TP2: $3120
TP3: $3130
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold price plunges suddenly. Technical analysis.Information summary:
During the Asian session, gold prices suddenly plunged, and the price of gold has now hit a low of $3,148, down more than $44 from the intraday high of $3,192.78 hit earlier.
Gold prices continued to fall after breaking the $3,200 support I predicted earlier, and gold prices fell to a one-month low, continuing the recent decline.
The sharp reduction in tariffs between the United States and China has brought relief to global markets and led to a rebound, which has caused gold to correct and break through multiple technical levels.
Technical analysis:
In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the outlook for gold is bearish. Gold prices are trading below all of their moving averages, and the 20-period SMA has fallen below the 200-period SMA, which is located at $3,232, which will constitute an important resistance if the gold price trend recovers. Finally, technical indicators lack directional strength, but remain at negative levels, reflecting a lack of buying interest.
I think traders need to pay attention to the latest important support and upward resistance levels:
Support: $3140.
Resistance: $3100; $3215; $3232.
Short selling on the rebound is determined to winAfter gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again in the evening. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3150-3140. Gold continues to cross downward shorts in 1 hour. The short strength is still there. The rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term. Then such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 3202-3205 is on the upper side.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Strategy 1: Short gold near 3195-3205, target near 3180-3170.
Strategy 2: Long gold near 3160-3150, target near 3170-3190.
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔
1. Newswise 📰
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥
India–Pakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍
2. Technicalwise 📊
1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫
Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️
- 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️
- 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️
- 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️
- 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️
- 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️
Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐
5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”)
→ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️
1d (55 – “Up”)
→ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈
Overall Meaning 🧠
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄
Possible Strategy Consideration 💡
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊
My Bias 🤔
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold rebounds weakly, US market ideas for reference!
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling!
📊Commentary Analysis
After gold fell below 3200 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened, and it is difficult to get up again in the early morning. Weak shorts can't even get past 3198, and the short-term support below is around 3160.
The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3200 is the long defensive position. If it fails to close, there will be a fall. The technical side has already experienced a major break. Pay attention to the change of thinking. If the adjustment range is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises fast and falls fast, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to lay out more positions, but the position needs to follow the market observation, which is difficult to predict at present.
💰Strategy Package
In the short term, we will rely on 3198 for defensive short selling. After breaking 3200, please note that even if it rebounds, we should follow the trend and short. If it rebounds upward, we should short at the golden section resistance of 3265.
Good luck to everyone!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold fell. How is the market?Gold fell sharply at the opening today, and the lowest point hit $3175.
From the weekly line, this has already touched the weekly MA10 moving average position.
Quaid believes that traders should not blindly carry out short strategies. If there is a price rebound, the rise will be very fast, and the market may not give you a chance to stop loss.
From the 4H chart, we can see that gold has started a downward trend from last Friday's high of $3345. $3345-3307 is wave a. $3307-3360 is wave B. Currently, it is wave C from around $3360.
However, this wave C has not ended yet. If we look at it by standard, it will be considered the end of this trend only when it goes down to around $3120.
However, around $3175 is a support position. So now before it falls below $3175, gold may maintain a shock adjustment of $3200-3175.
I think you need to pay attention to the short-term resistance level of $3200-3250. If it cannot be as strong as breaking, then we can still carry out a short strategy below 3200.
Gold falls below 3200, continues to look at 3100
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling!
📊Commentary Analysis
The price trend of gold on Tuesday showed a significant repeated shock feature. Although it ended up rising, it experienced two tortuous processes of first falling and then rising in the process, which led to a relatively limited overall increase. After the previous day's correction, the current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average formed a dead cross and continued to extend downward. From the perspective of intraday trading, the resistance level formed by these two moving averages has become the focus of market attention.
In the morning article, I repeatedly emphasized that gold is expected to break below 3200. Sure enough, it broke below without hesitation today. It is currently at 3185. The short position of gold near 3250 that we gave yesterday has expanded its profit again today, and it is easy to make a profit of nearly 100 points. Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200.
💰Strategy Package
Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200, with the target near 3170-3180.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a staged medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only proof that it can finally stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
Short-Term Outlook: Gold Slumps After Breaking Key Support📉 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD
- Gold (XAU/USD) is under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key support level at $3,200, marking a significant shift in short-term momentum.
- The $3,176 zone, which marks the April 11 low, now serves as a crucial technical support. A clear break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop toward the next key support around $3,140.
If the $3,176 level fails to hold and bearish momentum continues, the market is likely to push lower toward the $3,140 support zone.
📰 Fundamental Drivers Behind the Decline
No major news has been released today, but the market continues to be weighed down by:
- Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which remain unresolved.
- U.S. CPI data for April came in weaker than expected, causing investors to adjust interest rate expectations and favoring short-term downside for gold.
🔮 Short-Term Technical Scenario
After breaching the $3,200 support level, gold is expected to consolidate briefly in the $3,176–$3,190 range before potentially resuming its downtrend.
💡 Short-Term XAU/USD Trade Setups
🔻 SELL
Entry Zone: 3193 – 3190
Take Profit: 3188 – 3185
Stop Loss: 3198
🔺 BUY
Entry Zone: 3179 – 3176
Take Profit: 3184 – 3181
Stop Loss: 3171
📌 Note:
In the current market environment, short-term strategies are preferred.
Apply strict risk management as volatility may increase due to geopolitical headlines or technical retracements.
Closely monitor price action around $3,176 — a confirmed break below this level could accelerate the move toward $3,140.
Can we continue to bet against gold?My article today emphasized that gold may fall below 3200. Sure enough, it did so without hesitation today and fell to around 3175 in the short term. At present, gold has rebounded, and the short-term pressure is around 3200, so you can short at this position.
In the short term, focus on the support near 3160 below. If it falls below, there is still room for gold to fall.
Gold's consolidation is over and bears will break 3200!Gold market analysis:
Short-term gold has entered a repair period. The previous tariff negotiations led to a sharp drop in gold. It has now fallen to around 3200 and is stuck. The shape and indicators show that 3200 is a super support. This position is greatly beneficial for selling on the weekly and daily lines. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the overall trend is still empty, the short-term repair range is 3265-3220. If you want to grasp the trend trading, sell at a high price and arrange the selling order. Lao Gu believes that the possibility of continuing to fall after the shock is over is greater, and it will break 3200 later. The daily moving average indicator is also broken. The gold fluctuation rhythm is very large, that is, a technical rebound and repair are basically dozens of points. It is most important for us to grasp the rhythm in operation. Today's idea can rely on the upper edge pressure of the shock to sell.
If the Asian session rebounds around 3256 first, consider selling it first. There are opportunities for buying and selling in the volatile market. What we need is patience and waiting. In addition, the daily moving average begins to rush down, and selling begins to move. If it breaks 3200, we will consider selling. We must learn to follow the recent market. We rarely follow it before, because the recent gold will not turn back when it falls or rises, and the speed of buying and selling is also very fast. It is very important to control the rhythm.
Support 3220, 3207, strong support 3200, pressure 3244, 3256, 3265, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3230.
Operation suggestion
Gold-----short around 3256, target 3150-3200