Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas
Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation)
Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup
Market Context:
Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness
Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298
A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news
Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled
🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry)
Entry: 3288 – 3292
SL: 3300
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3250
TP3: 3240–3235
Reasoning:
Price swept 3280s liquidity
Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data
Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks
Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m
🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup)
Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction)
SL: Below 3230
TP1: 3280
TP2: 3292
TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns)
Reasoning:
Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m
Clear signs of previous breakout zone
Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Goldprice
XAU/USD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September lTechnical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
Gold reached 3275 and will continue to move towards new highs
📌 Driving Events
Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff pointed out: "The gold market is waiting for new catalysts, but the technical side remains strong and the safe-haven demand remains solid." It is worth noting that the US government has recently launched an investigation into the import of drugs and semiconductors in preparation for the imposition of tariffs. Trump has also made it clear that the details of the semiconductor import tariff will be announced this week.
💢 Investors please pay close attention to the following key events:
Fed Chairman Powell's speech on Wednesday (interest rate policy orientation)
US retail sales data on Wednesday
ECB interest rate decision on Thursday (expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points)
Specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy
📊Comment analysis
In my previous post interpretation, I suggested that the gold price should be sideways, waiting for the price to continue to rise to a new high. Today, Wednesday (April 16), the Asian market broke a new high as expected in the early trading. As of now, the gold price is $3275
Now after two days of adjustment, the gold price has broken through again, and the resistance level of 3255 has also turned into support. The next step is 3280 and 3300.
Follow the trend, participate in one direction, and continue to be long today.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3270-3275 points, profit target above 3295 points
Steady participation at 3250-3260 points, profit target above 3280 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary:
Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market!
Level analysis:
The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend?
The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term!
Trading signal:
3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
GOLD - FEAR has switch to GOLDTeam, gold has been pumped non-stop on fearing trump tariff
But the current price indicates a double top
We expect the falling range around 3260 to 3215
current price is 3272 - if stop loss at 3285
Once the price hits 3265, bring the stop loss to BE and target a further range.
We do not often trade gold only sometimes.
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary:
Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted.
These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing:
1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap?
2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply.
Level analysis:
After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operation strategy:
3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275.
I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
How to profit from gold volatility!📌 Driving events
Looking ahead to this trading day, whether gold prices can rise further may still depend on Trump's tariff headlines and the upcoming Fed speech, as there is still no top economic data released on the US calendar
📊Comment analysis
In fact, the US trading time for gold today is to pay attention to short-term adjustments. Gold now seems to be accustomed to gold bulls for risk aversion. Although gold is supported by risk aversion today, the strength of gold bulls is not very strong. Gold has repeatedly hit highs and fallen back. Gold 3228 continues to be short, and the decline is harvested. The US market rebounds 3225 and continues to be short. Gold falls again and harvests. Gold is still adjusting at a high level. Don't chase the high for the time being. Gold rebounds and rushes high and can still continue to be short.
Today, short-term gold bulls have begun to be unable to do their best, so gold bears may start at any time. Gold still has the opportunity to adjust. Gold continues to watch the adjustment market in the short term and pay attention to trading signals in time.
Card the price and participate well. Grasp the rhythm of long and short two-way transactions. You will find that this volatility is much more fun than the big volatility.
💰Strategy Package
US trading ideas:
Short gold at 3230-35, stop loss at 3240, target at 3190-3180;
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold’s latest strategic ideas, mainly short selling on reboundOn Monday (April 14), gold fluctuated slightly and remained around $3,197. Last Friday (April 11), the price of gold broke through $3,200, reaching a historical high of $3,245.26, with a weekly increase of 6.6%, the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of rise was mainly driven by the escalation of trade frictions, the plunge of the US dollar, the increase in expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The weak US economic data and rising inflation expectations strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold.
From a technical perspective, the daily level shows short-term correction pressure. On Monday, a small negative column with a long upper shadow was closed. Pay attention to the support of 3180 below. If it falls below, it may fall further. The 4-hour level shows a high-level oscillation pattern, with the upper resistance at 3235-3240 and the lower support around 3200-3180. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on high-altitude trading: shorting with a light position near 3225-3235 US dollars. If the gold price rebounds to around 3200 and stabilizes, you can try short-term long. Be alert to the intensification of market volatility.
Gold recommendation: shorting near 3225-3235 on the rebound, target 3205.
Gold prices remain strong, trade war panic boosts safe-haven dem
📌 Driving events
Atlanta Fed President Bostic's statement further strengthened the bullish logic of gold. He bluntly stated that the current economy has fallen into a state of "great pause" and suggested that the Fed maintain policy stability. This policy uncertainty, coupled with potential inflation risks, makes non-yielding gold show a unique charm. Historical experience shows that gold often outperforms other asset classes in a low interest rate environment and policy uncertainty. The current market expects that the Fed may be forced to cut interest rates when inflation is high, and this special situation has created an ideal upside space for gold.
The current gold market is showing a rare perfect resonance between technical and fundamental aspects. Trade war risks, policy uncertainty and inflation expectations together constitute the "golden triangle" of gold's rise. Considering that the potential impact of Trump's tariff policy has not yet been fully released, the Fed's policy path is still uncertain, and gold prices may open up more room for growth after breaking through historical highs. For investors, in the current macro environment, increasing gold holdings may become an important choice to hedge portfolio risks. This risk aversion frenzy caused by the trade war may have just begun.
📊Comment Analysis
From a technical perspective, the upward trend of gold prices has been further confirmed after breaking through the key resistance level of $3,200. Market analysts pointed out that as long as the price of gold remains above the support level of $3,180, the upward channel will remain intact.
Gold prices are trading sideways waiting for prices to rise and continue to hit new highs
💰Strategy Package
Long positions:
Actively participate at 3225-3235 points, with a profit target above 3240 points
Stop loss at 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Do you think this is the final height of gold?
At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price.
Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle!
Okay, let's talk about the gold market today.
On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost.
Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars.
As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model.
Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Gold sell setup Why We Would Sell (Short) XAUUSD in This Setup:
Strong Resistance Zone:
Price is approaching a clear resistance level around 3,250, marked by multiple rejections in the past.
This zone acted as a ceiling for the bulls — each time price reached this level, it got pushed back down, showing strong selling pressure.
Double Top Formation (Potential Reversal Pattern):
The price formed a potential double top near 3,250.
This pattern often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
Bearish Rejection Wicks:
Candlesticks near the resistance show long upper wicks, indicating that buyers are getting weak and sellers are stepping in.
Lower High Forming:
After the second peak, price failed to make a new high, suggesting buying momentum is weakening.
The current price action is forming a lower high, which is a bearish signal.
Bearish Price Projection (Arrow Path):
The blue arrow suggests a retest of the resistance zone followed by a strong drop down to the support zone at 3,187.
This offers a good risk-to-reward ratio for a short trade setup.
Trade Parameters:
Stop Loss above resistance (around 3,250).
Take Profit around 3,187 (previous support).
This setup offers a clear invalidation point if the price breaks above resistance.
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Gold, adjustment is a buying opportunity
📌 Driving events
At the critical moment of the tariff war, there were signs of easing, but the market did not buy it when it came to the gold market. The US policy changed faster than turning a book, which made the market overwhelmed. Therefore, even if the latest US statement was somewhat easing, gold did not fall as a result. The current market is an extreme casino, which depends entirely on whether the correct trading signals and entry timing are grasped in time.
After the tariff war, major investment banks have recently raised their expectations for gold prices this year. Goldman Sachs' latest forecast is that the gold price may rise to $3,700 this year. In extreme cases, the gold price may hit $4,200. This forecast seems unreliable, but it is actually very mysterious. Goldman Sachs' forecasts cannot be all accurate, nor can they be all inaccurate. What does this extreme situation refer to? Obviously, there are only two points, the first is the economy, and the second is the war. Apart from these two points, there is no more significant news that can push the gold price to $4,200.
So, is it possible for the current fundamentals to have the situation predicted by Goldman Sachs? Obviously, there is. The global trade war initiated by Trump will cause all economic turmoil, and the economy will enter an accelerated recession. In addition, the United States attempts to take down Iran in order to control the Middle East and raise oil prices. If a war breaks out in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, the lifeline of oil in the entire Middle East, will be blocked, and oil may rise to a rare height. This is the purpose of the United States. Once the above two situations occur at the same time, it is not surprising that the price of gold rises to $4,200. Therefore, instead of predicting how much the price of gold will rise, it is better to pay attention to the real-time dynamics of the United States' tariff war and layout in the Middle East.
With 36 trillion U.S. debts hanging over his head, Trump is like a child who is desperate to lose, betting on the credit of the United States. Of course, the United States has the possibility of winning the bet. The tariff war is naturally impossible for the United States to win, but the United States will not lose. In the layout of the Middle East, the United States still has the probability of winning. Although Iran is the strongest combat force in the Middle East, the United States has been deeply involved in the Middle East for many years and has also won almost all the expected goals, and is experienced. The world is calling Trump a madman, a psychopath, and a fool. In my opinion, Trump is not crazy, but may be a king.
📊Commentary Analysis and 💰Strategy
I have said that any pullback in gold is an opportunity to get on board. Buy more when the pullback is big and buy less when the pullback is small. Although it is at a high level and the risk is extremely high, it is all assumptions. The fact is that gold has always been strong. The only thing to remember is that once you are afraid of heights, don't go short. You can be timid and watch the war, but you can't go against the trend.
After the tariff war eased, gold did not fall. After a slight adjustment yesterday, it did not continue the decline. It is now strong again and stands above 3230. It rose sharply due to the tariff war, but it did not fall sharply due to the easing of tariffs. There must be a reason. In terms of technical trends, gold 3190 area forms a new support platform, and the 4-hour level forms a high-level shock pattern. This high-level shock pattern is still bullish. Once it breaks through, it will start a new wave of upward trend. At present, the trend is good and the bullish trend remains unchanged.
The market fluctuates rapidly. We have already entered long orders near 3210 in the morning. Any intraday retracement support level is a long opportunity. We should grasp it flexibly.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold is finishing at a high level to resist the fall! The bullis
📌 Driving events
U.S. President Trump said on Monday that he was exploring the possibility of temporarily exempting tariffs on imported cars and parts to give auto companies more time to establish production bases in the United States.
New York Fed: The unemployment rate is expected to rise to the highest level since April 2020 in March. In March, households were more pessimistic about employment and future income. The expected inflation rate for the next five years is 2.9%, down from 3% in February.
Geopolitical situation:
It was learned on the 14th local time that Israeli officials said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) still have great differences on the ceasefire in Gaza. The official said that compared with the previous negotiating position, Hamas seems willing to release more Israeli detainees, but if Hamas insists on requiring all parties to guarantee that Israel must stop waging war in the Gaza Strip after the ceasefire, it will still be difficult to promote an agreement. The official expects Hamas to respond to the new ceasefire proposal in the next few days.
📊Comment Analysis
The hourly level shows that the short-term gold price has fallen from a high level and gradually fell into a narrow range above the hourly 60-day moving average support level. The current hourly level indicators are narrowing, maintaining a short-term shock guide reference. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average at the four-hour level are arranged in a downward cross, maintaining the four-hour level peak signal. The short-term decline gradually brings about the four-hour RSI mean reversion, forming a four-hour level adjustment trend. The gold price has risen and fallen to maintain a shock downward trend, which has not changed the medium- and long-term upward trend. Be cautious to maintain a bullish shock trading strategy during the day.
💰Strategy package
Long order:
Aggressive participation at 3185-3195, profit target above 3210
Steady participation at 3175-3185, profit target above 3195
Short order:
Aggressive participation at 3250, profit target below 3230
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY)
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215.
LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215.
Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY.
🧠 Key Observations
Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside.
3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering.
Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move.
Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement.
🔵 Mitigated Zones
🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated.
🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid.
🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played.
🔴 Unmitigated Zones
🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area.
🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate.
🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms.
🧭 Current Bias
Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233.
Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation.
⚠️ What to Watch
3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal.
3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious.
3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance.
🧾 Summary
XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation.
Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone.
🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽🫲🏽
#GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold weakens in the short term, backhand shorts
Gold is still in a strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend. From the trend, the short-term moving average begins to diverge downward, and the price begins to slowly fall below the previous row support band and gradually weakens in the short-term trend. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary decline trend. In the hourly trend, the current small arc top pattern has emerged. The K line begins to slowly stick to the short-term moving average to maintain a good oscillating downward trend. Pay attention to the support band around 3170 in the short term. Pay attention to the adjustment and repair of the short-term trend. For operation, refer to the short-term opportunity near 3215-6, and stop loss at 3221.8.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
On Monday (April 14), spot gold fell slightly during the day, hitting a record high of $3,245.42/ounce earlier before falling back. Despite a small adjustment during the day, the price of gold remained above the key mark of $3,200/ounce, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks increased gold price volatility, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes.
📊 Commentary and analysis
From a technical perspective, the trend of spot gold continued its recent strong pattern. On the daily level, gold prices have continued to run along the rising channel since breaking through $3,000/ounce. Although there was a small correction during the day, the overall bullish trend was not damaged. The current price is firmly above $3,200/ounce, which has become a key psychological and support level in the short term. If the gold price can continue to hold this area, bulls may further challenge $3,250/ounce or even higher.
On the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3,245.42/ounce in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline.
However, from a longer-term perspective, the upward slope of gold prices since the end of last year has remained stable, and there has been no significant retracement after breaking through key resistance levels many times, reflecting the resilience of the bulls. Analysts pointed out that the support of $3,200/ounce is strong. If the subsequent price can hold this level, the bulls may exert their strength again in the next few days.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time 3220-30 Continue to go long
Take profit 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold 3220 becomes the key support, long and short only in a mome
Last Friday, the US dollar index continued to weaken during the day and fell below the $100 mark, as the Trump administration's repeated changes on the issue of import tariffs shook the market's confidence in the US dollar as a safe haven. Spot gold hit a new high, setting a new record high of $3,245.
After soaring by more than $200 last week and breaking through the 3,200 mark in one fell swoop, the gold price opened lower on Monday (April 14) and once hit a low of 3,210.
Then gold climbed to a new high again, reaching $3,245, and this wave of gains seemed to have further upward momentum. There are few safe-haven assets left in the market, and gold has become the first choice.
You can look at the daily chart. The daily chart has closed with a positive line for four consecutive trading days, and the daily chart has not shown a peak signal at present.
More importantly, the daily line currently has a five-wave upward trend, and this trend may eventually be around 3280.
The lowest position of the retracement last week was around 2950, which is at the high point of the a wave of the entire wave pattern.
Under the condition that the four-wave retracement does not break the top of the first wave, the current rise is the continuation of the fifth wave.
Secondly, you can also look at the 4-hour chart:
The most critical position of the 4-hour chart is around 3220, which is the support position of the ma10 moving average of the current 4-hour chart.
That is to say, as long as the 4-hour chart closes above 3220, then gold will definitely maintain an upward trend.
On the contrary, if the 4-hour closing line is below 3220, then there is no guarantee that there will be a possibility of a deep retracement today.
The bottom K-line of the previous 4-hour chart will close at 18:00, which means that as long as the closing line at 18:00 is above 3220, then everyone can go long.
The first target is to look at the high point of 3245, and the second is around 3280.
If the 4-hour closing line at 18:00 is below 3220, then everyone should be cautious about going long and be careful that there will be further corrections.
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Continue to go long during the US trading session
📌 Driving events
The recent global economic situation is complex and changeable, and major events have far-reaching impacts. In terms of trade, although the United States has exempted some products from tariffs, repeated policies have led to increased trade tensions. Asian powers have imposed a 125% tariff on US imports, impacting the global industrial chain and supply chain. Looking ahead to this week, investors need to pay attention to the trade situation and risk aversion. The US "terrorist data" and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision will also affect the global financial market. Policymakers and investors need to respond with caution.
📊Commentary Analysis
In terms of gold, the overall gold price showed a sharp rise last Friday.
As for the four-hour level, the current focus needs to be on the support level of the 3200 area. This position is the key dividing line that determines the short-term trend of gold. If the price is above this position, it will continue to be long in the short term. Let us wait and see, waiting for good news from everyone.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure——3260-3280
Lower support——3210-3200
Target 3220-30 to continue to do more
Take profit 3250
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260Gold market analysis:
Now everyone is waiting for a sharp drop in gold, because the previous strong bottom pull did not leave too many people with the opportunity to step back. There are many sell orders in the market. I still think that individual investors should not hold on to it. I have not seen an individual investor who holds on to it and makes a profit. Gold has risen to the highest record in history, and it is also the time point with the largest fluctuation in the past year. Many newcomers basically find it difficult to escape such a big market. Newcomers hold on to it and increase their positions when they are wrong. Veterans run faster than rabbits when they are wrong, and they hold on to it when they are right. Last week's gold weekly line was again a big positive, and the K-line moving average broke up again. There is no top to the weekly line. The indicator shows that the next target of the weekly line is 3400. In the short term, we need to find a good rhythm and opportunity to follow the buying.
The gold chart shows that the short-term moving average has begun to rise, and the buying pattern support has reached around 3209. Today's Asian market prices are strong above this position. The short-term moving average support is around 3218. In addition, the suppression of 3245 is also obvious. If it breaks, it will pull up a lot of space again. Those who like to see 3245 in the Asian market are an opportunity. If you want to follow the trend, you have to give up. The short-term retracement is our opportunity to get on the train again.
Pressure 3245, big suppression is invisible, small support 3218 and 3209, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3209.
Fundamental analysis:
Previous CPI data also showed that gold suppressed the US dollar. This week, the market will rest on Good Friday, and Powell will speak.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260