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XAU/USD potential Longs from 2990 back up to 3,100This week, I’m considering both short- and long-term opportunities on gold. We’ve recently seen a change of character to the downside, and there’s a clean 1-hour supply zone that could trigger a short-term bearish reaction. That said, there’s also a lot of nearby liquidity resting below, which I expect price to sweep first. If that happens, I’ll be watching the 20-hour demand zone—a strong area that could spark a new bullish rally from the lows. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Price has recently cleared a new all-time high (ATH), indicating continued bullish strength. - Market structure remains overall bullish, suggesting this move down may be a temporary correction. - The 20-hour demand zone sits just below key liquidity and looks highly valid. - Untouched Asia session highs remain above, which price is likely to target. - The DXY is moving bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook on gold due to their inverse correlation. Note: If price reacts from the current demand zone (which is also valid), we could see Scenario B play out first—a rally followed by a short move to clear liquidity before heading higher. Stay patient and trade safe, everyone!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
Gold prices fluctuate dramatically!Market news: On Friday (April 4) in the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3112/ounce. On Thursday (April 3), international gold experienced amazing fluctuations, with a single-day fluctuation of nearly $200, and the gold price eventually closed down. In the morning, due to the safe-haven buying driven by Trump's tariff policy, the gold price once refreshed its historical high to 3167, but then the bulls took the opportunity to take profits. The London gold price once fell by more than $110 to $3054/ounce, and then received support from bargain hunting. The poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data in March and the sharp drop in US stocks also provided support for the international gold price, helping the gold price to rise above the 3100 mark! The financial market was in panic, and people speculated that inflation would soar and economic development would stagnate. Concerns about a US recession rose, and people speculated that the Federal Reserve would have to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The dollar plummeted, and stock markets around the world also plummeted. Central banks' buying may continue to support the rise of gold prices this year. They hope to avoid the risks brought by Trump's policies, so they are looking for options other than the US dollar. The US non-farm payrolls report for March will be released today. The market expects 135,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Investors need to pay close attention. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a speech, which investors also need to pay close attention to. Technical Review: Why did the market volatility fall and rise by nearly $200 yesterday, exceeding the historical market's sharp decline and rise. Special tariffs were implemented yesterday, and then a series of policies on corresponding tariffs in various countries will be introduced. The main market players took this opportunity to carry out a large-scale wash and harvest retail investors. After the sharp drop, the stage high point appeared, and the follow-up was that both long and short positions could participate. The first plunge only established the high point position, and it was not so fast to turn short. It would fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The news in the early morning detonated the market, and the main players often did it with the help of news to increase shipments. Yesterday's market was really exciting. I can only say! Gold rose and fell on the daily line. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It rose to 3168 and was under pressure. It quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than $100. The callback space is larger than the upward space, that is, a wide range of washing with slow rise and fast adjustment. The volatility base is large, and both long and short positions need to respond flexibly, depending on the pattern. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3100 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement was 3054. Then it pulled back to close above 3100. The daily line has a short-term local adjustment, and the short-term is temporarily oscillating widely around the 3168-3050 range. Today's analysis: Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US non-farm payrolls data. Given the increased risk of recession, non-farm data will help provide a clear sense of the Fed's interest rate outlook. What is coming has come. The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day. The fluctuation of a single day is several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster than the rise, and it is more fierce. After breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward. The current minimum is 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Pay attention to the plunge and the card position. You can also participate in buying, but you must wait patiently for the position.The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern. Although the gold bulls have strongly rebounded, it is also because of the retaliatory rebound stimulated by the risk-averse news. However, gold continued to fall after the high, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100! If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then the gold bears will still have more advantages in this tug-of-war. Today is the non-agricultural data again. Overall, the impact of non-agricultural data is expected to be eclipsed. More important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100. If it does not fall below 3100, then it is necessary to adjust thinking in time. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3097-3100, stop loss at 3090, target at 3130-3140; Sell short-term gold at 3132-3135, stop loss at 3144, target at 3100-3090; Key points: First support level: 3100, second support level: 3078, third support level: 3054 First resistance level: 3120, second resistance level: 3135, third resistance level: 3167
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction. Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders. Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance. NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today. The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution. 📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H) Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway. Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160. Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050. 📍 Setup 1 SELL Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone). Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M. Stop Loss: Above $3,153 TP1: $3,125 TP2: $3,110 TP3: $3,090 📍 Setup 2 SELL Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest). Entry: 3091-3095 Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5. Stop Loss: Above 3,096 TP1: 3066 TP2: 3054 TP3: 3040 📍 Setup 2 BUY Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry. Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075. Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M). Stop Loss: Below $3,070. TP1: $3,100 TP2: $3,120 TP3: $3,135 📍 Setup 3 BUY Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge)⁠. Entry: Buy at 3048-3055 Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume⁠. Stop Loss: Below 3048 TP1: 3085 TP2: 3115 TP3: 3128 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
3
XAU/USD(20250404) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② ​​Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3111 Support and resistance levels 3224 3182 3155 3068 3044 2999 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3155, consider buying, the first target price is 3182 If the price breaks through 3111, consider selling, the first target price is 3068
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
XAUUSD H4 Updat- Selling Pressure Sends Gold Tumbling Toward SupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD After struggling to stay above the 3100 area, XAUUSD is currently consolidating, awaiting the next momentum shift. Selling pressure continues to dominate, and buyers seem unable to push gold higher in the short term. From a technical perspective, the current lack of buying strength may be attributed to market uncertainty following comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariff policies. These remarks have added a layer of risk-off sentiment, causing investors to step back from safe-haven assets like gold. On the 4-hour chart (H4), there's a visible downside potential with key support levels seen in the 2955–2930 range. This zone previously acted as a strong demand area, making it an important level to watch in the coming sessions. Key scenarios to consider: A confirmed break below the 3100 zone could pave the way for a retest of the 2955–2930 support area. However, if gold forms a higher low above 3100, a potential bullish reversal should not be ruled out. At this stage, the best approach is to wait for clearer price action confirmation — whether gold will bounce from support or extend its correction deeper. I'll continue to monitor the price development and update accordingly if the technical structure changes significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by algonauthx
4.4 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategy!!!On Thursday (April 3), spot gold experienced a surprising volatility, with a single-day fluctuation of nearly $114, and the price of gold finally closed down. Analyze the technical outlook of gold intraday. The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the price of gold is trading below the currently flat 20-period SMA, but it is still well above the bullish 100-period SMA, which provides support near $3040/oz. At the same time, technical indicators have recovered from near oversold readings and stabilized within negative levels. If the price of gold falls below the above-mentioned $3040/oz area, the price of gold may fall sharply. Support: $3086.70/oz; $3073.90/oz; $3061.10/oz Resistance: $3123.10/oz; $3136.70/oz; $3150.00/oz
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Is the golden large-scale "roller coaster" near miss?Gold took a large "V"-shaped reversal pattern on Thursday, with the highest hitting 3167 in the Asian session, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European session. It successfully fell to the lowest 3054 before the US session and then rebounded. As of now, gold has deeply bottomed out and rebounded to 3135. It has now started the oscillation mode. Gold continues to fluctuate in the range of 3100-3135, waiting for the release of the initial jobless claims data in the US session. The data is bearish, and the shorts broke through the 3080 line. After all, the technical adjustment is almost done, and everyone can find opportunities to go long. Later, gold hit the 3054 line and rebounded quickly, and the long orders also recovered the losses. This process is full of thrills and excitement. After all, such a large bottoming rebound is relatively rare. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3130-35 on the upper side, and pay attention to the short-term support around 3100-3106 on the lower side. Pay attention to the support of 3083-3087. After stabilizing above this position, continue to follow the low-long rhythm, and stick to the idea of ​​​​going long after stepping back. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long at 3105-3095
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown 1. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend. Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher. Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection. Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced. 3. Current Price Action: Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050). A bullish reaction is expected from this level. If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186. 4. Projected Move: The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support. If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel. Mr SMC Trading point Conclusion: If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity. A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement. Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold has been moving big recently, don’t hold it blindly!What is coming has come, more than 100 US dollars a day, the decline is always faster than the rise, and more fierce, after breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward, the current minimum is 3054, the key position below is 3000/3040, pay attention to the plunge and the card position can also participate in the long, but must be patient to wait for the position. After the big drop, the stage high point appears, and the follow-up is that both long and short can participate. The first plunge only establishes the high point position, and it is not so fast to turn short. It will fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The evening news detonates the market, and the main force often uses the news to pull up shipments. If the rebound touches 3110-3120, short it.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Sniper Entry Activated: Post-Unemployment Claims Liquidity SweepGOLD JUST HIT $3,055—🥶 deep dive mode unlocked! Alright, this is crunch time. We’re officially in the $3,050–$3,057 "DO OR DIE" buy zone. Updated Game Plan: 🟢 Buy Setup (High-Risk Reversal Zone) 📍 Entry: $3,050 – $3,057 (we’re IN IT) 📍 Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH + rejection wick + engulfing candle 📍 SL: Below $3,047 (tight but necessary) 📍 TP1: $3,074 📍 TP2: $3,089 📍 TP3: $3,100 🚨 If $3,047 breaks CLEANLY… expect $3,033 – $3,038 next, followed by $3,021. 📌 What’s happening? ✔️ This is a major liquidity sweep—smart money hunting stops before reversal? 🤔 ✔️ If we get a strong rejection here, NY could send it back above $3,074. ✔️ If we see NO bullish reaction, it's bear town until $3,033. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180Gold market analysis: The international situation is very unstable, the situation in the Middle East, the situation in Russia and Ukraine, plus Trump's trade war, it is difficult for gold to show a weekly decline. The tariffs were released again last night, causing gold to rise strongly. Today's thinking is undoubtedly to continue to be bullish. Today we will first look for structural support to go long. There was a decline in the Asian session, and the daily moving average began to rise. Today, it will be repaired first and then pulled up. In terms of gold pattern, 3134 is the strong pattern support in the Asian session, and the small support is around 3140. Bulls will play at this position. We estimate that there will be a few pulls in the Asian session today. The range of getting on the train is around 3134-3140. The strong support has reached around 3110. If this position is not broken, it is basically difficult to change the buying trend during the day. In addition, tomorrow is the non-agricultural data, and we estimate that such buying will reach the non-agricultural data. Support 3134-3140, strong support 3120 and 3110, strong pressure is invisible, small pressure today's high point, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3134. Operation suggestion: Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
The battle for the 3200 mark is imminentThe United States has officially launched a tax increase policy on major global trading partners. The wide range of goods involved and the high tax increase are rare in history. The essence of the tax increase is to require countries to have the same tax rate on US goods as the US export tax rate to them. For example, if Indian motorcycles face a 2.4% tax in the United States, and American motorcycles are taxed 100% in India, the United States will reversely tax Indian motorcycles at 100%. This "tit-for-tat" mechanism directly leads to a surge in the price of imported goods, and companies are forced to restructure their supply chains. Next, once the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates, gold is bound to reach a new level. Cutting interest rates is the general trend. When the economy is down, only by cutting interest rates can economic development be stimulated, and raising interest rates will only push the economy to the brink of collapse. The US economy is already in collapse, not on the edge! After the tariff news, gold quickly retreated to 3105 and then soared, reaching a high of 3168. Gold, hold the position of 3100 US dollars, which is the key to determine the long and short positions. The rising market is not about staring at the high point speculation, but the gains and losses of the key support area. As long as the key support is not broken, the rising trend will not see the top. Gold operation suggestion: long around 3120-3110
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Test Before BrThis chart represents a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute timeframe analysis from TradingView. Here are the key takeaways: Technical Indicators & Levels Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 200 EMA (Blue Line): 3,110.97 – A long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line): 3,134.65 – A short-term trend indicator. Key Levels Resistance Point: Around 3,136.56. Support Zone (Stop Loss Level): 3,103.16. Target Point: 3,167.44, indicating a potential 1.62% upside. Potential Trade Setup Scenario 1 (Bullish Case): If price breaks above resistance (3,136.56) and holds, the next target is 3,167.44. A bullish breakout could indicate further momentum. Scenario 2 (Bearish Case): If price fails to break resistance and drops, it could test the support zone around 3,103.16. A break below this level might lead to further downside. Pattern Analysis: The chart suggests a potential retest of resistance before a breakout. A possible accumulation phase before a strong move. Conclusion Bullish above 3,136.56, targeting 3,167.44. Bearish below 3,103.16, watching for downside risk. The 200 EMA (3,110.97) could act as dynamic support.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold price hits a new all-time high!Market news: In the early Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), spot gold continued to rise, once refreshing its historical high to $3,168/ounce, as US President Trump declared a national emergency on Wednesday to enhance the competitive advantage of the United States, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. He will impose a 10% benchmark tariff on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of the largest US trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war launched after his return to the White House, and the market risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply. After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment rose sharply in the early Asian trading on Thursday, US stock futures plummeted, and Dow futures plunged more than 1,100 points. London gold prices soared, and international gold prices soared after US President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. When people's concerns about the global economy intensify, investors regard gold as a safe haven. Such concerns have helped gold prices rise 19% so far this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven mainly by massive central bank purchases and strong demand in Asia. The dollar index fell after Trump's tariff plan was announced, making gold more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors need to pay attention to the number of layoffs in challenger companies in the United States in March, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 29, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data in the United States in March. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of Trump's tariff policy and the response measures of various countries, and pay attention to changes in national stock market performance and risk aversion. Technical Review: At the daily level, gold started the downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous continuous rise in one fell swoop. However, the current moving average system still maintains an upward divergent trend. The 4-hour trend of gold temporarily maintains a high range of oscillation repair. At present, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation repair trend during the day. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross with upward bullish arrangement. Although gold fell below the moving average support yesterday, the strength of gold bulls to bottom out and rebound is still relatively strong, and with the support of gold safe-haven, gold bulls are still better. As long as it does not break 3100, it will continue to be strongly bullish. Today's analysis: The news of gold early in the morning upgraded the risk aversion, and gold broke upward again. Then the previous resistance of gold has now become support again. The previous platform support of gold at 3135 has broken upward, so gold has now formed support at 3135. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. Since after the shock, gold bulls have exerted their strength again under the stimulation of risk aversion, the trend continues to belong to bulls, and gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. The 1-hour moving average of gold turned upward again, and gold bulls regained control of the home court. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips on the previous platform support of 3135. Now risk aversion stimulates gold to rise. Don't chase it directly at high levels for the time being, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. As risk aversion is upgraded, gold buying will continue to be strong and gold is expected to rise to a higher level. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3132-3135 buy, stop loss 3124, target 3160-3170; Short-term gold 3174-3177 sell, stop loss 3185, target 3140-3130; Key points: First support level: 3140, second support level: 3133, third support level: 3120 First resistance level: 3166, second resistance level: 3174, third resistance level: 3187
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news: US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% ​​for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs". Today's long and short boundaries: 3127 Support and resistance levels 3164 3150 3141 3113 3103 3089 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164 If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
The tariff hammer helps bulls rise stronglyTechnical analysis of gold: Affected by fundamentals, gold rose sharply again. The daily line finally closed in the positive zone and maintained a strong high at the opening. Pay attention to the upper and lower support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, it will have the momentum to continue to rise. The 4H cycle will strongly break through the upper Bollinger Band. , moving higher around the moving average support, there is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle rail has recovered, and the middle rail is still a key watershed. The lower support is around 3148 and 3138. We will go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look at 3170 and 3200! Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138-40, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170! Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. The market is changing rapidly. There is no general who always wins in this market. Therefore, it is important for us to make corresponding adjustments according to market changes. We must do a good job of protection. There will always be some ups and downs in the market, but there will be a rainbow after the rain. We must not forget our original intention and forge ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
The long-short sweep may still explodeThe tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious. Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics. So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this. As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. This performance can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I certainly cannot notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss. ​ ​
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel