Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00Crude oil market analysis:
Trump's tariff policy has greatly stimulated crude oil, causing it to plunge all the way. At present, it has fallen to the bottom of the previous plunge again. We estimate that there will be a small counterattack at this position. The rebound is our opportunity to sell again. The idea of crude oil follows the general direction. Pay attention to the suppression near 62.20. The daily line shape shows that it will go down.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil------sell near 62.20, target 60.00-58.00
Goldprice
Gold------Buy near 3012, target 3055-3084Gold market analysis:
The weekly gold line hit a high and then fell back. The bulls reached a high of 3167. There was a big dive on Thursday and Friday, and the weekly line finally closed with a big tombstone. This morning, the lowest price of gold fell to 2971, and the range of ups and downs was very large. The daily line did not reflect it and directly broke all the support of the moving average, which means that the short-term top has appeared. In the later period, gold will begin to fluctuate at a high level and make a large structural adjustment. At present, the possibility of a large shock is relatively large, because this wave of sharp decline is caused by data and fundamentals. If the weekly line closes with a big negative again this week, it will bring a deep adjustment of the weekly line. I estimate that there will be a large shock and repair at the beginning of the week, and it will continue to fall in the second half of the week.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded in the early trading, closing with a big positive line in 4 hours. The short-term decline met support and rebounded. We estimate that the range of the big repair in the white market is 3084-3000. You can make profits in this range. At present, catching its rhythm is the most important thing. Gold is swinging quite a lot, try to do it in a big position.
Support 3000 and 3012, suppress 3055 and 3084, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3000.
Fundamental analysis
Last week's fundamentals were very stimulating. Trump's tariffs caused gold to plunge, and the positive non-agricultural data did not bring gold back to the buying momentum.
Operational suggestions
Gold------Buy near 3012, target 3055-3084
Bitcoin Lost 50 SMA overnight, what next ? - still BULLISH.In a week where I am still expecting the beginnings of a bounce, we saw a Major Drop overnight.
This has pushed PA below the 50 SMA that I was hoping PA would bounce off, as it had previously.
So, Whats Next ?
It is not as bad as it may appear but CAUTION is a Very Very good idea.
There are a number of lines of support below and if we do not find any soon, 73K is the next line of Support. then down to 71K and ultimately, the long term line at 64K, though I still doubt we will get that low.
But FEAR is BIG...be a Vulture..Buy the remains of people Fear...Bitcoin IS a Scarce asset and people Still want it.
The Weekly MACD
The MACD is now in the bounce Zone. Yes, it may drop below neutral if this "Tariff Fear" continues. But Technically, We now have the ability to bounce once sentiment turns
On a slightly more bearish side is the fact that Histogram has dived deep and Red. The Bears are biting and has momentum
The RSI Relative Strength Index
Like the MACD, the RSI is now in an area where it has bounced in the past and yet, it can still drop further before we reach Neutral ( 30 line ) . It has to be said, the RSI is a bit behind the MACD in that it has a later date when it could reach Neutral. There is no guarantee that Neutral will hold RSI up....
Other Markets are struggling also
The DXY $ has had a sustained drop but is near an area of support. I am watching this closely.
Normaly, we see DXY and BTC move in opposite directions but we have seen both Recover at the same time, The lines between the teo are getting blurred.
GOLD - has been doing well for some omnths
However, in th elast 2 weeks, Gold has been selling off also and saw a steep drop towards the end of last week. Will be very interesting to see where this goes this week
The fact that Gold was selling, shows that investors were comfortable to leave a safe haven.
Lets see if that changes this weel
Conclusion for BITCOIN HOLDERS
This could all sound a little scary for Bitcoin and it should be taken as a HUGE Warning that we Lost the 50 SMA Support. This does open up the possibility of further drops and it may well happen
We are currently heading towards major support at 73K
This is an area I said we could hit a few weeks back and so I am not in a bad state of mind just yet.
If we Loose 71K, I will get uncomfortable.
The Lower timeframes are very much heading to OVERSOLD and so we shold get some support here and then we wait to see if Fear takes hold further.
This week, we Get the FOMC minutes and then Inflation data coming out of the USA
Thsi could Tip the balance either way, depending on the data
For me, I am NOT Selling Just yet.
I imagine many Short term holders will be and these coins will be snapped back up
We wait to see how today plays out
BUY THE DIP
Explosive gold prices!【Market News】
On Monday (April 7), spot gold continued to fall in the Asian market, once losing the 3,000 integer mark, and refreshed the low since March 13 to $2,976/ounce. As concerns about international trade intensified, US stock index futures continued to plummet, and Japanese, Australian and New Zealand stock markets also followed the decline. Investors continued to sell gold to make up for their losses in the broader market collapse. Last Friday, European and American stock markets plummeted, and investors had already sold gold at that time, causing spot gold to plummet by 2.47% last Friday! After the plunge on Thursday and Friday, global markets fell further on Monday, and may have the worst three-day plunge in history. Investors who had been expecting some kind of reversal in tariff policy throughout the weekend realized that this was impossible, so they sold all kinds of assets after the opening of Monday. It should be reminded that investors still need to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting and safe-haven buying in London gold prices. Driven by strong central bank purchases and its overall appeal as a safe hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainties, international gold has still risen by more than 13% this year. After the dramatic events surrounding US tariffs, the US schedule this week is relatively dull. The most important events are the release of the Fed's March meeting minutes on Wednesday, the release of US CPI and weekly unemployment benefits on Thursday, and the subsequent US PPI, University of Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations.
Technical Review:
The tariff policy has been implemented. Buy the expectation and sell the fact. Gold was sold off on Friday. Gold is under pressure from the upper track of the rising trend line channel at 3160/65. The current correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel line at 2980/70. The daily line closed with a big negative structure. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator continued to be overbought at a high level of 80 values in the early stage, and then turned down and fell back to the 50-value central axis!The weekly RSI indicator turned downward and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the early trading. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3125 dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/75, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. In the early trading, gold continued to fluctuate downward in a weak bearish trend. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continued to be mainly high-altitude, with low-long auxiliary cooperation.
Today's analysis:
Gold once again opened a dramatic crazy mode last Friday, with buying and selling back and forth, large fluctuations, and finally selling was slightly better. The daily line closed in the long Yinxian form of upper and lower leads, which can be said to be an eye-opener for the market. With the increase in the base of gold prices, large fluctuations are also commonplace. The large fluctuations in the last second and the next second make the market uneasy. In the face of the sharp decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below will be maintained at the 3000 integer level! This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high possibility of a pullback, while the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion of 3054-57, which is also the top position of the last big Yinxian last Friday. This position will be an ideal short-selling point on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a dead cross downward, so there is still motivation for selling gold. The short-term trend of gold can only be a rebound. After the rebound, gold will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The resistance of gold rebound is 3054. If it is under pressure, then gold will continue to sell at highs after the rebound.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 2983-2985 buy, stop loss 2974, target 3010-3030;
Short-term gold 3051-3054 sell, stop loss 3063, target 3000-3010;
Key points:
First support level: 3000, second support level: 2990, third support level: 2976
First resistance level: 3040, second resistance level: 3054, third resistance level: 3068
XAU/USD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3063
Support and resistance levels:
3183
3138
3109
3017
2988
2943
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3017, consider buying, the first target price is 3063
If the price breaks through 2988, consider selling, the first target price is 2943
Gold opens lower and moves lower, the rebound continues to be beThe gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged, and it continues to open downwards. So gold is now the home of the shorts. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. Gold is now in a short trend under the gap. Gold rebounds around 3050 and continues to be short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3050, stop loss 3060, target 3030
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe:
As the 4CastMachine AI forecasted, the price began its decline towards the $3,000 support.
At the support area of 3000, the up trend line will also prevent further declines.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 2789.95.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
💡 H4 Timeframe:
Gold started its decline when it hit the 3167 resistance.
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 3000 and uptrend line could trigger a resumption of uptrend.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
If the price enters the sell zone with a corrective wave, we will wait for the price to reject from that area.
If we see a price rejection from the sell zone, we can sell.
H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
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Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020. This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals.
Technical Review:
After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week?
Next week's analysis:
From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060;
Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030;
Key points:
First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988
First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
Gold short 2.0Here we have the chart of my last 2 gold trades.
First trade was took at the top of the first down trend with an entry of 3053, here I was anticipating a move to the 2950 area, at least. It was a profitable trade, I closed half of the position for a 400 pip gain, with my SL then moved to 200 pips in profit - which was then hit on the break of the trend.
Following that price action we hit a massive 3 bar surge on the daily, massive move, massive momentum and unfortunately I was not in it! However this morning we seen more crazy move before the London open and I entered another short at 3145 when the STF was showing weakness, this is nicely in profit approaching 400 pips as I write this, SL at entry.
On the close of this latest hourly we see we have broke below the major trend, and next I will be looking for a re test of the trend line/area of consolidation where I will add to my position with the overall retracement target remaining a massive 2950 - will i hold it until then? Doubtful!
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Reversal Setup – FVG Entry to EMA 200 ResiThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe, with some key technical elements and a projected trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Current Market Overview
Price: Trading around $3,038.51.
Trend: Recent downtrend followed by a minor recovery.
Indicators:
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at $3,090.41, acting as a dynamic resistance.
EMA 30 (Red): Positioned below the EMA 200, indicating a still bearish trend but with potential for a pullback.
2. Key Zones & Labels
Limit Entry Zone: Highlighted around $3,025.72 (bottom purple zone)
Labeled as “LIMIT ENTRY”, indicating a potential buy entry.
This area corresponds with a fair value gap (fvg) — often used in smart money concepts as a sign of institutional interest.
Target Zone: Around $3,082.22 (top purple zone)
Labeled as “target point EA”.
Lies just below the EMA 200 resistance level, which is a likely take-profit area for a bullish move.
3. Projected Price Action
A possible bullish retracement is anticipated:
Dip into the limit entry/fvg zone at ~$3,025.
Then, a rally targeting the $3,082 zone, possibly extending toward the EMA 200 at ~$3,090.
4. Trade Setup (Based on the Chart)
Entry: Around $3,025.72 (limit buy)
Target: Between $3,082.22 - $3,090.41
Risk: Likely below the FVG zone (~$3,015–$3,020), depending on risk appetite.
Conclusion
This is a smart money concept-based setup anticipating a liquidity grab or fair value gap fill before a bullish move. The trade aims for a reversal at a key demand zone, with confirmation from EMA confluence above as a profit target.
Would you like help plotting stop-loss levels or analyzing the risk/reward ratio?
Gold Needs a upward correctionGold price crashed over 2.8% as Powell turns hawkish on tariffs and inflation. But right now gold needs a upward correction. There is a bell curve area and market left multiple sps.
Fundamental is also on gold side. Safe heaven movement is still on because of tariff and war situation.
Perfect ending, gold trend analysis and layout for next weekEarly layout plan for gold: 3.31-4.4 Reviewing this week, a total of 20 layouts were arranged, and the overall harvest was 1245pips! This week can be called a super week. After the tariff fundamentals were implemented, the market started the callback mode, and there was a big sweep in the middle. It is unrealistic to say that we can win all the games. The number of mistakes we made this week has also increased. This is normal, but our eye-catching operations are even more dazzling, and we have gained more. Overall, I am quite satisfied. I will continue to work hard next week.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday: Technical analysis of gold: The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of big negative declines, the current short-term trend of gold is bearish. The daily line has a big negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin engulfing Yang. In the short term, it may rely on the support of the middle track to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens and extends downward. The K-line continues to decline, and the trend is bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term.
Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, and to sell at high altitudes. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, and to buy on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set the stop loss strictly, and do not resist the single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market information ☎️, enter ✈️✈️ to follow real-time orders.
Reference for gold operation strategies on Monday:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3045-3055, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3015, break to see 3000 line.
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3015-3005, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3040, break to see 3050 line.
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
XAU/USD potential Longs from 2990 back up to 3,100This week, I’m considering both short- and long-term opportunities on gold. We’ve recently seen a change of character to the downside, and there’s a clean 1-hour supply zone that could trigger a short-term bearish reaction.
That said, there’s also a lot of nearby liquidity resting below, which I expect price to sweep first. If that happens, I’ll be watching the 20-hour demand zone—a strong area that could spark a new bullish rally from the lows.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Price has recently cleared a new all-time high (ATH), indicating continued bullish strength.
- Market structure remains overall bullish, suggesting this move down may be a temporary correction.
- The 20-hour demand zone sits just below key liquidity and looks highly valid.
- Untouched Asia session highs remain above, which price is likely to target.
- The DXY is moving bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook on gold due to their inverse correlation.
Note: If price reacts from the current demand zone (which is also valid), we could see Scenario B play out first—a rally followed by a short move to clear liquidity before heading higher.
Stay patient and trade safe, everyone!
Gold is GOLD yet not be OLD!!Buy GOLD in all dips
Can be Multibagger!!
Target1 - 2600 USD
Target2 - 2899 USD
Target3 - 3050 USD
Long Term can be anything, if its closed above 3000 USD..
Disclaimer :-
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for education purposes only.
I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel suggestions.
Consult your financial advisor before taking any decisions
gold after the inertviez of jerome todayAs of April 4, 2025, gold prices have experienced significant volatility amid escalating trade tensions and market uncertainties. Following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs and China's subsequent retaliation with 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, investors have increasingly turned to gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge in demand propelled gold prices to record highs, surpassing $3,130 per troy ounce
Gold prices fluctuate dramatically!Market news:
On Friday (April 4) in the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3112/ounce. On Thursday (April 3), international gold experienced amazing fluctuations, with a single-day fluctuation of nearly $200, and the gold price eventually closed down. In the morning, due to the safe-haven buying driven by Trump's tariff policy, the gold price once refreshed its historical high to 3167, but then the bulls took the opportunity to take profits. The London gold price once fell by more than $110 to $3054/ounce, and then received support from bargain hunting. The poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data in March and the sharp drop in US stocks also provided support for the international gold price, helping the gold price to rise above the 3100 mark! The financial market was in panic, and people speculated that inflation would soar and economic development would stagnate. Concerns about a US recession rose, and people speculated that the Federal Reserve would have to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The dollar plummeted, and stock markets around the world also plummeted. Central banks' buying may continue to support the rise of gold prices this year. They hope to avoid the risks brought by Trump's policies, so they are looking for options other than the US dollar. The US non-farm payrolls report for March will be released today. The market expects 135,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Investors need to pay close attention. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a speech, which investors also need to pay close attention to.
Technical Review:
Why did the market volatility fall and rise by nearly $200 yesterday, exceeding the historical market's sharp decline and rise. Special tariffs were implemented yesterday, and then a series of policies on corresponding tariffs in various countries will be introduced. The main market players took this opportunity to carry out a large-scale wash and harvest retail investors. After the sharp drop, the stage high point appeared, and the follow-up was that both long and short positions could participate. The first plunge only established the high point position, and it was not so fast to turn short. It would fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The news in the early morning detonated the market, and the main players often did it with the help of news to increase shipments. Yesterday's market was really exciting. I can only say! Gold rose and fell on the daily line. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It rose to 3168 and was under pressure. It quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than $100. The callback space is larger than the upward space, that is, a wide range of washing with slow rise and fast adjustment. The volatility base is large, and both long and short positions need to respond flexibly, depending on the pattern. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3100 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement was 3054. Then it pulled back to close above 3100. The daily line has a short-term local adjustment, and the short-term is temporarily oscillating widely around the 3168-3050 range.
Today's analysis:
Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US non-farm payrolls data. Given the increased risk of recession, non-farm data will help provide a clear sense of the Fed's interest rate outlook. What is coming has come. The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day. The fluctuation of a single day is several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster than the rise, and it is more fierce. After breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward. The current minimum is 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Pay attention to the plunge and the card position. You can also participate in buying, but you must wait patiently for the position.The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern. Although the gold bulls have strongly rebounded, it is also because of the retaliatory rebound stimulated by the risk-averse news. However, gold continued to fall after the high, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100! If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then the gold bears will still have more advantages in this tug-of-war. Today is the non-agricultural data again. Overall, the impact of non-agricultural data is expected to be eclipsed. More important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100. If it does not fall below 3100, then it is necessary to adjust thinking in time.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3097-3100, stop loss at 3090, target at 3130-3140;
Sell short-term gold at 3132-3135, stop loss at 3144, target at 3100-3090;
Key points:
First support level: 3100, second support level: 3078, third support level: 3054
First resistance level: 3120, second resistance level: 3135, third resistance level: 3167
Gold Analysis April 4Gold is pushing up to 3116 at the end of the European session. If it breaks this zone, the possibility of an uptrend is high and heading towards 3134. Pay attention to 3080 for BUY zones in the US session and today's main BUY zone is around the 3065 price zone. Money management is the time you survive with the market.
Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context
Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance.
NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today.
The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution.
📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H)
Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway.
Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160.
Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050.
📍 Setup 1 SELL
Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone
Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone).
Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M.
Stop Loss: Above $3,153
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,110
TP3: $3,090
📍 Setup 2 SELL
Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest).
Entry: 3091-3095
Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5.
Stop Loss: Above 3,096
TP1: 3066
TP2: 3054
TP3: 3040
📍 Setup 2 BUY
Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry.
Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075.
Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M).
Stop Loss: Below $3,070.
TP1: $3,100
TP2: $3,120
TP3: $3,135
📍 Setup 3 BUY
Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge).
Entry: Buy at 3048-3055
Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume.
Stop Loss: Below 3048
TP1: 3085
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3128
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
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