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XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH. Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red. Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH. Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side: 1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold. 2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed. 📈Technical aspects: Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold plummeted as expected. Operation strategy?In my last analysis, Quaid predicted that gold was at risk of falling and breaking. Quaid promptly told everyone that they could short trade at 3310-3320. At present, the market situation is basically consistent with Quaid's expectations. As of now, gold has fallen to a low point near 3215. And it has been maintained for some time. Quaid speculates that gold will continue to maintain a bearish trend and continue to retreat. Quaid data analysis: From the hourly chart, gold is currently following a wave trend, and the highest point of 3352 is the starting point of wave A. The high point of wave b is at 3320. If the current 3220 is the beginning of the low point of wave C, then be careful of its continued decline. Trading strategy: In terms of the next operation, Quaid suggests waiting for short trading near 3225. If gold falls below 3210 again, then the bottom can directly look towards the 3190-3200 range. Quaid warned everyone not to think that the trading range is very large; because the trading markets in some Asian countries are closed, any terrible thing could happen. It is recommended that everyone take profits in time.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position. Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold starts a unilateral decline? 📌 Gold information U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in midday trading due to disappointing U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the crucial monthly employment report. This is likely to be the most important U.S. data point so far this year. In other news, Dow Jones News Service reported: "Tariffs are beginning to bring pressure, prompting the Eastern giant to increase stimulus to support economic growth. 📊Comment analysis For international gold, what you need to do now is to follow the market. Don't think about bottom fishing. You can do a short-term rebound during the day. When the market has clearly broken the structure, you should choose to believe in the technical side, rather than speculate on the next support. This will only be endless. At this stage, if you fail to bottom fishing, are you still ready to try again near the integer of 3200? This is not over yet. Even if it falls below 3200, the 3180 horizontal support will be immediately below. This round of decline is about to completely give up the second rise in the front end, depending on 3180. This is why I just said that 3200 will immediately encounter a new support. The reason why many people choose to go long above 3240 is also because it is the first stage of the high platform of the front-end surge, and it is necessary to defend. Unfortunately, the defense is not successful now. In other words, if you want to go short next, you have to look at the continued decline. What are the characteristics of the continued decline? You certainly can't tolerate it having an excessive rebound, so don't think about any high-altitude trading strategy. 💰Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate at 3230 points, and the profit target is around 3200 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals: From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent. 📊Technical aspects: In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply. From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage. The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish. 🎯Practical strategy: Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution. 📍 What Happened: 🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips 🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone ❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean ✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce 👁‍🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1): 3315–3325 = Decision zone  → Break = bullish reversal  → Rejection = new short trigger 3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation 3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails 3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news 🧠 Current Bias: 🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning 🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips 🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325 📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: Zone Type Level(s) Commentary 🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk 🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout 🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift 🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls 🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection ⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak ✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone 🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone 🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone 🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG 🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1: 🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech 📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K) 🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI 🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices ⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before. 🎯 Final Note: If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385. If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision. This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait. — 📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck? Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you. 🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
4
Gold's evening rebound continues to be bearishAffected by the initial jobless claims data, gold has rebounded and risen again to around 3220 after touching around 3203. As we mentioned in the previous trading idea, short selling is still our main trading method before there is a big data impact. For the time being, we will first look at the first-line resistance of 3240-3250. If it breaks through this resistance range, we will further look at the key resistance of 3260-3270. If it does not break, we will go short. There is an obvious downhill trend in the weekly line, which is expected to form a continuous negative trend. Then we look to the 3210-3200 support level to remain unchanged, and may even continue to look to the early low support line of 3193. SELL 3240-3250 TP 3210-3200 Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction. Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!!!On Wednesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3327.91 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3266.79, closing at 3288.16. In view of the fact that gold fell under pressure during the early trading on Wednesday and broke through the four-hour and daily support as expected, and then the US market rebounded again and came under pressure, and finally ended in a big negative state at the daily level. The price has fallen below the daily support, so we need to pay attention to the continuation of the band decline in the future. From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months in the early stage and then a single-month correction appeared. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction appeared. Therefore, according to the rhythm, four consecutive positives have appeared. For May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. From the perspective of the medium-term, we can continue to maintain a bullish view, and the price drop is only a correction in the medium-term rise. From the daily level, the current price resistance is in the 3007 area, which is the key watershed of the band trend. If the price is below this position, the subsequent band will be treated as short. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price resistance, it is around 3290, so the subsequent price will be treated as short under the four-hour resistance. In general, the price can be treated as short under the four-hour resistance and the daily resistance.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Updates - May 1st , ahead of Unemployment Claims & PMI News🔍 Gold Route Map – Updated May 1st | Macro Levels & Bias 📊 Today’s Key News (May 1st): • 🕒 14:30 – Unemployment Claims (USD) • 🏭 14:45 – Final Manufacturing PMI • 🏭 15:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices Expect high volatility and whipsaws. Gold continues its ruthless selloff, slicing through level after level with institutional precision. As we enter May, structure is loud and clear: bulls are out cold unless price proves otherwise. 👁‍🗨 Key Zones to Watch: 🔻 Resistance 3385 – HTF FVG zone / reversal risk 🔻 Resistance 3350 – Clean target above breakout 🔻 Resistance 3325 – Final barrier before shift ⚔️ 3315–3320 = Flip Zone  → Flip = reclaim structure  → Rejection = continuation sell 🔁 Retest 3308–3312 – Last OB Rejection ⚖️ 3286–3292 = Retest Range  → Internal structure test  → Weak support unless reinforced 🟩 3260–3270 = Reaction Zone  → Confirmed demand  → Last week’s sniper buy played from here 🟢 3252–3244 = Fresh Buy Zone  → Strong OB + inefficiency  → Eyes on reaction 🟢 3220–3235 = Major Discount Range  → ⏳ Multi-timeframe OB + weekly FVG 🧊 3190–3205 = Daily Demand Shelf  → If price nukes, this is where blood meets buyers 🧊 3160–3175 = April’s Demand Base  → Mid-range accumulation shelf 📉 Current Bias • HTF Trend: Bearish under ATH, clean lower highs • LTF Flow: Still bearish unless we flip above 3315 • Market Context: News-heavy week + low liquidity zones triggered this meltdown 🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t trade every bounce. Trade the right structure with proper confirmation. Most of the breakout noise is bait — only a few zones are true sniper setups. Gold plays games. We play levels. GoldMindsFX 🙏 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
2
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals: 📊Technical aspects: Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168. Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194. 🎯Practical strategy: Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold 3213 and 3272 are space switching points 📌 Gold information The US non-farm payrolls report released this Friday (May 3) will become a market vane. If the employment data deteriorates significantly (such as the sharp drop in private employment growth shown by ADP), it may strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold; on the contrary, if the data is stable, the US dollar may further suppress the price of gold. The intraday decline in gold prices seems to be partly driven by technical selling pressure, after gold prices decisively fell below the key support level of $3,265-3,260. However, due to the unexpected contraction of US GDP and the intensification of signs of slowing inflation, the market's expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased, and the US dollar (USD) has found it difficult to maintain any significant rebound. 📊Comment Analysis Gold price rose strongly by $544 in April. It entered the mode of space sweeping and adjustment from the confirmation of 3500. The next move is to sweep the range of the large range, starting at at least $40, and the range is $100, sweeping back and forth 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell gold area: 3270-3272 SL 3277 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3240 🔥Buy gold area: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171 TP1: $3185 TP2: $3200 TP3: $3210 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
XAU/USD 01 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
It's time to short gold All reluctance to change comes from fear of the unknown. Many times, we can't do something, not because we can't do it, but because we don't dare. If you don't have the courage to face the strange world, don't complain that you can't find opportunities. Let go of the burden in your heart, everyone can be excellent! Gold, yesterday's US market was directly pulled up by the news, and it started to fall after reaching a high of around 3319. It continued to fall during the day and fell sharply after opening. The current low reached around 3221, and the decline was nearly 100 points. The daily line closed in the form of a medium-yin line, and continued to be suppressed by the short-term moving average. Today's sharp decline also directly broke through the previous bottom position of around 3265. This position is likely to form a top-bottom conversion pattern in the short term, and the key support below will likely be maintained at the 3200 line. Since this week is a non-agricultural week, the rapid decline in the morning is also beyond our expectations. Today's retracement and breakout also gave the market new expectations for the shorts. Therefore, the European session needs certain support for the shorts, and the key pressure above is maintained near 3265. This position is also an ideal point for continuing to arrange shorts in the short term. Once it breaks through again, the energy of the shorts may be exhausted in advance. Therefore, our overall thinking during the day is still around the shorts, but we need to wait patiently for it to rebound and continue to arrange. If gold rebounds near 3260-62 during the day, short it, the target is around 3230-10, and the loss is 3271. If the European session continues to fall and break, try to go long near 3190-88 in the US session, and the loss is 3280. Today's operation: Gold rebounds near 3260-62 during the day and shorts it, the target is around 3230-10, and the loss is 3270. Thank you for the support of all traders. If you have any suggestions, please let me know
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11