No need to hesitate, gold continues to be bullish
I just told you that you can go long near 3298. Gold once retreated to around 3275 during the European session.
I think if you want to go long, there is definitely a chance, and I have been emphasizing this.
I am still in a stable state, and I only suggest going long near 3290 during the US session.
As of now, gold has reached around 3330, which has reached my two target positions.
Since gold can stand at 3330, it will definitely continue to rise in the future.
At present, gold is a W-shaped structure, and it will definitely hit the top near 3360 in the future.
So, my suggestion here is still to go long. But maybe gold will not be given a position below 3300.
Therefore, if there is a subsequent retracement of gold, you can focus on entering the market near 3300-3310 and go long. The final target is still around 3360.
Goldprice
Gold short-term bullish trend remains unchanged
I don't want to say more nonsense, just give the signal directly, after all, everyone only looks at the results, don't you think so, dear trader?
Gold
Buy around 3298, stop loss 3278, target 3310-3318
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan – April 28, 2025🎯 Market Outlook:
Gold remains trapped in a corrective range between 3260 and 3380, after an aggressive rally to new all-time highs.
Currently, price is consolidating just below a major supply/flip zone (3380–3395) and above a key support pocket (3260–3280).
HTF (High Timeframe) bias: Still bullish as long as the 3220–3235 pivot holds.
LTF (Lower Timeframe) flow: Sideways, with minor bullish attempts inside the range.
🔥 Key Zones to Watch:
Resistance Zones:
3380–3395 → Major flip and strong resistance zone.
3350–3360 → Minor local resistance inside premium.
Support Zones:
3260–3280 → Major intraday support + liquidity pocket.
3220–3235 → Last pivot to maintain bullish HTF bias (critical for any continuation).
👀 Eyes On:
Price reaction inside 3380–3395 → Will it reject again or break through to unlock 3410–3430?
Weakness signs near 3350–3360 → Watch for potential bull traps if momentum fades.
Respect for 3260–3280 → A bounce from here would confirm buyers still protecting liquidity pockets.
HTF invalidation below 3220 → Would flip the entire structure bearish short-term.
📢 Final Words:
Goldie's playing chess, not checkers — patience and sniper precision will make the difference this week. ♟️✨
Stay sharp, stay smart — we trade real flow, not hopes or dreams.
🔔 Follow the flow, adapt the plan, and let's continue hunting clean moves together!
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #MindsetMatters #GoldMindsFX
Gold market, further decline is likelyOANDA:XAUUSD Continue to test the support level of 3270 points, looking for a breakthrough. Any easing of the Sino-US conflict may trigger a price drop. But things are not so simple.
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement: China and the United States have not discussed or negotiated on the issue of tariffs.
Gold prices are under pressure before the tariff war and the release of US data.
International situation: Russia issued a statement on a truce; and Ukraine issued a statement: If Russia really wants to achieve peace, it must immediately cease fire. If the two sides formally sign a truce agreement, the safe-haven demand for gold may also be greatly reduced.
In the morning, gold prices tested last week's low of $3260, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the possible easing of Sino-US trade risks put gold prices under pressure.
Traders are waiting for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which may affect the Fed's interest rate expectations. In this context, if macro statistics are weak and geopolitical risks remain, the correction in gold prices may be replaced by growth.
Another test of the support level may trigger a breakthrough. It is necessary to pay attention to the situation between China and the United States. Any easing of the situation will trigger a decline in gold.
Upward resistance: 3300, 3325
Downward support: 3265, 3245, 3230
The possibility of further decline in gold prices has been exhausted since the opening. Gold prices may strengthen to the above resistance levels. A false breakout of 3300/3325 may trigger a decline, which may bring gold prices closer to the support level of 3270.
JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining Sector as Gold Prices Reach Record Highs
Meta Description:
JPMorgan predicts the global gold mining industry will grow by 60% to 90% thanks to record-breaking gold prices, increasing investment demand, and stable production costs. Where are the opportunities for investors?
JPMorgan Forecasts 60-90% Growth for the Gold Mining Industry
According to the latest outlook from leading investment bank JPMorgan, the global gold mining sector is facing an exceptional growth opportunity, expected to rise by 60% to 90% in the near future. This forecast comes amid historic highs in gold prices and a strong surge in gold investment demand.
Rising Gold Prices – The Key Driver for Mining Industry Growth
JPMorgan experts note that gold prices have been setting multiple new records in global markets throughout 2024. The main factors are concerns about inflation, geopolitical instability, and continued monetary easing by major central banks. These conditions have driven investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset.
Advantages for Gold Mining Companies
JPMorgan believes that gold mining companies will be among the biggest beneficiaries of this uptrend. With production costs remaining stable, gold companies are projected to see significant profit increases—some may even raise dividends for shareholders.
Key factors supporting the gold mining sector include:
Strong increases in international gold prices.
Consistent physical gold demand from central banks.
Growing purchases by both retail and institutional investors
Well-controlled production and mining costs.
Investment Opportunities and Potential Risks
JPMorgan recommends that investors prioritize shares in large gold mining companies with low production costs and strong financial foundations to optimize returns during this gold boom.
However, JPMorgan also warns that the gold mining sector still faces several risks, such as:
High volatility in global gold OANDA:XAUUSD prices.
Rising mining costs if energy prices fluctuate.
Legal and political risks in major gold-producing countries.
Conclusion
With a remarkable growth outlook of 60% to 90% as forecasted by JPMorgan, the gold mining industry is becoming a hotspot for global investment inflows. Still, investors should carefully consider potential risks and select the right gold companies to ensure both safety and effectiveness for their investment portfolios.
The Gold-Silver Ratio ExplainedCOMEX: Micro Gold Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! ), Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! )
The Gold-Silver Ratio is a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. Specifically, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold.
The Gold-Silver Ratio is an important tool for traders and investors. It has been used to indicate the market sentiment towards these two precious metals. A high ratio suggests that gold is more valued than silver, often seen during economic turmoil or when investors seek safe-haven assets. On the contrary, a lower ratio implies that silver is gaining value relative to gold, which normally occurs during periods of economic growth and strong industrial demand.
The ratio fluctuates over time due to supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and changes in the global economy. By analyzing the ratio, traders can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell. This ratio reflects not only the market’s valuation of these metals but also an instrument for profit-making in the commodities market.
Historical Gold to Silver Ratio
Since 2000, the Gold-Silver Ratio has seen considerable fluctuations, reflecting various economic and market conditions. In the first decade of the 21st century, the ratio hovered around 65:1, meaning it took 65 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.
However, the ratio has spiked during times of economic uncertainty. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, the ratio reached highs not seen in decades. More recently, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing economic turmoil, the ratio surged, at one point exceeding 110:1 in 2020, indicating a strong preference for gold as a safe-haven asset compared to silver.
Over time, the Gold-Silver Ratio has been trending up, meaning gold has gained value at a faster pace compared to silver.
As of last Friday, gold is trading around all-time high at $3,330, while silver is quoted at $33.0. This makes the Gold-Silver Ratio almost exactly at 100.
When to Buy and Sell based on the Gold-Silver Ratio?
The decision to buy or sell the ratio hinges on interpreting its current value in the context of historical trends and market conditions.
When to Buy Silver: A high Gold-Silver Ratio, typically at or above the 90:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver. In such scenarios, silver is cheaper than gold, and investors may see it as an opportunity to purchase silver at a relatively low price. The rationale is that if the ratio decreases, the relative value of silver will increase compared to gold, potentially leading to significant gains.
When to Sell Silver/Buy Gold: Conversely, when the Gold-Silver Ratio is low, say around 50:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive, or gold is undervalued. In such situations, investors might consider selling silver and buying gold. The expectation is that the ratio will normalize or increase, meaning that gold’s value could rise relative to silver, offering a favorable return on the gold investment.
The Gold-Silver Ratio can be a valuable indicator of when to buy or sell gold and silver. However, since the ratio is not stable but upward trending over time, we could not use a mean-reversion strategy. The price band for normal, high and low ranges should be updated regularly.
Trade Setup with Micro Gold and Silver
Traders could deploy the Gold-Silver Ratio trading strategy using COMEX Micro Gold Futures ( AMEX:MGC ) and Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage.
MGC contracts have a notional value of 10 troy ounces of gold. With Friday settlement price of $3,330.7, each June contract (MGCM5) has a notional value of $33,307. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,500 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to less than 0.5 ounce, traders could gain the full exposure to 10 ounces of gold. If gold prices move up by 5%, a long futures position would double in value (= (33307*0.05) / 1500 = 111%). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 22:1.
Conversely, Micro Silver (SIL) contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $33.02, each June contract (SILM5) has a notional value of $33,020. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $3,000 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to 91 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move up by 5%, a long position in Micro Silver futures would gain 55% (= (33020*0.05) / 3000). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 11:1.
Micro gold futures (MGC, 10 oz) contracts tap into the deep liquidity of standard-size gold futures contracts (GC, 100 oz). As of last Friday, GC has an open interest (OI) of 447,356 contracts, while the OI for MGC is 44,449, according to data from CME Group.
The OI for standard Silver Futures (SI, 5000 oz) and Micro Silver Futures (SIL, 1000 oz) are 154,276 and 12,345, respectively.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold is expected to rise in the US market
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Bullish sentiment in the market cools down
📊Comment analysis
After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution!
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs.
Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for the adjustment to enGold remained under pressure during the Asian trading session and is currently trading below the $3,300 mark, with a daily decline of about 0.75%. The market sentiment on trade is generally optimistic, and trade tensions are expected to ease. However, the decline in gold consumption in Asian countries in the first quarter has become a key factor in suppressing the demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
According to market research, data released by the Asian National Gold Association on Monday showed that gold consumption in the first quarter of this year fell 5.96% year-on-year to 290.492 tons. Among them, the demand for gold jewelry fell sharply by 26.85% year-on-year to 134.531 tons, while the consumption of gold bars and gold coins increased by 29.81% year-on-year to 138.018 tons.
According to market research, US President Trump once again emphasized that trade negotiations are underway with Asian countries, and the market hopes for a quick easing of trade tensions. However, Trump's frequent changes in foreign remarks, coupled with continued concerns about a global economic recession, have maintained the safe-haven demand for gold.
Quaid's analysis:
From a technical perspective, the gold price needs to effectively fall below the $3265-3260 range in the short term before a larger correction downward can be confirmed. Once confirmed to fall below, the gold price may quickly fall to the 50% retracement level near $3225, further pointing to the $3200 mark. If $3200 is lost, it will suggest that gold may have peaked in the short term.
On the contrary, if the gold price stabilizes and returns to above $3300, it may face initial resistance in the 3330-3335 area. If it breaks through this area, the short-term rebound target will point to the 3365-3370 supply area.
Once this key pivot position is broken, the gold price is expected to challenge the $3400 mark again, and even further test the intermediate resistance of 3425-3430, and try to return to the historical high of $3500.
Quaid's view:
Although the market's concerns about trade have eased, weak gold consumption in Asian countries and the pressure of the dollar rebound are still there, which may cause gold prices to fluctuate and fall back from high levels. In the next few days, the core economic data of the United States will be the key to determining the next trend of gold. Quaid will pay special attention to changes in the Fed's policy expectations. Real-time analysis for you.
The current market situation, as Quaid analyzed, can only be done in short-term scalping transactions; but always seize opportunities accurately.
Gold prices fell at the beginning of this week
🌐Drivers
Gold prices fell slightly to $3,310 in early Asian trading on Monday, retreating from the record high set last week as signs of easing global trade tensions grew.
According to Reuters, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins revealed on Sunday that the Trump administration is in daily consultations with China on tariffs. Rollins also stressed that agreements with several other countries are "very close" to being finalized.
"The news suggesting a possible partial exemption from retaliatory tariffs further boosted market sentiment and caused gold prices to fall below the $3,300 mark," said Tang Yuxuan, a strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank.
📊Commentary Analysis
At the beginning of this week, gold prices were mainly sideways, without much news impact, trading around 3,300 points, and gradually falling back.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 1-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3,300-3,270, and is currently at $3,276.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3320-3330 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3280 US dollars and a stop loss of 3335 US dollars.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3330 US dollars and a stop loss of 3275 US dollars.
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3350 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for adjustmentGold fell back after a cyclic rise in the morning, and the price lost today's starting point. The current position is near the starting point of Friday! If the Asian session cannot bottom out and rebound, then we must be careful of further declines to 3260 in the European session to test around 3230. This position will not be reached soon, but after the loss of the key position, the momentum below will gradually open up, so today the long position is at 3260.
This week's data reference: Wednesday's ADP employment report, Friday's non-agricultural data
Recent fundamental news is complicated, and the fluctuations in the past two weeks are relatively large compared to before. The fluctuations in a single day will basically exceed 100 US dollars, so we must pay attention to strict loss control in operations.
Intraday view: After a short-term retracement, the first pressure level: 3315-17 top and bottom conversion position Strong pressure focus: 3337-43
If it can't reach the support, it's still at 3260. If it breaks down, the US session will look for a position to fall back.
Gold bottom wide range, bullish trend remains unchanged
Investment success does not depend on how powerful and excellent your tools are, but on whether you can use your trading tools well. On the road to the dream of wealth, the most effective strategy is to focus and stick to a good trading system. Focus and persistence can produce incredible power. When you can really do this, you can create miracles that you can't believe in yourself.
The international gold price opened at $3,350/ounce last Friday and closed at $3,315/ounce. The K-line entity fell by about $35/ounce throughout the day, and the daily K-line closed with a medium-yin line with a long upper shadow. Last Friday, the gold price fluctuated widely and finally closed down. On the one hand, it was because the risk aversion sentiment eased slightly, resulting in profit-taking of long positions; on the other hand, it was due to the oversold rebound of the US dollar, which put pressure on gold bulls.
Fundamentally, gold reached a record high last week, and then fell slightly under the influence of Trump's easing trade remarks and the Federal Reserve. According to FactSet data, gold has still risen by about 41% in the past year, and the return rate so far this decade is 113%. As investors prepare for further geopolitical and macroeconomic shocks, gold continues to be the asset of choice for investors seeking protection. According to the latest data, US gold ETFs experienced inflows exceeding 95% of historical levels in two weeks, followed by a single-day outflow that also exceeded 95% of historical levels. This "big in and big out" pattern has occurred 9 times in history, and the first 8 times almost accurately predicted that gold would usher in a correction, and the worst performance was usually concentrated in the next 2 months.
Technically, the monthly chart of gold showed a strong upward trend, technical indicators continued to rise, and the long-term bullish trend; the weekly chart closed at a high level with a long upper shadow cross, and the technical indicators were blunt at high levels, and the medium-term cautious pursuit of highs; the daily chart was stagnant and pulled back from highs, and the technical indicators began to fall, and the short-term correction was expected to continue; the 4-hour chart fell into a shock pattern, and the technical indicators were neutral, and the short-term waited for a breakthrough in the shock range. Overall, the price of gold remains bullish in the long term, with the midline expected to adjust downwards and a volatile trend in the short term.
In terms of short-term operations during the day, focus on the long opportunities in the 3294 area below and defend on 3279. Focus on the short opportunities in the 3215 area on the top and defend on 3221. Each target will look at the 15-20 US dollars space.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
USDJPY Analysis week 18🌐Fundamental Analysis
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered to near 99.75 after a correction on Thursday. President Donald Trump said trade talks are progressing well and a deal with Japan is close.
US-China trade relations have been thrown into uncertainty by conflicting statements: Trump said President Xi Jinping called him, while China denied any talks were taking place. Tokyo's April consumer price index (CPI) beat expectations at 3.4%, bolstering expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates.
🕯Technical Analysis
Prices are heading towards the resistance zone of 144,900, with the possibility of an uptrend resuming. This resistance zone is likely to act as a retest for a rally towards 148,000. Pay attention to the BUY zones of 142,300 and 141,000 for retests of this pair.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 141.000-140.800 Stoploss 140.500
Gold is trapped in the 3260-3370 box shock!
🌐 Driving factors
US President Trump will be in office for 100 days in his second term. On April 27, local time, a new poll jointly conducted by ABC, The Washington Post and Ipsos Group showed that Trump's approval rating for the first 100 days in office was 39%, which was 6 percentage points lower than in February this year, and set the lowest approval rating for the first 100 days in office of all US presidents in the past 80 years.
The results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are not optimistic, and the geopolitical situation is tense.
📊 Commentary analysis
The recent gold fluctuations are really violent and very fast. If you hesitate a little, you will basically miss the market. If you are too anxious, you will easily hit the stop loss. Now the fluctuations in a few hours are higher than the amplitude of the past month. The stop loss of 3-5 US dollars can be easily swept. The market is changing, and the corresponding stop loss should also be enlarged.
🔷 Technical side:
For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3260-3370, and is currently at 3290 US dollars.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3350-3360 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3290 US dollars and a stop loss of 3365 US dollars.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3340 US dollars and a stop loss of 3255 US dollars.
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3370 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Market changes? Gold plummets, hedge fund positions suddenly chaIn the early morning of the Asian market, spot gold fell sharply in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3,295/ounce, which has fallen by $52 from the intraday high of $3,336.98/ounce hit at the beginning of the session.
Gold prices fell further from last week's record high as traders closed their positions due to signs that the "explosive rise" in gold prices may be too fierce and too fast.
Since breaking through $3,500/ounce last week, gold prices have fallen by more than 5%.
At the same time, the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that hedge fund managers cut their net long positions in gold futures and options to the lowest level in 14 months.
Quaid believes that signs of easing trade tensions may have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal.
Quaid's analysis:
From the perspective of the two larger cycles of daily and weekly lines, gold may fall further. On the one hand, the daily line continues to close negative on the short-term moving average, and the rebound is not strong, forming a pattern of continuous negative and single positive. The previous two times were adjusted to the 30-day moving average. If this time is calculated in this way, the bottom position is about 3165-3170, which is both the golden section and the previous high top and bottom conversion position.
On the other hand, the weekly line formed a "K" line at a high level last week, which is generally a top signal, meaning that there is still a possibility of decline. And it deviates too far from the short-term moving average, and there is a need for further technical adjustments.
Comprehensive analysis:
This week, gold focuses on the upward resistance position of the 3370-3260 range. A strong breakthrough of 3370 will see the continuation of the bulls, and a break below 3260 will open up downward space.
Gold's second bottoming out shows a range, Layout direction!Gold fell back after reaching a high this week, and the highest reached 3500, which was under pressure. The weekly line finally closed with a Yin cross star. It is expected to be a wide sweep range next week, and the overall range will remain at 3370-3260. After breaking through, it will follow the trend. The daily line has bottomed out and rebounded, and the rebound strength is also strong. Finally, it closed with a long lower shadow Yin line. The repeated sweep of hundreds of points is still the main tone. There is no clear direction signal. The upper pressure is around 3348. If the rebound continues at the opening next week, pay attention to this position. If it breaks through, look at 3370-80. Pay attention to the support below 3288 and 3260. Treat it as a shock in operation, and try to participate in the band near the key position!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3285-95, and look at 3325 and 3248! Shorting is possible if the upper 3248 pressure is not broken!
28 Apr - XABCD Pattern Signals Potential UpsideRecently, the expected Head and Shoulders pattern seems to be delayed — and possibly invalidated — as buyers successfully defended the line at $3,287, pushing the price up to $3,319 on Friday. As a result, a new bullish setup has emerged.
On the 1-hour chart, an XABCD harmonic pattern has clearly formed, offering two upside targets:
Target 1: $3,367
Target 2: $3,435
On the downside, $3,260 is now acting as the critical level. A break below this point could open the door for lower prices.
For now, the bias is long until Target 1 at $3,367 is reached. Traders should monitor short-term sentiment closely: if signs of weakness or a shift appear, the price could reverse earlier.
Important to note: the Head and Shoulders pattern remains a risk if price falls below $3,260 after reaching $3,370 and moves toward the neckline at $3,237.
📍 Summary:
Idea: Go long toward $3,367.
Risk: Head and Shoulders pattern could still complete if bearish momentum returns.
Stay sharp and manage your risk accordingly!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD Follows "Buy The Dip" Mode, Being Supported by 200-hour SMAGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
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Best #GODL wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Next week's ups and downs analysis and operation ideasGold closed with a long upper negative line in the weekly chart last week, and retreated to the lowest level of 3260 after being under pressure at the integer level of 3500. So can the decline continue next week?
First, let's look at a few weekend fundamental news: The Federal Reserve's financial report said that global trade wars and policy uncertainties are the biggest risks to financial stability, and have also led to concerns about the value of the US dollar in most countries. Secondly, the Federal Reserve officials made remarks that interest rates may be cut in June, and the geopolitical situation has become unstable, which has also provided some support for the price of gold in the short term.
Technical aspect: The bald positive line closed on Friday's 4-hour and 1-hour lines. If it opens flat at the beginning of the week, it is likely to continue the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm. Note: After the daily level suppressed the decline of 3500, it has been fluctuating in a large range for three consecutive trading days.
The upper and lower edges are relatively clear 3385-3260. According to the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm, the bullish momentum will basically be released before 10 o'clock. Therefore, if the market cannot continue to rise after 10:00 at the beginning of the week, the European session will continue to fluctuate downward. In particular, it cannot break through the upper edge of the daily oscillation cycle before 3385.
Operation: Open flat at the beginning of the week. Short-term support focuses on 3300. Strong support: 3260-70
Pressure level: Gains and losses of key pressure near 3385
Trump's remarks may cause a stir in gold
💲Let's comment on the price of gold next week from April 28, 2025 to May 2, 2025
🌐World situation
Earlier, it was reported that China has exempted some US goods from tariffs, a development that has suppressed the safe-haven appeal of gold.
But on the 25th, US President Trump told reporters on Air Force One that unless China makes substantial concessions, it will not cancel the tariffs imposed on China. Over the past week, the US has continued to send confusing and even contradictory signals on the issue of tariffs on China, and market sentiment has deteriorated.
On the 26th, after a brief meeting between US President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky in the Vatican, both sides also sent "positive" signals.
Will the Russian-Ukrainian conflict usher in a turning point?
The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported later that day that fighting in the Kursk region was still ongoing. The Ukrainian army held its ground and used a variety of weapons to carry out effective firepower strikes on the enemy, causing losses to the Russian army. The Ukrainian General Staff stressed that the Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and that Russia's statement on the end of hostilities in the region was "purely propaganda in nature." The Ukrainian General Staff also said that fighting by the Ukrainian army in local areas of Belgorod Oblast is still ongoing.
The escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict may also increase safe-haven buying of gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Earlier this week, investors withdrew $1.27 billion from the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest single-day outflow since 2011. At the same time, gold prices hit an all-time high above $3,500, suggesting that there may be some profit-taking factors. In 2011, similar outflows coincided with the peak of gold's last super cycle, marking the beginning of a long period of consolidation for gold, which was not broken until 2020. But this does not guarantee that this will be a turning point, and there are still many positive factors at work, including trade uncertainty, safe-haven demand, central bank demand, and Wall Street's calls for further increases in spot gold prices.
Next week, the gold market will welcome the release of the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, US President Trump's 100th day rally on Tuesday may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3,500 mark again or continue to fall from 3,300.
🔷Technical aspect:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3357, $3498
Support: $3228, $3155
✔Operational suggestions
Short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of $3,330-3,350, you can try to short, with a target of $3,250 and a stop loss of $3,355.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price holds the support of $3,260, you can go long with a light position, with a target of $3,330 and a stop loss of $3,240.
Long-term investors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy trends and geopolitical situation. If the gold price falls back to below $3,200, consider investing in batches.
💥Risk Warning
Liquidity risk: Market trading may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly announce tariff policies or personnel changes at the Fed, triggering violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3,350, so be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
Next week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Fed policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the expected fluctuation range is $3,250-3,350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.