GOLD - Important nonfarm news that has an impact?Like final night, I additionally commented and shared pretty truly approximately this week`s Gold Trend.
>At this rate, I will watch to promote Gold in line with the MA newspaper's Trend and could await Nonfarm information this weekend. With the cutting-edge Gold price, you may talk over with the Gold Sell Watch on Zone 2338>234x
And Canh Buy is withinside the Canh Buy resistance quarter 2322>2325
SL 2320
TP 2333>234x
If Gold Pha can byskip thru 2320, anyone will Sell to the response of Zone 2310>2300 in line with the vintage resistance line.
Goldprice
XAU/USD 31 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 30 May 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback.
As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation.
I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation.
As previously mentioned, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below.
Price was failing to break above discount of 50% EQ which could indicate the bulls are losing control momentarily or seeking further liquidity.
As previously mentioned, I have started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action.
I mentioned that the blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme of the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH with price currently being contained within an internal range.
Black EQ marked 0.5 is swing range. Blue EQ marked 0.5 is internal range.
Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed another bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback is underway.
Price is now contained within an internal range.
After reacting at discount of 50% EQ price has been unable to target weak internal high.
This could indicate that price is seeking further liquidity.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. The internal low, which is also denoted with a blue dashed line to the bottom of the chart is expected to hold.
M15 Chart:
Gold price moves sideways before the falling thresholdWorld gold fees inched up barely once more in today`s buying and selling session. Macquarie commodity strategists stated in a file that at the same time as expectancies for hobby price cuts have lately dwindled amid consistently excessive inflation, gold fees retain to expose power because of diverse underlying effective factors.
The studies corporation determined that gold fees have hit new highs, pushed with the aid of using drivers aside from US hobby prices and the dollar. The yellow metallic has benefited from a broader threat-on sentiment in metals markets.
Gold fees have outperformed throughout diverse asset training and on the macroeconomic level. It implicitly trades on its recognition as a secure asset with out a counterparty threat, instead of the possibility prices related to maintaining a zero-yielding asset.
Furthermore, gold fees were supported with the aid of using threat assets. Macquarie highlighted that crucial financial institution gold purchases are nonetheless monitoring above pronounced levels, suggesting institutional hobby withinside the valuable metallic stays sustained.
The gold derivatives marketplace is right here to stay, in particular while measured in notional quantities in US greenbacks instead of in lots. However, the marketplace role is stated to have end up much less worrying after current rate adjustments.
Trading volumes at the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) have stabilized after a giant boom in April, however spreads in China stay excessive, suggesting persevered hobby and pastime withinside the gold marketplace from Chinese traders.
Gold fees' resilience, notwithstanding a more potent Dollar supported with the aid of using variations in relative US financial policy, indicates buyers are searching past the United States hobby price marketplace in relation to to gold.
Wait for the long-term BUY point after the recovery wave endsGold prices temporarily halted their recovery streak as the USD increased slightly, in addition to the FED's hawkish comments, and stronger-than-expected US economic data reduced expectations of a FED interest rate cut in September. This creates momentum for the USD to put pressure on gold.
On the other hand, geopolitical tensions and instability may promote gold buying as a safe haven, and banks' demand will continue to boost gold prices.
Gold is continuing to maintain the recovery of wave 4 in the elliot wave model, investors are waiting for a trendline break around 2350 to catch the SELL retest with the expectation that gold will fall to the support area of 2325 and 2305.
Our long-term BUY point is around 2305 when the recovery wave of the buying trend ends.
SELL price range 2370 - 2472 stoploss 2376
SELL price range 2386 - 2488 stoploss 2392
BUY price range 2324 - 2322 stoploss 2318
BUY price range 2305 - 2307 stoploss 2301
GDP is the focus of the market today💥After the gold price reached a new all-time high, it encountered a sell-off and fell back to more than 120 US Dollars an ounce from a high of 2,450 USD/ounce. Gold continued to fall when the FED made new statements. about monetary policy. Gold prices will continue to decline if the US economy continues to grow and data shows that the US economy is still at a good level.
💥The recent trend of the United States maintaining high interest rates for a longer period of time will support the US Dollar and US bond yields at high levels, putting certain pressure on the precious metals market. However, in the corner More generally if the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates in the future, it will significantly support gold prices. In addition, with the support of factors such as central banks continuously increasing gold purchases and the increasing instability of the global geopolitical situation, the potential for gold prices to increase in the near future still remains. big.
💥After a sweep to the 2325 price range as in previous analysis, gold rebounded strongly to 2335, back in the sideway range. Currently, the currency pair is waiting for GDP data to determine the next market trend. Gold price has reached the important level of 2325, the next level of the downtrend is heading towards 2305, an area where we can BUY long term. In the opposite direction, gold bounces strongly from 2325, the resistance level of 2360 (EMA 89) will be an important area to know that the uptrend has returned to gold and the short-term downtrend has ended.
XAU/USD 30 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback.
As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation.
I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation.
As previously mentioned, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below.
Price was failing to break above discount of 50% EQ which could indicate the bulls are losing control momentarily or seeking further liquidity.
As previously mentioned, I have started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action.
I mentioned that the blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme of the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH with price currently being contained within an internal range.
Black EQ marked 0.5 is swing range. Blue EQ marked 0.5 is internal range.
Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a series of bearish iBOS' followed by a bullish iBOS.
This could provide a very early signal that H4 pullback is now complete.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ or M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. The internal low, which is also denoted with a blue dashed line to the bottom of the chart is expected to hold.
M15 Chart:
Gold continues to sell accurately. The target is 2300 or lower
Gold continues to create new lows this week. At present, many people may think that the market will rebound sharply again. I think it is difficult. Because there is no important news to drive the gold price up sharply. And the market is still in a downtrend. The trend is a sharp rise before the technical repair.
In the short term, it is expected to fall below 2,300 points. Everyone should be mentally prepared.
COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The current price can still continue to sell. The upper pressure is at 2345-2351
Money supply increased for the first time, Gold price will decreGold prices dropped slightly to hover around $2,360 per ounce on Wednesday. This decline was attributed to investors scaling back their expectations for interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve this year. The market is also eagerly awaiting the release of the key PCE inflation report.
GOLD is following the previous wave E assessment, completing wave 4 and continuing wave 5.
Gold price resumed its uptrend on Thursday and climbed more than 1% as US Treasury yields dropped, undermining the Greenback's appetite.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2364 - 2366 , SL: 2370
(scalping)
🟢BUY GOLD: 2317 - 2315, SL: 2311
(scalping)
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
The amount of selling pressure strongly affects the trend of golGOLD- 10:30 May 30, 2024
Dear traders! Gold skilled vast volatility the day before today because it slid sharply above the $2,347 guide degree and reached the $2,334 mark consistent with a conventional bearish flag structure. At the time of writing, the rate is aiming to check the $2,325 mark amid a correction and sell-off supported through a more impregnable US Dollar and better US bond yields. Diminishing expectancies of a Federal Reserve hobby price reduce in September have induced a few promoting strain at the valuable steel because it will growth the possibility price of gold.
Accordingly, the resistance place at 2347 USD keeps to maintain the rate and is actively covered through dealers on a down wave basis. I assume a take a look at of horizontal guide and a rebound to retest the 34.89 EMA, the rate response to the liquidity sector might be consistent with our promoting strategy. It is predicted that the rate will attain as a minimum 2325 and 2307.
Gold price recovers in the short term !!⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) fell after a three-day winning streak due to the Greenback's slight recovery and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials. Strong US economic data also reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, boosting the US Dollar and weighing on gold prices. However, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty may still drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central bank demand will continue to support higher gold prices in the short term. Traders are watching the Fed's Beige Book and John Williams' speech, as well as the release of the US Core PCE Price Index on Friday, which could impact the possibility of delaying a Fed rate cut if inflation shows signs of increasing.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered in the short term - however, the long-term frame H1 and H4 are showing a larger DOWN trend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2324 - $2322 SL $2319 SCALPING
TP1: $2330
TP2: $2335
TP3: $2340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2305 - $2307 SL $2300
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2330
TP3: $2340
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2370 - $2372 SL $2375 scalping
TP1: $2360
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2340
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Gleams as Hedge Funds Go BullishThe price of gold futures surged yesterday, reflecting a rise in investor confidence in the precious metal. Gold prices climbed 1% to $2,358 per troy ounce, fueled by anticipation of upcoming inflation data and a significant shift in sentiment among hedge funds. According to a report by Barron's, hedge funds have been steadily increasing their bullish bets on precious metals, pushing net-long positions on the COMEX exchange to their highest level since April 2020, the height of the coronavirus pandemic.
This newfound optimism from hedge funds stems from several factors. Inflation data due for release on Friday is a key driver. The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data is a metric closely watched by the Federal Reserve to gauge inflation levels. Investors are looking for signs that inflation may be peaking, which could influence the Fed's decision on interest rates.
Historically, gold has been seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, the value of the dollar weakens, and gold becomes a more attractive investment. This is because gold tends to hold its value over time. If inflation is indeed peaking, this could signal a slowdown in future interest rate hikes, which would also benefit gold. Lower interest rates make holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold more appealing.
SP Angel analysts, cited in the Barron's report, highlight the significance of the current surge in hedge fund bullishness. They point out that net-long positions on COMEX haven't been this high since the initial shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. This suggests a significant change in sentiment among institutional investors, who are now placing larger bets on a gold price increase.
The recent rise in gold prices comes after a period of relative stagnation. Throughout much of 2023, gold prices hovered around the $1,800 per troy ounce mark. However, with inflation concerns mounting and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift in its monetary policy, gold has regained its allure as a safe-haven asset.
Looking ahead, the upcoming inflation data will be closely scrutinized by investors. A confirmation that inflation has peaked could further bolster gold prices. However, if the data suggests inflation remains stubbornly high, the Federal Reserve might be more inclined to continue raising interest rates. This could dampen the recent rally in gold futures.
Beyond the immediate impact of the inflation data, the overall health of the global economy will also influence the price of gold. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty can drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Conversely, a strong and stable global economy can lead investors to seek higher returns in riskier assets, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
In conclusion, the recent surge in gold futures reflects a confluence of factors, including inflationary pressures, the anticipated direction of Federal Reserve policy, and a strategic shift among hedge funds. While the near-term outlook hinges on Friday's inflation data, gold's long-term trajectory will depend on the broader economic climate and investor risk appetite.
XAUUSD - SELL TRADE IDEAI'm looking to sell Gold for 350 pips. Overall, price is in a clear uptrend however I feel price is currently making a correction; I feel price can drop as low as 2292ish which is the Daily 38.2 Fib Level (Shallow Retracement) before resuming in Bullish momentum. For the past 9 days price has respected my micro down trend and currently price is respecting my 9 and 21 EMA. Today Gold has opened negative and the USD is strong which respects this sell idea. Looking to sell on the break and retest of 2332.250.
However, if price breaks 2348, I'll buy for 150 pips.
XAU/USD 20 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback.
As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation.
I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation.
Price is now in discount of 50% EQ and close to a H4 demand zone where price we expect to see a reaction. However, price has pulled back deeper mitigating the whole H4 demand zone and beyond. This could indicate that price was seeking liquidity to the extreme of the H4 demand zone.
As previously mentioned, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below.
Price is failing to break above discount of 50% EQ which could indicate the bulls are losing control momentarily or seeking further liquidity.
I have therefore started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action. The blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme oh the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line.
Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high
Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue solid line.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price has indicated, but not confirmed pullback initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Price has fully mitigated a well-positioned M15 POI.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. The internal low, which is also marked with a blue dashed line to the bottom of the chart is expected to hold.
M15 Chart:
GOLD WILL F*K YOU AGAINAgain, here we are talking about GOLD and how most of the traders will get liquidated again. Majority of the traders are long and price will probably go down till the rejection level at 2349 (where i placed a long limit order for a possible scalp). From there, i expect a bounce till the resistance area at 2370 (sell limit order there) that could push next the price down
A real-time operation of gold price before closing
Trading plan: Steady traders can wait until the market drops to around 2325 to buy directly. The target is 2341 or even higher. Aggressive friends can buy directly near 2332. The target is even higher near 2347.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
Trading plan: Steady traders can wait until the market drops to around 2325 to buy directly. The target is 2341 or even higher. Aggressive friends can buy directly near 2332. The target is even higher near 2347.
GOLD - Many factors will be surprisingGOLD PRICE ANALYSIS - May 29, 2024
SCALP--Sell gold across the fee variety of 236x
Yesterday the fee did now no longer attain the anticipated degree as a way to promote. During the day, the fluctuations had been pretty gentle.
However, it could additionally be visible that the fee restoration has regularly exhausted itself, with the fashion of traders trying to promote extra and extra.
Traders nowadays can prioritize locating Sell points.
--
Gold costs fluctuated these days as buyers waited for americaA to launch inflation statistics withinside the following few days to are expecting while to reduce hobby rates.
The data which can marvel the gold marketplace withinside the following few days is americaA center private intake fees index (PCE) - an critical inflation degree of americaA Federal Reserve (FED).
Meanwhile, a few FED officers agree with that americaA financial system nonetheless has the cappotential to get better significantly. They need to peer extra nice inflation statistics earlier than reducing hobby rates.
In reaction to the above data, the USD has reduced in rate as compared to many different robust currencies. Today`s global gold rate has situations to consolidate its upward momentum.
gold will fall gold is correcting now after a strong drop .what does it indicate that the it will be a sell seller will control the market and also gold is now currently moving inside of a bearish channel .also there has a very interesting poing of volume 2338 will occur when london and us session starts.
Gold price decreases temporarily or long term💥Gold prices extended their decline on Wednesday. The yellow metal's potential for further upside may be limited as the FOMC minutes are understood to be significantly more hawkish than previous releases.
💥The future direction of gold may depend on the results of the FOMC Minutes. Technical indicators in the daily chart suggest an extension of the ongoing correction, as indicators retreat sharply from indexes near overbought levels, maintaining a solid bearish slope at positive levels. pole. The potential downside target and key support zone is around $2,338, where the pair has its lowest level in the last three weeks. Meanwhile, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are showing a downward slope in the h2 time frame, and the price is trading below the two EMA lines, showing that the downtrend will last at least until next week.
💥PLAN trading May 23
Support: 2352 - 2337 - 2321
Resistance: 2383 - 2400 - 2413
SELL price range 2380 - 2382 stop 2385
BUY price range 2338 - 2336 stop 2333
Gold slowing at Thursdays POCI have been testing Tradingviews volume profiles with Gold and some of the levels are so accurate. Using spot market data, it was a bit of a surprise, but a welcomed surprise it has been.
We can see today's intraday longs tapping straight into a naked POC left behind from the sharp sell off on Thursday.
I have yet to test this is in other markets however Gold has proven really quite reliable utilising the entire Value area from the fixed period profiles.
Anyway - watch out for Gold bears to take control once again from 2360 - 2370 once again.
I am looking for a 1000pip drop near enough back to 2275. I will keep you all updated.
XAUUSD:28/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2370, support below is 2327
Four-hour resistance is 2370, support below is 2327
Gold operation advice: Yesterday, the overall price of gold stabilized above 2330 in the short term. However, the current hourly line and 4-hour chart are still in the downward rhythm of short pressure. The 4-hour level still sees a suppressed and volatile operating rhythm until it reaches the 2400-point integer mark.
Judging from the current trend, today's short-term pressure will focus on 2370. During the day, counterattacks will rely on this position to be bearish. The short-term support below will focus on around 2340. Today, the overall focus will be on selling high and buying low in the 2340-2370 area, and trade cautiously in the middle position.
SELL:2370near
SELL:2360near
BUY: 2340near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold H1 range analysis and important zonesI do not like this zone. Fibs is showing a pickup at 0.786. But it's right at a point of massive contract volume. Anything can happen around there...
If you see clear reversal at M15 and strong bullish momentum it's safe to buy from zone to zone. Be careful at the hourly ceiling and the hourly floor. When it gets there we need clear reversals in H1. Don't forget baerish has been dominant last week..
The floor beneath all the way down is still dominant. (2330)