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The best investment since Nov 2021 - GOLD or BITCOIN ? - FACTSThe Main Chart is the chart from BITFINEX that trades Bitcoin to Gold DIRECTLY I look to this often and find it a MUST See to compare the two assets. This is Not done to try and make BTC like GOLD but that they are both investments with returns, It is as simple as that But which one has the higher return ? I have taken the November 2021 Bitcoin ATH as the Datum point. a Worse case scenario for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Directly to Gold. As you can see on the main chart. If you had sold your Gold into Bitcoin and Just Held since Nov 2021, you are currently at a slight loss. Less ounces of Gold to one Bitcoin. It is as simple as that. But PA has fallen from Above the buy price recently. But to also mention, if you had bought Bitcoin with your Gold at the Bottom in Jan 2023, that is a 360% Rise in Value DIRECTLY OVER GOLD as opposed to the -75% Losses from ATH to Low. Nothing else does that Lets look at a comparison Via 100 USD investments into each asset GOLD USD CFD Let us say we invested 100 usd in Nov 2021 at the Bitcoin ATH that year. Since then, there has been a 62.71 % increase in price; from your buy price, if you simply just held your investment. This gives you 162.71 usd currently PA had risen 12% from that date but then dropped 22% to the low. From the Low, PA has risen 89 % and if you had Traded your investment, selling high, buying Low, you would now have 211.68 usd currently Now to Bitcoin - again, 100 usd invested at the ATH in Nov 2021 100 invested in Nov 2021 currently has a 24.68 % increase from Buy price. if you just HODL, off the 2021 ATH and so you would have 124.68 currently From that ATH point, we saw a Loss as PA dropped 77.2% to the Low but then Rose up 596% from the Low. If you traded , Depending on when you sold your bad 100 investment , the gains are different But lets say, you sold what was left of your 100 at the slight rise in PA in March 2022 - that was a loss of 28.5%, leaving you 71.5 usd Wait till the Low in Jan 203 and then continue Buy Low, Sell high, you currently have 743 usd , having sold the top at 109K and waiting for the next Low So, in summery, from 100 usd investment in Nov 2021 BTC ATH GOLD HODL 162.71 - Traded 211.68 BITCOIN HODL 124.68 - Traded 743.34 The ONLY REAL Loss currently is with the BTC GOLD pair, where BTC is -20% currently off Buy price, having fallen from HIGHER than Buy price recently,. However, PA is on the lower trend line, as you can see in the chart, and the expectation is for a Strong Bounce over the next few weeks..This will set BTC off towards that magical 50 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. But it has to be said, the journey if you held Bitcoin having sold out from Gold has been painful. Tthat pain is about to end, very possibly forever. Trading is not for everyone and Hitting the perfect High or Low point is almost impossible. But the Gains are there in Bitcoin against Gold if you even do basic trading. And, inmy opinion, if you have gold....SERIOUSLY think abot Bitcoin now. Gold is OVERBOUGHT on many timeframes.... Bitcoin is not...................
by Orriginal
A new round of victory surge beginsBrothers, as I mentioned in my last opinion, gold is currently facing resistance in the 3058-3063 area, so I still prefer to short gold in terms of trading. Today we shorted gold near 3050 as planned. Just when gold fell back to around 3030, I manually closed my short position and easily made a profit of 170pips. Gold fell sharply again in the short term and is currently trading below 3028. Then when the short position completely releases the space, the opportunity to go long on gold below will appear. The support area below is 3025-3020. We can go long on gold in the 3025-3020 area, especially for friends who missed the short gold trading strategy today. If you want to accurately grasp the opportunity and get the signal, you can look at my bottom signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
Gold begins to retreat and dive!You should be careful in the next two days of this week. Based on my years of experience, the trend before and after the interest rate decision must be opposite. Before the interest rate decision, gold attacked fiercely, so after the interest rate decision, you should be careful that gold will fall back quickly. As of now, gold has retreated to around 3045, and it has retreated by about 12 US dollars from the high point. It can be seen that the current gold MA5-MA10 moving average position is around 3040. The MA20 moving average position below is here 3025-20. In other words, once gold is below 3040, you should be careful that it will further touch 3020-25. The current AM5 moving average position of the daily chart is just around 3020, which coincides with my analysis above. Once it falls below 3040, it will develop towards 3025-3020. Therefore, I suggest that you can pay attention to the 2045-50 position area for short selling. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
When will the gold short come?Market news: On Thursday, spot gold rose in a short-term wave, and the price of gold just hit $3,055/ounce, setting a record high. Foreign media reported that two UN staff members in Gaza were killed in an Israeli attack, and geopolitical tensions pushed safe-haven buying to continue to flow into international gold. As the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine stalled, Israel stepped up air strikes, and geopolitical tensions intensified, boosting safe-haven demand. Overnight, London gold prices continued to rise after a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Spot gold once broke through the $3,050/ounce mark. The Federal Reserve announced at its latest policy meeting that it would keep interest rates unchanged and hinted that it might cut interest rates twice this year, while slowing down the pace of shrinking its balance sheet. This series of measures triggered the dollar to give up gains and U.S. Treasury yields to fall, providing momentum for the rise in international gold prices. The price of gold investment has repeatedly hit new highs, reflecting market concerns about economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and hinted at a rate cut, further strengthening gold's safe-haven appeal. On this trading day, we need to pay attention to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the US February existing home sales data and news related to the geopolitical situation. Today's analysis: Gold is calculated based on Gann's time cycle profit: short-term cycles are 1 hour, 2 hours, 4 hours, 18 hours, 24 hours, 3 weeks, 7 weeks, 13 weeks, 15 weeks, 3 months, and 7 months. The medium-term cycle is 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years, 13 years, and 15 years. So how much room is there for this round of buying? I predict that in the long run, the bullish trend of gold will not change, but a round of buying will be followed by a mid-term price adjustment. This month is the last month of the quarter of 25 years, and it is expected that gold will undergo a strong and weak cycle conversion in the second quarter of April-May. At that time, it is necessary to pay attention to the direction of gold in the market and switch to selling to gain an advantage. Before the top pattern such as the common head and shoulders top, M top, double top, arc top and other signal patterns appear, the transaction is still to maintain the advantage of buying, and still mainly participate in low-price buying. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3043-3045, stop loss at 3032, target at 3070-3080; Sell short-term gold at 3073-3075, stop loss at 3084, target at 3040-3030; Key points: First support level: 3044, second support level: 3038, third support level: 3023 First resistance level: 3057, second resistance level: 3068, third resistance level: 3078
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold analysis layoutOn March 20, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, indicating that uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. The dot plot shows that two rate cuts are expected in 2025, consistent with December last year. In addition, the Fed will begin to slow the pace of balance sheet reduction on April 1. Recent indicators show that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. In recent months, the unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level and labor market conditions remain strong. Inflation levels remain high. The committee's goal is to achieve maximum employment over the long term and maintain inflation at 2%. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased. Gold fluctuated sideways on Wednesday, running in the range of 3045-3022. We have basically grasped the intraday market profits. From the current market, it should be noted that while maintaining the bullish bullish trend, this wave of increases should be treated with caution. The possibility of a change in gold prices is expected to increase at the end of the week. From a technical point of view, the trend is definitely bullish. Under the big positive weekly line, although there is no peak for the time being, The H4 cycle has formed an absolute divergence at a high level, and a strong squat may appear at any time. The trend support of the daily cycle has two points 3000 and 2955. It seems that the price span is relatively large, but it is easy to fall. The support point of the H4 cycle is near 3015, so the key point in the short term is 3015. Once it breaks, it will no longer be so strong, and it is likely to go directly to 3000. Investment strategy: Gold 3045-3055 short, target 3030-3020 You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold is in trouble, and a backhand blow turns the tideThe gold market is like sailing on a rough sea. Every market fluctuation is a severe test. This time, after we shorted gold, the market suddenly fluctuated sharply due to the news. Our account suffered a floating loss and our heart was hanging. However, professional traders will not be intimidated by short-term difficulties. We quickly analyzed the news in depth, from geopolitical dynamics to economic data interpretation, without missing any details. At the same time, combined with complex and changeable technical aspects, we accurately captured the market reversal signals and decisively seized the opportunity to switch to long positions. We not only turned losses into profits, but also reaped rich profits. In the ever-changing investment world, only calm analysis and decisive decision-making can make you the final winner. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
GOLD EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations: Support Zone: The price has respected the marked support area and is showing bullish momentum. EMA Confluence: The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but if it crosses above, it could signal stronger bullish momentum. Target Point: The projection anticipates a move towards 3,052.357, possibly after a minor pullback. If price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, your bullish target seems achievable. Are you already in a long position, or waiting for further confirmation?
TVC:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
3.20 Focus on the long and short battle of the Federal Reserve!!On Wednesday (March 19), the spot gold price continued to fluctuate at a high level during the Asian and European sessions, hitting a record high of $3,045/ounce during the session, and then fell slightly to around $3,029. The market focus is highly concentrated on the upcoming Fed's March interest rate decision. Fundamentals: 1. The struggle between risk aversion demand and policy expectations 2. Rising geopolitical risk premiums 3. Trump's tariff remarks sparked concerns about economic recession 4. Fed policy expectations dominate short-term fluctuations Technical aspects: Long and short game in high-level fluctuations 4-hour structure chart: Bollinger Band pattern: upper track 3044.86, middle track 3031.24, lower track 3017.63, the current quote 3030.49 is close to the middle track, indicating a short-term balance of long and short forces. If the price stands firm on the middle track, it is expected to test the upper track (3044) again; if it falls below the middle track, it may seek support from the lower track (3017) Moving average support: The 100-day moving average (2928.75) and the 200-day moving average (2903.27) form a long-term support band, and the price difference with the current quotation exceeds US$100, further verifying that gold is in a strong cycle. Resistance level: 3050 3080 3100 Support level: 3018 3000 2980
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold surged higher and fell again, signaling an imminent declineAt present, there is a suppression signal below 3045, but it may take some time to consolidate. It fell back under pressure on Wednesday morning, and stabilized and rose briefly to 3045 after touching the middle track. Then there was a small dive to 3022 in the European session and then rose again. This is obviously a high-level sweep, and the market has begun to fight fiercely for longs and shorts; it may go back and forth in the high range of 3020-3045, and finally wait for the announcement of the interest rate decision to stimulate and guide. If the news of the interest rate cut is implemented, it is still predicted that there will be a wave of "selling facts" decline, and then stabilize and bottom out and rise to counterattack. Then the next operation suggestion is to try to correct the decline at a high level, and continue to go up along the trend after touching 3015 or 3000 or 2980. The decline correction and squat adjustment are all preparations for further historical highs in the future. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAU/USD 19 March 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, I will continue to monitor. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or nested Daily and H4 demand zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,045.310. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Again, since yesterday's analysis, price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions. Gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded down to discount of 50% internal EQ and nearly mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,045.410. Alternative scenario: You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold shows signs of waterfall-like plungeStimulated by the news, gold has risen rapidly to around 3045. Obviously, gold has seen a very obvious forced rise. After the rapid rise of gold, there must be a technical demand for a fall. I expect 3045-3055 to be the high point of gold in the day, so when you all want to chase the rise of gold, I have already started to short gold! So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at a high level. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 3030-3040 area as the main force. I believe there will be a good profit! You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March. The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell. Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate. Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market. ⭐️Technical Analysis The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel. These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war. In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness. Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets. Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value. However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1 Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level. Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery. However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery. Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections. The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach. To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions. In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold 2873 to 3037!Your Trust in Our Recommendations DeliversDear Followers, Our recommendations aren’t just predictions—they’re tangible results we achieve together through your trust and our meticulous market analysis! 📊 ✅ On February 4th, we advised buying Gold at 2873, confidently stating that the 3037 target was within reach! ✅ Today, Gold has successfully hit the target, proving once again the precision of our analysis and the power of our strategies! 🏅 📢 To followers who acted on our recommendation: Congratulations! 🎉 You exemplify smart investing by trusting data-driven insights. ⚠️ For those who missed the opportunity: Regret over missed gains hurts more than taking calculated risks! 💔 Don’t repeat this mistake—follow us now to catch the next golden signals before they surge! 🛎 Hit "Follow" and turn on notifications (🔔) to receive our updates instantly. ✍️ Questions? Drop them in the comments—our team is here to guide you to your next profit.
TVC:GOLDLong
by stocksfox
Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages. From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released. From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1