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The secret behind gold's crazy riseGold surged as soon as it was stimulated by the news, but it is expected that this momentum will not last long. Instead, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends have a profound impact on gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought area. It is expected that after gold hits the resistance range of 3025-3035 in the short term, continue to increase short positions and increase the number of transactions, with the target of 3010-3000, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and use the possible correction market to achieve profit goals. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Price Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop to ESupply Zone Resistance (~3,004.973): Price is currently testing this resistance area, which could lead to a potential rejection. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support Level (~2,949.378 - 2,945.323): This area is marked as a potential support zone where price might find buying interest. EMA 200 Support (2,945.323): A critical dynamic support level that aligns with the FVG zone. Indicators: EMA 30 (Red Line - 2,990.457): Short-term trend indicator. EMA 200 (Blue Line - 2,945.323): Long-term trend indicator. Price Action & Prediction: The price is in the supply zone resistance and could potentially reject downwards. The blue projected path suggests a pullback to the FVG support zone before a possible rebound. If price breaks below this support, further downside could be expected. Potential Trade Idea: Short Setup: If rejection occurs at resistance, a short trade targeting the FVG/EMA 200 support could be considered. Long Setup: If price reaches the FVG zone and finds support, a long position targeting previous highs could be a strategy.
TVC:GOLDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Excellent window for gold-------News--- The U.S. inflation data for February was released, and the data showed that the U.S. inflation in February fell across the board, exceeding expectations. The decline in inflation also gave the Federal Reserve more room and possibility for interest rate cuts, and also slightly reduced the concerns originally caused by tariffs. However, with the full implementation of tariffs on Europe, retaliation from Europe also followed, and concerns about the global economic downturn also intensified. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly and then fell again. Gold hourly line pattern chart; Spot gold; Previously, the gold market continued its strong upward trend, and the bulls performed extremely well. On Wednesday, gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of 2930, breaking the previous confinement and opening the upward channel. On Thursday, the rally not only continued, but also entered a large-volume stage, directly breaking through the previous high of 2956, and without any stop, the highest impact reached 2990. The daily line closed with a long positive line, showing a strong pattern of three consecutive positive attacks. On Friday night, it even reached above 3000. You can short sell near 3000 above, and continue to hold the short positions at the previously arranged points. Reduce positions at the target area of ​​2970, and exit all positions when it reaches 2950. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold is testing the barrier again! About to plungeGold hit a new record high again on Friday, reaching 3005 at one point, and also perfectly reaching 3000 points. Obviously, the bulls' goal has been basically achieved. The current K-line must fall back. Moreover, Trump imposed sanctions on the Middle East at the weekend, but the gold price did not rise. Obviously, the bulls are also weak. From the perspective of gold trend, the situation between Russia and Ukraine has become confusing again under the background of the originally expected clear situation, so the risk aversion sentiment has heated up again. In addition, the global trade concerns caused by Trump's tariff policy have led to the intensification of the risk of global economic recession. The uncertainty of the market has also increased again. At this time, gold has become the most sought-after product in the market. From a technical point of view, gold has repeatedly rushed to the 3000 mark last week. On Friday, it pulled out a Yin cross star at a historical high. There is a need for adjustment in the short term. Don't watch it blindly for the time being. There is an obvious bearish engulfing at the top of the gold four-hour line, that is, the big Yin line entity directly covers the Yang line entity, forming a top signal. At the same time, the K-line is also seriously deviated from the moving average. It is an abnormal trend again. The decline is inevitable, and returning to the moving average is also a certain short selling. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
The 3000 mark falls back, continue short-term operationsAfter gold tested the 3000 mark again, it fell back and is currently hovering around 2990. It failed to test 3000 again in the short term. This position is obviously suppressed in the short term. The second upward test quickly fell back. The gold price may fall further. The idea is to follow the trend and short-sell. Pay attention to the short position near 2990, and the target area is 2980-2970. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
3.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (March 17), spot gold fluctuated at a high level and is currently trading at $2,990.02/oz. Spot gold once broke through the important $3,000 mark during trading last Friday, reaching a high of $3,004.82/oz, setting a new historical high. Investors chased this historic surge in safe-haven assets, seeking to avoid the economic uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff war, and then fell slightly due to profit-taking, closing at $2,988.12/oz. Analysis of intraday gold short-term operations: Gold is still in a three-month upward channel, and the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart remains around 70, indicating that the bullish tendency is still intact. Once the gold price stabilizes above $3,000/oz (integer level, midpoint of the ascending channel) and confirms that this level is support, then $3,060/oz (upper limit of the ascending channel) may be set as the next bullish target, and the next bullish target is $3,100/oz (integer level). On the other hand, if gold fails to turn $3,000/oz into support, technical buyers may be frustrated. In this case, $2,920/oz (20-day simple moving average, lower limit of the ascending channel) and $2,900/oz (round level, static level) may be seen as the next support level for gold Resistance: 2998 3010 3020 Support: 2980 2965 2950
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
2
Gold’s Big Moment: $3,000 in Play – Can Bulls Hold It?Gold has finally reached the psychological $3,000 level, triggering the first round of sell-offs as traders take profit. The question now is whether this move can sustain itself or if we are set for a deeper pullback. Given the rapid move up, I remain cautious, ready to cut the trade quickly if I see signs of weakness in the continuation. Fundamentals: • Market Sentiment: Bullish drivers remain strong as gold benefits from rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s rate pause, which has fueled demand for safe-haven assets. • Geopolitical & Economic Factors: • President Trump’s aggressive tariff agenda is fanning concerns about global trade, increasing risk aversion and driving flows into bullion-backed assets. • Chinese jewelry stocks are soaring, signaling growing demand for gold in the region. • The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 97% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting, reinforcing gold’s appeal. • Technical Considerations: • Gold hit a fresh all-time high of $2,993, putting the psychological $3,000 mark in focus. • Above $3,000, there is little historical price action to guide resistance levels, making price discovery uncertain. • On the downside, $2,970 acts as a key pivot, with $2,951 and $2,914 serving as strong support zones if a deeper retracement occurs. Risk Management: • The first sell-off at $3,000 indicates short-term profit-taking. • I am monitoring price action closely and will exit quickly if the move proves unsustainable. Let’s see if gold can hold above $3,000 or if we are in for a correction! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
XAU/USD 17 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, price has not in any way pulled back significantly enough to classify current internal high as an iBOS, should price print higher than current internal high. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025 Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish. In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
The gold high top signal appears, deep correction!It can be found that 3004 is just the top position of the 4-hour chart. After failing to break through the range last Friday, a retracement signal has also appeared. The current lower range support of the 4-hour chart is 2955-50. And 2955-50 happens to be the previous high point. Therefore, this position may be the dividing point between long and short positions of gold this week. Secondly, from the hourly chart: It can be seen that the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of a head and shoulders top. Once gold falls below 2980 today, it is very likely to develop towards the lower 2955-2940. 2955-50 happens to be the 618 position of this trend. The lower 50% is around 2940, which may also be the extreme retracement position of gold. Therefore, I do not recommend that you continue to chase more, but consider entering the market to short near 2990. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders Breakdownhello guys. In the 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price is currently consolidating near the right shoulder, and if a breakout below the neckline occurs, it could lead to a further downside. The volume profile indicates a strong support zone around $2,962 - $2,965, which aligns with a key liquidity area. As illustrated by the red arrows, the expected price action suggests a minor pullback before continuing toward this support zone. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions, with a target near the highlighted demand area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
6
3.17 Gold short-term may extend low and longLast week, the gold market opened at 2912.9 at the beginning of the week, and then fell back at the beginning of the week. After the weekly low reached 2880, the market rose strongly due to risk aversion. After breaking the previous historical high of 2957, the market accelerated upward. On Friday, the weekly high reached 3005.2, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 2986.1, and the market closed with a big positive line with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After this pattern ended, the market continued to look at the bullish demand point after the adjustment at the beginning of the week. After the breakout of 2940 and 2958 last week, the stop loss was followed up at 2956. Short-term operation suggestions: SELL: 2995 target 2980 70 stop loss 10
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
XAU/USD 17-21 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Price printed as per analysis dated 16 February 2025 by price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,956.310. However, The pullback was not substantial. Nonetheless, due to time spent I will classify this as an iBOS. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯 Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006 Key Support level 2832 - 2818 Mr SMC Trading point Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold trading ideas for next Monday!On Friday, the gold bulls and bears were in a stalemate, and the overall market fluctuated around 2978-3005. As the weekly line closed higher, it means that the bulls have been released and will start to plummet next week. From the time window, next Thursday is exactly the 89th trading day since gold rose from 2536 on November 14 last year. If it rises from 2832 on February 28, it is almost 13 trading days, which is in line with the law of market change time. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also announce the interest rate decision and press conference in the early hours of Thursday. Perhaps only under the promotion of the Federal Reserve's news can a new round of collapse be triggered! ! ! In the short term, gold rose and fell last Friday. The daily chart has a $15 upper shadow line, and the upper shadow line indicates that the upper pressure is strong and the market has a clear downward trend. Therefore, the overall market next Monday tends to fall first and then rise! ! ! Judging from the gold hourly chart, there are several positions to focus on next Monday. First, the hourly chart rising trend line support level is 2982. If it breaks below, it will fall further to around 2940. Second, the 61.8% position of the golden ratio of 3005-2978 is around 2995. Third, last Friday’s high is 3005, and a breakthrough is impossible. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
The gold market will face a key test next weekThe gold market will face a key test next week. The pressure at the round-number mark of $3,000 cannot be underestimated, and the price will inevitably undergo a correction process. Or it may show high fluctuations, with last Friday's retracement low of 2979 as support, and it can repeatedly rise to digest the pressure above. Or there will be a larger correction, and 2956 will become an important support at this time. For investors, the operating strategy for next week remains unchanged in the bullish direction, and the key lies in the grasp of the points. I will still bring you wonderful analysis next week
TVC:GOLD
by Fortune-signal
GOLD TRADING PONT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋. SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 1H time. Look 👀 first take FVG level that take entry buying said target point 2959 New ATH wait for FVG level good luck 🤞 Key Resistance level 2930 + 2959 Key Support level 2909 - 2902 - 2896 Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
continue to find new ATH next week, gold✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/17/2025 - 03/21/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices pull back after briefly surpassing the $3,000 milestone, reaching a record high of $3,004 per troy ounce before retreating to $2,982, down 0.21% for the day. Uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump's trade policies and a weaker US Dollar initially fueled the surge but later led to a price correction. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to influence demand for the safe-haven metal. The Ukraine-Russia ceasefire hangs in the balance, with signs of reluctance from Moscow to uphold the 30-day truce. 🔥 Identify: Gold price has reached over 3000 this week, a new turning point. The trade situation is still very tense, the momentum continues for the upward trend next week. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3043, $3078 Support : $2954, $2882 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold swing trade week 16/03/25Last week he had a trade from 2880 that ran for 1244 pips congragulations if you took it. This week we are looking for a sell then leading into a buy at previous resistance. Current Price Action: Gold is trading near $2,984, slightly rejecting resistance. The price is respecting the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. Support & Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: Around $2,998 - $3,000, psychological and technical resistance. Key Support: 2,961 - $2,965 (potential buy zone). Next Major Resistance: 3,021 - 3,030 (Fibonacci extension + trendline target). Fibonacci Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around 2,964 aligns with a potential buy entry. The 0.382 retracement at 2,996 acts as immediate resistance. Trendlines & Channel: Price is respecting the bullish channel. A break above 3,000 could push XAU/USD toward 3,021 - 3,050. If price breaks below 2,961, a retracement to 2,930 - 2,900 is possible. Moving Averages: Short-term EMA (White) is above the Green MA, signaling continued bullishness. If the price holds above 2,965, bulls remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
1
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levels 15/03/25Gold has achieved new all-time highs this week, breaking the 3000 level before retreating to 2982. As we look ahead to the coming week, I've outlined key buy and sell levels on this 4-hour Gold chart, along with potential entries. For a buy, consider entering at 2988, targeting 2990 as the first resistance. If this level is surpassed, the next resistance range could be around 3000 to 3005. It's important to follow the chart levels closely and secure profits along the way. For a sell, an entry at 2977 could aim for a move down to 2970, with subsequent targets around 2962 to 2960 as resistance levels. Stick to the marked entries on the chart for better clarity and control. As always use proper risk management , take profit along the way and dont overleverage
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Expect a strong pull back on Gold next week!Hello traders, We have seen that Gold experienced a significant bullish trend last week, culminating in surpassing the $3,000 per ounce milestone for the first time on March 14, 2025. Several factors contributed to this surge: 1. Market Uncertainty Driving Safe-Haven Demand – With ongoing global economic tensions, particularly due to U.S. trade policies, investors are turning to gold as a reliable hedge against instability. 2. Central Banks Boosting Gold Reserves – Many central banks are increasing their gold holdings, adding steady buying pressure that supports rising prices. 3. Speculation on Interest Rate Cuts – Expectations that major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates have made gold more attractive, as it benefits from a low-rate environment. 4. Inflation Concerns Fueling Demand – With fears of rising inflation, investors see gold as a traditional store of value that can help preserve wealth over time. For a long time, many investors expected gold to hit the $3000 mark. Gold broke through that level on Friday, but it ended the day below it. We can anticipate a significant pullback in gold by next week based on recent price action. And these are my thoughts: We will be looking for shorting possibilities below 2978.620, with an initial target of 2961.524 and an overall objective of 2931.979. On the other hand, we can disregard the initial assumptions and assume that the price will continue to grow if we observe that it keeps rising and closes above Friday's high. How do you plan to trade gold next week traders? Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook: ╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral. Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish. Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish. Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish. EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR. ╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish. Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish. Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral. Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish. ╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness. Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs. Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish. ╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish. Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral. Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral. Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral. ╰┈➤Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus). Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises. Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains. ╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish. RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves. Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential. Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds. Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range. ╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish. DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish. XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish. Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral. Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish. ╰┈➤News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish. Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed. Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal. ╰┈➤Next Trend Move Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850. Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation. ╰┈➤Future Prediction Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens. Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025 ╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:XAUEUR
by Thief_Trader