Gold price hits a new all-time high!Market news:
In the early Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), spot gold continued to rise, once refreshing its historical high to $3,168/ounce, as US President Trump declared a national emergency on Wednesday to enhance the competitive advantage of the United States, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. He will impose a 10% benchmark tariff on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of the largest US trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war launched after his return to the White House, and the market risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply. After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment rose sharply in the early Asian trading on Thursday, US stock futures plummeted, and Dow futures plunged more than 1,100 points. London gold prices soared, and international gold prices soared after US President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. When people's concerns about the global economy intensify, investors regard gold as a safe haven. Such concerns have helped gold prices rise 19% so far this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven mainly by massive central bank purchases and strong demand in Asia. The dollar index fell after Trump's tariff plan was announced, making gold more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors need to pay attention to the number of layoffs in challenger companies in the United States in March, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 29, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data in the United States in March. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of Trump's tariff policy and the response measures of various countries, and pay attention to changes in national stock market performance and risk aversion.
Technical Review:
At the daily level, gold started the downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous continuous rise in one fell swoop. However, the current moving average system still maintains an upward divergent trend. The 4-hour trend of gold temporarily maintains a high range of oscillation repair. At present, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation repair trend during the day. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross with upward bullish arrangement. Although gold fell below the moving average support yesterday, the strength of gold bulls to bottom out and rebound is still relatively strong, and with the support of gold safe-haven, gold bulls are still better. As long as it does not break 3100, it will continue to be strongly bullish.
Today's analysis:
The news of gold early in the morning upgraded the risk aversion, and gold broke upward again. Then the previous resistance of gold has now become support again. The previous platform support of gold at 3135 has broken upward, so gold has now formed support at 3135. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. Since after the shock, gold bulls have exerted their strength again under the stimulation of risk aversion, the trend continues to belong to bulls, and gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy.
The 1-hour moving average of gold turned upward again, and gold bulls regained control of the home court. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips on the previous platform support of 3135. Now risk aversion stimulates gold to rise. Don't chase it directly at high levels for the time being, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. As risk aversion is upgraded, gold buying will continue to be strong and gold is expected to rise to a higher level.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3132-3135 buy, stop loss 3124, target 3160-3170;
Short-term gold 3174-3177 sell, stop loss 3185, target 3140-3130;
Key points:
First support level: 3140, second support level: 3133, third support level: 3120
First resistance level: 3166, second resistance level: 3174, third resistance level: 3187
Goldprice
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's long and short boundaries:
3127
Support and resistance levels
3164
3150
3141
3113
3103
3089
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164
If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
The tariff hammer helps bulls rise stronglyTechnical analysis of gold: Affected by fundamentals, gold rose sharply again. The daily line finally closed in the positive zone and maintained a strong high at the opening. Pay attention to the upper and lower support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, it will have the momentum to continue to rise. The 4H cycle will strongly break through the upper Bollinger Band. , moving higher around the moving average support, there is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle rail has recovered, and the middle rail is still a key watershed. The lower support is around 3148 and 3138. We will go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look at 3170 and 3200!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138-40, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170!
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The market is changing rapidly. There is no general who always wins in this market. Therefore, it is important for us to make corresponding adjustments according to market changes. We must do a good job of protection. There will always be some ups and downs in the market, but there will be a rainbow after the rain. We must not forget our original intention and forge ahead.
The long-short sweep may still explodeThe tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious.
Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics.
So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this.
As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. This performance can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I certainly cannot notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss.
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyGold prices hit a new all-time high as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing uncertainty in the global economy. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In short, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
Beware of gold tariff changes! Intraday Gold Trading Buckle UpGold news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 2), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3114.90/ounce. Gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday. Spot gold rose to around the 3150 mark earlier, setting a new record high of $3148.85/ounce, but then fell back due to profit-taking, closing at $3114.03/ounce, down about 0.3%. US President Trump plans to announce comprehensive tariffs on countries with trade imbalances with the United States on April 2, which has spawned a large number of safe-haven buying, helping gold prices to continue to rise, but near the last moment, some bulls took profits in advance. Gold has always been seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties. On Monday, gold closed with its strongest quarterly performance since 1986 and broke through $3,100 per ounce, becoming one of the most significant gains in the history of precious metals.
Technical analysis of gold: Gold 4-hour chart retreated to the middle track and paused for a while. Today, the battle between the high point 3148 and the 4-hour middle track will be fought. Losing the middle track will further increase the adjustment space. On the contrary, holding the middle track to recover the high point will continue the slow rise. The market outlook will continue to cooperate with the slow rise method of one step back and one turn back. That is, the repeated high-exploration and fall method. From the 1-hour chart of gold, the rising volume at the end of the wave-shaped tail is usually not sustainable, accompanied by the one-step back and one-step wash-out method. After yesterday's retreat, today's early trading rose quickly, accompanied by a big negative line in the hourly chart to retrace and correct, and stepped back to the local high of 3150. The fluctuation base is large and the adjustment space can be large or small. It is not easy to chase high at the current position. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of overbought tariffs on the technical level will also be realized, and the room for adjustment cannot be underestimated. We should use ultra-short-term combined with medium and long-term short-term to respond to short-term adjustments. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3100-3083. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist the order operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions. 🌐Follow real-time orders.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short stop loss of 6 points near 3136-3138 when gold rebounds, target around 3115-3100, break the position and look at 3085 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3105-3095, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, and look at the 3130 line if the position is broken;
Trading discipline: 1. Don’t follow the trend blindly: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. The market information is complicated and complex, and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, notify you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100Gold market analysis:
The market is always confusing, and investors are always guessing. This is the most mysterious and tempting part of the market. In fact, there are many trading opportunities for gold every day, but there are only a few that you can understand. So what you need is execution. When it comes to the opportunity that you can understand, you must be decisive. Yesterday, gold rose in the Asian session, and it fell sharply to around 3100 in the US session. This position is a strong support for the daily line. It finally rebounded and closed with a big tombstone on the daily line. At this time, some people began to speculate again, whether the big top has come, and whether gold has really fallen? We must see the facts clearly and follow them. Yesterday's gold daily tombstone is only a short-term top, and it is just that the short-term is not so strong. The buying pattern of the long-term trend is still intact. Today's thinking is bullish in the general trend, and both short-term long and short positions can be entered.
From the perspective of form, gold will undergo a range repair in the range of 3100-3148. There is no gold that keeps rising. If it keeps rising without stopping, it is impossible. Now gold has risen too much and is undergoing a technical repair. If it rebounds first, we will sell it at 3138 and 3148. If it falls first, pay attention to 3119 and 3100. There are opportunities for buying and selling. Grasp the rhythm.
Support 3119 and 3110, strong support 3100, pressure 3138 and 3148, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market 3120.
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Today, we will focus on the ADP employment data, which is the precursor to the non-agricultural data.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100
Gold (XAUUSD) 30-Min Analysis – Key Levels & Trade SetupPrice Levels:
Current price: 3,126.01
Resistance: 3,136.82 (stop-loss level for short trades)
Support: 3,105.97 (target level for short trades)
Another resistance at 3,155.07 (target level for long trades)
Moving Averages:
EMA 200 (blue line): 3,095.57 – Long-term trend indicator; price is above, indicating a bullish bias.
EMA 30 (red line): 3,123.69 – Short-term trend indicator; price is currently near this level.
Trading Strategy:
The chart appears to be showing a possible short trade setup if price rejects resistance at 3,129.62 - 3,136.82.
If price moves below 3,123.69, it could indicate downside momentum toward 3,105.97.
Alternatively, a breakout above 3,136.82 could trigger a move toward 3,155.07.
Risk/Reward Analysis:
Short setup: Entry near 3,129.62, stop-loss around 3,136.82, target 3,105.97.
Long setup: Entry above 3,136.82, stop-loss below 3,129.62, target 3,155.07.
Conclusion:
Bullish Scenario: If price breaks 3,136.82, a move toward 3,155.07 is likely.
Bearish Scenario: If price stays below 3,129.62, it could drop toward 3,105.97.
EMA 30 as dynamic support/resistance: Watch for price reaction around 3,123.69.
GOLD - on resistance- Could Bitcoin resume its Gains Over GoldAs you can see, GOLD has come to a point where it has been rejected twice previously.
And on each of the previous occasions, PA ended up back on the lower trend line., taking around 2 years to do so on each occasions
GOLD MOVES SO SLOW - mostly due to its HUGE market cap..... But thats another story
Has the recent rise of Gold come to a line of defeat ?
The Daily chart here shows how PA is stalling at this moment in time
Each push is getting Shorter. PA is tired.
PA is Getting OVERBOUGHT on many time frames. It needs a break
The thing is, Mr Trump will later today introduce the "liberation Tariffs"
The expectation is of FEAR as reprisals and reduced markets could cause issues in the USA , including reversing the Drop in inflation.
If the Tariffs backfire, the $ will Drop..and people will look to safe haves
Traditionally GOLD. Maybe Gold can break through its old nemesis of rejection.
But PA Is TIRED
BITCOIN has been under pressure recently, following posting a new ATH and this has taken a toll on the BTC XAUT trading pair while Gold has risen.
We can see how PA dropped and has in fact, fallen below the lower line of support.
But it needs to be understood is that RSI and MACD are now in very positive positions to make a push higher.
Gold is tired
In the Near Future, we may well see the tables turn in Bitcoins Favour again
But Me Trumps, today, May actually upset that idea.
We just have to wait and see how sentiment is towards Risk assets later today , after the announcement of these Tariffs.
But, in the Longer term, once the dust settles, I do see Bitcoin taking over again and continuing its rise to greatness.....
ENJOY
Time Will tell
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (02/04/2025)OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is likely to remain within a tight range, possibly edging slightly higher due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data focus and Tariff, but a significant breakout seems unlikely in just 24 hours. Our estimate is 60% probability that the price stays between $3,105 and $3,150, with a 30% chance of inching above $3,150 and a 10% chance of dropping below $3,105. This is a short-term view only
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XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold price plunges $50! Gold price profit-taking!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 2), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,130/ounce. The London gold price rose and fell on Tuesday. Spot gold rose to around the 3,150 mark earlier, and suddenly fell sharply after hitting a record high, falling nearly $50 from the high point. This is mainly attributed to investors choosing to take profits before US President Trump announced a series of tariffs. International gold has traditionally been a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. On Monday, the international gold price ended the first quarter with the strongest single-quarter performance since 1986, closing above $3,100/ounce. This is one of the most volatile periods in gold history. This trading day will also release the US ADP employment changes in March and the US factory orders monthly rate in February. Federal Reserve Board member Kugler will also deliver a speech, which investors need to pay attention to. In addition, it is necessary to focus on the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs announced by US President Trump, and be wary of the "boots landing" market.
Technical Review:
Gold ended its consecutive positive structure, and the daily chart closed with a long upper shadow and a negative K-line, and fell back to 3100 in the late trading. Technically, the gold price is still above the MA7 and 5-day moving averages at 3078/95, while the MA10/7-day moving averages still remain open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.The short-term four-hour moving average closed, and the price was running below the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/04. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving averages are glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its volatility adjustment range during the day. It is recommended to wait for a correction before buying low and be cautious in chasing long positions at historical highs. Key resistance levels or historical highs participate in high-altitude coordination. Once the special tariff policy is implemented, there is a high probability that the situation of buying expectations and selling facts will occur. Pay attention to the sharp decline in the gold and silver market prices. On the contrary, if the new tariff policy is announced on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention again to trigger risk aversion and usher in a sharp rise or set a new record high again.
Today's analysis:
Gold rose and fell back in the US market yesterday, and the bulls may enter an adjustment cycle under short-term pressure. In the short term, gold is expected to adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3148 before falling and adjusting. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, Bollinger band closed, and the US market continued to decline after the shock. It has now fallen below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retreat and adjust. From the 1-hour chart of gold, the rising volume at the tail end of the wave is usually not sustainable, accompanied by a step-by-step wash-out. After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian session quickly rose and rushed high, accompanied by a big negative line in the hourly chart, and retreated to the local high of 3150. The fluctuation base is large and the adjustment space can be large or small. It is not easy to chase high at the current position. Although short selling is against the trend, the technical overbought tariff implementation will also be realized, and the adjustment space should not be underestimated. Ultra-short-term combined with medium and long-term shorts to deal with short-term short adjustments.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3110-3113, stop loss at 3102, target at 3140-3150;
Sell short-term gold at 3143-3145, stop loss at 3154, target at 3120-3110;
Key points:
First support level: 3115, second support level: 3102, third support level: 3093
First resistance level: 3130, second resistance level: 3138, third resistance level: 3150
XAU/USD(20250402) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
3121
Support and resistance levels
3168
3151
3139
3102
3091
3073
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3121, consider buying, the first target price is 3139
If the price breaks through 3102, consider selling, the first target price is 3091
3100 Danger? Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier!
Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend.
In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits.
Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold;
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
Gold (XAUUSD) 30-Minute Trade Setup: Bullish Reversal from SuppoThis chart represents a trading analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Here are the key points from the chart:
Technical Indicators:
EMA (30, close) - Red Line: 3,124.52 (shorter-term trend)
EMA (200, close) - Blue Line: 3,090.41 (longer-term trend)
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 3,108.21
Stop Loss: 3,098.52 (just below the support zone)
Target Point: 3,149.04 (potential profit level)
Analysis:
The price is currently bouncing from a purple support zone, which aligns with a short-term retracement.
The 30 EMA (red) is currently above the price, indicating short-term resistance.
The 200 EMA (blue) is significantly lower, showing that the overall trend is still bullish.
A potential long (buy) trade is suggested, as price is expected to reverse from the support level towards the target point of 3,149.04.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The stop loss is set below the key support level to minimize risk.
The target price provides a significant profit potential.
Conclusion:
If price holds above 3,108.21, there is a strong bullish case.
If price breaks below 3,098.52, the bullish setup may become invalid.
Monitoring the 30 EMA resistance will be crucial for confirmation.
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis: Bullish Setup with Key SGold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Technical Indicators:
Current Price: $3,122.28
30 EMA (Red Line): $3,115.90 (Short-term trend indicator)
200 EMA (Blue Line): $3,081.17 (Long-term trend indicator)
Support Zone: Around $3,106.62
Target Point: $3,154.02
Analysis:
Trend:
The price is in an uptrend, as it is trading above both the 30 EMA and 200 EMA.
The 30 EMA is acting as dynamic support, showing strong buying interest at pullbacks.
Key Levels:
Support: $3,106.62 (marked in blue) is expected to hold as a key support level.
Resistance Zone (Previous Supply Area): Around $3,090-$3,100 (shaded purple) was previously a resistance zone but has now turned into support.
Target Level: $3,154.02 is the expected bullish target if the price respects the support zone.
Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario: The price may pull back to the support zone (~$3,106.62) before bouncing higher towards the target.
Stop Loss: Below $3,106.62 to minimize risk.
Entry Point: A retest of the support area with bullish confirmation could provide an optimal entry for a long trade.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set just below the support zone.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable if targeting $3,154.02 with a stop at $3,106.62.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bullish outlook, with price expected to continue its upward momentum if support holds.
A breakout above $3,123 could further confirm bullish strength.
Caution: If the price breaks below $3,106, further downside movement toward the 200 EMA ($3,081.17) is possible.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Trade Setup: Demand Zone Entry & Target PrThis is a gold (XAUUSD) trading chart from TradingView, showing a technical analysis setup on the 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
Uptrend: The chart shows a strong bullish trend, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Demand Zone (Entry Point):
A highlighted yellow zone around $3,121.38 indicates a demand area where price is expected to bounce.
This could be a support level or a key order block.
Stop Loss: Placed at $3,112.40, below the demand zone, to minimize risk in case the trade fails.
Target Point:
Set at $3,177.94, which is 1.69% above the entry point.
The expected reward is 52.77 points.
Risk-Reward Ratio: This setup follows a risk-reward strategy, aiming for a potential gain significantly higher than the risk taken.
Trading Strategy:
If the price retraces into the demand zone, a long position (buy) is expected.
A bounce from this zone could lead to a price surge towards the target.
If price falls below the stop-loss level, the trade is invalidated.
Conclusion:
This is a bullish setup relying on a pullback to a key support zone before continuation. Traders may monitor price action in the yellow zone for confirmation before entering a trade
4.1 Analysis and Suggestions on Gold US Market Operation IdeasGold intraday interpretation
Gold failed to hit 3150 in the morning session. How will the subsequent market evolve?
It hit a high in the morning and then fell back to 3125-3130 to stop the decline and enter consolidation. If it fails to break through 3150 on Thursday, it will have a chance to enter a high-level adjustment, and the decline may reach 30-50 points!
Market sentiment has been brewing for a long enough time. Everyone should look at tariffs rationally. Even if there is no tax increase, there is no need to be too surprised.
Currently entering the triangle consolidation pattern, which is a type of relay pattern. The pattern is usually accompanied by a reduction in trading volume and resumes the original trend after breaking through.
Focus: 3150 key resistance. Don't chase north above 3140. If the intermediate form is used, the probability of breaking through 3150 during the day is not high. Mainly look at the ADP employment number on Wednesday. Beware of the US market retreating from 3113 to 3117 and then rebounding quickly.
Lower support: 3125 3113 3105
Upper pressure: 3150 3165
Verified again, bulls continue to hit new highsGold technical analysis: Gold opened at 3130 in the morning. Yesterday, gold technically accelerated in the Asian session. The European session bulls continued to break through and stood above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session stepped back twice to confirm the stabilization of the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Friends who follow me can see that our real-time analysis and the analysis of the article before the US session also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. This also verifies the 3127-3130 line suppression given in my article last night. The daily K-line closed with a shock and broke through the high-middle Yang. The overall gold price ushered in the rhythm of bulls accelerating the rise after breaking through the 3050 mark. The daily level closed with a strong medium-yang for three consecutive trading days. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3118-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3116-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line continue to cover long positions, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Trading discipline: 1. Do not blindly follow the trend: Do not be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend can easily fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in volatile markets, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.