XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX!
🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly
📍 Current Price: 3,204
📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral
📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode
🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW
BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance).
Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023.
Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk).
🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH
Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note
🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion
🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone
⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support
🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support
🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies
🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT
Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM).
Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell.
Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode.
🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY
Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+).
Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation.
Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950.
⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY
1.272: ✅ Hit
1.618: 3,440 (Tapped)
2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion)
🧠 FINAL WORD
Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range.
Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off.
Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs.
Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves!
Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns.
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
Goldprice
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3389 and a gap below at 3352. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
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2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
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3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
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4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
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5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
Gold Heist Blueprint: "XAU/USD" Short Setup!?Greetings, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 🤑💸
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we combine slick technicals and crafty fundamentals to pull off the ultimate XAU/USD heist. This is our plan to raid the "Gold" market with a short entry, targeting the high-stakes GREEN MA Zone. Expect a risky, oversold setup with consolidation and a potential trend reversal—a trap where bullish robbers get outplayed. 💪🎯 Stick to the chart, execute with precision, and treat yourself to the spoils! 🍾
Why This Trade? 💰
XAU/USD is showing a neutral trend with a bearish tilt as of 18 May 2025, driven by:
📊Technicals: Price is testing a key support zone (~3120) after a breakout from a consolidation pattern on the 30-minute chart. Oversold RSI signals a potential reversal, with the Pink MA (50-period) acting as dynamic resistance.
📰Fundamentals: Recent COT reports indicate reduced speculative long positions, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Quantitative analysis suggests gold’s correlation with USD strength is tightening, supporting a bearish outlook.
😇Sentiment: Intermarket analysis shows rising Treasury yields pressuring gold, while market sentiment leans cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases.
💡Data Point: Gold’s average daily range (ADR) over the past 5 days is ~35 points, aligning with our target and stop-loss levels for a day/scalp trade.
Entry 📈: Set your trap at 3120 post-breakout.
Option 1: Place sell stop orders below the support breakout level (~3115) for confirmation.
Option 2: For pullback entries, set sell limit orders near the swing low/high on a 15/30-minute timeframe.
Pro Tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. Don’t miss the heist! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your loot!
Place your stop loss above the nearest swing high (~3270) on the 30-minute chart for day/scalp trades.
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Note: If using sell stop orders, wait for breakout confirmation before setting your stop. Risk is yours—play it sharp! 🔥
Target 🎯: 3000 (120-point move, aligning with ADR and support zones).
Trading Alert 🚨:
News Risk: Upcoming economic releases (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes) could spike volatility. Avoid new trades during high-impact news and use trailing stops to lock in profits.
Position Management: Scale out at key levels (e.g., 50% at 3060) to secure gains.
Join the Heist! 💥
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery squad. With the Thief Trading Style, we make markets bleed profits daily. 🏆 Stay sharp, follow the plan, and let’s stack those wins! Another heist is coming soon—keep your eyes peeled. 🐱👤💰
Check fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket trends for deeper insights.
check linkkss..🔗
Happy thieving! 🤝🚀
Gold prices remain strong as tariffs heat up again
Hey everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week from May 26, 2025 to May 30, 2025,
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and up more than 5% for the week as the dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. Gold prices rebounded from an intraday low of $3,287 to $3,359 as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets.
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that negotiations are "going nowhere" and threatening to impose a 50% tariff on EU imports from June 1. For months, Fed policymakers have made it clear that they want more clarity on the response from fiscal and trade policies and the economy before taking further action on interest rates. Over the past month, this cautious stance has prompted traders to withdraw their bets on a rate cut in the June meeting, and the market now expects the policy pause to continue until the July meeting. However, futures market positions show that the probability of a rate cut before the end of September is still slightly above 50%. This is essentially a bet that the situation will become clearer in the next four months: either slowing inflation paves the way for policy easing, or the economic deterioration forces the Fed to increase stimulus.
📊Comment Analysis
Tariff news has begun to heat up again, and the United States and the rest of the world have not yet reached a consensus on negotiations, and gold prices have benefited from this rise. The big time frame shows that the price is breaking out and continuing the upward trend
Technical:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold on the 4-hour chart, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3412, $3436
Support: $3315, $3280, $3245
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months.
🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by:
Global inflationary pressures.
Geopolitical instability.
Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness.
This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up.
The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025.
The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision.
Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation.
This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control.
🔍 3. Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600):
This zone has acted as a supply region in the past.
Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout.
A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+
Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height.
Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective.
🛑 Support & Stop-Loss :
Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base.
This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout.
🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior
Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone.
Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity.
Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region.
💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup
During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions.
However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips.
Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher.
⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch
Sudden USD strength or rising real yields.
Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand.
FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts.
✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play
Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
Buying on pullbacks remains the main theme!Tariff turmoil resurfaces, gold price jumps!
The Trump administration once again wields the tariff stick, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and saying that there has been no progress in the negotiations between the US and the EU. Because the timing of this threat is quite subtle. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold price tonight!
Faced with the tough stance of the US, the EU is not sitting still. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on cars and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market!
The bulls are in control and are unwilling to give the bears too many opportunities to cover their losses. Therefore, the strategy of following the trend needs to be more active - strong markets usually do not experience a deep retracement, and the correction phase will not break the previous low for the second time. After the current gold price surged to 3365, the intraday bull defense position should be set at 3340. The previous low of 3320 has been effectively supported, and the bulls have taken the absolute initiative, and there will be no short-selling opportunities in the short term. Based on the current strong bullish performance, continuing to maintain a bullish mindset is the core of the transaction.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold recommends going long in the 3340-3330 area, with a target of 3350-3360.
2. Gold recommends going short in the 3365-3375 area, with a target of 3350-3340.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Rises on Tariff News, But Caution NeededGold prices surged after the U.S. President announced a 50% tariff on EU imports, triggering safe-haven demand. However, analysts warn that this may be a short-term FOMO reaction rather than the start of a sustainable rally.
📰 Key Drivers:
- The tariff announcement spooked markets, boosting gold temporarily.
- The U.S. dollar dipped slightly, but bond yields remain high – a bearish sign for gold.
- No immediate EU retaliation weakens the long-term bullish case.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
- Resistance: $3350 – being tested but not yet clearly broken.
- Support: $3310 – may be revisited if upward momentum fades.
- EMA 09: Price remains above, but fading volume and long upper wick suggest weakening strength.
- Price Action: Sharp move looks emotion-driven; correction likely if no follow-up catalyst appears.
📉 Short-Term View:
Despite the surge, gold’s rise may be temporary. If no escalation occurs, a short-term pullback is likely as markets reassess the impact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup (Short-Term Bearish):
SELL XAU/USD at 3345 – 3350
🎯 TP: 3330
❌ SL: 3355
BUY XAU/USD at 3310 – 3312
🎯 TP: 3325 – 3327
❌ SL: 3305
Tariffs are on the rise again, gold is jumping.Information summary:
The Trump administration has once again launched a tariff war, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and said that the negotiations between the United States and the EU have made no progress. Because the timing of this threat is quite delicate. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold.
Faced with the tough stance of the United States, the EU is not without countermeasures. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on automobiles and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market.
Market analysis:
Today, the European session was under pressure at 3335 and the correction method was adopted. This correction method can better show that the price is strong, and the bulls are not willing to give the bears too many opportunities. Therefore, the layout should be aggressive. The stronger the market, the less likely it will fall back. At the same time, the correction of the strong market will definitely not break the low for the second time.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3375, stop loss at 3380, and target 3350-3340.
The price fell back to around 3335, and we will adopt a long strategy based on the downward trend.
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3335
TP3: $3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise?
The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯
🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral
Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance
If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345
Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation
🧭 Market Update
Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint:
CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure
EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone
RSI is showing divergence near key demand
FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely
Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇
🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones
🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320
💥 Premium OB reaction area
→ If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load
→ EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level
→ Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic
⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298
🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth
→ If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s
→ BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script
→ In that case, structure opens doors to:
🟡3314
🟡3332
Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone)
We adapt with structure — not emotions.
🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273
✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce
→ This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly
→ Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS
→ Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing
🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250
🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6%
→ If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone
→ Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act
❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230
🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs
→ Structure flips HTF bearish
→ If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure.
Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between.
🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king.
💬 Let me know which zone you're watching.
🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction.
🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
Tariff threat. Gold prices rose sharply?Information summary:
Gold prices climbed in the short term during trading after Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on the European Union, as this increased market uncertainty and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he suggested a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, and complained that trade negotiations were stalled.
After the news came out, gold prices rose rapidly, breaking the $3,345 resistance level, but did not stabilize above the $3,365 resistance level I predicted in the morning; it reached a high of around $3,360 and then fell back slightly.
I think the short-term gains have been too large, and if there is a rapid adjustment, the amplitude will also be large.
Technical analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, gold prices continue to trade above all moving averages, and the 20-day moving average has broken through the 100-day and 200-day period moving averages. At present, indicators show that the upward momentum is not very strong.
If the price breaks through the 3365 resistance level strongly, it may hit the cycle high of around 3380.
Because of the weekend, if the resistance level fails to be broken strongly, the price may adjust in the range of 3360-3330 US dollars, and a new trend needs to be found.
XAU/USD: It's time for Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price continued to rise as expected and reached $3344. As I anticipated last week, the gap between $3311 and $3322 has finally been filled! This analysis has delivered a return of over 1090 pips so far. After hitting the $3340 zone, the price faced strong selling pressure and is currently trading around $3294. If gold manages to hold below $3284, we could expect further downside. This analysis will be updated!
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
3330 is in stalemate 3335 is the key to long and short positions🗞News side:
1. PMI and initial jobless claims data
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Progress of the G7 meeting
📈Technical aspects:
Currently, the gold price is caught in a fierce battle between bulls and bears at the 3330 level. From a technical point of view, gold is still in the weekly level adjustment and no clear unilateral trend has emerged. Recently, there has been frequent changes in long and short positions, and the rise and fall of prices depends on the impact of news on the market. Even if gold experiences a correction at present, it is likely to be only a small range. Therefore, in the short term, attention should be paid to the resistance line of 3330-3335. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards yesterday's high of 3345. If it encounters resistance and pressure at 3330-3335, it may retreat to 3310-3300 in the short term for correction. The upper strong pressure is still at 3350-3360, and the lower support of 3300-3290 is still strong. There is no good entry trading opportunity at present, so brothers should wait patiently.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Will gold continue to rise? Be alert on Friday.On Thursday, the US dollar rebounded after three consecutive days of decline and once returned to above the 100 mark, but failed to stand firm here. It is still maintaining at the 100 mark for consolidation. Due to the strengthening of the US dollar, gold began to retreat after hitting a high of 3345 yesterday, and once lost the 3300 US dollar mark, with the lowest reaching around 3280.
First of all, from the current 4-hour chart of gold:
In the Asian session, the lowest gold touched around 3290, and then rebounded. As of now, the highest reached around 3330. At present, 3310 should be a relatively important support position for gold. If it can be maintained above 3310, then gold may continue to rise. It can also be seen from the figure that once it continues to rise, 3345 is likely to be refreshed, and the highest should be around 3360.
From the 1-hour chart:
3280-3330 range, around 3310 is exactly the current 618 position. Therefore, if gold cannot pull back below 3310 again, it is highly likely that it will continue to reach a new high.
Secondly, as time goes by, the early low of 3290 can no longer be touched, and the current support is already near 3300. That is to say, it cannot fall below 3300 again. Once it falls below 3300, gold will refresh the low of 3280 and continue to fall.
Operation strategy:
If it can retreat to 3310 and stabilize, then we will go long at 3310.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3310, then we will focus on 3300. Once it falls below 3300, the trend will go down.
Then you can short at 3290-3300, and the profit range is around the early intensive trading area of 3260-3250.
Gold May Continue Rising – Signs of Short-Term Recovery EmergingGold is showing a strong recovery from the recent low of $3280/oz and has now surpassed the key resistance at $3325, currently trading around $3330. The upward momentum remains intact as gold continues to trade above the EMA 09, indicating that bulls are still in control in the short term.
There is a possibility that gold could retrace slightly to the $3310 zone to gather momentum before pushing higher toward the next resistance at $3350.
Key factors supporting the short-term bullish outlook:
• The US dollar has temporarily weakened after economic data came in less impressive, giving gold room to rise.
• Gold demand has seen a slight rebound from ETFs after recent sell-offs.
• Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and cautious sentiment in equity markets continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact.
• Nearest support: $3310 – could be an attractive entry point for buyers.
• Next resistance: $3350 – serves as the immediate upside target.
• Bullish candlestick patterns are forming with no strong reversal signals so far.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy (Short-Term Bias: Bullish):
• BUY XAU/USD at 3310 – 3312
🎯 TP: 3325 – 3327
❌ SL: 3307
• BUY XAU/USD at 3320 – 3322
🎯 TP: 3335 – 3337
❌ SL: 3317
How will the price of gold go? Prospect analysis is here.In the Asian session, spot gold rebounded modestly after a sharp drop in the previous trading day, and the price of gold is currently around $3,330.
Gold prices lost some upside momentum on Thursday, but downside remains limited. Gold prices suffered a correction on Thursday, ending the previous three consecutive trading days of gains, mainly due to the rebound of the US dollar and traders taking profits after the price of gold hit a two-week high. Spot gold closed down $20.14, or 0.61%, at $3,294.81 per ounce on Thursday.
We see gold encountering some profit-taking selling pressure after its recent gains, while a stronger U.S. dollar index is another bearish factor. However, affected by the turmoil in the global bond market, the gold market continues to be bullish and the decline is limited.
Short-term technical analysis:
Looking at the gold daily chart, the high point of gold prices on Thursday moved up from the previous trading day, while the low point moved down. Buyers continue to defend on the downside near the flat SMA 20-day, which provides support near $3,288.00. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages continue to move upwards at levels well below current gold prices, consistent with the dominant bullish trend. Finally, technical indicators have lost bullish power but are flat within positive levels, limiting the possibility of further declines.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, there is no sign that gold will fall further. Gold prices continue to trade above all its moving averages, with the 20-period SMA crossing above the directionless 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. Meanwhile, technical indicators are moving lower, but with limited downside power, they remain above their midlines.
Short-term focus on important support and resistance levels:
Support: $3,290; $3,270; $3,250.
Resistance: $3,325; $3,345; $3,360.
I hope my analysis can help you make profits easily in the trading market.
Gold Moves Higher – Is $3,430 the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to move within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential continuation of the upward trend.
Recently, price broke out with strong momentum and may now be pulling back to retest. This area previously served as a confluence zone between the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a prior price reaction level, aligning with the potential continuation of the bullish move.
If this level holds as support, I believe a bounce in line with the main trend could be triggered. The potential technical target is the 3,430 zone, in line with the upper boundary of the channel as well as the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Conversely, failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift to the downside.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or an upward marubozu candle in this area, which could be the initial confirmation for long positions.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis, not financial advice. Always adhere to proper risk management in every trading decision.
PMI Boosts USD but Caution Lingers Ahead of Fed DecisionOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD The recent release of stronger-than-expected S&P Global PMIs in the U.S. has offered short-term support to the dollar, pressuring gold from intraday highs. Manufacturing and services PMIs both improved to 52.3 in May, fueling speculation that the U.S. economy may still be resilient despite persistent concerns over Trump's proposed tax reforms and renewed tariffs.
Still, market sentiment remains cautious. While Wall Street recovered slightly, it continues to post weekly losses. Investors are balancing upbeat data with longer-term risks — including a potential economic slowdown triggered by aggressive fiscal tightening and global demand headwinds.
With the FOMC meeting approaching (June 17–18), gold traders are likely to remain reactive to macroeconomic signals. Any dovish shift or mention of a potential rate cut timeline could reignite demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Until then, price action around the $3,289 support and the Quasimodo pattern will be crucial for short-term direction.
Resistance : $3,319 , $3,343
Support : $3,289 , $3,239
Gold starts to go down? Double opportunities.Analysis of Asian market trend:
To summarize the short-term trend, "continue to step back and continue to seek key support". Gold rose and then fell in the Asian market yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3350. The trend is in line with our short-term bearish expectations. As for the market falling and breaking, it is a normal market. This means that the adjustment needs to continue. Today, the main focus below is still the support level of 3280. The early decline has approached this point, but it has not been completely touched; if this position is not broken, the bullish rebound is still there and it will rise at any time.
Operation adjustment, mainly low and high, supplemented by high and low, look at the shock sideways, wait for the market to break through the range and gradually look down; then the two main points of short-term focus, if the downward trend does not break 3280, then the rebound will first look at the high point of 3320. Strong breakthrough and stabilization at this position, if it does not break through yesterday's high point, it will continue to be mainly shocking; at the same time, unlike the previous consecutive rises in the past few weeks, this week's trend is slightly weak, and it is almost the weekend, so let's look at the amplitude of the range trend first.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss at 3328, target at 3290;
Long around 3280, stop loss at 3270, target at 3315.
Short-term trading is temporarily operated in this range, and a new layout will be made if it breaks.