3.3 Short-term technical analysis of goldThe gold market completed its February structure last week. Looking back at the market in February, the market fell back after opening at 2880.9 at the beginning of the month. The monthly line reached a low of 2770.47 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The monthly line reached a high of 2956.3 and then the market fell back due to profit-taking in the late trading. The monthly line finally closed at 2859 and closed in an inverted hammer pattern with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market will have certain pressure to continue to adjust in early March. However, the large cyclical bullish pattern is complete and the trend is still bullish.
Goldprice
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold weekly Time Frame 🖼️ looking a good time for. Short Trade 😁. Also Goldman Sachs talk and 2025 if gold tast 3000$. Not for now weekly candle 🕯️ close below 👇 ⬇️ 2800 Next target 2538.
Key Resistance level 2900 + 2956
Support level 2800 - 2782 - 2706 - 2538
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold operation strategy, strong short-selling continues to push Gold bearish trend, have you seen the power of trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing that the weaker the bearish trend of gold, the stronger the trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the trend may end and turn to shock again. The hourly moving average of gold continues to cross the bearish arrangement downward and diverge. Gold continues to hit a recent low. The bearish trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. If the gold bulls do not make a strong counterattack, it is an opportunity for shorting. On the contrary, if the rebound is too large, it means that the gold bulls have begun to counterattack. At that time, be careful not to go short all at once. Gold rebounds to 2870-2880 and can still be shorted.
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD )
💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 2789.95 to 2772.38 could trigger a rebound.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 2893.51
💡 H1 Timeframe:
2879.11 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 2893.51
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XAUUSD Bullish Setup – Demand Zone & Trendline Confluence!
Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong uptrend, respecting the ascending trendline.
Price is currently pulling back towards a key demand zone around $2,800, aligning perfectly with the trendline support.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Strong bullish momentum continues.
✅ Price is retracing into a high-probability buy zone.
✅ Demand zone + trendline = strong confluence for a potential reversal.
✅ Targeting new highs above $3,100 if support holds.
🔥 Trading Plan:
📌 Waiting for bullish confirmation near the demand zone before entering.
📌 Potential long entry around $2,800 - $2,820.
📌 Stop loss below $2,770 to protect capital.
📌 Target: New ATH beyond $3,100!
📊 What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments!👇
XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Play – More Downside Expected?### **Title: GOLD | Bearish Retest at Key Resistance – More Downside Ahead?**
### **Analysis & Description:**
This **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** presents a clear **bearish structure**, with price currently testing a key **support-turned-resistance zone**. The downward trajectory suggests a **potential continuation to the downside** after a minor pullback.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break and Retest Pattern:**
- Price has **broken below** a critical support level and is now **retesting it as resistance** (marked by horizontal lines).
- This classic **bearish retest** setup suggests that sellers may step in to push prices lower.
2. **Two Possible Scenarios:**
- **Scenario 1 (Primary Bearish Case):**
- If price rejects this resistance, we could see **a strong continuation downward**, targeting **$2,820 – $2,780 levels**.
- This aligns with the **trend structure of lower highs and lower lows**.
- **Scenario 2 (Less Likely Bullish Case):**
- If bulls manage to reclaim and break above **$2,860**, we may see a short-term reversal, with the next resistance near **$2,880 – $2,900**.
3. **Trading Strategy:**
- **Short Setup:**
- Look for rejection signals at resistance (**$2,850 – $2,860**), such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks.
- Enter short positions with **stop-loss above $2,865**.
- Target price zones around **$2,820 – $2,780** for profit-taking.
- **Alternative Bullish Setup:**
- A confirmed breakout above **$2,860** could open the way for a short-term rally.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains **bearish**, and this current pullback into resistance could provide a **selling opportunity** if rejection confirms. However, traders should monitor key **economic news events** that could impact gold’s movement.
📉 **Do you think gold will continue dropping, or will bulls take control? Let me know in the comments!** 🚀
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
xauusd:2800 is about to fallThe impact of the news is gradually fading from people's vision, so trading needs to rely on technical indicators and K-line charts.
The current trend has changed, mainly showing a downward trend.
Once the support of 2830 below is lost, 2800 is not far away. Next week is a very important node, because the weekly non-agricultural data is about to come, and this data plays a key role next week.
Continue to short gold after the reboundToday, the fluctuation space of gold was compressed and fluctuated in the range of 2844-2854. Because there was no breakthrough, there was no continuous market, so gold did not reach the rebound position I expected. Although gold did not reach the rebound position I expected, I shorted gold many times with the support near the 2855 position, and I made a good profit in the short-term level.
Then we will focus on the breakthrough of 2845-2850. If gold successfully breaks through, the market will definitely continue to a certain extent. We only need to follow the trend to trade gold. However, according to the current market, we should not be too bearish on gold. It is expected that gold will rebound first and then fall back when it encounters resistance. Focus on the resistance area of 2850-2865 above.
Friends who have already entered the bottom article have all obtained very good returns as long as they followed my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, if you want to get out of the gold long order, if you want to learn the latest trading thinking and trading logic, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to prevent losses from happening again and make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my bottom article!
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again.
Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800.
At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of 2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup. Gold Traders Gold Ready for Down 👇 ⬇️ List day take a breakout up trand line. 4H Time Frame. Today 💪 test supply rejected point below 👇 trend 📉 FVG) level. 2892 close below 👇 2864 - 28833
Key Resistance level 2920
Key Support level 2892 - 2864 - 2833
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Big win in gold trading today!Hello everyone, first of all, I would like to introduce myself. I am Daniel. First of all, I would like to make it clear that I am not an analyst or a writer. I am a professional trader with nearly 10 years of trading experience and rich short-term trading experience. I watch the market for at least 15 hours a day.So each of my articles will only record my trading thinking and trading strategies. The detailed trading history records in the figure are all executed by me according to my own trading signals. Although there are wins and losses, I am not a god. I cannot guarantee that every transaction of mine is completely correct, but I can continue to keep my trading winning rate above 90%.
I have always emphasized in the article that gold still has no momentum to break upward, so the rebound of gold is an opportunity to short. Today, gold obviously touched the resistance area of 2855-2865 again. As long as this area is not broken, gold will definitely fall back when it encounters resistance, so you can be confident and bold to short gold in this resistance area.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don’t know the exact trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I will publish my trading ideas every day and will also publish free trading signals on time. Many friends have reported that it is very helpful. If you want to learn the market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Be sure to follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
Gold might experience a price correction in the upcoming week!!!Hi Everyone, Gold may experience a price correction in the upcoming week. Although there are no concerning signals in the trend for the long term, the daily chart suggests that the RSI cannot fail the divergence. It appears that a retest of the 50 areas (in RSI) is likely, so we might see a correction of at least $100. First target $2838
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD (XAU/USD)—$2,975 HIGH SPARKS BUZZGOLD (XAU/USD)—$2,975 HIGH SPARKS BUZZ
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Gold (XAU/USD) hit $ 2,975 in Feb ‘25, up 5-7% YTD 🌍 2024’s 26-27% gain shines—here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – PRICE RISE
• 2024 Gain: 26-27%, best since 2010 📈
• 2025 YTD: 2,955-2,975, 5-7% up 💡
• Feb 24: +0.52% to new high 🌞
Gold’s climb, safe-haven rules.
(3/9) – MARKET MOVES
• Trade Fear: Tariffs spark inflows 🌟
• FASB: Coinbase tie lifts mood 🚗
• Dip: $ 2,940 Feb 25, profit takes 📊
Gold’s humming, tension fuels it.
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Price: 2,940-2,875, $ 20T+ cap 🌍
• Vs Silver: Outpaces XAG’s wobble 💪
• Forecasts: UBS $ 3,200—value gap? 📉
Gold’s steady, peers falter.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Fed: High rates cap upside ⚠️
• USD: Tariff boost stings 🔒
• Profit Takes: -1.27% Feb 25 🐻
Gold’s firm, but headwinds nip.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Gain: 26-27% ‘24—tough haul 💪
• Demand: Banks, ETFs pile in 🏋️
• Hedge: 4.3% inflation shield 🌱
Gold’s gritty, crisis-proof.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: No yield, USD bite 🙈
• Opportunities: Tariffs, $ 3,200 zing 🌏
Can gold vault past the snags?
(8/9) – Gold’s $ 2,975 peak, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 3,200+ soon 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Holds, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, $ 2,800 dip looms 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Gold’s $ 2,975 Feb high and 26% ‘24 stack up, safe-haven star Trade fears lift, risks loom, gem or pause?
XAUUSD: What to do with order stop loss? Follow me.Ordinary players: It's over. I woke up and found that the long XAUUSD order was stopped. What should I do?
Me: Isn't it enough to make money back?
Ordinary people: What should I do?
Me: Just continue to short around 2895!
During the early morning trading, the gold price only rose slightly by about $5. After reaching the 2920 position, it did not stabilize and then fell rapidly. This was unexpected. Fortunately, the stop loss was set, so our long order only lost about 10 points.
After waking up, I made a decision directly. Continue to short XAUUSD. Sell at 2900-2895. The shorts continued to exert force, and the longs were weak. In the end, it didn't last long before the gold price reached my target value of 2880. Achieve the process of perfect recovery of losses.
So stop loss is not terrible. Only one order is enough to bring followers to recover losses. But it must be able to allow followers to expand profits for a longer time. I think this is also the reason why some followers continue to follow me. It is also the reason why they join the analysis circle. They are looking for me. Not just a trading signal.
Currently, the gold price is hovering around 2980. There is some small support here, but today's trading plan is to short at high levels, so the option of going long is not considered for the time being. If the gold price returns to the 2890-2895 line, I think it is still possible to short at high levels. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message. Or join the analysis circle, there are more exciting analysis and real-time trading opportunities for reference.
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum.
However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market.
⭐️Technical analysis
Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
Gold Prices Stay Fundamentally Strong Despite Profit-TakingMacro:
- Gold prices corrected as investors took profits following a brief consolidation near recent highs but maintained an upward bias amid uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and policy plans.
- Meanwhile, strong ETF inflows and weak US economic data, reinforcing rate cut expectations for Jul, supported gold prices.
- All focus is on this week's core PCE release to gauge gold's short-term direction.
Technical:
- XAUUSD topped out around 2952, confluence with the 200% Fibo Extension. The price is still above both EMAs and the ascending trendline, indicating the upward structure is still intact.
- If XAUUSD breaks below the ascending trendline and the support at 2880, the price may prompt a further correction to retest the following support at 2790.
- On the contrary, if XAUUSD stays above 2880, the price may retest the previous swing high of around 2952.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness