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Gold updateAfter the previous level was broken and structure shifted, we’re now entering a new phase of analysis. In this fresh setup, we’re looking for buy opportunities — but not blindly! As always, waiting for a clean pullback to the new zone and a solid entry signal. Experience teaches us: real profits come from patience and planning. Here’s my new gold analysis — high probability, low risk. For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexCSP
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN UPDATE – MAY 19-20, 2025“We don’t redraw zones. We validate their power.” Chart: ✅ Full SMC + Imbalance + Macro flow (no guesswork) 📍 STRUCTURE FOLLOW-UP FROM YESTERDAY Price respected the key mapped zones with surgical precision: ✅ Confirmed reaction from "LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB": Price tapped this zone and has been coiling since, showing hesitation near 3245–3255 supply. ✅ Demand at 3182–3190 (Confirmed demand + liquidity seep) held the entire bullish wave. ❌ No break above 3255 = No RAKET yet. Bulls haven’t pushed through the supply. So far, structure remains short-term bullish, macro still in correction, premium rejection active. ✅ STILL VALID ZONES FOR MAY 19 🔵 BUY ZONES 3182–3190 = "Confirmed demand + liquidity sweep" → 2x successful rejections = highly reactive if retested. If this breaks = deeper retracement expected. 3120–3140 = “MACRO must-hold demand” → Cleanest long-term demand block. If we ever break this, macro flow turns fully bearish. 3060–3085 = “FVG fill + wick rebalancing” → Only for deep selloffs. High reward zone. 🔴 SELL ZONES 3248–3255 = “LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB” → In-play now. Watch for reaction + breakdown below 3228 = short confirmation. (Great for intraday NY/Asia reversal plays) 3280–3292 = Internal LH / last supply → Valid swing short zone if market expands. 3360–3380 = “Supply + imbalance rejection” → Macro invalidation zone if broken. ⚠️ INVALIDATED / USED ZONES ❌ 3221–3228 minor demand → Already wicked through, structure closed above and below. ❌ 3230 OB → No longer fresh. Consolidated, weak edge. ❌ 3235–3240 scalp supply → Broken in Asia session, now used for liquidity inducement. 🔎 PLAN SCENARIOS 🔽 BEARISH: Rejects again from 3248–3255, breaks 3228, targets 3182, then 3120. 🔼 BULLISH: Clean break & hold above 3255, continuation toward 3280–3292 next. 💡 FLOW INSIGHT: "Price has memory. Respect the zones, not the hype." We are in a premium coil → until 3255 breaks, sellers have the edge. Until 3182 breaks, bulls still breathe. 🔔 FINAL RAKET NOTE: All the zones marked yesterday have proven structure today. We hold them, refine them—not redraw them. Drop a 🧠 if you still trust your chart. Drop a 🚀 if you're ready for the next clean leg. — With logic & flow, GoldFxMinds 💛
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Bullish Momentum – Entry from 3244 Holding StrongAfter recovering from the 3235–3244 demand zone, where buyers stepped in forcefully after a clean accumulation phase, gold (XAUUSD) has demonstrated strong bullish momentum. A short-term bullish trend appears to be continuing as price action has been making higher highs and higher lows. Volume and candle strength support the entry for a buy position, which is confirmed by the breakout above 3244. The supply zone between 3256 and 3265, where rejections have happened in the past, is currently being pushed toward by the market. However, based on how the price responds within that zone, the current strength indicates that a clean tap or even a breakout may be possible. 📌 Trade Setup Summary: 🔹 Entry: 3244 (following confirmation of the breakout) 🛑 Stop-Loss: 3235 (see demand structure below) 🎯 Profit 1: 3256 (the supply zone's first resistance) 🎯 Profit 2: 3265 (supply zone top)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alizzay
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to: - Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). - A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal. Previously, gold had been supported by: - A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. - However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold. Key factors to watch going forward: • Statements from the Fed • Developments in trade negotiations Possible scenario: • The bearish trend remains dominant. • A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur. • A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Is the gold trend caught in a vicious circle of ups and downs? In the short term, the trend of gold prices has been separated from the influence of fundamentals, and is more dominated by emotional games. In particular, the price of gold once rose by 30% in 2025, which seriously stimulated the speculative sentiment in the market and made it easy for gold prices to fall into a vicious circle of "big ups and downs". Next, the price of gold will become more sensitive to a series of factors, especially trade wars and tariff policies, geopolitical turmoil, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and US macro data, as well as global central banks' gold purchases and physical demand, etc., will cause violent fluctuations in the short term. These are the points we need to pay close attention to! Views on the trend of gold in the European session! Looking back at the gold trend of the daily line in the past few days, the high resistance is generally maintained at around 3165-3150. This is also the fundamental reason why gold has been jumping up and down during this period, but it is still weak and under pressure overall. In addition, the current trading price is at the upper end of Friday's range, and the bullish momentum is not large, basically maintaining near a neutral point! Since the market continued to be under pressure at 3250 yesterday, the market's bullish considerations need to be lowered first. At the same time, since it has been under pressure below 3265, the current short-term adjustment is obvious on the technical side, and short orders still need to be followed up! At present, we can only wait and see whether the market breaks upward or downward, and follow the trend. Gold: Retreat to low longs near 3200 once, defense at 92, target at 3235! Retracement to near 3240-45 to gamble on short orders!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Gold trading plan May 19Gold is trading in a wide range and needs a few more factors to confirm whether the corrective downtrend of gold will continue or not. 3242 will be an important upper boundary in the current price channel. With the m30 candle force in the European session being able to break through the 3230 area, the prospect of reaching 3242 in the European session is very high. We can watch the price reaction and give a SELL signal in this area and the buy break point is 3230 On the further side, we have the daily resistance zone of 3282 when the 3242 border is broken and on the opposite side, the Asian session support zone around 3202-3200 acts as a barrier ahead before the gold price reaches the daily support level around 3192.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold fluctuates, and the profit range is in this area 📌 Driving events After a phone call with Trump yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that efforts to end the war in Ukraine are on track and Moscow is ready to work with Ukraine on a memorandum of understanding for a future peace agreement. The United States has begun serious trade negotiations with the European Union, which has slightly improved investor sentiment. These negotiations broke the long-standing deadlock and brought some hope for more deals after Washington signed a framework agreement with the United Kingdom earlier this month. Trump had previously said that he could also reach an agreement with India, Japan and South Korea, but the negotiations with Japan seemed to be deadlocked over the issue of automobile tariffs. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the day, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand after Moody's downgraded the US government's credit rating. 💰Strategy Package For intraday short-term operations, pay attention to the 3200 area for long opportunities and defend 3193. Pay attention to the 3235 area for short opportunities and defend 3242. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Fed Signals No Rate Cuts Until Sept – Gold Under PressureFed’s Interest Rate Outlook: - Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025. - The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration. - Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially. - The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two. Impact on Global Gold Prices: ✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure: Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest. 🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook: - If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset. - Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252 💰 TP : 3247 – 3242 🚨 SL $3257 BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190 💰 TP : 3195 – 3200 🚨 SL $3185
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAU/USD 20 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 15 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback. Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold fell below 3,200 today? 📌 Driving Events In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) fell slightly to around $3,230, affected by a slight rebound in the US dollar (USD). However, continued concerns about the health of the US economy - especially after Moody's recent credit rating downgrade - may help limit further downside for precious metals. The rebound in the US dollar has curbed the upward momentum of dollar-denominated assets such as gold. Nevertheless, heightened economic uncertainty is still supporting safe-haven demand. Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating from "Aaa" to "Aa1" on Friday, citing its rising debt levels and interest payments that have exceeded other similarly rated countries. These developments have kept risk sentiment fragile and provided potential support for gold prices. 📊Comment Analysis Accumulating along the upper and lower trend lines, the gold price will break out and require more liquidity than the downward trend 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3224-3226 SL 3230 Scalping TP1: $3215 TP2: $3208 TP3: $3200 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3276-3278 SL 3283 Scalping TP1: $3260 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3240 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3152 - $3150 SL $3145 TP1: $3165 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3195 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Putin's phone call changed the market? 📌 Driving Events Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!" US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine." This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations." Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite. 📊Comment analysis For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine. 💰Strategy Package Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range. Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade. This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets. The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value. In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution. The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance. The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment. The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news. Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold. Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices. The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold. Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive. It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold. Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold. Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies. Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier. The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook. Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value. Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Is Gold Forming a Double Top?Over the past four trading sessions, gold has shown oscillations of around 1% in the short term. For now, indecision is beginning to emerge in the price of the precious metal as market confidence gradually recovers. The CNN Fear and Greed Index is already holding near the "extreme greed" zone, and as confidence continues to rise steadily, this could become a problem for gold demand, as it remains the classic safe-haven asset. Potential Double Top Price movements in recent weeks have formed a consistent resistance area at $3,400 per ounce, with pullbacks reaching the $3,200 zone. Currently, a potential double top pattern appears to be forming on the chart, with key support holding near $3,200. If bearish pressure becomes strong enough to consistently break below this level, the pattern could gain significant technical relevance and signal a potential trend reversal in the coming sessions. RSI The RSI line remains oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced momentum between buyers and sellers. This can be explained by the ongoing support zone that is holding the price in the short term. ADX The ADX line is showing a similar picture, with readings increasingly close to the 20 level, which indicates that the strength of recent price movements is fading. This further supports the idea of continued indecision around the current support area. Key Levels to Watch: $3,200 per ounce – Critical Support: Possibly the most important level to watch, as it represents the lower boundary of the double top pattern and corresponds to a neutral price zone. Sustained selling pressure below this level could trigger a strong bearish bias and open the door to a new downward trend. $3,400 per ounce – Main Resistance: This is the historical high zone for gold. A breakout above this level could be interpreted as a continuation of the long-term bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Unlock XAUEUR Riches: Thief Trading’s Epic Long Setup!💎 Epic Gold Heist: XAUEUR Trade Plan💎 Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 👋🌍 Ready to pull off a legendary heist in the XAUEUR "Gold vs Euro" market? Our Thief Trading Style blends slick technicals with sharp fundamentals to unlock the vault. Follow this cunning plan, aim for the high-stakes Red Zone, and let’s swipe the profits! 🤑💰 This is a high-risk, overbought setup with potential for consolidation or a trend reversal—perfect for bold traders. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let’s get rich! 💪🎉 📈 Entry: Crack the Vault! The bullish trend is ripe for the taking! 💥 Place buy limit orders at the most recent swing low or high within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe. Pro tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the perfect entry. For the fearless, jump in at market price—the heist is LIVE! 🚀 🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot Protect your stash with a Thief Stop Loss: Set SL at the nearest/recent low on the 4H timeframe (~€2800.00 for swing trades). Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Stay disciplined—don’t let the bears snatch your gains! 🐻 🎯 Target: Grab the Gold Aim for €3070.00 or exit early to secure profits. Scalpers: Stick to long-side scalps with quick hits. Use trailing SL to lock in gains. Swing Traders: Hold for the big score, trailing your SL to ride the trend safely. 💸 🧠 Why This Trade? Real-Time Data & Insights (May 19, 2025) The XAUEUR market is riding a bullish wave, fueled by macro and fundamental drivers. Here’s the latest scoop: Technical Analysis 📊: Gold broke key support at $3200 (~€3000) last week but is showing signs of consolidation near €3050. RSI indicates overbought conditions, hinting at a potential pullback or reversal. Watch for bearish traps at €3070. 4H chart shows a strong uptrend with support at €3000 and resistance at €3070. Fundamental Drivers 📰: US-China Trade Deal Hopes: Easing tensions are weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal, pushing prices lower. Central Bank Buying: Demand from China and emerging markets (1,136 tonnes in 2022) supports long-term bullishness. US Economic Data: Mixed signals from April’s US CPI and a Q1 2025 GDP contraction (-0.3%) keep markets volatile. Macro Economics 🌍: Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico/Canada, 20% on China) are stoking inflation fears, which could boost gold if growth falters. A weaker USD (down 3% from February highs) supports XAUEUR’s upside. ECB may cut rates below 2%, weakening the Euro and lifting XAUEUR. COT Report & Positioning 📋: OANDA sentiment shows 73% of traders net-long on gold, signaling bullish bias but potential for a squeeze if sentiment shifts. Comex gold inventories are rising, indicating arbitrage opportunities and strong physical demand. Seasonal Factors 📅: Gold typically sees strength in Q2 due to wedding season demand in Asia and safe-haven buying amid geopolitical noise. May often marks consolidation after Q1 rallies, so watch for volatility. Sentiment Outlook (May 19, 2025) 😊: Real-Time Sentiment: Market mood is cautiously bullish, with 65% of analysts favoring longs but warning of overbought risks. Risk appetite is improving due to trade deal optimism, but geopolitical tensions (e.g., EU-US tariff threats) keep gold attractive. Social media buzz on gold’s resilience despite recent dips, with traders eyeing €3100 by June. Future Trend Outlook Score ⭐: Short-Term (1-2 weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with caution due to overbought signals). Medium-Term (1-3 months): 8/10 (Supported by central bank demand and inflation fears). Long-Term (6-12 months): 9/10 (Gold could hit €3200 if trade wars escalate). ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management News releases can flip the market faster than a getaway car! 🚗💨 Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., US CPI, Fed speeches). Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect running positions. Check economic calendars for updates—Thursday’s macro data could shake things up! 💥 Boost the Heist! Love this plan? Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our robbery squad! 🚀 Every like and view fuels our mission to conquer the markets. Join the Thief Trading Style crew, steal profits daily, and live the wealthy life! 🤝💖 Stay tuned for the next heist—I’ll be back with another epic plan! 🐱‍👤🤑
FPMARKETS:XAUEURLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, US market ideas! 📊Comment analysis During the European and American markets, the market rebounded to 3249. Before the rebound, it was mentioned that the first resistance today was around 3251, followed by the defense point of 3265. As expected, gold plunged slightly near the resistance level of 3251, and fell to 3227 at its lowest. 💰Strategy package Short at the current price of 3239-40, add shorts near 3242 and 3245, stop loss 3253 target 3200-3165 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward. The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis. From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290. Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
It’s the right time to shortUS President Trump recently criticized Fed Chairman Powell again, calling him "slow to act" and emphasizing that the Fed should cut interest rates as soon as possible to support the economy. Trump believes that delaying interest rate cuts may lead to the risk of recession in the US economy, but the Fed still takes inflation and employment data as the core of decision-making, and the two sides have obvious differences in policy positions. At present, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed and the magnitude has been reduced. Coupled with the expectation of rising US bond yields, the gold market sentiment has weakened. The world's largest gold ETF recently reduced its holdings by 8.98 tons to 918.73 tons, reflecting the cooling of institutions' short-term bullish enthusiasm for gold. Technically, gold prices continued to weaken after breaking through key support last week, and the weekly closing was negative, suggesting that shorts were dominant; the daily level was constrained by the 20-day moving average, and the volatile downward trend may continue in the short term. Focus on the 3250-3265 line resistance during the day. If it cannot break through, the $3,200 mark below may face a test. Gold recommendation: short sell when it rebounds to 3245-3252 range. Target 3230-3220.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
XAUUSD:Short mainly Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline. Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150. This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band. ↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Boooob_
Gold Price Targets Fresh GainsGold Price Targets Fresh Gains Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,210 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,120 zone against the US Dollar. - A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,120 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $3,150 level. The bulls cleared the $3,200 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains. Immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low at $3,260. The next major resistance is near the $3,295 level. An upside break above the $3,295 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,350. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,385 level. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,210 zone. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210. If there is a downside break below the $3,210 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,155 support. The next major support sits at $3,120. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,060 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1