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Gold Ideas - XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | April 28, 2025🧠 Quick Outlook: Gold remains locked in a corrective range after its aggressive rally to new all-time highs. Price is currently consolidating between major liquidity zones, preparing for its next big move. However, growing geopolitical risks — including rising Middle East tensions and potential currency interventions out of Japan — could trigger safe-haven flows, especially during Asia session volatility. While the high timeframe structure remains bullish above the 3220–3235 pivot, the immediate tactical focus is on the 3340–3365 zone, where key liquidity battles are unfolding. 🔥 Major Zones to Watch: Resistance 3380–3395 Major supply and flip zone — strong liquidity cluster Resistance 3350–3360 Minor local resistance — potential bull trap area Support 3260–3280 Critical intraday support and liquidity pocket Support 3220–3235 Last pivot standing to maintain bullish structure ⭐Tactical Focus This Week: 🎯 Will Gold reject or conquer the 3380–3395 stronghold? 🎯 Will 3350–3360 act as a stepping stone or a snare for early buyers? 🎯 Are buyers prepared to defend the 3260–3280 liquidity pocket with real force? 🎯 What happens if 3220 collapses? Patience and sniper discipline will make the difference this week, as Gold approaches critical decision points and major news. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together! 🛡️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
XAU/USD 29 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold is stuck in the 3300 area, when can it break through? 📊Comment Analysis Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range around 3300. Today, we will continue to wait and see around 3300, waiting for the right time to enter the market. 💰Strategy Package Long positions: 💲Actively participate in gold around 3300-3310 points, with a profit target around 3330 points Short positions: 💲Actively participate in gold around 3330-3340 points, with a profit target around 3310 points 💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = lying down and making money
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
4
XAUUSD Gold analysis from a medium- to long-term perspectiveHello everyone. Today, we are here to determine the long-term direction of the XAUUSD pair. Regardless of any revisions, even if there are rollbacks in Trump-era policies or unexpected developments that are currently not even on the agenda, the ultimate objective remains unchanged: to strategically counterbalance China. The core target is clearly China, and the strategy is to shift both production and the trade balance in favor of the United States. The factors driving gold prices upward are still strongly tied to global uncertainties, supported by ongoing diplomatic and geopolitical tensions. In a period where the U.S. dollar's role as the world’s reserve currency is being questioned, gold diversification has accelerated—particularly through central bank purchases. From a psychological perspective, especially when viewed through the eyes of retail investors, I always emphasize this: when gold reaches historical highs, the underlying momentum seen in technical analysis continues to support a bullish direction. Therefore, I believe the upward trend is likely to persist.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Market Outlook - Gold BearishGold is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range of $3,280 to $3,360. We are closely monitoring for a breakout in either direction. Based on current technical analysis, there is a higher probability of a downside breakout below the support level of $3,280. If this support is breached, we may see the following downside targets: Target 1: $3,270 Target 2: $3,260 Target 3: $3,250 Target 4: $3,240 Traders are advised to plan their positions accordingly, keeping risk management in focus.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by shroffakshar
Gold's counterattack? Today's market analysisGold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the short term, so the short-term adjustment of gold may end. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the 1-hour, and the 1-hour moving average has also begun to gradually turn. If it can turn upward and form a golden cross, then the 1-hour bulls of gold will exert their strength again. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold in the U.S. market once again broke through and rose, and finally broke through Monday's high. Then the first-line suppression of gold near 3335 did not form effective resistance. When gold fell back in the Asian market, we first followed the trend and went long. Gold quickly bottomed out at 3320 first-line support in early trading and then rebounded quickly. Then gold should only be operated in the short term or go long on dips. Operation ideas: Short-term long: 3310-3315 long, stop loss 3300, target 3350-3370; Short-term short: 3350-3360 short, stop loss 3365, target, 3315-3310; Friends, don’t be afraid of missing the market, wait patiently for your own opportunity, the market will never neglect those who are prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision — Smart Money Moves Only📆 XAUUSD Daily Plan – April 29, 2025 🔥 Macro & Market Context: Gold continues its tactical chess game between premium supply traps and reactive support zones. Price is currently hovering around 3342, teasing a breakout or another trap inside the 3340–3355 resistance block. Tomorrow we also have important USD news: 🔵 CB Consumer Confidence 🔵 JOLTS Job Openings Expect potential volatility during NY session — stay adaptive, not predictive. 🎯 Bias Overview: HTF Bias (H4–Daily): Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows structure still intact) LTF Flow (M15–H1): Corrective bullish retrace inside HTF uptrend 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3340–3355 → Minor Premium Resistance (currently being tested) 3372–3376 → Strong Trap Sell Zone (next immediate target above) 3380–3390 → Major Liquidity Pool (big decision area if price pumps further) 🔻 Support Zones: 3284–3288 → Intraday Demand + Bounce Zone 3233–3237 → HTF Major Reversal Demand 🎯 Refined Sniper Zones: 🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3284–3288 (H1 demand cluster + previous clean reaction) 🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3233–3237 (Deep HTF OB + untapped liquidity anchor) 🟥 Sell Zone #1: 3372–3376 (M15–H1 OB + liquidity trap setup) 🟥 Sell Zone #2: 3380–3390 (Premium supply and major liquidity sweep) 👀 Eyes On: Reaction at 3372–3390: Weak rejections = tactical sell opportunities. Respect for 3284–3288: Bullish continuation if defended strongly. Violation below 3230: HTF momentum shift possible toward deeper discount. 📢 Final Message: Gold’s setting traps for both bulls and bears — but we’re hunting precision, not chaos. 🏹 Patience = Power. Confirmation = Survival. 🔥 Trading Focus Tip: "First wicks grab liquidity. First breakouts fool emotions. We wait for the second reaction — that's where the sniper eats." If this map helps you stay focused, smash that ❤️ and follow, drop your thoughts below, and let's trade the smart flow together! 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly-Daily-H4 Outlook – April 28, 2025"Gold’s Game: Range Trap... or Breakout Incoming?" 👀⚡ 🔥 Macro + Micro Context: Macroflow: No major macro catalysts today — market sentiment driven mostly by technicals, liquidity behavior, and late-week reactions. Bias: HTF (D1–W1): Still bullish-biased long-term, unless 3220–3235 breaks cleanly. LTF (H4–M30): Currently trapped in a wide distribution range 3380–3260, showing signs of both liquidity sweeps and engineered traps. Liquidity Dynamics: Both upside and downside liquidity have been targeted multiple times. Equal highs/lows patterns forming, suggesting fakeouts are highly probable before any real move. 📈 STRUCTURAL RANGE: 🔵 Main Range: • Top: 3380–3395 → major flip zone (premium side) • Bottom: 3260–3280 → major demand zone (discount side) 📚 Inside the range: • Liquidity is being farmed on both sides — expect fake spikes, stop hunts, and whipsaw moves before breakout. 🔑 H4 Key Zones (Above Current Price): Level Type Notes 3380–3395 Major Supply + Flip Zone HTF orderblock + FVG + previous sell trap 3410–3415 Minor Supply Zone M30–H1 imbalance + small FVG 3448–3455 Major Premium Supply HTF OB + FIBO 1.618 extension + historical premium trap 3490–3500 ATH Area Strong psychological level + institutional interest 🔑 H4 Key Zones (Below Current Price): Level Type Notes 3260–3280 Major Discount Demand Strong H1-H4 unmitigated OB + liquidity grab zone 3220–3235 HTF Reversal Demand Last HTF pivot for bullish bias 📊 Expected Scenarios: Bullish Path: Hold 3260–3280 → Break 3380–3395 → Target 3415 → Then 3450–3500 range sweep. Bearish Path: Fail at 3380–3395 → Sharp rejections back into 3280 → Potential crash toward 3235 and 3210. 👀 EYES ON: Watch the 3380–3395 flip zone closely. If price fails there with heavy wicks and low volume, bulls are trapped again. If price holds above 3395–3415 cleanly, bulls regain control for 3450+. 🧠 FINAL MESSAGE: "The best traders don’t predict. They prepare." "Trap or breakout — it’s all about reaction, not prediction. Stay sharp, stay liquid, and don’t chase the donkey moves." 🔔 Follow for real-time smart updates 💬 Comment your bias below: bull 🐂 or bear 🐻? Let’s grow the community together! #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #SmartMoney #RangeTrap #GoldOutlook
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold is trying to break through the upward channelGold started the new week on a bad note, hitting a low of 3260 in the morning, followed by a small shock adjustment; then it began to rise sharply. As of press time, it has risen to around 3350 and tried to break through the upward resistance. Although some of gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened, its overall forecast and price trend remain optimistic. Until we see clear lower highs, lower lows, and a solid trade agreement rather than more political bragging from the Trump administration, the possibility of gold setting new highs cannot be underestimated. Surface calm hides potential risks Although last week's market movements and today's early trading performance show that the market is calming down, any sense of security is fragile. Under the surface, key risks remain: trade tensions, recession concerns, and uncertainty about monetary policy are real. Ongoing trade negotiations remain a key factor. If the United States sticks to its position on tariffs or the negotiations break down, risk aversion may quickly pick up, boosting demand for gold again. Quaid's analysis: Based on last week's market situation, Quaid conducted an analysis of gold's trend this week over the weekend. As I predicted, gold is trying to break through and try a new high. Gold has risen to around 3350, and 3365 is a key resistance level in the upward trend. If the gold price breaks through this position and can maintain horizontal development, it will continue to rise in a stable situation. From the upside, the initial resistance level is $3365, followed by $3430. If the bullish momentum is restored, it may soon hit the historical high of $3500 again. On the contrary, if the price fails to break through the 3365 resistance level, Quaid believes that it is necessary to pay attention to the key support at the 3285 position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
3360 neckline is being tested! 📊Comment Analysis Short-term short positions need to rebound further and confirm the signal before following. After the US market breaks through the 3360 defense point, it is temporarily not possible to continue to be bearish. The US market will first look at the rebound, and then make further arrangements after approaching the 3360 line. 💰Strategy Package Long positions: The US market temporarily enters the market to go long when gold falls back to around 3297-3310 US dollars. Target 3340, stop loss 3345.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
XAUUSD Market Update – April 28, 2025 NY🎯 Quick Context: Price successfully defended the support + liquidity pocket zone (around 3272–3288). A bullish intraday reaction followed, but we are still trapped inside a consolidation range for now. ✅ Valid Zones Remaining from Daily Plan: Support + Liquidity Pocket (3272–3288): ✅ Still active and valid as strong support. Minor Resistance Level Inside Range (3350–3360): ✅ Remains relevant for possible rejections. Major Flip + Resistance Zone (3380–3395): ✅ Still untouched and valid — upper upside target if bullish continuation happens. ⚠️ Zones Weakened or Invalidated: Micro Support 3310–3315: ⚠️ Structure failed to hold cleanly — now treated as a neutral zone (no strong bias here). Intraday Pivot 3260–3265: ⚠️ Previously breached — weak support for now, not a major focus. 🔥 Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario 🟢 Holding above 3272–3288 = potential rally toward 3310–3315, then 3350–3360. Solid break and close above 3360 = bullish continuation potential toward 3380–3395. Bearish Scenario 🔴 Clear loss of 3272–3288 = risk of a sharper selloff toward lower discount zones (~3220–3240). 🧠 Extra Observations: Current structure = sideways/consolidation between buyers and sellers. Short-term momentum (M15–M30) is trying to lean bullish but without a confirmed HH yet. HTF bias (H1–H4) remains slightly bullish as long as price holds above the 3272–3288 support zone. 📢 Final Note: 🏹 Patience is key. Let price react around the zones — we are ready and disciplined to execute based on real confirmation, not emotions. ✨ Final Friendly Message: "We’ve already done the heavy lifting by marking the battlefield. 🛡️ Now it’s all about patience, precision, and letting Goldie show its next move. 📈✨ Stay sharp, stay humble – and remember: we react, not predict. 🎯 Let’s make this a week where we checkmate the market together! ♟️ If you enjoyed this update, leave a like, drop a comment, or just say hi – you’re part of the GoldFxMinds crew! 🚀💬❤️"
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
No need to hesitate, gold continues to be bullish I just told you that you can go long near 3298. Gold once retreated to around 3275 during the European session. I think if you want to go long, there is definitely a chance, and I have been emphasizing this. I am still in a stable state, and I only suggest going long near 3290 during the US session. As of now, gold has reached around 3330, which has reached my two target positions. Since gold can stand at 3330, it will definitely continue to rise in the future. At present, gold is a W-shaped structure, and it will definitely hit the top near 3360 in the future. So, my suggestion here is still to go long. But maybe gold will not be given a position below 3300. Therefore, if there is a subsequent retracement of gold, you can focus on entering the market near 3300-3310 and go long. The final target is still around 3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan – April 28, 2025🎯 Market Outlook: Gold remains trapped in a corrective range between 3260 and 3380, after an aggressive rally to new all-time highs. Currently, price is consolidating just below a major supply/flip zone (3380–3395) and above a key support pocket (3260–3280). HTF (High Timeframe) bias: Still bullish as long as the 3220–3235 pivot holds. LTF (Lower Timeframe) flow: Sideways, with minor bullish attempts inside the range. 🔥 Key Zones to Watch: Resistance Zones: 3380–3395 → Major flip and strong resistance zone. 3350–3360 → Minor local resistance inside premium. Support Zones: 3260–3280 → Major intraday support + liquidity pocket. 3220–3235 → Last pivot to maintain bullish HTF bias (critical for any continuation). 👀 Eyes On: Price reaction inside 3380–3395 → Will it reject again or break through to unlock 3410–3430? Weakness signs near 3350–3360 → Watch for potential bull traps if momentum fades. Respect for 3260–3280 → A bounce from here would confirm buyers still protecting liquidity pockets. HTF invalidation below 3220 → Would flip the entire structure bearish short-term. 📢 Final Words: Goldie's playing chess, not checkers — patience and sniper precision will make the difference this week. ♟️✨ Stay sharp, stay smart — we trade real flow, not hopes or dreams. 🔔 Follow the flow, adapt the plan, and let's continue hunting clean moves together! #Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #MindsetMatters #GoldMindsFX
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Gold market, further decline is likelyOANDA:XAUUSD Continue to test the support level of 3270 points, looking for a breakthrough. Any easing of the Sino-US conflict may trigger a price drop. But things are not so simple. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement: China and the United States have not discussed or negotiated on the issue of tariffs. Gold prices are under pressure before the tariff war and the release of US data. International situation: Russia issued a statement on a truce; and Ukraine issued a statement: If Russia really wants to achieve peace, it must immediately cease fire. If the two sides formally sign a truce agreement, the safe-haven demand for gold may also be greatly reduced. In the morning, gold prices tested last week's low of $3260, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the possible easing of Sino-US trade risks put gold prices under pressure. Traders are waiting for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which may affect the Fed's interest rate expectations. In this context, if macro statistics are weak and geopolitical risks remain, the correction in gold prices may be replaced by growth. Another test of the support level may trigger a breakthrough. It is necessary to pay attention to the situation between China and the United States. Any easing of the situation will trigger a decline in gold. Upward resistance: 3300, 3325 Downward support: 3265, 3245, 3230 The possibility of further decline in gold prices has been exhausted since the opening. Gold prices may strengthen to the above resistance levels. A false breakout of 3300/3325 may trigger a decline, which may bring gold prices closer to the support level of 3270.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining Sector as Gold Prices Reach Record Highs Meta Description: JPMorgan predicts the global gold mining industry will grow by 60% to 90% thanks to record-breaking gold prices, increasing investment demand, and stable production costs. Where are the opportunities for investors? JPMorgan Forecasts 60-90% Growth for the Gold Mining Industry According to the latest outlook from leading investment bank JPMorgan, the global gold mining sector is facing an exceptional growth opportunity, expected to rise by 60% to 90% in the near future. This forecast comes amid historic highs in gold prices and a strong surge in gold investment demand. Rising Gold Prices – The Key Driver for Mining Industry Growth JPMorgan experts note that gold prices have been setting multiple new records in global markets throughout 2024. The main factors are concerns about inflation, geopolitical instability, and continued monetary easing by major central banks. These conditions have driven investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset. Advantages for Gold Mining Companies JPMorgan believes that gold mining companies will be among the biggest beneficiaries of this uptrend. With production costs remaining stable, gold companies are projected to see significant profit increases—some may even raise dividends for shareholders. Key factors supporting the gold mining sector include: Strong increases in international gold prices. Consistent physical gold demand from central banks. Growing purchases by both retail and institutional investors Well-controlled production and mining costs. Investment Opportunities and Potential Risks JPMorgan recommends that investors prioritize shares in large gold mining companies with low production costs and strong financial foundations to optimize returns during this gold boom. However, JPMorgan also warns that the gold mining sector still faces several risks, such as: High volatility in global gold OANDA:XAUUSD prices. Rising mining costs if energy prices fluctuate. Legal and political risks in major gold-producing countries. Conclusion With a remarkable growth outlook of 60% to 90% as forecasted by JPMorgan, the gold mining industry is becoming a hotspot for global investment inflows. Still, investors should carefully consider potential risks and select the right gold companies to ensure both safety and effectiveness for their investment portfolios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Henrybillion
The Gold-Silver Ratio ExplainedCOMEX: Micro Gold Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! ), Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! ) The Gold-Silver Ratio is a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. Specifically, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. The Gold-Silver Ratio is an important tool for traders and investors. It has been used to indicate the market sentiment towards these two precious metals. A high ratio suggests that gold is more valued than silver, often seen during economic turmoil or when investors seek safe-haven assets. On the contrary, a lower ratio implies that silver is gaining value relative to gold, which normally occurs during periods of economic growth and strong industrial demand. The ratio fluctuates over time due to supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and changes in the global economy. By analyzing the ratio, traders can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell. This ratio reflects not only the market’s valuation of these metals but also an instrument for profit-making in the commodities market. Historical Gold to Silver Ratio Since 2000, the Gold-Silver Ratio has seen considerable fluctuations, reflecting various economic and market conditions. In the first decade of the 21st century, the ratio hovered around 65:1, meaning it took 65 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold. However, the ratio has spiked during times of economic uncertainty. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, the ratio reached highs not seen in decades. More recently, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing economic turmoil, the ratio surged, at one point exceeding 110:1 in 2020, indicating a strong preference for gold as a safe-haven asset compared to silver. Over time, the Gold-Silver Ratio has been trending up, meaning gold has gained value at a faster pace compared to silver. As of last Friday, gold is trading around all-time high at $3,330, while silver is quoted at $33.0. This makes the Gold-Silver Ratio almost exactly at 100. When to Buy and Sell based on the Gold-Silver Ratio? The decision to buy or sell the ratio hinges on interpreting its current value in the context of historical trends and market conditions. When to Buy Silver: A high Gold-Silver Ratio, typically at or above the 90:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver. In such scenarios, silver is cheaper than gold, and investors may see it as an opportunity to purchase silver at a relatively low price. The rationale is that if the ratio decreases, the relative value of silver will increase compared to gold, potentially leading to significant gains. When to Sell Silver/Buy Gold: Conversely, when the Gold-Silver Ratio is low, say around 50:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive, or gold is undervalued. In such situations, investors might consider selling silver and buying gold. The expectation is that the ratio will normalize or increase, meaning that gold’s value could rise relative to silver, offering a favorable return on the gold investment. The Gold-Silver Ratio can be a valuable indicator of when to buy or sell gold and silver. However, since the ratio is not stable but upward trending over time, we could not use a mean-reversion strategy. The price band for normal, high and low ranges should be updated regularly. Trade Setup with Micro Gold and Silver Traders could deploy the Gold-Silver Ratio trading strategy using COMEX Micro Gold Futures ( AMEX:MGC ) and Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage. MGC contracts have a notional value of 10 troy ounces of gold. With Friday settlement price of $3,330.7, each June contract (MGCM5) has a notional value of $33,307. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,500 at the time of writing. By putting a deposit equivalent to less than 0.5 ounce, traders could gain the full exposure to 10 ounces of gold. If gold prices move up by 5%, a long futures position would double in value (= (33307*0.05) / 1500 = 111%). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 22:1. Conversely, Micro Silver (SIL) contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $33.02, each June contract (SILM5) has a notional value of $33,020. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $3,000 at the time of writing. By putting a deposit equivalent to 91 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move up by 5%, a long position in Micro Silver futures would gain 55% (= (33020*0.05) / 3000). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 11:1. Micro gold futures (MGC, 10 oz) contracts tap into the deep liquidity of standard-size gold futures contracts (GC, 100 oz). As of last Friday, GC has an open interest (OI) of 447,356 contracts, while the OI for MGC is 44,449, according to data from CME Group. The OI for standard Silver Futures (SI, 5000 oz) and Micro Silver Futures (SIL, 1000 oz) are 154,276 and 12,345, respectively. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Education
by JimHuangChicago
7
Gold is expected to rise in the US market 🌐 Driving factors Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer. Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs. Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11. Bullish sentiment in the market cools down 📊Comment analysis After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of ​​the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting. 🔷Technical side: For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295. ✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading: US gold operation strategy: If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution! 💥Risk warning Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs. Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
4
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for the adjustment to enGold remained under pressure during the Asian trading session and is currently trading below the $3,300 mark, with a daily decline of about 0.75%. The market sentiment on trade is generally optimistic, and trade tensions are expected to ease. However, the decline in gold consumption in Asian countries in the first quarter has become a key factor in suppressing the demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. According to market research, data released by the Asian National Gold Association on Monday showed that gold consumption in the first quarter of this year fell 5.96% year-on-year to 290.492 tons. Among them, the demand for gold jewelry fell sharply by 26.85% year-on-year to 134.531 tons, while the consumption of gold bars and gold coins increased by 29.81% year-on-year to 138.018 tons. According to market research, US President Trump once again emphasized that trade negotiations are underway with Asian countries, and the market hopes for a quick easing of trade tensions. However, Trump's frequent changes in foreign remarks, coupled with continued concerns about a global economic recession, have maintained the safe-haven demand for gold. Quaid's analysis: From a technical perspective, the gold price needs to effectively fall below the $3265-3260 range in the short term before a larger correction downward can be confirmed. Once confirmed to fall below, the gold price may quickly fall to the 50% retracement level near $3225, further pointing to the $3200 mark. If $3200 is lost, it will suggest that gold may have peaked in the short term. On the contrary, if the gold price stabilizes and returns to above $3300, it may face initial resistance in the 3330-3335 area. If it breaks through this area, the short-term rebound target will point to the 3365-3370 supply area. Once this key pivot position is broken, the gold price is expected to challenge the $3400 mark again, and even further test the intermediate resistance of 3425-3430, and try to return to the historical high of $3500. Quaid's view: Although the market's concerns about trade have eased, weak gold consumption in Asian countries and the pressure of the dollar rebound are still there, which may cause gold prices to fluctuate and fall back from high levels. In the next few days, the core economic data of the United States will be the key to determining the next trend of gold. Quaid will pay special attention to changes in the Fed's policy expectations. Real-time analysis for you. The current market situation, as Quaid analyzed, can only be done in short-term scalping transactions; but always seize opportunities accurately.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold prices fell at the beginning of this week 🌐Drivers Gold prices fell slightly to $3,310 in early Asian trading on Monday, retreating from the record high set last week as signs of easing global trade tensions grew. According to Reuters, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins revealed on Sunday that the Trump administration is in daily consultations with China on tariffs. Rollins also stressed that agreements with several other countries are "very close" to being finalized. "The news suggesting a possible partial exemption from retaliatory tariffs further boosted market sentiment and caused gold prices to fall below the $3,300 mark," said Tang Yuxuan, a strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank. 📊Commentary Analysis At the beginning of this week, gold prices were mainly sideways, without much news impact, trading around 3,300 points, and gradually falling back. 🔷Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3,300-3,270, and is currently at $3,276. ✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading: Bearish strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3320-3330 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3280 US dollars and a stop loss of 3335 US dollars. Bullish strategy: If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3330 US dollars and a stop loss of 3275 US dollars. 💥Risk warning Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more. Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3350 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for adjustmentGold fell back after a cyclic rise in the morning, and the price lost today's starting point. The current position is near the starting point of Friday! If the Asian session cannot bottom out and rebound, then we must be careful of further declines to 3260 in the European session to test around 3230. This position will not be reached soon, but after the loss of the key position, the momentum below will gradually open up, so today the long position is at 3260. This week's data reference: Wednesday's ADP employment report, Friday's non-agricultural data Recent fundamental news is complicated, and the fluctuations in the past two weeks are relatively large compared to before. The fluctuations in a single day will basically exceed 100 US dollars, so we must pay attention to strict loss control in operations. Intraday view: After a short-term retracement, the first pressure level: 3315-17 top and bottom conversion position Strong pressure focus: 3337-43 If it can't reach the support, it's still at 3260. If it breaks down, the US session will look for a position to fall back.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold bottom wide range, bullish trend remains unchanged Investment success does not depend on how powerful and excellent your tools are, but on whether you can use your trading tools well. On the road to the dream of wealth, the most effective strategy is to focus and stick to a good trading system. Focus and persistence can produce incredible power. When you can really do this, you can create miracles that you can't believe in yourself. The international gold price opened at $3,350/ounce last Friday and closed at $3,315/ounce. The K-line entity fell by about $35/ounce throughout the day, and the daily K-line closed with a medium-yin line with a long upper shadow. Last Friday, the gold price fluctuated widely and finally closed down. On the one hand, it was because the risk aversion sentiment eased slightly, resulting in profit-taking of long positions; on the other hand, it was due to the oversold rebound of the US dollar, which put pressure on gold bulls. Fundamentally, gold reached a record high last week, and then fell slightly under the influence of Trump's easing trade remarks and the Federal Reserve. According to FactSet data, gold has still risen by about 41% in the past year, and the return rate so far this decade is 113%. As investors prepare for further geopolitical and macroeconomic shocks, gold continues to be the asset of choice for investors seeking protection. According to the latest data, US gold ETFs experienced inflows exceeding 95% of historical levels in two weeks, followed by a single-day outflow that also exceeded 95% of historical levels. This "big in and big out" pattern has occurred 9 times in history, and the first 8 times almost accurately predicted that gold would usher in a correction, and the worst performance was usually concentrated in the next 2 months. Technically, the monthly chart of gold showed a strong upward trend, technical indicators continued to rise, and the long-term bullish trend; the weekly chart closed at a high level with a long upper shadow cross, and the technical indicators were blunt at high levels, and the medium-term cautious pursuit of highs; the daily chart was stagnant and pulled back from highs, and the technical indicators began to fall, and the short-term correction was expected to continue; the 4-hour chart fell into a shock pattern, and the technical indicators were neutral, and the short-term waited for a breakthrough in the shock range. Overall, the price of gold remains bullish in the long term, with the midline expected to adjust downwards and a volatile trend in the short term. In terms of short-term operations during the day, focus on the long opportunities in the 3294 area below and defend on 3279. Focus on the short opportunities in the 3215 area on the top and defend on 3221. Each target will look at the 15-20 US dollars space. Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11