Gold Falling Toward 3345 Support📊 Market Overview
After failing to break the 3,389 resistance zone this morning, gold remains under pressure from profit-taking and a stronger USD. The price has dropped to around $3,360/oz, reflecting defensive sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3,389 – 3,400
• Nearest Support: 3,345 – 3,324
• EMA-09: Price is below the EMA-09 on the H1 chart → short-term bearish trend
• Candle Patterns / Volume / Momentum:
o M15 & H1 candles remain bearish
o RSI hovers around 45 → indicating continued correction
o No clear reversal signals yet
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to decline slightly in the short term if the USD stays strong and no geopolitical surprises arise. However, the 3345 support zone could attract dip buyers.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,360 – 3,365
🎯 TP: 3,335 – 3,325
❌ SL: 3,372
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,320 – 3,324
🎯 TP: 3,340 – 3,344
❌ SL: 3,310
Goldprice
XAUUSD H4Gold is forming a bullish structure on the 4H chart. Price is consolidating at a key reversal zone (Point C). If we get bullish confirmation, I’m targeting:
$3,400 short-term
$3,500 next
$3,560+ final leg (Point P)
Support at $3,300 must hold—below that, I’ll re-evaluate.
Watching closely for a breakout and retest above the trendline before entering.
Not financial advice – just my view.
Let’s talk about gold’s movement
This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out:
1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil;
2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate!
To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two!
The current overall environment:
1: Fundamentals:
The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage!
The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated.
The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc.
To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend
This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable
Next week's market outlook:
1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish;
2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high;
3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend;
To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war
I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
Analysis and strategy of gold trend today 6.23
📣Risk aversion heats up over the weekend. Gold opened high and moved higher in the morning, but quickly fell back, presenting a "lure to buy" market, and the bulls seemed short-lived.
Under the current situation, the early rebound is under pressure at 3390-95. It is recommended to go short with the trend, keep a close eye on the moving average trend and key points, and grasp the trading rhythm.
Operation suggestions:
Short near 3390-3392, defend 3400, target 3350-3340
Buy near 3350-3348, defend 3340, target 3390-3400
Gold price 15 days, will the gold price rise or fall?
📣 Macroeconomic data and central bank policies
1. Iran launched a large-scale missile attack on Israel: This morning, Iran launched about 27 to 30 ballistic missiles at Israel, targeting Tel Aviv, Haifa and Ben-Gurion International Airport. Israel's "Hammer" air defense system intercepted multiple incoming missiles, but still caused about 20 to 86 injuries, and some residential houses and infrastructure were damaged. Subsequently, the Israeli Air Force launched a retaliatory strike on military targets in western Iran, destroying two Iranian F-5 fighters and multiple missile launchers and military bases. The large-scale military conflict between the two sides further exacerbated tensions in the Middle East.
2. Iran plans to block the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil route in the Middle East: After the United States bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, the Iranian parliament immediately approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and is currently awaiting approval from the highest authority. The Strait of Hormuz is known as the mouthpiece of oil. About a quarter of the world's seaborne crude oil trade passes through this place, and the oil exported by the Gulf countries through the strait accounts for 20%-25% of the world's total oil output. Once the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the global oil supply will be severely impacted, triggering violent fluctuations in the energy market. This will not only exacerbate inflation expectations, but also make the economic outlook more uncertain. In this case, gold, as an important tool to combat inflation and economic uncertainty, will significantly increase its attractiveness, which may trigger a large number of investors to buy, thereby driving up gold prices.
3. The Fed maintains interest rates unchanged, and internal differences increase: In the early morning of June 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the target range of the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, which is the fourth consecutive month that it has maintained this interest rate level. In this statement, the unemployment rate was slightly adjusted. Although the uncertainty of the economic outlook has been reduced, it is still at a high level. The dot plot shows that the Federal Reserve maintains its forecast of two interest rate cuts this year, but has raised the median forecast for the interest rate in 2026. Judging from the attitude of officials, the number of people who support two rate cuts this year is basically the same as those who support maintaining the current interest rate, which indicates that the differences within the Fed on the direction of monetary policy are increasing.
🎈Technical factors
Support and resistance From the technical chart, gold currently forms a double bottom support at 3340 in the hourly cycle, showing that this position has a certain support strength. If the gold price can hold the 3340-3350 first-line support in the next 15 days, it is expected to rebound on this basis. The short-term resistance above is 3385-3390, which is the previous trading concentration area. If gold can break through this resistance level, the long volume will really start to exert force and look further to a higher position. If the gold price falls below 3340, the key support level, it may trigger further selling, and the bottom may test $2941.
Gold price trend forecast and operation suggestions for the next 15 days:
Based on the above factors, there are several possibilities for the gold price trend in the next 15 days:
Optimistic outlook (probability 40%)
If geopolitical conflicts further escalate or US economic data, such as consumer confidence, are not as expected, leading to further strengthening of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, gold prices are expected to stabilize and rebound around $3340-3350, and retest the previous high of $3450-3470. In terms of operation, investors can buy on dips when the gold price falls back to the support level, set a reasonable stop loss, and look at the resistance level.
Neutral scenario (probability 50%)
The price remains in the range of $3350-3385, waiting for the Fed's policy signals and macroeconomic data to guide the direction. In this case, investors can adopt a high-sell-low-buy operation strategy, buy at the bottom of the range, and short at the top of the range, strictly control positions and stop losses, and avoid large losses due to emotional fluctuations.
Pessimistic scenario (10% probability)
If the US economic data is strong, indicating stable economic growth, or the geopolitical risks suddenly ease, and the market risk aversion sentiment cools down significantly, the gold price may fall below the key support level of $3,340 and seek support at $2,941. At this time, investors should stop losses in their long orders in time, and even consider shorting at highs, but pay attention to market changes and control risks.
Overall, the gold market is full of uncertainty in the next 15 years. When investing in gold, investors must pay close attention to changes in macroeconomic data, central bank policies and geopolitical situations, combine technical analysis, reasonably control positions, set stop losses, and make investment decisions with a profit-taking spirit.
XAUUSD – Is Gold About to Break Out of Balance? Market Overview As the U.S. dollar maintains its upward momentum fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period, gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading near the key Point of Control (POC) for June. The consolidation around the $3,350–$3,360 zone indicates a temporary balance of supply and demand, and the market appears to be gearing up for a strong directional breakout in the upcoming sessions.
Detailed Technical Analysis ✅ Volume Profile & Price Structure
POC (highest volume level): $3,360 – the central volume area for the week/month
Current price: $3,353 – just below the POC, reflecting selling pressure dominance
Price is reacting to the demand zone at $3,343–$3,345, with significant volume support below
Short-term reversal signals from ParLE and ParSE indicators suggest a potential market shift
🔍 Key Resistance Levels:
$3,360 – POC and immediate resistance zone
$3,398 – previous supply zone with strong rejection history
$3,451 – Fibonacci extension high and the strongest resistance for the month
🔍 Key Support Levels:
$3,345 – high-volume support cluster
$3,343 – Fibonacci and dynamic support zone
$3,276 – final support before mid-term structure breakdown
🎯 XAUUSD Trading Strategy for Today (June 23, 2025) 🔻 Primary Scenario: SHORT based on short-term bearish structure
Entry: $3,358–$3,360 (on POC retest + bearish rejection candle)
Stop Loss: $3,370
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,343
TP3: $3,327
Probability: High, if price remains below POC
🔺 Alternative Scenario: LONG if price holds $3,343 support
Entry: $3,343–$3,345 (strong bullish candlestick setup in demand zone)
Stop Loss: $3,330
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,360 (POC)
TP2: $3,383
TP3: $3,398
⚠️ Risk Warning & Macro Factors to Watch
The USD Index is surging – applying downward pressure on gold
Fed's short-term rate projections (FedWatch Tool) reflect “no cut” expectations through Q3
Traders should maintain tight risk management within high-volume zones to avoid false breakouts
Follow @Henrybillion ” to stay updated with the most accurate and actionable XAUUSD trading ideas every day!
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside.
📌 Key Observations:
📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles).
🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal.
🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone.
🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones.
📈 Conclusion:
If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation.
✅ Trading Plan Suggestion:
Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance
SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330)
TP: 3,453 zone 🎯
🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
Gold Set to Rise If U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate📊 Market Overview:
Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation.
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520.
•Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320.
•EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts.
•Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz.
On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,358–3,365
🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450
🛑 SL: $3,344
🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise.
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70)
🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365
🛑 SL: $3,420
🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
The situation escalates? Crude oil gains remain stable
💡Message Strategy
The daily chart of WTI crude oil shows a 30% increase from late May to mid-June, with prices stagnating below resistance near $76. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has been overbought since late May and is now approaching a potential buy signal below 100.
Volatility peaked on June 14 and has since fallen back, suggesting that oil prices could see a correction if tensions in the Middle East do not escalate further. But now that the United States is out of the game and the situation could escalate at any time, crude oil is still in a bullish market.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices have broken through the upper resistance of the range in the medium term and tested a new high of 75.00. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuated and then broke through upward, and the oil price tested a new high near 78.40. The moving average system gradually opened upward, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward.
In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines opened upward near the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a high level of fluctuation upward.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:74.50-75.50,SL:73.50
Short-term target is around 77.00-78.00
XAU/USD – Technical AnalysisThe chart reflects a sustained bearish phase within a well-defined descending channel, yet current price action suggests a potential trend shift may be underway.
🧠 Key Observations:
Price Compression Near Channel Support:
The market is testing the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating possible exhaustion of selling momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price remains below the cloud, confirming bearish structure for now. However, cloud thinning ahead signals a weakening trend, which often precedes a reversal.
Projected Recovery Path:
A forecasted move is highlighted, suggesting a break above $3,360–$3,380, targeting the upper cloud resistance near $3,400. This level aligns with prior structure and volume interest.
Volume Profile (left):
Strong volume nodes align with support zones, reinforcing the potential for a bounce if momentum shifts.
📌 Strategy Insight:
While bearish momentum remains in control, signs of stabilization and potential reversal are emerging. Traders should wait for:
A confirmed break above the cloud, or
A bullish engulfing with volume support to validate long entries.
✅ Summary:
Trend remains bearish, but the setup shows early signs of accumulation and reversal. A breakout from the cloud and descending channel could trigger a shift toward $3,400+ in the near term. Monitoring phase active.
Gold Outlook: 3 Critical Zones That Could Shape the Next Move▋Observation & Meanings:
▪Price has broken out of the Broadening Wedge to the upside — a strong move led by bulls.
▪It then pulled back after reaching the 100% projection of the previous upswing, which also marked the likely extent of the retracement.
▪A break below the minor low (a) suggests short-term downward pressure.
▪However, the overall uptrend structure remains intact as long as the main low (A) holds.
▋What’s next?
Trading a retracement is always tricky — by nature, it means going against the prevailing trend.
▪ Question 1 : Is there anything to do when price falls below the minor low (a)?
Often, the best move is to stay patient and let the market reveal its intentions, some setups may offer opportunities:
▫The main prior low could act as a key short-term support, as it aligns with the 100% retracement of the previous upswing.
▫For aggressive traders, a quick short toward that level may be an option.
▪ Question 2 : When will a new trend begin?
▫Bearish scenario: A confirmed break below the main prior low could signal the start of a more sustainable downtrend.
▫Bullish scenario: Aside from Aside from (1) a direct breakout above the previous high (B), signs of strength may also come from:
(2) A clear lower high or
(3) A consolidation range, followed by a strong upside break.
In this case :
- The prior high (by definition) marks resistance.
- However, there’s also a tight congestion area before that high, which may act as the real barrier — potentially even more significant due to its cluster of price action.
▫Once early trend signals appear, the next step is to assess if the structure supports a lasting trend.
▋The 3 big zones:
▪ Uptrend Zone
The market is likely regaining upward momentum when one of the following occurs:
1. Price spikes above the previous swing high at point B.
2. Price breaks the tight congestion area to the upside.
3. A new consolidation range forms and breaks to the upside.
▪ Downtrend Zone
A clean break below the main prior low (A) would likely confirm bearish control and may open room for further downside.
▪ Ambiguous Zone
If price fails to meet the conditions for either an uptrend or a downtrend, it’s likely to remain in a drifting, indecisive state.
▋Mental Notes:
▪Don’t predict the price, trade the price. Have a plan, but not blindly follow.
▪The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow.
▋Not Financial Advice
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
Middle East war, gold breaks through 3400 early next week
Hello everyone:
Let's analyze the gold price next week (June 23, 2025 to June 27, 2025)
📌Gold information:
Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering around $3,369, and are expected to fall nearly 1.90% this week as the market digests U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to abandon immediate military action against Iran and turn to diplomacy. As of writing, XAU/USD fell 0.11%.
While easing geopolitical tensions helped boost risk sentiment, concerns that the United States may restrict allies operating semiconductor factories in China put additional pressure on gold, according to Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged risk appetite and suppressed the appeal of this safe-haven metal.
What has President Trump been busy with in the past 24 hours? (2025-06-22)
1. Announced the successful airstrike on Iran's three nuclear facilities - Trump issued a message saying that he had successfully launched attacks on Iran's three nuclear facilities, including Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The main target Fordow nuclear facility was bombed with a full load of bombs. All fighter jets are returning safely. Iran's Fordow (nuclear facility) no longer exists.
2. Was willing to go to Turkey to negotiate with Iran in person - According to the AXIOS website, sources said that when Trump attended the G7 summit last Monday, Erdogan called and proposed to hold talks between US and Iranian officials in Istanbul the next day to explore diplomatic solutions to the war. Trump agreed, and he was willing to send Vice President Vance and White House envoy Vitkov, and even if necessary, he was willing to go in person. But it was later cancelled because Khamenei could not be contacted.
3. Threatening to strike Iran again if the conflict does not stop - According to Reuters, US President Trump said in a telephone interview that tonight was a stunning success and Iran should immediately achieve peace and stop the war, otherwise they will be hit again.
4. Saying that Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy - Trump said that the US goal is to destroy Iran's nuclear enrichment capabilities and stop Iran's nuclear threat. Iran's facilities have been completely destroyed. Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy. Many goals have not yet been achieved. Tonight's strike is the "toughest target". If peace is not achieved in the future, other targets will be accurately struck.
5. Warning Iran not to retaliate - Trump posted on social media: "Any retaliatory action by Iran against the United States will lead to a military response 'far beyond what we saw tonight.'"
6. US Democratic lawmakers call for Trump's impeachment - On the evening of June 21, local time, according to NBC, New York Democratic Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said that President Trump's decision to attack Iran without the authorization of Congress "absolutely and clearly constitutes grounds for impeachment." She said that the US President's disastrous decision to bomb Iran without authorization was a serious violation of the Constitution and Congress' war powers.
📣Personal analysis:
Tensions in the Middle East escalate, and gold prices will continue to rise above 3400 at the beginning of next week
🔥 Technical:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices on the 4-hour chart, Labaron identified the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3395, $3448
Support: $3302, $3255
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
With the United States joining the war, can gold return to 3,500
💡Message Strategy
The United States has already participated in the war. On Saturday, the United States announced that it had carried out a devastating strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran's nuclear facilities no longer exist, and emphasized that Iran must accept peace unconditionally.
After the strike, Iranian officials said that the US military bases and personnel in the Middle East will become legal total targets, and the United States and Israel will be severely retaliated.
After striking Iranian targets again, it was stated that Iran must accept peace talks and cannot retaliate. Obviously, the United States does not want to fall into the quagmire of the Middle East war, and Iran is unlikely to stop.
As a result, a new Middle East war has been formed, and the United States will be involved in this war anyway.
Once the war escalates, the capital market will dislike the huge waves again. Gold will enter the second half of the bull market.
After hitting the high of 3,500 in April, it has not been able to break through so far, but it has continued to fluctuate around the highs and has not fallen. A new support platform has been consolidated.
Gold will inevitably open higher next week, but whether it can continue to rise after opening higher depends on whether Iran launches a strong counterattack. If the counterattack is not strong enough or the losses caused are limited, the short-term increase in gold will still be limited, and it is more likely to be a volatile upward trend.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis chart, the support below is around 3340-45, and the resistance above is around 3380-85, which is also near the 5-day moving average of the daily line and the middle track of the 4-hour Bollinger band. Breaking through here will ease the short-term downward pressure, and we can continue to pay attention to the high point of Thursday near 3390 US dollars;
For the support below gold, we can pay attention to the intraday low of 3340 US dollars, and then pay attention to the weekly MA10 moving average of 3315 US dollars. The 5-day moving average has a trend of forming a dead cross, the MACD indicator has begun to form a dead cross, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have a dead cross upward. The short-term technical aspect shows that the gold price has a further upward trend.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3355-3365,SL:3345,
Short-term goals: 3380-3390
When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (June 20), spot gold fell narrowly and is currently trading around $3,360 per ounce. London gold prices fluctuated violently under the dual influence of the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical tensions. Powell's hawkish stance cooled the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. As a non-yielding asset, international gold is under obvious pressure under high interest rate expectations. In sharp contrast to the Fed's hawkish stance, geopolitical tensions have provided important safe-haven support for international gold prices. The escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict has not only exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, but also triggered market concerns about the global security environment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often sought after when geopolitical risks rise. In the short term, the continued escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may continue to drive safe-haven funds into the gold market, but the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the specific implementation of the Trump administration's tariff policy will have a key impact on the medium- and long-term trend of gold prices.
Technical Review :
Gold maintained a volatile closing. The daily chart closed with alternating buying and selling for four consecutive trading days. There was no trend continuation. We will continue to pay attention to the 3350/3390 range during the day. Today's trading ideas are still short-term, selling at high prices and buying at low prices to participate in the volatile trend.So far this week, gold has been difficult to break out of the continuity of buying and selling. Yesterday, Thursday, under the temporary performance of gold's short-term dollar trend, we are optimistic that gold will fluctuate in the range, with the maximum range at 3350/3400, but there may often be a breakout on Thursday. Therefore, today we should pay attention to both trading within the range and the strength after the breakout.
Today's analysis:
Gold fluctuated overall yesterday due to the early closure of the US market, and the fluctuation was not large. However, gold as a whole is still biased towards selling. Gold is now weak in buying and rebounding, so there is a lot of room for gold selling. Next, we will continue to sell gold. If there is no particularly large profit to support gold, then gold buying may not cause any big waves in the short term. Gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross and sell downward. Gold selling is strong and there is still room for downward movement. After gold fell yesterday, the highest rebound was around 3378, and then it continued to fall back. After rebounding several times, it did not break through 3378 again. Gold continued to sell at high prices under pressure at 3378. Gold is now fluctuating and falling, and the center of gravity is constantly moving downward. With this trend, gold may accelerate downward at any time.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3335-3338 buy, stop loss 3328, target 3370-3380;
Short-term gold 3360-3370 short, stop loss 3387, target 3330-3340;
Key points:
First support level: 3352, second support level: 3344, third support level: 3331
First resistance level: 3378, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Gold Rebounds from Support, Eyes Breakout Above 3,370📊 Market Dynamics:
– Gold briefly dipped to 3,344 this morning before rebounding to 3,355 as of now.
– The USD is steady after cautious Fed commentary, while geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven flows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 3,370 – 3,380
• Immediate support: 3,344 – 3,340
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, signaling continued short-term bullish bias.
• Patterns / Momentum: A bullish engulfing pattern formed on the H1 chart at 3,344.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rebound toward 3,370–3,380 in the short term. A break above 3,380 could open the path to 3,400.
💡 Trading Strategies:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,375 – 3,380
🎯 TP: 3,355 – 3,360
❌ SL: 3,385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,344 – 3,348
🎯 TP: 3,365 – 3,370
❌ SL: 3,335
Gold XAUUSD Summer Price Action - Trading Psychology☀️ Summer Trading Blues? Here’s How to Stay Sharp Without Burning Out
Summer trading on Gold isn’t for the impulsive or the greedy. Liquidity dries up, sessions lose momentum, and the clean, aggressive price action we love? It goes on vacation too.
But that’s not a bad thing. It’s an opportunity.
This is the season where traders either burn out... or build.
Here’s how to keep your edge sharp while the markets slow down — and why a positive, focused mindset is your biggest asset until volatility returns.
Why Summer PA Feels “Off” on Gold
You’re not imagining it — gold price action does shift in the summer, and here’s why:
🏖️ Bank Holidays & Institutional Slowdowns
• Major global banks take scheduled breaks — including in the US, UK, EU, and Asia.
• Trading desks reduce activity, and high-volume players shift into passive management mode.
• This results in lower volume, fewer impulsive moves, and more algorithmic fakeouts.
📆 Official Holidays + "August Mode"
• US Independence Day (July 4), UK Summer Bank Holiday (late August), and more → NY and London sessions thin out or lack follow-through.
• Most institutional traders go on leave. Some desks run skeleton crews. No joke.
• Unless a major geopolitical catalyst (e.g. war escalation or surprise central bank move) hits the headlines, price will drift or trap.
🏄♂️ Retail Overreach & Emotional Traps & Vacation Time
• Retail traders often “force” trades in quiet markets to stay busy.
• This leads to chasing, overtrading, and emotional fatigue — the exact trap smart traders avoid.
• Most regular traders also go on vacation or scale back — unless they’re mentally obsessed with Gold and can’t let it go.
Bottom line:
Summer PA is slower, trickier, and full of emotional bait. Learn to read the stillness — not fight it.
💡 Your Summer Trading Mindset Kit
Instead of complaining about the range, use this time to train your mindset.
Here’s how:
⚖️ Stay Emotionally Neutral — Even When Price Isn’t
Summer markets bait your emotions: fake breakouts, slow reactions, and dead zones.
To stay in control, build structure around your execution:
✅ Pre-market: Make a clear plan with meaningful zones and set alerts — don’t wing it on hopes and dreams
✅ Post-market: Write down why you stayed out or why your trade was clean — not just wins or losses
Neutrality isn’t passive — it’s disciplined clarity, even when the chart’s doing nothing.
🎯 Focus Over FOMO
Short sessions. Laser focus. Clean execution.
→ Limit distractions
→ Trade only clear, structured setups
→ Respect no-trade days as productive days
Flow isn’t magic — it’s discipline + environment.
🤝 Find the Trading Circle That Matches Your Style — to reinforce your style
Not every group fits you — and not every voice deserves your attention.
Look for people who:
• Respect structure over noise
• Give thoughtful, honest feedback
• Celebrate patience and growth, not screenshots and bragging and 20-30 pips wins
A real trading circle matches your energy and raises your game — not your cortisol.
💭 Reconnect With Your “Why”
If you’re here just to “make money,” summer will test you hard.
Purpose anchors you when price doesn’t. Ask yourself:
• Why do I trade?
• Who am I becoming through this process?
No purpose = burnout.
Purpose = clarity, even in silence.
📈 Discipline Pays When Gold Doesn’t
Forget chasing fireworks in dead markets.
Summer rewards the trader who does less but does it right:
✅ You skipped noise? That’s a win.
✅ You waited for your zone? Pro-level move.
✅ You tracked your behavior? You’re not guessing — you’re evolving.
While others burn out chasing crumbs, you’re stacking discipline — and that’s what you’ll cash in when the real moves return.
Final Words: Quiet Traders Get Loud Later
Summer might be slow. But your growth doesn’t have to be.
While others force trades, smart traders sharpen edge.
You’re not falling behind by sitting out chop — you’re building mastery for when real money moves return.
🗓️ So in September YOU are going to show up: stronger, clearer, and 3x more prepared.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range.
The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand).
In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones.
A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish.
Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area.
Key Zones and Levels (4H)
Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor.
Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound.
Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone.
Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move.
Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues.
4-Hour Bias
In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk).
In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply.
Intraday (1H) Setups
Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas:
Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”.
Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range.
Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450.
Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle).
Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves.
Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380.
If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280.
Takeaway
Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340.
Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
XAU/USD(20250620) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3369
Support and resistance levels:
3409
3494
3384
3353
3344
3329
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3369, consider buying, and the first target price is 3384
If the price breaks through 3353, consider selling, and the first target price is 3344
Gold price analysis June 20Daily candle continues to show the dispute while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday and this morning's 3343 zone did not sweep, so we cancel this zone. BUY must wait until below 3323. Note additional daily support at 3296 for today's 2 buy strategies.
3362 gives a SELL Breakout signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY will go up to 3400, the target of the two upper resistance zones remains the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443