XAU/USD(20250320) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries: 3040
Support and resistance levels:
3069
3058
3051
3029
3022
3011
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3051, consider buying, the first target price is 3058
If the price breaks through 3040, consider selling, the first target price is 3029
Goldprice
Gold analysis layoutOn March 20, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, indicating that uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. The dot plot shows that two rate cuts are expected in 2025, consistent with December last year. In addition, the Fed will begin to slow the pace of balance sheet reduction on April 1. Recent indicators show that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. In recent months, the unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level and labor market conditions remain strong. Inflation levels remain high. The committee's goal is to achieve maximum employment over the long term and maintain inflation at 2%. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased.
Gold fluctuated sideways on Wednesday, running in the range of 3045-3022. We have basically grasped the intraday market profits. From the current market, it should be noted that while maintaining the bullish bullish trend, this wave of increases should be treated with caution. The possibility of a change in gold prices is expected to increase at the end of the week. From a technical point of view, the trend is definitely bullish. Under the big positive weekly line, although there is no peak for the time being,
The H4 cycle has formed an absolute divergence at a high level, and a strong squat may appear at any time. The trend support of the daily cycle has two points 3000 and 2955. It seems that the price span is relatively large, but it is easy to fall. The support point of the H4 cycle is near 3015, so the key point in the short term is 3015. Once it breaks, it will no longer be so strong, and it is likely to go directly to 3000.
Investment strategy: Gold 3045-3055 short, target 3030-3020
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Gold is in trouble, and a backhand blow turns the tideThe gold market is like sailing on a rough sea. Every market fluctuation is a severe test. This time, after we shorted gold, the market suddenly fluctuated sharply due to the news. Our account suffered a floating loss and our heart was hanging. However, professional traders will not be intimidated by short-term difficulties. We quickly analyzed the news in depth, from geopolitical dynamics to economic data interpretation, without missing any details. At the same time, combined with complex and changeable technical aspects, we accurately captured the market reversal signals and decisively seized the opportunity to switch to long positions. We not only turned losses into profits, but also reaped rich profits. In the ever-changing investment world, only calm analysis and decisive decision-making can make you the final winner.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
GOLD EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Support Zone: The price has respected the marked support area and is showing bullish momentum.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but if it crosses above, it could signal stronger bullish momentum.
Target Point: The projection anticipates a move towards 3,052.357, possibly after a minor pullback.
If price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, your bullish target seems achievable. Are you already in a long position, or waiting for further confirmation?
3.20 Focus on the long and short battle of the Federal Reserve!!On Wednesday (March 19), the spot gold price continued to fluctuate at a high level during the Asian and European sessions, hitting a record high of $3,045/ounce during the session, and then fell slightly to around $3,029. The market focus is highly concentrated on the upcoming Fed's March interest rate decision.
Fundamentals: 1. The struggle between risk aversion demand and policy expectations
2. Rising geopolitical risk premiums
3. Trump's tariff remarks sparked concerns about economic recession
4. Fed policy expectations dominate short-term fluctuations
Technical aspects: Long and short game in high-level fluctuations
4-hour structure chart:
Bollinger Band pattern: upper track 3044.86, middle track 3031.24, lower track 3017.63, the current quote 3030.49 is close to the middle track, indicating a short-term balance of long and short forces. If the price stands firm on the middle track, it is expected to test the upper track (3044) again; if it falls below the middle track, it may seek support from the lower track (3017)
Moving average support: The 100-day moving average (2928.75) and the 200-day moving average (2903.27) form a long-term support band, and the price difference with the current quotation exceeds US$100, further verifying that gold is in a strong cycle.
Resistance level: 3050 3080 3100
Support level: 3018 3000 2980
Gold surged higher and fell again, signaling an imminent declineAt present, there is a suppression signal below 3045, but it may take some time to consolidate. It fell back under pressure on Wednesday morning, and stabilized and rose briefly to 3045 after touching the middle track. Then there was a small dive to 3022 in the European session and then rose again. This is obviously a high-level sweep, and the market has begun to fight fiercely for longs and shorts; it may go back and forth in the high range of 3020-3045, and finally wait for the announcement of the interest rate decision to stimulate and guide. If the news of the interest rate cut is implemented, it is still predicted that there will be a wave of "selling facts" decline, and then stabilize and bottom out and rise to counterattack. Then the next operation suggestion is to try to correct the decline at a high level, and continue to go up along the trend after touching 3015 or 3000 or 2980. The decline correction and squat adjustment are all preparations for further historical highs in the future.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
XAU/USD 19 March 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or nested Daily and H4 demand zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,045.310.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Again, since yesterday's analysis, price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions. Gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded down to discount of 50% internal EQ and nearly mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,045.410.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold shows signs of waterfall-like plungeStimulated by the news, gold has risen rapidly to around 3045. Obviously, gold has seen a very obvious forced rise. After the rapid rise of gold, there must be a technical demand for a fall. I expect 3045-3055 to be the high point of gold in the day, so when you all want to chase the rise of gold, I have already started to short gold!
So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at a high level. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 3030-3040 area as the main force. I believe there will be a good profit!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Has gold peaked? Long or short?Gold 1-hour chart has fallen from a high level, so it is difficult for gold to rise directly without news support in the short term. You can continue to short gold after it rebounds. If the Fed's interest rate decision does not rise sharply, then the idea of shorting gold at a high level will continue. Gold rebounds to observe 3045 pressure level
Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March.
The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell.
Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market.
⭐️Technical Analysis
The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel.
These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war.
In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness.
Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics
The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets.
Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value.
However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1
Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level.
Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery.
However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery.
Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections.
The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach.
To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
Gold 2873 to 3037!Your Trust in Our Recommendations DeliversDear Followers,
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Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold bulls are going crazy, need to be careful at this time
Gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of a pullback. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful. You need to be cautious when doing long positions at high levels, and beware of gold falling back after a surge and starting to make a sharp adjustment.So at this position I think shorting would be better
Gold 25-35 is directly short3025-3035 is directly short
Gold continues to fall back. The current technical indicators of the K-line are all bullish, but the market may not necessarily rise. The K-line has been soaring all the way, and it must take a break and adjust. Correction is inevitable, and adjustment is also inevitable. Two horizontal and one vertical is the way to go
Gold is bullish across the network. This is an event that is prone to black swans. The hourly line also shows a bearish engulfing pattern, and the closing price of the big negative line entity is lower than the opening price of the positive line. Falling back is also inevitable. It must fall back to the position of the moving average. This is an inevitable thing. Go short at 3025-3035. The target area is 3010-3000.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
The secret behind gold's crazy riseGold surged as soon as it was stimulated by the news, but it is expected that this momentum will not last long. Instead, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends have a profound impact on gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought area. It is expected that after gold hits the resistance range of 3025-3035 in the short term, continue to increase short positions and increase the number of transactions, with the target of 3010-3000, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and use the possible correction market to achieve profit goals.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold Price Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop to ESupply Zone Resistance (~3,004.973): Price is currently testing this resistance area, which could lead to a potential rejection.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support Level (~2,949.378 - 2,945.323): This area is marked as a potential support zone where price might find buying interest.
EMA 200 Support (2,945.323): A critical dynamic support level that aligns with the FVG zone.
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red Line - 2,990.457): Short-term trend indicator.
EMA 200 (Blue Line - 2,945.323): Long-term trend indicator.
Price Action & Prediction:
The price is in the supply zone resistance and could potentially reject downwards.
The blue projected path suggests a pullback to the FVG support zone before a possible rebound.
If price breaks below this support, further downside could be expected.
Potential Trade Idea:
Short Setup: If rejection occurs at resistance, a short trade targeting the FVG/EMA 200 support could be considered.
Long Setup: If price reaches the FVG zone and finds support, a long position targeting previous highs could be a strategy.
Excellent window for gold-------News---
The U.S. inflation data for February was released, and the data showed that the U.S. inflation in February fell across the board, exceeding expectations. The decline in inflation also gave the Federal Reserve more room and possibility for interest rate cuts, and also slightly reduced the concerns originally caused by tariffs. However, with the full implementation of tariffs on Europe, retaliation from Europe also followed, and concerns about the global economic downturn also intensified. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly and then fell again.
Gold hourly line pattern chart;
Spot gold; Previously, the gold market continued its strong upward trend, and the bulls performed extremely well. On Wednesday, gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of 2930, breaking the previous confinement and opening the upward channel. On Thursday, the rally not only continued, but also entered a large-volume stage, directly breaking through the previous high of 2956, and without any stop, the highest impact reached 2990. The daily line closed with a long positive line, showing a strong pattern of three consecutive positive attacks. On Friday night, it even reached above 3000. You can short sell near 3000 above, and continue to hold the short positions at the previously arranged points. Reduce positions at the target area of 2970, and exit all positions when it reaches 2950.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold is testing the barrier again! About to plungeGold hit a new record high again on Friday, reaching 3005 at one point, and also perfectly reaching 3000 points. Obviously, the bulls' goal has been basically achieved. The current K-line must fall back. Moreover, Trump imposed sanctions on the Middle East at the weekend, but the gold price did not rise. Obviously, the bulls are also weak.
From the perspective of gold trend, the situation between Russia and Ukraine has become confusing again under the background of the originally expected clear situation, so the risk aversion sentiment has heated up again. In addition, the global trade concerns caused by Trump's tariff policy have led to the intensification of the risk of global economic recession. The uncertainty of the market has also increased again. At this time, gold has become the most sought-after product in the market. From a technical point of view, gold has repeatedly rushed to the 3000 mark last week. On Friday, it pulled out a Yin cross star at a historical high. There is a need for adjustment in the short term. Don't watch it blindly for the time being.
There is an obvious bearish engulfing at the top of the gold four-hour line, that is, the big Yin line entity directly covers the Yang line entity, forming a top signal. At the same time, the K-line is also seriously deviated from the moving average. It is an abnormal trend again. The decline is inevitable, and returning to the moving average is also a certain short selling.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
The 3000 mark falls back, continue short-term operationsAfter gold tested the 3000 mark again, it fell back and is currently hovering around 2990. It failed to test 3000 again in the short term. This position is obviously suppressed in the short term. The second upward test quickly fell back. The gold price may fall further. The idea is to follow the trend and short-sell. Pay attention to the short position near 2990, and the target area is 2980-2970. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.