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Weakness continues, continue to short the bear market📰 Impact of news: 1. Pay attention to Powell's speech in New York 2. Pay attention to geopolitical influence 📈 Market analysis: Gold opened lower and showed a weak situation. The 1H moving average was arranged downward. In the short term, bears still occupied the main trend. From the 4-hour analysis of gold, the bulls still had repeated resistance before breaking down. Once it breaks down, the market will go further bearish. Pay attention to 3330 below. 3400 is still the key above in the short term. Only by breaking through the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, high-altitude and low-long are temporarily maintained. Pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3355-3365 above, and the support of 3340-3330 below. Pay attention to the breakthrough! Pay attention to Powell's speech in the New York session. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3370-3365-3355 TP 3340-3330 BUY 3340-3335-3320 TP 3345-3355-3365 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrStellanSight
XAU/USD 24 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 24 June 2025Hello Traders, As you can see that GOLD fell sharply this morning due to Israel- Iran Cease fire scenario Further more FED Chair POWELL Testifies Starts from Today and end on Tomorrow make sure to manage you trading accordingly Right now GOLD is in Strong Bearish Trend only clear Breakout of 3368 level for the day below this market remains Bearish All eyes on 3300 Psychological Digit for now if market breaks 3300 Successfully then it will move towards 3250 soon Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by forexmoneya
Gold, Will USA-Iran-Israel conflict affect it? The USA-Iran-Israel conflict can significantly impact gold prices. Gold is a safe-haven asset, so demand often rises during geopolitical tensions, pushing prices up 3406 gonna be first target for me, if it breaks this lvl with huge volume and FVG on 1h+ then most likely we will see ATH in near future bearish scenario(lest likely) - price breaks down 3340 and close with nice volume and fvg on 1h+ which will open move all the way down to MO
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Almenio
Iran and Israel ceasefire? Gold price falls and adjusts 📌 Gold information: Gold prices continued to be well supported during the North American trading session following the breaking news of Iran's retaliatory attack on the US military base in Qatar. The escalation was a response to Washington's weekend attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dominated the headlines, investors largely ignored US economic data Macroeconomic indicators have taken a back seat as the intensification of the conflict has affected market sentiment. Arab TV cited Israeli media reports that Iran used missiles to attack US bases in Qatar, Kuwait and Iraq. In further escalation, Tehran approved the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz and launched more missiles at Israeli targets, which amplified the safe-haven demand for gold. The situation in the Middle East has mixed signals. Trump announced a "stop" to the Iran-Israel conflict, while the exchange of fire between the two sides continued, and the proportion of gold longs fell back 📊Commentary Analysis Gold prices responded to the reduction of positive news on peace in the Middle East and continued to rise. 💰Strategy Package Short when the price rebounds to around 3370, stop loss at 3480, target at 3350-3388 points Long around 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360-3368 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
6.24 Gold safe haven fades and gold falls Technical aspect: After the gold price hit the 3400 integer mark overnight, it fell rapidly under the impetus of negative news. The overall fluctuation range is still within the 3330-3400 range we expected. This shows that the current market dominated by news lacks continuity. We make a golden section of the high and low points of the overnight decline to the current level, and the current position of 0.618 is 3370. Pressure level: 3370\3375\3400 Support level: 3330\3300
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
Israel and Iran have a truce. Gold fluctuates sharply.Information summary: Trump said on Truth Social that Israel and Iran have fully agreed and there will be a complete and thorough ceasefire. (About 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have finished and completed the last mission they are doing!). After 12 hours, the war will be considered over. Iran will start a ceasefire first, and after the 12th hour, Israel will start a ceasefire, and 24 hours later, the world will salute the official end of this 12-day war. Senior Iranian officials have confirmed that Tehran has agreed to a US-proposed ceasefire with Israel brokered by Qatar. Market analysis: From the current point of view of gold, the news market has been digested in the early Asian market, and gold has also fallen to around 3330. Now it is obvious that there may be a bottoming rebound. But from the trend point of view, gold is still in the short position, and 3380 and 3400 have not been stabilized. Judging from the current hourly chart, gold is likely to rebound to 3370-3380. Then it will quickly fall from this position to the early trading low of 3330. At the same time, we can also see that the trend near 3378 is at the Fibonacci 0.382 position. Moreover, the previous trend also rebounded from 3330 to 3380, and then fell back again. So we need to be patient and wait for the price to rebound before going short. Of course, we can also choose an aggressive long strategy. Of course, we can also choose an aggressive long strategy. Operation strategy: Short near 3380, stop loss 3390, profit range 3350-3330. Long near 3345, stop loss 3335, profit range 3370-3380.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD Sideways – Breakout Setup FormingGold is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart, moving within the range of 3,320 to 3,393. After a pullback from the 3,460 peak, the price has repeatedly formed ParSE and ParLE patterns, indicating a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This suggests that the market is building pressure for a potential breakout in the coming sessions. Technically, the 3,393 – 3,400 zone remains a key resistance as price has been rejected multiple times there. Meanwhile, the 3,320 – 3,330 area is holding as solid support, showing strong bullish reactions in previous touches. The 3,342 – 3,350 range is acting as a neutral zone where price is accumulating before making its next move. There are two optimal trading strategies at this stage. The first is range trading: look to buy near 3,320 – 3,330 and target profits at 3,350 – 3,370; conversely, consider selling around 3,390 – 3,393 with take-profit targets back at 3,350 – 3,365. The second is breakout trading: if the price closes a 4H candle above 3,393 with strong volume, it opens up long opportunities targeting 3,420 – 3,445. On the flip side, a clear break below 3,320 may lead to further downside toward 3,285 – 3,260. From a macroeconomic perspective, traders should closely monitor US inflation data and upcoming Fed policy signals. Any hints of easing from the Fed could act as a strong bullish catalyst for gold. Additionally, geopolitical developments and USD trends remain crucial as they directly influence safe-haven flows into gold. In summary, this is a key phase to observe and prepare for decisive action when the market breaks out of consolidation. Patience, disciplined entries, and strict risk management are essential in the current environment. Follow for daily updates and actionable strategies as the setup unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold bottoms out and tests resistance, long positions at night📰 Impact of news: 1. Bowman hinted at a July rate cut 2. Fed Governor Kugler and FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams hosted the "Fed Listening" event. 📈 Market analysis: Gold will maintain a short-term volatile trend. Although the United States intervenes in the conflict between Iran and Israel, the geopolitical situation will affect the market trend to a certain extent. However, the remarks of Federal Reserve Board member Bowman hinting at a rate cut in July have eased market volatility to a certain extent. Gold maintains a narrow range of fluctuations at the 4H level, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted. The K-line stands firmly on the short-term moving average. The short-term trend shows that it is necessary to observe the second opportunity for pull-up after the confirmation of the retracement. At the hourly level, the short-term moving average diverges upward, and the short-term volatile and strong pattern is maintained. In the evening, pay attention to the upper resistance area of 3395-3405, focus on the suppression of the 3405 line, pay attention to 3375-3365 below, and further pay attention to the 3345 support line if it breaks through. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3385-3395-3405 TP 3370-3365-3345 BUY 3375-3365-3355 TP 3390-3400-3405 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout Bullish Momentum Incoming!XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout 💥 | 🚀 Bullish Momentum Incoming! Analysis: 🟡 Double Bottom Pattern: Two clear lows have formed around the $3,340 support, signaling a potential reversal. 🟦 Accumulation Zone: The price consolidated in a range, indicating strong buying interest before the breakout. 🟣 Bullish Momentum: Recent aggressive bullish candles show strong buying pressure. 📈 Breakout & Retest Zone: If the price holds above $3,370, a bullish continuation toward $3,409 and possibly $3,445 is expected. 🧭 Target Area: Marked with a blue box, the upside potential is clearly projected. Conclusion: A successful retest of the breakout level may lead to a strong bullish run. Keep an eye on $3,370 as the pivot zone. 🎯
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Gold is moving upward. Testing the ultimate pressure.Gold opened high at around 3397 and then quickly retreated. After hitting the lowest point of around 3346 in the European session, it continued to rebound. It fluctuated in a large range around 3360-80 many times, which also added a lot of confusion to the market. After retreating to around 3355 again, it continued to move upward, reaching a high of around 3389. At present, the market still has upward momentum, and the key pressure above is maintained at 3400, which is also the previous high point and the last line of defense for the bears. If this position continues to be broken, the bulls may continue to move upward without resistance in the later period, with the target price around 3430-3450. The key support below is still maintained in the range of 3355-3340. Judging from the current market, the short-term fluctuations may continue to expand, and the ultimate target above is maintained at around 3400. This position is likely to be broken, but the probability of continuing to rise is small. The current bulls may still be in a form of enticing more. Operation strategy: Short near 3395, stop loss 3410, profit near 3375. If it continues to break below 3370, it will be seen around 3340. If it breaks through the extreme pressure level of 3400, we need to consider stopping the loss in time. .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
6.24 Gold resistance strengthens + kinetic energy exhaustionGold prices have fallen under pressure near $3,380 several times, and this area gathers three technical resistances: 1. The daily Bollinger band middle track 3,375 and the upper track 3,450 form a suppression. 2. The previous high of $3,400 plus the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level constitutes a concentrated selling pressure area. 3. The previous high of $3,451 failed to break through effectively, forming a bearish structure with the second highest point moving down. Risk of breaking the shock range: Gold continues to trade sideways in the 3,300-3,450 range, but the K-line continues to close in a small real body alternating yin and yang pattern, indicating that the long and short momentum is exhausted. If it falls below 3,350 , a technical sell-off will be triggered, with the target pointing to 3,300-3,330! SELL: 3,388\3,393 Stop loss: 3,398 Target: 3,360 Profit point: 30
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold opens high and moves lower, focus on 3340 support📰 Impact of news: 1. Federal Reserve Board member Bowman speaks on monetary policy and the banking industry 2. The United States intervenes in the Iran-Israel conflict and pays attention to the geopolitical situation 📈 Market analysis: In the early Asian session, gold prices surged but failed to break through the key watershed of 3405. The current risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level, so the short-term trend is still weak and bearish. On the hourly chart, gold continues to retreat. As the current short-selling momentum continues to gain momentum, we will first look at whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If it fails to break through while retreating, we can consider a short-term upward rebound in the support and consider going long. Looking at the second decline point at 3370-3375, unless the news stimulates the gold trend, you can still consider placing short orders if it touches the 3370-3380 line! On the whole, pay attention to the resistance line of 3370-3380 above and the support line of 3345-3335 below. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3350-3345-3335 TP 3360-3370-3380 SELL 3370-3380 TP 3360-3350-3345 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold Falling Toward 3345 Support📊 Market Overview After failing to break the 3,389 resistance zone this morning, gold remains under pressure from profit-taking and a stronger USD. The price has dropped to around $3,360/oz, reflecting defensive sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: 3,389 – 3,400 • Nearest Support: 3,345 – 3,324 • EMA-09: Price is below the EMA-09 on the H1 chart → short-term bearish trend • Candle Patterns / Volume / Momentum: o M15 & H1 candles remain bearish o RSI hovers around 45 → indicating continued correction o No clear reversal signals yet 📌 Outlook Gold may continue to decline slightly in the short term if the USD stays strong and no geopolitical surprises arise. However, the 3345 support zone could attract dip buyers. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,360 – 3,365 🎯 TP: 3,335 – 3,325 ❌ SL: 3,372 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,320 – 3,324 🎯 TP: 3,340 – 3,344 ❌ SL: 3,310
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Let’s talk about gold’s movement This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out: 1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil; 2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate! To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two! The current overall environment: 1: Fundamentals: The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage! The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated. The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc. To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable Next week's market outlook: 1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish; 2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high; 3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend; To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
Analysis and strategy of gold trend today 6.23 📣Risk aversion heats up over the weekend. Gold opened high and moved higher in the morning, but quickly fell back, presenting a "lure to buy" market, and the bulls seemed short-lived. Under the current situation, the early rebound is under pressure at 3390-95. It is recommended to go short with the trend, keep a close eye on the moving average trend and key points, and grasp the trading rhythm. Operation suggestions: Short near 3390-3392, defend 3400, target 3350-3340 Buy near 3350-3348, defend 3340, target 3390-3400
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Gold price 15 days, will the gold price rise or fall? 📣 Macroeconomic data and central bank policies 1. Iran launched a large-scale missile attack on Israel: This morning, Iran launched about 27 to 30 ballistic missiles at Israel, targeting Tel Aviv, Haifa and Ben-Gurion International Airport. Israel's "Hammer" air defense system intercepted multiple incoming missiles, but still caused about 20 to 86 injuries, and some residential houses and infrastructure were damaged. Subsequently, the Israeli Air Force launched a retaliatory strike on military targets in western Iran, destroying two Iranian F-5 fighters and multiple missile launchers and military bases. The large-scale military conflict between the two sides further exacerbated tensions in the Middle East. 2. Iran plans to block the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil route in the Middle East: After the United States bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, the Iranian parliament immediately approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and is currently awaiting approval from the highest authority. The Strait of Hormuz is known as the mouthpiece of oil. About a quarter of the world's seaborne crude oil trade passes through this place, and the oil exported by the Gulf countries through the strait accounts for 20%-25% of the world's total oil output. Once the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the global oil supply will be severely impacted, triggering violent fluctuations in the energy market. This will not only exacerbate inflation expectations, but also make the economic outlook more uncertain. In this case, gold, as an important tool to combat inflation and economic uncertainty, will significantly increase its attractiveness, which may trigger a large number of investors to buy, thereby driving up gold prices. 3. The Fed maintains interest rates unchanged, and internal differences increase: In the early morning of June 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the target range of the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, which is the fourth consecutive month that it has maintained this interest rate level. In this statement, the unemployment rate was slightly adjusted. Although the uncertainty of the economic outlook has been reduced, it is still at a high level. The dot plot shows that the Federal Reserve maintains its forecast of two interest rate cuts this year, but has raised the median forecast for the interest rate in 2026. Judging from the attitude of officials, the number of people who support two rate cuts this year is basically the same as those who support maintaining the current interest rate, which indicates that the differences within the Fed on the direction of monetary policy are increasing. ​ 🎈Technical factors Support and resistance From the technical chart, gold currently forms a double bottom support at 3340 in the hourly cycle, showing that this position has a certain support strength. If the gold price can hold the 3340-3350 first-line support in the next 15 days, it is expected to rebound on this basis. The short-term resistance above is 3385-3390, which is the previous trading concentration area. If gold can break through this resistance level, the long volume will really start to exert force and look further to a higher position. If the gold price falls below 3340, the key support level, it may trigger further selling, and the bottom may test $2941. Gold price trend forecast and operation suggestions for the next 15 days: Based on the above factors, there are several possibilities for the gold price trend in the next 15 days: Optimistic outlook (probability 40%) If geopolitical conflicts further escalate or US economic data, such as consumer confidence, are not as expected, leading to further strengthening of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, gold prices are expected to stabilize and rebound around $3340-3350, and retest the previous high of $3450-3470. In terms of operation, investors can buy on dips when the gold price falls back to the support level, set a reasonable stop loss, and look at the resistance level. Neutral scenario (probability 50%) The price remains in the range of $3350-3385, waiting for the Fed's policy signals and macroeconomic data to guide the direction. In this case, investors can adopt a high-sell-low-buy operation strategy, buy at the bottom of the range, and short at the top of the range, strictly control positions and stop losses, and avoid large losses due to emotional fluctuations. Pessimistic scenario (10% probability) If the US economic data is strong, indicating stable economic growth, or the geopolitical risks suddenly ease, and the market risk aversion sentiment cools down significantly, the gold price may fall below the key support level of $3,340 and seek support at $2,941. At this time, investors should stop losses in their long orders in time, and even consider shorting at highs, but pay attention to market changes and control risks. Overall, the gold market is full of uncertainty in the next 15 years. When investing in gold, investors must pay close attention to changes in macroeconomic data, central bank policies and geopolitical situations, combine technical analysis, reasonably control positions, set stop losses, and make investment decisions with a profit-taking spirit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
XAUUSD – Is Gold About to Break Out of Balance? Market Overview As the U.S. dollar maintains its upward momentum fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period, gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading near the key Point of Control (POC) for June. The consolidation around the $3,350–$3,360 zone indicates a temporary balance of supply and demand, and the market appears to be gearing up for a strong directional breakout in the upcoming sessions. Detailed Technical Analysis ✅ Volume Profile & Price Structure POC (highest volume level): $3,360 – the central volume area for the week/month Current price: $3,353 – just below the POC, reflecting selling pressure dominance Price is reacting to the demand zone at $3,343–$3,345, with significant volume support below Short-term reversal signals from ParLE and ParSE indicators suggest a potential market shift 🔍 Key Resistance Levels: $3,360 – POC and immediate resistance zone $3,398 – previous supply zone with strong rejection history $3,451 – Fibonacci extension high and the strongest resistance for the month 🔍 Key Support Levels: $3,345 – high-volume support cluster $3,343 – Fibonacci and dynamic support zone $3,276 – final support before mid-term structure breakdown 🎯 XAUUSD Trading Strategy for Today (June 23, 2025) 🔻 Primary Scenario: SHORT based on short-term bearish structure Entry: $3,358–$3,360 (on POC retest + bearish rejection candle) Stop Loss: $3,370 Take Profits: TP1: $3,345 TP2: $3,343 TP3: $3,327 Probability: High, if price remains below POC 🔺 Alternative Scenario: LONG if price holds $3,343 support Entry: $3,343–$3,345 (strong bullish candlestick setup in demand zone) Stop Loss: $3,330 Take Profits: TP1: $3,360 (POC) TP2: $3,383 TP3: $3,398 ⚠️ Risk Warning & Macro Factors to Watch The USD Index is surging – applying downward pressure on gold Fed's short-term rate projections (FedWatch Tool) reflect “no cut” expectations through Q3 Traders should maintain tight risk management within high-volume zones to avoid false breakouts Follow @Henrybillion ” to stay updated with the most accurate and actionable XAUUSD trading ideas every day!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis: The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside. 📌 Key Observations: 📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. 💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles). 🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal. 🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone. 🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones. 📈 Conclusion: If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation. ✅ Trading Plan Suggestion: Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330) TP: 3,453 zone 🎯 🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
Gold Set to Rise If U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate📊 Market Overview: Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation. 📉 Technical Analysis: •Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520. •Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320. •EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts. •Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz. On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: $3,358–3,365 🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450 🛑 SL: $3,344 🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise. 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70) 🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365 🛑 SL: $3,420 🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals