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Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56 EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85 Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term. 📈 Trade Setup: Entry Point: Around 3,162.15 Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA) Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT" 📊 Strategy Outlook: Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss. The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation. ⚠️ Things to Watch: Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level. If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup. Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
8
Gold hits record high again! Intraday gold trading analysisFundamentally, although risk sentiment improved at the beginning of this week, Trump's policy changes caused gold prices to fluctuate and adjust, but due to the lack of obvious and sustained negative prospects and the uncertainty in the market, gold prices continued to be stabilized by safe-haven demand and strengthened upward. In addition, last week's inflation data was lower than market expectations, which strengthened the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. In addition, the monthly chart of the US dollar index has gone out of the 2-year top divergence, suggesting that there is a large and sustained decline in the future market, as well as increased policy uncertainty, which will also provide long-term support for gold prices. Moreover, although the market also expects that tariff policies may push up inflation in the future, US consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in April, and 12-month inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981, but this will also enhance gold's anti-inflation appeal and push up safe-haven demand. It is also good for gold prices. Analysts specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Traders are waiting for the next major fundamental development to drive the gold market, but the technical chart is still bullish. There is still safe-haven demand in the market. Gold is a safe-haven asset in times of political and financial uncertainty. The dollar index was at a nearly three-year low on Tuesday, making gold relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors are waiting for a speech by Fed Chairman Powell scheduled for Wednesday to look for clues related to interest rates. During the day, attention will be paid to data such as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March, the U.S. industrial output monthly rate in March, the U.S. NAHB housing market index in April, and the U.S. commercial inventory monthly rate in February. Although the retail data is expected to be bearish for gold prices, the subsequent overall data is bullish for gold prices. Therefore, the steady trend is still either volatile or continues to rebound and strengthen, and the operation is still biased towards low-multiple bullish. Analysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, the price of gold always fluctuated in the range of 3210 to 3233. At the opening of today, the price of gold broke through the fluctuation range in one fell swoop and showed an accelerated upward trend. So far, it has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3285 line. Gold opened for risk aversion and directly broke through the new high. The short-term adjustment ended and finally completed the adjustment in a fluctuating manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, the decline of gold now is an opportunity to go long. The first thing to pay attention to now is the top and bottom conversion position of the support line 3245 below! For intraday short-term trading, the first thing to pay attention to is the support strength near 3245. This position was the previous high point, and pay attention to its top and bottom conversion effect. Secondly, the support level near 3232 should not be ignored. This is the high point of yesterday's fluctuation range. Today's opening price broke through this position and accelerated upward. The top and bottom conversion support role of this position during the decline is worth paying attention to. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, the bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed a short-term support. Go long on dips when it falls back to 3245. The strength of a wave of gold is still there at that time. So after the surge, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Go long when it falls back to around 3248. It is particularly important to point out that the low point of 3211 during the US trading session yesterday is the key support level for the short-term market trend. Once the price effectively falls below this position, it is necessary to be alert that the market may launch a substantial adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3285-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3245-3240 line of support. Friends must keep up with the pace. ​ Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold when it rebounds around 3280-3290, target around 3255-3250, and look at 3245 if it breaks. Strategy 2: Long gold when it pulls back around 3245-3250, target around 3260-3275, and look at 3290 if it breaks. ​
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Patrick-Daniel
The opportunity to short gold in the European session has arrive 📌 Driving Event On Tuesday, US President Trump launched an investigation into the necessity of tariffs on key minerals, the latest move in the expanding trade war. This trade war has affected key areas of the global economy. 📊Comment Analysis In the morning, gold fell briefly at 3275, and then broke through again. The current market rises or dives all depend on Trump's words, and today is the 34th trading day since gold rose from 2832 on February 28, and the 8th trading day since it rose from 2956 on April 7. It is likely to be a new round of change time window. Therefore, I think the current rise is just the main force pulling up and shipping. The European session is alert to the possibility of a sharp decline again! ! ! In terms of the hourly chart, the current 3293 line will be an obvious pressure. The European session recommends actively shorting here! ! ! 💰Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate at 3290-3300 points, profit target below 3280 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD(GOLD) NEXT MOVE ?**Detailed analysis** of the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart, combining technical insights **with the current geopolitical market backdrop**, particularly the **Trump tariffs escalation**: --- ### 🟡 **XAU/USD (Gold) – Technical & Fundamental Outlook** **Timeframe:** 1-Hour **Current Price:** $3,296 **Target Price:** $3,500 --- ### 📌 **Technical Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout in Play** From a trader’s lens, this chart illustrates a **classic bullish continuation setup**: #### 🔺 **Triangle Breakouts** - The chart highlights two previous **symmetrical triangle patterns**, both of which resolved **to the upside**. - These triangles signal healthy consolidation before **impulsive bullish rallies**, indicating strong **market structure**. #### 📈 **Price Action Strength** - Price recently **broke out** from another mini triangle (~$3,230 zone), confirming bullish momentum. - The breakout is **sharp and directional**, showing strong buyer interest. #### 🧱 **Support & Structure** - Price is respecting an **ascending trendline**, confirming **higher lows** and a consistent **bullish trend**. - Each consolidation phase was tighter, indicating **volatility compression before explosive moves**. #### 🎯 **Target Projection: $3,500** - Based on **measured moves** from previous breakouts and current momentum, $3,500 is a **realistic short-term target**. - Price remains inside a **bullish channel**, and breakout continuation aligns with the upper resistance projection. --- ### 🌍 **Current Market Context: Trump’s Tariff Shock & Safe Haven Demand** Amid strong technicals, the **macroeconomic backdrop adds fuel to gold’s rally**: #### 🔥 **Trump's Tariff Escalation** - Former President **Donald Trump has reactivated aggressive tariff rhetoric**, with reports of a **104% tariff on Chinese imports**, prompting **retaliatory action from China** (an 84% counter-tariff). - This **reignites U.S.-China trade tensions**, increasing **global market uncertainty**. #### 🛡️ **Flight to Safety** - Investors are rapidly **rotating into safe-haven assets**, especially gold, due to: - Trade war concerns - Recession expectations - Dollar instability fears #### 💬 **Market Sentiment** > “In times of uncertainty, gold shines brightest. Trump's economic aggression has global investors hedging risks, and XAU/USD is the first in line to benefit.” --- ### 💼 **Trading Strategy Summary** | Component | Details | |------------------|-------------------------------| | 📈 Bias | Bullish | | 💰 Entry Zone | Breakout above $3,230 | | 🎯 Target | $3,500 | | 🛑 Stop-Loss | Below $3,180 (tight structure)| --- ### ✅ **Conclusion** With **Trump’s trade war** rhetoric back in motion and **technical confirmation of a breakout**, gold is positioned for another **major rally**. A push toward **$3,500** is not just possible — it’s probable, as long as the structure holds. This is a time to **ride the momentum**, not fight it. --
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
Gold has risen strongly again. Can it break through the 3300 resEvent summary: The current gold market presents a triple driving logic: the global central bank's continuous gold purchases constitute long-term support, and the US debt crisis and the risk of US dollar trust form the core upward momentum. Technical aspects show that the gold price rose strongly after breaking through the key resistance of 3275, and the continuity of the bullish trend is clear, approaching the high of 3300 US dollars. Level analysis: Gold continued to break through strongly, with the highest price reaching 3293. After the key resistance of 3275 was effectively broken, there was no retracement, confirming the continuity of the bullish trend. The current gold price has refreshed the historical high, and is only one step away from the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. The technical form shows that the bullish momentum is sufficient, but we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level stagflation. The current upper resistance is 3295-3310, and it can continue to hold after breaking through the resistance line. Operation strategy: Go long at 3285-3290, stop loss at 3280, and look up to 3300-3310. I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter you have made profits or losses in the past, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Gold prices soared again!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly surged in the short term, breaking through the $3,275/ounce mark, with an intraday increase of more than $45. The latest report from Bloomberg News in the United States said that as the Trump administration pushed forward investigations that could expand the trade war, it stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, and the London gold price hit a record high again. As the escalating trade war has raised concerns about the prospect of a global recession, as a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has accumulated a gain of more than 23% in 2025, continuing to set a record. As investors increase their holdings of international gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and central banks continue to increase their holdings of gold, major banks remain optimistic about the outlook for gold in the coming quarters. Investors are waiting for a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, scheduled for Wednesday, to look for clues related to interest rates. It is also necessary to pay attention to the US retail sales data at 20:30 on Wednesday and the specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy. The analyst specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Technical Review: Gold opened sharply higher in the early trading and hit a new record high. It broke through the 3230 mark in the late trading and stabilized. The price continued to break the adjustment range of yesterday and rose in large volume. There was no technical movement during the day. The super-gain appeared in the early trading, and the price continued to hit a new record high. As investors turned to safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty brought by the continued tariff plan of US President Trump, additional tariffs could exacerbate the ongoing trade war and slow global economic growth. As global stock markets bottomed, the pressure on gold finally eased, and the precious metal rose sharply to a record high. The rise was very fierce because everyone rushed into the gold market, hoping to use it as a safe haven against the stagflation caused by the trade war. From a more macro perspective, gold is still in an upward trend because real yields may continue to fall because the threshold for rate hikes remains very high. Potential risks include another sharp sell-off in the stock market or a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the short term, given that gold's buying positions are too concentrated, if the trade war eases, gold prices are likely to experience a deeper correction, so it is necessary to pay close attention to developments in this regard. The current environment still supports the rise of gold, but the road to gold price rise will not be smooth, and there may be a temporary correction in the middle. Today's analysis: Gold directly broke through the new high in the early trading to avoid risks. The short-term adjustment of gold ended and finally completed the adjustment in a volatile manner. This kind of strong buying market of the breakthrough will basically not fall back too much. Since gold has chosen to break upward, since it has broken through, then it is to buy in the trend. The decline of gold is an opportunity to buy.The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then the buying of gold will continue to exert its strength. After gold breaks through 3245, then gold 3245 has formed support in the short term. Buy on dips when gold falls back to 3245. The strength of the wave of gold in the morning was still there at that time, so after the high, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Gold can continue to buy when it falls back to around 3245. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3236, target at 3280-3290; Sell short-term gold at 3293-3295, stop loss at 3304, target at 3250-3240; Key points: First support level: 3253, second support level: 3240, third support level: 3225 First resistance level: 3280, second resistance level: 3300, third resistance level: 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation) Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup Market Context: Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298 A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled 🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry) Entry: 3288 – 3292 SL: 3300 TP1: 3270 TP2: 3250 TP3: 3240–3235 Reasoning: Price swept 3280s liquidity Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m 🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup) Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction) SL: Below 3230 TP1: 3280 TP2: 3292 TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns) Reasoning: Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m Clear signs of previous breakout zone Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
1
Gold reached 3275 and will continue to move towards new highs 📌 Driving Events Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff pointed out: "The gold market is waiting for new catalysts, but the technical side remains strong and the safe-haven demand remains solid." It is worth noting that the US government has recently launched an investigation into the import of drugs and semiconductors in preparation for the imposition of tariffs. Trump has also made it clear that the details of the semiconductor import tariff will be announced this week. 💢 Investors please pay close attention to the following key events: Fed Chairman Powell's speech on Wednesday (interest rate policy orientation) US retail sales data on Wednesday ECB interest rate decision on Thursday (expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points) Specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy 📊Comment analysis In my previous post interpretation, I suggested that the gold price should be sideways, waiting for the price to continue to rise to a new high. Today, Wednesday (April 16), the Asian market broke a new high as expected in the early trading. As of now, the gold price is $3275 Now after two days of adjustment, the gold price has broken through again, and the resistance level of 3255 has also turned into support. The next step is 3280 and 3300. Follow the trend, participate in one direction, and continue to be long today. 💰Strategy Package Long position: Actively participate at 3270-3275 points, profit target above 3295 points Steady participation at 3250-3260 points, profit target above 3280 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary: Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market! Level analysis: The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend? The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term! Trading signal: 3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285. I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary: Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted. These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing: 1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap? 2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply. Level analysis: After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment. Operation strategy: 3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275. I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
How to profit from gold volatility!📌 Driving events Looking ahead to this trading day, whether gold prices can rise further may still depend on Trump's tariff headlines and the upcoming Fed speech, as there is still no top economic data released on the US calendar 📊Comment analysis In fact, the US trading time for gold today is to pay attention to short-term adjustments. Gold now seems to be accustomed to gold bulls for risk aversion. Although gold is supported by risk aversion today, the strength of gold bulls is not very strong. Gold has repeatedly hit highs and fallen back. Gold 3228 continues to be short, and the decline is harvested. The US market rebounds 3225 and continues to be short. Gold falls again and harvests. Gold is still adjusting at a high level. Don't chase the high for the time being. Gold rebounds and rushes high and can still continue to be short. Today, short-term gold bulls have begun to be unable to do their best, so gold bears may start at any time. Gold still has the opportunity to adjust. Gold continues to watch the adjustment market in the short term and pay attention to trading signals in time. Card the price and participate well. Grasp the rhythm of long and short two-way transactions. You will find that this volatility is much more fun than the big volatility. 💰Strategy Package US trading ideas: Short gold at 3230-35, stop loss at 3240, target at 3190-3180; ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
TVC:GOLDShort
by Labaron
2
Gold’s latest strategic ideas, mainly short selling on reboundOn Monday (April 14), gold fluctuated slightly and remained around $3,197. Last Friday (April 11), the price of gold broke through $3,200, reaching a historical high of $3,245.26, with a weekly increase of 6.6%, the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of rise was mainly driven by the escalation of trade frictions, the plunge of the US dollar, the increase in expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The weak US economic data and rising inflation expectations strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold. From a technical perspective, the daily level shows short-term correction pressure. On Monday, a small negative column with a long upper shadow was closed. Pay attention to the support of 3180 below. If it falls below, it may fall further. The 4-hour level shows a high-level oscillation pattern, with the upper resistance at 3235-3240 and the lower support around 3200-3180. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on high-altitude trading: shorting with a light position near 3225-3235 US dollars. If the gold price rebounds to around 3200 and stabilizes, you can try short-term long. Be alert to the intensification of market volatility. Gold recommendation: shorting near 3225-3235 on the rebound, target 3205.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Patrick-Daniel
Gold prices remain strong, trade war panic boosts safe-haven dem 📌 Driving events Atlanta Fed President Bostic's statement further strengthened the bullish logic of gold. He bluntly stated that the current economy has fallen into a state of "great pause" and suggested that the Fed maintain policy stability. This policy uncertainty, coupled with potential inflation risks, makes non-yielding gold show a unique charm. Historical experience shows that gold often outperforms other asset classes in a low interest rate environment and policy uncertainty. The current market expects that the Fed may be forced to cut interest rates when inflation is high, and this special situation has created an ideal upside space for gold. The current gold market is showing a rare perfect resonance between technical and fundamental aspects. Trade war risks, policy uncertainty and inflation expectations together constitute the "golden triangle" of gold's rise. Considering that the potential impact of Trump's tariff policy has not yet been fully released, the Fed's policy path is still uncertain, and gold prices may open up more room for growth after breaking through historical highs. For investors, in the current macro environment, increasing gold holdings may become an important choice to hedge portfolio risks. This risk aversion frenzy caused by the trade war may have just begun. 📊Comment Analysis From a technical perspective, the upward trend of gold prices has been further confirmed after breaking through the key resistance level of $3,200. Market analysts pointed out that as long as the price of gold remains above the support level of $3,180, the upward channel will remain intact. Gold prices are trading sideways waiting for prices to rise and continue to hit new highs 💰Strategy Package Long positions: Actively participate at 3225-3235 points, with a profit target above 3240 points Stop loss at 3210 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
2
Do you think this is the final height of gold? At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price. Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle! Okay, let's talk about the gold market today. On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost. Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars. As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model. Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand! Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Gold sell setup Why We Would Sell (Short) XAUUSD in This Setup: Strong Resistance Zone: Price is approaching a clear resistance level around 3,250, marked by multiple rejections in the past. This zone acted as a ceiling for the bulls — each time price reached this level, it got pushed back down, showing strong selling pressure. Double Top Formation (Potential Reversal Pattern): The price formed a potential double top near 3,250. This pattern often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. Bearish Rejection Wicks: Candlesticks near the resistance show long upper wicks, indicating that buyers are getting weak and sellers are stepping in. Lower High Forming: After the second peak, price failed to make a new high, suggesting buying momentum is weakening. The current price action is forming a lower high, which is a bearish signal. Bearish Price Projection (Arrow Path): The blue arrow suggests a retest of the resistance zone followed by a strong drop down to the support zone at 3,187. This offers a good risk-to-reward ratio for a short trade setup. Trade Parameters: Stop Loss above resistance (around 3,250). Take Profit around 3,187 (previous support). This setup offers a clear invalidation point if the price breaks above resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mathumboFX
3
Is the gold price rally over?Market news: In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations. Technical Review: Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184! Today's analysis: From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of ​​selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240; Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210; Key points: First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192 First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold, adjustment is a buying opportunity 📌 Driving events At the critical moment of the tariff war, there were signs of easing, but the market did not buy it when it came to the gold market. The US policy changed faster than turning a book, which made the market overwhelmed. Therefore, even if the latest US statement was somewhat easing, gold did not fall as a result. The current market is an extreme casino, which depends entirely on whether the correct trading signals and entry timing are grasped in time. After the tariff war, major investment banks have recently raised their expectations for gold prices this year. Goldman Sachs' latest forecast is that the gold price may rise to $3,700 this year. In extreme cases, the gold price may hit $4,200. This forecast seems unreliable, but it is actually very mysterious. Goldman Sachs' forecasts cannot be all accurate, nor can they be all inaccurate. What does this extreme situation refer to? Obviously, there are only two points, the first is the economy, and the second is the war. Apart from these two points, there is no more significant news that can push the gold price to $4,200. So, is it possible for the current fundamentals to have the situation predicted by Goldman Sachs? Obviously, there is. The global trade war initiated by Trump will cause all economic turmoil, and the economy will enter an accelerated recession. In addition, the United States attempts to take down Iran in order to control the Middle East and raise oil prices. If a war breaks out in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, the lifeline of oil in the entire Middle East, will be blocked, and oil may rise to a rare height. This is the purpose of the United States. Once the above two situations occur at the same time, it is not surprising that the price of gold rises to $4,200. Therefore, instead of predicting how much the price of gold will rise, it is better to pay attention to the real-time dynamics of the United States' tariff war and layout in the Middle East. With 36 trillion U.S. debts hanging over his head, Trump is like a child who is desperate to lose, betting on the credit of the United States. Of course, the United States has the possibility of winning the bet. The tariff war is naturally impossible for the United States to win, but the United States will not lose. In the layout of the Middle East, the United States still has the probability of winning. Although Iran is the strongest combat force in the Middle East, the United States has been deeply involved in the Middle East for many years and has also won almost all the expected goals, and is experienced. The world is calling Trump a madman, a psychopath, and a fool. In my opinion, Trump is not crazy, but may be a king. 📊Commentary Analysis and 💰Strategy I have said that any pullback in gold is an opportunity to get on board. Buy more when the pullback is big and buy less when the pullback is small. Although it is at a high level and the risk is extremely high, it is all assumptions. The fact is that gold has always been strong. The only thing to remember is that once you are afraid of heights, don't go short. You can be timid and watch the war, but you can't go against the trend. After the tariff war eased, gold did not fall. After a slight adjustment yesterday, it did not continue the decline. It is now strong again and stands above 3230. It rose sharply due to the tariff war, but it did not fall sharply due to the easing of tariffs. There must be a reason. In terms of technical trends, gold 3190 area forms a new support platform, and the 4-hour level forms a high-level shock pattern. This high-level shock pattern is still bullish. Once it breaks through, it will start a new wave of upward trend. At present, the trend is good and the bullish trend remains unchanged. The market fluctuates rapidly. We have already entered long orders near 3210 in the morning. Any intraday retracement support level is a long opportunity. We should grasp it flexibly. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold is finishing at a high level to resist the fall! The bullis 📌 Driving events U.S. President Trump said on Monday that he was exploring the possibility of temporarily exempting tariffs on imported cars and parts to give auto companies more time to establish production bases in the United States. New York Fed: The unemployment rate is expected to rise to the highest level since April 2020 in March. In March, households were more pessimistic about employment and future income. The expected inflation rate for the next five years is 2.9%, down from 3% in February. Geopolitical situation: It was learned on the 14th local time that Israeli officials said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) still have great differences on the ceasefire in Gaza. The official said that compared with the previous negotiating position, Hamas seems willing to release more Israeli detainees, but if Hamas insists on requiring all parties to guarantee that Israel must stop waging war in the Gaza Strip after the ceasefire, it will still be difficult to promote an agreement. The official expects Hamas to respond to the new ceasefire proposal in the next few days. 📊Comment Analysis The hourly level shows that the short-term gold price has fallen from a high level and gradually fell into a narrow range above the hourly 60-day moving average support level. The current hourly level indicators are narrowing, maintaining a short-term shock guide reference. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average at the four-hour level are arranged in a downward cross, maintaining the four-hour level peak signal. The short-term decline gradually brings about the four-hour RSI mean reversion, forming a four-hour level adjustment trend. The gold price has risen and fallen to maintain a shock downward trend, which has not changed the medium- and long-term upward trend. Be cautious to maintain a bullish shock trading strategy during the day. 💰Strategy package Long order: Aggressive participation at 3185-3195, profit target above 3210 Steady participation at 3175-3185, profit target above 3195 Short order: Aggressive participation at 3250, profit target below 3230 ⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital - Choose the number of lots that matches your capital - Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs). Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025. Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets