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XAU/USD 15 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone, thanks for stopping by. I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst. I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models. My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London. Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor. If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections. Let’s keep growing and learning! Amin. H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback. Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025 🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3 Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed. This is a textbook trap environment. Expect: – Fakeouts before confirmation – Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium – Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles No guessing. No chasing. Structure only. 📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs. 4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs. 1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet. Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise. 📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP 🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only): – 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed – 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area – 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown 🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections): – 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap – 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone – 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike 🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion. 🔒 FINAL NOTE Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias. Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one. “Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯 Patience is your profit today. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day. Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices. There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market. 1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data. 2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.) Trading analysis: Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060. On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200. Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark. Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127. Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305 Support : $3,213 , $3,127
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold heads towards 3100 price zone, long or short? 📌 Driving Events Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second straight session on Thursday, the third decline in the past four days, and fell to a more than one-month low below $3,150 during the Asian trading session. The continued downward pressure is largely due to renewed optimism after signs of a substantial de-escalation in the Sino-US trade dispute, a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession fears in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift supported the continued rise in US Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for the non-interest-bearing gold. 📊Comment Analysis Downtrend, bears continue to exert downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price area ⭐️Set Gold Price: 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3178-3188 SL 3191 TP1: $3180 TP2: $3170 TP3: $3160 🔥Buy Gold Area: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094 TP1: $3110 TP2: $3120 TP3: $3130 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold price plunges suddenly. Technical analysis.Information summary: During the Asian session, gold prices suddenly plunged, and the price of gold has now hit a low of $3,148, down more than $44 from the intraday high of $3,192.78 hit earlier. Gold prices continued to fall after breaking the $3,200 support I predicted earlier, and gold prices fell to a one-month low, continuing the recent decline. The sharp reduction in tariffs between the United States and China has brought relief to global markets and led to a rebound, which has caused gold to correct and break through multiple technical levels. Technical analysis: In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the outlook for gold is bearish. Gold prices are trading below all of their moving averages, and the 20-period SMA has fallen below the 200-period SMA, which is located at $3,232, which will constitute an important resistance if the gold price trend recovers. Finally, technical indicators lack directional strength, but remain at negative levels, reflecting a lack of buying interest. I think traders need to pay attention to the latest important support and upward resistance levels: Support: $3140. Resistance: $3100; $3215; $3232.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Short selling on the rebound is determined to winAfter gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again in the evening. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3150-3140. Gold continues to cross downward shorts in 1 hour. The short strength is still there. The rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term. Then such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 3202-3205 is on the upper side. Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold near 3195-3205, target near 3180-3170. Strategy 2: Long gold near 3160-3150, target near 3170-3190.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔 1. Newswise 📰 Tariffwar: Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions. Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates: President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉 The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐 In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️ War in Ukraine remains tense: Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨 Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥 India–Pakistan Conflict: Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍 2. Technicalwise 📊 1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern 15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫 Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes: - 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️ - 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️ - 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️ - 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️ - 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️ - 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️ Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐 5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”) → These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️ 1d (55 – “Up”) → On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈 Overall Meaning 🧠 This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄 Possible Strategy Consideration 💡 If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊 My Bias 🤔 Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉 If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
1
Gold rebounds weakly, US market ideas for reference! 📌 Driving factors As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling! 📊Commentary Analysis After gold fell below 3200 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened, and it is difficult to get up again in the early morning. Weak shorts can't even get past 3198, and the short-term support below is around 3160. The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3200 is the long defensive position. If it fails to close, there will be a fall. The technical side has already experienced a major break. Pay attention to the change of thinking. If the adjustment range is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises fast and falls fast, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to lay out more positions, but the position needs to follow the market observation, which is difficult to predict at present. 💰Strategy Package In the short term, we will rely on 3198 for defensive short selling. After breaking 3200, please note that even if it rebounds, we should follow the trend and short. If it rebounds upward, we should short at the golden section resistance of 3265. Good luck to everyone! Labaron believes that Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold fell. How is the market?Gold fell sharply at the opening today, and the lowest point hit $3175. From the weekly line, this has already touched the weekly MA10 moving average position. Quaid believes that traders should not blindly carry out short strategies. If there is a price rebound, the rise will be very fast, and the market may not give you a chance to stop loss. From the 4H chart, we can see that gold has started a downward trend from last Friday's high of $3345. $3345-3307 is wave a. $3307-3360 is wave B. Currently, it is wave C from around $3360. However, this wave C has not ended yet. If we look at it by standard, it will be considered the end of this trend only when it goes down to around $3120. However, around $3175 is a support position. So now before it falls below $3175, gold may maintain a shock adjustment of $3200-3175. I think you need to pay attention to the short-term resistance level of $3200-3250. If it cannot be as strong as breaking, then we can still carry out a short strategy below 3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold falls below 3200, continues to look at 3100 📌 Driving factors As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling! 📊Commentary Analysis The price trend of gold on Tuesday showed a significant repeated shock feature. Although it ended up rising, it experienced two tortuous processes of first falling and then rising in the process, which led to a relatively limited overall increase. After the previous day's correction, the current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average formed a dead cross and continued to extend downward. From the perspective of intraday trading, the resistance level formed by these two moving averages has become the focus of market attention. In the morning article, I repeatedly emphasized that gold is expected to break below 3200. Sure enough, it broke below without hesitation today. It is currently at 3185. The short position of gold near 3250 that we gave yesterday has expanded its profit again today, and it is easy to make a profit of nearly 100 points. Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200. 💰Strategy Package Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200, with the target near 3170-3180. Labaron believes Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a staged medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only proof that it can finally stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Short-Term Outlook: Gold Slumps After Breaking Key Support📉 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD - Gold (XAU/USD) is under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key support level at $3,200, marking a significant shift in short-term momentum. - The $3,176 zone, which marks the April 11 low, now serves as a crucial technical support. A clear break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop toward the next key support around $3,140. If the $3,176 level fails to hold and bearish momentum continues, the market is likely to push lower toward the $3,140 support zone. 📰 Fundamental Drivers Behind the Decline No major news has been released today, but the market continues to be weighed down by: - Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which remain unresolved. - U.S. CPI data for April came in weaker than expected, causing investors to adjust interest rate expectations and favoring short-term downside for gold. 🔮 Short-Term Technical Scenario After breaching the $3,200 support level, gold is expected to consolidate briefly in the $3,176–$3,190 range before potentially resuming its downtrend. 💡 Short-Term XAU/USD Trade Setups 🔻 SELL Entry Zone: 3193 – 3190 Take Profit: 3188 – 3185 Stop Loss: 3198 🔺 BUY Entry Zone: 3179 – 3176 Take Profit: 3184 – 3181 Stop Loss: 3171 📌 Note: In the current market environment, short-term strategies are preferred. Apply strict risk management as volatility may increase due to geopolitical headlines or technical retracements. Closely monitor price action around $3,176 — a confirmed break below this level could accelerate the move toward $3,140.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold's consolidation is over and bears will break 3200!Gold market analysis: Short-term gold has entered a repair period. The previous tariff negotiations led to a sharp drop in gold. It has now fallen to around 3200 and is stuck. The shape and indicators show that 3200 is a super support. This position is greatly beneficial for selling on the weekly and daily lines. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the overall trend is still empty, the short-term repair range is 3265-3220. If you want to grasp the trend trading, sell at a high price and arrange the selling order. Lao Gu believes that the possibility of continuing to fall after the shock is over is greater, and it will break 3200 later. The daily moving average indicator is also broken. The gold fluctuation rhythm is very large, that is, a technical rebound and repair are basically dozens of points. It is most important for us to grasp the rhythm in operation. Today's idea can rely on the upper edge pressure of the shock to sell. If the Asian session rebounds around 3256 first, consider selling it first. There are opportunities for buying and selling in the volatile market. What we need is patience and waiting. In addition, the daily moving average begins to rush down, and selling begins to move. If it breaks 3200, we will consider selling. We must learn to follow the recent market. We rarely follow it before, because the recent gold will not turn back when it falls or rises, and the speed of buying and selling is also very fast. It is very important to control the rhythm. Support 3220, 3207, strong support 3200, pressure 3244, 3256, 3265, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3230. Operation suggestion Gold-----short around 3256, target 3150-3200
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Toml1314
Gold starts a downward trend? Latest strategy.News focus: Today, Fed official Waller will give a speech; Tomorrow, the number of initial jobless claims, producer price index (PPI) and retail sales data will be released; On Friday, the market will usher in the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index report. Technical analysis: Gold fell rapidly in the Asian market, then rebounded slightly, and has been in a sideways trend. I think the recent volatility is more obvious, and there is still uncertainty whether the direction will be quickly completed. There are large differences in the current price of the short strategy, and it is impossible to make a decisive breakthrough in the short term. Operation strategy: Still adhere to the expectation of short-term decline, the rebound will not hinder the final decline expectation, and the strategy of shorting at high points will be maintained in the short term. You need to pay attention to the key support level of $3160. If the downward trend opens this position, the gold price may test the low position of 3100.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold has now fallen by 3200, and the next support level is 3160 📌 Driving factors As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession have eased, investor risk appetite has increased, and the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset has declined, and gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large number of sell-offs! Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected US inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold began to fall in the early trading of the US market and is about to fall to our expected point. The support below is 3160! 💰Strategy Package 🔥Selling Gold Area: 3245-3240 SL 3250 TP1: $3230 TP2: $3210 TP3: $3190 🔥Buying Gold Area: $3167-$3165 SL $3160 TP1: $3178 TP2: $3189 TP3: $3200! Labaron believes Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zones Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement 🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight): Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish. Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance. EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce. Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone. 📌 Key H4 Zones Zone / Level Description 3380–3395 🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level) 3340–3345 🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area 3314–3318 🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone 3284–3292 ✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold 3250–3265 🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demand These levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation. 🔁 Potential Flow on Monday: Bullish scenario: If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380. Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence. Bearish scenario: If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow. ⚠️ Confluence Check: EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum building Liquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supported FVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flow CHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now 🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12): Type Zone Reaction Potential Resistance 3380–3395 Strong rejection possible 3340–3345 May slow price if volume weak Support 3284–3292 Critical bullish structure zone 3250–3265 Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand) 💬 Final Word to the Community: Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip. 🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure. Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
Focus on 3200 for some support during the day🗞News side: 1. Sino-US tariffs have been eased 2. U.S. trade progress and focus on geopolitical risks 📈Technical aspects: Yesterday we gave a long trading strategy and have been waiting to see whether the gold price can touch our target point of 3270. However, gold did not fluctuate much after the opening of the Asian market, so I chose to manually close the position near 3256. To be honest, the market did not fluctuate much today whether it was up or down, and it is still consolidating within our box range of 3220-3265. Although gold is generally weak, it has a higher probability of strengthening during the day, and the early gap may be ready for market recovery. At present, the gold price has tested the 3240 line many times. If it cannot stand above 3240, it may test the strong support of 3200 again. If there is no breakthrough below the strong 3200 support, the market may repeat If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Start buying gold and wait for a rebound.At the 4-hour level, the overall market judgment remains unchanged. In terms of the lower support level, 3208-3207 is the key support area. This position is not only the low point on Monday, but also an important support level formed by the previous starting point line extending to the present. As for the upper resistance level, first of all, we need to focus on yesterday's high point of 3265, which is also the previous shock low point. Secondly, the 3290-3293 area formed by the rebound after the gap-down opening on Monday is also a resistance range that cannot be ignored. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance line of 3260-3270 above, and pay attention to the support line of 3220-3210 below in the short term. Further support focuses on the 3200 mark. Gold operation strategy: 3220-3210 long, target 3230-3250; gold rebounds to 3260-3265 short, target 3240-3220.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Building Bullish Momentum – Eyes on 3265 Breakout Chart Analysis: This chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) forming a strong support around the 3207 level, while repeatedly testing resistance near 3265. Price action indicates consolidation within a clear range. The blue zigzag projection suggests a potential higher low formation, followed by a bullish breakout if price breaks above the 3265 resistance level. The large upward arrow implies strong upside momentum could follow once that breakout occurs, possibly leading to a sharp rally. - Gold is trading within a well-defined range. A higher low formation may lead to a breakout above the 3265 resistance zone. If that level is cleared with momentum, we could see a strong bullish continuation. Watching closely for confirmation of this.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
[XAU/USD Analysis – 1H Timeframe] - as expectedAs predicted in the previous post, gold (XAU/USD) reacted precisely at the 3243 resistance zone — a strong supply area where our short-term SELL setup was triggered. Price then reversed and moved downward as expected. At the moment, the trade plan remains unchanged. You can refer to the detailed setup in my previous post on my personal page. Here's the updated short-term strategy 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD 📍 Entry Zone: 3240 – 3243 💰 Take Profit: 3235 – 3238 🚨 Stop Loss: 3245 BUY XAU/USD 📍 Entry Zone: 3219 – 3222 💰 Take Profit: 3224 – 3227 🚨 Stop Loss: 3214 The market is currently trading within a narrow range, so the short-term strategy is to “buy low – sell high” within this zone, with tight risk management. A clear breakout beyond 3245 or 3214 may require a reassessment of the trading strategy based on momentum and volume. ⏳ Note: This is a short-term analysis based on the 1H timeframe and is not intended for overnight holding unless supported by a clear setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold continues to trade sideways above the 3200 area 📌 Driving factors The United States and China announced on Monday a 90-day suspension of tariff increases. According to statements made after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China will reduce tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10%. Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level face-to-face talks since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come as the international community is increasingly pressuring Moscow to accept a 30-day ceasefire. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoys Steve Witkov and Keith Kellogg are expected to represent the United States in the talks. Gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, driven by bargain hunting, while weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limited the strength of gold's rebound. 📊Comment Analysis In the accumulation price zone, the gold price is sideways around 3200-3270, and the buyers and sellers are balanced 💰Strategy Package 🔥Selling gold area: 3282-3284 SL 3289 TP1: $3270 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3250 🔥Buying gold area: $3167-$3165 SL $3160 TP1: $3178 TP2: $3189 TP3: $3200! Labaron believes Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof that can finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
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