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Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review: The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing. The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline. Market outlook for next week: The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310. If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
2
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
OShort
by TP_Daniel
3
Gold is obviously suppressed, so we must go short!Yesterday, gold continued to fluctuate and fall under pressure at the 3360 mark. The US market further accelerated downward to break through the 3300 integer mark and reached a weak closing near 3295. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed fall and broke the bottom of the middle shadow. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate and fall in a weak rhythm. After reaching the lowest level of 3295, it rebounded and closed at 3323. Today, it opened at 3324. As of now, it has reached the highest level of 3337. At present, we are focusing on the suppression of 3340-3348. If the rebound is under pressure, we can still intervene in short orders. The recent market trends are basically the same - bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of operation, continue to keep shorting under pressure and long positions after bottoming out and rebounding. From the current market trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3338-3342 area. If it rebounds to this range and is under pressure, you can consider choosing an opportunity to arrange short orders. The lower support focuses on the 3315-3305 line. If it falls back and stabilizes, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. The overall situation is still in a range-bound structure. It is recommended to focus on key points, buy high and sell low, follow the trend, and strictly control risks. For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the 🌐 notification at the bottom.
OShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify. Uptrend Breaks: Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead. Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart. MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias. Key Levels to Watch: $3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term. $3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook. $3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
F
by FOREXcom
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom. Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
OShort
by TP_Daniel
6.27 Gold rebounds and adjusts, don't chase shorts at low levelsGold fell below this week's low of 3295 today. As of now, gold has hit 3285 and is fluctuating. Don't chase the short position and short it when it rebounds. Now you can only wait patiently for the rebound before entering the short position. Be a steady hunter and wait patiently for the appearance of prey! Gold is now focusing on the short-term suppression of the upper 3301-3306 line, focusing on the suppression of the upper 3314-16 line, and the support below is 3276-80. Short it when it rebounds. Strategy ideas: 1. Gold rebounds to 3301-3306 line and shorts lightly, rebounds to 3314-16 line to cover short position, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85 line;
TShort
by AIan_Gold
1
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong. From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range. Operation strategy: Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360. At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time. This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
F
by Quaid_1
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity. We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later. From the 1-hour chart the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310. From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend. Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises. Operation suggestions: Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310. Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
F
by Quaid_1
XAU/USD 27 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
O
by Khan_YIK
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short 📣Gold News Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. " On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period. Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary. 📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above 📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below 💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320 💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290 If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
OShort
by labaronAA
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding. In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart. Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
FShort
by Quaid_1
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low ! Fundamentals: 1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible; This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future; At present, in the overall market: 1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward; 2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations; Today's technical trend chart: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347; Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
TShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary: On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices. Market analysis: From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs. Operation strategy: Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.
F
by Quaid_1
6.26 Gold intraday analysis and forecast—During the European session on Thursday (June 26), spot gold prices fluctuated significantly during the day, first falling and then rebounding, and are currently around 3337.60, fluctuating in a wide range. The rebound from Tuesday's low of $3295 has risen above the previous support of $3340 (June 20 low), confirming a deeper bullish correction. The currency pair may be in the C-D leg of a small Gartley pattern, moving towards the downward trend line resistance since the mid-June high (previously $3450, currently $3365). A break above this level will mark a trend reversal and shift the focus to the $3400 line, which suppressed bulls on June 17, 18 and 22. On the downside, if the above trend line is blocked, it may first seek support at the intraday low of $3330 before looking at the previously mentioned $3295 (June 9 and 24 lows).
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Can we still go long if the decline of gold intensifies? 📊Comment Analysis Looking back at today's trend, it rose to a high of 3350, and then continued to retreat. The current low is 3310. At present, due to the upward trend line broken by the hourly line, many orders can only be short. The trend is still biased to the short side, and the current market risk aversion does not facilitate the longs. But first of all, one thing can be confirmed that this round of gold decline lasted for a long time, which also enhanced the execution of gold to go long near 3310-3320 in the future. Since gold has fluctuated greatly in the past two days, it means that the end point of emotions will not disappear so easily for the time being. In the short-term K-line pattern, continuous short-side artillery should not be constantly changed and increased. It is necessary to stop and see appropriately. The early trading is relatively difficult to grasp, but at least the current market has given some signals, so I hope that when the market is in place, your execution will be strong enough, and then you can look at gold according to the trading signals I gave. The rehearsal is definitely exciting enough, but the actual operation is not that simple! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Pay attention to the low-long opportunities of 3310-3220 in the US market, and defend at the 3300 line. If the retracement continues, go long directly. Otherwise, the upper resistance will be around 3345! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OLong
by labaronAA
Gold volatility intensifies. Waiting for direction?The price of gold fluctuated greatly this week, which means that the end point of sentiment will not disappear so easily for the time being; in the short-term K-line pattern, there are continuous ups and downs. If you want to trade steadily, you can wait and see for a while. From the hourly chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages cross downward, and the RS indicator hovers around 40.7. This shows that the market trend is weak. The current price has bottomed out near 3310 and rebounded to fluctuate around 3320. The price may continue to decline after a slight rebound. Today, focus on the long opportunities near 3305 and the pressure position above 3345. Quaid has always believed that only by insisting on detailed analysis of the market and reducing losses, can we slowly accumulate the principal of the account. Good luck to everyone.
F
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD Outlook: Watching FVG Reaction for Bearish EntryThe previous day’s up-close candle didn’t reflect strong bullish conviction. Although price opened higher than the previous candle’s close, it closed only slightly above — completing the three-candle formation required to establish a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As expected, buy-side liquidity above the previous day’s high has been raided. Price is now pushing towards the consequent encroachment of the FVG. How the market reacts at this level will be key in determining the next directional move. While I maintain a bearish bias, I expect the market to trade higher into a bearish order block, providing a potential opportunity to enter short. If price does not react from the current FVG, it could continue higher to sweep liquidity resting above the swing high at 2357.82, which sits just below another unfilled FVG. Entry Strategy I will look to enter short only after a clear displacement, signalling a change in state of delivery, either: Off the reaction from the current FVG, or From a deeper liquidity zone If no such confirmation presents itself, I will remain on the sidelines and wait for a more favourable setup. Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or insightful, please drop a like 👍 and leave a comment — I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Follow me for more daily price action insights and trading strategies on XAUUSD and other key markets. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
CShort
by AbdulMujibOnimisi
6.26 Gold intraday operation strategy, rebound 42-48 line shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3342-48. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3314-3316 integers. The upper pressure is around 3342-48. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. The short-term long-short watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short the gold rebound at 3345-48, stop loss at 3356, target 3317-3325, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Price ActionHello Traders, There’s a potential Buy/Sell opportunity here based on the current price action. I’ve marked trendlines on two different timeframes, which highlight key Support and Resistance levels. I've shared more detailed analysis on my channel, so feel free to check that out for deeper insights. When the price reacts (rejects) from these support or resistance zones, we can look to confirm our entry by analyzing volume—this helps us avoid false signals. For trade management, consider using a Risk-Reward ratio between 1:2 and 1:5, depending on your personal trading style. Most importantly, avoid trading blindly—always wait for confirmation. Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Thank you!
P
by SuvashishFx
Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations 📌 Gold news During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold. 📊Comment analysis Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star. Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it. Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it. If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish 💰Gold operation strategy If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345. Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330. I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OLong
by labaronAA
1
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning. This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders. 4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure Market Structure Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure. Smart Money Insights BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength. CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish. Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken. Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next. FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone. Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level. Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value. Key Zones Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence. Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target. Bias Summary As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher. 1H View – Precision Entries Structure Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern. Smart Money Zones (1H) FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone. Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias. Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation. Trade Setups Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry Entry: $3308–$3315 Stop: Below $3295 TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full) Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support. Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry Entry: $3316–$3320 Stop: $3300 TP: $3340–$3350 Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid. Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction) Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed) Target: $3295 Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish. Final Notes The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown. Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
O
by Tami512
1
Gold continues to fluctuate. Waiting for a trend?Today, gold has been suppressed below the high of 3345, and the hourly line tends to be weak. Looking at the number of Yin and Yang lines on the hourly line during the fluctuation, we can see that the typical Yin line is continuous and the Yang line is few, plus the weak suppression of the previous day, from the rhythm point of view, it is a weak signal. From the hourly chart, around 3312, this is the 0.618 position of the retracement of the 3295-3337 fluctuation range. The decline is slow during the day, and the 0.618 position has become a support rebound. And the current trend, like the previous day, may continue to rebound and then fall. At the same time, there was no cyclical decline in the early Asian session. Instead, it fluctuated sideways, bottomed out and rebounded, and then continued to return to the high of the previous day. Judging from the current market situation, the Asian market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning, reaching a high of around 3343, and then began to fall back, and is currently fluctuating around 3335. The trend of the European session is very critical, and the focus is on the watershed below 3328. If this position falls below, the price will most likely continue to fall. Operation strategy: Short around 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3310.
FShort
by Quaid_1
6.26 Gold intraday analysis guideOn Wednesday (June 25), international spot gold rose slightly during the US trading session, but was still suppressed by the 20-day moving average (US$3,355). The RSI (14) was at 48.7, in the neutral range of 40-60, suggesting that the market lacks a clear direction. US$3,355 (20-day moving average) has become the recent watershed between long and short positions. If it breaks through this level, it may test the psychological barrier of US$3,400. The support below is US$3,245 (the low point on May 29). If it fails, it may drop to the integer level of 3,200 and US$3,121 (the low point on May 15). Stability of the geopolitical situation: If the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East continues, the outflow of safe-haven funds may further suppress the gold price. Fed policy expectations: If the July non-agricultural and CPI data show that inflation is cooling down, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts and boost gold. The current gold market is in a "wait-and-see mode", and both long and short sides lack decisive momentum. Traders need to pay close attention to: US economic data: especially employment and inflation indicators for the Fed's policy path. Geopolitical dynamics: Any breakdown of the ceasefire agreement could quickly push up safe-haven demand. Dollar trend: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, a stronger dollar may further suppress gold prices. Gold is expected to maintain range fluctuations in the short term, with the $3,355 moving average resistance and $3,245 support forming a key trading range. The direction of the breakthrough depends on new fundamental catalysts. Personal operation analysis: Trend: Oscillating trend Support: Near 3,300.00 Resistance: Near 3,335.50 Strategy: View logic: Short view near 3,335-3,340, stop loss 3,345, take profit near 3,300--3,280, and follow the stop loss 300 points.
TShort
by AIan_Gold
4