Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!!!On Wednesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3327.91 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3266.79, closing at 3288.16. In view of the fact that gold fell under pressure during the early trading on Wednesday and broke through the four-hour and daily support as expected, and then the US market rebounded again and came under pressure, and finally ended in a big negative state at the daily level. The price has fallen below the daily support, so we need to pay attention to the continuation of the band decline in the future.
From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months in the early stage and then a single-month correction appeared. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction appeared. Therefore, according to the rhythm, four consecutive positives have appeared. For May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. From the perspective of the medium-term, we can continue to maintain a bullish view, and the price drop is only a correction in the medium-term rise. From the daily level, the current price resistance is in the 3007 area, which is the key watershed of the band trend. If the price is below this position, the subsequent band will be treated as short. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price resistance, it is around 3290, so the subsequent price will be treated as short under the four-hour resistance. In general, the price can be treated as short under the four-hour resistance and the daily resistance.
Goldpriceaction
The gold correction continues!On the news:
Gold prices fell for a third day in a row as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing dampened demand for safe-haven assets. News that the Trump administration is about to announce the first batch of agreements, which will reduce planned tariffs on some countries, also eased concerns about the outlook for global trade.
Technical aspects:
After the current gold market broke down, it started to fall from around 3270, which is also the key position for us to continue to bet on the market falling. At present, the short position of gold is more advantageous. Then in the short term, gold will focus on the support near 3233. If it falls below, then gold will reach the 3200 mark.
Gold 3213 and 3272 are space switching points
📌 Gold information
The US non-farm payrolls report released this Friday (May 3) will become a market vane. If the employment data deteriorates significantly (such as the sharp drop in private employment growth shown by ADP), it may strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold; on the contrary, if the data is stable, the US dollar may further suppress the price of gold.
The intraday decline in gold prices seems to be partly driven by technical selling pressure, after gold prices decisively fell below the key support level of $3,265-3,260. However, due to the unexpected contraction of US GDP and the intensification of signs of slowing inflation, the market's expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased, and the US dollar (USD) has found it difficult to maintain any significant rebound.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price rose strongly by $544 in April. It entered the mode of space sweeping and adjustment from the confirmation of 3500. The next move is to sweep the range of the large range, starting at at least $40, and the range is $100, sweeping back and forth
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell gold area: 3270-3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥Buy gold area: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAU/USD 01 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold opens up callback space as expectedGold finally broke through the rhythm of continuous fluctuations in the morning and ushered in a relatively large correction.
After the cyclical retracement in the morning, a bottom-breaking market was formed. Generally, for a direct decline in the Asian session, we will put the watershed at the opening price, which is the current high point of 3290! But it is not very meaningful to look at this position now. According to the recent rhythm of Asian session decline, weak European session, and rebound in the US session. We can look at the second decline in the European session rebound.
But we should be more cautious in the US session. Especially in the second half of the US session,
Intraday short-term pressure: 3266-70 top and bottom conversion position below: hourly double bottom around 3211-3195 "Observe whether there is a key area for the signal of stopping the decline"
Gold is forming a head and shoulders pattern!Analysis and interpretation:
Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2025. The daily chart shows that gold prices have climbed from around $2,600 to around the $3,500 mark. Recently, gold prices have formed a consolidation trend in the range of $3,260 to $3,380, indicating that the bulls and bears are fighting fiercely here. It can be seen from the K-line chart that gold prices fell back after hitting a record high of $3,499.83 in April, but then gained support and rebounded at $3,260.
The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the upper track is at $3,465.75, the middle track is at $3,191.92, and the lower track is $2,918.08. The current price is running between the upper and middle tracks, indicating that the medium-term upward trend is still maintained. Although the gold price may fluctuate in the range of $3,260 to $3,380 in the short term, the overall upward trend has not changed.
The MACD indicator shows that DIFF is 81.35, DEA is 84.74, and the MACD value is -6.80. The histogram shows a shrinking state, indicating that the upward momentum has weakened, but no obvious short signal has been formed. The RSI indicator is around 58.81, which is in the neutral to strong area, and has not reached the overbought or oversold level, and there is still room for growth.
Gold falls as expected, awaiting guidance from ADPGold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour. Now, the gold fluctuation is most likely a relay of decline. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. The gold 1-hour moving average gradually begins to stick together, but it is still diverging downward. If it continues to cross downward to form a dead cross, then there is still room for gold shorts to fall. Gold hit a high twice and was suppressed by the 3330 line. Today, gold continued to be short at highs under the pressure of 3330.
Gold bulls continue to rebound every time. Now gold bulls obviously have no confidence in further rise, so gold shorts take the opportunity to exert their strength. Gold is still the home of shorts, and gold rebounds and continues to be short.
US trading operation ideas:
Gold 3320 short, stop loss 3330, target 3300-3290;
Gold maintains a volatile range, pay attention to subsequent breOn Tuesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3348.45 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3299.49, closing at 3316.95. On Tuesday, gold was under pressure during the early trading session, and then the price continued to fluctuate during the European and US trading sessions. Overall, the price is still running within the fluctuation range, but once the daily support is broken, it is expected to break the lower edge of the range.
From the multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months before and then a single-month correction occurred. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction occurred. Therefore, according to the rhythm, April is generally bullish, but for May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. So from the perspective of the mid-line, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. From the daily level, the current price is supported by the 3004 area support. This position is the key watershed of the band trend. The market will further break down in the future, so it will be focused on in the future. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price, it has been fluctuating up and down at the four-hour key position recently. Pay attention to the resistance of 3387 and 3370 on the top, and the 3260 area on the bottom. Before the data, the market as a whole tends to fluctuate temporarily. After breaking through the daily support, pay attention to the performance of breaking down the lower edge of the range.
Shorting opportunities are coming near 3330 in the US market!
📌 Driving events
Because the easing of US-China trade tensions has weakened gold's safe-haven appeal, while investors are waiting for US economic data to assess the Fed's policy direction. Gold has been in a range recently as the market now waits for details of the first trade agreement, which is expected to be announced this week or next week.
📊Comment analysis
Gold reached a turning point last week, with Trump making some very positive comments, while stagflation risks continued to be excluded, and gold continued to fall. Stagflation pricing has driven gold prices higher, and as the market begins to exclude this risk, it is normal for a correction to occur, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate around 3330 points, profit target around 3300 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold's shock trend and interpretation of US market thinkingGold continues to fluctuate, we continue to look down in the European session, try long orders near 82;
2025-4-29 Tuesday Gold Asia-Europe long and short strategies
The market is always changing, the only constant is the existence of risks.
Keeping the principal is always the first principle.
◆Short order◆
Aggressive: short near 3356, stop loss 7 points, short at 62-68 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 77. Target: 3286-69-54-42, continue to reduce holdings after breaking
◆Long order◆
Aggressive: long at 82, stop loss 7 points, long at 75-70 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 62. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings after breaking;
Steady: 66 long, stop loss 7 points, 58-52 long after breaking,
Stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or a unified stop loss of 42. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings if the position breaks;
【Today's long orders must be promptly protected after profit, and the next position will be entered after the principal is protected】
Stop loss is determined according to your actual tolerance. Protect in time after profit, and enter the next position after protection】
★ Pattern analysis and attention:
Daily strategy ideas: Asia and Europe, our current price 06 long orders are also given to around 22 as expected. We are still bearish if the resistance is not broken, and try 82 long orders
【Reference: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, US-Japan tariff negotiations】
【Data: wholesale inventory rate, consumer confidence index, job vacancies】
☆ There is a delay in posting, and the final operation is based on real-time strategy and current price orders. Please continue to pay attention;
☆ Strategy orders are divided into warehouses, and the total position shall not exceed 20%;
Gold is still volatile, buy at 3298-3305 in the US market
📊Comment analysis
Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range of around 3300. Today, continue to wait and see around 3310, waiting for the right time to enter the market in time.
💰Strategy package
Long positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3298-3305 points, with a profit target around 3320 points
Short positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3320-3330 points, with a profit target around 3303 points
💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = easy money
Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuateSpot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day.
From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353.
After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427.
If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.
Interpretation of the short-term operation ideas of shopping4-hour trend will not hit the high point within this 4-hour period, so currently we can focus on the morning high point and yesterday's high point 3348-3353. Currently we can focus on the support near 3316.
First point: After the 4-hour high closed with a small positive column yesterday, a big negative column fell in the morning, indicating that the price will continue to bottom out in the short term. Therefore, we can arrange short orders below yesterday's high point 3353-3348 in the white session, so 3340-44 is the best shorting point.
Second point: Because the price rose to 3336 after yesterday's high of 3302 and only retreated to 3319, the support of 3316-17 still exists. The point we focus on in the Asian and European sessions is when 3316-17 will break.
Third point: In the event of an accident, the price directly pulls back and breaks the high point, then the next short position is 3370-72; I think this probability is small. Then if it breaks 3315-16, we need to find a low position to go long. Then 3300-3288 and 3273 in yesterday's Asian and European sessions are the long positions. We can use small stop losses to bet on long positions.
Strategy:
Short at 3340-44 during the Asian session, defend at 3353, target at 3330-3320, break at 3315 and target at 3300-3290
Short at 3370-72, defend at 3378, target at 3350
After breaking 3315, short at 3300-328-3276 with a small stop loss of 5-6 US dollars, target at 3305-3350-70
Gold fluctuates within a wide range, and may stop falling as it On Tuesday, gold trading relied on the 3310 support level to directly go long, and the near-point pressure area of 3360/80 was bullish. The long logic of gold as a "safe haven trump card" is beyond doubt. The small cycle adjustment is only the accumulation stage. Once it starts to explode, it will be unstoppable. Recently, when gold touched 3500 again, there was a market view of "suspected top". It is recommended that all investors maintain their composure-the short-term adjustment is insignificant compared to the entire rising cycle. This time, the price retreated from 3500 and corrected by about US$240, which is still within a reasonable range relative to the previous increase. It is emphasized again that it is not recommended for investors to be bearish on gold in the long term, or to subjectively determine that 3500 has become the top. Such psychology is prone to trading deviations and even breeds a dangerous mentality of short orders to bear losses, which is the root cause of long-term losses.
In the early trading of the day, a 3310 long strategy has been deployed, and it is suggested that 3315 can be entered into the long position during the trading session. The current position is in market fluctuations. The current uptrend will first focus on the recovery of the 3340/45 line, and the opening price pressure level should be paid special attention to, especially during the Asian and European sessions. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a shock correction pattern, the support level will continue to be relied on for game play; if the uptrend effectively breaks through 3340/45 and stabilizes, the handover period between the European and American sessions is expected to explode to the 3380 line, or even challenge a higher price range.
Gold is stuck in the 3300 area, when can it break through?
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range around 3300. Today, we will continue to wait and see around 3300, waiting for the right time to enter the market.
💰Strategy Package
Long positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3300-3310 points, with a profit target around 3330 points
Short positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3330-3340 points, with a profit target around 3310 points
💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = lying down and making money
Gold is expected to rise in the US market
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Bullish sentiment in the market cools down
📊Comment analysis
After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution!
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs.
Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for the adjustment to enGold remained under pressure during the Asian trading session and is currently trading below the $3,300 mark, with a daily decline of about 0.75%. The market sentiment on trade is generally optimistic, and trade tensions are expected to ease. However, the decline in gold consumption in Asian countries in the first quarter has become a key factor in suppressing the demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
According to market research, data released by the Asian National Gold Association on Monday showed that gold consumption in the first quarter of this year fell 5.96% year-on-year to 290.492 tons. Among them, the demand for gold jewelry fell sharply by 26.85% year-on-year to 134.531 tons, while the consumption of gold bars and gold coins increased by 29.81% year-on-year to 138.018 tons.
According to market research, US President Trump once again emphasized that trade negotiations are underway with Asian countries, and the market hopes for a quick easing of trade tensions. However, Trump's frequent changes in foreign remarks, coupled with continued concerns about a global economic recession, have maintained the safe-haven demand for gold.
Quaid's analysis:
From a technical perspective, the gold price needs to effectively fall below the $3265-3260 range in the short term before a larger correction downward can be confirmed. Once confirmed to fall below, the gold price may quickly fall to the 50% retracement level near $3225, further pointing to the $3200 mark. If $3200 is lost, it will suggest that gold may have peaked in the short term.
On the contrary, if the gold price stabilizes and returns to above $3300, it may face initial resistance in the 3330-3335 area. If it breaks through this area, the short-term rebound target will point to the 3365-3370 supply area.
Once this key pivot position is broken, the gold price is expected to challenge the $3400 mark again, and even further test the intermediate resistance of 3425-3430, and try to return to the historical high of $3500.
Quaid's view:
Although the market's concerns about trade have eased, weak gold consumption in Asian countries and the pressure of the dollar rebound are still there, which may cause gold prices to fluctuate and fall back from high levels. In the next few days, the core economic data of the United States will be the key to determining the next trend of gold. Quaid will pay special attention to changes in the Fed's policy expectations. Real-time analysis for you.
The current market situation, as Quaid analyzed, can only be done in short-term scalping transactions; but always seize opportunities accurately.
Gold prices fell at the beginning of this week
🌐Drivers
Gold prices fell slightly to $3,310 in early Asian trading on Monday, retreating from the record high set last week as signs of easing global trade tensions grew.
According to Reuters, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins revealed on Sunday that the Trump administration is in daily consultations with China on tariffs. Rollins also stressed that agreements with several other countries are "very close" to being finalized.
"The news suggesting a possible partial exemption from retaliatory tariffs further boosted market sentiment and caused gold prices to fall below the $3,300 mark," said Tang Yuxuan, a strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank.
📊Commentary Analysis
At the beginning of this week, gold prices were mainly sideways, without much news impact, trading around 3,300 points, and gradually falling back.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 1-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3,300-3,270, and is currently at $3,276.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3320-3330 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3280 US dollars and a stop loss of 3335 US dollars.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3330 US dollars and a stop loss of 3275 US dollars.
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3350 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for adjustmentGold fell back after a cyclic rise in the morning, and the price lost today's starting point. The current position is near the starting point of Friday! If the Asian session cannot bottom out and rebound, then we must be careful of further declines to 3260 in the European session to test around 3230. This position will not be reached soon, but after the loss of the key position, the momentum below will gradually open up, so today the long position is at 3260.
This week's data reference: Wednesday's ADP employment report, Friday's non-agricultural data
Recent fundamental news is complicated, and the fluctuations in the past two weeks are relatively large compared to before. The fluctuations in a single day will basically exceed 100 US dollars, so we must pay attention to strict loss control in operations.
Intraday view: After a short-term retracement, the first pressure level: 3315-17 top and bottom conversion position Strong pressure focus: 3337-43
If it can't reach the support, it's still at 3260. If it breaks down, the US session will look for a position to fall back.
Gold is trapped in the 3260-3370 box shock!
🌐 Driving factors
US President Trump will be in office for 100 days in his second term. On April 27, local time, a new poll jointly conducted by ABC, The Washington Post and Ipsos Group showed that Trump's approval rating for the first 100 days in office was 39%, which was 6 percentage points lower than in February this year, and set the lowest approval rating for the first 100 days in office of all US presidents in the past 80 years.
The results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are not optimistic, and the geopolitical situation is tense.
📊 Commentary analysis
The recent gold fluctuations are really violent and very fast. If you hesitate a little, you will basically miss the market. If you are too anxious, you will easily hit the stop loss. Now the fluctuations in a few hours are higher than the amplitude of the past month. The stop loss of 3-5 US dollars can be easily swept. The market is changing, and the corresponding stop loss should also be enlarged.
🔷 Technical side:
For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3260-3370, and is currently at 3290 US dollars.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3350-3360 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3290 US dollars and a stop loss of 3365 US dollars.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3340 US dollars and a stop loss of 3255 US dollars.
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3370 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
Market changes? Gold plummets, hedge fund positions suddenly chaIn the early morning of the Asian market, spot gold fell sharply in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3,295/ounce, which has fallen by $52 from the intraday high of $3,336.98/ounce hit at the beginning of the session.
Gold prices fell further from last week's record high as traders closed their positions due to signs that the "explosive rise" in gold prices may be too fierce and too fast.
Since breaking through $3,500/ounce last week, gold prices have fallen by more than 5%.
At the same time, the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that hedge fund managers cut their net long positions in gold futures and options to the lowest level in 14 months.
Quaid believes that signs of easing trade tensions may have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal.
Quaid's analysis:
From the perspective of the two larger cycles of daily and weekly lines, gold may fall further. On the one hand, the daily line continues to close negative on the short-term moving average, and the rebound is not strong, forming a pattern of continuous negative and single positive. The previous two times were adjusted to the 30-day moving average. If this time is calculated in this way, the bottom position is about 3165-3170, which is both the golden section and the previous high top and bottom conversion position.
On the other hand, the weekly line formed a "K" line at a high level last week, which is generally a top signal, meaning that there is still a possibility of decline. And it deviates too far from the short-term moving average, and there is a need for further technical adjustments.
Comprehensive analysis:
This week, gold focuses on the upward resistance position of the 3370-3260 range. A strong breakthrough of 3370 will see the continuation of the bulls, and a break below 3260 will open up downward space.
Next week's ups and downs analysis and operation ideasGold closed with a long upper negative line in the weekly chart last week, and retreated to the lowest level of 3260 after being under pressure at the integer level of 3500. So can the decline continue next week?
First, let's look at a few weekend fundamental news: The Federal Reserve's financial report said that global trade wars and policy uncertainties are the biggest risks to financial stability, and have also led to concerns about the value of the US dollar in most countries. Secondly, the Federal Reserve officials made remarks that interest rates may be cut in June, and the geopolitical situation has become unstable, which has also provided some support for the price of gold in the short term.
Technical aspect: The bald positive line closed on Friday's 4-hour and 1-hour lines. If it opens flat at the beginning of the week, it is likely to continue the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm. Note: After the daily level suppressed the decline of 3500, it has been fluctuating in a large range for three consecutive trading days.
The upper and lower edges are relatively clear 3385-3260. According to the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm, the bullish momentum will basically be released before 10 o'clock. Therefore, if the market cannot continue to rise after 10:00 at the beginning of the week, the European session will continue to fluctuate downward. In particular, it cannot break through the upper edge of the daily oscillation cycle before 3385.
Operation: Open flat at the beginning of the week. Short-term support focuses on 3300. Strong support: 3260-70
Pressure level: Gains and losses of key pressure near 3385