Gold rose as expected, how to operate after the bulls hit 3400
📌 Gold News
Spot gold prices rose sharply. Analysts pointed out that the US CPI was lower than expected across the board, which hit the US dollar and US bond yields. In addition, tensions in the Middle East escalated, which triggered safe-haven buying of gold
📊Comment Analysis
Middle East issues, and information about high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have rebounded, but there is no long-term stability.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3428-3430 SL 3435
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
TP3: $3387
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3377
TP3: $3390
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Goldpriceaction
Gold is rising, beware of a pullback.Since last Friday, the daily line has shown an alternating trend of yin and yang. In the three trading days this week, the lows and highs have been rising continuously, which shows that the short-term trend is strong. Today's intraday trend also illustrates this point. At present, gold has risen directly to the 3388 line, directly refreshing the intraday high again.
From the hourly chart, we must be careful of the possibility of gold diving. From the previous rules, each rise is about 45 US dollars. This time it also started from 3340-3345, and the increase was close to 45 US dollars. Moreover, each time the rise is completed, the dive callback is 35 US dollars. Therefore, once it starts to fall from 3385-3390, it is very likely to reach 3350-3355.
In terms of short-term resistance, pay attention to the 3400 pressure level above; the support level is around 3340. the support level pays attention to the vicinity of 3340.
Operation strategy:
Short at 3385, stop loss at 3395, and profit range is 3360-3350.
XAU/USD 4H Updated Technical Analysis 06/12/20254H Market Structure & Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,383, showing a generally bullish market structure on the 4-hour chart. The price has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend pattern
Recently, bulls broke above a notable resistance level (a Break of Structure, or BOS), confirming continued upside momentum
So far no Change of Character (CHOCH) signal (which would require a lower low to hint at a trend reversal, meaning the uptrend remains intact. Gold is also trading above its daily pivot point (3370), reflecting a bullish intraday bias
Overall, sentiment on the 4H timeframe is positive unless key support levels give way.
Key Support & Resistance Zones (Demand vs. Supply)
Support (Demand Zones): Immediate support lies in the 3355 – 3340 region (marked by S1 and S2). This zone lines up with prior price congestion and is viewed as a demand zone, where buyers have historically stepped in
In fact, multiple support levels cluster here (e.g. previous lows and trendline intersection), creating a broad buy zone. The idea is that as price dips into this area, buy orders are likely waiting, and the deeper it goes into the zone, the more attractive it becomes for bulls
If 3340 fails, the next support is around 3325 (S3), another potential demand area where gold found a footing earlier. Traders will watch these support zones for bullish reversal signals (like a strong bounce or candlestick patterns) to confirm that demand is indeed active. Resistance (Supply Zones): On the upside, initial resistance is seen at 3385 (R1), with a stronger supply zone around 3400 (roughly the R2 3402 level). Here, multiple technical levels overlap – including a recent swing high and a psychological round number. This convergence of resistances creates a supply zone where sellers may be waiting.
As gold approaches 3385–3402, it’s likely to encounter profit-taking or new short positions. If price does punch through 3400, the next resistance is around 3415 (R3), which could attract even more selling interest. Within the 3385–3415 zone, expect price to possibly stall or reverse, unless bulls muster a strong breakout. Traders should be cautious about bullish positions as price nears this supply area, and watch for any bearish reversal clues (like wicks or a double-top) indicating that sellers are active
Fibonacci Retracement Confluence
Recent price swings show Fibonacci retracement levels aligning with the above zones, adding confidence to those areas. For instance, the rally from the last 4H swing low (around 3325) up to the recent high (~3385) has a 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement roughly in the 3340–3355 range. Fibonacci levels often pinpoint where price might stall or reverse during a pullback, and indeed this $3,340-$3,355 support zone corresponds to the popular 50%–61.8% retracement band – a prime spot where bargain-hunting buyers could step in.
In an uptrend, a pullback to these Fib levels is considered a healthy correction rather than a trend change. Thus, if gold dips to that area, many bulls will be watching for a bounce. On the flip side, if gold extends higher, Fibonacci extension levels suggest the 3400+ region might be a measured move target (for example, 100% extension of the last pullback lands near 3400). This reinforces that the 3385–3415 supply zone is a critical hurdle. In summary, Fibonacci analysis supports the idea that mid-$3300s is a value zone for buyers, while around $3400 is a potential exhaustion area for the current upswing.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Insights
From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, institutional footprints are visible on the chart. The ongoing bullish structure (higher lows, no lower low yet) means no CHOCH (trend change) has occurred
Smart money likely continues to favor longs until a key low breaks. We can identify a possible bullish Order Block in the 3340 area, which is essentially the last small bearish candle on 4H before the strong push up
This order block (an institutional buy zone) overlaps with our demand zone, suggesting big players placed buy orders around 3340. If price revisits that zone, it could ignite another rally as those orders get filled. There are also liquidity considerations in play: Above $3,400, there may be clusters of buy stop orders (from breakout traders or short stops) – what SMC traders call buy-side liquidity.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see gold spike above 3400 to grab that liquidity (stop-loss hunt) before either accelerating higher or sharply reversing. Conversely, below $3,340, many bulls likely have stop-losses (sell orders) – sell-side liquidity resting under support.
A quick dip under S2 (liquidity grab) followed by a recovery would actually be a bullish signature (a bear trap by smart money). However, if price breaks significantly below 3325 and holds, that would mark a bearish CHOCH (first real trend change signal) and indicate the smart money possibly switching to selling rallies. Until then, the path of least resistance is still up. Any fair value gaps (imbalances) left from the rapid rise may exist around 3360 (for example), but so far gold has been backfilling these moves, keeping the trend steady.
Potential Trading Setups (4H Outlook)
Given the above analysis, here are two possible trade ideas on the 4H timeframe – one bullish and one bearish – with high-conviction zones in focus:
Bullish Buy Setup (Buy the Dip):
A pullback into the 3355–3340 support demand zone could offer a buying opportunity. This area has multiple factors of confluence: pivot S1/S2 supports, a Fibonacci 50–61.8% retracement, and an order block. If gold’s price action shows a clear reversal here (for example, a bullish engulfing candle or double bottom on 1H/4H), buyers can consider going long. The upside targets would be a return to 3385 (R1), with stretch targets near 3400–3415 (R2/R3). A prudent stop-loss could be placed just below 3325 (just under S3 and below the demand zone) to avoid a deeper reversal. This setup aligns with the prevailing uptrend (trading with the trend) and aims to “buy low” in the value zone.
Bearish Sell Setup (Sell the Rally):
If gold surges into the 3385–3402 resistance supply zone without slowing, traders should watch for signs of buyer exhaustion. In a still-range-bound market or if momentum wanes near the top, one might consider a short position in this zone if bearish signals emerge (e.g. a 4H shooting star candle, bearish divergence, or a minor BOS downward on lower timeframe). The idea is that smart money could use the liquidity above 3385/3400 to sell into. Initial downside targets could be the pivot area around 3370 and then the 3355 support. A stop-loss would ideally be just above 3415 (clear of the R3 level), in case gold breaks out to new highs. This counter-trend style trade is riskier since the 4H trend is up, so it’s crucial to wait for confirmation of a reversal before selling. Essentially, you’d be selling high at known resistance, but only if the market shows it can’t push further.
Both setups hinge on patience and confirmation. Rather than blindly picking tops or bottoms, let the price action confirm that the zone is holding. Remember that support and resistance levels are zones, not exact lines – price can wick through slightly before reversing. Always manage risk carefully.
Key Levels Snapshot
Pivot: 3370
R1: 3385 – R2: 3402 – R3: 3415
S1: 3355 – S2: 3340 – S3: 3325 These levels are derived from the classic pivot point formul, using recent price data. The pivot point at 3370 is the average of the previous session’s high, low, and close.
Trading above this pivot supports a bullish bias, while below it turns the bias bearish.
The R1/R2/R3 levels mark successive resistance hurdles above the pivot, and S1/S2/S3 mark support floors below it. Traders often use these as guideposts for intraday moves.
Takeaway:
Gold’s 4H chart shows bullish momentum with key support in the mid-$3300s and resistance near $3400. It’s wise to trade the reaction at these zones – buy dips near support in an uptrend, or sell rallies at resistance if momentum fades. In all cases, wait for price to confirm direction and stick to your trading plan. Happy trading!
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.
From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
XAU/USD 12 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold surged, what will be the trend today?Information summary:
On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.
After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Outlook – 12 June 2025Current Price: ~$3,373 (intraday) –
Gold is holding near recent highs after a sharp rally. Bullish momentum has improved markedly, fueled in part by favorable fundamentals (soft US CPI and geopolitical tensions lifting safe-haven demand)
On the charts, the short-term trend is upward, with buyers firmly in control following a breakout above prior resistance.
4H Trend & Key Levels
4H chart highlighting break of structure, demand (green) and supply (red) zones, and key intraday levels. Note the major demand zone that held around 3,214 (green) and the supply zone near 3,284 (red) which was a focal resistance. The 50% retracement of the prior day’s range (blue line near 3,274) acted as intraday resistance in that earlier session
Such annotations show where institutional activity likely set support (demand) and resistance (supply) areas. On the 4-hour chart, gold’s momentum is strongly bullish. The recent surge to 3375 pushed price above its 10-day moving average and widened the upper Bollinger Bands on both H1 and H4 – signs of a powerful uptrend. This came after gold cleared a major resistance around the $3,350 zone, which had capped prices earlier. With that barrier broken, the next upside target on the higher time frame is the $3,400 level (a notable psychological and technical hurdle)
In fact, it can be projected that a clean breakout above the ~3,380/3,390 zone could open the path toward $3,403 and even $3,430 in extension
Reflecting the next supply areas or Fibonacci extension targets above. Support levels on the 4H are stepping up as the trend rises. Previously, $3,320 (the last day’s high in late May) turned from resistance into support after the breakout. Now, immediate support is seen around $3,345–3,350, which corresponds to the top of the recent consolidation and roughly the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of this week’s rally
Below that, the $3,330–3,335 zone (around the 61.8% retracement of the rally) is a secondary intraday support area
These levels also align with prior demand zones and the previous day’s lows, making them likely zones where buyers might step in on dips. Overall, as long as gold holds above the mid-$3,300s, the 4H bias remains bullish. The 4H structure shows higher highs and higher lows, and technical signals (price above short-term EMAs and an improving RSI) reinforce the short-term bullish outlook
Educational Note: In an uptrend, old resistance often becomes new support. Here $3,350 was a major resistance in the past and could serve as support if prices pull back. Traders also watch Fibonacci retracement levels within the up-move for potential bounce points – for gold, the 35-50% retracement zone of the latest swing (approximately $3,350 down to $3,330) is viewed as an attractive “buy-the-dip” area intraday.
On the 1-hour chart, gold has been oscillating upward within a rising channel. After each push higher, it has formed brief consolidations or bull flags that resolved to the upside.
For example, after the strong push to ~3375, price coiled in a classic bull flag pattern, hinting at momentum building for another breakout. This pattern of consolidation after a rally shows healthy bullish behavior – buyers pausing before continuing the move. Higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) are clearly present, indicating a steady uptrend structure on the 1H
In fact, gold’s price action has been “taking out liquidity then taking out highs and creating new highs,” leaving no sign of bear control so far. This means each time the price dips and grabs some stop-loss liquidity from weak longs, it quickly reverses and surges to a fresh peak – a hallmark of a strong trend supported by larger players. From an SMC perspective, we can spot where institutional traders may be active. Recently, gold retested a major demand zone in the low $3,300s and rocketed higher. Specifically, price dipped to about $3,297 (just below a prior support), which appears to have been a liquidity grab (fake-out) below the obvious support level
Smart money often drives price briefly below such a level to trigger stop-losses, then buys into that liquidity. Indeed, a strong bullish rejection off $3,297-3,300 occurred, indicating aggressive buying (accumulation) by big players at that historical support
This confirmed a solid demand zone, and bulls defended it vigorously – a clear sign that institutional demand underpins that area. After the fake-out and bounce, gold quickly resumed making higher lows, confirming the uptrend’s resumption. Now, the focus shifts to the overhead supply zone. Gold is trading just below $3,380–3,390, a zone that previously acted as major intraday resistance.
In past attempts, price sharply sold off from this area, suggesting it’s a pocket of supply (sell orders) or profit-taking for institutions. This makes $3,380-$3,390 a key decision point: if bullish momentum is strong enough to drive a clean break through this supply, we could see a swift move higher (as mentioned, targets in the low $3,400s become viable)
However, if gold struggles and prints bearish signals (e.g. aggressive wick rejections or a change in character to lower lows on 15m/1H) near 3380-3390, it may indicate that sellers are defending this zone again, potentially causing a pullback. Traders are watching closely to see if smart money will cap the price here or let it run. It’s worth noting that intraday liquidity has built up around certain levels. Minor equal highs around $3,375-3,377 were taken out earlier (as gold hit a weekly high of ~$3,377) ,and now liquidity might reside just above $3,390 (at buy stops of breakout traders) and below $3,340 (sell stops of longs). The path of least resistance intraday appears upward unless those lower support levels start breaking. As long as gold remains inside this rising structure, the bias is to buy dips rather than sell rallies. Only a clear break below the $3,337–3,340 support (recent range floor) would hint at a short-term trend shift down. Until then, bulls are in charge. Educational Note: Order blocks and supply/demand zones are areas where price saw a sharp move, indicating institutional orders. In gold’s case, an H1 demand block near $3,300 (origin of the recent rally) is such an area – price dipped into it and then launched higher
Conversely, the $3,380-$3,390 area is a supply zone from which price fell previously.
Watching price behavior at these zones (e.g. strong rejection vs. breakthrough) gives clues: a heavy rejection implies continued range or reversal, while a breakthrough suggests a new leg of trend.
Trade Setups
Buy on Dip (Bullish Setup):
If gold retraces into the $3,345–3,355 support zone, consider a long entry near ~$3,350 (a key Fibonacci support & prior breakout level)
A suggested stop-loss is just below $3,335 (to stay under the 61.8% retracement and recent swing low). Target the $3,375 area for partial profits, and $3,385–3,390 if momentum continues. This buy-on-dips approach aligns with the prevailing uptrend – as one analyst noted, “Gold below 3350 is an opportunity to buy on dips”
(Rationale: You’re buying at support in an uptrend, aiming for a retest of the highs.)
Sell Near Resistance (Bearish Setup):
If gold rallies toward the $3,390–3,400 zone but shows rejection (stalling candles or a bearish reversal pattern) at that resistance, one can consider a short entry around ~$3,395. Place a tight stop-loss above $3,405 (just beyond the major resistance). Target a pullback to about $3,370 first, and $3,350 on an extended drop. This trade fades a possible near-term top in case the supply zone holds. For instance, a suggested plan from another analyst was to “sell around 3397–3400” with stops above 3409, looking for a move back to the mid-$3,300s
(Rationale: You’re selling at an identified supply zone, expecting a short-term correction.)
Breakout Scenario:
For traders who prefer momentum plays, watch $3,380 on the upside and $3,340 on the downside. A 1H candle close beyond $3,380 with strong volume would confirm a breakout – you could then target ~$3,405 and above (trail stops as it goes)
Conversely, a drop below $3,340 might signal a bearish intraday reversal, opening downside targets near $3,315 and $3,300
If trading the breakout, ensure confirmation (no fake-outs) – wait for a retest if possible, and then ride the move. (This scenario is only for when price definitively exits the current range.)
Remember: The intraday trend is bullish, so lean toward long setups unless key supports break. Keep it simple – trade the price action you see. Gold can be volatile, so it's wise to use stop losses and not over-leverage. Happy trading! 📈✨
Iran hardens steel, gold rises!
📣Gold news
On Thursday (June 12, 00:00 in the Asian morning, spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,377 so far, a new high this week. The lower-than-expected US CPI data in May increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, and the trend of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields provided a favorable environment for gold prices. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East escalated on Wednesday, and Iran said it would attack US military bases in the Middle East if negotiations broke down. The sharp rise in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has significantly increased the safe-haven demand for gold. Although the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement has eased some market pressure, the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation still needs to be vigilant. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends, while keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East. Driven by risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy, the gold market still has room for upside in the short term.
📣Technical side:
Yesterday's CPI data was bullish. After a brief surge, it fell back to below 3330, and then fluctuated. The rise was not strong. Late at night, Trump again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Confidence in the Iran nuclear negotiations decreased. In the next one to two weeks, he will send a letter to trading partners to set unilateral tariffs. Uncertain risks increased. Gold rose in contact with the CPI data. In the short term, the price broke through the 3348-3353 suppression. Consider going low around this position during the day, looking at the 3383-89 suppression, stop loss 3337, pay attention to risks.
💰Strategy Package
Today's trading strategy: long around 3349. Stop loss 3337, take profit 3383
Short around 3370, stop loss 3374, take profit 3350
Trend value trading is the only way for all investors to make profits. There is no shortcut, and don't be lucky. Any investor needs to go through the process of loss, capital preservation, and profit from the beginning of entering the market. The market is definitely not a long-term paradise for speculators. A successful speculation does not mean that it can be successful from beginning to end. Only stable and continuous profits can make a person successful. There must be rules here. If you don't break the rules, you won't be eliminated.
Gold Price ActionHello Traders, I've observed that gold is currently respecting the trendline in both directions. However, there's still a valid Fair Value Gap (FVG) in play. If the trendline fails to hold, there's a good chance that price could reverse from that FVG zone.
So, keep a close watch on both the trendlines and the FVG area, and don’t forget to monitor volume for confirmation.
Wishing you all the best — happy trading, and thank you!
Gold rebound is still a short-selling opportunityFirst of all, let's take a look at why the market is still not reversing after a big rise, and there is a rapid rise and fall?
The data is bullish, and gold is rising rapidly, but we should pay attention to the sustainability of the rise, and secondly, the current trend direction. The overall trend of gold is still fluctuating downward recently, so even if the data is bullish, it is likely to just give an opportunity to "go high and short".
Although gold performed strongly after the data was released, it began to fall under pressure at the 3360 line, the trading concentration area of the last box shock, indicating that the bulls' volume is still not enough to break through the upper resistance. It is reasonable to rise and fall.
Since gold is currently in a market that is tempting to buy more, it means that the main trend is still bearish. The rebound is still dominated by short selling. The gold 1-hour cycle closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the upward attack is weak, indicating that the area above 3350 is still a strong pressure area. This upward rush is just a short-term effort with the help of data benefits, which is a typical false breakthrough. Therefore, gold rebounded to the 3350-3360 area in the US market, and it is still dominated by high shorts.
This is the charm of the market - some people are always hesitant in the ups and downs, while others can always grasp the key turning points. The premise is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend.
Don't be led by the market, but understand: Is the current fluctuation a trap or an opportunity?
If the direction is wrong, the effort will be in vain; if the direction is right, you will get twice the result with half the effort.
Don't make excuses for failure, just find ways to succeed. Have you found it?
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold CPI data forward-looking layout
📊Technical aspects
Gold trend from the perspective of technical analysis
From the daily technical chart, the gold price has experienced complex fluctuations. Although there have been ups and downs recently, it is still in a relatively high range. In terms of moving averages, short-term moving averages such as the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average show a certain entanglement trend, indicating that the short volume is relatively strong in the short term and the short trend is obvious.
From the MACD indicator, its double lines are running below the zero axis. Although the bar chart has shrunk, it still remains in the positive area, suggesting that the bullish force has weakened in the near future, but the overall market is still in a bearish market pattern, and the upward momentum is gradually fading. At present, the RSI value is further downward, indicating that the bearish force will gradually increase.
From the Bollinger Bands indicator, the gold price is currently running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the Bollinger Bands opening shows a slight narrowing sign. If the price falls below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and continues to decline, the bearish trend may intensify. If the downward trend accelerates, gold still has a profit momentum of about $100
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3330-3340
Gold fluctuates, awaiting CPI data.In Asian trading on Wednesday, traders are awaiting the release of the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as American households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. But the easing between the world's two largest economies should have an adverse impact on safe-haven assets such as gold, and the lack of a downward trend in gold prices suggests that investors are waiting for more developments.
In terms of short-term trends, the gold 1-hour chart shows that gold prices remain in an upward channel with a low point. So from the trend, the current momentum for gold to rise will be stronger. The price pullback is giving opportunities to go long.
The change of thinking is actually following the trend. For the current operation, enter the market with the trend, and cover the position when it falls back or break through the profit position to cover the position. In a strong market, during the correction phase, the price is rising, and the amplitude of the correction is often small. The bulls retreated at the opening to accumulate momentum. Above is the pressure level of 3350-3360. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, it will accelerate the upward trend. Just follow the general trend of the market.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, and profit range is 3345-3360.
Gold continues to fluctuate, CPI data becomes the key
Technically, the daily chart continues to fluctuate sideways, the moving average is glued together, and the RSI indicator runs near the middle axis. The moving average of the four-hour chart is also glued together, the price is adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator also runs near the middle axis. The gold price once broke through the 3349 mark yesterday, and then fell back and closed near 3320.
Focus on the 3320 position during the Asian session. From a technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate in a range. Under the premise of the lack of news stimulating negative impact, from a technical perspective, the gold price continues to maintain low buying.
From the daily level, gold has been fluctuating at a high level since the high of 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually moving up. The range of fluctuations is gradually narrowing. The short-term market may continue to fluctuate. If it breaks through, it will need to wait for major news stimulation to break through the direction!
💰Strategy Package
Then today's lock-up range is 3293-3350. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. Before the effective breakthrough of the range, short-term or ultra-short-term scalping is the main means.
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3306, third support level: 3292
First resistance: 3346, second resistance: 3358, third resistance: 3376
Buy: 3303-3305, stop loss: 3292, target: 3320-3330;
Sell: 3350-3353, stop loss: 3362, target: 3330-3320;
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.
How is the market situation during the China-US talks?Information summary:
On Tuesday, as the China-US trade negotiations entered the second day, the US dollar index fluctuated around the 99 mark.
The gold price once approached the 3,300 US dollar mark in the Asian market, and then continued to rise, reaching the highest of the 3,350 US dollar mark. After the opening of the US stock market, all the gains during the day were given up, and it has been maintained below 3,350 for consolidation.
From the current known negotiation information, the two sides basically agree on the general direction and principles, but it means that more specific content and details have not yet been fully negotiated, and more dialogue is needed to resolve.
Market analysis:
From the current gold market, as long as the 3,350 mark cannot be strongly broken through next, the price will fall again. The consolidation range will remain at 3,300-3,350. As long as the price fails to break through strongly, there will still be a fifth wave of downward trend.
Therefore, gold is still maintaining short selling operations at high points.
Operation strategy:
Short at 3345-3450, stop loss at 3360, the first target is this week's low of 3300, the second target is 3285, and the third target is 3250.
Gold V-shaped reversal still has room to rise In the morning, the market was under pressure at 3328, and two consecutive big negative lines fell to the low of 3302, breaking through the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel, forming an effective break. 3317 was originally the confirmation point of the channel counter-pressure, and it was also the 618 split resistance at the time. Then the middle track was lost, and the trend was bearish, so it tried to rebound but continued to fall under pressure.
But the market immediately made a V-shaped reversal, breaking through the morning high of 3328, and had attacked to 3342 before the US market. The European session was volatile and strong, and with the help of a pullback before and after the U.S. session to lure short sellers, there is still hope for a second rise
The focus of the support for the retracement is on two positions: one is the 3322 line, corresponding to the middle track and 50% split support; the other is 3318, corresponding to the 618 split support. If it stabilizes after touching it, it will most likely point to the 3348 counter-pressure position.
If the pressure of 3348 cannot be broken, there is still a possibility of repeated fluctuations in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the secondary low point appears when it pulls back to further consolidate the support structure. If the market directly breaks through and stands above 3348, 3293 may have been confirmed as a short-term low.
The recent trading strategy ideas are all realized, and all the points are predicted accurately. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold fluctuates widely, strategy remains unchanged
📌Gold news
The US and Chinese delegations will continue talks in London for the second consecutive day. President Trump expressed optimism, saying the talks "should go well". US officials said the talks could lead to Washington lifting certain technology export restrictions in exchange for Beijing relaxing controls on rare earth exports - a material that is critical to industries such as energy, defense and advanced technology. The results of these negotiations may provide a new direction for precious metals
📊Comment analysis
The European session continued to retrace and gave a low of 3293, then slowly strengthened. The current high reached 3349, so today's strategy does not need to be changed for the time being. If the current market is given to 3335-3345 again, short orders can still be entered. The current trend is still weak, and the US market is likely to follow the old path of a second decline, so the current idea of shorting on the pullback remains unchanged for the time being!
💰Strategy package
Gold: Short on rebound 3335-3345, stop loss 3350, target 3300-3280!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
-
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, hiding great opportunities!After the opening of gold today, the bulls and bears played fiercely. In the early trading, it fell to 3293 and received temporary support, then stabilized and rebounded. It broke through the high point of 3320 in the Asian session and continued to rise above 3330. However, the price was under obvious pressure near 3330, and the momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) showed a top divergence at the same time, reflecting the exhaustion of bullish momentum and limited short-term upside space.
From the technical structure, gold has effectively fallen below the middle track support of the H4 cycle, and at the same time lost the upward trend line built since the low point in June. The two breakout positions are highly overlapped, constituting an obvious technical weakening signal. The current trend is trapped in the key resistance suppression area, and it is expected to enter a high-level shock and weakening stage.
The operation suggestions are as follows:
🔸Strategy direction: short-term thinking
🔸Entry area: 3335–3345 range
🔸Defense reference: stop loss above 3350
🔸Target expectation: look down to 3305, break to 3293 or even 3280 near the extension support
In terms of fundamentals, the US dollar index is under short-term pressure, mainly due to the decline in the US fiscal outlook and US Treasury yields; but the non-agricultural data boosted economic resilience, which cooled the market's expectations for a rapid rate cut this year, restricting the rebound space of gold prices. Although risk aversion has support, it has not yet become a dominant driver. The current market sentiment remains cautiously neutral.
Overall judgment: The short-term rebound of gold prices is limited, and the short-term trend is gradually released after the structural break. It is recommended to follow the trend and go high, control risks, and steadily execute trading plans.
The short-term tug-of-war for gold is starting
Gold prices continued their decline last Friday and stabilized and rebounded. Yesterday, gold prices fell back to the 3,300 mark, then slowly rose to the 3,338 mark, and fell back after encountering resistance, which is in line with the technical consolidation rhythm.
- China-US trade negotiations: The US has released signals that it is willing to relax export restrictions, and the market is waiting for the results of the negotiations, which may affect risk sentiment.
- US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Fed's policies.
- The current trend is weak, but the downside is limited. Buy on dips and avoid large-scale shorting.
- Today, it is recommended to wait and see, and wait for the negotiation results to become clear before entering the market to reduce volatility risks.
🔥Sell gold area: 3330-3348 SL 3352
TP1: $3320
TP2: $3310
🔥Buy gold area: $3295-$3305 SL $3290
TP1: $3320
TP2: $3330
Gold is falling. Where is the low point?Market summary:
Yesterday, thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, the US dollar once fell below the 99.0 mark. Spot gold rebounded from the low of 3293 hit earlier in the session, recovering all the losses during the day, and the highest point was near 3338.
It fell from the high point in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and has been consolidating in the 3300-3310 range so far. In my early analysis, I pointed out that there is a high probability that the fifth wave of the wave trend will fall at the beginning of this week, and as I predicted, it is completing the fifth wave of the downward trend.
Trend analysis:
From the four-hour chart, the fourth wave of rebound has been completed, so today is the fifth wave of the downward trend. Next, we look at the two target ranges.
The first target is around 3280, and the second is 3260-3350. And today, it is highly unlikely to stabilize above 3310, so don't choose to short at the rebound high point, the chance is very slim.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3380-3350.
Gold price rebounds, short-term strength?After the opening of the U.S. stock market today, the price of gold rose rapidly, breaking through the first resistance level of 3325, and currently reaching the intraday high of 3337.
However, from the hourly chart, the current price has not reached the upward trend point I predicted, so the price is likely to rise slightly again in the future.
From the 4-hour chart, gold rose again after falling back in the U.S. market, and the price broke through the 3325 position upward, which means that the short-term is strong; in the morning analysis, I predicted that gold would fall back and rush high, and the fall back can be short-term long, and the volatile market can be operated in the short term according to this strategy.
At present, the 4-hour MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have a trend of forming a golden cross upward, and after the fall in the morning, the moving averages are currently showing an upward turning trend.
Therefore, after the price breaks through 3325, the probability of continuing upward is still relatively large, and the pressure position is 3345; this position is the point after the fall back from the high point in May, and it is also an important pressure position after the current price falls back and rebounds.
The price is currently heading towards a retest of 3340-3345 levels. If the dollar continues to fall and gold manages to consolidate above 3345, the bullish trend is likely to continue. However, a false breakout of 3340-3345 area could trigger a further decline following the breakdown of the bullish structure.
Gold hits 3335 in the US market and shorts
⭐️Gold information:
Looking back at last week's trend, after hitting a high on Monday, gold prices fluctuated in a range from Tuesday to Thursday, and closed with a sharp drop on Friday, forming an M-top pattern from a technical perspective.
This week, the market focus is on the high-level trade negotiations between China and the United States held in London. The market expects that the negotiations will proceed smoothly, and this optimism is bearish for gold. Based on the comprehensive technical and fundamental analysis, the gold price is still bearish today. It is recommended to pay attention to the short-selling opportunities in the rebound range of 3330-3340 US dollars.
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3330-3340 SL 3345
TP1: $3320
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3295