XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (May 26–30, 2025)👋 Hey GoldMindsFX Fam!
📍 Current Price: 3,358
🗓 Timeframe: Weekly
Bias: Bullish-with-caution, looking for first signs of real pullback or fresh squeeze.
🔍 REFINED WEEKLY STRUCTURE ZONES
Zone Type Price Range Context / Confluence
🟥 Premium Supply/FVG 3,480–3,515 Fibo 2.0 extension wick high, supply unmitigated, strong rejection risk if spiked.
🟪 Upper Trap / Reversal 3,415–3,440 FVG+OB combo, previous bull trap zone, micro liquidity sweep.
🟦 Mid-Resistance / S/R Flip 3,375–3,388 Weekly PA reaction (last close rejection zone), possible magnet for news-driven retests.
🟩 Demand/Support #1 3,250–3,265 Clean OB + FVG, demand that sent price to new high, SMC structure confirmed here.
🟩 Demand/Support #2 3,172–3,188 Weekly demand, liquidity sweep (post-CPI), reaction base before latest impulse up.
🟦 Discount Block 3,065–3,100 Last unmitigated OB + FVG combo, only reached if sentiment reverses heavy or big news shock.
📈 Trend, PA & RSI Insights
Trend: Bullish, but big wicks + RSI divergence suggest a pause is near.
Price Action: Last impulse is losing steam; lots of rejection wicks above 3,400. PA signals “distribution” up top.
RSI: Still overbought – ideal for fade setups if price enters supply.
Fibo Extensions:
1.618 tapped and rejected (3,440 zone)
2.0 = 3,515 (major upper limit for May unless new shock)
🌍 Macro/News Context
Geopolitics: Ongoing tension (Ukraine, Middle East), central bank gold demand, China accumulating, hot US inflation.
Market feels nervous: Powell’s last speech + CPI/UoM confusion = chop and volatility spikes possible.
Watch for fakeouts on news spikes into upper zones.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Bulls: Only strong above 3,388 close, but risk of traps grows with each spike.
Bears: Look for rejection/CHoCH above 3,440–3,480. If 3,250 breaks, 3,170–3,100 opens fast.
⚡️ Weekly Gameplan (No SL/TP)
Premium POIs:
3,480–3,515: Extreme supply, reversal watch zone
3,415–3,440: Main liquidity trap for NY news
3,375–3,388: Magnet zone for intraday retests
Discount POIs:
3,250–3,265: Best bullish support on structure
3,172–3,188: Secondary demand, high bounce probability
3,065–3,100: Deep liquidity block for max FOMO shakeout
Stay sharp, don’t chase FOMO wicks. Let price come to your POI — and as always, flow with structure, not the hype.
Drop a 🔥 if you’re riding this weekly flow!
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
