Still holding short positions, 2630 is not the end!So far, I still insist on holding short positions and executing mid-term trading as planned. So far, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2630. Although it has rebounded and returned to around 2640. But it is obvious that the high point of gold rebound is gradually decreasing, and as gold continues to fall below 2650 and 2640, it also means that the adjustment cycle has been prolonged to a certain extent. So it is obvious that gold has not completely stabilized and is expected to continue to pull back.
So 2630 is not the end point, gold is expected to continue to fall, and it is very likely to retest around 2600 again, and it may even fail to hold 2600 and have to test around 2580. So I still stick to the mid-term trading plan, short gold, and wait for the fruits of victory!
Bros, let's wait and see!
Goldsell
GOLD ! 9/30 ! down adjustmentXAU / USD trend forecast September 30, 2024
Israel escalated its conflict with Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon, launching airstrikes on Sunday and raising fears of a wider Middle East war. The Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting several locations, including power plants and a seaport in Yemen. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes killed Nabil Kaouk, the deputy head of Hezbollah's Central Council, marking the seventh Hezbollah leader killed in just over a week.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// SELL XAU : zone 2664-2667
SL: 2672
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2637)
Safe and profitable trading
9.30 If the short-term gold high is not broken, it will be a corTechnically, the 2670 level has become an important resistance level, which has not been broken through many times. The Bollinger Bands have begun to close. From all angles, gold will not rise in the short term.
With such a big thing happening in the Middle East, gold should have started a wave of $50 rise, but it didn't. That must be because gold digested the news in advance. If there is no positive news, gold will turn to a sharp drop.
Intraday operation:
SEII: 2665 Stop loss: 2672
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640
XAU/USD Sell to Buy idea (potential pullback?)I’m watching for a potential sell around the 2-hour supply zone. Specifically, I'll be looking for the Asian session high to be taken out, followed by a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames. Since this setup is counter-trend, I expect it to mark a possible reversal point for gold, as the Wyckoff pattern has already played out on the higher time frames and the market structure has shifted to the downside.
If price continues to drop, I’ll shift my focus to potential buy opportunities around the 2,630 level. Once price enters this zone and shows signs of accumulation, I’ll look to trade with the overall bullish trend, as I remain optimistic on gold’s long-term upside.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A Wyckoff distribution has occurred on the higher time frames.
- The market structure has shifted downward (price changed character).
- Price is nearing the 2-hour supply zone, which could trigger a reversal.
- Despite gold’s bullish trend, bullish momentum seems to be weakening.
- If a full reversal doesn’t occur, a pullback is still likely before price continues upward.
Note: If price breaks above this supply zone and makes a new all-time high (ATH), I’ll look for a nearby demand zone to catch buys before price mitigates the 8-hour or 10-hour demand below.
Gold closes higher and may fall back to peakThe gold hourly line has obviously reached the top. The K line rushed to around 2685, and then the big Yin line directly covered it and crushed it directly. It once fell by 30 US dollars. The top was obviously bearish engulfing. The moving average was directly bent and turned downward. Of course, the gold price deviated far from the moving average, and it was bound to return to the 50-day moving average. Detailed operations during the day: SELL: 2650------2645
Gold bulls are strong and aiming at 2700!At present, the support for the continuous rise of gold prices is still the strong demand of the Federal Reserve and other European countries for gradually loose monetary policies; coupled with the tension in Middle East relations, economic downturn and geopolitical relations, gold prices continue to rise. In terms of technical forms, the room for gold prices to retrace is limited, and the time for correction is also very short. The momentum of continuous rise is very strong, and the upward space is expected to continue to open up.
The Asian session is corrected by the conversion of the hourly Yin and Yang lines. The European session began to rise. Even if economic data is released, it does not affect the bullish trend. There is not much room for recent corrections, especially in the European session. There is basically no retracement, and it continues to rise after the middle cross K pattern. Based on the above situation, even if the retracement relies on the top of the previous hourly line Yang line 2675, it will continue to be bullish.
Resistance level: 2683 2690. Break to see 2700
9.26 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe gold four-hour line is a positive line throughout the whole process. Even if it closes with a negative line, it can still break through the positive line directly and close with a long lower shadow. The K line always stands above the moving average and always crushes the moving average. The bullish trend has not changed at all, and the support level has been constantly moving up. This is a super buying trend that continues to set new highs.
Short-term operation in the Asian session:
BUY: 2658 Target: 2670
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsGold rose again in 1 hour and is currently trading at 2660 without breaking a new high.
At present, gold has begun to form a small double top. After continuous rise, the bullish momentum of gold has gradually begun to be consumed. A major adjustment is imminent. If the rebound of gold in the US market does not break a new high, it can still be shorted.
On the 1-hour K-line chart, gold has risen. At this time, the Bollinger Bands began to close, and the gold price fluctuated and adjusted. As for the target position, we look at the 1-hour moving average
Today's focus
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 21 (10,000 people)
Detailed operations during the day:
Sell: 2665 Target 2650-2645
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, gold continued to break highs in the US market, performing extremely strongly. The early trading price was 2661. Yesterday, it rose by 30 US dollars and continued to rise to the 2670 line. There is no doubt that with the frequent breakthrough of high points, the rising gold bulls are coming, and the upward trend will accelerate. Bulls will be the main theme in the future; the correction action is presented in the form of shocks.
"Although it has set new highs many times this year and outperformed major stock indexes, in the long run, gold still has room for further growth. Pay attention to the correction in the short term." In a low interest rate environment and geopolitical turmoil, interest-free gold is often the preferred investment.
Today's operation:
BUY: 2650 stop loss 2640 target: 2665-2675
SELL: 2680 stop loss 2685 target: 2660-2655
9.25 Professional Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyToday, the recommended upper pressure position is 2665, and the lower support is 2645. The overall market still shows a trend of raising the low point to a new high, and the structural low point of this round is around 2624. The support effect of this position was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis. So if the market has a strong correction today and directly breaks through 2645 without stopping, the alternative plan is to look at the support of 2638. This position is the support of the Fibonacci 0.618 correction level of yesterday's overall pull-up.
9.25 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 25), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high and is currently trading around $2,660.16 per ounce. Gold prices rose by $30 on Tuesday and hit a record high of $2,664, continuing the recent rally. The daily line closed with a big positive, with basically no leads.
In addition to the tensions in the Middle East that have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold, the US consumer confidence index has recorded the largest drop in three years, and concerns about the labor market are growing. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November have increased, and the US dollar index has recorded the largest single-day drop in nearly a month, which also provides momentum for gold prices to rise.
Gold is undoubtedly strong at present, whether from a short-term or long-term perspective, especially in the 4-hour period, which basically starts to rise as soon as it steps back on the moving average, and there is basically no retracement. Although gold is undoubtedly strong, this round of gold has risen by nearly 200 points in just two weeks, so the risks of peaking and retracement that I have been emphasizing in my previous articles are needed. Of course, we have no idea where the top is. We all have guessed the top, but the current price is already in danger. When it reaches our position, we can still participate in short orders.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2665, defense at 2670, target 2650-2640
Long at 2635, defense at 2628, target 2650-2660
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601.
Today's market operation:
2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635
2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices.
Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement.
It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600
Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement
The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session
Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%.
Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665
Support : $2584, $2558, 2529
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be.
As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back.
Intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600
Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630
Gold Next Move Bull/Bear? I thik he is going downGo through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2628-2631
Resistance-2643-2646
Support- 2651-2655
Support-2595-2588
Support-2571-2568
Strong support area- 2550-2555
Gold Signal Daily for the week
Current price- 2621.6
Advice-For Buying
Buying area= 2588-2580
For selling
Best selling area= 2631-2643-2651
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2628 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2643-2646
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2595 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2571-2568
I'm sorry, I have been short againBros, you all know that I shorted gold some time ago. Although I was stuck for a few days, gold still gave me a chance to close the position near 2553, and finally closed the position with a profit of $90K.
At present, gold has risen above 2620 again. I think there should be many brothers chasing gold. I am sorry, I started shorting gold again and plan to hold it in the medium term. Bros, I calculated in advance that if gold can fall to 2575, I can make more than $50K in profit. If gold unexpectedly falls to 2550, there will be another huge profit! I am looking forward to such a result!
Bros, let's wait and see!
9.20 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyAfter the price easily broke through 2600 today, it is difficult to move very strongly and will continue to run in a pattern with a fluctuating component.
Following the principle of bullish trend, even if you want to make a second bullish operation at night, you need to rely on the intraday high of yesterday and the low point of the hourly big positive line of 2595 as support, and the upper resistance is around 2618/2623
XAUUSD M30 ANALYSIS | LOOKING FOR SELL MEAL!Hi, everyone! I hope you’re all doing great and geared up for today’s trading prospects. I’m eager to share my insights on XAUUSD and explore a potential setup that I believe could be quite beneficial for us.
Looking at the current market conditions, it’s evident that XAUUSD has recently tapped into all buy-side liquidity. This movement hints at a possible change in market sentiment and suggests the emergence of bearish momentum. With that in mind, I’m contemplating a short position on XAUUSD, targeting an entry point at 2600.
Here’s my thorough analysis:
Market Overview: The recent price action indicates that buyers may have reached their limit. With liquidity being exhausted, we could see sellers take charge, driving prices down. Historical trends and current patterns align with this bearish perspective, making it a prime opportunity to leverage potential declines.
Target Levels: For this trade, I’ve set my first target at 2685, with aspirations for further movement down to around 2675. These levels have previously demonstrated significant support, and I believe they will be pivotal during this trading session.
Risk Management: To safeguard our investment, I’ll be placing a stop loss at 2608. This provides a comfortable 80-pip cushion, allowing for some market fluctuations while protecting our capital. It’s crucial to implement a solid risk management strategy, especially in the dynamic environment of XAUUSD.
Trade Execution: I encourage each of you to evaluate this setup according to your own strategies and risk tolerance. Ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying alert for confirmation signals before making your move.
Community Interaction: I want to take a moment to thank you all for the amazing support and engagement you’ve shown towards my ideas. Your feedback inspires me and enhances our community. If you have insights, alternative viewpoints, or questions about this setup—or anything else—please share in the comments! I’m excited to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s stay focused and flexible. Markets can shift quickly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is essential for success. Remember, trading isn’t just about profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s seize today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s go for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
9.20 gold short-term operation technical analysis Gold reversed in a deep V yesterday. Gold fell back to support and then rose again. It seems that gold bulls still have the momentum to continue to rise for the time being. Go long first when gold falls back in the early trading.
Gold's 30-minute moving average entered the golden cross pattern. Gold rose after falling yesterday. Gold bulls once again accumulated momentum to rise. It is still expected to continue to challenge new highs. Gold fell to 2569 last night and then rose directly.
Gold is currently high. After the Fed's interest rate decision, it adjusted deeply. Gold rose again. After the adjustment, gold fell back to support and continued to rise. There was no further decline, indicating that it is still in the stage of bull accumulation. Gold is expected to continue to rise; after breaking through the new high, it will accelerate.
Today's operation strategy
2595 short stop loss 2600. Target 2580-2570
2572 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.