Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00
Pivot Point: 2631.00
The pivot at 2631.00 is a significant resistance level. The price remaining below this point indicates bearish sentiment in the market. If the price breaks above this level, it may signal a shift towards a bullish trend.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Initiate short positions below 2631.00.
Target Levels:
2605.00: This is the first target, representing a potential decline of 26 pips from the pivot. This level may attract some buying interest; however, strong bearish momentum could push through it.
2595.00: The next target indicates a further decline of 36 pips. If selling pressure continues, this level could be reached as a significant downside extension.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price moves above the pivot point at 2631.00, consider long positions.
Entry Point: If the price breaks and sustains above 2631.00, initiate long positions.
Target Levels:
2642.00: The first upside target, suggesting a potential rise of 11 pips from the pivot. This level could serve as initial resistance.
2653.00: The next target indicates a further upside move of 22 pips, suggesting potential for a stronger bullish trend if momentum builds.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is likely reflecting bearish momentum, suggesting further downside as the price remains below the pivot.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is expected to be below its signal line, confirming bearish sentiment.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term weakness and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Market Dynamics:
As long as the resistance at 2631.00 is not surpassed, the risk of breaking below 2605.00 remains high, potentially leading to further declines toward 2595.00.
A sustained break above 2631.00 may shift market sentiment, opening the path for a move toward the upside targets at 2642.00 and 2653.00.
Gold is poised for a potential decline as long as it remains below 2631.00, with targets set at 2605.00 and 2595.00 for further downside.
A breach above 2631.00 could indicate a shift to bullish momentum, targeting 2642.00 and 2653.00 for further upside.
Goldsell
10.9 Gold bottoming out may not be over yetGold fell below the low point of the previous correction yesterday, and the daily line went out of the 5-day negative pattern. This is too much for the bull correction. The continuous negative time is too long, but from the price point of view, it is not, and the amplitude is not enough.
The price broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages, which means that the overall pattern has weakened. Especially after 5 consecutive negatives, there is still momentum for further retracement today.
For today, the probability of continuing the oscillation cycle is still very high.
1. The bottoming out and rebounding during the day, the European market rebounded.
2. The US market rushed down and continued to fall, but the European market rose, and the probability of breaking the bottom today is small. Just look at it as a shock.
3. The previous low point is supported at 2613-4.
In terms of data: EIA crude oil inventory in the United States as of October 4 (10,000 barrels)
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2608 target 2628---2635
SELL: 2635 target 2625----2620
Short gold above 2650Brothers, although gold has not seen a decent decline under the influence of geopolitical conflicts, the sustainability of gold's rise has gradually deteriorated, and the rebound high has gradually moved down. Gold has shown an obvious peaking signal. At present, gold is facing resistance in the 2655-2660 area in the short term; and it has repeatedly tested and broken through the support near 2640, and once fell below the 2630 position. I think gold still has room to continue to fall, at least it will retest the 2615-2610 area, or even the area near 2600.
So I am still optimistic about the decline of gold, and in terms of short-term trading, I advocate shorting gold in batches above 2650.
Short gold near 2640 in the London marketShort gold at the opening of the market, waiting to verify the profit
2640 -2638 Sell
tp2630-2628
The transaction has been executed. Waiting for verification of profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Just personal operation. For reference only.
10,8 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAt the end of the Asian session on Tuesday (October 8), spot gold maintained its intraday decline, and the current gold price fell to around $2,627/ounce. Spot gold closed down 0.41% on Monday at $2,642.28/ounce.
There was no important data released from Monday to Wednesday to guide the market, but the speeches of several Fed officials need special attention, and then there is the September CPI data on Thursday, the initial jobless claims data for the week, and the minutes of the Fed meeting at 2 a.m.
From the daily level, a small negative column was recorded yesterday, and the price remained below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other cycles were arranged upward. The Bollinger overall intended to close, the MACD double-line dead cross probed downward, and the green kinetic energy column increased in volume, which was in line with the K-line trend. The primary pressure above was around $2,650, which was close to the previous high. Below this, the daily line still tended to be short.
$2,650 is the first resistance, and further resistance upwards is near 2,660 (three points above and below). If the intraday rebound does not break through and there is no geopolitical situation to increase risk aversion to support it, the technical retracement and repair demand will continue. Further support below is $2,630. After breaking through, it can extend to the $2,620-2,618 range. In other words, today's trend is expected to retrace first. If it can retrace to the expected range, you can participate in the bullish trend.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, bullish resistance is still largGold intraday trend:
1. It is still likely to fall below 2640 during the day. If it reaches, it will easily break through and support the previous low of 2632.
2. The volatility has not changed. The market is not likely to continue. Both long and short positions can participate.
3. The upper resistance is still at 2660. There were 4-5 negative daily corrections in the previous volatility. The correction time has not reached the limit, so don’t worry about over-adjustment. In terms of price, the high point has only retreated 40-50 US dollars, which is a small range.
Short-term operation:
BUY: 2640 Target: 48---50
SELL: 2660 Target: 2645----40
Ultra-short-term buying. Quick trading guideThe position of 2641 may serve as a short-term rebound support. In the ultra-short term, you can buy with a small order. If the market reaches the position of 2635, you can add a second order. There is no major news to disrupt the market. Sell high and buy low is a suitable strategy for ultra-short-term operations. CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
10.8 Analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (October 7), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,640/ounce. Gold prices fell slightly after violent fluctuations last Friday, closing at $2,652.64/ounce, as the stronger-than-expected US employment report poured cold water on the Fed's expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts in November, boosting the dollar to a high of more than one and a half months, and US bond yields also rose sharply to a high of nearly two months, overshadowing risk aversion concerns over the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
Technical level:
1: In 4 hours, BOLL shrinks, the range shrinks, and the range shrinks to the 70 range of 2642-26; in terms of indicators, the stochastic indicators and MACD indicators are all blunt, and the signals are unclear; in terms of form, it is a horizontal pattern, which is not the top high point;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish adjustment signal; in terms of form, the time-for-space pattern, the market is relatively resistant to decline; the central axis gradually moves up, and the current track support of the central axis is around 2590, but it is expected to rise to around 2600;
Non-farm data is mixed, gold peaks in the short termThe non-agricultural data on Friday went up and down, and it was neither rising nor falling. The 4-hour moving average is sticking together, and it seems that it will break through this week and usher in a big market.
Gold has not reached its peak at all, and the 4-hour cycle is still one wave higher than the other. The only bad signal is that the 60-day moving average of the 4-hour cycle has been broken. We can see that in the previous wave of $150 increase, gold did not touch this moving average at all. This signal must be paid attention to.
The K-line signal is still bullish, and this wave of triangle consolidation is about to change. Technically, gold has not reached the top yet, and gold has one last rise.
Intraday short-term trading strategy:
Gold 2665 short stop loss 2670 target 2645---40
Gold 2633 long, stop loss 2623, target 2655---60
Sell gold in the ultra-short term. The room for decline is about $6 or more.
The price range of 2655-2652 is the top of the triangle pressure. Selling is the main method in the ultra-short term.
If you hold a loss order for a long time a CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD nd don’t know how to deal with it, leave me a message.
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How to get rid of a sell order in hand ?If you make money, it's because of your good skills or luck. But how should you deal with orders that lose money?
Stop loss or continue to hold? It depends on whether the market continues to rise or fall. I personally think that the market will continue to fall. The main reason is that there is a lot of pressure from above.
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For investors who hold short orders, I suggest you continue to hold and wait for a suitable time to close the order. After all, after the stop loss, the loss is huge. Many people cannot accept it. Moreover, many people have different selling timings and positions.
Getting rid of the short orders in my hands is my only idea at present. Whether you are a novice or an investor who has been in the market for a long time, you will face this problem.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Judging from my more than ten years of trading experience, it is only a matter of time before the gold price falls. It is reasonable to mitigate the loss through other transactions in the short term. After all, as long as it reduces the loss, any method can be implemented.
Starting next week, I will share my real-time views and operation strategies one after another. If you want to recover your losses, keep paying attention. In this way, while you continue to pay attention to me, you will definitely get help and the answers you want.
Gold fluctuates and awaits non-agricultural data!!!For today, we need to divide the non-agricultural data into two parts.
1. Before the data, it rose in the morning. The European market rose and fell in the past two days. From the perspective of the daily line pattern, it tested 2664 4 times, and the resistance level was very small. This must be a breakthrough, but if this breakthrough continues to fall, it will not make much sense.
So, either it is around 2658-60, with a loss of 50, and look at 2673=75 above, and arrive before the data.
2. Give up the intraday market and wait for non-agricultural data.
Referring to Wednesday's ADP, the non-agricultural data is likely to bottom out and rebound, but this bottoming must be based on the breakthrough and rise in the European market, and the US market will see a bottoming and rebound.
If it has been suppressed below 2664 during the day, then the bottoming and rebounding will not make much sense. The trend is not very strong.
Only if it breaks through during the day and the US market bottoms out and rebounds, there is a risk of breaking high. If it is suppressed, it is likely to continue to fluctuate.
So whether it is strong today depends on the strength of the breakthrough in the European market.
If there is no breakthrough, look for shocks; if there is a breakthrough, look for strength
GOLD - WHAT ARE WE WAITING FOR? SHORT TIMETeam, congratulations to those who followed 7 trades yesterday; we got all hit perfectly. AUS200, UK100 , DOW X 2 AND NAS AND GOLD X 2
We are shorting GOLD at the moment 2656-2655 ranges, with stop loss at 2665,
Target at 2649
target 2 at 2647
Target 3 at 2645 or 2643
Once the price hit below 2650, trail stop loss to BE
XAUUSD must be shorted today and tomorrow!News: As I said in the past two days, although the United States today 'the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States to the beginning of the week on September 28th‘ has a lot of gold, the gold market does not rise but falls. This shows that the strength of the bulls in the gold market is insufficient, and many investors are not optimistic about the rise of gold when the U.S. economy has recovered.
Therefore, tomorrow the release of the US‘September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls’ data will explode the entire gold market, and gold will choose its direction again.
Judging from the current various news, the U.S. economy is recovering, and tomorrow's ’U.S. September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls' data will be bearish for gold, so the trend of gold today and tomorrow will be dominated by empty heads!
Therefore, the strategy of gold in the past two days is still mainly shorting: continue to short the gold market near 2655!
Need more trading signals and strategies, welcome to the comment area!
Gold keeps hitting new highs, and today is the day to see a breaThe gold price moves perfectly along the trend line. It starts to rise when it approaches the trend line. Gold is accumulating strength at a high level. Today, the gold price may break through the historical high and start the rising mode.
The gold price trend is very healthy. It starts to rise when it approaches the trend line and important moving average. The best operation is to follow the trend, because the risk of going long is much lower, just like the Chinese A-shares that are winning by doing nothing now. Shorting may burst at any time, and going long may reach the daily limit at any time.
Today's data:
The number of layoffs of challenger companies in the United States in September (10,000 people)
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week ending September 28 (10,000 people)
The final value of the S&P Global Services PMI in the United States in September
Trading strategy: Gold 2640 more, stop loss 2630, target 2665--------2670
This Week’s Profit Doubling PlanNews: Today's U.S. market will have a sharp bearish gold on the ‘U.S. ADP employment numbers for September’, but gold did not fall in time. This is not difficult to understand. After all, many investors in the market do not buy short-selling accounts after the interest rate hike.
But I think there will definitely be a wave of bearish trends in the future. At the same time, some international institutions will use this wave to increase shipments. After all, the U.S. economy is still recovering, so to a certain extent, it will suppress the rise of gold.
Judging from the bearish gold in the US ADP data tonight, the US economy has also been developing for the better recently.Therefore, there is a high probability that the speech of the Fed governor later will be bearish on gold.Then this Friday's ’U.S. September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls' data will also bearish gold.
So the overall gold trend this week is empty!Insist on short-selling!
Today's strategy: Short the gold market near 2660, and add a position near 2665!
Daily strategy, daily updates, remember to pay more attention,A lot of benefits!
10.3 Gold short-term operation strategyAt present, gold continues to fluctuate. The hourly chart has formed a converging triangle. The short-term support is 2648, and the upper pressure is at 2670. From the daily chart, the "big positive front resistance line" pattern has been formed. Under the support of the big positive line of last week, after repeated short-term fluctuations, the market tends to choose to break down! ! !
Today's data:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of September 28 (10,000)
Intraday operations:
BUY: 2648 Stop loss: 2643 Target: 2655----2660
SELL: 2665 Stop loss: 2660 Target: 2630----2625
XAUUSD: Will the decline continue after the conflict?Yesterday, the US dollar index rose for the second consecutive trading day, hitting a two-week high, supported by data showing the resilience of the US labor market and the dual support of safe-haven currency properties.
It stands to reason that the rise of the US dollar index will suppress gold and cause it to fall. However, due to the sudden escalation of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel, the demand for safe havens has been greatly boosted, resulting in a rare rise in gold and the US dollar together.
The escalation of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has indeed greatly affected the direction of gold, but as of now, I don’t think gold supports the momentum to continue to rise sharply.
Judging from the news, the rise in gold is due to the situation in the Middle East. If the situation in the Middle East eases next, or the situation is not as tense as the first day, then gold will still fall as it rose.
Unless the situation in the Middle East will intensify in the future, and it will be more violent than yesterday’s conflict
From the figure, we can see that the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 from yesterday’s high of 2673 and today’s low of 2645 is 2655. As long as the rebound does not exceed 0.618, it is bound to fall to a new low.
The short position I held yesterday suffered a slight loss due to the sudden outbreak of the Middle East conflict, but I added positions at 2655 and 2666 respectively, which increased the average price and is now profitable.
In summary, I still have a bearish view, so I will continue to hold short positions.
Huge border jam XAU 2625 - 2671! wait for ADP-NF⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during early European trading on Wednesday, giving back part of the previous day's 1% surge, which was driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Concerns of a wider conflict rose after Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel, increasing demand for the safe-haven asset. However, reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) limited further gains for gold.
At the same time, the US Dollar held onto its recent recovery, supported by a resilient labor market, which also weighed on gold. Despite this, XAU/USD remains close to last week's record high, with the overall outlook still favoring bulls. Traders now await the US ADP employment report for direction, ahead of Friday's key Nonfarm Payrolls data.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices rose sharply after yesterday's war news - but fell sharply afterwards - moving within a large range awaiting this week's ADP-NF and NF data
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2630
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2620 - $2622 SL $2615
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2645
TP3: $2660
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2681 - $2683 SL $2688
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest