10.2 Gold bottoms out and correction is made from high levelsGold daily line is still sideways at a high level, and the K line continues to deviate far from the moving average. This is an abnormal trend. The gold price will inevitably return to the moving average. This is inevitable. At the same time, there is an obvious double top pattern near 2670, and the upper shadow line continues to close.
Gold fell under pressure from the high level in 4 hours. Gold continued to have a double top structure in 4 hours. Gold rose to 2673 last night and fell under pressure. The resistance is obvious.
The tension in the Middle East is still an important factor affecting the gold price. This week will usher in non-agricultural data.
Intraday operation:
SELL: 2675 Target: 2660------2650
BUY: 2645 Target: 2665------2675
Goldsell
This week's gold trading strategyThis week's gold trading strategy, be able to understand and follow, there will be a 50% profit this week!
News: Everyone knows that the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates some time ago, which added a fire to the entire gold market. In addition, the global geopolitical conflict has ignited the entire gold market, causing the price of gold to reach 2700!For all of us traders, what we want to know most is which direction the market should go next.
First of all, the news is that the United States has cut interest rates, and the impact of geopolitical risks has been almost digested by the market, so it is a bit difficult for gold to hit the high point!
In addition, after the U.S. interest rate cut, it will definitely focus on economic development, so the U.S. economy will improve next, so the dollar index will rise, and the price of gold will also fluctuate and fall!
So I judge that in the next week or so, the gold market will fluctuate and fall!
Technical aspects: You can see that the candlestick chart of gold is currently in a downtrend channel. Although it has broken through the top of the uptrend channel, it is not a real technical breakthrough. It is caused by today's US data ‘ISM Manufacturing PMI for September'. Gold will return to the trend next, so it is best to go short at a high level, but go long at a low level in the trend!
News forecast: U.S. ADP employment in September (10,000 people)-bearish gold
U.S. non-farm payrolls after September quarter-adjusted (10,000 people)-bearish gold
This week's point strategy: 2670 short, 2675 increase position
2620 go long, 2615 increase position
If you want to see specific trading signal strategies, please consult in the comments area!
XAU correction - market balance ! DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/30 - 10/04/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold dropped to a three-day low below $2,650 after the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that September inflation is moving closer to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) target. Despite expectations for more Fed rate cuts, gold struggled as traders likely took profits. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,657, down nearly 0.50%.
Earlier, the BEA announced that the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, showed progress toward the 2% goal in August. Core PCE also rose slightly compared to July’s data.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price completed 5 elliott waves, H4 frame uptrend. Waiting for gold correction chip to decrease in the near future
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2685, $2702
Support : $2643, $2628, 2571
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU bearish sideway - waiting for NF this week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION :
Gold prices (XAU/USD) ticked up slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a two-day decline and pausing the recent pullback from last week’s all-time high. However, the increase lacks strong momentum due to modest US Dollar strength, supported by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on Monday and optimism around China's stimulus efforts, both limiting gains for the safe-haven asset.
That said, significant declines in gold remain unlikely, given ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, expectations of further US rate cuts amid slowing inflation and hopes for China's stimulus to boost physical demand should continue to support XAU/USD. Traders are now awaiting US macroeconomic data and Fed commentary for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price clearly shows a downward adjustment trend in the H1 frame - sideway price range 2625 - 2648 waiting for NF this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2626 SL $2620
TP1: $2633
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2648
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2655
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2633
TP3: $2625
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10.1 Analysis of gold short-term technical operations1. The daily line has adjusted for two days and just stepped back on the 10-day moving average. According to the bulls, this is a typical correction. The biggest step back in the strong trend is 10 days. Whether it can go up today is very critical.
2. The usual high-rise and fall in the morning, the European market is weak. For the continuous market, the European market is weak and the US market is difficult to increase.
3. Yesterday, the US market retreated twice, and the European market broke the bottom, and the US market was weak after the bottom.
It cannot continue the retracement. 2623 is the retracement of the rise to 382, which is very critical. It breaks the bottom and affects the bulls.
In addition, the daily line is weak, so the rise is affected.
And today, it is above the turning point of long and short.
The watershed in the morning is 2640. It is not considered whether the European market will go through a cyclic retracement for the time being.
Gold's short-term downturn has passed, go long at 30Gold is long near 2630.
Gold has gone out of the turning point, the decline is over, and it is about to start rising. Go long in the short term today, seize this opportunity to get a big wave.
Gold fell back to the moving average and closed with a hammer line, and the turning point signal is obvious. Go long near 2630. If we look at the moving average, it also meets the bullish trend, because every time the gold price falls back to the moving average, there will be a rebound. Can it rebound and break the historical high? Let's not consider it for now, grab the long orders near 2630, and let the market give us the rise we want.
Trading strategy:
Gold is long at 2630, stop loss at 2620, target 2650-------2655
Still holding short positions, 2630 is not the end!So far, I still insist on holding short positions and executing mid-term trading as planned. So far, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2630. Although it has rebounded and returned to around 2640. But it is obvious that the high point of gold rebound is gradually decreasing, and as gold continues to fall below 2650 and 2640, it also means that the adjustment cycle has been prolonged to a certain extent. So it is obvious that gold has not completely stabilized and is expected to continue to pull back.
So 2630 is not the end point, gold is expected to continue to fall, and it is very likely to retest around 2600 again, and it may even fail to hold 2600 and have to test around 2580. So I still stick to the mid-term trading plan, short gold, and wait for the fruits of victory!
Bros, let's wait and see!
GOLD ! 9/30 ! down adjustmentXAU / USD trend forecast September 30, 2024
Israel escalated its conflict with Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon, launching airstrikes on Sunday and raising fears of a wider Middle East war. The Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting several locations, including power plants and a seaport in Yemen. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes killed Nabil Kaouk, the deputy head of Hezbollah's Central Council, marking the seventh Hezbollah leader killed in just over a week.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// SELL XAU : zone 2664-2667
SL: 2672
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2637)
Safe and profitable trading
9.30 If the short-term gold high is not broken, it will be a corTechnically, the 2670 level has become an important resistance level, which has not been broken through many times. The Bollinger Bands have begun to close. From all angles, gold will not rise in the short term.
With such a big thing happening in the Middle East, gold should have started a wave of $50 rise, but it didn't. That must be because gold digested the news in advance. If there is no positive news, gold will turn to a sharp drop.
Intraday operation:
SEII: 2665 Stop loss: 2672
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640
XAU/USD Sell to Buy idea (potential pullback?)I’m watching for a potential sell around the 2-hour supply zone. Specifically, I'll be looking for the Asian session high to be taken out, followed by a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames. Since this setup is counter-trend, I expect it to mark a possible reversal point for gold, as the Wyckoff pattern has already played out on the higher time frames and the market structure has shifted to the downside.
If price continues to drop, I’ll shift my focus to potential buy opportunities around the 2,630 level. Once price enters this zone and shows signs of accumulation, I’ll look to trade with the overall bullish trend, as I remain optimistic on gold’s long-term upside.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A Wyckoff distribution has occurred on the higher time frames.
- The market structure has shifted downward (price changed character).
- Price is nearing the 2-hour supply zone, which could trigger a reversal.
- Despite gold’s bullish trend, bullish momentum seems to be weakening.
- If a full reversal doesn’t occur, a pullback is still likely before price continues upward.
Note: If price breaks above this supply zone and makes a new all-time high (ATH), I’ll look for a nearby demand zone to catch buys before price mitigates the 8-hour or 10-hour demand below.
Gold closes higher and may fall back to peakThe gold hourly line has obviously reached the top. The K line rushed to around 2685, and then the big Yin line directly covered it and crushed it directly. It once fell by 30 US dollars. The top was obviously bearish engulfing. The moving average was directly bent and turned downward. Of course, the gold price deviated far from the moving average, and it was bound to return to the 50-day moving average. Detailed operations during the day: SELL: 2650------2645
Gold bulls are strong and aiming at 2700!At present, the support for the continuous rise of gold prices is still the strong demand of the Federal Reserve and other European countries for gradually loose monetary policies; coupled with the tension in Middle East relations, economic downturn and geopolitical relations, gold prices continue to rise. In terms of technical forms, the room for gold prices to retrace is limited, and the time for correction is also very short. The momentum of continuous rise is very strong, and the upward space is expected to continue to open up.
The Asian session is corrected by the conversion of the hourly Yin and Yang lines. The European session began to rise. Even if economic data is released, it does not affect the bullish trend. There is not much room for recent corrections, especially in the European session. There is basically no retracement, and it continues to rise after the middle cross K pattern. Based on the above situation, even if the retracement relies on the top of the previous hourly line Yang line 2675, it will continue to be bullish.
Resistance level: 2683 2690. Break to see 2700
9.26 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe gold four-hour line is a positive line throughout the whole process. Even if it closes with a negative line, it can still break through the positive line directly and close with a long lower shadow. The K line always stands above the moving average and always crushes the moving average. The bullish trend has not changed at all, and the support level has been constantly moving up. This is a super buying trend that continues to set new highs.
Short-term operation in the Asian session:
BUY: 2658 Target: 2670
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsGold rose again in 1 hour and is currently trading at 2660 without breaking a new high.
At present, gold has begun to form a small double top. After continuous rise, the bullish momentum of gold has gradually begun to be consumed. A major adjustment is imminent. If the rebound of gold in the US market does not break a new high, it can still be shorted.
On the 1-hour K-line chart, gold has risen. At this time, the Bollinger Bands began to close, and the gold price fluctuated and adjusted. As for the target position, we look at the 1-hour moving average
Today's focus
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 21 (10,000 people)
Detailed operations during the day:
Sell: 2665 Target 2650-2645
9.26 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, gold continued to break highs in the US market, performing extremely strongly. The early trading price was 2661. Yesterday, it rose by 30 US dollars and continued to rise to the 2670 line. There is no doubt that with the frequent breakthrough of high points, the rising gold bulls are coming, and the upward trend will accelerate. Bulls will be the main theme in the future; the correction action is presented in the form of shocks.
"Although it has set new highs many times this year and outperformed major stock indexes, in the long run, gold still has room for further growth. Pay attention to the correction in the short term." In a low interest rate environment and geopolitical turmoil, interest-free gold is often the preferred investment.
Today's operation:
BUY: 2650 stop loss 2640 target: 2665-2675
SELL: 2680 stop loss 2685 target: 2660-2655
9.25 Professional Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyToday, the recommended upper pressure position is 2665, and the lower support is 2645. The overall market still shows a trend of raising the low point to a new high, and the structural low point of this round is around 2624. The support effect of this position was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis. So if the market has a strong correction today and directly breaks through 2645 without stopping, the alternative plan is to look at the support of 2638. This position is the support of the Fibonacci 0.618 correction level of yesterday's overall pull-up.
9.25 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 25), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high and is currently trading around $2,660.16 per ounce. Gold prices rose by $30 on Tuesday and hit a record high of $2,664, continuing the recent rally. The daily line closed with a big positive, with basically no leads.
In addition to the tensions in the Middle East that have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold, the US consumer confidence index has recorded the largest drop in three years, and concerns about the labor market are growing. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November have increased, and the US dollar index has recorded the largest single-day drop in nearly a month, which also provides momentum for gold prices to rise.
Gold is undoubtedly strong at present, whether from a short-term or long-term perspective, especially in the 4-hour period, which basically starts to rise as soon as it steps back on the moving average, and there is basically no retracement. Although gold is undoubtedly strong, this round of gold has risen by nearly 200 points in just two weeks, so the risks of peaking and retracement that I have been emphasizing in my previous articles are needed. Of course, we have no idea where the top is. We all have guessed the top, but the current price is already in danger. When it reaches our position, we can still participate in short orders.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2665, defense at 2670, target 2650-2640
Long at 2635, defense at 2628, target 2650-2660
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601.
Today's market operation:
2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635
2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices.
Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement.
It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600
Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement
The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session
Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%.
Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665
Support : $2584, $2558, 2529
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be.
As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back.
Intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600
Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630