XAUUSD - sells in play?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair updated from the previous one.
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are still using H4 to show you the sells we have in play.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s .
If you remember our previous long-term view on OANDA:XAUUSD you should remember that after hitting the top of the area at around 2714 (a bit higher) we were automatically looking for sells. We are currently holding a few sell positions at 2680s as the price failed to break higher.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some massive sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD completed the predicted long-term move to the upside.
- XAUUSD sells were called at the top of the area (2714).
- XAUUSD failed to break higher and is following the long-term analysis.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Goldsell
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today?
From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30
$: 55 62 68
12.18 Gold shock revision BUYGold rebounded slightly yesterday, with a small cross positive line on the daily line.
1. After bottoming out and rebounding in the morning, it started to rise from 2650 in the afternoon.
2662-3 is the 382 position of the rebound from Friday's decline, and 2664 is the continued decline, so it is the key resistance level.
The two watersheds are very clear, one is the low point of 2643, and the other is the European session time point. Therefore, the 2650 line was chosen to bet on the rebound.
2. The 2662-4 line, the evening retracement, the formula emphasizes that the European session opened a decline in the morning, oscillated, especially the rebound from 6-8 o'clock, so in this process, the price did not break through from 8-10 o'clock, and it has been sideways, so the probability of a retracement in the US session is very high.
3. The 2650-1 line, yesterday's intraday rise and retracement to the 618 position, the standard 618 in the oscillation is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Although the 618 position was touched yesterday or sideways this morning, the strength of the pullback is not large, but it is still a sign of oscillation.
Today, it is quite controversial. The daily small cross positive line, according to the previous rhythm, the daily positive line is a continuous positive line, so we still need to see a rebound.
The cross K is also the transit point of the short-term decline, so the European session time is very important.
The watershed 2643 is also very important, which is the key to see whether it will continue to fall.
From the operation point of view, in the morning at 618, the 4-hour is still more, 2651-2 is more, if you don’t participate before 7-8 in the morning, you won’t participate in the second time.
Today, we really need to observe the strength and weakness of the day.
Look at the rhythm of the day’s operation and the layout of the US market.
1. Break 2643 during the day, the US market will pull back and empty, and the support level is 2630-32.
2. If it continues to rise during the day, the daily line is likely to go through a cycle of continuous positive rebound. Today, we will see a pullback of 618. If it is touched, you can short. You can’t double top short.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640, defense 30, target 55-60
12.17 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis SELLGold was still fluctuating and repairing yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still fluctuating with a short side. Rebounds are still opportunities to continue to short. Gold is still short at the current price of 2656 in the early trading!
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a death cross downward. The adjustment of gold has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660. It is still short at highs under pressure at 2665 in the Asian session. It can also be shorted near 2656 in the Asian session.
Gold is fluctuating and urgently needs to choose a direction. Of course, it is now a fluctuating relay of the decline, so it is still short at highs. The focus of this week is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision waiting to be launched, which is also the battle between the long and short positions of gold. Whether the gold bulls can turn the tide depends on the impact of the data.
Of course, if gold does not break a new low for a long time, it is not ruled out that gold has the possibility of short-term bottoming, so it is time to be flexible at any time.
Asian trading strategy:
Short gold at 2656, stop loss at 2666, target at 2640-2635
Follow the trend and short gold!This week is a new week, so let's start this week's trading with hope!
Gold rebounded after touching 2643, and currently rebounded to 2658. From the current rebound strength, gold is still very weak. And after gold just experienced a big drop, there is no position to support gold to rebound immediately. So we can only follow the weak trend in trading at present.
So in the short term, I still prefer to short gold, and there is resistance in the 2660-2670 area above. Once gold cannot break through this area strongly, gold is likely to continue to fall. Once gold encounters resistance and falls back, it may fall back to the 2645-2640 area, or even the 2630 area.
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD Going to the level of 2269$ GOLD Going to the level of 2269$
Gold-price may fall a bit and then bounce back to the $2690 level
Recently, the price started falling from the resistance line, breaking the $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking the $2605 level too.
Price then turned around and started rising inside a wedge where it broke the resistance line and soon reached the $2605 level.
The price exceeded this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then made a correction to the support level.
Then, the price traded for a while and then fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it made an upward momentum.
Gold went up to the wedge resistance line, violating the $2690 level, but it recently turned around and fell to the support line.
Now, I think gold may fall below the wedge support line a bit and then bounce to the $2690 level.
12.16 Gold Short-term Operation AnalysisThe gold market rose and fell last week. At the beginning of the week, the market opened high at 2645.1 due to the risk aversion factors on the weekend. The market first filled the gap and gave 2626.1. Then the market rose strongly. By Thursday morning, the highest point of this round of impact target 2726.2 was touched. After that, the market took profits and the negative fundamental factors suppressed the market to fall rapidly. The weekly line finally closed at 2648.6. The weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the weekly line has technical adjustment pressure, and the target of this round of testing is still the weekly level Bu Lin middle track support. In terms of points, if it rises first in the morning, give 2667 shorts and conservatively give 2670 shorts and stop losses at 2674. The lower targets are 2655 and 2645. If it falls below, this week's targets are 2640 and 2631 supports. If it still breaks, look at 2623 and 2612 near the extreme adjustment points of this round to exit and reverse trend long positions.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS Recent Movement: Gold climbed to $2,720 before experiencing a market drop to $2,645.
Short-Term Strategy: To initiate a buy, we need confirmation that selling pressure has eased, as indicated by candlestick signals on the H1 and H4 charts. Key buy zones for the upcoming week are identified at $2,636 - $2,614.
Long-Term Outlook: Gold retains the potential to reach the $3,000 mark. However, before a significant upward move, the price is likely to trade sideways in the H1 and H4 timeframes or dip further to build selling momentum and mislead the market.
xau/usd continuation sell of from $2,678Gold has been showing clear structure to the downside on the 1H. However, on the 4H time frames and above we didn't actually see price further BOS to the downside buy rather it pushed back up the 8H imbalance to create EQH liquidity. This makes me wonder whether or not we will see a last push up from Gold before price then makes it way further down.
However, this week we can be sure to catch some sells on gold as we see a lot of bearish indication on the lower time frames. I am expecting for price to open and consolidate before it takes the ASH and potentially fails the 30min supply zones i have before reacting from the 6H supply. It is also possible that price may want to fill the 6h Imbalance above and actually react from the 4H supply instead.
If price truly wishes to respect these Asian highs and simply further react without having a significant retracement then I can potentially expect price to react from these lower time frame 30min supply order blocks.
xauusd analysis for mondayTechnical Analysis
Key Levels:
Support:
Primary Support: $2,630–$2,640, a crucial level that has consistently held over the past weeks.
Secondary Support: A breakdown below $2,630 could lead to further declines toward $2,600 and $2,570
Resistance:
Primary Resistance: $2,670–$2,700, a zone gold must clear to confirm bullish momentum.
Extended Target: A sustained move above $2,700 could push gold toward $2,720 or higher, with the long-term target near $2,750
Price Action:
Gold has been consolidating around $2,650, indicating indecision in the market. Traders are awaiting a catalyst for a breakout in either direction
Indicators:
RSI: Neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading near its 50-day moving average, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggests the current correction phase might end soon, potentially paving the way for an upward movement
Fundamental Analysis
Key Drivers:
1. Federal Reserve Meeting:
A dovish stance or pause in rate hikes could weaken the USD, benefiting gold. Conversely, a hawkish surprise could pressure prices.
2. US Economic Data:
Housing Data: Strong numbers may support the USD, weighing on gold.
GDP Report: A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's safe-haven appeal, while strong data might strengthen the dollar
3. Global Economic Factors:
Geopolitical Risks: Persistent uncertainties may sustain demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Inflation: Gold's role as an inflation hedge keeps it relevant amid ongoing inflationary pressures globally
4. Seasonal Trends:
December traditionally sees increased gold demand, linked to year-end portfolio adjustments and festive purchases.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $2,660
Targets: $2,700, $2,720, and potentially $2,750
Stop-Loss: Below $2,630
Strategy: Look for a confirmed breakout above resistance or positive market sentiment boosting gold.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Below $2,630
Targets: $2,600 and $2,570
Stop-Loss: Above $2,660
Strategy: Watch for rejection at $2,650 or stronger-than-expected US data supporting the USD.
GOLD Speculative Sell - Correction AnticipationDon't forget to check my previous analysis. Afer gold edges up to 2,05% since break out from wide sideways range, finally it's close to resistance area in 2719-2722. Technically, i see classical resistance which it's a LH from D1 chart. It's a invalid seller to hold short position for a longer time. Seller must be exit from market if this level broke up. I also see fibonacci 1.618 in 2719-2722 and we know it's a strong fibbo level that can cause a correction movement. If this area become a strong resistance i anticipate to take a short position and use 2695-2705 as a profit target.
Disclaimer ON! DYOR and always put your SL level to prevent bigger risk to your account. Thankyou
Xauusd shot XAU/USD fell towards $2,680 and remains under pressure as investors diggest US figures and the European Central Bank monetary policy announcement. Inflation in the US at wholesale levels rose by more than anticipated in November, according to the latest Producer Price Index release.
Gold now sell 2685
Support 2670
Support 2660
Resistance 2689
Resistance 2710
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAU / USD ! Scalping in an uptrend ! support 2702SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) pauses its advance on Wednesday after gaining approximately 2.5% over the last three sessions. The metal faces resistance near the $2,700 level during early Asian trading, as investors show caution ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due at 13:30 GMT.
US inflation is expected to remain elevated in November, with headline figures ticking higher. While this data is unlikely to prevent the Federal Reserve (Fed) from implementing a 25-basis-point rate cut next week, it could signal a more measured approach to rate cuts moving into 2025.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still continuing, it is possible to scalp the old resistance price area this morning at 2702
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2702 - $2704 SL $2707 scalping
TP1: $2697
TP2: $2692
TP3: $2685
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sorry, I'm already short goldBros, the expected CPI disappointed me. And the original plan to buy gold at 2580 was stranded because gold did not fall back effectively, so I had to give up the original plan to buy gold.
Gold moved very strongly today, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around 2700. But for now, after gold continued its rebound to the 2700-2705 area, it did not usher in explosive emotional buying, and the price of gold did not rise sharply. Instead, it has been fluctuating in the 2700-2705 area. In the fierce game between long and short sides, the short force is not completely without opportunities, so since there is no opportunity to participate in the long gold, we might as well prepare in advance to see the decline and retracement of gold.
In addition, from the perspective of candlestick charts, even if gold continues to rise, it needs to build a W-shaped structure in the structure to support the continued rise of gold. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to fall back!
Bros, I have already shorted gold in the 2700-2705 area. Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
The only chance to short gold!As I said in my last article, I planned to buy gold with the 2670-2660 area as support, but gold did not fall back to 2670, not even to 2671, so unfortunately gold did not reach our buying area.
Currently, gold has risen to around 2690. Obviously, it is not a good idea to chase gold near this position, and it faces resistance in the 2695-2700 area. I think even if gold breaks through the 2695-2700 resistance area, it will retreat because it needs to accumulate upward momentum. So anyway, I will try to short gold here once.
Am I the only one who takes the risk of shorting gold in the entire network? Will you try to short gold in this position area? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD IS SHOWING SIGNS OF POTENTIALXAU/USD is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, presenting a favorable long opportunity for traders. The price is currently near a strong support zone, often associated with increased buying pressure. Coupled with technical indicators hinting at upward momentum and a weaker dollar environment, this could pave the way for a significant price increase. However, patience is key—await confirmation of a breakout or a clear bullish trend before entering a position to maximize risk-to-reward potential.
12.11 Gold Breakthrough? Exploring the bottom?Gold broke through the range yesterday and rose sharply, with a medium-sized positive line on the daily line.
This is mainly because it did not retreat to the key resistance level of 2688-9, which was the previous decline.
In addition, it also formed another force at 7-8 o'clock in the morning, and went through a cycle.
In terms of technical points, today's technical points are basically the same.
1. The previous day was strong, and the second day's morning 7-8 o'clock saw an increase.
2. The morning rose, forming a low point watershed. Today is 2693.
3. The European session broke the previous day's high, so the US session must be long twice, and the correction at 6-8 o'clock requires one more time in the US session.
4. There was no cyclical decline after 10 o'clock in the US session yesterday, and the resistance level of 2689 was blocked, but there was no decline.
5. The rise continued to break the high in the early morning, and it is destined to have more cycles in the morning today.
And the morning continued to rise, breaking the 2700 line. How to look at it today?
From the 4-hour perspective, the market has been rising with broken Yang all the way. There are two trends for this pattern:
1. Continue to accelerate the rise at the current position. The upper resistance is 2722-24, the previous high point.
2. This kind of broken Yang has a relatively fast bottoming out and rebound during the day, and then continues to be strong.
Because after the morning market, the long position is very stuck, it depends on how to understand it:
From the perspective of the pattern, it is unnecessary to short, either continue to wait, continue to rise during the day, and continue to be long in the US market.
Or wait for more intraday retracements, but this kind of retracement now, if it returns to the starting point in the morning, it is not meaningful, and it can only break the position and rise.
Therefore, we are more inclined to the latter, and the European market will quickly bottom out and rebound during the day.
In other words, there is no need to chase the longs, wait for more intraday retracements, or wait and see the US market.
Although the watershed in the morning is at 2693, according to the continued rise in the early morning, the watershed is at 2684-5, which is the focus of today's attention.
In view of the intraday retracement, especially the retracement after breaking the watershed, we are considering more, and we will see the bottom rise.
Or it is extremely strong, and it will continue to pull up directly, and we will see the show during the day, and we will see more highs and falls in the US market. The key resistance above is 2722-4.
Short-term support is 2684-5. Other positions are not considered for the time being, just pay attention to the intraday prompts.
12.11 Gold breaks resistance level, 2700 is comingTechnical analysis: key support and resistance levels
From a technical perspective, spot gold has successfully broken through and closed above the key resistance level of $2,650, and this breakthrough has provided new momentum for bulls. The oscillator indicators on the daily chart show positive upward momentum, suggesting that gold prices may continue to challenge the $2,700 mark and further touch the supply range of $2,720-2,722.
But at the same time, attention should be paid to the role of support levels. As a previous resistance level, $2,650 has now been transformed into an important short-term support. If it falls below this level, gold prices may further pull back to the $2,625-2,620 area, or even test the $2,600 integer mark. If it breaks below $2,600, it may open up more downside space, targeting the November low of $2,537-2,536.
Intraday analysis: upward momentum may continue
Overall, the upward momentum of spot gold remains solid. Under the combined effect of safe-haven demand, weak US dollar and geopolitical risks, gold prices are expected to continue to rise in the short term. However, before the Fed meeting and the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the market may be volatile. If the CPI data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, it may provide conditions for gold bulls to further exert their strength.
In the medium and long term, the gold market is still strongly supported by fundamentals. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the Fed's policy direction and the geopolitical situation, which will continue to affect market sentiment and gold prices.