Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
Goldsell
Clear Outlook for Gold Rebound: Bulls May Retest 2753At today’s opening, gold formed a long lower shadow, indicating that support remains intact. Currently, the MA5 is undergoing a shift from support to resistance, which, if successful, could signal a short-term bullish trend and a potential move higher.
I expect gold to approach the MA60, around 2745, followed by a pullback to retest the MA5 to confirm support, potentially reaching 2753. Thus, buy orders placed on Friday may see profits today.
However, as we approach the New York session, gold may encounter downward pressure. The daily chart shows a notable bearish divergence, suggesting a long-term trend shift. Barring a major bullish catalyst, this divergence may only resolve through further declines or consolidation. Iran’s possible retaliation could serve as a pivotal event.
Meanwhile, tomorrow’s U.S. election is expected to bolster the dollar, potentially adding pressure on gold. Today’s strategy favors buying, but attention should shift to selling opportunities tomorrow.
11.4 Gold daily line support high position is not guaranteedIn terms of gold, the overall gold price fell last Friday. The highest price rose to 2762.08 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 2733.08, closing at 2734.94. Looking back at the details of the gold market performance last Friday, the price stopped rising in the short term after the opening of the morning session, and then maintained a state of fluctuating rise during the day. At the same time, during the US session, the price rose and fell with the help of data, and then the price continued to fall weakly, and finally ended in a big negative state on the daily line. Today, Monday morning, it opened directly with a gap down. From the low point, the 2731-2734 range is the long-short watershed position at the daily level. Pay attention to the downhill performance of this area in the future. Once it breaks down, the band is expected to be further under pressure in the future. At the same time, from the four-hour level, pay attention to the resistance of the 2755-2756 range for the time being, and wait for the subsequent price to step back and then go short. As long as the price does not temporarily break the high point of last Friday, it will be treated as short first. There are signs of correction in the short term in the one-hour chart. At the same time, the price is in the key support area of the daily chart, so we will wait for the price to fall back and then go short. Once the price breaks below the 2731-2734 area, it is expected to be under further pressure.
Correction Gold. H4 04.11.2024Correction Gold 📉
On gold, I expect a deep correction to the buyers' target zone of 2637-2666.
Just above the zone is the margin and also hits a strong accumulated volume
profile on the rise. Together these factors give a high probability of a price
bounce if it can reach the zone. From the current 2730 from 1/2 of the margin
a bounce is also possible, but given the importance of the current week,
the US elections on 5 November and the Fed rate on 7 November, we should
consider the possibility of a deeper correction.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
11.4 Where will the gold trend go?Last week, the gold market rose and fell. At the beginning of the week, the market opened at 2736.8, then fell back to give a weekly low of 2724.5, and then the market rose rapidly. On Thursday, the market gave a new historical high of 2790.2 for the second time, and then the market fell strongly. The weekly line finally closed at 2735, and the weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow line. After such a pattern ended, the market had a signal of a decline this week. In terms of points, the long stop loss of 1996 and 2028 below is followed at 2600. Today, the short stop loss of 2752 is 2757. The lower target is 2730 and 2724. If it falls below, the support points of 2716 and 2705 are seen.
BUY: 2720 Target: 2740------50
SELL: 2755 Target: 2730------20
You Know: This Is Comprehensive Sell Trade setupCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts - 7 Dimension Analysis
This analysis provides a short-term sell setup within a larger bullish swing structure, using liquidity levels, chart patterns, and volume to determine an ideal entry point for a pullback.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
Bullish Structure with Break of Structure (BOS): The current structure remains bullish, with a BOS already confirmed. However, there are signs of a potential pullback.
Inducement Complete: Liquidity has been gathered in previous moves, indicating a probable short-term correction.
Current Price Zone: The price is positioned in a discounted zone, making it an attractive area for initiating a short position during this pullback.
Point of Interest (POI): Key Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas are located around the 2724 price level, with liquidity resting here.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
A Rounding Top and Triple Top formation is present at the swing’s high, which could signal a reversal or the start of a Deep corrective move.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
A Double Bottom is forming, with the last candle closing as an inside bar and showing bullish support. This pattern suggests a potential short-term rally toward the FVG area before resuming a bearish correction.
Volume:
Sell-side volume is showing strength, indicating the presence of sellers and supporting a potential downside move within this pullback.
Momentum (RSI):
🟢 Momentum shows the price in a super bearish zone with signs of weakening bullish strength.
A bearish divergence is visible at the top, suggesting a decline in bullish momentum and adding weight to a probable short-term reversal.
Volatility (Bollinger Bands):
🟢 After a contraction, a squeeze breakout has been observed, with the price walking along the band. This formation often points to strong momentum, and in this case, it supports the downside breakout and potential continuation of the bearish pullback.
Strength (ROC & DMI):
Rate of Change (ROC) indicates an increasing bearish trend.
Bear DMI Line is above the 20 level, with an upward ADX curve, indicating that bearish strength is building.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Probability: 60%
The overall analysis suggests a moderate confidence level, with strong indicators for a short-term bearish correction within a larger bullish swing structure.
Trade Setup:
Entry Details:
Entry Time Frame: M5
Entry TF Structure: Bearish
Point of Interest (POI): FVG
Trade Execution:
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 2753
✋ Stop Loss: 2763
🎯 Take Profit: 2725
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3.5 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day
SUMMARY:
This setup aims to capture a bearish correction within a bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Key reversal patterns, such as the Triple Top and bearish divergence on RSI, alongside increased sell-side volume, suggest potential for a short-term downward move. A Sell Limit order is planned around 2753, targeting a quick pullback to 2725, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 3.5 RR.
Gold: Dual Impact of NFP and Geopolitical RisksGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s intense market fluctuations made fortunes for some and losses for others overnight.
As time progresses, we see clearly on the 30-minute chart that MA60 has shifted downward from around 2770 to 2760, while the primary uptrend support has moved up from 2730 to approximately 2740. This suggests that, under MA60 resistance, gold might retrace to test support near 2740.
Meanwhile, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data will be key drivers for gold’s direction. And don’t overlook another major factor: a potential response from Iran, which could bolster gold’s safe-haven demand.
After reading this, do you feel more clear on your trading strategy? If not, feel free to read it again, or reach out to me—I’m here to help clarify and refine your approach!
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
11.1 Gold shock awaits non-agricultureJudging from Wednesday's ADP, non-farm payrolls on Friday should also maintain good growth. The same is true for the initial clearing last night. The sharp retracement before the data is basically the early digestion of the data.
1. The price broke the morning starting point before the US market and rebounded at 6-8 o'clock. This pattern must not have fallen much.
We have been emphasizing this point of view to everyone recently: Don't buy more twice when gold retreats in the US market. After the increase is too large, it is easy to fall by a large margin. Double bottoms, 618, and other positions are not caught, and there is no rebound.
But compared with yesterday's empty, it is the rhythm. Continuous failures and no operating mentality are easy to form. If you can't get started when you see it right, and you can't hold back and get started, it's wrong.
2. The morning is still a cyclical rise.
Intraday analysis:
1. A sharp drop in the rise, the first day is still a bull correction, which has been seen countless times before.
2. The continuous sharp drop breaks the bottom, which changes the short-term bull direction.
3. There will be non-agricultural data tonight. Before the non-agricultural data, the overall market should not change much.
4. If the bearish outlook continues, the rebound in the morning is focused on the European session. If the European session continues to rebound, the US session will inevitably fluctuate. If the market is weak, the European session will retreat first.
At present, it is obviously the top of the hourly big Yin line at 2757, because this position breaks the position of the decline and rebound at 382. And there is no high point of correction in the early morning, so it can only be arranged at the top of the big Yin line.
At the same time, the non-agricultural data is divided into two parts:
1. Look at the second retracement before the non-agricultural data.
2. Whether the non-agricultural data can continue the decline of yesterday depends on the data. Last month, it was 254,000, and this time it is expected to be only 11.3. Whether it is from the initial claims or from ADP, it is impossible to be lower than 11.3. It can only be high. How high it is depends on the data performance.
Therefore, the worst non-agricultural data is also bad for gold. It just depends on how bad it is. For example, ADP rebounds first and then falls, or it retreats directly.
As long as the data is higher than 150,000, the pullback is also empty, but no matter what, the European session is very critical. The European session continues to rebound and is strong. The US session fluctuates, but the European session is weak, and the probability of breaking the bottom is high.
Is now the best time to short gold prices?I don't think so. I believe you have read the article I posted yesterday. If not, read it again.
Is the accuracy of the fast trading strategy amazing? Indeed. This is the strength of the fast trading strategy analysis team.
At present, the values mentioned yesterday have been fully achieved today. Today, I led all members to go long on gold prices again to expand profits. There are about 9 profitable orders. You can refer to the fast trading strategy grouping
Tomorrow's trading direction: Check above to see if the position of 2786 can be successfully broken through. If not, you can refer to the opportunity to sell above 2786 and buy near 2770 tomorrow. If it breaks through, then 2800 points is not far away. At present, there is no major news to promote it. Focus on the initial jobless claims data on Thursday night and the release of non-farm data on Friday. This week's time is also very tight. After all, good trading opportunities want to expand profits. Members of the fast trading team are no exception. So I am also busy.
Market analysis for three days this week. The accuracy of the signals is obvious to all. Trading is actually very simple. As long as there is trading funds in the account, everyone can leave me a message. Everyone has equal opportunities. No one wants to be a person who keeps losing money! Everyone agrees, right?
There are only two trading opportunities left this week, and the trading space is still very large. The proportion of making money. The probability of making 70% profit on 100k is more than 95%. The probability of making 100% profit is more than 85%. The above are all cumulative data. People who continue to pay attention know this.
Regarding trading, this is all I will notify you today. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time. I will reply and solve them in time when I see them.
WHAT ARE GOLD GOING TO DO? HERE IS THE COMPLETE ANALYSIS 2H TFTechnical Analysis: Currently, XAU/USD is approaching the resistance level at $2790, where I believe we could see a significant selling opportunity. This level has historically acted as a barrier, and recent price action suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. If the price reaches $2790, I anticipate a potential reversal, with targets set for a downward move towards $2765. A break below $2775 would further confirm bearish sentiment, opening the door for additional downside.
Fundamental Analysis: The gold market is heavily influenced by shifts in monetary policy and global economic conditions. With the Federal Reserve signaling a potential tightening of interest rates and ongoing concerns over inflation, investors may look to liquidate positions in gold as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets rises. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and market volatility could prompt a flight to safety, but if these factors stabilize, we could see a shift in sentiment favoring dollar strength. This backdrop supports the notion of a sell-off in XAU/USD from $2790 to $2765 as traders adjust their positions in response to changing economic signals. Let’s watch for these developments!
10.31 gold box vibration???Gold is mainly affected by the following three aspects:
1: The October US non-farm payrolls data will be announced at 20:30 on Friday. The US September ADP employment data released on Wednesday increased significantly beyond expectations. Next tonight, the US September PCE price index and the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be released.
2: The US presidential election next Tuesday (November 5th), there are less than 4 trading days left. Who will eventually enter the White House in the battle between the Donkey and the Elephant parties? Especially on November 5th, the day of the election, the gold market will definitely fluctuate violently!
3: Geopolitical risk events, North Korea tested an intercontinental ballistic missile around 7:10 this morning, and Iran will say that it will retaliate against Israel before November 5th. With the reshaping of the world pattern, the geopolitical risks in the Middle East are spreading to the world.
As the price of gold approaches $2,800, bulls and bears diverge again. The last time gold approached $2,700, it adjusted around $2,685, which ultimately did not affect the upward trend. It just threw the bulls off the train during the adjustment, which also hit the bulls' morale for short-term operations.
This time, when it approached $2,800, the bulls paused. On Wednesday, the market repeatedly washed between 2,790 and 2,770. In addition, the heavy pound data will be released today, tomorrow and next week. The suspense will naturally be left to the non-agricultural data today and tomorrow night.
1 hour, it quickly fell back to the 2,770 point where it started to rise in the morning, forming a high-level box shock. At present, the gold price has not stabilized at 2,790. Don't rush to chase more, but pay attention to the direction of the 2,790-70 box range breakthrough, and try to avoid chasing the edge position within the box.
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal.
The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support.
I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
ADP data is coming soon! Gold shortThe market performance on Wednesday (October 30) continued the recent strong upward momentum. The price of gold hit $2,789.83/ounce in early trading, setting a new record high and rising sharply by more than $15. With the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the intensification of geopolitical risks, gold has once again become a safe haven choice for investors.
Technical analysis
After breaking through the resistance area of 2,780-2,785 US dollars/ounce, the price of gold became an offensive signal for bulls. The price of gold may further push towards the $2,800/ounce mark. At present, any meaningful correction is expected to find good support around $2,750/ounce. If there is a subsequent sell-off in the price of gold, it may push the price of gold to the support level of $2,732-2,730/ounce, or even further down to the $2,715/ounce area.
Today's focus data:
US unemployment rate in October
US non-farm payrolls in October (10,000 people)
Today's expected trend of gold prices can focus on the fluctuations between the support level of $2,765.00/ounce and the resistance level of $2,800.00/ounce. Under the current market sentiment and technical conditions, gold is still a worthy investment option.
Gold: Are You Stuck?After experiencing a setback, we are now steadily making profits again. Today, gold has finally lived up to our expectations. By employing high-frequency trading, we executed several orders and achieved substantial gains.
The MA60 has successfully completed a test, but several other MAs are acting as resistance. Therefore, in the upcoming trades, I plan to continue selling until MA5 becomes support again, at which point I will switch to buying.
10.30Gold accelerates to the top, 2780 watershedThe gold market rose strongly yesterday. It opened at 2742.3 in the morning and then fell back to 2739.5. After that, it rose strongly. After reaching the previous historical high of 2758, the market was under pressure and consolidated to 2745.8. After that, the market rose strongly in the US market due to fundamental stimulus. After breaking the previous historical high, it reached the highest point of 2774.9 and then consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2774.5. After that, the market ended with a saturated large The market closed with a positive line, and after this pattern ends, today's market has the technical need to impact the 2805 pressure. In terms of points, the longs at 1996 and 2028 below have stop losses followed up at 2600. After the long positions at 2722 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss followed up at 2735. Today's market is 2762 longs and 2759 longs are conservative with stop losses at 2755. The target is 2775. If it breaks through, the target of this round of impact will be at the 2800-2805 pressure.
Those who are shorting or want to short remember to readToday, the market has reached my target position of 2757, 2765.2770 for the third time. The long order has completely won. After the fast strategy of high-level selling and low-buying was announced today, members all made good profits. In such an extreme market, I think such a profit is acceptable. Maybe for many people, not losing money is a good result. But not for me. There must be a profit every day. And it must be a good profit.
Next is the short selling plan. Today, the New York market is expected to retreat to 2765 or below. If it reaches, continue to go long. The target is 2775. The Asian market can continue to wait for the position of 2780. The announcement of GDP the next day needs to be paid special attention. If the data is negative, the probability of reaching 2800 this week is not high. If the data is positive, then 2800 is very close. Because there will be a non-agricultural data release on Friday this week. This value can determine whether the market can reach 2800 points. In layman's terms, the gold price will continue to rise from today to tomorrow.
It has been expanding profits for a month. Others verify based on the winning rate. My verification method is based on the failure rate. If you want to save your account, follow me. And leave a message.
Ideal Time to Short Gold Overnight—Exercise CautionGold is now ready for another short (sell) position, with the option to hold overnight and plan to close tomorrow. Please be mindful of the risks as you trade and ensure your strategy aligns with your individual risk tolerance—stability is key to success!
Scenario GOLD Maybe a short situation on gold, my analysis starts with a double top that formed around the price of 2770, according to this scenario, this double top could be considered the head of the head-shoulder formation, and as I have drawn, I am waiting for the price to fall to the level of 2560
Gold M30 Sell Trade is Ready!Setup:
Current Price: 2754
Target Price: 2744 (100 pips)
Stop Loss: 2760
In the technical analysis, XAU/USD is currently facing strong resistance at 2754, where the price has struggled to break through in previous attempts. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a potential reversal. Recent bearish candlestick patterns further support the idea of a downward move. A confirmed break below the support level at 2750 could trigger selling pressure, pushing the price down toward the target of 2744.
From an institutional perspective, there is notable selling volume around the 2754 mark, indicating that larger market players are actively positioning for a decline. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that large speculators are holding net short positions, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, liquidity sweeps at this level suggest that institutional traders are anticipating a downward move, making this a compelling opportunity to enter a short position.
Perfectly achieved goal 2757The market is crazy.
After buying gold at 2741 price. Had a good nap. Hit the target directly.
I think there is nothing more pleasant than this. Is it because yesterday's market fluctuations were too stable, so today I was given a small surprise in advance?
I believe many people have seen the quick trading strategy I posted and bought it. That is worth toasting.
This is the fast trading strategy.It is a beacon on the road.It guides you in the direction and allows you to see the road clearly in the dark night.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!