GOLD to turnaround?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support at 3030 now becomes resistance.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bearish Inverted Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
A higher correction is expected.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 3029.5 (stop at 3050.2)
Our profit targets will be 2970.2 and 2960.2
Resistance: 3020.8 / 3033.3 / 3047.4
Support: 3014.5 / 2999.3 / 2978.4
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Goldsetup
XAU/USD 24 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation LowerH1 - Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Followed by bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows structure
Strong bearish momentum
Potential drop after retraces if the strong resistance zone will not be broken.
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XAU/USD 14 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Previous analysis was not met as price printed a bullish iBOS. Support in the rise of price is largely due to the trump trade and tariff war which is causing market jitters.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has further printed a bullish BOS. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN / READ CAPTION CAREFULLYGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 17th Feb 2025
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
To Achive TP5, TP6, TP7 and TP8, please consider the following scenario below. Read the caption carefully.
Key Level: 2876
Resistance Level: 2900, 2925, 2942, 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels (Goldturn Levels) : 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
GOLDTURN KEY LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2902.10
* EMA5 is fluctuating between two key weighted levels, with a gap above 2925 and below the 2900 GoldTurn level.
* A crossover of EMA5—either above or below the weighted level—will signal the next significant move for GOLD.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and hold above 2900, will open the following bullish target 2925 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2925, will open the following bullish target 2952
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Short-Term Strategy:
Anticipate possible reversals at weighted GOLDTURN levels 2876, 2852 and 2828.
Leverage 1H timeframe to capture pullbacks around these levels.
Target 30–40 pips per trade, focusing on shorter positions for effective risk management.
GOLDTURN levels provide reliable bounce opportunities, allowing you to buy at dip levels.
Long-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD MONTLHY CHART LONG ROUTE MAP ANALYSISDear Traders,
Attached is the Monthly Chart Route Map for GOLD. Since October 2023, we have been consistently analyzing and trading GOLD with 100% accuracy in our targets. The Golden Circle Area marked on the chart clearly reflects our precise analysis and targets achieved.
The EMA5 has crossed the ENTRY LEVEL, leading to the successful achievement of TP1, followed by TP2. We are now anticipating TP3.
What’s Next for GOLD?
The FVG has provided strong support at 2535 level that caused the price to push upward to 2785 and also the monthly chart confirms that EMA5 has crossed and locked above TP2 (2603), signaling the next bullish target at TP3 (2920). While external market factors may slow momentum or cause temporary reversals, we are confident that TP3 will be reached in due time.
Once TP3 is hit, a significant correction to lower weighted levels is expected before the bullish trend resumes, as indicated on the chart.
Key Levels:
Support: 1969
TP1: 2286 ✅ (Achieved)
TP2: 2603 ✅ (Achieved)
TP3: 2920 ⏳ (Pending)
Short-Term Strategy:
We will utilize smaller timeframes (1H and 4H charts) to buy dips at key weighted levels, targeting clean 30-40 pips per trade. This strategy is most effective in ranging markets, avoiding extended holds that may be exposed to high volatility.
Long-Term Bias:
Our outlook remains bullish, viewing market drops as buying opportunities. We will continue to leverage predefined levels and setups for optimized entries in smaller timeframes.
🔺 THE QUANTUM TRADING MASTERY 🔺
Gold Approaching Major Resistance – Will It Drop to 2,736$?OANDA:XAUUSD is nearing the upper boundary of an ascending channel, which aligns with a major resistance zone. This area has acted in the past as a reversal point, making it a key level to watch for potential bearish movements.
If the price confirms rejection at this level, I anticipate a move downward toward the 2,736$ level, consistent with the channel’s structure and a nearby support zone. Conversely, if this resistance is breached, it could signal increased buying pressure and a continuation of the bullish trend.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Following on from the initial KOG Report we've not done too badly managing to plot the path for the move and jump on board with it over the week. Yesterday we wanted that pullback into the 2685-90 region to continue with the bias and the bias levels which didn't hit exactly but the move continued and we've completed all of our targets for the week.
Now, again we're a bit high, so if you're looking for trades the only option is to wait for the pull back, or for those on the boxes and scalping, look for a reversal from above, if not broken, support has flipped 2710!
For us, a great week on the gold and the rest of the markets, we'll be taking it easy tomorrow.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700✅, 2706✅ and above that 2716✅
Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2700✅, 2703✅, 2706✅, 2710✅ and 2724✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure.
This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase.
Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high.
🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫
🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12.
🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see.
Please bost if you find this one insightful.
GOLD- Levels for Monday 6th- Friday 11th JanuaryHope this benefits you guys. This is not typical S&R or S&D. These levels are based on volume profile and really powerful. NOTE, don't treat these levels as buy and sell points. You will still need to have context behind your trade and use these levels as a reference point. one of the strategy I use is, volume profile along with cumulative delta and footprint. Look for shift in value, delta divergence etc. and when price reaches one of those levels, use footprint for entry. Bottom line is, you have to have context behind your trade. Without context, you are hunting in the dark. Have fun and enjoy
gold to 3000$ soonAs we can see, gold ain’t respecting any structure for a drop, and buyers are showing they’re here to stay! Targeting levels up to $3000 per ounce.
You can buy now, but make sure to stick to a proper risk management strategy. Follow me if you’re looking for high-quality trades with a solid RRR!
Gold at Key Fibonacci Retracement: Bullish Move Ahead?Gold has retraced to my level of interest, hitting the 0.6-0.7 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the trend retest area. The confluence of technical signals here suggests a potential bounce from this level, supported by the Fibonacci levels and the current trend structure. A careful approach will be required as we wait for the price action to confirm a bullish continuation or a deeper retracement.
Technical Overview:
• Entry Point: Based on a key retracement to the 0.6-0.7 Fibonacci level, indicating a possible bullish reversal.
• Trend Retest: The price is interacting with the trendline retest, and maintaining above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss levels are set below the 0.7 Fib level, as this area will be a key invalidation point should price break through.
Fundamental Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to rise, recently scaling new highs beyond $2,750 during the European session, driven by a risk-off sentiment due to tensions in the Middle East and ongoing US political uncertainty. This is compounded by expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy, with potential smaller interest rate cuts after the upcoming US Presidential election. While the rally in the US Dollar is dampening some of Gold’s demand, the broader macroeconomic environment continues to provide bullish support for the precious metal.
Moving forward, key drivers for the gold price will include any further escalation of geopolitical tensions, as well as central bank policies related to interest rates and monetary easing.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSD / GOLD Intraday SetupGold still looking good for some upside move. I like the reaction from level I posted recently, if this level will hold, I'm looking for a buy into next level. Simple as that.
I'm waiting for strong closure to confirm my idea, if not I expect some range in current price levels.
Gold on the Verge: Eyeing 2,602 for the Next Move!Gold is currently showing signs of weakness on the 30-minute chart, and I have entered a short position based on the technical structure. The market has seen a slight pullback, but the bearish momentum seems to be taking over as it continues to test lower levels.
Key Technical Insights:
• Entry Price Area: short trade was initiated around 2,621.22.
• Stop Loss: The SL is set above the retracement zone, close to 2,629.02 to avoid any sudden upside retracement.
• Take Profit (TP): The potential downside target looks like 2,612, though there could be room for price movement lower, towards 2,608 or even 2,6002 depending on momentum.
Risk Management:
Given the shorter timeframe of the trade, this is a quick trade opportunity with a moderate risk profile. Traders should monitor the trade closely and be prepared to exit if the price action suggests a reversal. As always, if you are in profit, consider taking partials to secure gains and manage risk effectively.
Let’s see how this short setup unfolds, and as always, remember to pay yourself when the trade starts moving in your favor!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
SHORTING GOLD PRICE range at 2559.70-2558.20Team, we are shorting gold at level 2559.70-2558.20 with stop loss at 2663.30
target 1 at 2553.8
Target 2 at 2646.10
Suggestion, if we could hold this a bit longer, it would run down nicely. however if it hit your first target, Bring stop loss to 2660.52 and target 2.