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Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains. 🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario: This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal. 🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy: • If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200. • Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295 • TP1: $3,240 • TP2: $3,200 🚨 SL: $3,310 BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315 • TP1: $3,325 • TP2: $3,350 🚨 SL: $3,290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
2
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 13/05/2025Major Supply Zones: Upper Supply Zone around $3,275–$3,285: Strong reaction from this area before the massive drop. Mid Supply Zone around $3,265 - $3,268: Price has reacted again here. Trendline Liquidity Grab: Price moved above the internal rising trendline (liquidity sweep). The wick into the trendline’s upper side aligns with a key supply zone, followed by rejection = potential shift in structure. Bearish Rejection from Supply: Confluence zone (circle area) where price might reverse. Strong rejection seen right after price tapped this zone. possible entry trigger. Internal Structure Shift: If price breaks $3,245 support, that confirms CHoCH (Change of Character). Bearish FVG could be forming just below the supply zone, which may act as resistance on retests. 📉 Trade Signal (Short Setup) 🔔 Entry: Sell: $3,265 - 68 (if price returns for a retest of supply zone) OR Sell Market: If current bearish candle confirms engulfing with strong momentum 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,245 (mid support zone) TP2: $3,220 (major demand zone at the bottom) TP3 (swing): $3,210–$3,200 🛡️ Stop-Loss: Above supply zone high: $3,275+ ✅ Confluences for Bearish Bias: Liquidity sweep above trendline Supply zone rejection Structure shifting lower Price action showing rejection wicks Clean imbalance zones below (liquidity magnets) Kindly follow, support, comment and share as well.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions. 🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by: • Increasing risk-on sentiment • Continued USD strength 🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy • Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280 • Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210 • Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility. 💡 Short-Term Trade Setup 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280 • 🎯 TP1: $3,265 • 🎯 TP2: $3,255 • 🚨 SL: $3,300 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210 • 🎯 TP1: $3,215 • 🎯 TP2: $3,225 • 🚨 SL: $3,195
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CryptoCheck-
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal: 📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations • The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions. • If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs. 📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar • The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer. • Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise. 📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold • Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided. • Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before. 📉 Key Support Levels Ahead If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include: • $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable) • $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone • $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies ⚠️ Recommendation • If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate. • Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 📊 SMC Analysis + Trade Signal Market Structure Overview: Accumulation: led to strong bullish rally from 3330 to 3435. Distribution: Multiple liquidity sweeps between 3365-3394 Breakdown: Clean BoS confirms bearish shift from distribution. Current Action: Liquidity grab at bottom 3320/30 likely a retracement. 🔔 Trade Signal: SHORT Entry: 3,360 – 3,370 (pullback to supply zone) Stop Loss: Above 3,380 (last swing high) Take Profit: TP1: 3,340 TP2: 3,320 Bias: Bearish Reason: Distribution + BoS + Pullback to premium Show your support by hitting follow, support, and boost.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals: Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech; I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market; Technical aspects: Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
2
GOLD Potential ReversalIt appears that we've reached a significant top in the market, with price action showing signs of a potential dump. Liquidity has been taken out at this level, and we are now looking at lower price targets, which align with the lines below, marking new liquidity points. These areas could serve as key support levels as the market tests them for further reaction. The price structure suggests a possible drop to the target zones around 3,300 / 3,200 & 2970 where we could see renewed buying interest. Stay cautious as we approach these levels, as they may present opportunities for short entries ahead of the market correction. Keep an eye on the evolving price action for further confirmations.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by SerenityEquity
1
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively. This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
95
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play Hello guys! Let's analyze Gold! Gold has recently broken out of a descending wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal, with confirmation coming from a clear bullish divergence near the $3,200 zone. After reaching the target of the descending pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone around $3,280–$3,290. If bulls manage to push through this level, we could see a rally toward the next major resistance around $3,320 and beyond. 🔍 Key Points: ✅ Descending wedge breakout confirmed ✅ Bullish divergence near the bottom signals a momentum shift ✅ Price respecting ascending channel structure 📈target of long position: $3,290–$3,320 📉 target of short position and the entry for long: $3,240 zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240–$3,250 support area. Watch for a breakout above resistance for further upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
17
GOLD - Is this the end of the Bull Run?Gold has once again followed my previous analysis — turning bearish right at key levels! 🚩 After an incredible bull run where price kept making new highs, signs are now pointing to a possible top. We could be entering a short-term bearish phase here, with potential for a deeper correction if momentum builds. Right now, I’m holding a bearish bias. I’ll be watching for solid sell setups, especially around those well-defined resistance zones. There’s also an unfilled gap below that could attract price action — keep an eye on that level (chart shows the zone clearly 🔎). I’ll be looking for confirmation through structure breaks and clean retests before entering shorts. What’s your take — are we seeing a reversal brewing, or is this just a dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! If this analysis helps, a boost or follow would mean a lot — and keeps you in the loop for the next moves! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by omz_zz
1
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline. 🔍 Current Technical Context: Trend: Bearish Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274 Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220 Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270 A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160. 📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals) US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices. Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs. Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week. Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone. Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains. Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility. Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement. 📝 Strategy Notes: Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects) Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210 Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Possible SellsOANDA:XAUUSD My sentiments on gold for today. 1. Last buyer haven, prior to recent one This is the last place prior to the level gold is sitting on top currently (4.(black)) where buyers would have been really and truly comfortable buying which means we know there could likely be stop losses even below here. 2. Bearish momentum/bearish channel At this time gold has been bearish for about 7 days and if its one thing you know I believe in is momentum, adhere to whatever the momentum is doing - in this case its selling (bearish) so it is likely IMO to continue to do so - this is further supporting by the elements of my analysis. 3. Buyers stoplosses The area highlighted in red shows suggested buyers stop losses below the currently obvious buyer havem (4. black) which means this is likely where the market will try to attack to capture that trapped liquidity. Something to think about, if gold had the liquidity to buy, it would. Let this guide you in terms of what you allow yourself to see next. 4. Current Obvious buyer haven Pay attention to the level I've drawn to show where buyers would be heavily induced to buy at this time, this looks like a gold mine for buys (pun intended lol). Something you'd learn in this space, if it feels to good to be true, it probably is. 5. Possible move This is what I think is likely to occur, gold will crash below the current obvious buyer haven taking out all previous buyer stops, capturing all that liquidity along the way even attacking the last buyer haven. Then and only then can gold resume it's bullish activities because now it would have enough liquidity to do what it wants. What are your thoughts?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4
Gold Market Outlook - Gold BearishGold is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range of $3,280 to $3,360. We are closely monitoring for a breakout in either direction. Based on current technical analysis, there is a higher probability of a downside breakout below the support level of $3,280. If this support is breached, we may see the following downside targets: Target 1: $3,270 Target 2: $3,260 Target 3: $3,250 Target 4: $3,240 Traders are advised to plan their positions accordingly, keeping risk management in focus.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by shroffakshar
Gold is trapped in the 3260-3370 box shock! 🌐 Driving factors US President Trump will be in office for 100 days in his second term. On April 27, local time, a new poll jointly conducted by ABC, The Washington Post and Ipsos Group showed that Trump's approval rating for the first 100 days in office was 39%, which was 6 percentage points lower than in February this year, and set the lowest approval rating for the first 100 days in office of all US presidents in the past 80 years. The results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are not optimistic, and the geopolitical situation is tense. 📊 Commentary analysis The recent gold fluctuations are really violent and very fast. If you hesitate a little, you will basically miss the market. If you are too anxious, you will easily hit the stop loss. Now the fluctuations in a few hours are higher than the amplitude of the past month. The stop loss of 3-5 US dollars can be easily swept. The market is changing, and the corresponding stop loss should also be enlarged. 🔷 Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3260-3370, and is currently at 3290 US dollars. ✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading: Bearish strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3350-3360 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3290 US dollars and a stop loss of 3365 US dollars. Bullish strategy: If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3340 US dollars and a stop loss of 3255 US dollars. 💥Risk warning Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more. Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3370 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 23.04.2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – April 23, 2025 The market is currently showing bearish momentum following a retracement from the recent highs near the 3,500 mark. Price is now approaching key Fibonacci levels, presenting potential shorting opportunities for intraday and swing traders. Key Levels to Watch: 📉 Short Opportunity 1: Zone: 3400-3410 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618) Analysis: This is a premium supply zone and a retracement area aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. If the price revisits this region and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejections, or lower timeframe structure break), it's a high-probability short entry zone. Signal: Look for price rejection patterns in this zone to initiate a short position. Stop-Loss: 3,430 Target: 3,292 initially, then lower if structure breaks 📉 Short Opportunity 2 (Breakout Trade): Zone: 3,292 – 3,300 USD (Major Support) Analysis: This is a major support zone. A clean break below and successful retest from underneath would signal continuation to the downside. Signal: Wait for a break and retest below 3,292 for confirmation before entering short. Stop-Loss: Above 3,300 on retest Target: 3,240 and potentially 3,215 – 3,220 zone Overall Bias: Bearish below 3,396. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Structure supports selling rallies or breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
J.P. Morgan joins the $4K gold clubJ.P. Morgan now forecasts gold to average $3,675 per ounce by year-end and joins Goldman Sachs in projecting a move beyond $4,000 next year. Spot gold has gained 29% year-to-date, setting 28 record highs and briefly surpassing $3,500 for the first time yesterday. According to the bank, the main downside risk remains a sudden decline in central bank demand. Key support has potentially shifted higher, with $3,286 now seen as a potential pivot—aligned with both the 50-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets