XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea and trading scenario:
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Overall Idea: Bearish Continuation
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Market Context
Current Price: $3,291.99
EMA 200: $3,297.69 (acting as dynamic resistance)
Trend: Price is within a descending channel, respecting both downtrend and uptrend lines
Directional Bias: Bearish unless a breakout occurs
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Key Zones
1. Resistance Level (Sell Zone)
Around $3,320–$3,340
Price rejected this level multiple times → strong supply zone
2. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap)
Around $3,305–$3,315
Price tapped this area and showed rejection
Identified as a "seller zone" – price likely filled imbalance and now resuming trend
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Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Reject EMA and FVG zone
2. Continue downward movement
3. Target support around $3,244.95
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Indicators
EMA 200: Above price → bearish pressure
RSI (14): ~46.78 → no extreme reading, but leans bearish; room for further downside
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry: ~$3,300–$3,310 (already triggered)
Stop Loss: Above $3,320
Target: $3,244.95 (demand zone / previous low)
Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Warnings
Multiple economic event icons are marked (bottom of chart) → potential high volatility, especially around NFP/FOMC-related news
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pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Goldshort
XAUUSD | Premium Zone Hit – Is Gold Ready to Nuke?XAUUSD | 30-Min Bearish Setup – OB Tap + Liquidity Engineering
Let’s break this down ninja-style ⚔️
📌 1. Market Context:
Gold has retraced into a premium pricing zone after a significant sell-off and is now:
Respecting a refined bearish Order Block
Sitting at 61.8–70.5% Fibonacci retracement (textbook premium)
Below a strong high (liquidity magnet)
This is classic smart money engineering:
➡️ Pull back
➡️ Lure in breakout buyers
➡️ Raid the high
➡️ Dump toward liquidity
🧠 2. Key Levels:
📈 Strong High: 3,324.880
🟪 Order Block Zone: ~3,316.745 to 3,324.880
🔻 Current Price: ~3,307.000
🔵 Weak Low: 3,270.000
🩸 Sell Side Liquidity: 3,245.560
We’re watching for a possible rejection from the OB and a drive down into the Sell Side Liquidity zone.
📊 3. Entry Plan (Confirmation-Based):
Wait for a bearish M5–M15 BOS from OB
Look for FVG entry or last mitigation
Target weak low & SSL
Maintain 1:2 to 1:4 RRR depending on entry precision
Ideal RR Target:
🎯 TP: 3,245.560
🛑 SL: Just above 3,324.880
🔁 RR ~ 1:3+
📉 4. SMC Story:
🧩 Price swept internal liquidity and tapped into premium zone
🔍 OB + Fib confluence = high-probability reaction area
🧲 Weak low is unprotected = juicy target for sell-off
🤖 This move could create displacement and fuel next bearish leg
Smart Money is looking to trap late longs before hitting the liquidity pool.
🎯 5. Bonus Tip:
If you’re on M1 or M5, scale into partials as the move confirms via:
Bearish engulfing
BOS + FVG combo
Lower timeframe mitigation plays
Stay reactive, not predictive. Let the market confirm the trap. ⚠️
💬 Drop “Gold Trap Setup 👑” in the comments if you see the same thing
🔁 Save this to track the next move
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups!
Gold XAUUSD Weekly forecast 2-6 June 2025Observations:
Price has been respecting a clear descending trendline since late April, with multiple touches and rejections.
A significant supply zone around the 3,330 level aligns with the trendline resistance, increasing confluence for a potential reversal.
The market has formed lower highs consistently, suggesting bearish pressure is building up.
A horizontal demand/support level around 3,125 (previous swing low) is the primary target in case of a bearish breakout.
Volume and structure suggest distribution, further supporting bearish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price retests and rejects the 3,330 resistance level again next week, especially with a wick rejection or bearish engulfing candle:
Expect downside continuation toward 3,125, aligning with a ~1500 pip target.
This move would represent a ~5% drop from current levels.
Trading Plan / Signal:
Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: Between 3,320 – 3,330 (upon bearish confirmation e.g., bearish engulfing or shooting star)
Stop Loss: Above 3,350 (just above trendline and invalidation zone)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,250
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,200
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,150/25
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3+
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and retest above 3,350 would invalidate the setup and may suggest a reversal toward 3,500.
Fundamental Consideration:
No major geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks should occur to maintain this bearish bias. Any high-impact news could cause volatility, so monitor the economic calendar closely.
Please follow, like, comment and share.
Gold Declines as PCE Inflation Data Cools📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $3,289/oz, down from the day's high of $3,322. This decline follows the U.S. PCE inflation data showing a 2.1% annual increase in April, below the forecast of 2.2% and March's 2.3%. Core PCE also rose 0.1% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since early 2021.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,330
• Nearest Support: $3,270
• EMA: Price is currently below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• RSI Indicator: The RSI is declining, signaling increasing selling pressure.
• Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern has formed after failing to break above the $3,330 resistance zone.
📌 Outlook:
If gold fails to hold the $3,270 support level, it may continue to decline towards $3,250. However, maintaining above $3,270 could see a rebound towards the $3,300 – $3,310 range.
💡Suggested Trade Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,310 – $3,315
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,320
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,260
Trade Idea:XAUUSD SHORT ( SELL STOP )🔍 Multi-Timeframe Analysis
📉 H4:
• Price is compressing below the 20 and 50 SMAs.
• Recent attempts to break higher failed to sustain; MACD is slightly bearish, hinting momentum is fading.
• Consolidation after the big push suggests potential for another leg down if support breaks.
🕒 M15:
• Strong bounce into resistance, now stalling at the underside of the previous structure (~3315–3320).
• 20 SMA is curling down and converging with the 50 SMA, signaling a potential momentum shift.
🕒 M3:
• Price just lost short-term bullish structure after failing to break 3318.
• Flattening and slight downward curl in the 20 SMA.
• Volume shows a slowdown on the bounce and heavier selling earlier in the day — signs of weakness.
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✅ Trade Idea
Type: Sell Stop
Entry: 3308
Stop Loss: 3322
Take Profit: 3273
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🧠 Why This Setup Works
• This is a momentum breakdown trade: placing a sell stop just below short-term support (3308) to catch the shift in momentum if price breaks lower.
• Price already rejected the high around 3318; if it pushes below 3308, it confirms that sellers have taken back control.
• There’s clean room down to 3273 — a previous reaction zone and recent demand level — offering a good risk-to-reward.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution
• SL to BE Rule: Move stop loss to break-even once price reaches 3293 (15 points in your favor, 1R). That’s the halfway point to target and right above a small reaction zone that could cause a pullback.
• Invalidation Window: If price moves above 3325 before activating entry, cancel the trade idea. That would invalidate the lower-high structure and suggest momentum has shifted bullish again.
⸻
⏱️ Session Timing & Considerations
• NY session opens at 6:30 AM Pacific (PT).
• Ideally, this trade should activate and move by pre-New York to early NY session. If price stalls or consolidates near the entry level for too long into the session (after 9:30–10:00 AM PT), consider canceling or reassessing.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD SHORTThis chart appears to be a technical analysis setup for **Gold (XAU/USD)** on the **15-minute timeframe**, using **Heikin Ashi candles**.
Here's a breakdown of what’s visible:
### **1. Price Action:**
* The chart is trading within a **descending channel** (highlighted by the dotted white trendlines).
* **Resistance levels** are marked at:
* 3366.015
* 3331.470
* **Support zone** around: 3245.560
* The price is currently around **3291.690**, testing the lower region of a recent consolidation zone or distribution area.
### **2. Indicators:**
#### a. **RSI (Middle Panel):**
* RSI is around **41.552**, suggesting mild bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
* RSI is not giving a strong divergence signal at this moment.
#### b. **MACD or Custom Oscillator (Bottom Panel):**
* Appears to be a custom oscillator with histogram + signal cross system.
* Red and green dots possibly indicate buy/sell signals.
* Currently showing **bearish pressure** as histogram and signal lines are below zero with red dots (sell signal confirmation).
### **3. Trade Setup:**
* The red and green box overlay suggests an **active short trade** setup:
* Entry near **3291.690**
* Stop-loss zone near **3331–3335**
* Take-profit zone extending well below **3245**, likely near **3188.498–3189.980**
### **4. Signal Arrows (Blue Up / Red Down):**
* These are likely part of an indicator marking **swing highs/lows or reversal points**.
* More red arrows recently suggest bearish short-term sentiment.
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### 🧠 **Interpretation:**
* The chart shows a **bearish bias** with a short position in play.
* Price is within a downward channel and rejected the resistance area.
* Oscillators and RSI support further downside unless a strong reversal occurs.
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
Gold Continues to Decline as USD Strengthens📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices continued to decline on May 29, reaching weekly lows below $3,250/oz. The primary driver is the strong recovery of the US Dollar following a US court's decision on tariffs and cautious FOMC minutes indicating the Fed remains vigilant about inflation, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,285 – $3,300
• Nearest Support: $3,240 – $3,230
• EMA: Price is below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: Price has broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is retesting the resistance area, confirming bearish signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the USD maintains its recovery and the price fails to break above the $3,285 – $3,300 resistance zone.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,285
o 🎯 TP: $3,240
o ❌ SL: $3,305
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,270
o ❌ SL: $3,215
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,309/oz after retreating from the $3,350 region during the Asian session today. Selling pressure emerged as U.S. Treasury yields rose and the USD rebounded slightly, despite expectations of potential Fed rate cuts in the near future.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,290
• EMA 09: Current price is below the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
• The downtrend is confirmed by bearish candlestick patterns and increasing trading volume in recent sessions.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue its short-term correction if the USD continues to rebound and U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. However, long-term support factors such as concerns over U.S. national debt and expectations of Fed rate cuts persist.
Gold Approaches Resistance – Will It Drop to 3,290?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently approaching a previous key resistance level, an important area that has previously acted as a reversal zone where bullish moves were strongly rejected. This is also where sellers have intervened aggressively in the past, so it is worth watching, especially for anyone considering short trades.
Additionally, this price zone also coincides with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of selling pressure if bullish momentum starts to fade. Such overbought conditions often lead to significant pullbacks, supporting necessary corrections.
If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum. I think we could see a move down toward the 3,290 level. But if price clearly breaks through this area, that could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest the uptrend may even continue.
This area is quite important and may help us better understand the next direction of price.
As usual, this is a personal view of the market and not financial advice.
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
GOLD possible outcomesGold is now approaching 3275 area, which is probably the biggest make or break are right now
If we will see break, we gonna see some retest of previous resistance and we could see retest of ALL TIME HIGH again
If we hold this important 3275 area, we could see one more leg to the lower trendline (Daily TL) and possibly testing higher timeframe support of 3150 area... Possible retest of Daily trendline could lead us to even bigger decline all the way down to 2970 support area
Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a powerful bullish rally since the beginning of 2025, gold has entered a corrective phase
In the current price zone, we expect a temporary upward retracement, potentially offering short-term relief, before the downtrend resumes.
For a safer bearish entry, it's recommended to wait for a confirmed break below both the marked support zone and the ascending trendline to validate continuation to lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to:
- Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
- A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal.
Previously, gold had been supported by:
- A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
- However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold.
Key factors to watch going forward:
• Statements from the Fed
• Developments in trade negotiations
Possible scenario:
• The bearish trend remains dominant.
• A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur.
• A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
XAUUSD Sell Setup from Supply Zone | TP1 & TP2 BelowWe're keeping an eye on a clear rejection from the supply zone marked between 3,230 and 3,236. The price has dipped into this area, showing signs of slowing momentum, and is now breaking downwards.
📉 Sell Plan Details:
🔻 Sell Entry: 3,222 – 3,225 (just below where we saw the supply zone rejection)
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,232 (set above the supply zone for added safety)
🎯 TP1: 3,210 (a minor support level / our first target)
🎯 TP2: 3,195 (a major demand zone / our final exit point)
📦 Zone Mapping:
🔲 Supply Zone: 3,230 – 3,236
This is where sellers stepped in, creating downward pressure.
🔲 Demand Zone: 3,192 – 3,196
A strong bounce area that’s likely to draw in buyers for a reversal or partial exits.
📊 Bias:
As long as the price stays below 3,230, the bearish sentiment holds. If we see a breakout above 3,232, this setup will be invalidated.
🔁 Execution Tip:
Watch for bearish candles or rejection wicks in the entry zone for confirmation. TP1 is great for quick scalps, while TP2 serves as a position target near structural demand.
⚠️ Always prioritize risk management – never trade without a stop loss!