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Gold Under Pressure as Dollar Strengthens – Watch Below 3297FX:XAUUSD – Technical & Fundamental Outlook Gold prices declined on Monday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar following President Trump’s announcement of a potential 10% tariff on BRICS-aligned countries. The news supported the dollar and weakened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Although uncertainty remains around U.S. trade negotiations ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline, signals of possible extensions and staggered implementation have further reduced short-term haven flows into gold. Technical View: Gold remains under bearish pressure while trading below 3320. As long as the price stays under this level, we expect sideways consolidation between 3297 and 3320 until a breakout occurs. A 1H close below 3297 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting 3281 and 3255. A break above 3320 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 3342. Pivot: 3297 Support Levels: 3281 / 3255 / 3239 Resistance Levels: 3314 / 3320 / 3342 Previous idea: Click Here...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
12
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building. 🔍 Key SMC Observations: Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves. Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution. Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270. 📍Trade Setup Idea: Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter. Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level) Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. 🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Gold (XAU/USD): Playbook in ActionHello guys! We’ve seen a textbook QML (Quasimodo Level) setup play out beautifully on gold. Price pushed into a key supply zone and formed a QML structure, followed by a clean engulfing of the previous demand. confirming smart money involvement. As expected, the target of that QML has now been hit, tapping into the major demand zone below. After the deep sweep and reaction from demand, price retraced upward into a potential lower high area. Based on structure and liquidity dynamics, two potential scenarios are in play: We’re executing a two-step plan here: Step 1: Short position from the QML + supply area, aiming for the next blue demand zone. Liquidity has been taken above the high, confirming the setup. If we get a clean reaction near the blue area, that’s our signal to flip long. We expect a pullback toward $3310 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
6
Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys! Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection. The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down. The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction. Bias: Bearish below QML Target: 3,295 zone Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
18
Gold Possible Retest of $3,365 Before Downside MoveGold is currently trading around $3,335, approaching a critical resistance level at $3,365, which has been marked as a “Main Resistance” on the chart. The recent price movement shows a strong bullish rebound from the $3,293–$3,300 support zone, breaking above two key trendlines labeled "Breakout." The chart suggests a potential “retest” of the $3,365 resistance before another downward move, as marked by the annotation "Possible Retest and Then Down." This idea is reinforced by the broader descending channel pattern visible from late June, indicating that the larger structure still favors bearish continuation unless a strong breakout occurs above $3,365. ⚠️ Bearish Confluence Price is inside a corrective channel, repeatedly failing to sustain above prior highs $3,365 has held firm multiple times as resistance — a strong horizontal and trendline convergence zone Price is still well below the swing high at $3,392 🟩 Bullish Scenario (If Invalidation Occurs) If price breaks and closes above $3,365, it would invalidate the current bearish structure and open the door for upside targets like: $3,392 (previous high) $3,412 Possibly $3,434, which is a longer-term diagonal trendline resistance At present, gold is in a corrective upward move within a broader bearish channel. The zone between $3,337–$3,365 will be key. A bearish rejection here would confirm downside continuation, with price potentially targeting $3,265–$3,220. However, a bullish breakout above $3,365 could invalidate the bearish view and suggest strength returning toward $3,392 and above. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold Drops to 3,284 – Short-Term Support at Risk📊 Market Overview Gold fell sharply this morning to $3,284/oz amid a modest USD rebound and profit-taking pressure following several range-bound sessions. The lack of fresh catalysts also contributed to weaker momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: 3,315 – 3,330 • Nearest Support: 3,280 – 3,275 • EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on both the H1 and H4 timeframes → short-term bearish signal • Candle Patterns & Momentum: – H1 candle shows a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3,305 area → confirms downward pressure – RSI is below 45, MACD has crossed below its signal line → bearish momentum dominant – If the 3,275 level is breached, gold could continue to fall toward 3,260 📌 Outlook Gold is leaning toward further downside unless it can hold above the 3,280 support level during today’s session. 💡 Trade Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,295 – 3,398 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: 3,305 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,275 – 3,278 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: 3,269
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Market Outlook: Testing Key Liquidity Zones🔹 Gold Faces Liquidity Pressure at 3300 - Can It Hold or Will a Deeper Pullback Occur? Gold has been under pressure after rejecting key resistance levels, with the market now entering a crucial phase where liquidity zones are key to determining the next move. As global trade developments unfold and the latest economic data trickles in, traders are eyeing whether the gold market will continue its bullish momentum or face a deeper pullback. 🔹 Market Context – US Dollar Gains Strength Amid Positive Trade Sentiment The US dollar is showing a notable rebound, driven by positive trade negotiations and agreements between the US and other major nations. As a result, the greenback is receiving short-term support, which is creating downward pressure on gold as traders rotate into a more risk-on environment. Additionally, lower-than-expected inflation data out of the US suggests the Fed may hold off on rate hikes, further boosting the dollar. 🔹 Geopolitical Factors Easing Geopolitical tensions have somewhat eased, reducing the need for safe-haven assets like gold. This has contributed to a calm in the market, but it’s crucial to watch for any new developments that might trigger renewed interest in gold as a hedge. 🔹 Technical Outlook – Gold in Range-Bound Consolidation On the H1 chart, gold is trending within a well-defined downward channel, ranging from 3360 to 3290. This range is currently acting as a resistance and support zone. If gold remains in this range, it could pull back further to the 3250 liquidity area. The market is effectively testing lower liquidity zones, and the reaction at these levels will be vital for determining the short-term direction. 🔹 Strategic View – Monitoring for Breakout or Continuation Given the current price structure, we are likely to see the market retest key liquidity zones around 3320-3325. If the price holds above this zone, we might see buying pressure that leads to a bounce. However, traders should remain cautious as false breakouts are common, particularly when the market is moving fast and without confirmation from higher timeframes. 🔹TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ZONE: 3346 – 3344 | Stop Loss: 3340 | TP 3350 - 3361 - 3372 - OPEN SCALPING SELL ZONE: 3305 – 3307 | Stop Loss: 3310 | TP 3300 - 3395 - 3387 - OPEN LIMIT SELL ZONE: 3334 – 3336 | Stop Loss: 3340 | TP 3327 - 3310 - 3300 As always, patience is key. Ensure you wait for solid confirmation signals, especially at these critical liquidity zones. False breakouts are frequent, and it's important to trade with a structured risk management plan. 🔹 Conclusion The market is at a crucial inflection point. While we may see some upside pressure if buyers gain momentum, the risk of a further correction is present, especially if liquidity demand shifts. Watch how price behaves around the 3300 level, and be prepared to adapt to market conditions as they unfold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
Gold - Time to short XAUUSDIt may be difficult to have a bearish bias on gold, but the chart is saying sell! After a prolonged bull run, you can see how price got rejected at $3,500. Subsequent bullish moves became weaker and weaker, you may even see a H&S pattern but more importantly the latest weaker bounce seems to indicate that the local support at 3272 may soon break. If this plays out as I think, a nice trade will setup. I also took a quick look at the H1 chart and noted that we already have lower daily central pivots. Looking forward to see how PA in the next couple of days develops. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Vista
Gold Drops as NFP Beats, USD Gains📊 Market Overview: • June’s Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at +147K (vs 110K forecast), with unemployment ticking down to 4.1%. • The US Dollar surged (DXY up ~0.5%) and Treasury yields rebounded following the release. • Gold dropped sharply after the report, hitting a session low of $3,311 and is now trading around $3,328. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,364 • Immediate Support: $3,311 • EMA 09 (H1): Price is below the 09 EMA → confirms short-term bearish trend. • Pattern / Momentum: A bearish engulfing candle near $3,364 signaled strong seller control. The failure to bounce afterward suggests persistent bearish pressure. RSI is tilting lower, confirming weakening momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline toward the $3,300–$3,290 area if USD and yields remain firm, especially if upcoming US data (such as ISM Services PMI) also supports the dollar strength. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,333 – $3,335 🎯 TP: $3,300 ❌ SL: $3,339 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,293 – $3,290 🎯 TP: $3,330 ❌ SL: $3,287
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold at Key Level Before NFP – Big Move Loading ?📉 Fundamental Analysis Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, supported by multiple macroeconomic and political drivers: ADP Employment Report Missed Expectations: With a shocking -33K reading, market sentiment shifted firmly against the US Dollar, pushing gold higher. Fed’s Easing Outlook: Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate cut in Q3, weakening real yields and supporting demand for gold. Trump’s “Super Bill” Momentum: Political cohesion among Republicans has re-ignited fiscal stimulus expectations, fuelling concerns over long-term US debt sustainability—another tailwind for gold as a safe haven. 🧠 Smart Money Technical Framework (H1) Price has moved into a Premium FVG Zone, showing signs of potential exhaustion after forming a clear CHoCH and bullish BOS. The current zone (3,375 – 3,376) aligns with a mid-risk sell region, where price may experience short-term rejection before revisiting demand zones. Market structure suggests liquidity sweep potential towards the downside before any continuation of the larger bullish trend. 📊 Trading Strategy – Smart Money Zones & Key Levels 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,334 – 3,333 🔴 SL: 3,329 ✅ TP: 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔵 BUY ZONE LOW RISK: 3,317 – 3,316 🔴 SL: 3,311 ✅ TP: 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 → 3,336 → 3,345 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔴 SELL SCALP ZONE: 3,375 – 3,376 🔴 SL: 3,380 ✔️ TP: 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 🔴 SELL ZONE HIGH PROBABILITY: 3,388 – 3,390 🔴 SL: 3,394 ✔️ TP: 3,384 → 3,380 → 3,376 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 📌 Notes: Be cautious ahead of NFP data and the upcoming US bank holiday—expect liquidity traps and sudden volatility. This setup is ideal for intraweek scalping and liquidity-based reversals. All trades follow Smart Money Concepts logic: premium vs. discount zones, CHoCH + BOS confirmations, and institutional order flow anticipation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 30 June 4 July 2025Gold has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the H4 timeframe. While the pattern is not perfectly symmetrical, it is still valid and clearly recognizable. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming a potential shift in market structure to the downside. Analysis Insight: The 3340–3350 area, previously a support zone, is now acting as resistance following the neckline break. A pullback to this zone may present a high-probability short opportunity for swing traders, especially if price shows rejection or bearish structure in that zone. Trade Type: Swing Trade Setup – Sell on Retracement: Bias: Bearish on confirmation of retracement rejection Entry Zone: 3340 – 3350 Stop Loss: 3376 (above right shoulder/high) Take Profit: 3320/3300/3285/3260 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2 Kindly follow, share, like, support and comment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview: • Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz. • The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached. • Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330. • EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend. • Candle/Momentum Indicators: o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance; o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance. 📌 Viewpoint: Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,370 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,325
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold may need to retreat to around 3300 againYesterday, the gold rebound stopped at around 3358, and then began to retreat. After that, it even failed to stand above 3350 during the rebound process, which to a certain extent hit the confidence of the bulls; At present, gold has retreated to the area near 3330 again. Although gold has fallen slowly, the center of gravity of gold is still shifting downward in the short term, and the trading volume of gold is gradually increasing when it is falling, so I think the short position may not be over, and the 3330 area may be broken at any time; and the support area that really deserves our attention is first the 3320-3315 area, followed by the 3300-3295 area; From the current gold structure, I think gold may still test the area near 3300 again before rising. Only after gold retreats to the area near 3300, it is possible to build an A-B-C head and shoulders bottom structure at the technical level (as shown in the figure), which can also help gold build a complete and effective rising structure, so gold has the need to retreat to the area near 3300 to build a right shoulder structure. Therefore, I think shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; you can consider shorting gold in the 3335-3355 area, looking at the target area of ​​3320-3310-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing. Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening. Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook 4HXAUUSD is currently undergoing a corrective move after last week's bearish continuation. Price is now testing the minor resistance zone of 3295–3322, and could potentially extend the correction to test the descending trendline near 3333–3342. The overall market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows clearly intact. Price has yet to break above the dynamic resistance trendline or the key swing high at 3366 — making any bullish move at this stage corrective, not a reversal. Unless we see a strong bullish break and close above 3366, we expect sellers to return once price reaches the trendline or supply area around 3333–3342. 📌 Trade Plan (Sell on Pullback) Sell Limit: 3333–3342 SL: 3368 TP1: 3296 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3220 📊 Key Levels: R2: 3342 R1: 3322 Pivot: 3295 S1: 3254 S2: 3214 S3: 3180 Summary: Wait for bearish confirmation at the supply zone before entering. Bias remains bearish until proven otherwise by a structural break above 3366. Use smaller lot size or scale in slowly if price approaches the sell zone with weak bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Short gold, it will fall again when encountering resistanceIn the short term, gold retreated to around 3274 and then rebounded again, and it is only one step away from 3300. Will gold regain its bullish trend again? I think it is difficult for gold to break through in the short term. Although gold retreated to around 3274 and successfully built a double bottom structure with the second low point and the low point of 3245, it only increased the rebound space; it is not enough for gold to regain its bullish trend. Since gold fell and broke through, the confidence of bulls has been hit hard. The previous support at the technical level has formed a strong resistance area after the top and bottom conversion, and to a certain extent helped the short force. In the short term, gold faces resistance in the 3310-3320 area. Before gold breaks through this area, the short energy still has the upper hand. Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading. It is appropriate to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area, and look at the target: 3385-3375-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen