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Goldshort

GOLD's Movement explainedSo what is up guys, I haven't had the opportunity to sit down and produce an analysis on gold over the last few days as I have been extremely busy working with students or other businesses that I run, I will admit my attention has been pulled away from the charts in the last few days but I am back and I am here for the day (I hope lol) So looking at the monthly timeframe I can say that it still definitely is extremely bullish - there isn't anything that can convince me otherwise - See image below of the monthly timeframe As I would mention in the image below I can't yet trust the monthly candle as it has about 20 days before it closes - meaning ANYTHING can happen between now and the next 20 days I am skipping the weekly timeframe in this analysis as I don't think there is any information that I need from that timeframe that I cannot get on the daily - Looking at the daily timeframe we can see that it has had quite a few bearish days and moves in the last week Now looking at the last 3 days or so, we can see that there are some wicks being thrown to the top side and I don't know about you but that doesn't give me confidence in looking for buys - why if I am looking for buys would I want to see data that suggests sells? But it is interesting and I will tell you why - Why would the dealer be inducing sellers in a bull market? Let me tell you why I think this is the case Who is the real target in a bull market? Buyers or sellers? Before you try to answer I want you to think who has more to gain. When you think about who has more to gain, you have to ask - does the dealer want this party to win? does he want this party to gain? Of course not. So in that light it is simple and easy to say that buyers would be the target right? Sellers would be taken out once the market resumes buying But before it can resume buying the dealer needs to get rid of traders who bought - remember he doesn't want traders who are buying to gain anything. So the next question is simple - Where are the buyers buying? Lets look at the chart again and see if anything makes sense When we look at the 4 hour time frame I am just trying to identify areas in which I feel the average retail trader may have felt safe to place a buy and I arrive at these zones circled in green, but why? These are low points that would have also made higher lows - which I am aware traders love using that B.S - Higher high and higher low to dictate whether or not they should buy. If you realize I am using what I know other traders do in my analysis but I am not using that myself to place a trade - I said this before, I like Context, I want to understand what other people may be seeing so I can build out the picture as close to what it really is, you cannot do that when you look at the market one dimensionally. But wait there is more Is it at all possible that this bull trend is also now an additional induction to get traders to buy? I think so yes, it makes sense for the dealer to induce buyers to make them feel safe and add more buys Buyers would feel more inclined to open bigger positions because the gold market is bullish overall so buys make sense. Interestingly enough buys are the right play I think but it isn't WHAT it is HOW. This is why I think the seller induction of the higher timeframe right now make sense - get sellers to step in and push price lower and stop out the buyers induced to buy in these areas (green) On the m15 timeframe I believe that sellers would have already been destroyed so the dealer is free to use that seller liquidity to push price lower as seen in the image below (turquoise) Look at the previous tap on the trendline or the most recent low, I wouldn't be surprised if price stops there and bounces back up temporarily to further induce buyers before dropping lower to take out all buyers completely I have an alert set at the low Let me know what you think about this thought process Don't boost if you didn't take the time to read and try to understand this entire analysis OR Boost if you did take the time to read and try to understand this entire analysis I think trying to take a trade before I know what price is likely to do next is irresponsible of me. So I will be waiting Have a great day folks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4
3
Gold melting a little?In the final days in December gold's strength has started to weaken. Wednesday December 27th 2023 is the last high we saw gold peaking around 2088.41. A massive and consistent downtrend has come right after that with a clear formulated structure with lower-low's and lower-high's. Monday January 08th 2024 is when we saw a pull-back and momentum revitalize it's self with going stabilizing itself seeing more stride with it's price trying to gain value back to the upside. Yesterday Tuesday January 9th 2024 during New York session it's seemly lost it's momentum but we can see that Monday's New York session has made clean traffic with price to the upside which in turn will be great for pin pointing where gold will go. *** KEY ANALYSIS *** I'm looking for GOLD to break and CLOSE under 2023.83 on a 30M time frame. This will confirm more of a downtrend considering the clean traffic and move up from Monday New York session that had alot of volume -- Close under my zone at 2023.83 Target 120 pts on candle break and close. Stops: anywhere above opposite side of the zone at 2027.43
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Trellz_
1
Gold: $2,025 - After US Inflation, What's Next?Gold: $2,025 - After US Inflation, What's Next? Gold's short term prospects might be dependent on upcoming US inflation data for December. XAU/USD currently trades at $2,025, stepping back from an intraday high of $2,042. On Thursday, the US will release the Consumer Price Index for December. The market is expecting a 0.3% monthly increase in Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, in line with November. If the monthly core CPI exceeds 0.5%, it could push up US yields and weigh on XAU/USD. Alternatively, a softer-than-expected CPI reading may keep expectations for a Federal Reserve policy shift alive and perhaps help keep gold above $2,020. Technically, the 4-hour chart suggests a downside risk for gold, trading below its 20 Simple Moving Average at around $2,036. Conversely, the initial resistance for XAU/USD stands at $2050, where the 50- and 100-day SMAs are converging. The daily high on January 5 at $2063.98 might be the next level to keep an eye on to the upside.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold's DOWN cycle continues !! 1/9/2024⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The price of gold (XAU/USD) is rebounding slightly below the mid-$2,000s in the early Asian session on Tuesday. There is a chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will prolong its cautious approach, which could lead to some selling pressure on gold in the short term. However, gold traders will primarily look to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday for new inspiration. Currently, the gold price is trading around $2,030, up 0.14% for the day. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The downtrend is even more obvious, with the actions of some funds taking profits on Gold above the $2000 price range. Gold continues to suffer negative impacts in early 2024 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2000 - $2002 SL $1992 TP1: $2010 TP2: $2020 TP3: $2030 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2048 - $2050 SL $2055 TP1: $2040 TP2: $2025 TP3: $2017 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
GOLD is expected to fluctuate slightly todayGold is poised to mark its first weekly decline in a month on Friday, as the U.S. dollar gains support from fading expectations of an early interest rate cut. Investors are eagerly awaiting a key employment report later in the day to glean further insights into the future of interest rates. The dollar index is on track to register its best weekly performance since July 2023, making the precious metal more expensive for holders of other currencies. The shift reflects the ongoing strength in the U.S. labour market, evidenced by Thursday's data revealing a larger-than-expected decline in new jobless claims and increased private sector hiring in December. Minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting held on December 12 and 13 indicate a growing sense among policymakers that inflation is under control. However, there remains a high degree of uncertainty regarding expectations for interest rate cuts. This ambiguity has contributed to a cautious approach in the market. The decline in interest rates diminishes the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, which monitors trader bets on interest rate movements, market expectations for a rate cut in March have dropped to 65%, compared to 90% the previous week. This shift reflects a reassessment of the economic landscape.
TVC:GOLDShort
by carefulLion07pab
Forming a short-term DOWN trend, correction⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: There is no important US economic news today, mainly based on technical analysis according to the Gold chart ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Prices are forming a downward wave pattern in the short term. According to fibonacci, Gold prices need a DOWN adjustment period to continue creating more liquidity for the market in early 2024. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2047 - $2045 SL $2040 TP1: $2052 TP2: $2060 TP3: $2074 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2074 - $2076 SL $2080 TP1: $2068 TP2: $2060 TP3: $2050 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
19
XAUUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GOLD ? In the 1-hour gold chart, we're observing a downward market momentum. The price is currently below the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), reinforcing a bearish market structure. The price has now approached the 38% resistance level, coinciding with a downward trend line and a resistance zone, suggesting potential for a price decrease.Key to watch is the $2048 resistance zone. If this level holds, we could see an increase in gold supply, further fueling the downtrend.Today's critical economic indicators, which might indirectly impact gold prices through their effect on the US dollar, are the ADP Employment Report and the Unemployment Insurance Claims Index. These data points could provide insights into the dollar's strength, influencing gold's trajectory. If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by HAMED_AZ
7
Gold, Still unclearJust a quick snapshot of a SMALL piece of the previous analysis I did with one addition (yellow tag) Looking at gold as of present I'd be honest I cannot see why anyone would feel safe to buy at this time HOWEVER - I also cannot build a strong enough case for a SELL TRADE either as the momentum isn't that bearish to say that you can quickly enter and make some quick profits via a scalp type trade In my opinion looking at the turquoise zones (next zone where liquidity might be) I feel like I need gold to target and demolish those zones first before we see buy conditions return - and my reason for this is simple If gold had the liquidity to buy - IT WOULD BUY!, right? The fact that it isn't buying suggests that it doesn't have what it needs and is seeking it out. The real question is - "where might it find what it needs?" Enter turquoise zones lol - pay close attention to the bull trend over to the left (turquoise line). A bull trend in a bull market? It's almost like the dealer wants you to buy, it's so evil...it's genius! So induce buyers to buy, stop them out by selling below where they bought, and then actually buy? Maybe - What do you think? Downvote\Don't boost if you didn't try to take the time to read and understand this post OR Upvote\boost if you did try to take the time to read and understand this post If you genuinely disagree..I have no problem with a downvote, but please leave a comment as to why you think otherwise. This will allow all of us to grow and get better together Link to previous analysis is here - Godspeed folks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4
GOLD so far for 2024Hey guys good morning, what is up - happy New Year, I was supposed to produce an analysis yesterday but I had other business to attend to as I have other things I do to make money (let's be honest - it doesn't matter how good of a trader you are, it isn't safe to put all your eggs into THIS basket lol) That being said however I wish you nothing but success for 2024 and beyond. Let us begin the analysis on gold thus far Thus far on the m15 timeframe it seems that gold hasn't had much going on since my last trade mid December I will however say that gold in my opinion is still very much a bullish market - with this in mind however gold ISN'T buying - WHY? Let me explain.. So we know we cannot use the current monthly candle as there are literally 28 days left before that candle closes, anything can happen between now and the YEAR of January lol (for those of you who spent all their profits of last year over Christmas lol) The previous monthly candle however makes sense that it is consolidating because typically after a big push you will get the market go into a state of consolidation to begin the new cycle and by extension new trap Keep in mind however hold is still trading AT and I'd argue above the previous high that would have been broken (see image below) On the weekly timeframe we can see again we cannot yet trust the current weekly candle as it has a little while again before it closes - it does however suggest a bear move - I'd explain why I think this is possible shortly The previous weekly candle also speaks to a possible bear move - the fact that there is a heavy rejection on the previous weekly candle in a bull market doesn't make a lot of sense UNLESS the market CANNOT go up further without come back down for something first - maybe? right? Looking at the daily timeframe we can see that the last day for 2023 closed as a bearish day - why? maybe this is to induce sellers so that sellers can come in and push price lower But why? Why would the dealer want to have sellers become interested? Why would he want the seller to try to push price down? Because I believe there is something down below somewhere and the sell is to get price to achieve that level - that is the ONLY thing that makes sense to me The 4 hour is very interesting because looking at this green zone we can see over to the left there were a lot of sellers interested at that "resistance". They sold and sold until they were eventually stopped out - the buyers then quickly became interested. This makes sense as gold is a bullish market for sure. But then (presently) the buyers that recently became interested were stopped out by this bear push - I think however that gold isn't ready to resume buys yet because it is staying at this lower area a bit to long for my liking. Actually As I am typing this price is consistently pushing lower. The only thing would give me confidence that gold is ready to resume buys is if it heavily rejects the downside and in my opinion it hasn't arrived where the big chunk of liquidity is just yet (see next image) When you observe the 1 hour time frame we can see that there was a bull trend that formed over a few days - this would have surely induced buyers - in a bull market the market wants to buy (duhhh, obviously) but the question you have to ask is - "does the dealer want the buyer to win alongside him?" 11\10 times the answer to that question is a big FAT NO! So it makes sense to induce the buyer to buy then to stop them out by driving price lower back to hit their stop losses. The areas highlighted are where I think the next chunks of liquidity are trapped. We can possibly see price hit one of these areas before resuming the buy. The real question is - "do I think it is worth it to try to sell gold in hopes that it gets to one of these levels?" No, I don't think it is worth it. But not because of the market structure I have outlined here. More so due to the time of the year. I think the market is still pretty volatile from the holidays. I think waiting a few days to see what happens - at least if more momentum comes in first is the better play here. This shows not just I know what I want to see but it shows discipline as well. I am not to eager to find a trade. I prefer the trade to come to me Downvote\don't boost if you didn't take the time to read this entire post and you didn't try to understand OR Upvote\boost if you did take the time to read this entire post and you did try to understand Leave a comment telling me how you feel about the new year so far to let me know that you've read this entire post
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4