Xauusd :Gold waits again to choose the direction
As widely expected in the market, the Fed kept interest rates in the range of 5.25% to 5.5%.The Fed also said that U.S. economic activity grew strongly in the third quarter.In previous speeches, the Fed pointed out that the economy is growing at a steady rate.However, Fed Chairman Powell did not rule out the possibility of raising interest rates next month at a press conference after the decision. This is another uncertain message provided by the market in the future.At the same time, due to the small possibility of a ceasefire in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and concerns about Iran's intervention in the Middle East conflict are still high, gold rebounded after falling yesterday.
Pay attention to today: the number of people receiving unemployment benefits in the United States, and the monthly rate of factory orders in the United States in September.
Gold did not fall below the important support point of 1968 yesterday, and it is still on the upward trend for the time being. Today, I think gold is still in a volatile market, waiting for Friday's unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls data before choosing the direction again.
We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range:
2002-2010
1987-1992
Pay attention to the range of support points below:
1970-1975
1962-1968
So today you can sell in the resistance range above, or buy in the support range, and set your position based on your funds.This way your success rate can be greatly increased
If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
Goldsignal
GOLD - Gold trading strategyMany experts predict that the US economy may fall into recession this year due to the rapid pace of interest rate increases. However, the world's largest economy is surprisingly strong.
In its statement, the Fed emphasized that the US economy was still growing strongly in the third quarter, the unemployment rate was low and the banking system was resilient. This has strengthened the possibility that the US will achieve a "soft landing" as the Fed is curbing inflation without harming the economy.
Although the Fed left interest rates unchanged after its monetary policy meeting, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said it was unclear whether the committee was done raising rates. The world's most powerful central bank president also added that the committee remains focused on bringing inflation down to its 2% target.
Some experts assess that although the Fed maintains its tightening trend, that stance is not "hawkish" enough to worry the gold market as prices keep high levels below 2,000 USD/ounce.
Although the Fed is still pursuing a "hawkish" policy, it is not enough to spook the market, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.
This expert further noted that concerns related to the Israel-Hamas conflict may have more impact on gold than the Fed's monetary policies.
After a sharp decline, does Gold have a chance to recover?World gold ended October with the largest monthly increase since November 2022 thanks to safe-haven buying due to concerns surrounding the Israel-Hamas conflict. In the last trading session of the month, the gold market was quiet as investors showed caution ahead of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy meeting taking place on Wednesday (US time).
Commenting on the upcoming monetary meeting, experts say that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell may continue the old scenario that all Fed interest rate decisions will depend on economic data. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA, said the Fed would leave open the possibility of raising interest rates again in December.
Looking back at gold's movements over the past month, spot gold hit its lowest level in 7 months at 1,809.50 USD/ounce on October 6, 1 day before the Israel-Hamas conflict broke out. However, safe-haven buying amid continuing tensions in the Middle East helped the precious metal rise 8% on the month.
However, some say gold could lose its safe-haven appeal as the world gradually adapts to developments in the Middle East. In fact, concerns about geopolitical instability cannot help gold maintain the $2,000/ounce level as the market once again returns to the Fed's monetary policy supporting USD strength. and bond yields.
GOLD - Waiting for information from the Fed, gold declinedPrecious metal prices declined ahead of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting.
Commenting on the upcoming monetary meeting, experts say that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell may continue the old scenario that all Fed interest rate decisions will depend on economic data. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA, said that the Fed will leave open the possibility of another interest rate increase in December.
However, some say that gold may lose its safe-haven appeal as the world gradually adapts to developments in the Middle East. In fact, concerns about geopolitical instability cannot help gold maintain the $2,000/ounce level when the market once again returns to the Fed's monetary policy, which is supporting the strength of the USD. and bond yields.
Precious metal prices declined ahead of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting.
Commenting on the upcoming monetary meeting, experts say that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell may continue the old scenario that all Fed interest rate decisions will depend on economic data. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA, said that the Fed will leave open the possibility of another interest rate increase in December.
However, some say that gold may lose its safe-haven appeal as the world gradually adapts to developments in the Middle East. In fact, concerns about geopolitical instability cannot help gold maintain the $2,000/ounce level when the market once again returns to the Fed's monetary policy, which is supporting the strength of the USD. and bond yields.
Gold trading strategy, opportunity to buyWorld gold prices are supported by the need for safe haven capital in the context of Israel expanding its military operations on the ground to attack the Hamas group. This could make conflict more widespread in the Middle East region
The focus this week is on investors eyeing the Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting and the US monthly jobs report on Friday. They are also watching policy decisions from the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan this week.
The Bank of Japan overnight left monetary policy unchanged but said it would “patiently continue to ease monetary easing” until the BOJ achieves inflation stabilizing at 2%.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are expected to keep the door open to further policy tightening as strong consumer spending and tightening labor market conditions could cause consumer inflation to return. so difficult to control.
Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said before November's monetary policy that higher bond yields were equivalent to a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike. The Fed could use higher Treasury rates as a substitute for further policy tightening.
"If the Fed takes a "tough" stance on monetary policy, then we will see a somewhat negative reaction from gold. Although gold is considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates will reduce its appeal. instructions for this item,” Wyckoff said.
XAUUSD- On October 30, many countries and major economies in Europe and Asia reported that the consumer price index in October dropped sharply and retail sales increased positively. Specifically, Europe's largest economy, Germany, had a CPI index in October that decreased from 4.1% to 3.7%. Germany's CPI on an annual basis decreased from 5.1% at the end of September to 4.4% at the end of October.
The surveyed confidence index of consumers and businesses in Europe in the industrial, service, consumer, retail and construction sectors continued to be maintained at 93.3% last month and newspaper backup. This survey assesses the spending potential of consumers and businesses in the European region.
In Korea, industrial products increased sharply from minus 0.7% in August to 3% in September. Retail sales of Kimchi establishments also increased from minus 0.3% in August to 0, 2% in September. In Australia, retail revenue also increased from 0.3% in August to 0.9% in September.
A sharp decline in the CPI will help central banks temporarily stop raising operating interest rates in the last months of this year. Along with that, when retail sales and consumer confidence are strengthened, it can be said that the economy has recovered well. Falling inflation also reduces pressure on the economy as fuel prices remain on the rise due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
XAUUSD - Precious metals decreased but remained at high levelsGold remains an attractive market as bonds offer little protection while stocks continue to be sold.
Fresh bullish bids in the gold market come as markets expect the US Federal Reserve (FED) to maintain restrained interest rates in 2024, analysts warn that demand lurks Value markets continue to be assured and will obscure possible risks from US monetary policy.
In the same vein, commodity analysts at Société Générale also made note of the new focus on this rare metal in the context of a demonstrated market of $8.1 billion sliding into the gold market.
On the other hand, some analysts believe that institutional investment demand for gold-backed exchange-traded products remains elusive, while hidden demand continues to be supported by offsetting status. for gold limit. Therefore, this has been noted as a trend that needs to change if the school wants to keep its recent gains.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Resistance Ahead! Your Plan 🥇
Gold suddenly bounced on Friday.
The price is currently approaching a solid horizontal resistance cluster.
Watch carefully 2005 - 2010 area next week.
If the market breaks and closes above that on a daily,
it will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 2034 level.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD - World gold prices decreased slightly in the first tradingThe world gold market has witnessed strong buying force in the past 2 weeks. Investor demand for a safe haven has increased amid tensions in the Middle East. Gold prices marked the third consecutive week of increase.
According to experts, in addition to the conflict in the Middle East, investors should monitor developments in the Fed's monetary policy stance.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market seems certain that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.5% at this meeting. At the same time, the Fed is expected to maintain restrictive monetary policies for the foreseeable future.
Some analysts warn investors to be cautious with gold prices in the region of 2,000 USD/ounce because the market may adjust downwards based on the Fed's monetary policy stance, which could keep interest rates high in the future. this time. longer period.
Ole Hansen, commodity strategist at Saxo Bank, said the Fed's tough stance on interest rates could keep investors away from gold-backed exchange-traded products, which could cause gold prices to fall. next time. In addition, gold prices may decrease due to profit taking by investors.
XAUUSD - Starting the new week, gold increases or decreases?The world gold price on the first day of the week tends to decrease with immediate gold trading down 2.3 USD, compared to the previous weekly trading time down to 2,003.3 USD/ounce.
Gold continues to strengthen as sentiment is supported and there is an increasing risk of that happening amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. In weekend trading, the yellow metal was once again trading at $2,000 an ounce as advisors sought alternative buying in the event of a deterioration.
This position also suggests that the Fed's hawkish stance means Treasury yields peak, which will benefit the yellow metal. He thinks the “variable” will be uncertainty about what will happen in the Middle East. “The Fed is a restraining factor, while conflict in the Middle East is a driver for gold. And that makes me neutral on gold prices," he said.
The Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday will be the economic scenario expected this week with 94.2% predicting the central bank will keep interest rates on hold. This week the market also receives the October non-farm payrolls report on Friday.
GOLD - USD price increases, gold is still hotGold prices fell after the US economic report was better than expected. The market leans towards the "hawkish" side of monetary policy, with many opinions supporting the US Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates.
According to published data, America's third quarter GDP is estimated to increase by 4.9%. Inflation index has been controlled. The US Department of Commerce said orders for long-lasting goods increased by 4.7% (equivalent to 13.2 billion USD) in September. This number increased higher than forecasts of economic experts.
Better-than-expected US economic data caused the USD to increase in price, supporting Treasury bond interest rates. This makes the attractiveness of non-yielding assets such as gold significantly decrease.
The recent recovery was mainly driven by capital flows seeking safe havens due to concerns that the conflict between Israel and the Islamist force Hamas would spread.
Gold prices cannot return to the 2,000 USD/ounce mark in the short term.
XAUUSD - Gold price increased again, what entry to sell now?World gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 4.3 USD to 1,983.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $1,997.40 an ounce, up $2.50 from the bright spot.
World gold this morning was calm compared to yesterday's brilliance but has dropped much from the high level it had during the day when the newly released report showed the strong strength of the US economy.
Specifically, the report showed that US GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.9% over the same period last year, higher than economists' expectations of 4.7% and therefore increased by 2.1% in the second quarter. This data favors those who support the possibility that the US Federal Data Bureau will continue to raise interest rates at future monetary policy meetings.
Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, said the data “paints a picture of a very strong U.S. economy,” reinforcing the narrative that the Fed may need to raise interest rates more, which This is detrimental to gold.
Even though the economic data was stronger than expected, Moya was surprised by the yellow metal's strength. “I'm surprised we haven't seen a big drop in gold prices. I think people realize that geopolitical risks are not going away anytime soon,” he said.
XAUUSD - Short-term Gold trading, sell xauusdWorld gold prices are currently increasing again with spot gold prices increasing by 9.3 USD, to 1,979.6 USD/ounce compared to yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at $1,994.90 per ounce, up $8.80 in today's session.
Gold prices in today's trading session increased slightly in the context of the conflict in the Middle East remaining tense and consultants waiting for important economic data from the US to get more signals about the Bureau's policy direction. Federal Reserve (Fed).
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, knows geopolitical concerns won't go away any time soon, which will continue to support gold.
The gold index increased and the US 10-term treasury bond yields increased and gold became more bearish. Today's consultant's opinion has turned to the US third quarter GDP data to be released today, October 26, and the Personal Expenditure Price Index (PCE) to be released on Friday (October 27). . These data may influence the development of Fed interest rates.
If the data slows, the Fed will have more reason to lower interest rates, which will greatly support gold and push its value above $2,000.
XAUUSD - Continued to fall sharply as the USD soaredGold prices today (October 25), the world market continues to decrease compared to the previous session, when the USD soared. The service sector purchasing managers' index in October in the US increased sharply.
According to technical analysis, the PMI index increased to 50 points for an economy that is expanding its production and business scale. Since April 2023, only a few US manufacturing purchasing managers have fallen below 50 points and have now returned to this level.
In particular, in the European region, the PMI index in the manufacturing sector of major economies including the UK and Germany also increased. Specifically, the October product sector PMI in the UK reached 45.2 points, higher than the forecast of 44.7 points and September's level of 44.3 points.
The PMI index of the manufacturing sector in Germany in October reached 40.7 points, higher than the 40 points of the newspaper project and 39.6 points in September. Although the PMI index of the UK and Germany has not reached the opening level. widely, but increased more than forecast and last month showed telling economic signals of a product recovery.
After the PMI index increased, the USD skyrocketed. The Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 home currencies, increased sharply by 0.7% compared to the previous session, to 106,270 points, at 6:22 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time).
XAUUSD - Gold in a volatile world, should you buy or sell?The world's gold price today, October 25, is in turmoil as the USD rises sharply, crude oil prices go down, and US bond yields heat up.
Gold prices today fluctuated violently as financial investment increased the need to hold "greenbacks". This helped the USD Index increase to 106.27 points, creating momentum for the USD to increase in price very strongly compared to 6 other strong currencies, including: Euro, JPY (Japanese Yen), GBP (British Pound). , CAD (Canadian dollar), SEK (Swedish Krona) and CHF (Swiss Franc).
Meanwhile, crude oil price dropped to 83.25 USD/barrel, 10-year US bond interest rate stood at a high level of 4.85%/year. In particular, financial markets became optimistic when Israel still delayed its ground attack on the Gaza Strip in the hope that the Hamas group would continue to free the hostages.
With the above situation, many people may have seen the gold market fall into a disadvantageous position. So they sold this precious metal. The remaining gold wave crazes sell Dua, waiting for the price to decrease to buy back the difference. Immediately, the world gold price sometimes dropped from 1,980 USD/ounce to 1,950 USD/ounce.
XAUUSD - Gold turns down, selling strategy todayThe radiant world gold price has decreased slightly with spot gold down 0.7 USD to 1,973 USD/ounce compared to yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at $1,987.80 per ounce, down $6.60 from the previous week's trading session.
At the end of today's trading session, gold prices fell slightly, ending the impressive increase to nearly 2,000 USD in last week's session, when the conflict in the Middle East continued to escalate with no signs of cooling down.
Gold prices have risen about 9% in the past two weeks as investors seek to hedge against the risk of escalating tensions in the Hamas-Israel conflict.
Forex.com senior market strategist James Stanley also expects gold to decline. He explained, gold has increased too quickly in the past two weeks. So, a window may be triggered this week.