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THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. It’s been an aggressive month on the markets especially this week which has been testing for traders due to the extended movement on gold. We’ve managed to stay ahead of the game and although we missed the move downside, we’ve capture scalps up and down trading it on an intra-day basis rather than a swing. Looking at the 4H chart, we can see we have support forming at the 3310 level which is the key level for this week and will need to be broken to go lower. If we can flip the 3334 resistance, price should attempt higher into the 3355-60 region which is where we may settle in preparation for NFP. on Friday This is the level that needs to be watched for the daily close, as a close above will confirm the structure and pattern test which can form a reversal if not breached. Now, here is the flip! We’re still sitting below the daily red box but we know this break does give a retracement and with sentiment long, it may not be a complete retracement again. Here 3345-50 is the red box to watch and as above, if not breached, we may see a rejection here which will confirm no reversal for higher and, potentially a further decline into the 3270-5 regions for the end of the month and quarter. Pivot – 3323-6 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3335 for 3338, 3340, 3345, 3347 and 3357 in extension of the move Break below 3320 for 3310, 3306, 3302, 3297 and 3393 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
XAU/USD | Gold Below $3345 – Key Demand Awaits at $3282–$3296!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after dropping to the $3301 area, strong demand came in, helping the price stabilize above $3300 and rally up to over $3334. Currently, gold is trading around $3331. If the price fails to break and hold above $3345 within the next 8 hours, we may see a price correction soon. A key demand zone lies between $3282–$3296, where a strong bullish reaction could occur if price revisits this area. Important supply levels to watch are $3366, $3382, $3393, and $3404. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
57
Gold Crashing After Hot U.S. Data – More Pain Ahead?Minutes ago, important indices were released from the US , which catalyzed the continuation of gold's downward trend . Key U.S. Economic Data Just Dropped! ADP Employment: 104K GDP q/q: 3.0% Both came in stronger than expected , signaling that the U.S. economy is holding up better than many thought! Strong job growth Solid economic expansion The result? A stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and potential downward pressure on Gold . All eyes are now on FOMC meeting . Will the Fed still hint at future rate cuts despite the solid data? Or is the easing cycle officially on hold? What is your idea!? ---------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already managed to break the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Monthly Pivot Point , 50_EMA(Daily) , Support lines , and the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, Gold trading below $3,333 plays an important role for me, which can increase the possibility of a continuation of the downtrend . I expect Gold to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) before the FOMO meeting and if the Support zone($3,307-$3,272) is broken, we can expect further declines to $3,253(Second Target) . -------------------------------- Information we need to know: How should the Federal Funds Rate be announced to cause a deeper drop in Gold ? The Fed needs to take a hawkish stance — meaning: They keep rates unchanged, but make it clear they intend to keep them elevated for a prolonged period. They emphasize strong economic data like today's solid ADP and GDP numbers . They express concern that inflationary risks remain, and cutting rates isn’t on the table anytime soon. In this case, markets get disappointed, rate cut hopes fade, and gold drops as real yields( TVC:US10Y ) rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens. -------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,340 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
Gold Drops After Failing to Hold Above $3322📊 Market Overview: Gold initially surged above the $3322 resistance, hitting $3329 amid Fed pause expectations. However, a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking triggered a sharp drop back to $3315, signaling weakening bullish momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $3322 – $3330 • Nearest support: $3308 – $3300 • EMA09 (H1): Price has fallen below EMA09 → turning short-term trend bearish • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • Failed breakout above $3322 with strong bearish H1 reversal • Increasing volume during the drop → rising selling pressure 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue declining in the short term if it fails to hold above $3312. Bears have taken control after the failed breakout attempt. Risk increases for a move toward $3300–$3295. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3318 – $3321 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3325 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3292 (only with clear bullish signal) 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3288
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
9
Gold price analysis July 31XAUUSD – Bearish pressure still prevails, watch for SELL in the direction of the trend Yesterday's session witnessed a strong decline when the D1 candle closed with selling pressure up to 60 prices, forming a key candle that shapes the trend. When the market forms a main candle, the 25% and 50% candle body areas are often important price areas to continue trading in the direction of the main trend. In the current context, the priority strategy will be to sell in the direction of the downtrend when the price rebounds to the resistance areas and there is a rejection signal. 🔹 Important resistance areas: 3301 – 3312 – 3333 🔸 Target support areas: 3285 – 3270 – 3250 🎯 Trading strategy: Prioritize SELLing at the resistance area of 3301–3312 when there is a price reaction (rejection). Target: 3250 BUY only considered when 3313 area is broken decisively. Staying disciplined and sticking to the reaction price zone will be key in the context of the market moving in a clear trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold May Rise Technically after Testing the $3,300 Zone📊 Market Overview: Spot gold is trading around $3,295–$3,301/oz, influenced by slightly lower U.S. Treasury yields and a softer dollar tone. Analyst consensus from Reuters projects gold likely to stay above $3,220/oz through 2025 and possibly hit $3,400 in 2026 amid continued safe-haven demand 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $3,320 / $3,345 • Closest support: $3,274 – $3,280 • EMA09: Price is currently below the 9 period EMA on H1, indicating a short-term bearish bias. • Candlestick / volume / momentum: There was a minor bounce from the support zone around $3,274, but volume remains low. RSI isn't oversold, suggesting room for technical pullback. 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a technical rebound if it holds above $3,280. A breakout above $3,320 would likely require clear catalyst—such as weak U.S. data or a dovish Fed tone. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD: $3,320 – $3,323 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,326 BUY XAU/USD: $3,279 – $3,282 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3376
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold May Dip Mildly Before US Data📊 Market Overview: Spot gold is trading around $3,329/oz, up ~0.1%, supported by falling U.S. Treasury yields and a slightly weaker dollar, while investors await potential Fed dovish signals or rate cut in September . Meanwhile, easing U.S.–EU trade tensions weighed on safe-haven demand for gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,335–3,350 (recent highs and potential test zone) • Nearest Support: ~$3,310 (previous stable support) • EMA09 position: Price is above EMA9, indicating a mild bullish bias in the short term • Momentum/Volume: RSI ~53 (neutral), MACD & StochRSI showing small buy signals. However, bullish momentum is fading, suggesting a possible mild pullback 📌 Conclusion: Gold may dip modestly toward $3,310 if the dollar strengthens or if Fed rate-cut expectations recede. A break above $3,335–3,350 could pave the way for further gains, though current momentum remains insufficient to confirm a breakout. 💡 Suggested Trade Strategy: SELL XAU/USD: $3,333–3,336 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3339 BUY XAU/USD: $3,310–3,308 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold in PRZ + TRZ: Is a Bullish Reversal Brewing(Short-term)?Gold , as I expected in yesterday's idea , fell to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and started to rise again . Today's Gold analysis is on the 15-minute time frame and is considered short-term , so please pay attention . Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold can complete the microwave C of wave B at the lower line of the descending channel. I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,311 . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,267 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
GOLD REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE AFTER U.S. INFLATION DATA📊 Market Overview: Gold is trading around $3294, down from $3311 earlier after U.S. Core PCE and Employment Cost Index came in as expected — reinforcing the Fed's hawkish stance. A stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to weigh on gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $3302 – $3305 • Nearest support: $3285 – $3275 • EMA09 (H1): Price is below the 9-period EMA → short-term trend remains bearish • Candlestick / volume / momentum: After the sharp drop, price is consolidating between $3293–$3298 with low volume. Failure to break above $3302 may trigger further downside. RSI near 45 suggests room for more selling. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim $3302 and the dollar remains strong through the Asian and European sessions. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3296 – $3298 🎯 TP: $3280 / $3275 ❌ SL: $3305 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3275 – $3278 (if reversal candle appears) 🎯 TP: $3295 ❌ SL: $3270
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Recovers After Sharp Drop – Trend Not Yet Reversed📊 Market Overview: Gold rebounded from a sharp fall earlier in the session, rising from $3301 to around $3315 as the U.S. dollar weakened slightly and sellers took partial profit. However, no strong fundamental catalyst confirms a trend reversal yet. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3315 – $3322 • Nearest Support: $3300 – $3295 • EMA 09 (H1): Price is currently just below EMA09, indicating a slight bearish bias • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • H1 candle shows a long lower wick at $3301 → some buying interest • No H1 candle has closed above $3315 yet → no confirmed reversal • Volume remains weak, RSI still under 50 → limited bullish momentum ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to consolidate between $3300 and $3315 in the short term. If it fails to close above $3315, bearish pressure could return toward $3295–$3288. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trade Setups: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3315 – $3318 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3323 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3300 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3285
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Recovery Setup = Divergence + Support ClusterGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , as I expected in my previous idea . Gold is currently near a set of Supports . Supports: Support zone: $3,350-$3,326 Monthly Pivot Point: $3,333 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ): $3,339-$3,329 Lower line of the ascending Channel 50_EMA(Daily) Support lines In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,359 . Second target: $3,367 Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,319 Do you think Gold can break the Support cluster by the end of trading hours? Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
26
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
38
XAUUSD Does it need to test the 1D MA100 first?Gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to break below its Triangle formation just 4 days after marginally breaking above it. This has invalidated that pattern so after breaking also below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it could technically go for a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test for the first time since January 06 2025. If it does, there will be more probabilities for a stronger than before rebound to make a new High. Our Targe is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $3620. Keep also an eye on the 1D RSI Buy Zone, which has been giving the most optimal buy signals since April 07 2025. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
Gold Continues Mild Uptrend – Watching for Reaction at $3351📊 Market Overview: Gold maintained its bullish momentum during the Asian–European session, rising from $3330 to $3344. A slightly weaker USD and safe-haven demand supported prices. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone, where technical rejection may occur in the U.S. session. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key near-term resistance: $3345 – $3351 • Stronger resistance (higher zone): $3360 – $3366 and $3374 • Nearest support: $3335 – $3332 • Stronger support (lower zone): $3322 – $3315 • EMA 09 (H1): Price is above EMA09 → confirms short-term uptrend • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • Price is consolidating in an ascending triangle • A breakout above $3345 may target $3360+ • RSI remains below overbought; volume is stable → room for continuation ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: If gold holds above $3335 and breaks above $3351, the uptrend could extend toward the $3366–$3374 zone. However, failure to break $3351 followed by a drop below $3332 could lead to a deeper pullback toward $3315. 💡 Recommended Trading Strategies: BUY XAU/USD: $3318 – $3315 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: $3321 SELL XAU/USD: $3360 – $3363 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: $3357
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Showing Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key ResistanceHello Guys. Gold has reached a major resistance zone around 3439–3425, which has already acted as a strong ceiling in the past. The price tapped into this area again, forming a clear divergence, and failed to break higher. Here’s what stands out: Divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum at the top. The price rejected the resistance and is now breaking structure to the downside. A minor pullback may occur before continuation, as shown in the projected moves. First target: 3259.792 Second target (if support breaks): 3136.869, a deeper zone for potential bounce or further drop. This setup hints at a bearish trend building up. Stay cautious on longs unless the price structure changes again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
21
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a price to attempt the higher level red box sitting around the 3370-75 region and if not breached, we felt an opportunity to short would be available from that region. We said if that failed and the move commenced, we would be looking at a complete correction of the move back down into the 3330-35 region, where we would then monitor price again in anticipation of a long from there or the extension level of 3310 which was also a red box short target (move complete). As you can see from the above, not only did we get that higher red box, we rejected, completed the move downside and then our traders managed to get that long trade all the way back up into the Excalibur target, red box targets and the hotspots shared in Camelot. A decent week again, not only on Gold but also the numerous other pairs we trade, share targets on and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we can expect more ranging price action, but due to the previous range from last week being so tight, it looks like we’ll see a breakout coming in the latter part of the week unless there is news to bring us unexpected volume. We have the key level below 3335-40 support and above that resistance and a red box sitting at 3375-80. This is the region that needs to watched for the break, and if broken we should hit the range high again at 3400-10. However, if rejected, we could again see this dip to attack that lower order region 3310-6 before attempting to recover. Last week we wanted to see that curveball and although we did see some aggressive price action, I think we will see something extreme for this week. It’s that lower level 3310-6 that is a key region for bulls, if broken we can see a complete flush in gold taking us down into the 3250’s before we start the summer run. That for us would be the ideal scenario going into the month end, but, we’ll play it how we see and as usual, we go level to level and update any changes as we go along. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355, 3361, 3368, 3372 and above that 3385 Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3350 for 3355, 3361, 3367, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
42